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Tynd-All . . .

enabling solutions through research and dialogue


No. 10 Winter 2005

Tynd-All is the quarterly electronic newsletter for people interested in the outputs and activities of the UK’s
Tyndall Centre tyndall@uea.ac.uk if you wish to stop receiving Tynd-All.

CONTENTS:

Highlights since the last Tynd-All:


Pathways for the UK to achieve its CO2 targets
Hurricane survival guide launched at Montreal
Further funded for our groundbreaking research
New lessons for technology policy and climate change
City workshop for climate change investors
UK needs twenty-five million whole-house makeovers
Oxford University and Newcastle University will be joining
Greenhouse East scenarios for the East of England
Tyndall Centre Phase II which is funded from April 2006
Defining dangerous climate change special edition by the UK Research Councils
Eight Tyndall evidences for the G8 summit
Supporting the British Council’s Zero Carbon Cities

Media highlights:
Tyndall research featured at least 198 times in UK press and online news

Forward look:
Climate change in Africa, Paris
Estonia Europe Young Scientist Workshop
Climate change: What do the public now think of nuclear?
EC ADAM research begins
Climate change and Africa: linking science and policy for adaptation
Launch of Tyndall Phase II

Tyndall Publications in 2005:


Twenty four projects completed their final Technical Reports and are online
Seventeen Working Papers were published and are online
Forty-two peer-reviewed journal articles were published
Seventeen Books or Chapters became available from academic publishers

Highlights since the last Tynd-All

Pathways for the UK to achieve its CO2 targets


The Tyndall Centre launched in September the UK's most comprehensive analysis to date of how the UK can
achieve the Government's climate change targets across all sectors of economy and society. We unveiled a new set
of energy scenarios which map pathways from the present day to a decarbonised UK in 2050. The scenarios explore
energy supply and options for demand reduction and for the first time include emissions from the international
aviation and marine sectors, revealing the true scale of the challenge facing the UK. Called 'Decarbonising the UK'
the report was launched in Westminster by keynote speakers the Minister for Climate Change and the Environment
Rt Hon. Elliot Morley MP and the Government’s Chief Scientific Advisor Sir David King.

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The overall analysis reveals that all householders, motorists and businesses will have to reduce their carbon dioxide
pollution to zero if the growing aviation industry is to be incorporated into the UK’s climate change targets. It shows
that even if aviation’s current growth is halved from today’s level, the rest of the economy will require carbon dioxide
cuts far beyond Government targets. The new findings are part of a five year comprehensive study that sets-out a far
reaching agenda for cutting carbon dioxide emissions over the next 45 years by detailing the actions that need to be
taken by Government and industry. They are unique in incorporating the different perspectives of energy analysts,
engineers, economists and social and environmental scientists into a wide understanding of how policymakers can
achieve its 60% target of carbon dioxide reduction. For more information www.tyndall.ac.uk/events/decarb.shtml
Email tyndall@uea.ac.uk if you wish to be sent hard copies

Hurricane survival guide launched at Montreal climate change conference


“June too soon, July stand by, August come it must, September remember, October all over” says a Caribbean
rhyme where hurricanes are so common that generations of islanders have passed-along the poem. Drawing upon
the practical experience of these islanders and the latest academic thinking, Emma Tompkins and colleagues at the
University of East Anglia have written a guidebook to help the islands of the UK Overseas Territories and other
regions prepare for the impacts of hurricanes, storms and sea level rise - predicted to change as global warming
further influences the climate. “While media networks made Hurricanes Katrina and Rita seem like a new
phenomenon for 2005, the small islands of the Caribbean are hit each year and every year. I hope that other islands
and regions can learn from the lessons and approaches that we have put into the guidebook.” said Dr Emma
Tompkins who led the book and the research behind it.

The inspiration behind the guidebook is Dr Tompkins’ research in partnership with the Cayman Islands’ Government
on better understanding preparedness for the impacts of hurricanes and climate change. The guidebook describes in
detail the reasons why climate change is creating risks for small islands, why small islands need to address the
risks, and it offers methods for managing those risks. For more information
www.tyndall.ac.uk/publications/surviving.pdf

Further funded for our groundbreaking research on climate change solutions


Professor Mike Hulme is pleased to announce a further three years funding from the UK's Research Councils to
support the unique mission of the Tyndall Centre in doing high quality climate change science that is truly useful for
both scientific theory and for policy practice. "We will continue to break new ground in innovative research on several
national and international climate change themes and be a world exemplar for doing joined-up science for society"
said Professor Hulme. The panel of international experts that spanned top scientists to business stakeholders
concluded in their review of the first three years of Tyndall, "... that no comparable programme in its initial years has
come further, faster or produced more exciting results." For more information
www.tyndall.ac.uk/media/press_releases/tyndallfunding.pdf

New lessons for technology policy and climate change


The cost of a low carbon future may be no greater than the costs of investing in current energy technologies
concludes our major set of studies analysing long-term technology. We have shown that the net cost of mitigation
technologies depends crucially on the extent to which policy measures can reduce and stimulate innovation costs.
The research is a significant departure to the traditional cost-benefit analysis of environmental problems, recognising
that current technologies and costs are a poor guide to the energy sector in 2050. The thinking behind this work is
that market economies are better characterised by successive waves of new clusters of technologies which in turn
change the economic structures of production and consumption. For example, the current wave of IT continues to
change the way that the global economy works. And to answer the ‘how much cost?’ question, the answer is
between 0-2% of world GDP by 2050. This is equivalent to delaying reaching the global economic output of 2050 to
a year later in 2051. By this time, GDP is likely to have risen by two to three hundred percent in most economies. A
full briefing for policy people took place in April www.tyndall.ac.uk/publications/briefing_notes/note13.pdf

City workshop for climate change investors


City investment professionals think that corporate investment needs to include long-term issues like climate change,
concluded a Tyndall-funded stakeholder workshop with asset managers. The top three barriers to incorporating
climate change in City thinking were the quality and availability of relevant information, and the restrictedness of the
investment and asset management process. Institutional investors can also play a role in climate change policies
through managing energy use both in-house and in their extensive property portfolios. The workshop identified a
clear need for Trustees of pension funds to consider climate change in their investments - insurers Munich Re have
costed recent extreme weather events at €10 billion. The full workshop report is online
www.tyndall.ac.uk/research/theme2/final_reports/t3_25.pdf

UK needs twenty-five million whole-house makeovers to match its global warming goals
A massive cut in carbon dioxide pollution from British homes can meet Government aspirations if the necessary
polices are applied now, says a comprehensive research report that was launched in March at the Royal Society by
Oxford University’s Environmental Change Institute and the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research. The 40%
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House report sets out a far-reaching policy agenda that prescribes cuts in energy and carbon dioxide pollution from
existing and future housing. It details the actions to be taken by the Government, the European Commission,
manufacturers and householders if carbon dioxide emissions from the nation’s housing stock are going to be only
40% of today’s level, in line with Government targets. This research into greenhouse gases from domestic houses is
a component part of Decarbonising the UK, see item above. For more information
www.eci.ox.ac.uk/lowercf/40house_programme.htm

Greenhouse East scenarios for the East of England


A unique collaboration between the Tyndall Centre and East of England policymakers has produced scenarios for
reducing the region’s greenhouse gas pollution and shown policies for adapting to climate change. They hypothesise
how sectors such as housing, transport and industry that are important to the Easter Region’s economic policy might
look in 2050 after emissions reductions close to 60% have been achieved, in line with the Government’s aspirations.
The method for creating the scenarios can be rolled-out and adapted to all UK regions.
www.tyndall.ac.uk/publications/greeneast.pdf

Defining dangerous climate change special edition journal


The notion of "dangerous climate change" constitutes an important development of the 1992 United Nations
Framework Convention on Climate Change. But it persists as an ambiguous and subjective phrase about danger
with multiple definitions. It also implicitly contains the question what to do about the complex and multi-disciplinary
risk issues that climate change poses. This special issue of the journal Risk Analysis contains nine papers based
from a Tyndall funded workshop that explored perspectives of dangerous climate change from physical science,
social science, health and media angles www.blackwell-synergy.com/toc/RISK/25/6

Eight Tyndall evidences for the G8 summit


In July we published Key8 for G8 to coincide with the G8 Summit in Scotland. The booklet captures eight Tyndall
research discoveries to inform what leaders can do in response to climate change, selected from the first five years
of Tyndall research. Each of our key findings carries the Tyndall trademark of partnering natural, environmental,
social and engineering scientists with public policy debates. www.tyndall.ac.uk/publications/key8forg8.pdf

Supporting the British Council’s ZeroCarbonCity campaign


ZeroCarbonCity is the British Council’s global campaign to raise awareness about climate change and the energy
challenges facing the world’s cities and Tyndall staff have given numerous technical talks and public discussions
around climate change and what can be done. We have mostly focused our contribution on countries where demand
for energy is increasing with economic recovery, including Russia, Slovakia, Poland, Estonia, India, Sri Lanka and
Bangladesh, among others. Alex Haxeltine wrote the background Briefing Note on climate change and cities
www.britishcouncil.org/zerocarboncity.htm

Media Highlights

Tyndall Centre research featured


during 2005 a known 198 times
in UK press and online news.
This graph does not include
broadcast news. The September
spike, in particular
(Decarbonising the UK), carried
numerous interviews with TV
and radio news programmes

Forward Look

09 January - Climate change in Africa, Paris


The workshop runs from 9-12 Jan 2006 and brings together young interdisciplinary researchers primarily from the
UK, France and Africa to meet in an informal atmosphere, present their own research and learn more about the

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nature of climate-society interactions in Africa and the scope for possible future collaborations. Themes include:
Managing water resources variability; Coastal, lake and wetland-based livelihood systems; Socio-economic effects
of floods and droughts; Adapting to drought in the Sahel; Lessons for adaptation to future climate change.

10 January – Estonia Europe workshop


The British Council is sponsoring a two-day workshop in Estonia (9-10 January 2006) on the impacts in Europe of a
changing climate and strategies for adaptation and mitigation, and has invited eight younger researchers to attend
from the UK. The co-organisers are the University of Tartu (Estonia) and the Tyndall Centre (UK).

17 January – Climate change: What do the public now think of nuclear ?


Public support for nuclear power has historically been low, but what about now when it is being promoted as a low
carbon source of electricity? This meeting will launch research by the Centre for Environmental Risk at UEA and the
Tyndall Centre into what the UK public think of nuclear, renewables and fossil fuelled power in a context of climate
change.

March – EC ADAM research begins


The launch of the major ADAM research project (Adaptation and Mitigation Strategies), funded at €13m by the EC
and coordinated by Professor Mike Hulme at Tyndall Centre HQ and the University of East Anglia. ADAM runs from
2006-2009 and will lead to a better integrated understanding of the trade-offs and conflicts that exist between
European adaptation and mitigation policies. It will support EU policy development in the next stage of the
development of the Kyoto Protocol and inform the emergence of new strategies for adapting to climate change. It
comprises a consortium of 25 research organisations from 15 countries, including China and India. For further
information tyn.adam@uea.ac.uk

10 March - Climate change and Africa: linking science and policy for adaptation
This one day workshop will provide a forum to refine knowledge for policy applications in relation to African
adaptation to climate change. It is intended for researchers, development agencies and those involved in policy
advice, and is organised by the Tyndall Centre (Declan Conway and Kate Brown) and the International Institute for
Environment and Development. Further information from d.conway@uea.ac.uk

April – What are the economic costs of climate change policy?


The peer-reviewed publication Energy Journal will have a special edition on the new economics of technology policy
for climate change. See above item ‘New lessons for technology policy and climate change’.

April – Launch of Tyndall Phase II


The launch of Tyndall Centre Phase II will begin a research consortium that builds on the intellectual success and
capacity building of the Tyndall Centre. Phase II focuses research around six essential research questions for
managing and better understanding what can be done in response to climate change.

This year’s publications

A full publications list is at www.tyndall.ac.uk/publications/publications.shtml Tyndall Centre researchers are


highlighted in bold.
Technical Reports
Twenty four Tyndall funded projects delivered their final Anderson, D., Barker, T., Ekins, P., Green, K.,
reports in 2005. All reports are downloadable at Köhler, J., Warren, R., Agnolucci, P., Dewick, P.,
www.tyndall.ac.uk/publications/tech_reports/tech_report Foxon, T., Pan, H. and Winne, S. (2005) ETech+:
s.shtml Technology policy and technical change, a dynamic
global and UK approach, Tyndall Centre Technical
Report 23
Starkey, R., Anderson, K., (2005) Domestic Tradable Abu-Sharkh, S., Li, R., Markvart, T., Ross, N., Wilson,
Quotas: A policy instrument for reducing greenhouse P., Yao, R., Steemers, K., Kohler, J. and Arnold, R.
gas emissions from energy use, Tyndall Centre (2005) Microgrids: distributed on-site generation,
Technical Report 39 Tyndall Centre Technical Report 22
Pearson, S., Rees, J., Poulton, C., Dickson, M., Shepherd, D., Jickells, T., Andrews, J., Cave, R.,
Walkden, M., Hall, J., Nicholls, R., Mokrech, M., Ledoux, L, Turner, R., Watkinson, A., Aldridge, J.
Koukoulas, S. and Spencer, T. (2005) Towards an Malcolm, S, Parker, R., Young, E., Nedwell, D. (2005)
integrated coastal sediment dynamics and shoreline Integrated modelling of an estuarine environment: an
response simulator, Tyndall Centre Technical Report 38 assessment of managed realignment options, Tyndall
Sorrell, S. (2005) The contribution of energy service Centre Technical Report 21
contracting to a low carbon economy, Tyndall Centre
Technical Report 37

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Tratalos, J. A., Gill, J. A., Jones, A., Showler, D., Shackley, S., Bray, D. and Bleda, M., (2005) Developing
Bateman, A., Watkinson, A., Sugden, R., and discourse coalitions to incorporate stakeholder
Sutherland, W. (2005) Interactions between tourism, perceptions and responses within the Tyndall Integrated
breeding birds and climate change across a regional Assessment, Tyndall Centre Technical Report 19
scale, Tyndall Centre Technical Report 36
Dutton, A. G., Bristow, A. L., Page, M. W., Kelly, C. E.,
Thomas, D., Osbahr, H., Twyman, C., Adger, W. N. and Watson, J. and Tetteh, A. (2005) The Hydrogen energy
Hewitson, B., (2005) ADAPTIVE: Adaptations to climate economy: its long term role in greenhouse gas reduction,
change amongst natural resource-dependant societies in Tyndall Centre Technical Report 18
the developing world: across the Southern African climate
Few, R. (2005) Health and flood risk: A strategic
gradient, Tyndall Centre Technical Report 35
assessment of adaptation processes and policies, Tyndall
Arnell, N. W., Tompkins, E. L., Adger, W. N. and Centre Technical Report 17
Delany, K. (2005) Vulnerability to abrupt climate change
in Europe, Tyndall Centre Technical Report 34 Working Papers

Shackley, S. and Anderson, K. et al. (2005) www.tyndall.ac.uk/publications/working_papers/working_p


Decarbonising the UK: Energy for a climate conscious apers.shtml
future, Tyndall Technical Report 33
Halliday, J., Ruddell, A., Powell, J. and Peters, M. Anderson K., Bows A., (2005) An analysis of a post-
(2005) Fuel cells: Providing heat and power in the urban Kyoto climate policy model: Tyndall Working Paper 82
environment, Tyndall Centre Technical Report 32
Sorrell S., (2005) The economics of energy service
Haxeltine, A., Turnpenny, J., O’Riordan, T., and contracts: Tyndall Working Paper 81
Warren, R (2005) The creation of a pilot phase Interactive
Integrated Assessment Process for managing climate Haxeltine A., Kjellen B, Kohler J., Turnpenny J.,
futures, Tyndall Centre Technical Report 31 Warren R., Wittneben B, (2005) A framework for
Nedic, D. P., Shakoor, A. A., Strbac, G., Black, M., assessing the political economy of post-2012 global
Watson, J., and Mitchell, C. (2005) Security assessment climate regime: Tyndall Working Paper 80
of futures electricity scenarios, Tyndall Centre Technical
Report 30 Ingham A., Ma J., Ulph A., (2005) Can Adaptation and
Mitigation be complements?: Tyndall working paper 79
Shepherd, J., Challenor, P., Marsh, B., Williamson, M.,
Yool, W., Lenton, T., Huntingford, C., Ridgwell, A and Agnolucci P., (2005) Opportunism and competition in the
Raper, S. (2005) Planning and Prototyping a Climate non-Fossil fuel obligation: Tyndall working paper 78
Module for the Tyndall Integrated Assessment Model,
Tyndall Centre Technical Report 29 Barker T., Kohler J., Pan H., Warren R., Winne S.,
Lorenzoni, I., Lowe, T. and Pidgeon, N. (2005) A (2005) Avoiding dangerous climate change by inducing
strategic assessment of scientific and behavioural technological progress: scenarios using a large-scale
perspectives on ‘dangerous’ climate change, Tyndall econometric model: Tyndall Working paper 77
Centre Technical Report 28
Agnolucci P., (2005) The role of political uncertainty in the
Boardman, B., Killip, G., Darby S. and Sinden, G, (2005) Danish renewable energy market: Tyndall Working paper
Lower Carbon Futures: the 40% House Project, Tyndall 76
Centre Technical Report 27
Dearing, J.A., Plater, A.J., Richmond, N., Prandle, D. Fu G, Lawry J, Hall J, (2005) Beyond probability: new
and Wolf , J. (2005) Towards a high resolution cellular methods for representing uncertainty in projections of
model for coastal simulation (CEMCOS), Tyndall Centre future climate: Tyndall Working paper 75
Technical Report 26
Ingham A., Ma J., Ulph A., (2005) How do the costs of
Timms, P., Kelly, C., and Hodgson, F., (2005) World adaptation affect optimal mitigation when there is
transport scenarios project, Tyndall Centre Technical uncertainty irreversibility and learning?: Tyndall Working
Report 25 Paper 74
Brown, K., Few, R., Tompkins, E. L., Tsimplis, M. and
Walkden M, (2005) Coastal Process simulator scoping
Sortti, (2005) Responding to climate change: inclusive
study: Tyndall Working Paper 73
and integrated coastal analysis, Tyndall Centre Technical
Report 24
Brown K, Dessai S, Doria M, Haynes K, Lowe T.,
Dlugolecki, A. and Mansley, M. (2005) Asset Vincent K, (2005) Does tomorrow ever come? Disaster
management and climate change, Tyndall Centre narrative and public perceptions of climate change: Tyndall
Technical Report 20 Working Paper 72 a summary version of this was reported
in: Brown,K (2004) Today is the time to take environmental
action - Nature 431, 897.

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Boyd E., Gutierrez M, Chang M, (2005) Adapting small- Adger W. N., (2005) Social capital collective action and
scale CDM sinks projects to low-income communities: adaptation to climate change. Economic Geography.
Tyndall Working Paper 71 79(4): 387-404

Abu-Sharkh S., Kohler J., Li B, Markvart T, Ross N, Adger W. N., Arnell N. W., Tompkins E. L, (2005)
Steemers K, Wilson A, Arnold R, (2005) Can microgrids Adaptation to Climate Change: Perspectives across
make a major Contribution to UK energy supply?: Tyndall scales. Global Environmental Change. 15(1). (submitted
Working Paper 70 2005)

Hurlston L, Tompkins E. L, (2005) Natural hazards and Adger W. N., Mace M J, Paavola J, Razzaque J, (2005)
climate change: what knowledge is transferable?: Tyndall Justice and equity in adaptation Tiempo. 52. 19-22.
Working Paper 69
Adger W. N., Brown K, Hulme M, (2005) Redefining
Bleda M, Shackley S., (2005) The formation of belief in global environmental change. Global Environmental
climate change in business organisations: A dynamic Change 15 1-4
simulation model: Tyndall Working Paper 68
Ahern M., Kovats S., (2005) Global Health Impacts of
Turnpenny J., O'Riordan T., Haxeltine A., (2005) Floods: Epidemiologic Evidence. Epidemiol Rev 27(1): 36-
Developing regional and local scenarios for climate 46.
change mitigation and adaptation; Part 2: Scenario
creation: Tyndall Working Paper 67 Ahern M., Kovats S., (2005) Global Health Impacts of
Floods: Epidemiologic Evidence. Epidemiologic Reviews
Turnpenny J., Haxeltine A., O'Riordan T., Lorenzoni I., 27(1): 36-46.
(2005) Mapping actors involved in climate change policy
networks in the UK: Tyndall Working Paper 66 Anderson D., Leach M., (2005) Harvesting and Re-
distributing Renewable Energy: on the role of gas and
Journal Papers electricity grids to overcome intermittency through the
generation and storage of hydrogen. Energy Policy.
Adger W. N., Vincent K, (2005) Uncertainty in adaptive
capacity (IPCC Special Issue on Describing Uncertainties Arnell N. W., Jones R, Hudson D A, (2005) Climate
in Climate Change to Support Analysis of risk and Options) change scenarios from a regional climate model:
Comptes Rendus Geoscience 337 Estimating change in runoff in southern Africa. Journal of
Geophysical Research-Atmospheres. 108(D16): art. no.-
Adger W. N., Arnell N. W., (2005) Adaptation to Climate 4519.
Change: Perspectives across Scales. Global
Environmental Change 15(2) Haxeltine A., Winne S., Kersten W, Berk M, (2005)
Towards a long-term European strategy on climate change
Adger W. N., Arnell N. W., (2005) Adapting to climate policy, Climate Policy, 5 (2005) 244-250
change: perspectives across scales (editorial). Global
Environmental Change 15(2): 75-76. Brooks N, Adger W. N., (2005) The determinants of
vulnerability and adaptive capacity at the national level and
Adger W. N., Arnell N. W., (2005) Successful adaptation the implications for adaptation. Global Environmental
to climate change across scales. Global Environmental Change 15(2): 151-163.
Change 15(2): 77-86.
Dessai S, Lu X, (2005) Limited sensitivity analysis of
Adger W. N., Barnett J, (2005) Compensation for climate regional climate change probabilities for the 21st century.
change must meet needs: Correspondence. Nature(436): J. Geophys. Research 110
328
Dessai S, Lu X, (2005) On the role of climate scenarios
Adger W. N., Brown K, (2005) The political economy of for adaptation planning. Global Environmental Change
cross-scale networks in resource co-management. 15(2): 87-97.
Ecology and Society 10:9..
Corbera E., Dessai S, Haxeltine A., Schipper EL,
Adger W. N., Hughes TP, (2005) Social-ecological (2005) Challenges and Outcomes at the Ninth Session of
resilience to coastal disasters. Science (309): 1036-1039 the Conference of the Parties to the United Nations
Framework Convention on Climate Change; International
Adger W. N., Vincent K, (2005) Uncertainty in adaptive Environmental Agreements vol.5 pp.105-124
capacity (IPCC Special Issue on ‘Describing Uncertainties
in Climate Change to Support Analysis of Risk and Fish M, Cote I, (2005) Predicting the impact of sea level
Options’). Comptes Rendus Geoscience 337((4),): 399- rise on Caribbean sea turtle nesting habitat. Conservation
410. Biology 19(2): 482-491

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Gardner T A, Cote I, (2005) Hurricanes and Caribbean Tompkins E. L, (2005) Planning for climate change in
coral reefs: immediate impacts, recovery trajectories and small islands: Insights from national hurricane
contribution to long-term coral decline. Ecology 86(1): 174- preparedness in the Cayman Islands. Global
184. Environmental Change 15(2): 139-149.

Gibbons J, Ramsden S, (2005) Robustness of Tompkins E. L, Adger W. N., (2005) Defining a response
recommended farm plans in England under climate capacity for climate change. Environmental Science and
change: A Monte Carlo simulation. Climatic Change 68(1- Policy 8(6): 562–571
2): 113-133.
Tsimplis M, Woolf D, (2005) Towards a vulnerability
Hertin J, Barlow J, Berkhout F, Gann D M, (2005) assessment of the UK and northern European coasts: the
Climate change and the UK house building sector: role of regional climate variability. Philosophical
perceptions impacts and adaptive capacity. Building Transactions of the Royal Society 363: 1329-1358.
Research and Information 31: 278-290
Upham P., Butlin S, (2005) Allocating aircraft carbon
Hulme M, (2005) Global warming. Progress in Physical dioxide emissions to airports on the basis of passenger
Geography, Volume, 24 (4) Pp. 591-599 share: scenarios for Manchester Airport. World Transport
Policy and Practice 11(1): 5-12.
Jickells T, (2005) External inputs as a contributor to
eutrophication problems. Journal of Sea Research 54: 58– Watkinson A., Gill J., Hulme M, (2005) Flying in the face
69 of climate change: a review of climate change past present
and future. Ibis. 146: 4-10.
Jones P, Mitchell C, (2005) An improved method of
contructing a database of monthly climate observations Books and Chapters
and associated high-resolution grids; International Journal
of Climate Policy vol. 25 pp.693-712
Adger W. N., Huq S, (2005) Fairness and Climate
Kundewicz Z, Schellnhuber H-J., (2005) From Kyoto via Change. Cambridge, MIT Press.
Moscow to nowhere? Climate Policy 4:81-90
Adger W. N., Huq S, (2005) Towards Justice in Adaptation
Miozzo M, Dewick P, (2005) Globalization and the to Climate Change. Fairness and Climate Change. W. N.
environment: the long-term effects of technology on the Adger, S. Huq, M. J. Mace and J. Paavola. Cambridge,
international division of labor and energy demand. Futures. MIT Press.

Naess L O, Bang G, (2005) Institutional adaptation to Adger W. N., Paavola J, (2005) A Framework for
climate change: Flood responses at the municipal level in Analysing Justice in Adaptation. Fairness and Climate
Norway. Global Environmental Change 15(2): 125-138. Change. W. N. Adger, S. Huq, M. J. Mace and J. Paavola.
Cambridge, MIT Press.
Nicholson-Cole S, (2005) Representing climate change
futures: a critique on the use of images for visual Adger W. N., (2005) Governing natural resources:
communication. Computers, environment and urban institutional adaptation and resilience. In F. Berkhout M.
systems 29: 255-273. Leach and I. Scoones (Eds.) Negotiating Environmental
Change: New Perspectives from Social Science. 193-208.
Paavola J, Adger W. N., (2005) Institutional ecological Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.
economics. Ecological Economics 53(3): 353–368.
Adger W. N., Vincent K, (2005) Uncertainty in adaptive
Paavola J, Adger W. N., (2005) Fair Adaptation to capacity (IPCC Special Issue on ‘Describing Uncertainties
Climate Change. Ecological Economics 53(3) in Climate Change to Support Analysis of Risk and
Options’). Comptes Rendus Geoscience 337:pp 399-410
Robbins M, (2005) Agricultural sinks in the developing
world: Different disciplines and different perspectives. Brooks N, Adger W. N., (2005) Assessing and enhancing
Environmental Sciences 2(1): 15-19. adaptive capacity. Adaptation Policy Frameworks for
Climate Change: Developing Strategies, Policies and
Shackley S., Maclachlan C, (2005) The public perception Measures. B. In Lim, E. Spanger-Siegfried, I. Burton, E.
of carbon dioxide capture and storage in the UK: results Malone and S. Huq. Cambridge, Cambridge University
from focus groups and a survey. Climate Policy 4: 377- Press: pp 165-181.
398.
Coll J., Gibb S, (2005) Modelling future climates in the
Thomas D, Twyman C, (2005) Equity and justice in Scottish Highlands - an approach integrating local climatic
climate change adaptation amongst natural-resource- variables and regional climate model outputs. Mountains of
dependent societies. Global Environmental Change 15(2): Northern Europe: Conservation, Management, People and
115-124. Nature. D. B. A. Thompson, M. F. Price and C. A.
Galbraith. Edinburgh, HMSO: 103-119.

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Corbera E., (2005) Bringing development into carbon Levermore G, Gadian A, (2005) Duct loop systems;
forestry markets: Challenges and outcomes of small-scale savings and performance. ASHRAE Meeting Symposium,
carbon forestry activities in Mexico. In D. Murdiyarso and Orlando, USA.
H. Herawati (eds) Carbon Forestry: Who will benefit?
Center for International Forestry Research, Bogor, Paavola J, (2005) Knowledge or Participation for
Indonesia. Sustainability? Science, Pluralism, and Governance of
Adaptation to Climate Change. Knowledge for
Dearing J., (2005) Towards a High Resoluaion Cellular Sustainability Transition: The Challenge for Social
Model for Coastal Simulation (CEMCOS). Philosophical Science. F. Biermann, S. Campe and K. Jacob. Berlin,
Transactions of the Royal Society of London Series a- Springer.(in press)
Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences.
Paavola J, (2005) Vulnerability, Adaptation and Justice in
Dearing J., (2005) Integration of world and earth systems: Tanzania. Fairness and Climate Change. W. N. Adger, S.
heritage and foresight. World System History and Global Huq, M. J. Mace and . Paavola. Cambridge, MIT Press (in
Environmental Change. A. Hornborg, Columbia Press. (in press)
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Paavola J, (2005) Water, Poverty and Climate Change in
Hulme M, Doherty R, (2005) Global warming and Morogoro, Tanzania. Fresh Water. V. Grover. Delhi,
African climate change: a re-assessment. Climate Oxford and IBH Publishing (in press)
change and Africa. P.S.Low. Cambridge, UK,
Cambridge University Press,: 416pp. Paavola J, (2005) Environmental Justice and Equity.
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Broad-Scale Climate and Ecosystem Classes by
Means of Neural Maps. Self-Organising Maps:
Applications in Geographic Information Sciences. P.
Agrarwal and A. Skupin. New York, Wiley & Sons.

The Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research undertakes integrated, trans-disciplinary research into the
consequences of climate change for society and seeks, evaluates and facilitates sustainable solutions. We bring
together climate scientists, social scientists, engineers and economists from nine academic institutions around the
UK in a unique collaborative research consortium.

The Tyndall Centre’s headquarters are at the School of Environmental Sciences at the University of East Anglia
(UEA), with two regional offices at the University of Manchester Institute of Science and Technology (UMIST), and
the University of Southampton and Southampton Oceanography Centre (SOC).

Please send your feedback to Mr Asher Minns, Tyndall’s Communication Manager a.minns@uea.ac.uk, Tel:+44
(0)1865 275867 or 07880 547843

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