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Chapter 6
Biomass Availability
J.W.A. Langeveld
Introduction
“Chapter & presented bar rings erop production lation of as
phe catch CO, use oflind and oer input efieney in np we and
‘op production fstems Perspect fr breding, that, improvement
ofthe genet bans aed a improvng el, input eliceny and cop
‘composition, were given in Chapter 5. The cuten chapter wl decoss one
ofthe most debated queaons mised obiobased economy: avaabaty of
‘ficient biomass feedstock
Daven by trang of forces bedded in imulaton poise round the
doe abiious ages have been secor enhanced bibteed production. Be
it for biobased chemical, biotuels,Hoplasics, other biomaterials or com
‘sion the need for bomar feck inthe nde tre must be expected
to crete. But wil here be plier ofl our needs? And ow wl the
‘production of bicbased feedstocks act oter econ? Can wel produce
‘20uph food, onsirstonmatrls d 0oo, o wil shave
tobe scr for biomass nade replace fons ol, gv ad coal? While
itisnot dear bw much homas wil be apple in fur bicated produc
tin procesic iis clear th this amnunt potently Ige. This eqs
comin order not to disrupt waditon biomass pplication,
‘The question whether suicent amass avaabe a played a mae
tole inthe dette on biofuels hu aged slace police o ime bifie
Inzoduced in the beginning ofthe 21s entry sparked masiv bof!
evelopment, especialy in Eorope and the USA. In order 10 asset
weber cureat polices are meaningfl and surlzaty cms of bo-
‘ass use ae valid, we must sues how mvc biomatt can be mace
sable wo replace fss fue. Obvious, hi chapter cannot provide a
‘ral answer to this question, noe will provide ye another estimate fb
sass avaaby. Instead, this cuyer wil put ncreared demand for
biomass in perspective and explain why ti 0 iia o provide proper
srulby assessments, This willbe dane by deseibing historical ten in
‘iomass production and by comparing these ends with expected biomass24 Taare Sutinbiy
demands. Agains tis bacyround he chapter will discuss outcomes of &
number of biomass evalabilty aressent ides, pls some fac fee
ing frre biomass production.
"The setup of this chape eafows. Fs, demand for biomass fl-
lowing major binbesed polis sated inthe axe eeton, Tren in
biomass producton are disused inthe third section, Rests of inventory
seuss are presente inthe fourth (sessment of producion potenti)
and fifth sections (other estimates) Factors fering furie crop produc
‘on are dtcused inthe si section snd the impact of enhanced biomass
production i iscussed inthe seventh. Tis followed bya dseuston and
ome conclusions.
Biomass demand
“The bicbased related demand for bom enompasts different pes of
biomass needed, including rw materials to produce chemical, speclty
product Gubrcan, salen), indore oi, polymers, plastic, ans
oration feel, elececiy and hat Pure demand wil be determined by &
combination of make development, pois Gocdingfaneal sppor
compulsory fos fel replacement, tx exempcon, ef), private nave
nd pubic opnion
‘Tostar, many counties have plemented poe ta ele fos fue
use in transporation. Following the example of Bre, siing to eplce at
lest 25 percentfisgussine since 2007 andsiming to repice Sper cent
of sel by 2013, biofuel targets have been et inthe BU (5.75 per cet
2010) the USA (per cent in 2012), China (10 per cena 2012), Canada
(S per cent of gasoline by 2010, 2 per cent of ciel two yar ae),
Indonesis (10 pe cent in 2010), India (10 per cet in 2020) endo. at
coveviw is provided in Figure 6.1. Adonal pois have been form
dated forthe replacement of elect and heat ithe BU and USA), wile
procureeat police have been implemented for ceria bic end
‘Tramlaon of the replacement tmget into required tonnes of fs,
mic orohe products is not an easy sk. Expectations of tol produc,
‘ning those made of fos feedstocks, ae ot abrye pubibed, wile
actual product volumes vl depend an marke size general steed by
‘emograpic and economic devopmens that te sometimes extemal i
Soult pedi. Figure 62 dep ome bfl eurement semen,
‘Further trust of biobsted product esimatons nto tonnes in feed
soos egies clear isgh in he pe of eestck to be selected inthe
faire pls (eiciency of) conversion technology to be ep,
Biomass Asiaity 85
Figure 61 Bf tage eek fo repleceman gs oer
des (ber
‘Trends in biomass production
Gob arable cop production i cetmated st more than 7.5 ilion tones
{Q bilion tonnes of forest product plus 2.5 biion tans of cereals, 7
millon tonnes of root and ruber, 145 milion tonnes fe cops, 890 mi
lon tonnes of vegmbles and 500 millon sonnee of fry FAOSTAT56 Tomards Susinbiy
Figure 62 Bf eee —fedtack egrets
2009). Since the ware of the green revhaion, cop production hes
increased dramatealy. Staring fom 19 biion tonnes of fod crops inte