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Contents

Foreword p2/ Introduction p3/ Preface p4/ Executive summary p6/


Aerospace and defence p8/ Banking, insurance and financial services p12 /
Chemicals p18/ Dedicated freight corridors p22/ Digital India for inclusive growth p24/
Power and utilities p28 / Infrastructure p34/ Oil and gas p40 / Pharmaceuticals p46/
Using digital in manufacturing sector p50/ Conclusion p52/ Glossary p54

Winning together
Investment opportunities and
synergies for the US and India
August 2016

www.pwc.in
Foreword
US and Indian
companies—working,
partnering and winning together
India-US bilateral relations have developed into a ‘global 35% globally.6 CEOs in India see more growth opportunities
strategic partnership’ based on shared democratic values and for their companies today than they did three years ago.7
increasing convergence of interests on bilateral, regional and When asked ‘Which countries, excluding the one in which you
global issues. are based, do you consider most important for your overall
According to ‘Future of India: The Winning Leap’, a 2014 growth prospects over the next 12 months?’, 39% of Indian
report by PwC, India has seen its GDP rise by more than 1 CEOs listed the US, which makes it their leading choice for the
trillion USD over the past two decades.1 DIPP indicates that second year running.8 Clearly, the US is an important trade
total FDI received by India in April–December 2015 was 40.82 partner for India, and US and Indian companies can continue
million USD.2 During FY2015, India received the maximum to engage in a dialogue on how to partner together and benefit
FDI equity inflows from Singapore at 10.99 billion USD, from one another’s macro and demographic strengths.
followed by Mauritius (6.12 billion USD), the US (3.51 billion PwC is privileged to be the knowledge partner for this
USD), the Netherlands (2.15 billion USD) and Japan (1.08 convention. IACC has invited policymakers, regulators,
billion USD).3 India is an attractive FDI destination due to a investors and industry leaders to the convention. This
range of factors—wage arbitrage, availability of a large and convention will be a common ground for the ‘who’s who’
educated pool of workers and professionals, a government of both countries to deliberate on the key challenges and
that is keen to make India a preferred FDI destination, and opportunities originating from enhanced synergies between
initiatives such as Make in India, which are designed to them. To achieve this objective, PwC has put together this
harness India’s economic advantages. background paper titled ‘Winning together: Investment
While several foreign companies have operations in India, opportunities and synergies for the US and India’. The
some issues need to be addressed to ensure India’s place as a paper has been prepared in consultation with PwC’s sector
leading investment destination. For example, ‘The Future of teams and is designed to cover various aspects of these sectors
India: The Winning Leap’ indicates that in 2013, India ranked in India with the aim of enhancing the US-India economic
134 out of 189 economies in the World Bank’s Ease of Doing engagement.
Business index. PwC’s analysis and discussion with experts in Our industry experts have provided overviews of several
this field suggest that there are some low-hanging fruit that sectors in terms of an industry snapshot and investment
could be harvested to improve this ranking—in areas such opportunities for US companies. We hope this paper provides
as ease of starting a company and payment of taxes. Other a forum for increased conversation, engagement and trade
improvements will require more complex policy and mindset between India and the US.
changes. An additional benefit of improving ease of doing
business in India could be greater confidence in India on the
part of multinational companies, which would translate into
larger flows of FDI and know-how into the country—two
essential ingredients for growth and innovation.4
In PwC’s 19th Annual Global CEO Survey (released at Davos in
January 2016), India was rated as a bright spot among nations
where businesses maintained similar confidence levels as last
year.5 The confidence reposed by Indian CEOs in the economy
is quite encouraging. The survey indicates that around Dwaraknath E. N.
two-third of the CEOs in India are very confident of their Partner and US Business Group Leader
company’s growth in the next 12 months, as opposed to only
PwC India

1. PwC. (2014). Future of India: The Winning Leap. Retrieved from https://www. 5. PwC. (2016). 19th Annual Global CEO Survey. Retrieved from http://www.pwc.
pwc.in/assets/pdfs/future-of-india/future-of-india-the-winning-leap.pdf in/assets/pdfs/publications/ceo-survey-2016/19th-annual-global-ceo-survey.pdf
2. Indian Brand Equity Foundation. (2016). Foreign direct investment. Retrieved 6. Ibid.
from http://www.ibef.org/economy/foreign-direct-investment.aspx 7. Ibid.
3. Ibid. 8. Ibid.
4. PwC. (2014). Future of India: The Winning Leap. Retrieved from https://www.
pwc.in/assets/pdfs/future-of-india/future-of-india-the-winning-leap.pdf

2 PwC
Introduction
In July 2016, IMF projected India’s GDP growth at 7.4% for That India has become a better investment destination is also
fiscal year 2016–17. This is the highest growth projected for reflected in the fact that its ranking has jumped 12 places to
any country for the current year; China comes a distant second 130 out of 189 countries on the World Bank’s latest Ease of
at 6.6%. India, which is the world’s third-largest economy Doing Business index. This rise was based on three factors—
based on its GDP in PPP terms, is expected to lead the world ease of starting a business, obtaining construction permits and
as well as emerging countries in terms of growth this year and access to electricity in the country.
next year. The government has emphasised inclusive growth through
A logical corollary to that is that India will also become a national programmes such as Jan Dhan Yojana on financial
preferred destination to invest and do trade with. inclusion; the Swachh Bharat campaign on inculcating civic
While analysing India and its prospects, IMF highlighted sense in people, hygiene and preventive healthcare; and
that the country’s ‘economy is on a recovery path, helped ‘Housing for All by 2022’. These initiatives are aimed to ensure
by lower oil prices, positive policy actions and improved that sustainable development in the country will help India
confidence’. The key areas where it has recommended further develop further. This may also result in higher disposable
reforms, however, include the product market, labour, incomes with consumers and higher spending power with
infrastructure, banking, the legal system and property rights, the government. For instance, under the Jan Dhan Yojana,
and fiscal structural reforms. Further, IMF found that India over 20 crore bank accounts were opened, which have earned
has done well in three areas: innovation, capital market deposits of over 30,638.29 crore INR (about 4.5 billion USD).
development and liberalisation in trade, and FDI. Recent These funds can be used for infrastructure development
developments across the world also testify to India’s stability. and more economic activity, thus providing more avenues
Brexit, for instance, which surprised the global financial for investments both by domestic companies and global
markets, poses an important downside risk for the world companies wanting to do business in India.
economy and has worsened the global outlook for 2016–17. In India-US relations
India, however, economic activity remains and is expected to The US is India’s traditional and most important trading
remain buoyant. partner. Their bilateral relations have been cemented further
With over two years of the Bharatiya Janata Party-led National in the last two years, touching political and economic aspects
Democratic Alliance government at the Centre, a large number such as increased issuance of visas, visits by dignitaries,
of initiatives have been taken, making India a desirable initiatives to combat terrorism, as well as trade.
country to do business with. For instance, several sectors For instance, India continues to remain the world’s largest
have been opened up to higher FDI (from retail to defence), arms importer, accounting for 14% of the global imports in
taxation has been made more transparent and visa norms have 2011–2015, with the US being one of its biggest suppliers.
been eased considerably. Both countries now aspire to increase bilateral trade to the
tune of 500 billion USD from the current 100 billion USD
plus annually.

Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 3
Preface
During his address in New Delhi in January 2015, President Obama said, ‘I firmly believe that the relationship
between the United States and India can be one of the defining partnerships of the 21st century.’ As nations
committed to democracy, liberty, diversity and enterprise, India and the United States are bound by common
values and  mutual interests. As multicultural, pluralistic societies, the world’s oldest and largest democracies
are natural partners and allies.
India’ path to economic empowerment will be led by international trade, as is evident from the economic growth
trajectories of Japan, China, Taiwan, Korea, Germany, etc., in the recent past.
As the apex bilateral chamber, Indo-American Chamber’s (IACC) focus during the last year has been on enhancing
the US-India economic partnership, led by deliberations on increasing bilateral trade to 500 billion USD from 132
billion USD in 2015, through a series of pan-India initiatives across key focus sectors. Moving beyond trade in goods
and services, the economic partnership focusses on a wider range of defining parameters: joint ventures, greenfield
investments, technology transfers, co-development and co-production.
The drivers of economic synergy will focus on the following sectors: banking, insurance and financial services;
oil and gas; defence and aerospace; infrastructure; digital India for inclusive growth (to pave the way for the
demographic dividend becoming a reality, with the world’s youngest workforce); energy, including new and
renewable; technology in heavy industries; railways and dedicated freight corridors; and pharma (specially
intellectual property rights [IPRs] issues).
Through this convention, we intend to create a platform for both policymakers and sector specialists to strategise on the
way forward and create an action plan with both governments acting as the key enablers.
This joint report by PwC and IACC evaluates the present status of the thrust sectors and explores new approaches
required across sectors. The report also outlines how both governments will need to overcome the current challenges
and create an innovative path for boosting bilateral trade and synergising core competencies across the defined sectors.

Ranjana Khanna
Secretary General
Indo-American Chamber of Commerce (IACC)
PHD House, 4th floor, 4/2 Siri Institutional Area,
August Kranti Marg, New Delhi - 110016
Tel: +91-11-26518201 | Direct: +91-11-40520634
Cell: +91-8130716604 | +91-8826336604 | +1-202-957-1250
E-mail: ranjana.khanna@iaccindia.com | Web: www.iaccindia.com

4 PwC
Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 5
Executive
summary
India is well positioned as a major investment destination for volume and is expected to reach 280 billion USD in 2020,
the global community, particularly the US. Its macroeconomic with an insurable population that is anticipated to touch 750
stability, resilience and ability to deal effectively with external million. The next few years will witnesses a massive drive
shocks and the government’s proactive initiatives are making towards financial inclusion. RBI has granted licenses to 11
India a large and approachable market that is capable of payment banks and 10 small finance banks.
yielding steady and attractive returns to investors in the We foresee a huge opportunity in the insurance and fintech
medium-to-long term. sectors. As per NASSCOM, the Indian fintech market is
In this report, we discuss some sectors where the joint efforts forecast to touch 2.4 billion USD by 2020 from the current 1.2
made by the Indian government and companies are earning billion USD. This will attract large US financial institutions,
good dividends. These sectors also have immense future including US investment banks with a fintech focus.
potential not just for domestic growth but also to strengthen
India’s position as a global business hub.
Chemicals
India’s chemical sector, which currently is the third largest
Aerospace and defence (in volume terms) in Asia after China and Japan, is expected
India has an enviable position in the global A&D sector. It to grow at a CAGR of 14% to reach 350 billion USD by
is the world’s largest importer of major weapons, with a 2021. The Make in India initiative has further propelled the
15% global share during 2010–2014. Besides, its military sector—100% FDI is now allowed under the automatic route,
expenditure was the sixth highest in the world in 2015. industrial licenses have been abolished for most sub-sectors
Under the Make in India campaign, India rolled out several and PCPIRs, etc. As India moves towards greater production
policy initiatives to lower entry barriers. These include FDI of speciality chemicals because of rising demand, more
beyond 49% and up to 100% under the government approval advanced technologies will be required by speciality chemical
route and improving ease of doing business in defence companies. This could lead to increased collaborations with
manufacturing. The new DPP 2016 has made the sector more global MNCs, besides increased M&A activity.
vibrant.
In 2015, the Framework for the US-India Defense Relationship Dedicated freight corridors
was completed, which will guide and expand both nations’
bilateral defence and strategic partnership over the next The stage is set for India to spend around 3.3 lakh crore INR
10 years. An agreement to pursue four pathfinder projects to set up three new dedicated rail freight corridors (5,500
under the DTTI as well as a cooperation agreement on km in length, adding to the existing 3,300 km) over the next
aircraft carriers and jet engine technology will cement eight years. These include the proposed three new corridors:
relations between the two countries. With realignments in the 2,328-km-long north-south corridor connecting Delhi to
the geopolitical space, India and the US are bound to be Chennai, the 2,327-km-long east-west corridor linking Kolkata
accredited with the status of ‘natural allies’. with Mumbai, and the 1,114-km-long east coast corridor from
Kharagpur to Vijaywada.
Banking, financial To encourage investment, 100% FDI under the automatic
route is permitted for both dedicated freight lines and
services and insurance rolling stock, including train sets, and locomotive/coaches
With its favourable demographics (around 53% of population manufacturing and maintenance facilities.
will be in the working age bracket from 2016 onwards), An opportunity exists for US companies for technological
India offers a big opportunity to financial services providers. advancement in this field.
Besides, there is potential for India to become the fifth largest
banking industry in the world by 2020 and third largest by
2025. Needless to say, India’s banking, insurance and financial
sector is expanding rapidly. India is currently the fifteenth
largest insurance market in the world in terms of premium

6 PwC
Energy may find it interesting to revisit their India investment plans,
largely owing to the tectonic shift in both policy and mindset.
Given the focus on providing uninterrupted universal access US companies may like to evaluate investing in HELP bid
to electricity, the transformation of India’s energy mix in the rounds, subject of course to the technical merits. Another low
power and utilities sector presents a reliable, fast-growing, risk-low return opportunity is the demand-side flexibility 2016
well-diversified, and profitable market opportunity for US bid round which is currently under way.
companies. The imperative to add new capacities to meet
The oil and gas equipment market represents a large business
social and economic needs is helping India change its energy
opportunity to US-based companies. The US is the world’s
mix more towards renewables, including solar, wind, mini
third largest exporter of upstream oil and gas equipment.
hydel and biomass-based power, over the next 5–10 years.
The International Trade Administration’s ‘2016 Top Markets
There is also a huge market for electrical energy storage in Report’ ranks India in the 28th spot (out of 74 countries)
India, especially in integrating the RE sources to the grid. as an export destination for US upstream oil and gas
equipment companies. The new policy pronouncements of the
government are expected to give a tremendous boost to the
Infrastructure upstream oil and gas equipment market.

Close to 12,000 km of highways are expected to be awarded


by the end of December 2016 at an estimated cost of 1.4 lakh
crore INR, which means big opportunities for private and
global companies. In the future, the focus of deal activities Pharma
will also be channelised towards transactions at existing and The Indian pharmaceuticals industry, which was worth 29
upcoming container terminals and support infrastructure such billion USD in 2015, is expected to grow by 11–14% over the
as ICDs and CFSs in the hinterland. This may lead to more PE next few years to reach 55 billion USD by 2020. Growing
investments in LNG assets, divestment transactions of non- population, lifestyle and tropical diseases offer huge potential
strategic assets by non-major port operators and PE exits in to US companies. A large number (300+) of US Food and
assets under restructuring. Drug Administration approved manufacturing plants (the
The existence of US companies in the road sector is limited largest number in any country outside the US) provide
only to PE funds. This may change. opportunities for US companies. The sector has opened up to
74% under the automatic route for brownfield acquisitions
Ports and inland waterways and up to 100% FDI in greenfield projects under the automatic
route. Indian companies have good capabilities in novel drug
There is an opportunity for US firms in mega brownfield delivery systems, which can be utilised by US companies to
expansion projects such as new harbours. Spill-off demand develop value-added generics.
from the major ports and O&M services such as pilotage,
dredging and harbouring are good opportunities for foreign
investors looking to enter the market.
Digitisation
The Indian industry has now started adopting digital
technologies which are revolutionising factory shop floors,
Oil and gas rejigging old business models and making products smarter.
BP Statistical Review 2016 projects that India’s primary energy US manufacturing companies who have a presence in India or
consumption will grow to approximately 1,500 million tonnes are planning to set up a new business should outline a digital
of oil equivalent in 2035 —i.e. 2.2 times the 2015 levels and strategy in order to lower the cost of operations and achieve
10% of the world’s energy consumption in 2035. Given these additional revenues. Further, given that digital is foremost
projections, renewables look promising. on the minds of Indian CEOs, global consulting firms have an
E&P companies in the US who are keen to invest in India opportunity to implement some of their digital strategies for
but were wary of the regulatory risk under the PSC regime industrial companies in India.

Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 7
Aerospace and defence

Industry dynamics
With the third largest armed forces in the world (third largest
army, fourth largest air force and seventh largest navy),
India’s military expenditure was the sixth highest in the world
in 2015. India is also the world’s largest importer of major
weapons, with a 15% global share during 2010–2014.1

Budgetary allocation for capital acquisition has grown with


a CAGR of 13.50% over the period of FY07–16.2 By the year
2020, India could emerge as the third biggest country in terms
of defence-related expenditure.3

Growth of budgetary allocation for


capital acquisition in defence
300

250

200

150

100 CAGR=13.10%

50

0
2007-08

2008-09

2009-10

2010-11

2011-12

2012-13

2013-14

2014-15

2015-16

2016-17

Capital acquisition budget Defence budget


Source: Reports of Standing Committee of Lok Sabha on Defence

1. Stockholm International Peace Research Institute


2. PwC analysis
3. PwC analysis

8 PwC
Selected major trends commercial airlines (under the approval to be applicable through the supply
route). With the relaxation of regulatory chain, such as custom duty, service
In order to achieve the goal of self- hurdles, like the so-called 5/20 rule, the tax, excise duty, VAT and entry tax.
reliance in defence production, the civil aviation sector is poised to create Thus, a progressive and stable tax
government, under the umbrella of the more jobs and revenue for the aerospace regime should be brought in.
Make in India campaign, has rolled out and ancillary sectors. Indian domestic
several policy initiatives to lower entry airlines are aggressively placing aircraft • The government should bring
barriers: allowing FDI beyond 49% orders with OEMs. more flexibility in the offset regime
and up to 100% under the government by allowing group companies or
subsidiaries of foreign OEMs to
discharge offset obligations on
Key enablers for aerospace and defence manufacturing behalf of the respective OEMs and
• New category of aquisition: easing offset implementation issues.
Buy (Indian) [IDDM] The offset policy is complex and
• Finalisation of Security Manual
• Weightage for enhanced
for Licensed Defence Industry
requires further simplification in
performance features the implementation stage as the
• Industrial license not mandatory
• Services partially reintroduced Industrial to qualify as an IOP documents to be submitted to MoD
as an eligible offset avenue licensing • Restriction on annual capacity are voluminous, without any scope
in defence sector removed of e-filing.
DPP 2016
Foreign • In order to build a healthy ecosystem,
Trade Policy a strong and dedicated government-
• Liberalisation of FDI cap: 2015-2020
Requirement of 'state of the FDI policy industry interface mechanism
art technology' removed for should be implemented through
• Defence export strategy
100% foreign investment
• End User Certification required
which sellers can showcase their
• Requirement of permission of products and services and approach
only from the immediate buyer
CCS for FDI proposals of more
the relevant authorities as and
than 49% removed
when required.

• Riders in the FDI policy, such as


approval route, improving ease of doing Selected major challenges linkages with ‘modern technology’,
business in defence manufacturing, have to be objectively refined so
relaxing norms of industrial licensing While many issues have already been
as to enable international defence
and defence exports, bringing flexibility addressed to varying degrees through
companies to exercise adequate
in offset obligations and providing a the new DPP 2016 and other policy
control over the ventures that
level playing field for private players, initiatives, there are some outstanding
these companies are forming with
etc. The new DPP 2016 has also been issues which need redressal by the
Indian partners.
released and made effective since Indian government. The key issues and
1 April 2016. Both the Indian as well recommendations are as follows: • The government should address
as foreign defence industries have the implementation issues that may
• The government should associate
responded with enthusiasm and come up in relation to DPP 2016
timelines with procurement
expressed their commitment to the provisions such as IDDM and strategic
milestones to cut down the tedious
Make in India initiative. partnerships. The timing to meet
and lengthy procurement process.
the increased 40–60% indigenous
India is also the fastest growing civil Accountability should be fixed for
content in IDDM should be flexible
aviation market in the word. The exceptional delays.
and the definition of indigenous
government has recently unveiled the • The tax regime is complicated. content should include both the cost
first-ever Civil Aviation Policy and While finalising bids, OEMs need to of raw material and value addition.
permitted 100% FDI in scheduled consider multiple taxes that are likely

Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 9
Vision of the future India are expanding, particularly on US companies will, inevitably, play
shorter routes. While backlogs and a major role in the modernisation
In 2015, the Framework for the orders remain strong, we see shifting and upgradation of Indian military
US-India Defense Relationship was dynamics—the narrowing cost and equipment (aircraft, artillery, air
completed, which will guide and expand value gaps and commodity volatility defence systems, sensors, infantry,
both nations’ bilateral defence and all beg the following question: Are armoured vehicles, submarines,
strategic partnership over the next 10 production rates going too high too fast? frigates/destroyers, aircraft carrier,
years. An agreement to pursue four missiles etc.). This will also include
pathfinder projects under DTTI as well Driven by strong balance sheets, defence complex shipborne systems like
as a cooperation agreement on aircraft companies in the US are looking to multifunction radars, IT-based systems,
carriers and jet engine technology was expand product lines and increase sensors (photonics, laser, MEMS),
signed. Further, the Joint Strategic scope. Consolidation by major weapons networking technologies for air and
Vision for the Asia-Pacific and Indian manufacturers in the US is unlikely undersea applications, platform design
Ocean Region, which affirms a shared given that the US Department of capability for aircraft structures, and
vision of prosperity and stability in the Defense wants to ensure that bidding on technological assistance that will allow
region, was formulated. contracts remains competitive; hence,
niche technologies remain attractive.
Interaction between Indian and US However, the Indian market is expected
companies is going to be increasingly to witness consolidation in the near
collaborative in the future. With term, riding primarily on revised offset
realignments in the geopolitical space, guidelines, incremental relaxations in
India and the US are bound to be FDI norms and the government’s Make
accredited with the status of ‘natural in India campaign. The agenda in focus
allies’. This interaction can take the in India is to reduce dependence on
form of co-production, technical imports to fulfil defence requirements.
collaboration, subcontracting or joint
ventures. In India, this is going to be With their rapidly ageing populations,
driven primarily by an increase of the US, Europe and Japan face
MSMEs, low-cost skilled labour, fiscal continued budget pressures, as
incentives for manufacturing and a huge the government contends with
market for domestic consumption. increased social costs and slow
economic development. Therefore,
Going by the recent momentum of A&D companies today need to focus
acquisition clearances, procurement on talent management (with an
expenditure is expected to grow faster emphasis on productivity, overcoming
than overall spending in defence in the human resource shortages in
near term. The growth trajectory till developed economies and utilising
2020 is expected to see an emerging the availability of resources in
domestic private sector primarily developing economies) and knowledge
because of reasons like a pressing management (intellectual property
need to modernise India’s armed transfer and protection).
forces, the government’s ambitious
Make in India campaign aimed at Opportunities for
attracting foreign companies to invest India to leapfrog development stages
in India’s manufacturing sector and
US companies
of propulsion technology for designing
offset requirements. To successfully enter the Indian A&D modern aircraft engines and modern
market, it is important to understand avionics systems.
Strong demand continues to drive the right ecosystem for the business and
aerospace OEMs. Both Boeing and the various benefits that companies can India’s entry into the Missile Technology
Airbus have significant backlogs, avail of. The technological hegemony of Control Regime (MTCR) as its 35th
which also impacts demand from US companies and domestic presence member is a key milestone in the Indo-
equipment suppliers. For example, and support for Indian companies US relationship, which will pave the
globally, at the end of the first quarter, provide an ideal ecosystem for co- road for increased defence trade and
Airbus had a backlog of 6,716 aircraft, production, technical collaboration, technology transfer between Indian and
including 5,479 single-aisle airliners. subcontracting or joint ventures in the US companies. The US, which has been
This level of demand is not surprising, A&D sector. working to open the doors for India to
given that a number of airlines in the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG),

4. U.N. World Urbanization Prospects: 2014 Revision

10 PwC
MTCR, Australia Group and Wassenaar DPP 2016: • The FDI limit for the defence sector
Arrangement since 2010 as part of has also been made applicable to
the Indo-US civil nuclear cooperation • A new category of acquisition has the manufacturing of small arms
agreement, played a key role in India been introduced: ‘Buy (Indian) and ammunitions covered under the
becoming a member of MTCR. India [IDDM]’ with a minimum of 40% Arms Act of 1959.
hopes that getting high-end missile Indigenous Content (if designed in
technology as well as buying the India)/60% Indigenous Content (if • Portfolio investment and
much-desired surveillance and armed not designed and developed in India). investment by FVCIs will be allowed
drones—including Predator, which is up to the permitted automatic
• Definition of acquisition categories route level of 49%.
made by General Atomics—from the US
has been elaborated and decision
and other MTCR members will be much
flow charts are provided for the • The requirement for seeking
easier now.
acquisition process. mandatory permission from CCS for
proposals involving FDI beyond 49%
• ‘Make’ procedure has been simplified has been removed.
with a focus on MSMEs.
Licensing policy
• Weightage is to be given for enhanced
performance features. • DIPP has released a list of products
requiring an industrial license.
• Procedural delays are to be reduced
and ease of doing business has been • Validity of industrial licenses has
focused upon. been further extended up to 18 years
for existing and new licenses.
• Consolidated offset policy has been
unveiled (amendments to DPP 2013 • ‘Security Manual for Licensed
incorporated). Defence Industry’ has been finalised.

• Offset threshold has • Industrial license will not be a


been increased. mandatory requirement to qualify
as an IOP.
• Standard operating procedures
have been laid out for change • The restriction on annual capacity in
of IOP/products. the defence sector has been removed.

• Exchange rate variation to be FTP


accommodated.
• FTP 2015–20 has been unveiled.
• ‘Services’ have been partially
reintroduced as an eligible • Defence export strategy has
offset avenue. been formulated.

• Requirement of indigenous • List of military stores requiring NOC


content reduced to 30% in ‘Buy of DoDP has been notified by DGFT.
(Global)’ bids where an Indian
• End User Certification is now required
The world urban population is expected firm/joint venture is bidding.
only from the immediate buyer.
to increase by 72% by 2050.4 Many
defence contractors see opportunities FDI policy
• Standard operating procedures are
in constructing and/or managing • Foreign investment has been now finalised for online application
government infrastructure. There is a allowed up to 100%. for issue of NOCs for the export of
growing need for ‘smart cities’, including military stores.
civil security in urban areas, which • FDI up to 49% will be under the
creates a demand for UAVs, biometrics, automatic route and above 49% will • Custom duty exemption on import of
data analytics, cyber security and be under the government approval specified goods by the government
protection of critical infrastructure. route in cases resulting in access to for defence purposes has been
modern technology. withdrawn.
Key issues that US companies need
to be aware of while entering or
expanding in India

Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 11
Banking, insurance and financial services

Industry dynamics
The BFSI sector in India has changed considerably post
the economic reforms of 1991. For example, the banking
landscape has changed rapidly post liberalisation, with
the advent of new generation private sector banks and the
public listing of several PSU banks.

With its favourable demographics, India offers financial


services providers a huge opportunity. Nearly 53% of the
country’s population will be in the working age bracket
from 2016 onwards, leading to an increase in GDP, while
the proportion of population aged 65 and above is expected
to double from 5% to 10% over the next 20 years. Both
these factors will create a huge demand for financial
services products.1

In FY15, Indian gross domestic savings as a percentage of


GDP stood at 32.45% which, when compared to the figure for
India’s peers, is relatively low. In addition, national savings in
India are forecast to increase from 647 billion USD in 2014 to
1,012 USD in 2019.2 Both these trends are expected to lead to
an increase in the need for financial products.

With the potential to become the fifth largest banking industry


in the world by 2020 and third largest by 2025,3 India’s
banking and financial sector is expanding rapidly. Indian
banking sector assets have reached 1.96 trillion USD in FY15
from 1.3 trillion USD in FY10, with over 70% accounted for by
the public sector.4

1. 11th Five Year Plan Report, Planning Commission


2. IBEF. (2016). Report on Indian financial services industry. Retrieved from www.
ibef.org/download/Financial-Services-January-2016
3. IBEF. (2016). Report on Indian banking industry. Retrieved from http://www.
ibef.org/industry/banking-india.aspx
4. IBA. (2015). Being five star in productivity: Roadmap for excellence in Indian
banking. Retrieved from http://www.fibac-india.com/images/2011.pdf

12 PwC
The figure below gives a segmental overview of the Indian financial sector:
Ministry of Finance

IRDA RBI Securities Exchange Board PFRDA

Insurance Financial Money markets Capital markets and Pension funds


Banks NBFCs
companies institutions (primary and others) their intermediates

SCBs (84) Deposit-taking


NHB
NBFCs Brokerage houses
(NBFC – D)
Urban and
Primary Rural Cooperative
NABARD Mutual funds
dealers Banks (3)

Regional NBFC-ND-SI Stock and


SIDBI
Rural Banks currency exchanges

Exim Bank Microfinance

Financial institutions
Regulatory bodies

Total lending and deposits have Over the last 10 years, NBFCs have that is reflected in their asset growth
increased at a CAGR of 6% and come to form an integral part of the pattern. The total number of NBFCs has
12.9% during FY11–15 and FY06–15, Indian financial system. They have been come down from 51,929 in 1997 to
respectively, and, backed by a demand instrumental in providing credit to 11,769 as on 30 September 2015, whereas
for housing and personal finance, are retail customers in the underserved and asset size has grown from 75,913 crore
poised for further growth.5 unbanked areas. Over the last few years, INR as at end March 1998 to 16,10,729
NBFCs have grown rapidly in India and crore INR at end September 2015.6

Growth in credit over the past few years (billion USD) Proportion of NBFC assets to bank assets
12,00 1089 40%
984 969 994 35%
1,000
864 30%
14.3% 14.8%
800 684 25% 12.7% 13.3%
587 602 20% 11.3% 11.6%
10.7%
600
428 15%
400 10%
5%
200
29.61 0%
0 -5%
FY07

FY08

FY09

FY10

FY11

FY12

FY13

FY14

FY15

FY16*

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Source: Reserve Bank of India (RBI), TechSci Research Source: CARE Ratings
FY16* - till October ’15

5. RBI. (2015). Report on trend and progress of bank- 6. RBI. (2015). NBFC data. Retrieved from
ing in India 2014-15. Retrieved from https://www.rbi. https://www.rbi.org.in/scripts/SearchResults.
org.in/Scripts/AnnualPublications.aspx?head=Trend aspx?search=NBFC
and Progress of Banking in India

Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 13
NBFCs have gained a market share in The number of AMCs in India has The Indian life insurance industry
the total credit in India. Between 2005 increased from 33 in March 2003 to continues to be on a high growth
and 2015, the NBFC share in credit rose 43 in September 2015,9 with HDFC MF, trajectory path; favourable demographic
from 10% to 15%. We expect further ICICI MF and Reliance MF as the top profiles and strong macroeconomic
growth over the coming few years as three players by AUM. fundamentals are expected to drive
credit penetration is low is India and further growth.
non-bank finance penetration is still low In the AMC industry, corporate investors
as compared to other economies around account for around 46.6% of the total The life insurance premium market
the world. NBFC credit (percentage of AUM in India, while high net worth grew at a CAGR of 14%, from 19 billion
GDP) in India is 13% as opposed to 26% individuals and retail investors account USD in FY05 to 62 billion USD in FY15.
in Malaysia and 74% in Japan.7 for 28.9% and 21.5%, respectively.

Mutual fund AUM (USD billion) Gross premium written in India (billion USD)
215.4 64
60 62
179.6 56
CAGR 12.8% 50 52 52
48
125.4 129.5 129.8 125.3 129.2 136.9
34
90.4 24
72.3 19
FY05

FY06

FY07

FY08

FY09

FY10

FY11

FY12

FY13

FY14

FY15
FY07

FY08

FY09

FY10

FY11

FY12

FY13

FY14

FY15

FY16*

Life
Source: AMFI, TechSci Research Source: IRDA, TechSci Research
FY16* - till September ’15

Traditionally, NBFCs have performed Indian MFs are dominated by debt This trend is set to continue as the life
better than banks on their respective funds, which contribute to 45% of insurance penetration level is expected
return on equity. The higher profitability the total AUM. to increase from 3.3% to 5% by 2020.11
has been driven by NBFCs’ stringent
risk monitoring and risk management The industry is seeing increasing M&A With lower levels of competition as
policies along with a customer-centric activity as revenues across the segment compared to other Asian countries,
business model. Going forward, it is are decreasing and combined with the significant scope for penetration in
expected that NBFCs will be faced with increasing costs, this is putting excess semi-urban and rural areas and further
higher capital requirements, tighter pressure on the medium and small product innovation and development,
securitisation norms and more stringent AMCs. In addition, the new SEBI MF the life insurance industry is expected to
non-performing loan recognition norms, regulations call for additional regulatory quadruple in size over the next 10 years.
which will affect the industry’s overall capital requirements which are putting a
burden on the small players. The general insurance industry growth
profitability and bring them on par with
has kept pace with GDP growth in
traditional banks.
India is currently the fifteenth largest the country and post liberalisation of
The asset management industry in insurance market in the world in terms the Indian insurance industry in the
India is one of the fastest growing in of premium volume, and it has the year 1999–2000, the Indian general
the world and has evolved significantly potential to grow exponentially over insurance industry has witnessed rapid
over the last five years. The total AUM the next 5–10 years. The insurance growth, growing from 2.6 billion USD
of the MF industry has grown at a CAGR industry is expected to reach 280 in FY02 to 13.9 billion USD in FY15 at a
of 12.8% over FY07–16 (till September billion USD in 2020 as India’s insurable CAGR of 13.8%.12
2015) to reach 215.4 billion USD. population is anticipated to touch 750
Currently, AUM as a percentage of GDP million in 2020, with life expectancy
for India is approximately 7%,8 which reaching 74 years.10
is considerably lower than that of other
emerging economies such as Brazil,
which is at 45%. The US has the highest
AUM/GDP ratio of 83%.

9. IBEF. (2016). Report on Indian financial services


industry. Retrieved from http://www.ibef.org/industry/
7. IBEF. (2016). Report on Indian financial services financial-services-india.aspx 11. Ibid.
industry. http://www.ibef.org/industry/financial- 10. IRDA. (2015). Annual report. Retrieved from 12. IBEF. (2016). Report on Indian insurance industry.
services-india.aspx http://www.policyholder.gov.in/IRDAI_Annual_ Retrieved from http://www.ibef.org/industry/insur-
8. Ibid. Reports.aspx ance-sector-india.aspx

14 PwC
Growth in non-life insurance premium (billion USD) Financial inclusion
Over the next few years, the focus of
CAGR:7.7% 7.7 Indian financial service providers will
6.8 7.2
5.8
6.7
5.1
be on financial inclusion, wherein
3.8
4.4 4.2 4.6 banks will look to address the growing
3.3 3.6 4.7 5.1 5.7 6.3
0.8 1.2 1.9 2.7 2.7 2.9 3.8 4.2 financial demands of emerging India.
While the credit disbursal of all SCBs has

FY16*
FY05

FY06

FY07

FY08

FY09

FY10

FY11

FY12

FY13

FY14

FY15
more than doubled from FY08 to FY15,
a credit gap still exists for the unbanked
Private Public
and underbanked population in India.
Source: IRDA, TechSci Research
As part of its push for financial inclusion,
RBI has granted licenses to 11 payment
While the Indian general insurance will result in heightened competitive banks and 10 small finance banks which
industry has evolved significantly over interest from a range of foreign will look to service the financial services
the past decade or so, the insurance insurers, who are looking to India as needs of customers in semi-urban and
penetration and insurance density a major source of growth, as growth rural sectors. These banks will give
levels are significantly lower than those in insurance premiums in their home stiff competition to existing established
of developed as well as comparable country stagnates. banks and are expected to disrupt the
developing countries. The under- banking landscape from 2016 onwards.
penetration is driven by a lack of With the easing of the FDI norms in In addition, we expect NBFCs to
overall financial awareness, lack of the insurance sector over the past year, continue to serve unbanked customers
understanding of general insurance approximately 20 deals have been by further developing products
products, low perceived benefits, and announced in the insurance sector, and services for retail asset-backed
propensity to purchase insurance based with foreign investors infusing capital lending, lending against securities and
on reactive drivers. into Indian insurance companies. In microfinance.
addition, a few life insurance companies
We expect India’s robust economy are also looking to conduct an IPO, Distribution models
and growth rate to sustain the growth which would be a first in the country.
in insurance premiums written. This We foresee distribution of financial
products as the main challenge to
fulfilling the goal of financial inclusion.
Branches of financial institutions have
historically had limited penetration
across smaller cities. This has led to
high transaction and distribution
costs, making their business in rural
areas unviable.

To address this issue, insurance


companies will be focussing on
new distribution channels such as
bancassurance, online distribution and
NBFCs, which allow them to widen
their reach and reduce operational
costs. In addition to encouraging
investments from smaller cities, SEBI
has allowed AMCs to hike their expense
ratio up to 0.3% on the condition that
they generate more than 30% inflow
from smaller cities.

Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 15
Technology In the case of NBFCs, we also see market With the easing of the FDI norms in
borrowings becoming a larger part of insurance and the recent approval of
In an effort to remain competitive with the funding structure of high-rated ones 49% FDI through the automatic route,
potential fintech disruptors, financial as their market borrowing rates are there has been a large increase in
services providers are aggressively significantly lower than those of banks. foreign investment in this sector. We
looking to enhance their technology expect this trend to continue as India
infrastructure and gain a competitive M&A (US focus) presents a great business opportunity for
advantage through cutting-edge online insurance companies with its favourable
and mobile solutions. Due to its stringent regulatory
demographics and low insurance
aspects (especially banking), penetration levels.
It is estimated that by 2020, three in the financial services sector has
every four insurance policies will be not seen a lot of inbound M&A In the insurance space, Liberty Mutual
influenced by online channels. Further, from the US. increased its stake in its joint venture
sales through online channels will with Videocon, indicating the potential
grow by 20 times, indicating the impact In the AMC space, there has been
interest that US insurers have in India.
of technology on financial services in consolidation in the market and market
US companies have also been active in
the future. concentration is expected to remain
the insurance broking space in India,
in the near term. There have been
which has seen increased activity in
Regulatory and capital multiple exits in the AMC space by
terms of joint ventures with domestic
requirements foreign players as they have come to
firms.
realise that domestic firms are better
Over the next few years, Indian banks placed to grow in India because of their
will need to address the issue of growing wider distribution networks. From a
Insurance
GNPAs and NNPAs. As per the Global US perspective, both Goldman and JP We foresee a large opportunity in the
Financial Stability Report released by Asset Management have sold off their Indian insurance space for US financial
IMF, 36.9% of India’s total debt is at AMC businesses to domestic firms, institutions. Over the last few years,
risk, which is among the highest in while Prudential and Invesco have we have seen a steady increase in
the emerging economies, while India’s made substantial investments in this penetration levels as household incomes
banks have only a 7.9% loss-absorbing sector. We see opportunities for more have grown and the government
buffer, which is among the lowest. US financial institutions to enter this continues to make the sector more
space keeping in mind the headroom lucrative for foreign participants by
The overall riskiness of the portfolio of for growth in the AUM as a percentage easing FDI norms. As the disposable
Indian banks will pose a major challenge of GDP metric. income of the Indian middle class
going forward and keeping this in
mind, regulation around strategic debt
restructuring was introduced in 2015
with the aim of making banks more
proactive in dealing with defaulters.
This allowed banks to turn part of their
loans into equity.

To fulfil the mandate of financial


inclusion, all banks (including PSUs)
will need more capital to increase their
lending capacity. We believe this capital
requirement for PSUs will be addressed
through divestment of the government’s
stake. In addition, as public sector banks
look to become compliant with BASEL
III norms and increased risk capital
requirements, they will require the
infusion of fresh capital.

16 PwC
grows, we see an increasing interest in product design and development, Large US financial institutions,
insurance and an ever-growing demand which can be addressed by partnering including US investment banks, have
for innovative products. We believe with established global brokers. While launched fintech-focussed accelerator
American insurance companies, with certain US-based brokers already have firms to take advantage of the
their extensive experience across world a limited presence in India, there is an opportunities in the fintech space of
geographies, are well placed to help opportunity for them to create a scale emerging economies, including India,
potential Indian partners take advantage business which provides a range of high- and we expect this trend to continue
of this growing market segment. quality products and services to Indian over the next few years as the fintech
corporate and retail customers. industry in India matures.
The distribution model for insurance
products is also undergoing an evolution Fintech Currently, the US dominates the
and to increase insurance penetration global fintech industry, with the
in India, alternative distribution Another area where we were see most mature players and access to
channels have emerged in the industry. huge potential for US companies is the largest pools of finance. We see
We believe technology will play a the Indian fintech sector. Financial established US fintech firms looking at
very important role in the expansion technology start-ups are disrupting India as the next big opportunity for
of these distribution channels—for the traditional markets of established their product offerings as they seek to
instance, the rise of online distribution financial institutions such as banks leverage the ever-growing demand for
models has led to an increase in and, in essence, creating new markets technology-driven financial services
insurance penetration levels and helped for themselves. As per NASSCOM, the products and solutions.
companies reduce costs. We believe Indian fintech market is forecast to
this is another area where US insurance touch 2.4 billion USD by 2020 from the Two specific areas within the fintech
companies have had success, and Indian current 1.2 billion USD. While India’s space which we consider to be of interest
insurance companies could leverage the fintech sector growth is not comparable to US firms are payment and P2P
knowledge and experience of their US to that of some of its global peers, the lending. The mobile payments industry
counterparts in this area. availability of a cheaper tech workforce in India has been valued at about 1.15
and a large tech-savvy young population billion USD in 2016, growing from
In terms of distribution channels, as the is set to propel the growth in this sector. 86 million USD in 2011 and clocking
Indian market matures, we will see the Increasingly, the BFSI sector in India is a CAGR of 68%.13 We see growing
growing influence of IFAs and insurance looking at fintech as an enabler rather interest from US fintech companies
brokers. Existing local brokers in India than a disruptor and this has led to a looking for strategic collaborations
will face serious challenges around spate of deal activity within this sector. across the India digital payments space
to leverage the growing demand for
digital and mobile payments.

In P2P lending, the global market is


expected to grow at a CAGR of 60% to
1 trillion USD by 2025, up from 9 billion
USD in 2014,14 with the US being the
biggest and the most mature market.
Currently, India lacks a regulatory
framework in this segment; we expect
this situation to change over the next
few years. Once the industry matures,
we see the possibility of established
US firms partnering with local Indian
firms to take advantage of this
fast-growing sector

13. The Economist. (2015). Slings and arrows.


Retrieved from http://www.economist.com/sites/
default/files/20150509_intl_banking.pdf
14. Statista. (2016). Value of global peer to peer lend-
ing from 2012 to 2025. Retrieved from http://www.
statista.com/statistics/325902/global-p2p-lending/

Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 17
Chemicals

Industry dynamics
The Indian chemical industry is estimated to be worth around
144 billion USD1 and contributes to about 1.4% of India’s GDP.
India is the third largest chemical manufacturer (in volume
terms) in Asia after China and Japan. The sector is expected to
grow at a CAGR of 14%2 to reach 3503 billion USD by 2021.

Growth in chemical industry (billion USD)

~14% 350

144

2014 2021E

E: Estimate

1. http://www.makeinindia.com/sector/chemicals
2. http://www.makeinindia.com/article/-/v/direct-foreign-
investment-towards-india-s-growth
3. http://www.makeinindia.com/article/-/v/direct-foreign-
investment-towards-india-s-growth

18 PwC
The Indian chemical industry is Geographical split of the chemical industry
poised to grow due to following 107
demand drivers: 103
(1) Steady domestic demand: India’s
GDP growth outlook (7–8% over the 194
next few years), rising population 55
and low per capita consumption of 104 936
chemicals. In the past, the growth rate 140
95
of chemicals has been higher than the
96 203
overall GDP growth rates, and this trend 102
is expected to continue. 95 486 585
346
(2) Emergence of conducive
477 449
export opportunities led by China’s 401
environmental issues: Tightened
pollution control norms and increasing 418 498 538
cost of labour and power
1990 2000 2011
Western Europe North America
Chemical industry segmentation Asia-Pacific (excluding China) China
Latin America Eastern Europe
Pharma and biotechnology
Source: IHS Global Insight

21% Basic

40%

19%

Speciality 20%

Agrochemicals
Source: Planning commission 12th Year Plan

Furthermore, government initiatives


like Make in India have given this
sector a push —100% FDI is now
allowed under the automatic route,
industrial licensing abolished for most
sub-sectors, PCPIRs, etc.

The shift to Asia


Production and labour cost advantages
as well as strong regional demand
growth in Asia has led to a shift of
industry value chains to Asia. The shift
was further aided by the economic

Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 19
Growth through M&A

Year Bidder Target Target description Rationale

2015 Clariant Vivimed Labs Ltd (personal India-based personal care Strengthening of product portfolio
care portfolio business) portfolio business of
Vivimed Labs

2015 Frutarom Industries Ltd Sonarome Pvt. Ltd India-based company Expanding operations in India
engaged in the manufacture of
fragrances, flavours, and
seasonings for food products,
cosmetics, toiletries, etc.

2015 Evonik Industries AG Monarch Catalyst Pvt. Ltd India-based manufacturer of Strengthening of product portfolio
nickel catalyst for oils and
oleo chemicals

2014 Nihon Nohyaku Co. Ltd Hyderabad Chemicals Ltd India-based company Access to manufacturing facility
engaged in manufacturing
pesticide products

2014 Clariant Chemicals (India) Ltd Plastichemix Industries India-based company Expansion of product portfolio
engaged in the production of and customer base
master batches

2013 Brenntag AG Zytex Group (chemical India-based chemical Strengthening of product portfolio
distribution division) distribution division of and distribution network
Zytex Group

growth in Asia (primarily India and Several global players Strong end use industry growth
China) and an increasing consumer have used the M&A route is expected to boost demand
market base. The recent regulatory for chemical products and
amendments in China are conducive to to aggressively grow their thereby offers an opportunity for
India and are also aided by the Make in business in India chemical companies to grow. The
India initiative by the government. India has approximately 70,0004 need for advanced technologies
chemical units installed, dominated and access to funds to support
With a rapidly growing Indian economy growth will lead to M&A activity
and rising disposable income, the by small-scale units. In the last five
years, several large and medium-sized in the sector.
demand for specialised products is also
increasing. This has led to a greater chemical companies have used the
demand for speciality chemicals. M&A route to establish their presence in
The industry is also achieving critical India (see table below). In the coming
economies of scale. As India moves years, the trend to grow through M&A
towards greater production of speciality should continue as it provides speed to
chemicals, more advanced technologies market, access to the manufacturing
will be required by speciality chemical and distribution network, etc. Though
companies. Moreover, the limitation of India has already attracted global MNCs
resources in terms of finance required owing to rising domestic demand and
to support this growth could lead to growth prospects, the new entrants will
collaborations in various forms with intensify competition for smaller players,
global MNCs. leading to gradual consolidation.

However, the major roadblock to the Opportunities for


growth in the chemical sector in India US companies
is the availability of feedstock. The
There is vast potential for investment in
costs of these raw materials are high in
the Indian chemical market, especially
India compared to countries like China,
in the speciality chemical segment.
the Middle East and other Southeast
Companies operating in the speciality
Asian countries, such as Thailand
chemical segment are expected to
and Indonesia. The way to overcome
maintain healthy growth rates because
this challenge is by using alternate
of growth in end use industries
feedstock.
like personal care, automotive and
construction.

4. Department of Chemicals and Petrochemicals.


(December 2013). Draft National Chemical Policy

20 PwC
Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 21
Dedicated freight corridors

Industry dynamics
In June 2015, CCEA approved a cost estimate of the
eastern and western DFC projects (including land), at
81,459 crore INR.1
India may spend around 3.3 lakh crore INR to set up three
new dedicated rail freight corridors over the next eight years.
The three new corridors will be 5,500 km in length, adding
to the existing 3,300 km.2
As announced in the FY16 Railway Budget, the proposed three
new corridors are the 2,328-km-long north-south corridor
connecting Delhi to Chennai; the 2,327-km-long east-west
corridor linking Kolkata with Mumbai, and the 1,114-km-long
east coast corridor from Kharagpur to Vijaywada.3

Selected major challenges


Land acquisition
Even though DFCCIL has been able to acquire almost 90%4 of
the land, the remaining 10% still poses a challenge and can get
in the way of completion of the project.
Cost overruns
The Ministry of Railways will be carrying out such a large-
scale project for the first time through PPP, and time and
cost overruns coupled with rehabilitation and resettlement
measures may prove to be critical operational parameters
to guard against.

1. http://dfccil.gov.in/dfccil_app/Project_Funding
2. http://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-to-invest-
rs-3-3-lakh-cr-on-three-new-rail-freight-corridor-arms-116060301321_1.html
3. http://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-to-invest-
rs-3-3-lakh-cr-on-three-new-rail-freight-corridor-arms-116060301321_1.html
4. DFCC press release

22 PwC
Organisational structure A part of the new freight corridors, The following are some opportunities
which is to be built in the near future, for the taking for US companies
Since the DFCs are being developed
is planned to be financed through PPPs, demonstrating the right capabilities:
under DFCCIL, organisational issues
where not only the US firms but also
regarding diversion of traffic, sharing of
companies across the globe could target
revenues, and operations of rolling stock
this means of financing as a potential
may need to be spelt out clearly to avoid
entry into the market. This is mainly
any conflicts of interest that may arise
because the government is helping
once the DFCs are operational.
retain the risk factor here.
Vision of the future
DFCs are the much-needed
infrastructure to enable railways to
reliably service freight customers. Once
the five corridors are operational, it will DFC opportunity Potential type of firm
mark a paradigm change in the logistics
Supply/maintenance of specialised Companies that design and manufacture railcars
sector in India.
wagons for specific commodities as well and that specialise in welding, cleaning and
However, funding the DFC projects as high capacity wagons (rolling stock maintenance of all railcars; manufacturing of
may prove to be a major challenge. approved by RDSO) flat-deck cars and well-type cars
International banks, multilateral Locomotive manufacturing Companies having experience in freight
institutions and PE firms are expected locomotive manufacturing, standard as well as
to increase exposure to this sector. Since new designs, including hybrid diesel-electric
this is a high-growth sector, interested power system locomotive
private players may see strong organic
Manufacturing and supply of domestic Manufacturers for container transport
growth, and M&A activity may not see containers (similar to European or
much action till 2020. American style swap bodies),
road-railers and other intermodal
The DFC and Indian Railways will
equipment (approved by RDSO)
see major investments in the next
decade in the country and can outpace Track laying, safety and maintenance Suppliers for railway track maintenance
other sectors in infrastructure by size and construction
and investments.
Indian Railways has already taken
1,50,000 crore INR in financing support
from LIC for its various ongoing projects
till 2020, and DFC is expected to be a
major beneficiary of these funds.
The near future will see major players
worldwide investing in railways,
given the increasingly transparent
procurement tendering process and size
of these contracts.

Opportunities for the


US companies
Hundred per cent FDI under the
automatic route is permitted for both
dedicated freight lines and rolling
stock, including train sets, and
locomotive/coaches manufacturing and
maintenance facilities. One of the clear-
cut opportunities for US companies to
present their technical capabilities lies
in the corridor’s objective to ensure
technological advancement in the field.

Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 23
Digital India for inclusive growth

Digital is emerging as a key catalyst for empowering people,


process, technology and industries across the globe. With over
a billion mobile phone users1 and over 450 million internet
users,2 digital in India is much more than an industry—it is
a revolution. Digital is one medium which is touching upon
nearly all aspects of our lives, be it education, health, skill
development, smart cities or the environment. While a lot has
happened in the digital space across the globe, it is still at a
nascent stage in India.

Digital has significant potential to scale up the growth of the


Indian economy while ensuring inclusive development. The
possibilities are immense. In the past, the growth story of
India did not make inroads into the bottom of the pyramid. On
one side, there was a lack of technology infrastructure (low
bandwidth) and on the other hand, there was a lack of players
focussed on digital in the Indian market. Leading billion-dollar
IT companies like Infosys, TCS, Wipro and HCL were mainly
focussed on serving the international IT services market.

Since then, times have changed and digital has tremendous


potential to uplift the largely ignored and underprivileged
strata of society and connect the dots of development pan-
India. Digital is now entering into the remotest regions of
India and bringing people from all strata under its umbrella.
The number of mobile subscribers in India jumped from 261
million in 2007–2008 to 910 million in 2013–2014, accounting
for a whopping 249% increase in six years. Moreover, India
registered a growth of more than 50% annually in the

1. http://www.forbes.com/sites/saritharai/2016/01/06/india-just-
crossed-1-billion-mobile-subscribers-milestone-and-the-excitements-just-
beginning/#4af8c0385ac2
2. http://www.internetlivestats.com/internet-users-by-country/

24 PwC
number of rural Internet users.3 This The Digital India programme,6 e-commerce industry. Payment gateway
growth has also been supported by an launched by the Government of India, solutions like Paytm have ushered in a
increase in 3G services to customers. is doing wonders in taking the benefits new era of digital payments in India.
With the recent launch of 4G services of technological advancement to the These, in turn, are fuelling the digital
in the country, this growth is expected masses. With the power of digital, revolution in India and opening up new
to maintain its upward trend. It is the government is spearheading a avenues in the digital space for both
notable that more than 80% of mobile new era of development in various domestic and international players.
Internet users access the Internet for the areas such as education, healthcare,
purpose of social networking.4 Also, it agriculture, financial services, retail The time is ideal to break the mould
is important to note that the growth of and urbanisation. and enter the Indian digital market
mobile Internet usage is highly demand- with innovations as well as already
driven and, as a result, the e-commerce In the digital space, both Indian established models for rapid, sustainable
industry has grown significantly. companies as well as international and demand-driven growth.
players are breaking new ground
According to industry estimates,5 the and competing for a growing market Selected major trends
technology sector in India is expected share. An interesting example of the
The digital industry is cutting across
to grow significantly over the next five digital change is shown by the entry of
several sectors. The major trends
years and is seen as a one-trillion dollar Uber in the Indian markets. Uber took
in the industry are in line with the
opportunity with a possible contribution the markets by storm, leading to the
international trends of mobility and
of around 25% to the GDP. With the emergence and rapid growth of Indian
services 3.0, big data, e-commerce,
fast-paced growth of digital literacy and companies like Ola. Similarly, Amazon
smart cities, public service efficiencies
mobile phone production, the Internet is growing immensely, with robust
and innovations.
economy itself is projected to reach 200 competition from domestic players
billion USD in the next five years. such as Flipkart and Snapdeal in the

Digital themes Key opportunity areas Existing scenario


• Smartphone-based solutions Several players from small to large organisations.
1 Mobility • GIS/GPS enabled services Organisations like Uber and Ola are transforming
• Cloud computing the landscape.

Big data • Information convergence and analytics A growing area with several medium-sized players
2 • Social media observatory
and services 3.0
• Proactive, personalised and contextual services

• Digital commerce Growing exponentially with scope for significant


3 e-commerce • Payment gateways growth. Major players include Amazon, Flipkart
• M-commerce and Snapdeal.

• Smart Cities programme of Government of India Still an open field with major MNCs such as IBM,
4 Smart cities • P4 (Public private people partnerships) Siemens, Cisco and Ericsson, pushing for reforms
institutional mechanisms

• Aadhar ID (e-ID) linked services Dominated by large IT companies such as Infosys,


5 Public service • E-services/m-services - G2C, G2B, G2G TCS, Wipro, Tech Mahindra and HCL
efficiency • Citizen participation and engagement

• Blockchain Still in its infancy. Increasing focus of


6 Innovations • IoT start-up community.
• 3D printing

3. IAMAI press release. (2014). Retrieved from http://


www.iamai.in/PRelease_detail.aspx?nid=3222&NMo
nth=11&NYear=2013.
4. Chowdhary, M. (2013). How much has social
media penetrated in India? IndiaSocial. Retrieved
from http://www.indiasocial.in/socialmedia-
penetration-india/
5. http://economictimes.indiatimes.
com/articleshow/50839825.cms?utm_
source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_
campaign=cppst 6 http://www.digitalindia.gov.in/

Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 25
Selected major challenges Opportunities for US
Like other industries, digital has its own companies
share of challenges. The following are There are a significant number of
three major challenges: opportunities for US-based companies
to enter and invest in the Indian
• Evolving technologies call for
digital space. In fact, the early market
new policies: The technology
entrants in most sectors were US-based
landscape is evolving fast and is
companies that have already found
propelling the government to come
and established a large market in India.
up with policies at a fast pace. Indian
With the government’s emphasis on
government systems are still learning
Digital India, this is an ideal time to
the art of adapting to technological
penetrate the Indian market. In the last
changes. However, the technological
three years, the market has seen a bit of
advancements are happening at
consolidation with very high valuations.
lightening speed, making it hard
Similar to case of the US industry, the
for governments to keep pace with
acquisition of small players by large
relevant policy changes. For instance,
companies is the most prominent trend
the state of Andhra Pradesh released
of the season.
a dedicated policy document for IoT.
The opportunity areas for US-
• Security concerns: Digital has given
based companies in each of the
rise to various security concerns,
trends have been highlighted in
right from cyber security to national
the above diagram, along with the
security for India. Theft of credit
previous response.
information and password details
is a grave threat as a majority of the
Internet users are still not very aware
when it comes to digital literacy.
As a result, a large section of the
population remains vulnerable to
security hacks, which leads to both
monetary and psychological loss.
Also, the draft National Geospatial
Policy released by the Government of
India, which puts restrictions on the
use of the Geographic Information
System (GIS) maps, clearly
highlights the extent of national
security worries.

• Too much noise for customers:


With low barriers to entry, the
digital space is witnessing a lot of
entrepreneurs vying for attention
from the same customer. This is
leading to large spends on marketing
and communication for companies.
However, from a customer
standpoint, there is too much noise
and they are increasingly finding it
difficult to choose the right direction.

26 PwC
Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 27
Power and utilities

Industry dynamics
The electricity sector in India is also undergoing significant
growth and change. Among other aspects, the government
is focussed on providing universal access and 24/7 supply
of power. The primary fuel sector has been revamped,
EE in sectors is being addressed, and a major attempt at
transforming the energy mix, with a goal of 175 GW of RE
by 2022, is under way.
Electricity production has crossed 1,103 BU (2015–16) with
a growth of 8.2% over the last decade (2006–16). India is
currently the third largest producer, surpassing Japan and
Russia, and the fourth largest consumer of electricity in the
world with an annual per capital consumption of 1,010 kWh.
The installed capacity has reached 303 GW (as of 31 March
2016), growing at a CAGR of 14.3% in the past 10 years.
Although coal continues to be the primary source of power
generation, with 61% (185.17 GW) share in capacity, RE
capacity is gaining focus due to emphasis on lesser emissions
and a major push from the Government of India, which has set
an ambitious target of achieving total renewable capacity of
175 GW by the end of 2022.
The base demand for power has grown at a CAGR of 5.9%
from 862 BU in 2010–11 to 1,114 BU in 2015–16 and is
expected to increase to 1,393 BU by 2018–19, thereby growing
at a pace of 8.4%. Power deficits have been significant but
not entirely overcome; in FY 2015–16, India suffered an
energy and peak deficit of 2.1% and 3.2% respectively, down

28 PwC
Electricity generation in India (BU) Installed capacity (GW)
400
1,200 1,103
1,044 302
907 962 300 272
1,000 872 245
223
800 200
635
200
600 132
400
100
200
- -
2006-07 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2006-07 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16
Source: CEA

Mode-wise installed capacity (GW) Renewables installed (capacity over the years in GW)
Renewable 200
175
Energy sources

150
14.2%

100

Hydro 14.2% 43
50 32 36
25 28
8
1.9%
Nuclear -
0.3% 2007 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2022
Diesel 8.1% 61.3% Coal

Gas

Source: CEA, Ministry of Power

from 8.7% and 9% three years back in


Generation Transmission Distribution
FY 2012–13. With the government’s
focus on providing electricity to rural NTPC Ltd PGCIL State DISCOMs
areas, the power T&D system is being
extended to remote villages, resulting NHPC Ltd State transcos Tata Power Co Ltd
in an increase of the total length of NPCIL Alstom T&D India Ltd CESC Ltd
transmission lines in the country by a
CAGR of 6.1% from 3,58,580 circuit NLC Ltd KPTL Torrent Power Ltd
kilometres (ckm) in 2006–07 to
SJVN Ltd KEC International Ltd REL
around 5,54,774 ckm in 2015–16.
The entire value chain of the power State gencos SPGV
sector in India is dominated by the Adani Power Ltd
central and state sector utilities. Major
public and private sector players have JSW Energy Ltd
been listed alongside.
Tata Power Co Ltd

Torrent Power Ltd

Green Infra Ltd

Greenko Power Pvt Ltd

Orient Green Power Co Ltd

Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 29
Major players in the US Consequently, financial problems
faced by local DISCOMs are often
Generation Transmission Distribution exacerbated by cash flow shortfalls
and delay in subsidy compensation
AES Corporation ISO New England Pacific Gas & Electric
payments due from state governments
Southern Company PJM Interconnection Southern California Edison and poor metering and inefficient billing
and collection. All these factors give
American Electric Power Southwest Power Pool (SPP) Florida Power & Light rise to poor performance, inadequate
Duke Energy California ISO Consolidated Edison
investment, high T&D losses and regular
power outages.
Luminant New York ISO Georgia Power
The government has already
Reliant Energy Electric Reliability Council of Texas Virginia Electric & Power initiated several measures, including
the UDAY scheme to arrest further
losses and improve the financial
Selected major developments • UDAY scheme: Aimed at improving
health of DISCOMs.
the financial situation of state-owned
Rise of RE with a key focus on solar DISCOMs • Delay in clearances, slow progress
power: With a major push from the on civil works: Land acquisition and
government to achieve total renewable • Changes in policy, regulation and
obtaining environment and forest
capacity to 175 GW by the end of 2022 industry structure: The Electricity
clearances have been challenging,
(100 GW from solar, 60 GW from Act, 2003, which pioneered
which further leads to delays in
wind, 10 GW from biomass and 5 GW development of the sector, is
commissioning of projects. Also,
from small hydro), it is imperative that being amended to introduce new
resettlement and rehabilitation
the Indian electricity market pivots elements to enhance competition and
issues along with interstate water
rapidly towards a significantly higher improve the quality and reliability
disputes add to the problems,
reliance on RE and EE. Solar power of electricity supply. The proposed
especially in the development of
capacity additions is expected to rise amendment is aimed to reform the
hydropower projects.
rapidly over the next few years, driven distribution business by segregating
majorly by commissioning of projects the network and supply business, The government has taken certain policy
allotted under different state policies, with the latter to be opened to other measures to address these issues, which
National Solar Mission (Phase II) and players, allowing consumers to are likely to reduce the delays.
aggressive expansion plans by central choose their suppliers by eliminating
• Financing environment: High
PSUs. Moreover, government initiatives the existing barriers to open access.
lending rates and increase in
to facilitate land acquisition, improve Also, to drive the energy mix change,
financing cost at the time of project
transmission infrastructure and funding mandatory targets through RPOs for
appraisal impact the project cost
issues will support capacity additions. solar power are to be upped from the
and in turn the tariffs. A robust
current 3% to 8% by 2022. Further,
Much-needed reforms for the credit enhancement mechanism
a new RGO has been proposed which
T&D sector: The Ministry of Power for funding through increased
requires fossil fuel plants to produce
has launched major reforms in 2015, participation by global funding
10% of their capacity through
focussing on better regulation of agencies in the entire value chain will
renewable sources and allows them to
DISCOMs and faster roll-out boost the energy sector.
bundle renewable and conventional
of investments: supply in a single contract. The Vision of the future
• IPDS: For strengthening of sub- regulators are also to be empowered
to deal with non-compliance of RPOs Upsurge in demand: The Indian
transmission and distribution
and limit cross-subsidy surcharge to economy is expected to continue
networks in urban areas, metering of
15% of the relevant tariff. its growth trajectory, riding on the
distribution transformers/feeders/
advantages of the increasing population
consumers in urban areas, and IT Selected major challenges of the of the working age group, rapid
enablement of the distribution sector Indian power sector urbanisation and private consumption.
• DDUGJY: Targeting rural Financials of DISCOMs: Several of the With various initiatives like Ease of
electrification of 18,452 villages by 73 DISCOMs are currently suffering Doing Business and Make in India,
1 May 2018 (7,012 villages from volumetric losses, which further investors see India speeding up pace
have already been electrified in get manifested in delay of payments towards becoming one of the world’s top
2015–16) and strengthening of to generators and suppliers, thereby destinations for manufacturing as well
sub-transmission and distribution affecting the complete value chain. as a regional hub for operations. With
networks in rural areas Financial positions are stretched due to improvement in the economic outlook,
high amounts of debt raised to fund the improved industrial activity, rural
projects, which in turn have resulted in electrification and increased residential
higher interest costs. consumption, demand for power is
expected to grow at a CAGR of 8–8.5%
over 2015–16 to 2019–20.

30 PwC
Improvement in the financial in India to set up solar plants totalling • ThyssenKrupp India, the Indian
health of DISCOMs: Led by the 3 GW of capacity. Japan’s SoftBank, arm of the German engineering
implementation of the UDAY along with Foxconn Technology Group conglomerate, plans to make high-
scheme, the rising revenue gap and of Taiwan and Bharti Enterprises, plans grade environment-friendly boilers
the subsequent cash constraints are to invest 20 billion USD over the next 10 which use less fuel for the Indian
expected to be catered to, thereby years for solar projects in India. Thus, power sector by collaborating with a
leading to an increase in capital gauging the huge potential in the sector, foreign company.
expenditure by utilities, which would especially in RE, investors are expected
• Aditya Birla Group has announced a
in turn result in reduction of AT&C to invest in India’s energy story.
partnership with the Abraaj Group,
losses. Furthermore, this would help
Opportunities for a leading investor in global growth
the utilities free up their balance sheets,
markets, to build a large-scale RE
allowing generators to see increased US companies
platform that will develop utility-
offtake of electricity and faster payment.
Investment scenario scale solar power plants in India.
Expansion through acquisitions:
India’s power and utilities sector • Japanese Internet and
As can be seen in the recent past,
presents a reliable, fast-growing, telecommunications giant SoftBank,
approximately 5.5 GW of capacities
well-diversified and profitable market along with Bharti Enterprises and
have been acquired over the past 12
opportunity for US companies. The Taiwanese manufacturing giant
months by several large players in
imperative to add substantial new Foxconn, plans to invest 20 billion
the sector like Adani Power, Reliance
generation capacity to meet social and USD in solar energy projects in India.
Power, JSW Energy and NTPC. Recently,
economic needs is helping India reshape
Tata Power acquired solar and wind Others are looking to partner with an
its energy mix towards renewables
power generation assets of 1.4 GW Indian company, trading investment
quicker than other regions. With India’s
for 92.5 billion INR. Going forward, and expertise for access in the market.
per capita energy consumption being
it is expected that large players will Partnering can mitigate risks around
about one-third of the world’s average
increasingly seek the inorganic route land acquisition, environmental
and below that of other comparable
for expansion in order to alleviate the clearances, rehabilitation and
developing countries, the opportunities
risks on account of execution, owing resettlement of the affected population.
from the market are vast and immense.
to land acquisition issues and delays However, it may introduce complexities
in clearances. Around 293 global and domestic around managing a joint venture in an
companies have committed to generate emerging economy. There are several
Increased investments in the sector
266 GW of solar, wind, mini hydel and assets in advanced stages of construction
with a major focus on renewables:
biomass-based power in India over the with owners who want to exit, either
The constant emphasis on clean energy
next 5–10 years. The initiative would because they lack the expertise to
by the government has resulted in
entail an investment of about 310–350 manage the project or due to related fuel
increased FDI capital inflows in the
billion USD. Some international players or capital issues.
power sector. FDI inflows in the power
are looking to enter India’s power sector
sector has reached 869 million USD in Moreover, with emerging prospects in
independently, relying on their expertise
2015–16, up from 707 million USD in FY various sectors, changes in policy and
and assets from developed markets,
2014-15. Also, it is estimated that India industry structure and support from
where growth and returns are subdued.
needs 200 billion USD of additional
investment in renewables by 2022—half • Sterlite Grid, India’s largest
of it from abroad—to increase its wind private operator of transmission
and solar power capacity. systems, is joining hands with US
major Burn & McDonnell for its
India’s PFC and REC provided a 14.7
3,000-crore INR (462.5 million USD)
billion USD boost to the country’s
power transmission project in the
renewable segment by offering cheaper
Kashmir Valley.
finance to low-risk commissioned RE
firms. In October 2015, a consortium • Hilliard Energy plans to invest
led by Abu Dhabi Investment Authority 3,600 crore INR (600 million USD)
acquired an undisclosed stake in in Ananthapur district of Andhra
India-based RE company ReNew Power Pradesh in the solar and wind power
Ventures for 265 million USD. Also, sector for the generation of 650
Lightsource Renewable Energy, the MW of power.
leading energy company in the UK and
Europe, plans to invest 3 billion USD

Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 31
the Government of India, the power in building up capability and Opportunity in power evacuation
and utilities industry promises to be an uncovering opportunities for capacity
The huge capacity addition plan in India
exciting and profitable time to invest additions. The increased focus of the
also offers opportunity for developing
in India. Government of India towards RE has
evacuation capacities and supply-related
created attractive opportunities for
Major areas and opportunities for OEMs like conductor manufacturing,
investments in this sector.
investment in the Indian market insulator manufacturing, tower
are mentioned below. fabrication and EPC.
Gap in equipment
manufacturing capacity
The current scenario presents India with
immense opportunities for investors in
the manufacturing sector (OEMs) for
Thermal Renewables building up capacities to cater to the
generation with focus on growing requirements.
plants solar and wind
Power

T&D space:
Equipment Opportunities Green
and in the corridor
EPC services Indian market and smart
grid

Energy storage
Cleantech
technology

Strong growth in generation Investment in cleantech


capacity led by per capita
A majority of installed capacity in
consumption and urbanisation India is coal based as coal is the most
There is a strong growth opportunity abundant fuel available domestically.
in power generation led by As the demand for electricity grows, the
exponential growth in the economy, role of coal would remain undiminished.
increasing propensity for electricity Indian coal, however, has high ash
consumption and urbanisation. India and mineral content. Hence, the focus
has made considerable progress is on the development of clean coal
technologies, which is of paramount
importance for a country like India.

32 PwC
Energy storage market
With increased RE generation and need
to address frequent power outages,
there is a huge market for electrical
energy storage in India. Increased
RE generation capacity has posed a
challenge in managing the grid, and
energy storage will play a key role in
integrating the RE sources to the grid.

Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 33
Infrastructure

Industry dynamics
Roads and logistics
Close to 12,000 km of highways are expected to be
awarded by the end of December 2016 at an estimated
cost of 1.4 lakh crore INR.

By December 2016, NHAI and MoRTH are expected


to award 7,000–8,000 km of projects.

NHDICL expects 1,450 km of project awards by


December 2016 and further 3,800 km are in the
pipeline.

State highways are likely to be robust and around


4,000 km are expected to be awarded in FY 17; PPP is
likely to remain the key procurement format.

Major EPC players from India are Larsen & Toubro, Punj Lloyd,
Hindustan Construction Company and Shapoorji Pallonji
Group, and some of the major BOT players are IRB, Ashoka
Buildcon, and Sadbhav Infrastructure.

34 PwC
Ports and inland waterways 1,200 MTPA 50%
1,000 40%
Total traffic handled at Indian ports was 800 30%
600
approximately 1,071 MTPA in FY15, 400 20%
with major ports constituting 56% of the 200 10%
share. - 0%
FY 8 FY 9 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12 FY 13 FY 14 FY 15
Five-year trend of 10% growth Major ports
in port capacity in the country Non-Major ports
expected to continue Share of non-major ports as % of total traffic
Source: Indian Ports Association, PwC Strategy& analysis
Currently, the port capacity in the
country stands at around 1,600 MTPA.
Over the last four to five years, most
capacity additions have been driven by
States served: Uttar Pradesh,
non-major ports. Going forward, major Bihar, Jharkhand and West
ports such as JNPT, Visakhapatnam Bengal, Length - 1620 km
and Ennore are expected to contribute
towards capacity augmentation. Still,
these expansions may fall short of the Total Length:4382 km
government’s target to reach around Total states served: 13
States served: Assam
2,300 MTPA by 2017. Length - 891km
There are 14,500 km of potentially
navigable inland waterways in the Sadiya
country, of which five inland waterways
Dhubri NW2
have been declared.
Allahabad NW1
Out of the ones mentioned on the right
side of the map, developmental work
is being carried only on the first three
Haldia
national waterways, and national
waterways 4 and 5 have proposals for NW5 Sunderbans
the same kind of work in the pipeline. Charbatia
Talcher
Selected major trends States served: Odisha
and West Bengal;
Roads and logistics NW4
Length - 588 km

The government is starting to retain Kakinada


the traffic risk
States served: Telangana,
The government is beginning to retain Andhra Pradesh and Union
the traffic risk to help boost private NW3
West Coast Canal Terrirtory of Puducherry;
investment in the sector. A clear example Length - 1078 km
NW5
of this is the hybrid annuity model—the
States served: Kerala
model is a mix of EPC and BOT formats,
Length - 205 km
with the government and private
enterprise sharing the total project cost
in the ratio of 40:60, respectively. It has
been successfully tested by Karnataka
(two of the projects achieved financial
closure in December 2014, and six more
in the pipeline of financial closure), and
Operational NH PPPs (km)
MoRT&H has launched a similar model, 20,000
although with substantial changes in the 18,000
16,000
payment mechanism. 14,000
12,000
With close to 12,000 km of NH BOT-toll 10,000
projects expected to become operational 8,000
6,000
over the next three years, toll collection 4,000
contractors may see significant 2,000
opportunities, as well as pure operation -
2016 2017 2018
and maintenance contracts.
BOT Annuity
Source: PwC analysis

Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 35
Continued momentum
expected on EPC projects
EPCs are likely to play a key role,
supported by central budget allocation
to the tune of 55,000 crore INR
(plan outlay) as announced in the
recent Union Budget 2017. However,
institutional capacity may have to be
strengthened as EPC returns in a large
quantum and after a long hiatus.

NHAI project award status (km)


5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
-
2005-06

2006-07

2007-08

2008-09

2009-10

2010-11

2011-12

2012-13

2013-14

2014-15
2015-2016 (till
Feb 2016)

PPP EPC
Source: NHAI

O&M capability crucial going


forward
O&M as a separate capability is getting
facilitated by a recovery of the PPP
scenario in the market; this will not only Ports and inland waterways
allow developers to not worry about Order-book of global liners are showing
building on their O&M capabilities but a clear trend towards larger vessel sizes.
will also create an opportunity for mid-
cap players to enter the market.
Road is the most preferred mode of On order
logistics transportation in India, and its
dominance is expected to continue in the Today (ULCS)
coming years
2000-2005
Over a period of time, reliance on (Super Post Panamax)
roads has increased due to growth in
overall freight movement coupled with 1986-2000
(Post Panamax)
roads becoming the preferred mode of
transportation. 1985 (Panamax)
The rise in share of roads vis-à-vis other
modes of transport is primarily due to 1970-1980
(2nd generation)
the following:
1960-1970
• Last-mile connectivity (1st generation)
• Flexibility to carry heavy volumes
0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000
• Small shipment size compared PwC analysis
to trains

36 PwC
Larger vessel sizes to drive the need for
deep sea access, further necessitating
infrastructure investment

4.500 TEU
Draft 12.5m

Antwerp: 12.80m

Zeebrugge: 13.50m
8.500 TEU
Bremen/Le Havre: 14.00m Draft 14.5m
Hamburg: 14.50m

12.500 TEU
Draft 17.0m
Rotterdam: 16.65m

Rotterdam/ Maasvlakte 2: 20.00m

Source: PwC analysis

Automation expected to play a key role…

Container handling operation

Quay transfer operation Storage system Gate operation

Ship
operation
Loading Discharge Loading Stacking Receipt Delivery
Operation operation export import

Automated Automated Automated


• Reduced labour cost • High land productivity • 24/24
Manual • 24/24 • Reduced labour cost
• Flexibility • Stack optimisation
• Productivity • Reduced labour cost

Labour reform

Source: PwC analysis

Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 37
Selected major challenges Vision of the future
Roads and logistics Roads and logistics
The biggest challenges the industry Going forward, we will see
is facing is securing environmental consolidation in M&A activity not only
clearances and acquisition of land to from US developers but also from other
implement the projects. The recently countries, who will find the Indian
launched land acquisition bill too has market attractive from a risk/reward
not proved efficient in eradicating these point of view. The prevalent market
problems. In addition, faster settlement condition is conducive for a new player
of dispute and litigation cases in a time to enter into the road sector in India.
bound manner is essential to boost the
Ports and inland waterways
interest of the private sector.
In the future, the focus of deal activity
Ports and inland waterways
will be channelised toward transactions
One of the main concerns continues at existing and upcoming container
to be timely execution of greenfield terminals and its support infrastructure
projects. More than 80% of the like ICDs and CFSs in the hinterland.
completed projects have been delayed Some of the things that can be
due to lack of timely clearances. Most experienced in this industry in the near
of these clearances pertain to land future are PE investments in LNG assets,
and the environment. The existing divestment transactions of non-strategic
model concession agreement needs assets by non-major port operators, and
to be strengthened to clearly define PE exits in assets under restructuring.
the roles of the governing agency and IPOs of established non-major ports
the developer along with timelines for may happen in the next couple of
critical stages. years as well.
With a fall in coal import volume (the Inland waterways are still in its initial
government is trying to eliminate stages and a relatively new industry with
imported coal movement altogether in immense potential. The increase in the
five years), many ports that have been number of NW is surely to attract private
set up keeping in mind coal imports investment from domestic players. As for
will come under pressure. PE investors foreign players, there will be at least 3–4
in such port assets were waiting to exit years as the industry has to first break
over the next 12–24 months, which may from the shackles of the infrastructure
now be delayed. Such port operators challenges it suffers from to be in a
may have to pivot to alternate cargo to position to facilitate foreign investment.
maintain volumes.
Some of the challenges faced by the
inland waterways are as follows:
• Inadequate depth of the inland
waterways
• Inadequate air draft
• Lack of night navigation and
MRO facilities
• Inadequate inter-modal connectivity
• Evacuation (since road commute to
terminals is below par)

38 PwC
Opportunities for the US
companies: Infrastructure
Roads and logistics
The days of cut-throat competition
are slowly disappearing, making way
for a market with limited players.
This situation is a great opportunity
for foreign players to showcase their
capabilities and enter the market. The
existence of the US companies in this
industry is limited and restricted to PE
funds invested in road assets.
When entering the Indian market,
US companies must consider their
relationships with local contractors
as this will prove to be an essential
prerequisite to survive in this industry.
Ports and inland waterways
Current harbours at major ports are
stretched to their limit. Ports like
Paradip may resort to construction of
new outer harbours (Visakhapatnam
Port did this a few years ago), and this
will require in-depth technical study as
well as capital investment. US firms may
be inclined to participate in such mega
brownfield expansion projects.
Port projects involving investment of
over 10 billion USD have been identified
for award during the next five years
and SEZs are being developed in close
proximity to several ports—comprising
coal-based power plants, steel plants
and oil refineries.
A spill-off demand from the major ports
and O&M services such as pilotage,
dredging and harbouring stand as good
opportunities for foreign investors
looking to enter the market.
Some of the foreign investors already
present in this sector are PSA Singapore
and Dubai Ports World (UAE), but there
are no known significant investments
from US firms as of now.1

1. http://www.makeinindia.com/sector/ports

Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 39
Oil and gas

Industry dynamics
EIA 2016 projects India as the world’s fastest growing
economy, with an average growth rate of 5.5% per year from
2012 to 2040. Energy consumption and economic growth go
hand-in-hand. India relies heavily on conventional fossil fuels
to fuel its economic growth. As of 2015, coal dominates India’s
energy mix with a share of 58%, followed by oil (28%) and
natural gas (7%).

India’s primary energy mix


7%
3% Oil
2% 26%
4% 2% Natural gas
1% 28%
Coal

2035 2015 Nuclear energy


7% 7%
Hydroelectric
58%
Renewables
55%

Source: BP Statistical Review 2016

BP Statistical Review 2016 projects India’s primary energy


consumption in 2035 to grow to approximately 1,500 million
tonnes of oil equivalent—2.2 times the current 2015 levels and
10% of the world’s energy consumption in 2035. Reliance on
fossil fuels is expected to continue even in 2035. Renewables

40 PwC
look promising, growing by more than Refining capacity of 230 MMTPA import terminal, this too on the west
6.5 times from 2015 to 2035. Securing makes India the fourth largest refiner coast of India. In 2014, India emerged
energy to support economic growth in the world with 4.5% of the world’s as the fourth-largest LNG importer
targets is a key challenge, especially for share, and a leading exporter of refined and accounted for 5.7% of the global
Indian policymakers since more than petroleum products. State-owned imports. Domestic transportation
half of the energy requirement will have refining companies, namely IOCL, and marketing of natural gas/re-
to be imported. Therefore, India’s quest BPCL and HPCL control 59% of the gasified LNG is dominated by GAIL
for energy security offers significant refining capacity and the balance 41% (India) Limited.
investment opportunities to companies capacity is with private and joint venture
in the hydrocarbons sector. companies such as RIL and EOL. In the

India’s energy import requirements (MMtoe) FDI inflows into India (billion USD)
1600 1,505 100% 21.4 35.1 24.3 30.9
22.4
1400 1,281 24.8
80%
1200 1,061
1000 841 60% 0.56 2.03 0.22 1.08 0.05
817 0.11
800 665 692

2010-11

2011-12

2012-13

2013-14

2014-15

2015-16
576 46% 46% 46% 40%
600 43% 463 45%
378
400
20%
200
0 0% All sectors Petroleum and natural gas sector
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
Source: DIPP
Energy production Energy consumption % imports
Source: BP Energy Outlook 2035
The government allows 100% FDI
under the automatic route in E&P,
infrastructure for LNG regasification and
India’s oil and gas industry has petrochemicals segment, RIL and IOCL marketing of petroleum products and
traditionally been dominated by NOCs are the dominant players. private sector refining projects. The FDI
across the entire value chain. In the limit for public sector refining projects
PLL established the first LNG import
E&P segment, ONGC is the dominant is 49%. There is an entry barrier of 300
terminal in India in 2004–2005 on the
player, with limited presence of private million USD for private investors in the
west coast of India in Dahej, Gujarat.
sector players such as Cairn India retail marketing business. The oil and
PLL also operates the Kochi terminal
and RIL. Domestic oil and natural gas gas sector in India received total FDI
in the southern part of India. Besides
production in 2015 was 41 MMT and inflows of 4 billion USD over the last
PLL, Shell operates the Hazira LNG
2.8 bcfd respectively. five years, which is around 2.5% of the
total FDI inflows into India during the
same period. Foreign companies have
Market capitalisation of Indian oil and gas companies as of largely invested in the E&P sector in
6 July 2016 (billion USD) India. These include companies such as
Cairn Energy, BP, Niko and BG. Shell has
3 RIL
4 3 invested in the LNG import terminal and
5 ONGC in the retailing of petroleum products.
6
IOC To augment domestic oil and gas
48 production, NOCs have taken equity
7
BPCL positions in E&P acreages across the
world. OVL, a 100% subsidiary of ONGC,
GAIL has emerged as the second largest E&P
12
EOL company in India on the strength of its
production in overseas assets. RIL has
HPCL invested in Eagle Ford and Marcellus
shale gas basins in the US. GAIL has
17 Cairn India
signed a TSA with Dominion Cove
29 OIL Point LNG for booking 2.3 MMTPA
Source: Money Control
liquefaction capacity in the Cove Point
LNG liquefaction terminal. This is in
addition to the offtake agreement signed
by GAIL with Sabine Pass Liquefaction
LLC for supply of 3.5 MMTPA LNG from
Sabine Pass terminal. IOCL has invested
1 billion USD in an integrated LNG
project in British Columbia, Canada.

Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 41
Selected major trends Downstream: Refinery and auto industry is also gearing up to
petrochemical meet the deadline.
Upstream
With the setting up of grass-roots In the LPG segment, the government
The government is committed to refineries in Barmer, Rajasthan, and launched a series of initiatives to
reducing the overall import dependence Cuddalore, Tamil Nadu, and planned reduce the subsidy burden on state-
of oil and gas from the current 77% to capacity expansions in existing owned marketing companies. Under
67% and 50% by the years 2022 and refineries, the total capacity of Indian the government’s PAHAL scheme,
2030, respectively. With the objective refineries is expected to increase DBTL is the world’s largest cash
of increasing domestic production, to 307 MMTPA. The government transfer programme under which
the government recently introduced recently announced a mega refining 125.7 million households received a
a slew of policy measures to increase complex with a capacity of 60 MMTPA direct cash subsidy as of 30 June 2015.
transparency and reduce administrative at a cost of 30 billion USD in coastal Under the #Giveitup campaign, the
discretion in the upstream sector in Maharashtra. The proposed project government appealed to people who
India. will be developed by a consortium of can afford to pay the market price of
To promote exploration and state-owned refining and marketing LPG to voluntarily surrender their LPG
development of new exploration companies (IOCL, BPCL and HPCL). subsidy. Spurred by the success of these
acreages, the government introduced campaigns, the government launched
The government has approved the
HELP. This new policy replaces NELP, another scheme for providing 50 million
setting up of four investment hubs,
which has been in existence for the free LPG connections to women from
called PCPIRs, in Andhra Pradesh
past 18 years. Major policy changes below poverty line households.
(Visakhapatnam-Kakinada), Gujarat
introduced under HELP include a (Dahej), Odisha (Paradeep) and Tamil LNG, gas pipelines and CGD
revenue-sharing model instead of cost Nadu (Cuddalore-Nagapattinam),
recovery-based PSCs, unified licence for Availability of natural gas in India
which are expected to attract
all forms of hydrocarbons, marketing declined due to reduced production
investment  worth 113 billion USD over
and pricing freedom for both crude oil from RIL’s KG-D6 field. In 2014–15,
the next two decades, of which
and natural gas produced, and an open gas consumption was 117 MMSCMD,
23.7 billion USD worth of investment
acreage policy. of which 37% was met through R-LNG
has been made till January 2015.
imports, which meant that 30% of the
In March 2016, the government 62 MMSCMD LNG capacity remained
Downstream: Retailing
introduced a policy allowing pricing idle. New LNG import terminals have
and marketing
and marketing freedom to encourage been planned in Mundra (Gujarat),
operators to develop deep water fields. The prices of gasoline and diesel have Ennore (Tamil Nadu) and Kakinada
Immediately after the announcement, been deregulated by the government (Andhra Pradesh), with a combined
the ONGC board approved a 5 billion effective 26 June 2010 and 19 October investment of 1.5 billion USD. The
USD deep water project in the KG basin 2014 respectively, effectively removing existing 15,000-km network of
with production targets of June 2019, price control. For a dieselised economy gas pipeline has a capacity of 430
owing to improved economics. like India, deregulation of diesel pricing MMSCMD, which is much higher than
is expected to change the market the current gas consumption. Another
Under the newly introduced Marginal
dynamics, thereby allowing a level 15,000 km of gas pipeline network
Field Policy, the government identified
playing field to private players. Private has been identified to complete the
marginal fields, which the NOCs were
players like RIL and Essar have started National Gas Grid.
not able to monetise due to a variety of
reopening their retail outlets, and
reasons. Sixty-seven such fields under The CGD sector receives priority in the
state-owned companies have started
forty-six contract areas have been allocation of domestic gas for use in
preparing themselves for the impending
offered by the government to investors CNG (transport) and PNG (domestic)
market competition.
under the 2016 DSF bid round which segments. In 2015–16, a total of
was launched by the government on 25 In line with its commitments to reduce 15 MMSCMD gas was sold by CGD
May 2016. These fields are being offered vehicular pollution levels in India, the companies across 60 geographical areas,
under attractive fiscal and contractual government has decided to skip the of which the share of CNG and PNG
terms, such as a single unified licence Bharat Stage1 V (BS V) level and move domestic was 47% and 7% respectively.
for all hydrocarbons, revenue-sharing directly from BS IV to BS VI by 1 April PNGRB periodically announces bid
model, no restriction on exploration 2020. Indian state-owned refineries rounds for licensing of cities.
activities through the contract period, have launched a massive 6-billion USD
no oil cess, and freedom for pricing and refinery upgradation campaign to
marketing of gas. comply with the BS VI norms. The

1. Bharat Stage (BS) norms for fuel emission stand-


ards are equivalent to the Euro standards.

42 PwC
Selected major challenges are finding it difficult to find buyers at equipment companies. The new policy
those high prices. There are buyers of pronouncements of the government are
The euphoria generated in India’s
high price LNG; however, in such cases, expected to give a tremendous boost
upstream sector when successive world-
accessibility becomes a roadblock. to the upstream oil and gas equipment
class gas discoveries were announced
PNGRB, the gas sector regulator, has market.
under the NELP regime slowly gave way
come under intense criticism for the
to a feeling of despair when disputes India has potential for non-conventional
pace of gas market development,
were arising between the government hydrocarbons such as shale gas and gas
including infrastructure creation.
and operators over operational hydrates. Studies estimate technically
issues under the PSC. These disputes As the results of the new LPG subsidy recoverable shale gas resources in India
were related to cost recovery limit, become more pronounced, demand at 96 trillion cubic feet. US companies,
‘micromanagement’ by the management for LPG is expected to grow to around with their rich shale gas experience,
committee, procurement issues, 7% over the next three to four years. can bring in technology and operational
methodology adopted for calculation The main concern centres around know-how to rapidly develop shale gas
of investment multiple, no incentive growth in the LPG port capacity as resources in India. Unified licence for
for the operator to keep costs low, etc. India is currently using 125% of both conventional and non-conventional
The last PSC under a NELP round was its port capacity, leading to large hydrocarbons operators is another
signed in August 2012. The government demurrage bills. positive for investors.
seeks to reinvigorate the E&P sector
Opportunities for US Indian refineries are exploring
through the introduction of the much
opportunities to improve overall
‘easier to administer’ revenue sharing companies in the oil and
efficiency to improve gross refinery
contracts under the new HELP and DSF gas industry margins. US companies can support
2016 bid round, which addresses most
E&P companies in the US who are keen Indian refiners with technology
of the operational issues which were
to invest in India but were wary of the solutions to improve EEs. US companies
troubling the operators.
regulatory risk under the PSC regime can also support state-owned refiners in
Another major challenge relates to the may find it interesting to revisit their upgrading their refineries to meet the
pricing of gas, which has undergone India investment plans, largely owing BS VI fuel emission standard.
many changes and witnessed to the tectonic shift in both policy and In the LPG segment, the demand-supply
considerable litigation. Currently, mindset. The US companies may like to gap is expected to increase on account
the producer price of gas is fixed evaluate investing in HELP bid rounds, of the government’s plan to improve
administratively by the government. subject of course to the technical merits. rural penetration levels and schemes
This has led to a large number of Another low risk-low return opportunity to reduce the subsidy burden. India
disputes, loss of revenue, arbitrations is the DSF 2016 bid round which is would need investment in port capacity
and court cases. The government has currently underway. expansion for LPG import. Also, it would
sought to remedy this by allowing
With the introduction of OALP, need to broad base its LPG supplies
pricing and marketing freedom for gas
technically strong US companies beyond the current supply sources.
produced from deep water/ultra-deep
water, high-pressure/high-temperature may want to review available data or In the petrochemicals segment,
areas, which are yet to commence undertake additional data collection there is a need to address the large
commercial production as on January surveys to assess and identify demand-supply gap of petrochemical
2016. The price is subject to a ceiling attractive conventional and non- intermediates, such as acetic acid,
which is determined based on the conventional hydrocarbon plays and ethylene oxide and propylene oxide.
price of substitute fuels. apply for licensing under the terms The projected deficits are sufficient to
of the new policy. support multiple world-scale plants.
Gas demand in India is price sensitive.
The oil and gas equipment market is US companies with access to advanced
The recent fall in crude oil prices and
a large business opportunity for US- process technology required to make
resultant decline in price of substitute
based companies. The US is the world’s petrochemical intermediates may want
fuels dampened the demand for gas.
third largest exporter of upstream oil to invest in India.
Diplomacy and intense negotiations
with RasGas, Qatar, which resulted and gas equipment. The International
in the waiver of the huge take-or-pay Trade Administration’s ‘2016 Top
penalty, was an immense relief. Gas Markets Report’ ranks India in the 28th
marketing companies that had entered spot (out of 74 countries) as an export
into LNG contracts before the oil slump destination for US upstream oil and gas

Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 43
Vision of the future
There is no doubt that the oil and gas
sector will remain a strategic sector,
considering its role in the achievement
of the country’s economic growth
targets. Policymakers in India are talking
of transitioning from energy security to
energy independence, which translates
to reduced dependence on imported
energy sources. Such a transition
requires substantial investment in
developing domestic energy sources
and supporting infrastructure. The
success of India’s energy security
aspirations would, to a large extent,
depend on the effectiveness of the
government’s policies. Based on the
recent policy decisions taken by the
government, it seems that a positive
start has been made. Critics argue that
the government was able to take these
decisions only because of the dramatic
fall in crude oil prices, and the real test
of the government will be when prices
bounce back.

Investment in oil and gas sector (2015–2040) (billion USD)


Oil E&P
Gas transport 62 billion USD
84 billion USD
Oil transport
31 billion USD

Gas E&P
127 billion USD

Oil refining
192 billion USD

Source: World Energy Outlook, IEA

The growing economy and population


growth are the main drivers of oil and
gas demand in India. IEA estimates
that India will need investments worth
500 billion USD during the years 2013
to 2040 across various segments of its
hydrocarbon value chain to increase
its energy supply and improve the
infrastructure to enable this. Notably,
import content in the Indian oil and
gas sector is in the range of 15% for
refinery construction to 70% for
upstream operations. This offers
significant investment opportunities
for foreign players.

44 PwC
Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 45
Pharmaceuticals

Industry dynamics
The size of the Indian pharmaceuticals
industry was 29 billion USD in 2015
with 16 billion USD of domestic market
and 13 billion USD of exports. The
industry is expected to grow by 11–14%
over the next few years to reach 55
billion USD by 2020.

India pharmaceuticals market (in billion USD)


60

50
24
40

30

20 13
31
10 16
0
2015 2020
Domestic Exports

Per capita sales of pharmaceuticals


increased from 8 USD in 2008 to 23 USD
in 2015 at a CAGR of 16%.

46 PwC
Per capita expenditure on pharmaceuticals (in USD)
Major drivers and trends in the Indian
25 23 pharmaceuticals market
20 19
16 Economic growth Increase in public Health insurance
14 health spend penetration
15 13
11 Chronic therapies
10 9 Indian companies Increased R&D
8
Clinical trial reform going global
5
US FDA approved manufacturing facilities
0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Hysun Inc., a US-based biotech Selected major challenges will be increased focus on research
company, recently launched its range of and development with the growth of
health supplements in India through a Below are the selected challenges clinical research in India and as Indian
joint venture with Phyto Biotech. for this sector: companies look to new molecules to
1. Indian companies are facing issues drive growth.
Selected major trends with manufacturing quality.
Below are selected trends for this sector: 2. The industry is facing pricing
1. The projected economic growth of challenges, with more drugs coming
7%, rising emerging middle class, under the ambit of the Drugs Price
increasing public health expenditure Control Order.
Manufacturing
(the government aims to increase 3. The ban on fixed dose combinations quality
public health expenditure from 1.2% has affected the sales performance of
to 2.5% of GDP) and penetration of pharmaceutical companies.
health insurance (with more than
250 million people covered by health 4. Pharmaceutical companies are Pricing
insurance) will provide growth also facing compliance issues over
opportunities to players in the Indian their marketing and sales practices
pharma market. directed towards healthcare
professionals.
2. Chronic therapies are growing Fixed dose
faster (top 20 brands, 14% CAGR 5. New product launches have combinations
over a four-year period) than acute been an area of challenge for
therapies (8% CAGR). Indian companies.
6. Goods and Services Tax (GST) is Compliance
3. Indian companies are going global
(30% of the US market is catered expected to lead to transformational
to by Indian drugs) and making changes in the operating model for
acquisitions to expand their presence pharmaceutical companies.
in overseas markets. New product
Vision for the future launches
4. Indian companies are also By 2020, the Indian pharmaceutical
increasing their investments in industry is expected to grow to 55
research and development and are billion USD due to volume growth in
entering into licensing arrangements Goods and
the domestic market, new product Services Tax
for novel molecules. introductions and increase in exports.
5. Reforms are being undertaken in Regulations will facilitate the creation
clinical trials regulations to make the of a vibrant and competitive market,
approval process timely, predictable ensuring access and affordability for
and transparent, though more patients while offering a level playing
remains to be done. field for Indian and US companies.
M&A will continue to drive this sector
6. The large number (300+) of US as Indian companies look to expand
FDA approved manufacturing their presence in the US market and
plants (the largest number in any US companies look to expand their
country outside the US) provides presence in the Indian market. There
opportunities for US companies.

Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 47
Opportunities for US Selected new/emerging areas
companies: Pharmaceuticals within this industry that US
companies can look at
Opportunities for US companies
to enter and invest in this As US regulations around biosimilars
industry in India evolve, opportunities may open up for
partnerships with Indian companies that
Pharmaceuticals has been an attractive work in this area. Sterile injectables,
segment for FDI in India. The sector which is an area of perennial drug
attracted cumulative FDI inflows worth shortage in the US, could also present
13.32 billion USD from April 2000 to opportunities for US companies to
September 2015, which amounted to look at investments in India. Indian
5% of the total FDIs into India during companies have good capabilities in
the same period. Novel Drug Delivery Systems (NDDS),
FDI rules have been revised recently. which can be utilised by US companies
FDI up to 74% is allowed in India to develop value added generics.
in the pharmaceutical sector under
the automatic route for brownfield
acquisitions. For investments in
Acquisitions Manufacturing
greenfield projects, 100% FDI is
permitted under the automatic route. partnerships

India also released its intellectual


• Abbott • Gilead
property rights policy and announced
measures to enhance ease of doing • Mylan
business, which are expected to increase
investments in India.
How selected US companies
developed or expanded their
presence in this industry
US companies have adopted a variety of
models in the Indian market. Companies
Distribution Research and
like Abbott and Mylan have acquired
development
Indian companies to expand their
presence. Companies like Gilead have
created manufacturing partnerships • Amgen-Dr • BMS-Biocon
with Indian companies to make their Reddy’s Labs
products available in the Indian market.
Others like Amgen have created
distribution arrangements with Indian
companies like Dr Reddy’s Laboratories
to expand their presence. Companies
like BMS also have partnerships with
Indian companies like Biocon for
research and development.

Industry valuations
Valuation expectations from Indian
promoters continue to be high. Finding
an Indian company with the right fit
with the strategic objectives of US
companies (product portfolio, brands,
manufacturing assets, field force, etc.) at
the right valuations may be a challenge.

48 PwC
Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 49
Using digital in manufacturing sector

Over the last few years, shifting economic alignments and


changing customer expectations have forced global industrial
leaders to reinvent themselves. The industry has now started
adopting digital technologies which are revolutionising
factory shop floors, rejigging old business models and making
products smarter.
Not one to be left behind, the Indian manufacturing sector
is poised for a quantum leap in digital manufacturing
technologies.
With this transformation, successful industrial companies will
become true digital enterprises, with physical products at the
core, augmented by digital interfaces and innovative data-
based services. These digital enterprises will work together
with customers and suppliers in industrial digital ecosystems.
These developments will fundamentally change individual
companies as well as transform market dynamics across a
whole range of industries. This is true for countries all around
the world—in both developed as well as emerging markets.
The key focus areas in digital technology for the
manufacturing sector in India are:
Integration of vertical and horizontal chains:
• There is an increasing focus on integrating processes
vertically across the organisation—from product
development and purchasing to manufacturing, logistics
and service. All data about operations processes, process
efficiency and quality management as well as operations
planning is available in real time, supported by augmented
reality and optimised in an integrated network.

50 PwC
• Horizontal integration stretches Potential benefits to Vision of the future and
beyond internal operations, manufacturing companies roadmap to a successful
extending from suppliers to
customers and all key value chain • High levels of cost reduction expected digital strategy
partners. It includes various from the implementation of smart To move forward with digitisation in
technologies, ranging from track manufacturing initiatives the manufacturing industry, acquiring
and trace devices to real-time • Integrated and improved planning and rolling out digital capabilities across
integrated planning. and scheduling for manufacturing; the organisation are all-important. This
Digital wrappers on such systems combine data from process takes time, so in order to gain
physical products: within the enterprise—from sensors or retain the first-mover advantage
all the way to ERP systems—with over competitors, manufacturing sector
• Digitisation of products includes the information from horizontal value companies will need top management
expansion of existing products, e.g. chain partners, such as inventory commitment and significant
by combining smart sensors or levels or changes in customer demand implementation investments, which they
communication devices with data can obtain using the following steps:
analytics, and creating new digitised • Integrated shop floor planning to
products which will enhance the improve asset utilisation and product Opportunities for US
customer’s usage experience. throughput time companies
• By integrating new methods of data • Predictive maintenance of key assets, • US manufacturing companies who
collection and analysis, industrial which uses predictive algorithms to have a presence in India or are
companies are able to generate data optimise repair and maintenance planning to set up a new business
on product use and refine products schedules and improve asset uptime should outline a digital strategy in
to meet the increasing needs of end • Real-time data availability to order to lower the cost of operations
customers and provide effective after- enable companies to manufacture and achieve additional revenues.
sales service. personalised products and • Given that digital is foremost on
Disruption the value chain: customise solutions the minds of Indian CEOs, global
• Improved customer insight from consulting firms have an opportunity
• Data forms the core of a new age
smart data analytics to allow to implement some of their digital
manufacturing organisation and
companies to better focus on strategies for industrial companies
using data analytics in operations
additional high-margin business in India.
workflow will make organisations
truly digital enterprises.
• Embedding data analytics across
various functions provides
manufacturing organisations
proximity to and flexibility to act on
business knowledge and helps them
to move from a
B2B to B2C mindset. Map out your Create Define the Become a Transform Actively plan
Industry 4.0 initial pilot capabilities virtuoso in data into a digital an ecosystem
Major challenges strategy projects you need analytics enterprise approach
Some of the challenges faced by the
manufacturing sector in adopting
digital technology:
1 2 3 4 5 6
• Lack of digital culture and skills in
the organisation Source: PwC’s 2016 Global Industry 4.0 Survey

• Establishing strong levels of digital


trust, backed up by transparency and
non-repudiation that provides proof
of integrity and origin of one’s own
and third-party data
• Need to own relationships with
end customers who drive demand
or at least integrate with platforms
that allow them to access end
customers efficiently

Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 51
Conclusion
The writing on the wall is clear. India continues to open up its sectors to global companies by raising FDI limits, dropping
licenses and regulatory barriers, and inviting high-tech solutions. Besides, developing infrastructure, improving the business
environment, building a robust and predictable taxation regime, attracting increased FDI, nurturing international relations, and
empowering the people of India are part of the government’s endeavours.
At the same time, the government wants to see India break out of the ‘big-but-poor’ category and take its rightful place with
the most developed countries in the world. Initiatives such as Skill India, Digital India, Startup India and the move towards a
‘pensioned society’, as well as the Make in India and Bharat schemes, are steps in that direction.
Above all, activities in India—be it in the infrastructure sector or digitisation of manufacturing—are at an all-time high. The
high rate of economic growth and projections for coming years indicate that India will continue to be a preferred investment
destination. Strategic and other tie-ups between India and the US and better political cooperation between the two countries
indicate it is time to intensify business and trade.
A proactive Indian government and companies are looking at their counterparts in the US to facilitate this partnership.

52 PwC
Contacts Acknowledgments
Dwaraknath E. N. Neel Ratan, Leader and Partner, Government Sector
Leader and Partner, US Business Desk Saurabh A , Associate Director, Consulting
dwaraknath.e.n@in.pwc.com
Deepak Mahurkar, Leader and Partner, Oil and Gas
Lalitha Banerjee Gaurav Semwal, Associate Director, Oil and Gas
Director, Markets
lalitha.banerjee@in.pwc.com Dhiraj Mathur, Leader and Partner, Aerospace and Defence
Nishant Jain, Assistant Manager, Regulatory
Sanveer Gosain
US Business Desk Driver Sudipta Ghosh , Partner, Technology Consulting
sanveer.gosain@in.pwc.com Saurabh Bansal, Associate Director, Technology Consulting

Ranjana Khanna Bharti Gupta Ramola, Partner and Markets Leader


Secretary General, IACC Ruchi Sharma, Director, Consulting
ranjana.khanna@iaccindia.com Rahul Saikia, Director, Corporate Finance and Investment
Banking
Karan Beri, Manager, Corporate Finance and
US Corridor core team Investment Banking

Dwaraknath E.N Sujay Shetty, Leader and Partner, Pharma


Lalitha Banerjee Krishnakumar S, Director, Pharma
Sanveer Gosain
Dinesh Arora, Partner, Deals

Design credits Deepika Prasad, Associate, Deals

Kirtika Saxena Manish B Agrawal, Leader and Partner, Capital Projects


and Infrastructure
Vikash Sharda, Director, Government Reforms and
Infrastructure Development
Rohan Mital, Director, Government Reforms and
Infrastructure Development
Pawan N, Associate Director, Government Reforms and
Infrastructure Development

Kameswara Rao, Leader and Partner, Energy


Umesh Agrawal, Director, Energy
Pinal Mehta, Manager, Energy

Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 53
Glossary
A&D - Aerospace and defence EE - Energy efficiency
AMC - Asset management company EIA - Energy Information Administration
AMFI - Association of Mutual Funds in India EOL - Essar Oil Limited
AT&C - Aggregate technical and commercial EPC - Engineering, procurement and construction
AUM - Assets under management ERP - Enterprise resource planning
B2B - Business to business FDI - Foreign direct investment
B2C - Business to consumer FVCI - Foreign venture capital investor
BCFD - Billion cubic feet per day GDP - Gross domestic product
BFSI - Banking, financial services and insurance Gencos - Generation companies
BG - British Gas GNPA - Gross non-performing advance
BOT - Build, operate and transport HELP - Hydrocarbon Exploration Licensing Policy
BP - British Petroleum HPCL - Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited
BPCL - Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited IBA - Indian Banks’ Association
BU - Billion units IBEF - India Brand Equity Foundation
CAGR - Compounded annual growth rate ICD - Inland Container Depots
CCEA - Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs IDDM - Indigenously designed, developed and manufactured
CCS - Cabinet Committee on Security IEA - International Energy Agency
CEA - Central Electricity Authority IFA - Independent financial adviser
CFS - Container Freight Stations IMF - International Monetary Fund
CGD - City gas distribution IOCL - Indian Oil Corporation Limited
DBTL - Direct Benefit Transfer for LPG IOP - Indian offset partner
DDUGJY - Dindayal Upadhyaya Gram Jyoti Yojana IoT - Internet of things
DFC - Dedicated freight corridor IPDS - Integrated Power Development Scheme
DFCCIL - Dedicated Freight Corridor Corporation of India IPO - Initial public offering
Limited
IRDA - Insurance Regulatory Development Authority
DGFT - Directorate General of Foreign Trade
JNPT - Jawaharlal Nehru Port
DIPP - Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion
KG - Krishna Godavari (offshore sedimentary basin on the
DISCOMs - Distribution companies eastern coast of India)
DoDP - Department of Defence Production KPTL - Kalpataru Power Transmission Ltd
DPP - Defence Procurement Procedure LIC - Life Insurance Corporation of India
DSF - Discovered small fields LNG - Liquefied natural gas
DTTI - Defence Technology and Trade Initiative M&A - Mergers and acquisitions
E&P - Exploration and production MEMS - Microelectromechanical sensors

54 PwC
MF - Mutual fund OVL - ONGC Videsh Limited
MMSCMD - Million standard cubic metre per day P2P - Peer-to-peer
MMT - Million tonnes PCPIR - Petroleum, Chemicals and Petrochemicals Investment
Region
MMtoe - Million tonnes of oil equivalent
PE - Private equity
MMTPA - Million tonnes per annum
PFC - Power Finance Corporation
MNCs - Multinational companies
PFRDA - Pension Fund Regulatory Development Authority
MoRT&H - Ministry of Road Transport & Highways
PGCIL - Power Grid Corporation of India Ltd
MRO - Maintenance, repair and operations
PLL - Petronet LNG Limited
MSME - Micro, small and medium enterprises
PNGRB - Petroleum and Natural Gas Regulatory Board
MTPA - Million tonnes per annum
PPP - Public private partnership
NABARD - National Bank for Agricultural and
Rural Development PPP - Purchasing power parity
NBFC - Non-banking financial company PSCs - Production sharing contracts
NBFC-ND-SI - Non-deposit taking systemically PSU - Public sector undertaking
important NBFCs
RBI - Reserve Bank of India
NELP - New Exploration Licensing Policy
REC - Rural Electrification Corporation
NH - National Highways
RE - Renewable energy
NHAI - National Highway Authority of India
RGO - Renewable generation obligation
NHB - National Housing Bank
RIL - Reliance Industries Limited
NHIDCL - National Highways and Infrastructure
RPO - Renewable purchase obligation
Development Corporation Limited.
SCB - Scheduled Commercial Bank
NHPC - National Hydroelectric Power Corporation
SEBI - Securities and Exchange Board of India
NLC - Neyveli Lignite Corporation
SEZ - Special Economic Zone
NNPA - Net non-performing advance
SIDBI - Small Industries Development Bank of India
NOC - No objection certificate
SPGV - Sterlite Power Grid Ventures
NOC - National oil companies
SPP - Southwest Power Pool
NPCIL - Nuclear Power Corporation of India Ltd
T&D - Transmission and distribution
NTPC - National Thermal Power Corporation
Transcos - Transmission companies
NW - National Waterways
TSA - Terminal service agreement
O&M - Operation and maintenance
UAV - Unmanned aerial vehicle
OALP - Open Acreage Licensing Policy
UDAY - Ujwal DISCOM Assurance Yojana
OEM - Original equipment manufacturer
VAT - Value added tax
ONGC - Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited

Winning together I Investment opportunities and synergies for the US and India 55
About PwC
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represent the judgment of PwCPL at this time and are subject to change without notice. Readers of this publication are advised to seek their own professional advice before
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KS/August2016-6979

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