THE FUTURE OF THE CAR

 Claire MARTIN
VP Corporate Social Responsibility, MD Renault Fondation

INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT FORUM – LEIPZIG 18.05.2016 THE FUTURE OF THE CAR 1

MOBILITY, THERE IS STILL A LONG WAY TO GO…

PARIS, WORLD EXPO 1900

INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT FORUM – LEIPZIG 18.05.2016 THE FUTURE OF THE CAR 2
MAJOR GLOBAL CHALLENGES
Petrol,
CO2 water PM, NO2
1 Raw materials
Substances

CLIMATE RESOURCES HEALTH / AIR QUALITY

CONGESTION SAFETY ECONOMIC & TIME

OPTIMIZATION
INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT FORUM – LEIPZIG 18.05.2016 THE FUTURE OF THE CAR 3
CLIMATE

CAR MANUFACTURERS ARE THE SOURCE OF 15%

OF GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS

INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT FORUM – LEIPZIG 18.05.2016 THE FUTURE OF THE CAR 4

CLIMATE

CARBON FOOTPRINT

-3,3% / YEAR
10,1 MILLION TONS
CO2 EQUIVALENT AVOIDED
BETWEEN 2010 / 2014

INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT FORUM – LEIPZIG 18.05.2016 THE FUTURE OF THE CAR 5

CLIMATE

RENEWABLE ENERGIES

90%
TANGIER PLANT

INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT FORUM – LEIPZIG 18.05.2016 THE FUTURE OF THE CAR 6

CLIMATE

RECYCLED MATERIALS

30,4%
TARGET 33% FOR 2016

INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT FORUM – LEIPZIG 18.05.2016 THE FUTURE OF THE CAR 7

RESSOURCES

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RESSOURCES
2 LITERS OF OIL
GLOBAL AVERAGE CONSUMPTION
PER DAY AND PER PERSON

25% FOR THE TRANSPORT SECTOR

INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT FORUM – LEIPZIG 18.05.2016 THE FUTURE OF THE CAR 9
RESSOURCES

INCREASED DISTANCES

 1995 LEIPZIG > SAARBRÜCKEN

 2015 LEIPZIG > ROME

INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT FORUM – LEIPZIG 18.05.2016 THE FUTURE OF THE CAR 10

PROGRESS IN 20 YEARS
1995 2005 2015

EMISSIONS 195 g CO2/km 139 g CO2/km 97 g CO2/km

CLIMAT

BARREL PRICE < 20 $ < 60 $ 44 à 60 $

RESSOURCES RECYCLED PLASTIC 4 kg (CLIO) 14 kg (MÉGANE) 34 kg (CAPTUR)

PARTICLE (by mass) 140 (EURO 1) 50 (EURO 3) 4,5 (EURO 6)

SANTÉ

INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT FORUM – LEIPZIG 18.05.2016 THE FUTURE OF THE CAR 11

TWIZY ZOE FLUENCE/SM3 KANGOO ZE
TWIZY CARGO

INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT FORUM – LEIPZIG 18.05.2016 THE FUTURE OF THE CAR 12

MARKET EVOLUTION IN EUROPE : REMINDER
%share of EVs in the total TIV - Europe
1,0%

IN 2011…
1 CAR IN 1,000
0,8%

0,6%
WAS AN EV
0,4%

0,2%
TODAY…
0,0%
1 IN 160
avr.-11

avr.-12

avr.-13

avr.-14
janv.-11

juil.-11

janv.-12

juil.-12

janv.-13

juil.-13

janv.-14

juil.-14

janv.-15
oct.-11

oct.-12

oct.-13

oct.-14

INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT FORUM – LEIPZIG 18.05.2016 THE FUTURE OF THE CAR 13

 CLIMATE RESSOURCES HEALTH

ONE SOLUTION : THE ELECTRIC VEHICLE

 Success conditions
 RENEWABLE ELECTRICITY  CHARGING INFRASTRUCTURE

 POLITICAL DETERMINATION  ENGAGEMENT OF ALL

INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT FORUM – LEIPZIG 18.05.2016 THE FUTURE OF THE CAR 14
THE EV ECOSYSTEM
Smart grids Recycling

Public fleets

Benefits

Public
charging
Financial incentives Home charging points
points

INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT FORUM – LEIPZIG 18.05.2016 THE FUTURE OF THE CAR 15

THIS WILL CONTINUE… ENVIRONMENT = MORE THAN 60% of R&D
INVESTMENTS

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16
MAJOR GLOBAL CHALLENGES

Petrol,
CO2 water PM, NO2
1 Raw materials
Substances

CLIMATE RESOURCES HEALTH / AIR QUALITY

CONGESTION SAFETY ECONOMIC & TIME

OPTIMIZATION
INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT FORUM – LEIPZIG 18.05.2016 THE FUTURE OF THE CAR 17
AUTONOMOUS DRIVE

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WHAT DOES DELEGATION MEAN ?
1968 Vienna Convention

LEGAL (Vienna convention) NOT LEGAL YET

Human Driver / No side task allowed Driver can be an homologated System

NO MORE
DRIVER

ENJOY
FREE TIME

Driver will respond Driver not Robot Taxi

Longitudinal AND if a request to required during
Longitudinal OR Lateral driving intervene defined use case
No Driver Assistance Lateral driving control possible
System control possible

Level 0 Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5

Driver Only Assisted Partially Conditionally Highly Fully
Automated Automated Automated Automated
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A COMMON FRAME OF REFERENCE IS KEY

April 14th : 28 EU-transport ministers signed Amsterdam Declaration for development and
harmonization of connected, autonomous driving in Europe… and had a real demonstration !
“Ongoing cooperation between governments and industry is key.”
Mélanie SCHULTZ (Dutch Minister of Infrastructure and the Environment)

INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT FORUM – LEIPZIG 18.05.2016 THE FUTURE OF THE CAR 20

TWO MAJOR FIELDS FOR AUTOMOTIVE CAR MAKERS
Big Data Collection + Deep Learning
B to B NEWCOMERS
CAR
User MANUFACTURERS data platform driver- Partnership
Value less with IT industry

B to C tele- Probabilistic
Deterministic op. environment
environment Long Com- (city road, etc.)
(highway, etc.) run muting Artificial
Traditional Traffic intelligence
automotive jam Outside auto
system industry
Traffic
jam Valet Level 2 : assistance to the driver
Park. Level 3 : conditional automation
Level 4 : high automation
Lane Level 5 : full automation
Single change
lane
City Driving
Highway
Incl. City
highway Technical & Legal Complexity
INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT FORUM – LEIPZIG 18.05.2016 THE FUTURE OF THE CAR 21
TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT PLAN

4 MAJOR STEPS BEFORE ACTING CAPABILITY of HARDWARE/SOFTWARE vs. HUMANS

1s

0,01 s

INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT FORUM – LEIPZIG 18.05.2016 THE FUTURE OF THE CAR 22

VALUE / BENEFITS OF AUTONOMOUS DRIVING

ACCESSIBILITY
juniors /seniors / impaired
mobility

AFFORDABILITY
Mobility for all - developed
& developing countries

… & MANUEL DRIVE

DRIVING PLEASURE

INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT FORUM – LEIPZIG 18.05.2016 THE FUTURE OF THE CAR 23

SUCCESS CONDITIONS : SOCIAL ACCEPTANCE & EXPERIMENTATION

Social acceptance Experimentation

 Regulations  Proof by follow-on test on certified roads

 Product Liability
 Infrastructure
 Insurance
 Consumer awareness
 Driver Education

INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT FORUM – LEIPZIG 18.05.2016 THE FUTURE OF THE CAR 24

THE 3 CHANGES
THAT TRANSFORM THE BUSINESS

TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE
 ELECTRIC VEHICLE A TECHNOLOGICAL BREAKTHROUGH
 CHARGING INFRA A NEW ECOSYSTEM AND NEW PLAYERS
 AUTONOMOUS & CONNECTED SIGNALING INFRASTRUCTURE
VEHICLE

ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
 CIRCULAR ECONOMY INFINITELY RENEWABLE CONTENTS
 SAVING FUNCTIONALITY BATTERY RENTAL
 TIME SAVING NEW USAGE IN CAR

CHANGE OF USE
 CAR-POOLING MOBILITY BECOMES A SERVICE
 CAR-SHARING MOBILITY AT THE HEART OF COLLABORATIVE ECONOMY
 MICRO COLLECTIVE TRANSPORT ROBOT TAXI, DRIVER LESS

INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT FORUM – LEIPZIG 18.05.2016 THE FUTURE OF THE CAR 25

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION !

The car market

collapses ! Shut up you
scare me!

INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT FORUM – LEIPZIG 18.05.2016 THE FUTURE OF THE CAR 26

 감사합니다

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