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does not represent a formal or official view of Goldman Sachs as the views
expressed herein are solely those of the author(s), which may differ from those of
Global Investment Research
All information and ideas within is based on current advice from consultation papers and proposed
banking regulation framework changes which have not been finalized, hence the analysis within is
subject to change and may be different to what the final advice is
May 2010
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Table of Contents GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
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I EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
IV IMPLEMENTATION TIMELINE
V APPENDIX
State of the Market
Proposed Changes to Basel II Framework
Source Documents
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I- Executive Summary
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Executive Summary
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Executive Summary
In the wake of the financial crisis, the banking industry finds itself in a state of unprecedented change, with regulatory overhaul at
almost every level of the financial system
In an attempt to reduce the likelihood of future bailouts, regulators are pressing for significant reform, particularly as it relates
to bank capital, liquidity management, accounting and disclosure. These changes are likely to have a lasting and profound
impact on the banking industry
Changes in the
Regulatory Proposed reforms by the Basel Committee will likely lead to increased risk weights on the asset side and higher-quality
Environment capital on the liability side
Simultaneously, regulators are working on harmonizing capital requirements for European insurers through the introduction of
Solvency II
Potential future accounting changes may simplify classification and measurement, but may lead to increased P&L and balance
sheet volatility going forward as some assets no longer qualify for Available for Sale and Amortized Cost treatment
Since the proposed regulatory changes define capital instruments more strictly (i.e. innovative Tier 1 capital is being phased
out), banks will more likely focus on the risk weighted asset (RWA) side to optimize their capital ratios
Given the surge in asset prices brought about by improving market sentiment and support from government programs, banks
and insurers may seek to reduce exposures to asset classes that have a comparatively less favorable capital and accounting
Potential treatment
Impacts
Additionally, some price support for these assets may seize as government programs are being phased out
Impending regulatory and accounting changes create significant uncertainty regarding the future efficiency of holding certain
existing portfolios. As a result, banks and insurers may change their investment / divestment behavior with potentially
significant knock-on effects across asset markets
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Banking Regulation Changes
Legislative Environment
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BCBS only issues recommendations on banking laws and regulations. It is up to individual countries to transform these into law.
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Banking Regulation Changes
Current Regulatory Framework I
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Total Capital
Credit Risk (Banking Book) + Market Risk (mostly Trading Book) + Operational Risk
Capital held against the risk of entity- Risk of losses arising from movements in Capital held against the risk of loss from
specific losses on positions (credit and market prices of positions held in the failed internal processes, people,
equities) held in the banking book trading book systems, or external events
Basel II*
Basel III
Asset Class RW Rating Corporates Securitizations Basel proposals increase RWs in the banking book:
July proposals (effective December 31, 2010):
Corporate 100% AAA – AA 20% 20%
Resecuritization RWs captured separately from
Bank 20% A 50% 50% securitization RWs (up to 200% increase)
December proposals (effective Dec 31, 2012):
OECD Sovereign 0% BBB 100% 100%
Greater charges for financial exposures
BB 100% 350% Potentially higher probabilities of default for
Internal Ratings-Based (IRB) banks
B and below 150% Deduct Stricter definitions of the capital base
* Sample charges under Basel II for a Standardized bank
Supplementary risk measures addressing
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leverage and liquidity
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investment
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Banking Regulation Changes
Current Regulatory Framework II
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Credit Risk (Banking Book) + Market Risk (mostly Trading Book) + Operational Risk
Trading Book Capital Requirement (Interest Rate, Equity, FX and Commodities Risk)
Basel I*
Basel II*
Basel III
The Basel II market risk framework remains unchanged from Basel I: The July proposal revamps the Market Risk Framework:
General market risk: risk due to changes in broad market Introduction of a stressed VaR requirement:
parameters CapitalGMR = Max[ VaRt-1, mc • VaRavg(60) ]
Position Risk
The capital charge is calculated as in the banking book using: The December proposal increases capital held for counterparty risk:
PD and LGD: as modelled in the banking book The Effective EPE becomes the higher of the currently calculated value
Exposure at Default (EAD): the bank models an Expected and a value based on data from a period of stress, and the floor on the
Effective Expected Positive Exposure (Effective EPE) of the scaling factor is increased (α ≥ 1.4)
derivative and multiplies it by the scaling factor Alpha (α ≥ 1.2) to An additional capital charge to address CVA risk is incorporated
adjust for correlation, wrong-way risk, etc. More onerous modelling (longer holding period) for large netting sets
Goldman Sachs does not provide tax, accounting, regulatory or legal advice to our clients * Capital requirements for a bank computing market risk
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potential charges
not be relied upon as such. We are not soliciting
investment underbased
any action the Internal
upon Models
it. Approach
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Banking Regulation Changes
‟Basel III‟ Likely to Affect Composition of Both Assets and Liabilities
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Key Changes on the Asset / RWA Side Key Changes on the Liability / Capital Side
Trading book assets now also subject to a The Net Stable Funding Ratio and
stressed value-at-risk (VaR) capital charge requirements for increased liquidity
Trading Book
Additional charges for counterparty risk also monitoring imply a greater focus on
Assets
apply to derivatives not cleared centrally the debt maturity term structure
Trading Book
Debt
Senior Debt
Punitive specific risk charges apply to illiquid The capital proposals aim to improve
securitization positions held in the trading book the quality, consistency and
Securitization
Correlation trading positions are carved out but a transparency of the capital base by
Exposures
more involved Comprehensive Risk Charge simplifying and harmonizing the rules
replaces the Incremental Risk Charge
Tier 3 Tier 3 capital is abolished
Increased holdings of highly liquid securities to Highly Liquid
comply with the Liquidity Coverage Ratio Securities Tier 2 or gone concern capital is
Tier 2 harmonized (subordinated with
(Z%) original maturity of at least 5 years)
Capital charges for resecuritizations increase Securitization
Exposures
Capital
Banking Book
Higher capital charges for financial exposures in Innovative capital is abolished, and
Tier 1 Tier 1s must have non-cumulative,
the banking book as correlation assumptions Financial
(Y%) deferrable distributions
increase by a factor of 1.25 Exposures
The proposed capital rules call for a series of regulatory Median Impact on Core Tier 1
deductions from Core Tier 1 capital that are meant to
Median Impact on Total Capital
ensure that this type of capital is truly loss-absorbing
These changes will likely have a large effect on reported
Nordic
Core Tier 1 ratios
The key drivers include (0.1)%
(0.9)%
Deduction of insurance subsidiaries: investments
in financial institutions outside the scope of regulatory
consolidation are deducted from Core Tier 1
Minority interest: minority interests are eligible for UK
inclusion in Tier 1 but not Core Tier 1 capital
Deferred tax assets: deferred tax assets are not
Benelux
recognized as capital as their realization relies on the (1.3)%
future profitability of the bank
(3.7)%
Unrealized available-for-sale losses: unrealized
France
Germany (1.9)% (1.2)%
accounting losses can no longer be added back for
regulatory capital purposes (only relevant for Austria
countries that currently neutralize unrealized (1.4)% (0.9)% (0.2)%
accounting losses under AFS – e.g. UK, France,
Netherlands, Sweden, Norway, etc.) (0.5)%
(4.8)% (3.0)%
Italy
Issuance of common shares likely as reported Core Tier Spain
1 ratios fall (0.6)%
(2.0)%
(1.6)%
(3.0)%
Source: Goldman Sachs. Estimated capital impact for sample of European banks
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Banking Regulation Changes
Liability Side Impact II
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Nordic
Available Stable Required Stable Funding
Funding (ASF) (RSF)
76%
ASF Factor of 100% 100% for loans and long-term
- Capital (Tier 1 and Tier 2) assets
- Preferred shares 85% for loans to retail clients
- Liabilities with effective with a residual maturity of less
maturities greater than one than one year UK
year 50% for listed equities, gold,
The portion of deposits liquid corporate bonds rated A- 83% Benelux
that could be expected to or better with a remaining
remain with the bank for maturity of more than one year Austria/ 75%
one year 20% for highly liquid corporate Germany
France
bonds rated AA or better
5% for bonds of sovereigns or 95%
equivalent 85%
0% for cash and securities with
a maturity of less than one year
Italy
Spain
Initial analysis suggests that issuance of EUR 1.7tr will
be required to reach a NSF Ratio of 100% across 85%
91%
banks in Europe alone (assuming asset composition
remains unchanged)
Source: Goldman Sachs. NSF Factor estimates for a sample of European banks
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Banking Regulation Changes
Asset Side Impact
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Senior Financial Debt 15-30% Increase in correlation assumptions 100-200% Stressed VaR and Incremental Risk Charge
Senior Corporate Debt TBD Possible effect due to use of stressed PDs 100-200% Stressed VaR and Incremental Risk Charge
Negative Basis Package2 0% Credit Risk Mitigation still applies [50-150%] Stressed VaR applies
Liquid Synthetic CDOs 0% No changes to securitizations (under review) [250-500%] Comprehensive risk charge and floor may apply
RMBS Portfolio 0% No changes to securitizations [Up to 1,500%] Standardized securitization charge applies
CDO of RMBS 10-200% Increase in RWAs for resecuritizations [Up to 1,700%] Standardized resecuritization charge applies
Source: Goldman Sachs
1 Indicative only. Exact impact will depend on particular models and approaches used. Analysis assumes trading portfolios contain some economically offsetting positions
2 Separate counterparty risk charges apply both for CDS exposures in the trading book and in the banking book
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GS Credit Structuring
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Accounting Changes
Overview of Proposed Changes to IAS 39
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Classification Measurement
Fair Value Fair Value Amortised Fair Value Fair Value
Amortised Cost
Through OCI1 Through P&L Cost Through OCI1 Through P&L
Loans & Held To Available Fair Value Amortised Fair Value Fair Value
Receivables Maturity for Sale Through P&L Cost Through OCI Through P&L
Source: Goldman Sachs
Criteria
Debt instruments, instruments
Debt instruments, instruments, instruments, - vanilla features instruments,
must have intent - specific holdings
not traded in active not classified in that are traded, (or senior tranche) not classified in
and ability to hold (not traded)
market other three or elected via fair - managed collect other two
to maturity - classification is
categories value option cash flows2 categories
irrevocable
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Implementation Timeline
Adoption of Regulatory and Accounting Changes
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Timeline
changes 31-Dec-2012:
Apr-2010: End of
enhancements to market risk Implementation of
comment period
Dec-2009: and securitization frameworks global reforms
Consultative
Document: 1st Half 2010: Quantitative 2nd Half 2010: Review of Post 2012:
Liquidity and impact study for capital and minimum capital standards and Grandfathering /
capital changes liquidity standards calibration of levels / form transition period TBD
Nov-2009: Mar-2010: Jun-2010: Possible Dec-2010: Final 2011: Potential EU 2013: Mandatory
IFRS Phase I Exposure draft: revised exposure Standard: Amortized adoption (could even be adoption of IFRS 9
completed Hedge Accounting draft: Derecognition (assuming EU endorses)
IFRS9
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GS Credit Structuring
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V- Appendix
State of the Market
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Appendix
State of the Market
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Spread (bps)
200
1200
150
800
100
50 400
0 0
Oct-07 Feb-08 Jun-08 Oct-08 Feb-09 Jul-09 Nov-09 Mar-10 Oct-07 Feb-08 Jun-08 Oct-08 Feb-09 Jul-09 Nov-09 Mar-10
Source: Goldman Sachs Source: Goldman Sachs
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
2500 ALL CMBS AAA Float (3-5) ALL CMBS AA Float (3-5) 800 Perm Master Issuer 2007 1 2007-13A EUR
Holmes Master Issuer 13 A2 EUR
Swap Spread (bps)
500 200
0 0
Oct-07 Feb-08 Jun-08 Oct-08 Feb-09 Jul-09 Nov-09 Mar-10 Oct-07 Feb-08 Jun-08 Oct-08 Feb-09 Jul-09 Nov-09 Mar-10
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GS Credit Structuring
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V- Appendix
Proposed Changes to Basel II Framework
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Proposed Changes to Basel II Framework
Strengthening the Resilience of the Banking Sector
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1) Improvement of the quality, consistency, and transparency of the capital base and capital ratio calculation by
simplifying and harmonizing Tier 1 and Tier 2 capital definitions
Ensure Tier 1 Capital is available to support financial institutions on a going-concern basis
The proposal is likely have a very significant effect on reported Tier 1 ratios
2) Strengthening of capital requirements for counterparty credit risk
Reduce the risk of shocks being transmitted from one financial institution to another
Higher capital requirements for counterparty credit risk
Summary of 3) Introduction of a non-risk based leverage ratio as a non-model based simple measure of capital requirement
Proposed
Contain model risk and ensure that attempts to arbitrage the risk-based Basel II capital requirements will not be
Changes: successful
Five Basic Highly leveraged institutions may be very significantly affected
Measures 4) Mitigation against pro-cyclicality and building of capital buffers during high earnings periods
Ensure that financial institutions do not enter into high-loss periods with minimal capital buffers
Potential payout to equity stakeholders and employees in the banking sector is reduced for banks close to the
regulatory capital minimum
5) Introduction of a global minimum liquidity standard
Ensure short and medium term liquidity requirements will not lead to failures of otherwise solvent banks
Treasuries and highly rated and liquid paper (possibly including corporates) are likely to benefit from the liquidity
requirements
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Proposed Changes to Basel II Framework
Quality, Consistency, and Transparency of the Capital Base
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Capital Definitions
Total Capital will consist of the sum of the following elements:
1. Tier 1 Capital (going-concern capital)
Must be issued and paid-in, subordinated to depositors and general creditors of the bank, does not have any
guarantees or equivalent increasing the seniority of the instrument, must have original maturity of at least 5
years, cannot be callable for 5 years, cannot have a built-in incentive to be called, and can only be callable by
Elements issuer (not investor)
of For each of the three categories above (1a, 1b, and 2) there will be a single set of criteria, which instruments are required to
meet, before inclusion in the relevant category, but regulatory adjustments must be applied to Tier I capital only, in an effort to
Capital harmonize currently different treatments across the globe
Common Equity, Tier 1 Capital and Total Capital must always exceed explicit minima of x%, y% and z% of risk-weighted
assets
The size of x%, y%, and z% will be calibrated following the impact assessment
The Basel Committee will consider which role contingent capital, convertible securities, and instruments with write-down
features will have going forward during the July 2010 meetings
Banks will be required to provide extensive disclosures of the capital base and capital calculations in addition to reconciling
the capital base calculation back to the balance sheet in the audited financial statements
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investment.
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Proposed Changes to Basel II Framework
Quality, Consistency, and Transparency of the Capital Base
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Stock Surplus – Share premium will only be permitted to be included in the Common Equity component of Tier 1 if the shares
giving rise to the stock surplus are also permitted to be included in the Common Equity component of Tier 1
Minority Interest – Will not be eligible for inclusion in the Common Equity component of Tier 1
Unrealized Gains and Losses on Debt Instruments, Loans and Receivables, etc. – No adjustment will be applied to remove
unrealised gains or losses recognised on the balance sheet from the Common Equity component of Tier 1, although the
Committee will continue to review the appropriate treatment of unrealized gains
Goodwill and Other Intangibles – Goodwill and other intangibles will be deducted from the Common Equity component of Tier 1
Key
Deferred Tax Assets – Deferred tax assets, which rely on future profitability of the bank to be realized, will be deducted from the
Regulatory Common Equity component of Tier 1
Adjustments
Investments in Own Shares – All of a bank‟s investments in its own common shares will be deducted from the Common Equity
to component of Tier 1
Balance
Investment in the Capital of Certain Financial Institutions Outside the Regulatory Scope of Consolidation – All holdings of
Sheet Items capital which form part of a reciprocal cross holding agreement or are investments in affiliated institutions (e.g. sister companies)
are to be deducted in full on a corresponding basis. For all other holdings, the corresponding deduction approach will apply when
the holdings exceed certain thresholds. For holdings of common stock the thresholds work as follows:
If the bank has holdings of common stock in a financial institution which exceed 10% of the common stock of the financial institution
then the full amount of this holding (not just the amount above 10%) will be deducted from the bank‟s common equity
If the bank has holdings of common stock in other financial institutions which in aggregate exceed 10% of the bank‟s common equity
(after applying all other regulatory adjustments to common equity) then the amount above 10% is required to be deducted
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investment.
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Proposed Changes to Basel II Framework
Quality, Consistency, and Transparency of the Capital Base
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Shortfall of the Provisions to Expected Losses – The deduction from capital in respect of a shortfall of the stock of
provisions to expected losses under the internal ratings-based (IRB) approach will be made 100% from the Common Equity
component of Tier 1 capital
Cash-Flow Hedge Reserve – Remove the positive and negative cash flow hedge reserve from the Common Equity
component of Tier 1 where it relates to the hedging of projected cash flows which are not recognised on the balance sheet
Cumulative Gains and Losses due to Changes in Own Credit Risk on Fair Valued Financial Liabilities – Filter out from
the Common Equity component of Tier 1 all gains and losses resulting from changes in the fair value of liabilities which are
Key due to changes in the bank‟s own credit risk
Regulatory Defined Benefit Pensions Fund Assets and Liabilities – Apply no filter to defined benefit pension fund liabilities and
Adjustments deduct the value of any defined benefit pension fund asset from the Common Equity component of Tier 1. Assets in the fund
to to which the bank has unrestricted and unfettered access can, with supervisory approval, offset the deduction. Such offsetting
assets will be given the risk weight they would receive if they were owned directly by the bank
Balance
Remaining 50:50 (Tier 1 / Tier 2) Deductions – All remaining regulatory adjustments which are currently deducted 50%
Sheet Items from Tier 1 and 50% from Tier 2, and which are not addressed elsewhere in the proposal, will receive a 1250% risk weight
instead of the current deduction from capital
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investment.
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Proposed Changes to Basel II Framework
Capital Requirements for Counterparty Credit Risk
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Require that the counterparty exposure be the higher of the Effective Expected Positive Exposure (Effective EPE) metric be
calculated on data that includes a period of stress and the Effective EPE as currently calculated
Incorporate a simple bond-equivalent of the counterparty exposure to better capture CVA risk that recognizes a clearly defined set
of hedges (CDS hedges only)
Improve monitoring for general (macro based) wrong way risk and implement an explicit Pillar 1 capital charge for specific (issuer
specific) wrong-way risk
Series Apply a multiplier of 1.25 to the asset value correlation of exposures to regulated financial firms (with assets of at least $25 billion)
of Measures and to all exposures to unregulated financial firms such as hedge funds (regardless of size). The resulting capital requirement will
increase by up to approximately 35%
to
Address Extend the margin period of risk to 20 days for OTC derivatives and securities financing transactions (SFTs) netting sets that are
large (i.e. over 5,000 trades), have illiquid collateral, or represent hard-to-replace derivatives. The requirements would double the
Counterparty margin period of risk for netting sets which have recently experienced a material number of extended disputes
Credit Risk Update the “shortcut method” (used by banks that cannot model margin agreements along with exposures) to recognize that
some of the simplifying assumptions related to collateral management and margining did not reflect actual practice, in particular
margin disputes
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investment.
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advisor or fiduciary.
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Proposed Changes to Basel II Framework
Capital Requirements for Counterparty Credit Risk
GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Prepared for UCI
Implement various improvements in the calculation of exposure at default (EAD) to promote more robust collateral management
practices (e.g. failure to address the risk of downgrade triggers and the inability of some banks to model collateral jointly with
exposures) and in the operations and risk analysis supporting the collateral management process (e.g. re-use of collateral)
Create a separate supervisory haircut category for repo-style transactions using securitisation collateral and prohibit re-
securitisations as eligible financial collateral for regulatory capital treatment purposes
Increase the incentives to use Central Counterparty Clearing Houses (CCPs) for OTC derivatives and recognise that collateral
and mark-to-market exposures to CCPs could have a zero percent risk weight if they comply with the stricter CPSS/IOSCO
Series recommendations for CCPs
of Measures Enhance counterparty credit risk management requirements by:
to
Addressing general wrong-way risk;
Address Making the qualitative requirements for stress testing more explicit;
Counterparty Revising the model validation standards; and
Credit Risk Issuing supervisory guidance for sound back-testing practices of CCR
Place additional constraints on firms‟ own estimates of Alpha (the multiplier, minimum 1.2 applied to EPE to determine exposure
at default) to avoid misspecification of the risk and promote greater consistency across firms
Goldman Sachs does not provide tax, accounting, regulatory or legal advice to our clients.
Goldman
Investors areSachs does
advised not represent
to consult with theirthat
tax,this information
accounting, is accurate
or legal advisers or complete,
regarding any and it should
potential not be relied upon as such. We are not soliciting any action based upon it.
investment.
You should consult your own accounting, tax, investment and legal advisors before investing. GS is acting as an arm’s-length contractual counterparty and not as an 25
advisor or fiduciary.
For Professional Investors only
For Discussion Purposes Only
Proposed Changes to Basel II Framework
Non-Risk Based Leverage Measure
GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Prepared for UCI
Items which are deducted completely from capital do not contribute to leverage, and should therefore also be deducted
from the measure of exposure to avoid double counting
If a subsidiary is included in accounting consolidation but not in regulatory consolidation, the holding will be deducted from
capital for the purpose of calculating the capital measure in the leverage ratio
Leverage
Definition of Exposure: Exposure will follow the accounting measure of exposure providing a non risk-based measure. Total
Ratio exposure should be net of provisions and valuation adjustments (e.g. credit valuation adjustments). Physical or financial collateral is
not allowed to reduce exposure (neither is netting of derivatives and loans against deposits).
=
On-balance sheet items included in the exposure definition:
Capital All assets (including high quality liquid assets - but study the possibility of excluding liquid assets)
Measure Repurchase agreements and securities financing with netting disallowed (but study the possibility of including netting)
Long credit derivatives positions included for the purpose of exposure but purchased credit protection will not be
permitted as an offset against long risk
Off balance sheet items such as commitments (including liquidity facilities), unconditionally cancellable commitments, direct
credit substitutes, acceptances, standby letters of credit, trade letters of credit, etc. are included in exposure using a 100%
Credit Conversion Factor (but the Committee is investigating the use of standardized Credit Conversion Factors)
Goldman Sachs does not provide tax, accounting, regulatory or legal advice to our clients.
Goldman
Investors areSachs does
advised not represent
to consult with theirthat
tax,this information
accounting, is accurate
or legal advisers or complete,
regarding any and it should
potential not be relied upon as such. We are not soliciting any action based upon it.
investment.
You should consult your own accounting, tax, investment and legal advisors before investing. GS is acting as an arm’s-length contractual counterparty and not as an 26
advisor or fiduciary.
For Professional Investors only
For Discussion Purposes Only
Proposed Changes to Basel II Framework
Cyclicality and Build-Up of Capital Buffers During High Earnings Periods
GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Prepared for UCI
Forward Looking Provisioning – The Committee is promoting stronger provisioning practices. First, consistent with IASB proposals the
Committee is advocating a change in the accounting standards towards an expected loss approach. Second, it is updating its supervisory
guidance to be consistent with the move to such an expected loss approach. Third, it is addressing disincentives to provisioning in the
regulatory capital framework (the Committee is proposing that any shortfall of the stock of provisions to expected loss be deducted fully
from the common equity component of Tier 1 capital, rather than the present deduction of 50% from Tier 1 and 50% from Tier 2 capital)
Forward
Looking Building Buffers through Capital Conservation – the Committee proposes a framework for the build-up of capital buffers above
minimum requirements. The Committee uses the following example (illustrative and subject to subsequent calibration) where a bank
Provisioning close to the minimum requirements would be subject to payout restrictions (dividend, buybacks, discretionary payments on capital
instruments and discretionary bonus payments to staff)
&
Building of Individual Bank Minimum Capital Conservation Standards
Buffers Amount by which a Bank‟s capital exceeds the minimum Minimum Capital Conservation Ratios (expressed as a
requirement in terms of a percentage of the size of the percentage of earnings)
conservation range
[< 25%] [100%]
[25% - 50%] [80%]
[50% - 75%] [60%]
[75% - 100%] [40%]
[> 100%] [0%]
Goldman Sachs does not provide tax, accounting, regulatory or legal advice to our clients.
Goldman
Investors areSachs does
advised not represent
to consult with theirthat
tax,this information
accounting, is accurate
or legal advisers or complete,
regarding any and it should
potential not be relied upon as such. We are not soliciting any action based upon it.
investment.
You should consult your own accounting, tax, investment and legal advisors before investing. GS is acting as an arm’s-length contractual counterparty and not as an 27
advisor or fiduciary.
For Professional Investors only
For Discussion Purposes Only
Proposed Changes to Basel II Framework
Global Minimum Liquidity Standard
GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Prepared for UCI
Monitoring tools – In addition to the ratios above, banks will be required to report to their national supervisors a series of metrics such
as contractual maturity mismatch, concentration of funding (by both counterparty and instrument type), available unencumbered assets
and various market-related monitoring information.
Goldman Sachs does not provide tax, accounting, regulatory or legal advice to our clients.
Goldman
Investors areSachs does
advised not represent
to consult with theirthat
tax,this information
accounting, is accurate
or legal advisers or complete,
regarding any and it should
potential not be relied upon as such. We are not soliciting any action based upon it.
investment.
You should consult your own accounting, tax, investment and legal advisors before investing. GS is acting as an arm’s-length contractual counterparty and not as an 28
advisor or fiduciary.
For Professional Investors only
For Discussion Purposes Only
GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Prepared for UCI
V- Appendix
Source Documents
Goldman Sachs does not represent that this information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. We are not soliciting any action based upon it.
For Professional Investors only
For Discussion Purposes Only
Appendix
Source Documents
GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Prepared for UCI
International framework for liquidity risk measurement, standards and monitoring (December 2009)
http://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs165.htm
Goldman Sachs does not represent that this information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. We are not soliciting any action based upon it.
You should consult your own accounting, tax, investment and legal advisors before investing. GS is acting as an arm’s-length contractual counterparty and not as an 30
advisor or fiduciary.
For Professional Investors only
For Discussion Purposes Only
Disclaimer GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Prepared for UCI
This document has been prepared by personnel in the Equities or Fixed Income, Currency and Commodities Sales/Trading Departments of one or more affiliates of The Goldman
Sachs Group, Inc. ("Goldman Sachs") and is not the product of the Global Investment Research Department or Fixed Income Research. It is not a research report and is not
intended as such.
REPRESENTATION
If a transaction arises as a result of this document you agree that you will not offer, sell or deliver the Transaction in any jurisdiction except under circumstances that will result in compliance
with the applicable laws thereof, and that you will take at your own expense whatever action is required to permit your purchase and resale of the Transaction. Where securities are issued,
EEA standard selling restrictions apply.
This material and its content are not for distribution to retail clients, as defined in the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (2004/39/EC).
For SPVS Notes Only: Reliance on Creditworthiness of the Collateral Note Issuer
The ability of the note issuer to meet its obligations under the notes will depend on, amongst other things, the receipt by it of payments of interest and principal under the Collateral.
Consequently, Investors are exposed not only to the occurrence of Credit Events in relation to any of the Reference Entities, but also to the ability of the Collateral note issuer to perform its
obligations to make payments to the note issuer
The Transaction described herein is not principal protected
Unless specifically identified as such, the transaction is not principal or investment protected, and future returns are not guaranteed. You will not receive a fixed amount of principal or
investment at maturity of the transaction and Goldman Sachs is not liable for any loss of principal or investment that you may incur
Where the transaction is described as principal or investment protected or principal or investment guaranteed, there is protection or a guarantee only to the extent that the issuer of the
transaction does not default on its obligations, either through bankruptcy or through any other event
Relevant Information
GS may have access to information relating to the Transaction described within (the Transaction), or any indices or assets (which may include, without limit, shares of one or more issuers,
commodities, currencies or baskets of the foregoing) to which it is referenced or which otherwise underlie it (Underlyers) and any derivative instruments referencing it (together Relevant
Instruments). GS will not be obliged to disclose any such Relevant Information to you
GS‟ Interests
GS may be an active participant on both sides of the market for the Relevant Instruments at any time. GS hedging and trading activities with respect to the Transaction may affect the value of
other Relevant Instruments and vice versa. GS may be calculation agent or sponsor of Underlyers and as such may make determinations affecting the value of the Transaction
Volatility
The price of the Transaction may be adversely affected by volatility in the price/value of the Underlyers. Volatility refers to the degree of unpredictable change over time of a certain variable
in this case the price, performance or investment return of a financial asset. A transaction that is more volatile is likely to decrease and increase in value more often and/or to a greater extent
than one that is less volatile
Foreign Exchange
Foreign currency denominated Underlyers, Products and Transactions are subject to fluctuations in exchange rates that could have an adverse effect on the value or price of, or income
derived from, the Transaction
No Correlation with Underlyer
The value of the Transaction will not necessarily correlate with the value of any Underlyers
Value of the Transaction
Assuming no change in market conditions or other factors, the value of the Transaction on the settlement date may be significantly less than the execution price on the trade date
Investment Performance
Changes in the investment performance of the Transaction or any Underlyer may also affect the value of the Transaction and could result in it being valued at zero
Goldman Sachs does not represent that this information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. We are not soliciting any action based upon it.
You should consult your own accounting, tax, investment and legal advisors before investing. GS is acting as an arm’s-length contractual counterparty and not as an 31
advisor or fiduciary.
For Professional Investors only
For Discussion Purposes Only
Disclaimer GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Prepared for UCI
Price Discrepancy
Any price quoted for the Transaction by GS may differ significantly from (i) the Transaction‟s value determined by reference to GS pricing models and (ii) any price quoted by a third party
Indicative Price(s) and Value(s)
Any indicative price(s) and value(s) expressed are as of the approximate time and/or date where indicated subject to change. Indicative price(s) and value(s) may be based on any of; the
information supplied by you, current market conditions, prices and any other factors as GS may consider relevant. The indicative price(s) are not necessarily related to transaction size and
may not reflect the price at which you may be able to transact or deal in any security, currency, commodity, derivative contract or other instrument with GS or with any other third party
Mark to Market Volatility
Mark to market of the transaction may be affected by a number of factors including, without limitation, the spread observed in the market for the underlying Reference Entities, the spread
observed in the market for tranches referenced to similar underlying assets, implied rating, and change in any other pricing parameters (including correlation and recovery rate assumptions).
Mark to markets may be extremely volatile and unpredictable. Due to the inherent leverage of the transaction with respect to the underlying portfolio, the mark to market on the investment
may be significantly more volatile than an unleveraged investment in equivalently rated corporate debt
Limited Liquidity of the Transaction
There is currently no market for the transaction. There can be no assurance that a secondary market for the transaction will develop or, if a secondary market does develop, that it will provide
the holder of the transaction with liquidity, or that it will continue for the life of the transaction. While GSI expects to make a market in the transaction, GSI is not obliged to do so. Any market-
making activity if commenced may be discontinued at any time. Moreover, the limited scope of information available to the Investors regarding the Reference Entities and the nature of any
Credit Event including uncertainty as to the extent of any reduction to be applied to the payment on the investment if a Credit Event has occurred but the amount of the relevant reduction in
the payment on maturity has not been determined, may further affect the liquidity of the transaction. Consequently, any Investor in the transaction must be prepared to hold such transaction
for an indefinite period of time or until final maturity (unless called earlier)
“Cheapest-to-Deliver” Risk
Given that Goldman Sachs, as buyer of protection, has discretion to choose the portfolio of valuation obligations used to calculate the amount of losses following a Credit Event, it is likely that
the portfolio of valuation obligations selected will be available obligations of the Reference Entity with the lowest market value that are permitted to be used to calculate loss pursuant to the
relevant documentation. This could result in a lower recovery value and hence a larger loss amount
Credit Ratings
Credit ratings represent the rating agencies‟ opinions regarding credit quality and are not a guarantee of quality. Rating agencies attempt to evaluate the safety of principal and/or interest
payments and do not evaluate the risks of fluctuations in market value. Accordingly, the credit ratings of the underlying Reference Entities or the transaction itself may not fully reflect the true
risks of the transaction. Also, rating agencies may fail to make timely changes in credit ratings in response to subsequent events, so that an issuer‟s current financial condition may be better
or worse than a rating indicates
Historical Performance may not Predict Future Performance of Transaction
Individual credits may not perform as indicated by historical performance for similarly rated credits. Furthermore, even if future credit performance is similar to that of historic performance for
the entire market, Investors must make their own determination as to whether the Reference Portfolio will reflect the experience of the universe of rated credits. Hence, Credit Event rates
experienced by this transaction may be higher than that of historical Credit Event rates, and that of future Credit Event rates for the entire market
Credit Event may vary from Defaults
Historical default statistics may not capture events that would trigger a Credit Event as specified under the credit default swap. All Credit Event definitions will be defined in the final legal
documents and will be governed by the market-standard ISDA 2003 credit derivatives definitions
Goldman Sachs does not represent that this information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. We are not soliciting any action based upon it.
You should consult your own accounting, tax, investment and legal advisors before investing. GS is acting as an arm’s-length contractual counterparty and not as an 32
advisor or fiduciary.
For Professional Investors only
For Discussion Purposes Only
Disclaimer GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Prepared for UCI
Goldman Sachs does not represent that this information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. We are not soliciting any action based upon it.
You should consult your own accounting, tax, investment and legal advisors before investing. GS is acting as an arm’s-length contractual counterparty and not as an 33
advisor or fiduciary.
For Professional Investors only
For Discussion Purposes Only
Disclaimer GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Prepared for UCI
Goldman Sachs does not make any representation, recommendation or warranty, express or implied, regarding the accuracy, adequacy, reasonableness or completeness of the information
contained herein or in any further information, notice or other document which may at any time be supplied in connection with the transaction and accepts no responsibility or liability
therefore. Goldman Sachs is currently and may be from time to time in the future an active participant on both sides of the market and have long or short positions in, or buy and sell,
securities, commodities, futures, options, indices or other derivatives identical or related to those mentioned herein and hedging activities by Goldman Sachs relating to the transaction may
affect the price of such transaction and the value of the transaction. Goldman Sachs may have potential conflicts of interest due to present or future relationships between Goldman Sachs
and any Collateral, the issuer thereof, any Reference Entity or any obligation of any Reference Entity
Confidentiality and Disclosure of Information: This document is confidential. It may not be (i) copied, photocopied, or duplicated in any form, by any means or (ii) redistributed without the prior
written consent of GS. However, any information regarding the Transaction that may be relevant to the U.S. federal income tax treatment of the Transaction (excluding the identities of the
parties) or which is necessary to support any U.S. federal income tax benefits may be disclosed to the relevant authorities without contractual limitation of any kind.
No Offer: This document is not final. It has been prepared for discussion purposes only. It is not an offer to partake in the Transaction or enter into any agreement. Neither Goldman Sachs
International or its affiliates, nor any of their officers or employees (GS) is soliciting any action based upon it. No action has been taken by GS to permit a public offering in any jurisdiction.
No Representation: GS makes any representations as to the likely performance of the Transaction which will be affected by a range of factors including those described in this document.
Not Complete Information: This document does not provide an exhaustive description of the merits and risks of the Transaction and will, if a transaction results, be superseded by final legal
documentation which may contain deemed representations by investors regarding, among other things, offer, resale and hedging of the Transaction. By accepting this document you agree to
keep the structure of the transactions confidential, and not to use the information contained in this document, and in the other materials you will be provided with, for any purpose other than
for considering a participation in the proposed transactions. You also agree not to disclose information regarding the transactions to anyone within your organisation other than those required
to know such information for the purpose of analysing or approving such participation.
Please note – Any description of the intended structure, portfolio and other details of the proposed transaction are provided here as information only, is in all respects subject to change, and
will be entirely superseded by the final documentation provided to any prospective Investors. You should not rely on this document, but should carefully read all of the legal documentation
which will be provided to you prior to entering into any transaction.
European Distribution: In connection with its distribution in the United Kingdom and the European Economic Area, this material has been issued and approved by Goldman Sachs
International which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. This document is not a product of the GS research department.
THE TRANSACTION MAY NOT BE OFFERED OR SOLD WITHIN THE UNITED STATES OR TO, OR FOR THE BENEFIT OF, UNITED STATES PERSONS (AS DEFINED IN
REGULATION S UNDER THE SECURITIES ACT). THIS DOCUMENT MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED IN THE UNITED STATES.
INFORMATION RELATING TO SAUDI ARABIAN INVESTORS: The Capital Market Authority does not take any responsibility for the contents of this document, do not make any
representation as to its accuracy or completeness, and expressly disclaim any liability whatsoever for any loss arising from, or incurred in reliance upon, any part of this document.
<特定投資家用資料>
本資料は、特定投資家のお客さまのみを対象に作成されたものです。本資料における金融商品は特定投資家のお客さまのみがお取引可能であり、特定投資家以外のお客さまからのご注文等はお受けで
きませんので、ご注意ください。
商号等/ゴールドマン・サックス証券株式会社 金融商品取引業者 関東財務局長(金商)第69号
加入協会/ 日本証券業協会、(社)金融先物取引業協会
© Copyright 2009 The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. All rights reserved
Goldman Sachs does not represent that this information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. We are not soliciting any action based upon it.
You should consult your own accounting, tax, investment and legal advisors before investing. GS is acting as an arm’s-length contractual counterparty and not as an 34
advisor or fiduciary.
For Professional Investors only
For Discussion Purposes Only
GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Prepared for UCI
June 2010
Goldman Sachs does not represent that this information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. We are not soliciting any action based upon it.
For Professional Investors only
For Discussion Purposes Only
Table of Contents GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Prepared for UCI
Goldman Sachs does not represent that this information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. We are not soliciting any action based upon it.
You should consult your own accounting, tax, investment and legal advisors before investing. GS is acting as an arm’s-length contractual counterparty and not as an 36
advisor or fiduciary.
For Professional Investors only
For Discussion Purposes Only
GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Prepared for UCI
Goldman Sachs does not represent that this information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. We are not soliciting any action based upon it.
For Professional Investors only
For Discussion Purposes Only
Return on Equity Analysis GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Comparison Across Credit Assets Prepared for UCI
Pre-crisis Post-crisis IG Corps: investment grade corporates, approximated by the 5y on-the-run iTraxx Main index
HY Corps: high-yield corporates, approximated by the 5y on-the-run iTraxx X-Over index
Many pre-crisis AAA Financials: credit exposures to financial entities, approximated by the 5y on-the-run iTraxx
RMBS have been AAA RMBS
Main Senior Financials sub-index
downgraded multiple
Resi Mortgages: residential mortgages with substantial security over the loan amount
2006 2010 Capital Charges Spreads shown are indicative spreads for the
Excess Excess beginning of 2006 and 2010
Asset Class Spread Loss Rate Spread Loss Rate Basel II Basel III
Return Return Loss rates indicate a reflection of investor loss
IG Corps 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.7% 5.0% 5.0% expectations and may differ substantially across
investors
HY Corps 3.3% 0.5% 2.8% 4.1% 1.5% 2.6% 10.0% 10.0%
Financials 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.9% 4.0% 5.2% Capital charges are calculated for indicative
instruments within the relevant asset class. Actual
Resi Mortgages 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 2.0% 0.2% 1.8% 2.8% 2.8%
capital charges may differ
AAA RMBS 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 1.5% 0.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.6%
Sample risk-weighted asset (RWA) numbers for
B RMBS 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 8.0% 2.5% 5.5% 100.0% 100.0%
Basel II and Basel III are shown below. Capital
Synth Mezz 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 3.0% 0.5% 2.5% 3.0% 30.0%
requirements are computed as 8% of the RWAs
Source: Goldman Sachs. For illustrative purposes only
Goldman Sachs does not represent that this information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. We are not soliciting any action based upon it.
You should consult your own accounting, tax, investment and legal advisors before investing. GS is acting as an arm’s-length contractual counterparty and not as an 39
advisor or fiduciary.
For Professional Investors only
For Discussion Purposes Only
GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Prepared for UCI
Goldman Sachs does not represent that this information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. We are not soliciting any action based upon it.
For Professional Investors only
For Discussion Purposes Only
A. Long Granite RMBS GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Position for increased demand for high-ROE assets… Prepared for UCI
120 Granite 2007-1 3A2 (AAA) Granite 2007-1 3B1 (AA) 1.18 1.06
Granite 2007-1 3M1 (A) Granite 2007-1 3C1 (BBB) US (lhs) UK (rhs)
Houses / Households
100 1.16
Mid Price (Points)
Houses / Households
1.05
80 1.14
60 1.12 1.04
40 1.10
1.03
20 1.08
0 1.06 1.02
Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jun-09 Dec-09 1968 1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008
Source: Markit. Past performance not indicative of future results. Source: ONS, US BEA
2.0
1.5 35
1.0
25
0.5
0.0 15
1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Goldman Sachs does not represent that this information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. We are not soliciting any action based upon it.
You should consult your own accounting, tax, investment and legal advisors before investing. GS is acting as an arm’s-length contractual counterparty and not as an 42
advisor or fiduciary.
For Professional Investors only
For Discussion Purposes Only
GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Prepared for UCI
Goldman Sachs does not represent that this information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. We are not soliciting any action based upon it.
For Professional Investors only
For Discussion Purposes Only
B. Short Tight BBB Credits GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Position for wider corporate credit on the back of Basel III market technicals… Prepared for UCI
Spread (bps)
Premium Paid: [78] bps p.a. plus 0% upfront
150
100
Trade Rationale
50
WHY?
BBB corporates are trading particularly tight to their capital charge 0
of 8% (for a bank under the standardized approach) May-07 Oct-07 Mar-08 Aug-08 Jan-09 Jun-09 Nov-09 Apr-10
Furthermore, it is unlikely that BBB credits will benefit from
inclusion into liquidity buffers under the new rules (unlike AA
corporates, which may be included with haircuts)
S&P Industry Breakdown
Under the proposed Basel III regulations, banks would become
capital-constrained, possibly forcing them to restructure their asset 25%
portfolios to optimize the return on equity (ROE)
Frequency (%)
20%
To position for lower bank demand for BBB credits, go short a
basket of BBB names trading tight to the median BBB spread 15%
Property
Manufacturing
Other
(defensive)
Services and
Electronics
Transportation
Industrial and
Consumer
Products
Consumer
Aerospace,
Autos and
KEY RISKS:
TMT +
Energy,
Utilities
Retail
Basic
Risks to this trade include a further rally in credit spreads leading
to mark-to-market (MTM) losses and the passage of time without
spread widening
Source: Goldman Sachs.
1 Indicative level as of May 26, 2010. Source: Goldman Sachs. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Goldman Sachs does not represent that this information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. We are not soliciting any action based upon it.
You should consult your own accounting, tax, investment and legal advisors before investing. GS is acting as an arm’s-length contractual counterparty and not as an 44
advisor or fiduciary.
For Professional Investors only
For Discussion Purposes Only
C. Short Tight Top CSO Reference Entities GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Position for wider corporate credit and a potential CSO unwind… Prepared for UCI
Frequency (%)
(with current spreads below 150 bps). These names underperformed
during the recent selloff when we also saw significant unwinds of 15%
CDOs
If further synthetic CDO unwinds materialize on the back of increased 10%
capital charges coupled with the increasing cost of dynamic hedging,
5%
this would likely result in increased pressure on these single names 3
KEY RISKS: 0%
AAA
AA+
AA
AA-
A+
A-
BBB+
BBB
BBB-
BB+
BB
Risks to this trade include a further rally in credit spreads leading to
MTM losses and the passage of time without spread widening Source: Goldman Sachs.
S&P Rating
1 Indicative
level as of May 26, 2010. Source: Goldman Sachs. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
2 “The Most Widely Referenced Corporate Obligors in Rated U.S. Synthetic CDOs,” Standard & Poor‟s, December 16, 2008 and “European Synthetic CDO Portfolio Overlap Means Recent Corporate Credit
Events Cause Widespread Rating Actions,” Standard & Poor‟s, December 4, 2008
3The Credit Line – The new Basel II proposals: Implications for CDS markets; February 26th, 2010: <https://360.gs.com/gs/portal/?st=1&action=action.binary&d=8662374&fn=/document.pdf>
Goldman Sachs does not represent that this information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. We are not soliciting any action based upon it.
You should consult your own accounting, tax, investment and legal advisors before investing. GS is acting as an arm’s-length contractual counterparty and not as an 45
advisor or fiduciary.
For Professional Investors only
For Discussion Purposes Only
D. Short „7y‟ iTraxx Main S9 12-22% GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Position for wider corporate credit with positive convexity… Prepared for UCI
KEY RISKS:
The main risks to this trade are spread tightening and large
negative moves in correlation skew
1 Indicative level as of May 26, 2010; iTraxx Main S9 ref is 138 bps. Source: Goldman Sachs. Past performance not indicative of future results. Tranche attach and exhaust shown to 2 decimal places
2 The Credit Line – The new Basel II proposals: Implications for CDS markets; February 26th, 2010: <https://360.gs.com/gs/portal/?st=1&action=action.binary&d=8662374&fn=/document.pdf>
Goldman Sachs does not represent that this information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. We are not soliciting any action based upon it.
You should consult your own accounting, tax, investment and legal advisors before investing. GS is acting as an arm’s-length contractual counterparty and not as an 46
advisor or fiduciary.
For Professional Investors only
For Discussion Purposes Only
GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Prepared for UCI
Goldman Sachs does not represent that this information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. We are not soliciting any action based upon it.
For Professional Investors only
For Discussion Purposes Only
E. 2y1y 3s6s Euribor Basis Widener GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Position for Euribor basis widening… Prepared for UCI
Format: EUR Basis Swap 0.5 EUR 3s6s Basis - 1y Spot EUR 3s6s Basis - 2y into 1y
Basis (bps)
0.3
Client pays: 3m EUR + [ 16.5 bps ], quarterly 0.2
Client receives: 6m EUR, semi-annually 0.1
Basis (bps)
0.4
The 2y1y 3s6s Euribor basis widener is a positive roll-down
investment (if the curve shape remains unchanged) with good
0.2
mark-to-market potential, which should also benefit if another
credit or funding pressure in the European interbank market were
0.0
to realize (right-way risk)
May-07 Oct-07 Mar-08 Aug-08 Jan-09 Jun-09 Nov-09 Apr-10
-0.2
KEY RISKS:
Source: Goldman Sachs. Past performance not indicative of future results.
Upon expiry of the forward, the spot 3s6s may trade at lower levels
and the downside is potentially unlimited
1 Indicative level as of May 26, 2010.
Goldman Sachs does not represent that this information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. We are not soliciting any action based upon it.
You should consult your own accounting, tax, investment and legal advisors before investing. GS is acting as an arm’s-length contractual counterparty and not as an 48
advisor or fiduciary.
For Professional Investors only
For Discussion Purposes Only
Disclaimer GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Prepared for UCI
This document has been prepared by personnel in the Equities or Fixed Income, Currency and Commodities Sales/Trading Departments of one or more affiliates of The Goldman
Sachs Group, Inc. ("Goldman Sachs") and is not the product of the Global Investment Research Department or Fixed Income Research. It is not a research report and is not
intended as such.
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For SPVS Notes Only: Reliance on Creditworthiness of the Collateral Note Issuer
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Investment Performance
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You should consult your own accounting, tax, investment and legal advisors before investing. GS is acting as an arm’s-length contractual counterparty and not as an 49
advisor or fiduciary.
For Professional Investors only
For Discussion Purposes Only
Disclaimer GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Prepared for UCI
Price Discrepancy
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“Cheapest-to-Deliver” Risk
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or worse than a rating indicates
Historical Performance may not Predict Future Performance of Transaction
Individual credits may not perform as indicated by historical performance for similarly rated credits. Furthermore, even if future credit performance is similar to that of historic performance for
the entire market, Investors must make their own determination as to whether the Reference Portfolio will reflect the experience of the universe of rated credits. Hence, Credit Event rates
experienced by this transaction may be higher than that of historical Credit Event rates, and that of future Credit Event rates for the entire market
Credit Event may vary from Defaults
Historical default statistics may not capture events that would trigger a Credit Event as specified under the credit default swap. All Credit Event definitions will be defined in the final legal
documents and will be governed by the market-standard ISDA 2003 credit derivatives definitions
Goldman Sachs does not represent that this information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. We are not soliciting any action based upon it.
You should consult your own accounting, tax, investment and legal advisors before investing. GS is acting as an arm’s-length contractual counterparty and not as an 50
advisor or fiduciary.
For Professional Investors only
For Discussion Purposes Only
Disclaimer GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Prepared for UCI
Goldman Sachs does not represent that this information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. We are not soliciting any action based upon it.
You should consult your own accounting, tax, investment and legal advisors before investing. GS is acting as an arm’s-length contractual counterparty and not as an 51
advisor or fiduciary.
For Professional Investors only
For Discussion Purposes Only
Disclaimer GS Credit Structuring
GS Credit Structuring
Prepared for UCI
Goldman Sachs does not make any representation, recommendation or warranty, express or implied, regarding the accuracy, adequacy, reasonableness or completeness of the information
contained herein or in any further information, notice or other document which may at any time be supplied in connection with the transaction and accepts no responsibility or liability
therefore. Goldman Sachs is currently and may be from time to time in the future an active participant on both sides of the market and have long or short positions in, or buy and sell,
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and any Collateral, the issuer thereof, any Reference Entity or any obligation of any Reference Entity
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