Está en la página 1de 8

Datos estación Las Pataguas LN(PRECIPITA O CAUDALES)

AÑO PP MÁXIMA ANUAL EN 24 HRS (mm)


PP MÁXIMA ANUAL EN 24 HRS (mm)
1993 128 4.85
1994 56 4.03
1995 56 4.03
1996 49 3.89 T = 1/P
1997 115 4.74
1998 50.3 3.92
1999 50 3.91
2000 60 4.09
2001 67.5 4.21
2002 132.2 4.88
2003 65 4.17
2004 48 3.87
2005 167 5.12
2006 70 4.25
2007 55 4.01
2008 75 4.32
2009 141 4.95
2010 50 3.91
2011 63.6 4.15
2012 50 3.91
2013 47 3.85
N 21
Media 75.98
Desv.Estad 36.61

valores de lognormal
Media 4.24
Desv.Estad 0.41
Periodos de retorno (T años)probabilidad Prob.exe Prob.noexe
2 0.5 0.5
5 0.2 0.8
10 0.1 0.9
20 0.05 0.95
P = 1/T
25 0.04 0.96
50 0.02 0.98
100 0.01 0.99
200 0.005 0.995

T años Prob.exe Prob.noexe Z para Distr.Normal


2 0.5 0.5 0
5 0.2 0.8 0.84
10 0.1 0.9 1.28
20 0.05 0.95 1.64
25 0.04 0.96 1.75
50 0.02 0.98 2.05
100 0.01 0.99 2.33

T años Prob.exe Prob.noexe Z para Distr.Normal


2 0.5 0.5 0
5 0.2 0.8 0.84
10 0.1 0.9 1.28
20 0.05 0.95 1.64
25 0.04 0.96 1.75
50 0.02 0.98 2.05
100 0.01 0.99 2.33

T años Prob.exe Prob.noexe parametros de la funcion


2 0.5 0.5 d
5 0.2 0.8 0.035
10 0.1 0.9 u
20 0.05 0.95 59.50
25 0.04 0.96
50 0.02 0.98
100 0.01 0.99
Z para Distr.Normal
0
0.84
1.28
1.64
1.75
2.05
2.33
2.5

precipitaxiones por Distribucion Normal con inversa de excel


75.98 75.98
106.74 106.80
122.85 122.90
136.03 136.21
140.06 140.08
151.04 151.18
161.29 161.16

precipitaxiones por Distribucion LogNormal con inversa de excel


69.52 69.52
97.99 98.05
117.29 117.36
135.87 136.14
142.12 142.16
160.66 160.90
180.13 179.86

precipitaxiones por Distribucion Gumbel con inversa de excel


69.97 no la tra excel
102.32
123.75
144.30
150.82
170.90
190.83
n AÑO PP MÁXIMA ANUAL EN 24 HRS (mm) LN (PP MÁX)
1 1993 128 4.85
2 1994 56 4.03
3 1995 56 4.03
4 1996 49 3.89
5 1997 115 4.74
6 1998 50.3 3.92
7 1999 50 3.91
8 2000 60 4.09
9 2001 67.5 4.21
10 2002 132.2 4.88
11 2003 65 4.17
12 2004 48 3.87
13 2005 167 5.12
14 2006 70 4.25
15 2007 55 4.01
16 2008 75 4.32
17 2009 141 4.95
18 2010 50 3.91
19 2011 63.6 4.15
20 2012 50 3.91
21 2013 47 3.85
N 21
Media 75.98
Desv.Estad 36.61

valores de lognormal
Media 4.24
Desv.Estad 0.41

parametros gumbel
d 0.035
u 59.50
datos ordenados weibul 1-weibul distribucion normal delat
167 0.04545 0.95455 0.00050 0.04496
141 0.09091 0.90909 0.00225 0.08866
132.2 0.13636 0.86364 0.00335 0.13301
128 0.18182 0.81818 0.00397 0.17785
115 0.22727 0.77273 0.00618 0.22110
75 0.27273 0.72727 0.01089 0.26184
70 0.31818 0.68182 0.01075 0.30743
67.5 0.36364 0.63636 0.01061 0.35303
65 0.40909 0.59091 0.01042 0.39867
63.6 0.45455 0.54545 0.01029 0.44426
60 0.50000 0.50000 0.00991 0.49009
56 0.54545 0.45455 0.00939 0.53607
56 0.59091 0.40909 0.00939 0.58152
55 0.63636 0.36364 0.00925 0.62712
50.3 0.68182 0.31818 0.00852 0.67330
50 0.72727 0.27273 0.00847 0.71880
50 0.77273 0.22727 0.00847 0.76426
50 0.81818 0.18182 0.00847 0.80971
49 0.86364 0.13636 0.00831 0.85533
48 0.90909 0.09091 0.00814 0.90095
47 0.95455 0.04545 0.00797 0.94658
0.94658

Dc 0.94658
distribucion lognormal delat distribucion gumbel distribucion gumbel delta
1.28995357537898E-05 0.04544 163.56395 0.8507128666 0.80526
2.82122145261441E-05 0.09088 143.08746 0.133514664 0.04261
2.82122145261441E-05 0.13634 130.79465 0.133514664 0.00285
3.20120638711686E-05 0.18179 121.83233 0.0763021517 0.10552
1.42763313504223E-05 0.22726 114.67718 0.7749707092 0.54770
3.12286455017705E-05 0.27270 108.64831 0.0855620349 0.18717
3.14059167405492E-05 0.31815 103.38005 0.0833684776 0.23481
0.000026429 0.36361 98.65144 0.1737229057 0.18991
2.36411963906787E-05 0.40907 94.31696 0.2603020461 0.14879
1.25111244973833E-05 0.45453 90.27377 0.8697396338 0.41519
2.45009096172101E-05 0.49998 86.44433 0.230134954 0.26987
3.26427643259986E-05 0.54542 82.76626 0.0696146209 0.47584
1.00273089948975E-05 0.59090 79.18561 0.959594235 0.36869
2.2841282423791E-05 0.63634 75.65167 0.291398461 0.34497
2.86973938780159E-05 0.68179 72.11206 0.1242667802 0.55755
2.13973355631643E-05 0.72725 68.50661 0.3552412539 0.37203
1.17704277498469E-05 0.77272 64.75783 0.9025417136 0.12981
3.14059167405492E-05 0.81815 60.75272 0.0833684776 0.73481
0.000025011 0.86361 56.30094 0.2137542189 0.64988
3.14059167405492E-05 0.90906 51.01273 0.0833684776 0.82572
3.32995557443214E-05 0.95451 43.76379 0.0633058754 0.89124
0.95451 0.89124

0.95451 0.89124
año caudal orden caudales
1 121.3 26.7 tamaño de la muestra
2 26.7 32.9 N = 38
3 110.1 36.3 calculo de numero de intervalos de clase
4 63.4 40.3 Nc = 1+1.33*LN(N)
5 122.4 48.5 Nc = 5.83798959
6 64.2 48.8 Nc = 6
7 59.6 52.3 calculo de amplitud del intervalo
8 144.9 52.5 Xmax 205.8
9 92.8 57.4 Xmin 26.7
10 95.6 58.8 Dx 35.82
11 76.3 59.6 Dx 36
12 162.1 63.4 Dx/2 18
13 110.2 64.2 intervalos de clase ,marcas de clase,frecuencia absoluta observada,frecunc
14 40.3 67.5
15 142.4 70 intervalo de clase
16 58.8 72.5 xmin xmax marca de clase
17 48.8 76.3 8.7 44.7 26.7
18 52.3 76.9 44.7 80.7 62.7
19 97.2 79 80.7 116.7 98.7
20 144.7 88 116.7 152.7 134.7
21 112.2 92.8 152.7 188.7 170.7
22 205.8 95.6 188.7 224.7 206.7
23 57.4 97.2
24 148.3 109.2
25 36.3 110.1
26 52.5 110.2
27 109.2 112.2
28 137.1 114.5
29 114.5 121.3
30 79 122.4
31 67.5 137.1
32 88 142.4
33 165.6 144.7
34 48.5 144.9
35 32.9 148.3
36 72.5 162.1
37 76.9 165.6
38 70 205.8
media 92.324 Qmin 26.7
desv.estad 42.801 Qmax 205.8
s de clase

o
limite inferior 8.7

lase,frecuencia absoluta observada,frecuncia relativa, frecuencia observada

frecuencia absoluta frecuencia relativa frecuancia acumulada


4 0.1053 0.1053
15 0.3947 0.5000
9 0.2368
7 0.1842
2 0.0526
1 0.0263
38