Resultados

Ajuste de una serie de datos a la distribución Log-Pearson tipo III

Serie de datos X:

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N° X
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1 91.7
2 68.3
3 139.4
4 96.7
5 107.7
6 77.7
7 154.8
8 96.5
9 215.3
10 172.0
11 140.7
12 72.7
13 135.1
14 75.6
15 140.5
16 136.2
17 103.5
18 119.5
19 117.7
20 94.6
21 171.4
22 101.7
23 114.7
24 98.2
25 97.4
26 93.0
27 90.7
28 79.7
29 80.9
30 97.2
31 93.1
32 86.1
33 92.4
34 129.8
35 173.6
36 159.2
37 146.7
38 95.0
39 123.1
40 101.3
41 121.5
42 144.1
43 119.5
44 109.6
45 119.0
46 153.2
 47 115.4
48 134.8
49 121.1
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Cálculos del ajuste Smirnov Kolmogorov:

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m X P(X) G(Y) Ordinario G(Y) Mom Lineal Delta
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1 68.3 0.0200 0.0181 0.0181 0.0019
2 72.7 0.0400 0.0351 0.0358 0.0049
3 75.6 0.0600 0.0511 0.0524 0.0089
4 77.7 0.0800 0.0651 0.0669 0.0149
5 79.7 0.1000 0.0805 0.0829 0.0195
6 80.9 0.1200 0.0907 0.0934 0.0293
7 86.1 0.1400 0.1426 0.1468 0.0026
8 90.7 0.1600 0.1978 0.2032 0.0378
9 91.7 0.1800 0.2108 0.2163 0.0308
10 92.4 0.2000 0.2201 0.2257 0.0201
11 93.0 0.2200 0.2281 0.2338 0.0081
12 93.1 0.2400 0.2294 0.2352 0.0106
13 94.6 0.2600 0.2500 0.2559 0.0100
14 95.0 0.2800 0.2555 0.2615 0.0245
15 96.5 0.3000 0.2766 0.2827 0.0234
16 96.7 0.3200 0.2795 0.2856 0.0405
17 97.2 0.3400 0.2866 0.2928 0.0534
18 97.4 0.3600 0.2895 0.2956 0.0705
19 98.2 0.3800 0.3010 0.3072 0.0790
20 101.3 0.4000 0.3462 0.3523 0.0538
21 101.7 0.4200 0.3521 0.3582 0.0679
22 103.5 0.4400 0.3786 0.3846 0.0614
23 107.7 0.4600 0.4402 0.4454 0.0198
24 109.6 0.4800 0.4675 0.4724 0.0125
25 114.7 0.5000 0.5384 0.5420 0.0384
26 115.4 0.5200 0.5478 0.5512 0.0278
27 117.7 0.5400 0.5779 0.5806 0.0379
28 119.0 0.5600 0.5944 0.5967 0.0344
29 119.5 0.5800 0.6006 0.6028 0.0206
30 119.5 0.6000 0.6006 0.6028 0.0006
31 121.1 0.6200 0.6202 0.6219 0.0002
32 121.5 0.6400 0.6250 0.6266 0.0150
33 123.1 0.6600 0.6437 0.6449 0.0163
34 129.8 0.6800 0.7153 0.7145 0.0353
35 134.8 0.7000 0.7611 0.7592 0.0611
36 135.1 0.7200 0.7637 0.7617 0.0437
37 136.2 0.7400 0.7729 0.7706 0.0329
38 139.4 0.7600 0.7979 0.7950 0.0379
39 140.5 0.7800 0.8059 0.8029 0.0259
40 140.7 0.8000 0.8074 0.8043 0.0074
41 144.1 0.8200 0.8304 0.8268 0.0104
42 146.7 0.8400 0.8463 0.8424 0.0063
 43 153.2 0.8600 0.8805 0.8760 0.0205
44 154.8 0.8800 0.8877 0.8832 0.0077
45 159.2 0.9000 0.9057 0.9010 0.0057
46 171.4 0.9200 0.9423 0.9378 0.0223
47 172.0 0.9400 0.9437 0.9393 0.0037
48 173.6 0.9600 0.9473 0.9429 0.0127
49 215.3 0.9800 0.9906 0.9886 0.0106
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Ajuste con momentos ordinarios:
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Como el delta teórico 0.07899, es menor que el delta tabular 0.1943. Los datos se ajustan a
la distribución Log-Pearson tipo 3, con un nivel de significación del 5%

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Los 3 parámetros de la distribución Log-Pearson tipo 3:
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Con momentos ordinarios:
Parámetro de localización (Xo)= 2.4612
Parámetro de forma (gamma)= 78.3338
Parámetro de escala (beta)= 0.0289

Con momentos lineales:

Parámetro de localización (Xol)= 2.9098
Parámetro de forma (gammal)= 48.5537
Parámetro de escala (betal)= 0.0374

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Caudal de diseño:
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El caudal de diseño para un periodo de retorno de 2 años, es 147.25