Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
6.1
Define
Activities
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CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
ETIQUETA DESCRIPCION
A Nivel
B Subnivel I
C Subnivel II
D Transversal I
E Chimenea de acceso
F Chimenea o coladero de mineral
G Chimenea de ventilación
H Instalación de tolvas
I Chimenea de corte I
J Chimenea de corte II
K Instalación de cabrestante
L Explotación
M Parte inicial del nivel de rastrillaje
N Parte final del nivel de rastrillaje
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
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CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
6.1
Define
Activities
Project scope
statement 6.2
Sequence Project
Activities Documents
Project document
updates
Organizational
process assets
Project schedule
network diagrams
Enterprise/
Organozation
6.5
Develop
Schedule
CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
a
b
c
d
e
f
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
actividad espacio actividad crítica
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CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
7
(dependencias). ks 11
W
0 3W
ks
ks
0
Generalmente es desarrollada de
ity
0W
tiv
EF
Ac
1 4
izquierda a derecha para reflejar
y
mm
ks
6W
Du
el orden cronológico de los
W
ks
acontecimientos. 2
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ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
TIPOS DE RELACIONES
(FF) Término-término: La actividad A debe terminar en conjunto con el
término de la actividad B.
A B
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CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
cierto
CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
DIAGRAMA DE DEPENDENCIAS
La actividad A (0-1) es predecesora de C (1-3). La actividad C
(1-3) y B (0-2) es antecesora de E (3-5).
1 C 3
A E
G 6
0 5
B F
2 4
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CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
SECUENCIACION DE ACTIVIDADES
Herramientas
Entradas Salidas
y técnicas
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
ESTIMACION DE RECURSOS
La estimación involucra tratar y prever los
recursos necesarios para producir un
producto, servicio o resultado específico.
La estimación se beneficia por
experiencias anteriores (banco de
estimaciones comerciales, la experiencia
del equipo o la opinión de especialistas).
Es fundamental que quien hace la
estimación tenga experiencia en el trabajo
e involucre en lo posible a las personas
que realizarán el trabajo.
Es imperativa la documentación de toda la
referencia utilizada para hacer una
estimación, incluidas la data y la fuente de
consulta.
Es muy común el uso de reservas de
contingencia.
11 Años Capacitando a la Comunidad Minera Global 104
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CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
5.2
Define Scope
Project scope
statement
Project
12.2 document
6.4 updates
Conduct
Procurements Estimates 11.2
Activity Indentify Risks
Durations Activity
duration
Organizational estimates
process assets
Enterprise
enviromental
factors
6.5
Enterprise/ Develop
Organization Schedule
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CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
ESTIMACION DE TIEMPOS
Para estimar tiempos es necesario lo que sigue:
• Estimar la cantidad de esfuerzo necesario.
• Estimar la cantidad prevista del recurso a ser aplicado.
• Estimar la cantidad de periodos laborales necesarios.
Todo se documenta para justificar la estimación.
Se trata del calendario de recurso y calendario de recursos
laborales.
Una estimativa de la duración esperada (tE) se puede hacer en
función del tiempo más probable (tM), del tiempo pesimista
(tp) y del tiempo optimista (to), usando la siguiente ecuación:
to + 4tM + tp
tE =
6
11 Años Capacitando a la Comunidad Minera Global 107
CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
planificadas. Herramientas
Normalmente es necesario realizar •
•
Análisis de la red del cronograma
Método del camino crítico
•
reajuste del cronograma a medida •
Método de cadena crítica
Nivelación de recursos
•
que se realizan revisiones durante la •
Análisis del escenario “y si”
Aplicación de anticipaciones y esperas
ejecución del proyecto. •
•
Compresión del cronograma
Herramienta para la elaboración del cronograma
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs
1. Activity list
2. Activity attributes
1. Schedule network
analysis
1. Project schedule
2. Schedule baseline
Salidas
3. Project schedule network
diagrams
2. Critical path method
3. Critical chain method
3. Schedule data
4. Project document updates • Cronograma del proyecto
•
4. Activity resource 4. Resource leveling
requirements
5. Resource calendars
5. What-if scenario analysis
6. Applying leads and lags
Línea de base del cronograma
6. Activity duration
estimates
7. Schedule compression
8. Scheduling tool • Datos del cronograma
•
7. Project scope statement
8. Enterprise environmental
factors
Documentos del proyecto actualizados
9. Organizational process
assets
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CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
Project scope
statement Activity list Activity resource
Activity attributes requirements 4.2
Develop Project
Management Plan
9.2
Acquire 6.2 Schedule baseline
Project Team Sequence
Activities
Resource
calendars 7.1
Activity duration
Project schedule
estimates
Estimate Costs
network diagrams
Schedule
data
Schedule baseline
CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
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CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
Actividad Duración
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
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CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
A B, C, D 7
B E 15
C F 10
D G 3
E G 1
F G 12
G --- 5
Ejemplo de actividades de un hipotético proyecto minero.
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CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
f=6 f=6
B 15 E 1
7 13 22 28 22 28 23 29
f=0 f=0 f=0 f=0
A 7 C 10 F 12 G 5
0 0 7 7 7 7 17 17 17 17 29 29 29 29 34 34
f = 19
D 3
7 26 10 29
A-C-F-G : ruta crítica
Activ Dur
PFI UFI PFT UFT
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CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
Inicio 0 -
2 Inicio
4 Inicio
4 A, B
1 C
12 B
0 D, E
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CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
GRAFICO DE MARCOS
Presenta los principales eventos del proyecto. Tiene uso
esencialmente gerencial.
Cronograma de marcos
Unidades Prazo do cronograma do projeto
Identificador
de actividades Descripción de actividades de
calendario Período 1 Período 2 Período 3 Período 4 Período 5
CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
NIVELACION DE RECURSOS
Resource-based method
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CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
264 Máximo
176 Normal
88
0
ENE MAR MAY JUL SET NOV
FEB ABR JUN AGO OCT
CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
CONTROLAR EL CRONOGRAMA
Control del cronograma
Es el proceso de monitoreo del andamiento
Entradas
del proyecto para la actualización de su Plan de Gestión del Proyecto
progreso y gestión de los cambios realizados. Cronograma del proyecto
Informe de rendimientos
Está relacionado a lo que sigue: Activos de procesos organizacionales
• Determinación de la situación actual del Herramientas
cronograma. Revisión de los rendimientos
Análisis de la variación
• Influencia de los factores que generan Software de gestión de proyectos
cambios del cronograma. Nivelación de recursos
Análisis del escenario “y si”
• Determinación de que el cronograma Ajuste de anticipaciones y esperas
cambió. Compresión de la red
Herramientas para la elaboración de
• Gerenciamiento de los cambios reales cronograma
según ocurre.
Salidas
Medición del desempeño del trabajo
Actualización de activos de procesos
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs
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CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
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CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
90
Secciones con la sustitución
del revestimiento de mampostería
Reducción del umbral
80
Última capa de umbral
Drenaje
70
Avances en la ejecución de la obra(%)
60
50
40
30
20
10
Equipo 1
Equipo 2
Equipo 3
Equipo 4
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CERTIFICAN:
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
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ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
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CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
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10.1
Identify 8.1
Stakeholders Stakeholder Plan Quality management plan 11.2
register Quality
Identify Risks
Proces
improvement
7.2 Quality plans
Determine metrics
Budget Cost 4.2
performance Develop Project
baseline
Quality
Management
cheklists Plan
6.5
Develop
Schedule Schedule
baseline
8.3 8.2
Perform Quality Perform Quality
Control Assurance
11.2
Identify Risks Risk register
Organizational
process assets
Enterprise/
Organization
Enterprise
environmental factors
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CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
mb
marginal cost
mc = mb
mb
marginal benefit
mc
effort or expenditure on
hazard prevention, etc
CERTIFICAN:
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
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CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
BENCHMARKING g
nin
lan
P
d therin
g
an
a Ga
at
-up
D Dete
r
Set
m
ine
Gap
s
Revie
wa
nd
A
da
e
pt
g
an
Ch
ent
Implem
The Benchmarking Process
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
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ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
MUESTREO ESTADISTICO
mean
Population Symmetric
about mean About 68% within
1 s.d. of mean
About 95%
Sample About 99% within 2 s.d.
within 3 s.d. of mean
of mean
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CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
120
Process
110 Average
100
90
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Lower Control Limit
Time (UCL)
Out-of-control Point
(Special Cause)
CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
1 2 3
Solicitud Copia de Desarrollar
de proyecto conformidad ilustraciones
NO
4
Ilustraciones
aprobadas
SI
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
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MEDICIONES DE CALIDAD
Porcentaje completo
Tiempo
Data actual
Atraso
previsto
Budget
at
Completion
(BAC)
Cumulative Values
Planned
Actual Value
Costs (PV)
(AC)
Earned
Value
(EV)
Data Date
Time
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
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ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
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4.2
8.1 8.3
Develop Project Project
Perform Quality
Management Plan Quality Documents
Control
Plan
CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
Audits
nt
Ch
me
an
ge
Communication
ge
na
Ma
Ma
na
on
ge
ti
ra
me
ig u
Process Customization
nt
nf
Co
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CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
AUDITORIAS DE CALIDAD
BATES
CHECKING
NAMES DOCUMENT
CHECKING DATE
CHECKING
QUALITY
AUDIT
DOCUMENT
TITLE DOCUMENT
SPELL TYPE
CHECKING UNIQ
DOCUMENT
TITLE
UNIQ
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
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Input Project
Summary Data
Step 1
Summarize Project
Milestones Project
Step 3 through N - 2 Support Data
Measurement
Repository Summarize Project
CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
ANALISIS DE PROCESOS
1
Identify
6 Evaluate and select
Change the process
2
Implement Process
Analyse
changes Analysis the
Cycle process
5
Select
solution and plan Produce
implementation solutions 3
4
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CERTIFICAN:
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
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CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
4.2
Project Quality Management Project
Develop Project
Document
Management Validated Updates
Plan changes
Project
8.1 document
Quality management plan
Plan Quality updates
4.2
4.3
Develop Project
Direct and
Management
Manage Project Quality cheklists
Project
management Plan
Execution Quality metrics plan updates
Deliverables
Change
4.5
4.5 8.3 request Perform
Perform Perform Quality Integrated
Integrated Approved Control Change Control
Chanfe Control change
request Work
performance Quality control
measurements measurements Validated
deliverables 5.4
5.5
Control Scope Verify Scope
8.2
Perform Quality
Assurance
6.6
Control Schedule
7.3
Control Costs
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ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
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DIAGRAMA DE CAUSA-EFECTO
Principal
defecto
Causas Efectos
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
GRAFICOS DE CONTROL
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
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DIAGRAMAS DE FLUJO
NO
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
HISTOGRAMA
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
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GRAFICO DE PARETO
40 100
Porcentaje
30 acumulado 75
20 50
Frecuencia de casos
10 25
0 0
Rotación
Oscilación
n de
impropia
Presión
Caja
Eixo
Oscilació
Barullo
Rozamient
o
Otros
11 Años Capacitando a la Comunidad Minera Global 153
CERTIFICAN:
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
DIAGRAMA DE DISPERSION
Response variable
0
Explanatory variable
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CERTIFICAN:
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
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INSPECCION
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
V. GESTION DE COSTOS
DEL PROYECTO
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CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
Cost
is
Anlys
presupuestado.
Comprende lo siguiente:
• Estimar los costos.
• Determinar el presupuesto. Cost/Benefit Tradeoff between
Cost Measurement and Cost Error in Desicions
• Controlar los costos. Total cost of the
Cost of measurement
CERTIFICAN:
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
Determinación
Contención
SISTEMA DE INFORMACION DE COSTOS
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
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350 350
300 300
250 250
200 200
ZONA EXTRAIDA 150 150
100 100
50 50
F.C. V.S.
Producción
Costos fijos
CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
11.2 11.2
7.2
Identify Risks Risk register Identify
Determine
Risks
Budget
Organizational process
assets
Enterprise/ Enterprise
enviromental factors
Organization
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
ESTIMATIVA ANALOGA
Combined Cost
Modeling and Technical
Uncertainty
Cost = a +bX c
Cost Modeling
Uncertainty
Cost
Estimate
Techinical Uncertainty
CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
ESTIMACION PARAMETRICA
Define
Estimating Collect
“Hypothesis” “Relationship” Evaluate &
Data Nomalize Analyse Data
Data for Candidate
Relationships
Perform
Statitical
(Regression) Test
Analysis Relationships Select Cost
Estimating
Relationship
1
H [0,1] ( tMP ) =
tMP
C MP+ CMC E ( Nt (0. tMP ))
MP
(6)
tMP
1
= t C MP+ C MC 1 (u) du
MP
0
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CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
ANALISIS DE RESERVAS
Project Reserves Cost Budget
Contingency Reserve
Work Breakdown Structure / Schedule Info
Project Project
WBS
Control Account
Work Package
Schedule
Activity
Tasks
Budget
Breakdown
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
COSTO DE CALIDAD
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ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
gestión. Herramientas
• Agregación de costos
Los presupuestos del proyecto componen los • Análisis de reservas
recursos financieros autorizados para ejecutar el • Opinión especializada
proyecto, y el desempeño de costos del • Relaciones históricas
• Reconciliación del límite de recursos
proyecto será medido en base al presupuesto financieros
autorizado. Salidas
• Línea base del desempeño de costos
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs • Requerimiento de recursos financieros
1.
2.
Activity cost estimates
Basis of estimates
1.
2.
Cost aggregation
Reserve analysis
1. Cost performance
baseline
2. Project funding
del proyecto
3. Scope baseline 3. Expert judgment
4.
5.
Project schedule
Resource calendars
4.
5.
Historical relationships
Funding limit
requirements
3. Project document updates • Documentos del proyecto actualizados
6. Contacts reconciliation
7. Organizational process
assets
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
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5.3
Create WBS Scope
baseline
Project Cost Management
6.5 7.1
Develop Estimate Costs
Schedule Project
schedule Project
Documents
Activity cost estimates
Basis of estimates
9.2
Acquire Project Project document
Team updates
7.2 12.1
Determine Plan
Budget Procurements
Cost
Resource performance
calendars baseline
Contracts
12.2 Project 8.1
Conduct funding Plan Quality
Procurements requirements
CERTIFICAN:
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
Cronograma EMPRESA
Atividades
Estudos Iniciais
Planejamento
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
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AGREGACION DE COSTO
Budget
at
Completion
(BAC)
Cumulative Values
Planned
Actual Value
Costs (PV)
(AC)
Earned
Value
(EV)
Data Date
Time
CERTIFICAN:
ISO
9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
ANALISIS DE RESERVAS
Budget+ Budget+
Budget current prudent
Probability (as%) Actual Cost will be Below Forecast Cost
reserve reserve
100
Current
90 reserve
80
80% probability actual
Prudent costs will be below budget
70 reserve plus a prudent reserve
60
50 curve shows
probability that
Only 50% probability actual costs will
actual costs will be be bellow budget plus current reserve
40 less than Forecast
Costs
30
20
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Cost Baseline
Expeditures
Time
11 Años Capacitando a la Comunidad Minera Global 173
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Project
Project Cost Management
management
4.2 plan
Develop Project
Managment 7.2
Plan Determine
Project Budget
management
plan updates
Project funding
4.3 requirements Project
Direct and Project Documents
document
Manage Project updates
Execution
Work
performance 7.3
information Work
Control
performance
Costs measurements 10.5
Organizational Report
process assets Budget Performance
forescasts
Enterprise/
Organization
Change 4.5
request
Organizational Perform
process assets Integrated
updates
Change Control
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contém
Liçoes Aprendidas
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VAT
is
ea
sR CRTR
sto OAT
Cu VC
ne
Ba s e li
COTA
VA
o COTR
alizad
rab alho re
T
Tempo
Data Status DP DE
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90
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
Te
cn
o
lo
s
g
le
ía
ro
Cohecimiento Cohecimiento
de
nt
Aplicado Gerado
Co
Inf
or
ma
Valor Adicionado
ça
o
Processos do Negócio
Re
cu
r
ça
so
n
s
ra
Distribuido Amenazado
Hu
at
e
lid
Completion
m
an
(BAC)
Cumulative Values
os
Earned
Value
(EV)
Date Date
Time
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PREVISIONES
Upper and Lower Errors Forecasting Formula
Input
60
40
Jan 16 Feb 13 Mar 13 Apr 10 May 08
Jan 30 Feb 27 Mar 27 Apr 24 May 22
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
OF SOUTH AFRICA
2200
Gold Price (USD/oz)
2000
1800
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
Jan 4 Apr 23 Apr 11 Nov 28 Mar 18
2002 2004 2006 2008 2011
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TCPI
+ (BAC)
TCPI
(EAC)
Cumulative
CPI
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
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Planned Cost
Cost Delta
Actual Cost
Time (x)
Time
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ANALISIS DE VARIACION
Line Trimmer Reverse Engineering Gantt Chart
October November December
27 1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 2 6 10 14 18 22 26 2 6 10
1. Request for Proposal
1.1 Work Proposal
1.2 Management Proposal
1.3 Initial Product Assessment
1.4 Wiki Posting
3. Coordination Review
3.1 Component Summary
3.2 Design Revisions
3.3 Solid Model Assembly
3.4 Engineering Analysis
3.5 Causes for Corrective Action
3.6 Wiki Posting
5. Delivery
5.1 Compliance Matrix
5.2 Oral Pres. Prep.
5.3 Finalize Wiki
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ENTRADAS,
.5 Enterprise environmental .6Cost management plan .2 Tools & Techniques
factors .7Schedule management plan .1 Risk probability and impact
.6 Organizational process assets .8Quality management plan assessment
.9Project documents .2 Probability and impact matrix
.2 Tools & Techniques .10 Enterprise enviromental .3 Risk data quality assessment
.4 Risk categorization
HERRAMIENTAS Y
.1 Planning meetings and factors
analysis .11 Organizational process assets .5 Risk urgency assessment
.6 Expert judgment
.3 Outputs .2 Tools & Techniques
.1 Risk management plan .1 Documentation reviews .3 Outputs
.2 Information gathering .1 Risk register updates
RIESGOS DEL
.5 Organizational process assets .4 Performance reports
.3 Outputs
.1 Risk register updates
.1 Risk register
.2 Risk management plan
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SS
CE
O
PR
8 to $16MM 16 to $32MM
T
Level 4
1. Risk Planning
EN
Assesst the Impact
EM 2. Identification
AG
N 3. Assesment
A
Level 3
M
K 4. Priorization
IS
R
5. Monitor&Control
4 to $8MM
Level 2
6. Continous
Improvement
0 to $4MM
Level 1
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5.2
Define Scope
Project Risk Management
11.1
Plan Risk
6.0 Management
Project Time
Management
4.2
Develop Project
Management
Plan
11.4
7.0 11.2 Perform
Project Cost Identify Risks Quantitative
Management Risk analysis
11.3
11.5
Perform
Plan Risk
Qualitative
Responses
10.2 Risk Analysis
Plan
Communications
Enterprise/
Organization
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Actual Cost
$
15% Faster
TIME
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
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t
ne
am
en
s
er
w
em
Te
tO
m
to
ag
m
uc
us
ru
an
od
C
Sc
M
Pr
Product Backlog
Current Product
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Project
Project
Technical External Organizational
Management
Suncontractors Project
Requirements Estimating
and Suppliers Dependencies
Quality Weather
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9001 MINING SOCIETY
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Project Very low /.05 Low /.10 Moderate /.20 High /.40 Very high/.80
Objetive
Insignificant cost <10% cost 10-20% cost 20-40% cost >40% cost
Cost increase increase increase increase increase
Insignificant time <5% time 5-10% time 10-20% time >20% time
Time
increase increase increase increase increase
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6.0
Project Risk Management
Project Time
Management Schedule management plan 11.1
Plan Risk
Management
7.0 Cost management plan
Project Cost
Management Risk management plan
Scope baseline
11.2
Identify Risks
5.3
Create WBS
7.1
Diagrama de flujo
Estimates Costs
Risk
register
6.4
Estimate
Activity Duration
8.1
de datos del
Activity duration Plan Quality
estimates
11.3
Activity cost
Perform 11.5
estimates Plan Risk
Qualitative
Risk Analysis Responses 12.1
7.1
Estimates Costs
Quality management
11.4
Perform
Quantitative
11.6
Monitor and
Control Risks
Plan
Procurements
proceso de
Risk Analysis
identificar los
plan
8.1
Plan Quality
10.1
Indentify
riesgos.
Stakeholder
Project
documents
Project
Documents
Organizational
process assets
Enterprise
enviromental
factors
Enterprise/
Organization
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Náo Incubaçao
Tem
Açao?
Planejamento Sim
Referencias
Lista de
Projetos
Qual é a
Próxima Açao
Façal Menos
Revisao de Açoes de 2 min Mantenha
comunicaçao
regular
Delegue
Programe
Tarefas com data Defina Próxima Açoes
e horarios especificos Definir prazos
ji determinados Fazer listas
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5 ideas 1
Define problem
Idea
Brain Storming
Star brainstorming
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Certeza
Menor Mayor
importancia importancia
Incerteza
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MATERIALS SHIFTS
MEASUREMENTS TRAINING
STAINLESS
CALIBRATION OPERATORS
TOLERANCE CARBON STEEL
AMBIENT
HUMIDITY GRINDING DEFFECT-X
WELDING GEAR WEAR
ENVIROMENTAL
METHODS SPEED
MACHINES
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FLUJOGRAMAS (HERRAMIENTA)
Understanding Identifying Actions for
the present possible futures possible futures
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Externo Amenazas
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11.1
5.2 Plan Risk 11.2
Define Scope Management Identify Risks
11.3
Perform
Enterprise/ Qualitative Risk register
Organization Risk Analisys updates
Organizational
process assets
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(equipamiento)
Demora en la puesta en
1. Recursos
marcha de la web Server M A A
(Hadware y Aplicacione)
en caso de rotura del mismo.
Pérdida de datos por rotura de
la web Server (BD). A A/M A
M A A
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Almost certain M H H E E
Likely M M H H E
Possicle L M M H E
Unlikely L M M M H
Rare L L M M H
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Interviewing relevant stakeholders helps determine the three-point estimates for each WBS
element for triangular, beta or other distributions.In this example, the likelihood of completing the
project at or below the most likely estimate ok $41 million is relatively small as shown in the simulation
results in Figure 11- 16 (Cost Simulation Results).
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DISTRIBUCION DE PROBABILIDADES
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Forecast C26
1.000 Trials Frequency Chart 7 Outliers
.026 26
.020 19,5
Probability
Frequency
.013 13
.007 6.5
Mean - 548.3
000 0
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75%
Probability
50%
25%
12%
0%
$41M $50M
$30.00M $38.75M $47.50M $56.25M $65.00M
Cost
This cumulative distribution, as suming the data ranges in figure 11-13 and triangular distributions,
shows that the project is only 12 percent likely to meet the $41 million estimate. If a conservative
organization wants a 75% likelihood of success, a budget of $50 million (a contingency of nearly 22%
($50M - $41M/$41M)) is required.
Ejemplo de simulación de riesgo de costos del proyecto
11 Años Capacitando a la Comunidad Minera Global 219
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proyecto. Herramientas
• Estrategia para riesgos negativos o
Es posterior al análisis cualitativo y al amenazas
• Estrategia para riesgos positivos u
cuantitativo de riesgos, y considera la oportunidades
responsabilidad para asumir la aplicación de • Estrategias de propuestas de
contingencias
la respuesta. • Opinión especializada
Las respuestas deben tener eficacia de costos Salidas
• Actualización de los registros de
para dar respuesta a los riesgos. riesgos
• Plan de Gestión del Proyecto
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs actualizado
1. Risk register
2. Basis management plan
1. Strategies for negative
risks or threats
1. Risk register updates
2. Risk - related contract • Decisiones contractuales
2. Strategies for positive decisions
risks or opportunities
3. Contingent response
3. Project management plan
updates
relacionados a riscos
strategies
4. Expert judgment
4. Project document
updates • Documentos del proyecto
actualizados
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Risk-related
contract decisions
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PROCESOS DE GRH
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Develop
Human Acquire
resource plan project team
Develop
project team
Manage
PMBOK project team
4th edition
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Capacitar e
desenvolver Comunicaçao
Gestao do interna
desempenho
Prover (Resultado e competencias)
Clima
organizacional
Saúde,
bem-estar e
segurança Relaçoes
trabañhistas e
Administraçao sindicais
de personal
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SALIDAS EN LA
1. Human resource plan .2 Resource calendars .1 Team performance
.3 Project management plan assessments
updates .2 Enterprise enviromental
factors updates
9.4 Manage Project
GESTION DE
Team
1. Inputs
1. Project staff assigments
2. Project management plan
3.Team performance
assessments
4.Performance reports RECURSOS
HUMANOS DEL
2. Tools & Techniques
3. Outputs
PROYECTO.
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6.3
Estimate activity Project Human Resource Management
resource
Activity resource
requirements 9.1 4.2
Develop human Develop project
resource plan management
plan
Organizational
process assets
Enterprise Human
enviromental resource plan
factors 7.1
Estimate costs
Enterprise/
Organization
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PM
RAM Role
Responsabilities
Authority
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Define A R I I I
Design I A R C C
Develop I A R C C
Test A I I R I
R= Responsible A= Accountable C=Consult I=Inform
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RED DE RELACIONAMIENTO
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TEORIA ORGANIZACIONAL
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Responsabilidad. Workforce
Planning
Competencia.
• Organigramas del proyecto
Attracting
• Plan de Gestión del Personal Developing
and
Staff
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Staffing
management plan
Pre-assigment
Project
Negotiation Resource
organization
charts Acquisition availability
Virtual teams
Staffing
Organizational
management plan
process assets
(updates)
Enterprise
enviromental
factors
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6.4
9.2
Estimate Activity
Acquire
Duartion
Project Team
6.5
Develop
Schedule
Enterprise/
Organization 9.4 9.3
Develop 7.2
Manage Project
Project Team Determine
Team
Budget
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