Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
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OBJETIVOS:
2.1.OBJETIVO GENERAL
1. Determinar el análisis de consistencia de las Estaciones
AÑO ENERO FEBRERO MARZO ABRIL MAYO JUNIO JULIO AGOSTO SEPTIEMBRE OCTUBRE NOVIEMBRE DICIEMBRE
1981 105.20 345.50 259.90 105.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 0.00 254.80 371.20 59.00
1982 143.00 135.60 20.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.60 40.90 11.40
1983 71.40 101.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.40 58.80
1984 688.20 393.40 293.70 40.41 0.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.20 76.00
1985 126.20 79.00 71.60 30.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.65 95.65
1986 42.39 61.32 80.95 82.10 21.54 0.18 0.00 3.81 17.43 16.88 33.36 112.99
1987 170.10 100.30 65.10 26.70 8.50 0.00 4.40 2.80 16.85 5.80 47.50 122.74
1988 189.00 58.50 100.70 123.30 15.40 0.50 0.00 1.60 9.20 40.60 33.50 68.10
1989 214.70 167.90 100.80 31.40 5.20 3.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 32.00 11.50 12.40
1990 106.30 42.70 53.20 21.20 4.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 11.60 119.20 71.50 65.10
1991 80.30 81.80 145.90 73.30 71.40 0.00 0.00 2.50 28.40 68.20 35.10 62.10
1992 7.70 49.90 63.70 52.30 7.20 5.00 0.00 17.70 0.00 43.00 18.50 31.00
1993 190.60 202.00 224.80 181.60 17.90 0.00 4.50 10.00 12.00 72.00 129.30 88.60
1994 200.70 150.40 158.00 92.20 26.10 0.00 0.00 4.00 39.00 7.80 45.10 94.00
1995 75.80 111.50 133.50 79.50 18.50 2.50 0.00 0.00 9.30 21.30 72.00 104.60
1996 118.60 205.50 144.00 65.80 11.50 0.00 0.00 1.50 1.50 37.00 41.50 76.90
1997 83.70 174.90 58.80 51.00 6.00 0.00 0.00 2.80 28.00 27.80 46.70 164.30
1998 230.10 179.70 181.40 55.10 9.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.50 53.20 25.30 76.00
1999 124.10 270.20 136.00 49.50 14.80 3.20 0.00 0.00 11.50 25.70 24.00 128.40
2000 92.00 207.00 149.30 49.70 41.50 0.00 0.00 16.30 14.50 70.90 22.50 137.90
2001 229.70 139.80 266.10 46.30 6.00 0.00 2.50 0.00 37.20 59.00 134.10 96.50
2002 67.20 174.60 190.40 103.70 12.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 108.50 76.90 115.30
2003 102.00 78.70 130.60 69.00 3.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.30 15.80 126.50
2004 23.40 72.50 107.60 36.70 0.00 6.50 0.00 0.00 44.90 50.30 83.40 118.00
2005 67.00 84.90 172.30 50.50 8.00 0.00 0.00 3.50 0.00 22.00 15.50 110.80
2006 100.40 138.60 181.20 99.00 4.50 4.50 0.00 0.00 20.00 31.00 66.00 138.40
2007 108.40 53.50 157.20 119.20 20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.20 16.70 46.50
2008 191.60 148.80 92.20 71.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 55.50 39.00 43.50
2009 112.10 177.60 162.80 105.80 21.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.00 46.00 93.20
2010 77.00 91.40 103.60 47.20 0.00 4.50 0.00 0.00 19.00 24.50 42.40 136.80
PROMEDIO 137.96 142.62 133.54 65.32 11.85 1.94 0.45 3.88 11.70 46.87 57.35 89.05
AÑO ENERO FEBRERO MARZO ABRIL MAYO JUNIO JULIO AGOSTO SEPTIEMBRE OCTUBRE NOVIEMBRE DICIEMBRE
1981 224.80 323.80 325.10 117.30 24.30 21.70 7.70 61.90 61.70 103.70 287.70 146.90
1982 66.80 142.64 25.70 0.00 101.50 65.40 30.20 20.00 135.60 415.80 212.30 112.00
1983 58.40 18.00 124.70 5.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.60 2.20 3.00 0.80 14.80
1984 77.30 27.00 71.20 63.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.40 34.40 81.40 60.50
1985 94.00 83.10 97.40 78.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.90 189.50 76.80 28.70 150.10
1986 45.50 64.50 100.00 128.60 70.60 1.10 0.00 12.30 75.10 35.70 57.50 177.30
1987 259.60 127.40 202.00 106.30 21.40 0.00 0.00 3.00 72.60 54.40 191.70 192.60
1988 319.90 166.70 177.20 214.40 67.60 13.60 0.00 7.80 40.70 117.10 48.80 71.80
1989 213.67 172.11 147.40 98.81 41.88 15.44 0.00 41.15 58.23 160.75 47.66 12.72
1990 33.20 91.50 80.20 21.40 5.50 4.60 0.40 9.50 5.60 46.60 72.40 23.70
1991 86.19 86.05 133.10 78.20 44.70 10.00 0.00 30.20 26.70 127.30 63.40 68.90
1992 49.20 52.70 95.40 54.00 12.60 0.00 12.70 8.40 4.40 120.60 47.30 35.80
1993 156.90 143.80 181.20 195.00 37.60 18.20 11.80 4.60 106.50 144.50 112.30 208.20
1994 280.90 250.90 221.00 109.70 57.60 11.30 6.40 12.70 53.60 81.30 75.90 111.00
1995 131.80 99.00 174.40 54.60 52.10 5.80 10.00 21.20 33.80 70.40 115.30 184.90
1996 142.30 140.20 154.90 119.20 47.60 7.70 0.90 9.90 40.00 78.50 71.80 85.70
1997 142.50 159.00 45.30 45.60 28.90 1.80 18.60 21.00 47.40 66.30 87.70 234.10
1998 256.20 200.50 190.50 129.00 23.60 22.10 0.00 9.90 17.80 127.40 40.90 79.90
1999 198.80 286.20 196.70 82.20 29.20 29.90 11.00 7.80 92.90 46.30 85.40 105.90
2000 135.30 188.90 211.50 43.70 98.40 6.50 6.90 18.70 60.20 67.70 34.70 172.60
2001 234.90 158.40 214.10 28.10 42.40 7.50 18.70 0.50 72.10 110.70 160.20 107.50
2002 89.80 220.40 284.80 87.90 28.30 10.50 6.20 4.10 39.00 221.50 135.50 131.80
2003 143.00 137.50 169.30 160.30 43.30 13.90 19.50 14.20 28.50 73.70 56.20 157.80
2004 85.30 358.20 82.80 114.10 57.50 16.80 45.10 5.20 26.90 131.70 169.70 136.90
2005 148.50 119.40 270.70 96.00 69.90 6.90 14.50 20.70 21.70 98.60 82.00 207.70
2006 95.10 155.60 329.60 320.10 42.20 36.60 6.10 7.60 39.00 63.10 192.80 240.30
2007 142.50 159.00 45.30 45.60 28.90 1.80 18.60 21.00 47.40 66.30 87.70 234.10
2008 256.20 200.50 190.50 129.00 23.60 22.10 0.00 9.90 17.80 127.40 40.90 79.90
2009 308.20 220.40 156.80 238.40 13.80 6.50 9.70 10.20 8.30 159.30 119.60 109.50
2010 68.40 45.00 156.20 11.50 22.20 8.00 1.30 2.30 32.40 68.00 221.30 301.90
PROMEDIO 151.51 153.28 161.83 99.21 37.91 12.19 8.54 13.51 49.03 103.29 100.99 131.89
AÑO ENERO FEBRERO MARZO ABRIL MAYO JUNIO JULIO AGOSTO SEPTIEMBRE OCTUBRE NOVIEMBRE DICIEMBRE
1981 139.90 176.00 187.20 52.00 3.20 0.00 0.00 16.40 9.70 44.20 141.60 81.80
1982 158.40 163.30 94.60 43.20 4.40 0.00 9.20 15.50 14.90 163.10 128.90 108.20
1983 124.40 39.70 113.40 74.50 10.00 15.20 2.10 0.00 9.90 71.00 93.40 59.70
1984 98.70 229.40 227.80 90.10 63.00 21.00 13.90 0.00 44.90 154.40 88.60 82.70
1985 40.20 114.60 111.00 128.20 47.10 2.10 13.50 0.00 73.10 45.50 44.00 108.70
1986 219.50 136.90 73.80 0.00 3.50 0.00 0.00 2.00 41.60 50.10 74.40 128.30
1987 175.30 125.10 76.10 74.60 7.00 0.00 0.00 6.20 57.90 56.20 112.20 183.30
1988 154.60 133.50 89.10 114.70 33.10 2.50 0.00 21.70 46.00 83.40 96.30 70.50
1989 177.40 140.30 137.50 82.30 33.20 7.10 0.00 22.90 38.36 137.80 40.60 9.40
1990 110.10 42.70 75.30 49.30 33.00 3.30 0.00 4.80 9.50 132.50 117.60 61.40
1991 57.60 72.00 0.00 9.40 42.10 0.00 4.70 0.00 0.00 61.50 76.00 32.90
1992 2.30 71.00 112.70 49.80 29.90 18.20 0.00 13.10 49.20 77.00 44.50 46.70
1993 150.60 132.00 247.00 155.60 28.50 0.00 5.40 0.00 47.40 152.00 128.30 181.80
1994 135.50 144.60 253.90 112.90 40.10 3.80 0.60 4.80 36.90 52.00 56.40 82.50
1995 46.40 98.40 144.30 128.90 39.00 0.60 0.00 4.50 18.40 75.20 79.80 124.80
1996 135.20 161.00 208.80 62.10 28.20 0.00 0.00 6.80 17.80 92.00 43.20 76.90
1997 106.50 142.50 44.20 49.90 16.20 0.00 0.00 1.70 23.60 49.30 77.70 200.50
1998 246.20 203.40 173.30 138.40 30.60 15.60 0.00 5.80 38.80 150.40 26.60 39.40
1999 132.20 213.50 129.10 104.30 62.20 9.30 0.00 0.70 62.50 47.90 96.40 111.70
2000 59.50 189.50 124.50 90.60 48.80 0.00 0.00 29.20 31.70 42.50 39.00 164.80
2001 220.70 123.20 259.10 48.20 30.60 13.90 0.00 0.10 84.40 66.80 172.40 56.00
2002 87.30 99.10 175.30 58.80 24.70 7.70 0.00 0.00 22.00 0.00 155.30 157.00
2003 116.20 109.00 163.50 66.20 27.10 8.90 6.40 0.00 2.90 57.40 39.80 92.90
2004 47.00 126.60 119.40 84.60 24.60 4.50 0.80 0.00 59.60 105.20 110.00 0.00
2005 95.70 73.70 200.80 69.90 25.60 0.00 0.00 9.50 18.10 45.70 0.00 120.00
2006 171.90 87.10 224.60 173.30 33.00 8.30 0.00 2.30 4.00 80.40 113.20 47.60
2007 118.40 124.90 151.70 88.80 27.90 6.30 2.10 7.50 33.40 84.10 89.10 99.50
2008 111.60 116.00 121.90 75.00 7.90 5.60 13.60 11.40 13.80 144.20 30.80 54.20
2009 232.70 120.20 327.50 121.20 68.50 4.00 0.00 16.40 14.60 147.20 132.10 163.60
2010 104.40 92.80 0.00 85.40 25.30 8.70 1.30 6.30 37.90 49.70 92.00 167.90
PROMEDIO 125.88 126.73 145.58 82.74 29.94 5.55 2.45 6.99 32.10 83.96 84.67 97.16
HIISTOGRAMA DE PRECIPITACIÓN VS TIEMPO DE LA ESTACIÓN CHIQUIÁN(mm)
800
700
600
Precipitación Pluvial (mm)
500
400
300
200
100
0
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350
Tiempo (meses)
Figura 1. Histograma
Fuente Propia
HIISTOGRAMA DE PRECIPITACIÓN VS TIEMPO DE LA ESTACIÓN MILPO(mm)
450
400
350
Precipitacion pluvial (mm) Estación Milpo
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
1 10 19 28 37 46 55 64 73 82 91 00 09 18 27 36 45 54 63 72 81 90 99 08 17 26 35 44 53 62 71 80 89 98 07 16 25 34 43 52
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3
Tiempo meses
Figura 2. Histograma
Fuente Propia
300
250
Precipitación Pluvial (mm)
200
150
100
50
0
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350
Tiempo (meses)
0
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350
Tiempo (meses)
Figura 3. Histograma
Fuente Propia
DETERMINACIÓN DEL SALTO EN LA ESTACION DE CHIQUIÁN
700
PRECIPITACIÓN PLUVIAL (mm) ESTACION CHIQUIAN
600
500
400
300
200
Salto
100
0
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350
Axis Title
Figura 4. Histograma
Fuente Propia
ANÁLISIS DE DOBLE MASA
ESTACIÓN 1 ESTACIÓN 2 ESTACIÓN 3 Promedio de la Prom. Acum. de
Total Acumulado Total Acumulado Total Acumulado 3 Estaciones las 3 Estaciones
1551.20 1551.20 1706.60 1706.60 852.00 852.00 1369.93 1369.93
421.30 1972.50 1327.94 3034.54 903.70 1755.70 884.31 2254.25
279.80 2252.30 228.10 3262.64 613.30 2369.00 373.73 2627.98
1569.91 3822.21 428.50 3691.14 1114.50 3483.50 1037.64 3665.62
419.50 4241.72 806.80 4497.94 728.00 4211.50 651.43 4317.05
472.94 4714.66 768.20 5266.14 837.21 5048.71 692.78 5009.83
570.79 5285.44 1231.00 6497.14 873.90 5922.61 891.90 5901.73
640.40 5925.84 1245.60 7742.74 845.40 6768.01 910.47 6812.20
581.90 6507.74 1009.82 8752.55 826.86 7594.87 806.19 7618.39
496.80 7004.54 394.60 9147.15 639.50 8234.37 510.30 8128.69
649.00 7653.54 754.74 9901.89 480.36 8714.73 628.03 8756.72
296.00 7949.54 493.10 10394.99 514.40 9229.13 434.50 9191.22
1133.30 9082.84 1320.60 11715.59 1228.60 10457.73 1227.50 10418.72
817.30 9900.14 1272.30 12987.89 924.00 11381.73 1004.53 11423.25
628.50 10528.64 953.30 13941.19 760.30 12142.03 780.70 12203.95
703.80 11232.44 898.70 14839.89 832.00 12974.03 811.50 13015.45
644.00 11876.44 898.20 15738.09 712.10 13686.13 751.43 13766.89
820.40 12696.84 1097.80 16835.89 1068.50 14754.63 995.57 14762.45
787.40 13484.24 1172.30 18008.19 969.80 15724.43 976.50 15738.95
801.60 14285.84 1045.10 19053.29 820.10 16544.53 888.93 16627.89
1017.20 15303.04 1155.10 20208.39 1075.40 17619.93 1082.57 17710.45
864.10 16167.14 1259.80 21468.19 977.08 18597.01 1033.66 18744.12
553.40 16720.54 1017.20 22485.39 690.30 19287.31 753.63 19497.75
543.30 17263.84 1230.20 23715.59 783.47 20070.78 852.32 20350.07
534.50 17798.34 1156.60 24872.19 728.85 20799.64 806.65 21156.72
783.60 18581.94 1528.10 26400.29 945.70 21745.34 1085.80 22242.52
569.70 19151.64 898.20 27298.49 833.70 22579.04 767.20 23009.72
644.60 19796.24 1097.80 28396.29 706.00 23285.04 816.13 23825.86
733.00 20529.24 1360.70 29756.99 1348.00 24633.04 1147.23 24973.09
546.40 21075.64 938.50 30695.49 817.41 25450.44 767.44 25740.53
20000.00
E1
15000.00 E2
E3
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5000.00
0.00
0.00 5000.00 10000.00 15000.00 20000.00 25000.00 30000.00 35000.00
Promedio acumulado
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15000.00 15000.00
10000.00 10000.00
PRUEBA DE MEDIAS:
Alfa a = 0.05 G.L. = 358.00 Sp = 75.44 Sd = 12.65
Como / Tc / > Tt ==> P1 es diferente P2, se concluye que existe salto en la media
Tc = 2.9484
Tt = 1.966613
PRUEBA DE VARIANZAS:
Como Fc > Ft ==> S1 diferente de S2, se concluye que existe salto en la varianza
DCM estación 1
30000.00
25000.00
20000.00
15000.00
10000.00
5000.00
0.00
0.00 5000.00 10000.00 15000.00 20000.00 25000.00
Col umn I
n= 360
PTm = 54.40
Pt= 180.5
R= 0.0491074
Bm = 0.0285861
Am = 49.242937
300.00
Precipitacion total mensual (mm)
250.00
200.00
150.00
100.00
0.00
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350
Tiempo (meses)