P0 ProbabilidaP1 D1 Retorno (R-E(R))^2

100 Excelente 25% 126.5 4.5 31.00% 0.0451

Bueno 45% 110 4 14.00% 0.0018
Malo 25% 89.76 3.5 -6.74% 0.0272
Crisis 5% 46 2 -52.00% 0.3815

E(R) 9.77%
Var(R) 0.0380
Des(R) 19.48%

P0 ProbabilidaP1 D1 Retorno (R-E(R))^2

100 Excelente 25% 135 5 40.00% 0.0900
Bueno 45% 115 3 18.00% 0.0064
Malo 25% 75 2 -23.00% 0.1089
Crisis 5% 52 1 -47.00% 0.3249

E(R) 10.00%
Var(R) 0.0689
Des(R) 26.24%

100000
Accion 1 60000 60%
Accion 2 40000 40%

E(R) 9.86%