UNASAM ING_AGRICOLA

AÑO SET OCT NOV DIC ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO Chancos Pico
1948-49
1949-50
1950-51
1951-52
1952-53 4.94 6.92 8.54 10.57 7.28 13.01 14.53 11.54 6.95 4.79 4.04 4.12 8.10 14.53
1953-54 4.92 6.02 8.98 10.02 11.22 10.05 11.76 7.60 5.42 4.12 4.31 3.84 7.36 11.76
1954-55 3.74 4.73 5.11 6.62 6.59 16.45 14.06 9.69 5.02 3.42 3.09 3.38 6.83 16.45
1955-56 2.84 4.33 5.02 6.44 8.41 11.62 11.95 10.62 5.22 3.18 3.20 3.69 6.38 11.95
1956-57 2.90 4.02 5.00 6.17 6.27 11.38 10.97 12.29 6.18 3.08 3.65 3.97 6.32 12.29
1957-58 4.83 6.87 8.92 8.75 9.13 9.14 9.96 8.85 7.06 5.50 4.93 5.03 7.41 9.96
1958-59 5.11 6.14 8.89 10.21 12.05 12.98 13.23 11.84 7.89 4.99 4.49 4.85 8.56 13.23
1959-60 4.71 7.06 8.38 10.66 9.32 9.87 15.29 14.60 10.12 7.48 5.89 6.44 9.15 15.29
1960-61 2.63 7.60 9.37 12.50 17.51 12.31 14.12 10.96 6.13 3.87 3.35 3.30 8.64 17.51
1961-62 2.64 3.97 5.69 8.09 15.39 16.48 17.60 11.74 6.07 4.76 4.35 4.53 8.44 17.60
1962-63 4.27 6.27 7.12 6.64 10.14 11.31 15.56 16.05 6.37 4.47 3.95 3.98 8.01 16.05
1963-64 5.13 5.98 9.55 13.47 12.54 12.30 12.65 10.25 6.64 4.86 5.07 5.13 8.63 13.47
1964-65 4.01 5.98 8.04 6.48 6.10 8.06 12.39 8.00 5.41 3.74 3.07 3.48 6.23 12.39
1965-66 4.30 5.81 6.70 8.81 9.99 11.15 9.27 7.89 7.35 6.02 6.22 5.67 7.43 11.15
1966-67 6.49 7.09 8.36 8.07 10.74 19.52 16.51 7.43 5.49 4.37 3.67 3.52 8.44 19.52
1967-68 3.86 5.86 7.66 7.73 9.96 8.39 9.68 6.10 4.42 3.82 3.56 3.41 6.20 9.96
1968-69 4.27 5.73 6.30 8.06 8.80 8.30 10.63 13.65 8.82 6.74 5.32 6.25 7.74 13.65
1969-70 6.29 8.50 10.86 11.35 11.12 10.39 10.98 12.20 8.29 6.08 5.88 5.66 8.97 12.20
1970-71 4.40 6.24 8.40 9.07 9.72 13.58 20.83 10.76 5.41 4.09 3.73 3.40 8.30 20.83
1971-72 4.14 5.69 5.90 7.60 8.16 10.85 21.44 6.87 5.03 3.72 3.66 3.76 7.24 21.44
1972-73 3.76 4.96 6.94 7.62 9.67 10.03 11.36 13.47 7.60 4.52 3.58 3.82 7.28 13.47
1973-74 4.40 5.96 8.13 8.01 11.01 11.61 13.24 10.99 4.87 4.30 3.51 3.37 7.45 13.24
1974-75 3.50 4.72 6.47 8.41 11.72 11.45 16.77 9.33 6.56 3.77 3.59 4.14 7.54 16.77
1975-76 3.78 5.19 5.24 4.94 8.56 12.63 12.67 6.69 6.62 4.62 4.22 4.32 6.62 12.67
1976-77 6.33 8.86 8.93 9.03 13.86 14.30 14.61 13.80 8.85 5.75 5.23 5.29 9.57 14.61
1977-78 4.83 12.51 16.79 17.40 19.06 22.98 20.47 16.02 13.96 6.76 5.49 5.43 13.48 22.98
1978-79 6.42 6.68 8.93 11.87 11.60 14.80 20.11 11.57 7.39 6.38 5.13 5.72 9.72 20.11
1979-80 6.82 8.62 9.80 11.25 12.31 14.56 11.23 10.31 6.13 5.98 4.81 5.02 8.90 14.56
1980-81 8.30 11.74 4.85 11.78 10.51 18.40 17.24 12.33 7.16 5.25 5.24 4.58 9.78 18.40
1981-82 5.13 10.67 13.52 9.40 10.94 17.62 14.44 12.55 7.94 6.24 4.20 4.68 9.78 17.62
1982-83 5.67 10.38 12.66 14.87 20.35 17.58 19.73 17.05 12.87 7.19 7.05 6.27 12.64 20.35
1983-84 7.16 12.23 10.36 9.49 9.72 15.80 20.61 14.10 6.88 4.25 4.27 4.65 9.96 20.61
1984-85 4.99 7.08 6.31 11.31 11.46 11.50 11.54 13.05 3.92 3.22 3.19 3.64 7.60 13.05
1985-86 5.51 5.34 6.16 8.50 12.69 10.64 10.77 13.03 7.00 5.19 4.37 4.50 7.81 13.03
1986-87 4.76 7.28 8.33 10.51 14.39 15.40 15.30 12.87 7.82 4.30 3.97 3.98 9.08 15.40
1987-88 5.25 8.42 12.26 14.19 16.30 17.58 13.41 11.21 5.98 3.93 3.32 3.79 9.64 17.58
1988-89 5.03 6.90 8.96 6.43 9.88 13.80 14.74 15.01 5.41 3.03 2.38 2.68 7.85 15.01
1989-90 3.39 6.27 7.48 9.18 10.67 12.51 9.90 7.56 3.08 2.92 2.52 2.65 6.51 12.51
1990-91 4.43 7.72 10.76 10.43 10.89 12.64 17.51 9.37 5.97 4.40 3.59 3.95 8.47 17.51
1991-92 4.53 4.71 5.65 8.60 8.86 10.49 6.22 4.12 2.52 1.12 2.06 2.41 5.11 10.49
1992-93 2.51 2.85 3.39 4.16 8.37 15.04 13.32 13.66 7.33 3.73 3.30 3.37 6.75 15.04
1993-94 3.97 5.81 8.47 18.84 14.64 14.46 12.21 12.33 9.37 4.41 3.48 4.06 9.34 18.84
1994-95 5.16 6.02 9.45 16.38 12.36 11.99 10.36 7.92 5.20 4.62 5.14 5.21 8.32 16.38
UNASAM ING_AGRICOLA

1995-96 5.34 7.50 8.93 7.87 11.14 16.66 7.20 14.91 7.67 5.92 5.47 4.79 8.62 16.66
1996-97 4.79 8.01 9.76 10.91 10.76 9.01 12.22 6.16 6.00 8.29 4.24 4.39 7.88 12.22
1997-98 6.32 7.08 16.69 46.67 44.33 59.95 52.89 35.78 16.36 7.19 6.16 7.56 25.58 59.95
1998-99 13.69 10.81 13.33 11.52 14.29 48.58 29.63 8.27 6.78 4.79 4.24 4.38 14.19 48.58
1999-00
2000-01
2001-02

1997-98 5.07 5.25 7.48 14.44 13.90 17.52 15.88 11.91 7.40 5.28 5.04 5.36
1998-99 6.78 6.12 6.70 6.28 6.92 14.88 10.48 5.53 5.18 4.72 4.59 4.62

INFORMACIÓN CONSISTENTE
AÑO SET OCT NOV DIC ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO
1948-49
1949-50
1950-51
1951-52
1952-53 4.94 6.92 8.54 10.57 7.28 13.01 14.53 11.54 6.95 4.79 4.04 4.12
1953-54 4.92 6.02 8.98 10.02 11.22 10.05 11.76 7.60 5.42 4.12 4.31 3.84
1954-55 3.74 4.73 5.11 6.62 6.59 16.45 14.06 9.69 5.02 3.42 3.09 3.38
1955-56 2.84 4.33 5.02 6.44 8.41 11.62 11.95 10.62 5.22 3.18 3.20 3.69
1956-57 2.90 4.02 5.00 6.17 6.27 11.38 10.97 12.29 6.18 3.08 3.65 3.97
1957-58 4.83 6.87 8.92 8.75 9.13 9.14 9.96 8.85 7.06 5.50 4.93 5.03
1958-59 5.11 6.14 8.89 10.21 12.05 12.98 13.23 11.84 7.89 4.99 4.49 4.85
1959-60 4.71 7.06 8.38 10.66 9.32 9.87 15.29 14.60 10.12 7.48 5.89 6.44
1960-61 2.63 7.60 9.37 12.50 17.51 12.31 14.12 10.96 6.13 3.87 3.35 3.30
1961-62 2.64 3.97 5.69 8.09 15.39 16.48 17.60 11.74 6.07 4.76 4.35 4.53
1962-63 4.27 6.27 7.12 6.64 10.14 11.31 15.56 16.05 6.37 4.47 3.95 3.98
1963-64 5.13 5.98 9.55 13.47 12.54 12.30 12.65 10.25 6.64 4.86 5.07 5.13
1964-65 4.01 5.98 8.04 6.48 6.10 8.06 12.39 8.00 5.41 3.74 3.07 3.48
1965-66 4.30 5.81 6.70 8.81 9.99 11.15 9.27 7.89 7.35 6.02 6.22 5.67
1966-67 6.49 7.09 8.36 8.07 10.74 19.52 16.51 7.43 5.49 4.37 3.67 3.52
1967-68 3.86 5.86 7.66 7.73 9.96 8.39 9.68 6.10 4.42 3.82 3.56 3.41
1968-69 4.27 5.73 6.30 8.06 8.80 8.30 10.63 13.65 8.82 6.74 5.32 6.25
1969-70 6.29 8.50 10.86 11.35 11.12 10.39 10.98 12.20 8.29 6.08 5.88 5.66
1970-71 4.40 6.24 8.40 9.07 9.72 13.58 20.83 10.76 5.41 4.09 3.73 3.40
1971-72 4.14 5.69 5.90 7.60 8.16 10.85 21.44 6.87 5.03 3.72 3.66 3.76
1972-73 3.76 4.96 6.94 7.62 9.67 10.03 11.36 13.47 7.60 4.52 3.58 3.82
1973-74 4.40 5.96 8.13 8.01 11.01 11.61 13.24 10.99 4.87 4.30 3.51 3.37
1974-75 3.50 4.72 6.47 8.41 11.72 11.45 16.77 9.33 6.56 3.77 3.59 4.14
1975-76 3.78 5.19 5.24 4.94 8.56 12.63 12.67 6.69 6.62 4.62 4.22 4.32
1976-77 6.33 8.86 8.93 9.03 13.86 14.30 14.61 13.80 8.85 5.75 5.23 5.29
1977-78 4.83 12.51 16.79 17.40 19.06 22.98 20.47 16.02 13.96 6.76 5.49 5.43
1978-79 6.42 6.68 8.93 11.87 11.60 14.80 20.11 11.57 7.39 6.38 5.13 5.72
1979-80 6.82 8.62 9.80 11.25 12.31 14.56 11.23 10.31 6.13 5.98 4.81 5.02
1980-81 8.30 11.74 4.85 11.78 10.51 18.40 17.24 12.33 7.16 5.25 5.24 4.58
UNASAM ING_AGRICOLA

1981-82 5.13 10.67 13.52 9.40 10.94 17.62 14.44 12.55 7.94 6.24 4.20 4.68
1982-83 5.67 10.38 12.66 14.87 20.35 17.58 19.73 17.05 12.87 7.19 7.05 6.27
1983-84 7.16 12.23 10.36 9.49 9.72 15.80 20.61 14.10 6.88 4.25 4.27 4.65
1984-85 4.99 7.08 6.31 11.31 11.46 11.50 11.54 13.05 3.92 3.22 3.19 3.64
1985-86 5.51 5.34 6.16 8.50 12.69 10.64 10.77 13.03 7.00 5.19 4.37 4.50
1986-87 4.76 7.28 8.33 10.51 14.39 15.40 15.30 12.87 7.82 4.30 3.97 3.98
1987-88 5.25 8.42 12.26 14.19 16.30 17.58 13.41 11.21 5.98 3.93 3.32 3.79
1988-89 5.03 6.90 8.96 6.43 9.88 13.80 14.74 15.01 5.41 3.03 2.38 2.68
1989-90 3.39 6.27 7.48 9.18 10.67 12.51 9.90 7.56 3.08 2.92 2.52 2.65
1990-91 4.43 7.72 10.76 10.43 10.89 12.64 17.51 9.37 5.97 4.40 3.59 3.95
1991-92 4.53 4.71 5.65 8.60 8.86 10.49 6.22 4.12 2.52 1.12 2.06 2.41
1992-93 2.51 2.85 3.39 4.16 8.37 15.04 13.32 13.66 7.33 3.73 3.30 3.37
1993-94 3.97 5.81 8.47 18.84 14.64 14.46 12.21 12.33 9.37 4.41 3.48 4.06
1994-95 5.16 6.02 9.45 16.38 12.36 11.99 10.36 7.92 5.20 4.62 5.14 5.21
1995-96 5.34 7.50 8.93 7.87 11.14 16.66 7.20 14.91 7.67 5.92 5.47 4.79
1996-97 4.79 8.01 9.76 10.91 10.76 9.01 12.22 6.16 6.00 8.29 4.24 4.39
1997-98 5.07 5.25 7.48 14.44 13.90 17.52 15.88 11.91 7.40 5.26 5.04 5.36
1998-99 6.78 6.12 6.70 6.28 6.92 14.88 10.48 5.53 5.18 4.72 4.59 4.62
1999-00
2000-01
2001-02

TENDENCIAS
N 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47
Am ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ###
Bm ### ### ### 0.06 ### 0.07 0 0
r2 0.08 0.04 0.02 0.07 ### 0.08 0 ### ### ### 0 0
Tc ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ###
Tt 2.01 2.01 2.01 2.01 2.01 2.01 2.01 2.01 2.01 2 2.01 2.01
ok ok ok ok ok Corregir ok ok ok ok ok ok

DATOS SIN TENDENCIA

AÑO SET OCT NOV DIC ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO
1948-49
1949-50
1950-51
1951-52
1952-53 4.94 6.92 8.54 10.57 7.28 14.60 14.53 11.54 6.95 4.79 4.04 4.12
1953-54 4.92 6.02 8.98 10.02 11.22 13.35 11.76 7.60 5.42 4.12 4.31 3.84
1954-55 3.74 4.73 5.11 6.62 6.59 19.70 14.06 9.69 5.02 3.42 3.09 3.38
1955-56 2.84 4.33 5.02 6.44 8.41 14.82 11.95 10.62 5.22 3.18 3.20 3.69
1956-57 2.90 4.02 5.00 6.17 6.27 14.52 10.97 12.29 6.18 3.08 3.65 3.97
1957-58 4.83 6.87 8.92 8.75 9.13 12.23 9.96 8.85 7.06 5.50 4.93 5.03
1958-59 5.11 6.14 8.89 10.21 12.05 16.02 13.23 11.84 7.89 4.99 4.49 4.85
1959-60 4.71 7.06 8.38 10.66 9.32 12.85 15.29 14.60 10.12 7.48 5.89 6.44
1960-61 2.63 7.60 9.37 12.50 17.51 15.24 14.12 10.96 6.13 3.87 3.35 3.30
1961-62 2.64 3.97 5.69 8.09 15.39 19.36 17.60 11.74 6.07 4.76 4.35 4.53
1962-63 4.27 6.27 7.12 6.64 10.14 14.13 15.56 16.05 6.37 4.47 3.95 3.98
UNASAM ING_AGRICOLA

1963-64 5.13 5.98 9.55 13.47 12.54 15.07 12.65 10.25 6.64 4.86 5.07 5.13
1964-65 4.01 5.98 8.04 6.48 6.10 10.76 12.39 8.00 5.41 3.74 3.07 3.48
1965-66 4.30 5.81 6.70 8.81 9.99 13.81 9.27 7.89 7.35 6.02 6.22 5.67
1966-67 6.49 7.09 8.36 8.07 10.74 22.13 16.51 7.43 5.49 4.37 3.67 3.52
1967-68 3.86 5.86 7.66 7.73 9.96 10.95 9.68 6.10 4.42 3.82 3.56 3.41
1968-69 4.27 5.73 6.30 8.06 8.80 10.80 10.63 13.65 8.82 6.74 5.32 6.25
1969-70 6.29 8.50 10.86 11.35 11.12 12.84 10.98 12.20 8.29 6.08 5.88 5.66
1970-71 4.40 6.24 8.40 9.07 9.72 15.98 20.83 10.76 5.41 4.09 3.73 3.40
1971-72 4.14 5.69 5.90 7.60 8.16 13.19 21.44 6.87 5.03 3.72 3.66 3.76
1972-73 3.76 4.96 6.94 7.62 9.67 12.32 11.36 13.47 7.60 4.52 3.58 3.82
1973-74 4.40 5.96 8.13 8.01 11.01 13.85 13.24 10.99 4.87 4.30 3.51 3.37
1974-75 3.50 4.72 6.47 8.41 11.72 13.63 16.77 9.33 6.56 3.77 3.59 4.14
1975-76 3.78 5.19 5.24 4.94 8.56 14.76 12.67 6.69 6.62 4.62 4.22 4.32
1976-77 6.33 8.86 8.93 9.03 13.86 16.38 14.61 13.80 8.85 5.75 5.23 5.29
1977-78 4.83 12.51 16.79 17.40 19.06 25.00 20.47 16.02 13.96 6.76 5.49 5.43
1978-79 6.42 6.68 8.93 11.87 11.60 16.77 20.11 11.57 7.39 6.38 5.13 5.72
1979-80 6.82 8.62 9.80 11.25 12.31 16.48 11.23 10.31 6.13 5.98 4.81 5.02
1980-81 8.30 11.74 4.85 11.78 10.51 20.26 17.24 12.33 7.16 5.25 5.24 4.58
1981-82 5.13 10.67 13.52 9.40 10.94 19.43 14.44 12.55 7.94 6.24 4.20 4.68
1982-83 5.67 10.38 12.66 14.87 20.35 19.34 19.73 17.05 12.87 7.19 7.05 6.27
1983-84 7.16 12.23 10.36 9.49 9.72 17.50 20.61 14.10 6.88 4.25 4.27 4.65
1984-85 4.99 7.08 6.31 11.31 11.46 13.15 11.54 13.05 3.92 3.22 3.19 3.64
1985-86 5.51 5.34 6.16 8.50 12.69 12.24 10.77 13.03 7.00 5.19 4.37 4.50
1986-87 4.76 7.28 8.33 10.51 14.39 16.94 15.30 12.87 7.82 4.30 3.97 3.98
1987-88 5.25 8.42 12.26 14.19 16.30 19.07 13.41 11.21 5.98 3.93 3.32 3.79
1988-89 5.03 6.90 8.96 6.43 9.88 15.24 14.74 15.01 5.41 3.03 2.38 2.68
1989-90 3.39 6.27 7.48 9.18 10.67 13.89 9.90 7.56 3.08 2.92 2.52 2.65
1990-91 4.43 7.72 10.76 10.43 10.89 13.97 17.51 9.37 5.97 4.40 3.59 3.95
1991-92 4.53 4.71 5.65 8.60 8.86 11.77 6.22 4.12 2.52 1.12 2.06 2.41
1992-93 2.51 2.85 3.39 4.16 8.37 16.26 13.32 13.66 7.33 3.73 3.30 3.37
1993-94 3.97 5.81 8.47 18.84 14.64 15.63 12.21 12.33 9.37 4.41 3.48 4.06
1994-95 5.16 6.02 9.45 16.38 12.36 13.11 10.36 7.92 5.20 4.62 5.14 5.21
1995-96 5.34 7.50 8.93 7.87 11.14 17.72 7.20 14.91 7.67 5.92 5.47 4.79
1996-97 4.79 8.01 9.76 10.91 10.76 10.02 12.22 6.16 6.00 8.29 4.24 4.39
1997-98 5.07 5.25 7.48 14.44 13.90 18.48 15.88 11.91 7.40 5.26 5.04 5.36
1998-99 6.78 6.12 6.70 6.28 6.92 15.78 10.48 5.53 5.18 4.72 4.59 4.62
1999-00
2000-01
2001-02
N°
Regist 46 46 46 46 47 47 47 46 46 45 46 46
ros
Prom
4.77 6.78 8.20 9.77 ### ### ### ### 6.72 4.75 4.22 4.34
edio
Máxi
8.30 ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### 8.29 7.05 6.44
mo
Mínim
2.51 2.85 3.39 4.16 6.10 ### 6.22 4.12 2.52 1.12 2.06 2.41
o
UNASAM ING_AGRICOLA

Salto

2.77
4.69 n1 = 540 n1= 540 Sp= ### G.L. 562
4.50 X1 = 8.223 X1= 8 Sd= ### Prob 0.975
0.34 S1 = 4.146 S1= 4 Tc= ### Tt 1.964
2.33 n2 = 24 n2= 24 Tt= ### Fc 0.054
3.27 X2 = 19.89 X2= 20 |Tc |> Tt (95%) G.L.n 539
2.06 S2 = 17.86 S2= 18 X1 ≠ X2 G.L.d 23
2.22 CORREGIR Prob 0.950
0.09 Ft 1.770
1.55
2.58
1.08
1.24
8.37
9.56
3.69
1.45
8.63
0.61
7.97
0.23
3.53
4.10
1.94
8.37
2.87
5.55
3.84
0.78
2.73
0.26
7.56
0.02
2.37
2.18
2.57
2.50
5.00
7.02
4.55
3.80
2.46
UNASAM ING_AGRICOLA

0.28
4.44
47.73
11.37

47.73

n2 24
X2 ###
S2 ###
CON DATOS CORREGIDOS
n1 = 540 n1= 540 Sp= ###
X1 = 8.223 X1= 8 Sd= ###
S1 = 4.146 S1= 4 Tc= ###
n2 = 24 n2= 24 Tt= ###
X2 = 8.22 X2= 8 |Tc |≤ Tt (95%)
S2 = 4.15 S2= 4 X1 = X2
OK!
FEBRERO
t Tm Corregir
1 13.01 14.60
2 10.05 13.35
3 16.45 19.70
4 11.62 14.82
5 11.38 14.52
6 9.14 12.23
7 12.98 16.02
8 9.87 12.85
9 12.31 15.24
10 16.48 19.36
11 11.31 14.13
12 12.30 15.07
13 8.06 10.78
14 11.15 13.81
15 19.52 22.13
16 8.39 10.95
17 8.30 10.80
18 10.39 12.84
19 13.58 15.98
20 10.85 13.19
21 10.03 12.32
22 11.61 13.85
23 11.45 13.63
24 12.63 14.76
25 14.30 16.38
26 22.98 25.00
UNASAM ING_AGRICOLA

27 14.80 16.77
28 14.56 16.48
29 18.40 20.26
30 17.62 19.43
31 17.58 19.34
32 15.80 17.50
33 11.50 13.15
34 10.64 12.24
35 15.40 16.94
36 17.58 19.07
37 13.80 15.24
38 12.51 13.89
39 12.64 13.97
40 10.49 11.77
41 15.04 16.26
42 14.46 15.63
43 11.99 13.11
44 16.66 17.72
45 9.01 10.02
46 17.52 18.48
47 14.88 15.78
PROMEDIO###
UNASAM ING_AGRICOLA
 Año Enero m xi = Q P(X) Z F(Z) P(X)- Ln(xi)
1952-53 7.28 1 6.10 0.0208 -1.62 0.05264
F(Z)
0.0318 1.8083
1953-54 11.22 2 6.27 0.0417 -1.5650 0.0588 0.0171 1.8358
1954-55 6.59 3 6.59 0.0625 -1.4619 0.0719 0.0094 1.8856
1955-56 8.41 4 6.92 0.0833 -1.3556 0.0876 0.0043 1.9344
1956-57 6.27 5 7.28 0.1042 -1.2396 0.1076 0.0034 1.9851
1957-58 9.13 6 8.16 0.1250 -0.9561 0.1695 0.0445 2.0992
1958-59 12.05 7 8.37 0.1458 -0.8884 0.1872 0.0413 2.1247
1959-60 9.32 8 8.41 0.1667 -0.8755 0.1907 0.0240 2.1294
1960-61 17.51 9 8.56 0.1875 -0.8272 0.2041 0.0166 2.1471
1961-62 15.39 10 8.80 0.2083 -0.7498 0.2267 0.0183 2.1748
1962-63 10.14 11 8.86 0.2292 -0.7305 0.2325 0.0034 2.1815
1963-64 12.54 12 9.13 0.2500 -0.6435 0.2599 0.0099 2.2116
1964-65 6.10 13 9.32 0.2708 -0.5823 0.2802 0.0094 2.2322
1965-66 9.99 14 9.67 0.2917 -0.4695 0.3193 0.0277 2.2690
1966-67 10.74 15 9.72 0.3125 -0.4534 0.3251 0.0126 2.2742
1967-68 9.96 16 9.72 0.3333 -0.4534 0.3251 0.0082 2.2742
1968-69 8.80 17 9.88 0.3542 -0.4019 0.3439 0.0103 2.2905
1969-70 11.12 18 9.96 0.3750 -0.3761 0.3534 0.0216 2.2986
1970-71 9.72 19 9.99 0.3958 -0.3664 0.3570 0.0388 2.3016
1971-72 8.16 20 10.14 0.4167 -0.3181 0.3752 0.0415 2.3165
1972-73 9.67 21 10.51 0.4375 -0.1989 0.4212 0.0163 2.3523
1973-74 11.01 22 10.67 0.4583 -0.1473 0.4414 0.0169 2.3674
1974-75 11.72 23 10.74 0.4792 -0.1248 0.4504 0.0288 2.3740
1975-76 8.56 24 10.76 0.5000 -0.1183 0.4529 0.0471 2.3758
1976-77 13.86 25 10.89 0.5208 -0.0764 0.4695 0.0513 2.3878
1977-78 19.06 26 10.94 0.5417 -0.0603 0.4759 0.0657 2.3924
1978-79 11.60 27 11.01 0.5625 -0.0378 0.4849 0.0776 2.3988
1979-80 12.31 28 11.12 0.5833 -0.0023 0.4991 0.0843 2.4087
1980-81 10.51 29 11.14 0.6042 0.0041 0.5016 0.1025 2.4105
 1981-82 10.94 30 11.22 0.6250 0.0299 0.5119 0.1131 2.4177
1982-83 20.35 31 11.46 0.6458 0.1072 0.5427 0.1031 2.4389
1983-84 9.72 32 11.60 0.6667 0.1523 0.5605 0.1061 2.4510
1984-85 11.46 33 11.72 0.6875 0.1910 0.5757 0.1118 2.4613
1985-86 12.69 34 12.05 0.7083 0.2973 0.6169 0.0914 2.4891
1986-87 14.39 35 12.31 0.7292 0.3811 0.6484 0.0807 2.5104
1987-88 16.30 36 12.36 0.7500 0.3972 0.6544 0.0956 2.5145
1988-89 9.88 37 12.54 0.7708 0.4552 0.6755 0.0953 2.5289
1989-90 10.67 38 12.69 0.7917 0.5035 0.6927 0.0990 2.5408
1990-91 10.89 39 13.86 0.8125 0.8805 0.8107 0.0018 2.6290
1991-92 8.86 40 13.90 0.8333 0.8934 0.8142 0.0192 2.6319
1992-93 8.37 41 14.39 0.8542 1.0513 0.8534 0.0007 2.6665
1993-94 14.64 42 14.64 0.8750 1.1318 0.8711 0.0039 2.6838
1994-95 12.36 43 15.39 0.8958 1.3735 0.9152 0.0194 2.7337
1995-96 11.14 44 16.30 0.9167 1.6667 0.9522 0.0355 2.7912
1996-97 10.76 45 17.51 0.9375 2.0565 0.9801 0.0426 2.8628
1997-98 13.90 46 19.06 0.9583 2.5560 0.9947 0.0364 2.9476
1998-99 6.92 47 20.35 0.9792 2.9716 0.9985 0.0194 3.0131
X= 11.13 Δ calc. 0.113 u 2.373
S= 3.104 Δ teorico 0.259 σ 0.266
El ajuste es bueno
ALFA = 2.420
u= 9.730
λ= 0.090
Distribuciones teoricas
Normal
Log Normal 2PGumbel Expon
T (años) F(Z) Z Y Q Q Q Q
2 0.50000 0.000 0.3665 11.1 10.7 10.6 7.7
5 0.80000 0.842 1.4999 13.7 13.4 13.4 17.9
10 0.90000 1.282 2.2504 15.1 15.1 15.2 25.6
15 0.93333 1.501 2.6738 15.8 16.0 16.2 30.1
20 0.95000 1.645 2.9702 16.2 16.6 16.9 33.3
 25 0.96000 1.751 3.1985 16.6 17.1 17.5 35.8
50 0.98000 2.054 3.9019 17.5 18.6 19.2 43.5
75 0.98667 2.216 4.3108 18.0 19.4 20.2 48.0
100 0.99000 2.326 4.6001 18.3 20.0 20.9 51.2
200 0.99500 2.576 5.2958 19.1 21.3 22.5 59.0
500 0.99800 2.878 6.2136 20.1 23.1 24.8 69.2
 Año Febrero m xi = Q P(X) Z F(Z) P(X)-
1952-53 14.60 1 10.02 0.0208 -1.70 0.04438
F(Z)
0.0235
1953-54 13.35 2 10.76 0.0417 -1.4656 0.0714 0.0297
1954-55 19.70 3 10.80 0.0625 -1.4528 0.0731 0.0106
1955-56 14.82 4 10.95 0.0833 -1.4049 0.0800 0.0033
1956-57 14.52 5 11.77 0.1042 -1.1440 0.1263 0.0221
1957-58 12.23 6 12.23 0.1250 -0.9960 0.1596 0.0346
1958-59 16.02 7 12.24 0.1458 -0.9939 0.1601 0.0143
1959-60 12.85 8 12.32 0.1667 -0.9674 0.1667 0.0000
1960-61 15.24 9 12.84 0.1875 -0.8013 0.2115 0.0240
1961-62 19.36 10 12.85 0.2083 -0.7979 0.2125 0.0041
1962-63 14.13 11 13.11 0.2292 -0.7159 0.2370 0.0079
1963-64 15.07 12 13.15 0.2500 -0.7021 0.2413 0.0087
1964-65 10.76 13 13.19 0.2708 -0.6884 0.2456 0.0252
1965-66 13.81 14 13.35 0.2917 -0.6382 0.2617 0.0300
1966-67 22.13 15 13.63 0.3125 -0.5478 0.2919 0.0206
1967-68 10.95 16 13.81 0.3333 -0.4912 0.3116 0.0217
1968-69 10.80 17 13.85 0.3542 -0.4797 0.3157 0.0384
1969-70 12.84 18 13.89 0.3750 -0.4646 0.3211 0.0539
1970-71 15.98 19 13.97 0.3958 -0.4401 0.3299 0.0659
1971-72 13.19 20 14.13 0.4167 -0.3890 0.3487 0.0680
1972-73 12.32 21 14.52 0.4375 -0.2644 0.3957 0.0418
1973-74 13.85 22 14.60 0.4583 -0.2388 0.4056 0.0527
1974-75 13.63 23 14.76 0.4792 -0.1879 0.4255 0.0537
1975-76 14.76 24 14.82 0.5000 -0.1685 0.4331 0.0669
1976-77 16.38 25 15.07 0.5208 -0.0887 0.4647 0.0562
1977-78 25.00 26 15.24 0.5417 -0.0354 0.4859 0.0558
1978-79 16.77 27 15.24 0.5625 -0.0343 0.4863 0.0762
1979-80 16.48 28 15.63 0.5833 0.0903 0.5360 0.0474
1980-81 20.26 29 15.78 0.6042 0.1393 0.5554 0.0488
1981-82 19.43 30 15.98 0.6250 0.2008 0.5796 0.0454
1982-83 19.34 31 16.02 0.6458 0.2149 0.5851 0.0608
1983-84 17.50 32 16.26 0.6667 0.2926 0.6151 0.0516
1984-85 13.15 33 16.38 0.6875 0.3286 0.6288 0.0587
1985-86 12.24 34 16.48 0.7083 0.3606 0.6408 0.0675
1986-87 16.94 35 16.77 0.7292 0.4543 0.6752 0.0540
1987-88 19.07 36 16.94 0.7500 0.5098 0.6949 0.0551
1988-89 15.24 37 17.50 0.7708 0.6887 0.7545 0.0164
1989-90 13.89 38 17.72 0.7917 0.7591 0.7761 0.0156
1990-91 13.97 39 18.48 0.8125 0.9998 0.8413 0.0288
1991-92 11.77 40 19.07 0.8333 1.1892 0.8828 0.0495
1992-93 16.26 41 19.34 0.8542 1.2744 0.8987 0.0446
1993-94 15.63 42 19.36 0.8750 1.2819 0.9001 0.0251
 1994-95 13.11 43 19.43 0.8958 1.3042 0.9039 0.0081
1995-96 17.72 44 19.70 0.9167 1.3906 0.9178 0.0012
1996-97 10.02 45 20.26 0.9375 1.5704 0.9418 0.0043
1997-98 18.48 46 22.13 0.9583 2.1669 0.9849 0.0265
1998-99 15.78 47 25.00 0.9792 3.0847 0.9990 0.0198
X= 15.35 Δ calc. 0.076 u
S= 3.130 Δ teorico 0.259 σ
El ajuste es bueno
ALFA = 2.440
u = 13.939
λ = 0.065
Distribuciones teoricas
Normal
Log Normal 2PGumbel Expon
T (años) F(Z) Z Y Q Q Q Q
2 0.50000 0.000 0.3665 15.3 15.1 14.8 10.6
5 0.80000 0.842 1.4999 18.0 17.7 17.6 24.7
10 0.90000 1.282 2.2504 19.4 19.3 19.4 35.3
15 0.93333 1.501 2.6738 20.0 20.2 20.5 41.6
20 0.95000 1.645 2.9702 20.5 20.8 21.2 46.0
25 0.96000 1.751 3.1985 20.8 21.2 21.7 49.4
50 0.98000 2.054 3.9019 21.8 22.5 23.5 60.0
75 0.98667 2.216 4.3108 22.3 23.2 24.5 66.3
100 0.99000 2.326 4.6001 22.6 23.7 25.2 70.7
200 0.99500 2.576 5.2958 23.4 24.9 26.9 81.3
500 0.99800 2.878 6.2136 24.4 26.4 29.1 95.4
Ln(xi)
2.3046
2.3758
2.3795
2.3933
2.4653
2.5039
2.5044
2.5112
2.5525
2.5533
2.5731
2.5764
2.5797
2.5915
2.6125
2.6254
2.6280
2.6314
2.6369
2.6483
2.6755
2.6810
2.6919
2.6960
2.7127
2.7237
2.7239
2.7492
2.7590
2.7711
2.7738
2.7889
2.7958
2.8019
2.8196
2.8299
2.8624
2.8749
2.9165
2.9481
2.9620
2.9632
2.9668
2.9806
3.0088
3.0969
3.2190
2.711
0.196
 Año Marzo m xi = Q P(X) Z F(Z) P(X)-
1952-53 14.53 1 6.22 0.0208 -2.08 0.01888
F(Z)
0.0020
1953-54 11.76 2 7.20 0.0417 -1.8076 0.0353 0.0063
1954-55 14.06 3 9.27 0.0625 -1.2377 0.1079 0.0454
1955-56 11.95 4 9.68 0.0833 -1.1248 0.1303 0.0470
1956-57 10.97 5 9.90 0.1042 -1.0642 0.1436 0.0395
1957-58 9.96 6 9.96 0.1250 -1.0477 0.1474 0.0224
1958-59 13.23 7 10.36 0.1458 -0.9375 0.1742 0.0284
1959-60 15.29 8 10.48 0.1667 -0.9045 0.1829 0.0162
1960-61 14.12 9 10.63 0.1875 -0.8632 0.1940 0.0065
1961-62 17.60 10 10.77 0.2083 -0.8246 0.2048 0.0035
1962-63 15.56 11 10.97 0.2292 -0.7696 0.2208 0.0084
1963-64 12.65 12 10.98 0.2500 -0.7668 0.2216 0.0284
1964-65 12.39 13 11.23 0.2708 -0.6980 0.2426 0.0282
1965-66 9.27 14 11.36 0.2917 -0.6622 0.2539 0.0377
1966-67 16.51 15 11.54 0.3125 -0.6126 0.2701 0.0424
1967-68 9.68 16 11.76 0.3333 -0.5520 0.2905 0.0429
1968-69 10.63 17 11.95 0.3542 -0.4997 0.3086 0.0455
1969-70 10.98 18 12.21 0.3750 -0.4281 0.3343 0.0407
1970-71 20.83 19 12.22 0.3958 -0.4254 0.3353 0.0606
1971-72 21.44 20 12.39 0.4167 -0.3786 0.3525 0.0642
1972-73 11.36 21 12.65 0.4375 -0.3070 0.3794 0.0581
1973-74 13.24 22 12.67 0.4583 -0.3015 0.3815 0.0768
1974-75 16.77 23 13.23 0.4792 -0.1473 0.4415 0.0377
1975-76 12.67 24 13.24 0.5000 -0.1445 0.4425 0.0575
1976-77 14.61 25 13.32 0.5208 -0.1225 0.4513 0.0696
1977-78 20.47 26 13.41 0.5417 -0.0977 0.4611 0.0806
1978-79 20.11 27 14.06 0.5625 0.0813 0.5324 0.0301
1979-80 11.23 28 14.12 0.5833 0.0978 0.5389 0.0444
1980-81 17.24 29 14.44 0.6042 0.1859 0.5737 0.0304
1981-82 14.44 30 14.53 0.6250 0.2107 0.5834 0.0416
1982-83 19.73 31 14.61 0.6458 0.2327 0.5920 0.0538
1983-84 20.61 32 14.74 0.6667 0.2685 0.6058 0.0608
1984-85 11.54 33 15.29 0.6875 0.4199 0.6627 0.0248
1985-86 10.77 34 15.30 0.7083 0.4227 0.6637 0.0446
1986-87 15.30 35 15.56 0.7292 0.4943 0.6894 0.0397
1987-88 13.41 36 15.88 0.7500 0.5824 0.7198 0.0302
1988-89 14.74 37 16.51 0.7708 0.7559 0.7751 0.0043
1989-90 9.90 38 16.77 0.7917 0.8275 0.7960 0.0043
1990-91 17.51 39 17.24 0.8125 0.9569 0.8307 0.0182
1991-92 6.22 40 17.51 0.8333 1.0312 0.8488 0.0154
1992-93 13.32 41 17.60 0.8542 1.0560 0.8545 0.0003
1993-94 12.21 42 19.73 0.8750 1.6425 0.9498 0.0748
 1994-95 10.36 43 20.11 0.8958 1.7471 0.9597 0.0639
1995-96 7.20 44 20.47 0.9167 1.8462 0.9676 0.0509
1996-97 12.22 45 20.61 0.9375 1.8848 0.9703 0.0328
1997-98 15.88 46 20.83 0.9583 1.9454 0.9741 0.0158
1998-99 10.48 47 21.44 0.9792 2.1133 0.9827 0.0035
X= 13.76 Δ calc. 0.081 u
S= 3.632 Δ teorico 0.259 σ
El ajuste es bueno
ALFA = 2.832
u = 12.130
λ = 0.073
Distribuciones teoricas
Normal
Log Normal 2PGumbel Expon
T (años) F(Z) Z Y Q Q Q Q
2 0.50000 0.000 0.3665 13.8 13.3 13.2 9.5
5 0.80000 0.842 1.4999 16.8 16.6 16.4 22.2
10 0.90000 1.282 2.2504 18.4 18.7 18.5 31.7
15 0.93333 1.501 2.6738 19.2 19.9 19.7 37.3
20 0.95000 1.645 2.9702 19.7 20.6 20.5 41.2
25 0.96000 1.751 3.1985 20.1 21.2 21.2 44.3
50 0.98000 2.054 3.9019 21.2 23.0 23.2 53.8
75 0.98667 2.216 4.3108 21.8 24.0 24.3 59.4
100 0.99000 2.326 4.6001 22.2 24.8 25.2 63.4
200 0.99500 2.576 5.2958 23.1 26.5 27.1 72.9
500 0.99800 2.878 6.2136 24.2 28.7 29.7 85.5
Ln(xi)
1.8278
1.9741
2.2268
2.2701
2.2925
2.2986
2.3380
2.3495
2.3637
2.3768
2.3952
2.3961
2.4186
2.4301
2.4458
2.4647
2.4807
2.5023
2.5031
2.5169
2.5377
2.5392
2.5825
2.5832
2.5893
2.5960
2.6433
2.6476
2.6700
2.6762
2.6817
2.6906
2.7272
2.7279
2.7447
2.7651
2.8040
2.8196
2.8472
2.8628
2.8679
2.9821
3.0012
3.0190
3.0258
3.0364
3.0653
2.587
0.267
 Año Abril m xi = Q P(X) Z F(Z) P(X)-
1952-53 11.54 1 4.12 0.0208 -2.24 0.01253
F(Z)
0.0083
1953-54 7.60 2 5.53 0.0417 -1.7796 0.0376 0.0041
1954-55 9.69 3 6.10 0.0625 -1.5932 0.0556 0.0069
1955-56 10.62 4 6.16 0.0833 -1.5736 0.0578 0.0255
1956-57 12.29 5 6.69 0.1042 -1.4004 0.0807 0.0235
1957-58 8.85 6 6.87 0.1250 -1.3415 0.0899 0.0351
1958-59 11.84 7 7.43 0.1458 -1.1585 0.1233 0.0225
1959-60 14.60 8 7.56 0.1667 -1.1160 0.1322 0.0345
1960-61 10.96 9 7.60 0.1875 -1.1029 0.1350 0.0525
1961-62 11.74 10 7.89 0.2083 -1.0081 0.1567 0.0516
1962-63 16.05 11 7.92 0.2292 -0.9983 0.1591 0.0701
1963-64 10.25 12 8.00 0.2500 -0.9722 0.1655 0.0845
1964-65 8.00 13 8.85 0.2708 -0.6943 0.2437 0.0271
1965-66 7.89 14 9.33 0.2917 -0.5374 0.2955 0.0038
1966-67 7.43 15 9.37 0.3125 -0.5243 0.3000 0.0125
1967-68 6.10 16 9.69 0.3333 -0.4197 0.3373 0.0040
1968-69 13.65 17 10.25 0.3542 -0.2367 0.4065 0.0523
1969-70 12.20 18 10.31 0.3750 -0.2171 0.4141 0.0391
1970-71 10.76 19 10.62 0.3958 -0.1157 0.4539 0.0581
1971-72 6.87 20 10.76 0.4167 -0.0700 0.4721 0.0554
1972-73 13.47 21 10.96 0.4375 -0.0046 0.4982 0.0607
1973-74 10.99 22 10.99 0.4583 0.0052 0.5021 0.0437
1974-75 9.33 23 11.21 0.4792 0.0771 0.5307 0.0516
1975-76 6.69 24 11.54 0.5000 0.1850 0.5734 0.0734
1976-77 13.80 25 11.57 0.5208 0.1948 0.5772 0.0564
1977-78 16.02 26 11.74 0.5417 0.2504 0.5989 0.0572
1978-79 11.57 27 11.84 0.5625 0.2831 0.6114 0.0489
1979-80 10.31 28 11.91 0.5833 0.3059 0.6202 0.0368
1980-81 12.33 29 12.20 0.6042 0.4007 0.6557 0.0515
1981-82 12.55 30 12.29 0.6250 0.4302 0.6665 0.0415
1982-83 17.05 31 12.33 0.6458 0.4432 0.6712 0.0254
1983-84 14.10 32 12.33 0.6667 0.4432 0.6712 0.0045
1984-85 13.05 33 12.55 0.6875 0.5152 0.6968 0.0093
1985-86 13.03 34 12.87 0.7083 0.6198 0.7323 0.0240
1986-87 12.87 35 13.03 0.7292 0.6721 0.7492 0.0201
1987-88 11.21 36 13.05 0.7500 0.6786 0.7513 0.0013
1988-89 15.01 37 13.47 0.7708 0.8159 0.7927 0.0219
1989-90 7.56 38 13.65 0.7917 0.8747 0.8091 0.0175
1990-91 9.37 39 13.66 0.8125 0.8780 0.8100 0.0025
1991-92 4.12 40 13.80 0.8333 0.9238 0.8222 0.0111
1992-93 13.66 41 14.10 0.8542 1.0218 0.8466 0.0076
1993-94 12.33 42 14.60 0.8750 1.1853 0.8820 0.0070
 1994-95 7.92 43 14.91 0.8958 1.2866 0.9009 0.0050
1995-96 14.91 44 15.01 0.9167 1.3193 0.9065 0.0102
1996-97 6.16 45 16.02 0.9375 1.6494 0.9505 0.0130
1997-98 11.91 46 16.05 0.9583 1.6592 0.9515 0.0069
1998-99 5.53 47 17.05 0.9792 1.9861 0.9765 0.0027
X= 10.97 Δ calc. 0.085 u
S= 3.059 Δ teorico 0.259 σ
El ajuste es bueno
ALFA = 2.385
u= 9.597
λ= 0.091
Distribuciones teoricas
Normal
Log Normal 2PGumbel Expon
T (años) F(Z) Z Y Q Q Q Q
2 0.50000 0.000 0.3665 11.0 10.5 10.5 7.6
5 0.80000 0.842 1.4999 13.5 13.6 13.2 17.7
10 0.90000 1.282 2.2504 14.9 15.6 15.0 25.3
15 0.93333 1.501 2.6738 15.6 16.7 16.0 29.7
20 0.95000 1.645 2.9702 16.0 17.5 16.7 32.9
25 0.96000 1.751 3.1985 16.3 18.1 17.2 35.3
50 0.98000 2.054 3.9019 17.3 19.9 18.9 42.9
75 0.98667 2.216 4.3108 17.8 20.9 19.9 47.4
100 0.99000 2.326 4.6001 18.1 21.6 20.6 50.5
200 0.99500 2.576 5.2958 18.9 23.4 22.2 58.1
500 0.99800 2.878 6.2136 19.8 25.7 24.4 68.2
Ln(xi)
1.4159
1.7102
1.8083
1.8181
1.9006
1.9272
2.0055
2.0229
2.0281
2.0656
2.0694
2.0794
2.1804
2.2332
2.2375
2.2711
2.3273
2.3331
2.3627
2.3758
2.3943
2.3970
2.4168
2.4458
2.4484
2.4630
2.4715
2.4774
2.5014
2.5088
2.5120
2.5120
2.5297
2.5549
2.5673
2.5688
2.6005
2.6137
2.6145
2.6247
2.6462
2.6810
2.7020
2.7087
2.7738
2.7757
2.8362
2.351
0.310
 Año Mayo m xi = Q P(X) Z F(Z) P(X)-
1952-53 6.95 1 2.52 0.0208 -2.02 0.02187
F(Z)
0.0010
1953-54 5.42 2 3.08 0.0417 -1.7479 0.0402 0.0014
1954-55 5.02 3 3.92 0.0625 -1.3448 0.0893 0.0268
1955-56 5.22 4 4.42 0.0833 -1.1049 0.1346 0.0513
1956-57 6.18 5 4.87 0.1042 -0.8890 0.1870 0.0828
1957-58 7.06 6 5.02 0.1250 -0.8170 0.2070 0.0820
1958-59 7.89 7 5.03 0.1458 -0.8122 0.2083 0.0625
1959-60 10.12 8 5.18 0.1667 -0.7403 0.2296 0.0629
1960-61 6.13 9 5.20 0.1875 -0.7307 0.2325 0.0450
1961-62 6.07 10 5.22 0.2083 -0.7211 0.2354 0.0271
1962-63 6.37 11 5.41 0.2292 -0.6299 0.2644 0.0352
1963-64 6.64 12 5.41 0.2500 -0.6299 0.2644 0.0144
1964-65 5.41 13 5.41 0.2708 -0.6299 0.2644 0.0065
1965-66 7.35 14 5.42 0.2917 -0.6251 0.2660 0.0257
1966-67 5.49 15 5.49 0.3125 -0.5915 0.2771 0.0354
1967-68 4.42 16 5.97 0.3333 -0.3612 0.3590 0.0256
1968-69 8.82 17 5.98 0.3542 -0.3564 0.3608 0.0066
1969-70 8.29 18 6.00 0.3750 -0.3468 0.3644 0.0106
1970-71 5.41 19 6.07 0.3958 -0.3132 0.3771 0.0188
1971-72 5.03 20 6.13 0.4167 -0.2844 0.3880 0.0286
1972-73 7.60 21 6.13 0.4375 -0.2844 0.3880 0.0495
1973-74 4.87 22 6.18 0.4583 -0.2604 0.3973 0.0611
1974-75 6.56 23 6.37 0.4792 -0.1693 0.4328 0.0464
1975-76 6.62 24 6.56 0.5000 -0.0781 0.4689 0.0311
1976-77 8.85 25 6.62 0.5208 -0.0493 0.4803 0.0405
1977-78 13.96 26 6.64 0.5417 -0.0397 0.4842 0.0575
1978-79 7.39 27 6.88 0.5625 0.0754 0.5301 0.0324
1979-80 6.13 28 6.95 0.5833 0.1090 0.5434 0.0399
1980-81 7.16 29 7.00 0.6042 0.1330 0.5529 0.0513
1981-82 7.94 30 7.06 0.6250 0.1618 0.5643 0.0607
1982-83 12.87 31 7.16 0.6458 0.2098 0.5831 0.0627
1983-84 6.88 32 7.33 0.6667 0.2914 0.6146 0.0521
1984-85 3.92 33 7.35 0.6875 0.3010 0.6183 0.0692
1985-86 7.00 34 7.39 0.7083 0.3202 0.6256 0.0828
1986-87 7.82 35 7.40 0.7292 0.3250 0.6274 0.1018
1987-88 5.98 36 7.60 0.7500 0.4209 0.6631 0.0869
1988-89 5.41 37 7.67 0.7708 0.4545 0.6753 0.0956
1989-90 3.08 38 7.82 0.7917 0.5265 0.7007 0.0909
1990-91 5.97 39 7.89 0.8125 0.5601 0.7123 0.1002
1991-92 2.52 40 7.94 0.8333 0.5841 0.7204 0.1129
1992-93 7.33 41 8.29 0.8542 0.7520 0.7740 0.0802
1993-94 9.37 42 8.82 0.8750 1.0063 0.8429 0.0321
 1994-95 5.20 43 8.85 0.8958 1.0207 0.8463 0.0495
1995-96 7.67 44 9.37 0.9167 1.2702 0.8980 0.0187
1996-97 6.00 45 10.12 0.9375 1.6301 0.9485 0.0110
1997-98 7.40 46 12.87 0.9583 2.9496 0.9984 0.0401
1998-99 5.18 47 13.96 0.9792 3.4726 0.9997 0.0206
X= 6.72 Δ calc. 0.113 u
S= 2.084 Δ teorico 0.259 σ
El ajuste es bueno
ALFA = 1.625
u= 5.785
λ= 0.149
Distribuciones teoricas
Normal
Log Normal 2PGumbel Expon
T (años) F(Z) Z Y Q Q Q Q
2 0.50000 0.000 0.3665 6.7 6.4 6.4 4.7
5 0.80000 0.842 1.4999 8.5 8.3 8.2 10.8
10 0.90000 1.282 2.2504 9.4 9.5 9.4 15.5
15 0.93333 1.501 2.6738 9.9 10.1 10.1 18.2
20 0.95000 1.645 2.9702 10.2 10.6 10.6 20.1
25 0.96000 1.751 3.1985 10.4 10.9 11.0 21.6
50 0.98000 2.054 3.9019 11.0 12.0 12.1 26.3
75 0.98667 2.216 4.3108 11.3 12.6 12.8 29.0
100 0.99000 2.326 4.6001 11.6 13.0 13.3 31.0
200 0.99500 2.576 5.2958 12.1 14.0 14.4 35.6
500 0.99800 2.878 6.2136 12.7 15.4 15.9 41.8
Ln(xi)
0.9243
1.1249
1.3661
1.4861
1.5831
1.6134
1.6154
1.6448
1.6487
1.6525
1.6882
1.6882
1.6882
1.6901
1.7029
1.7867
1.7884
1.7918
1.8034
1.8132
1.8132
1.8213
1.8516
1.8810
1.8901
1.8931
1.9286
1.9387
1.9459
1.9544
1.9685
1.9920
1.9947
2.0001
2.0015
2.0281
2.0373
2.0567
2.0656
2.0719
2.1150
2.1770
2.1804
2.2375
2.3145
2.5549
2.6362
1.861
0.303
 Año Junio m xi = Q P(X) Z F(Z) P(X)-
1952-53 4.79 1 1.12 0.0208 -2.67 0.00375
F(Z)
0.0171
1953-54 4.12 2 2.92 0.0417 -1.3474 0.0889 0.0473
1954-55 3.42 3 3.03 0.0625 -1.2663 0.1027 0.0402
1955-56 3.18 4 3.08 0.0833 -1.2295 0.1094 0.0261
1956-57 3.08 5 3.18 0.1042 -1.1558 0.1239 0.0197
1957-58 5.50 6 3.22 0.1250 -1.1263 0.1300 0.0050
1958-59 4.99 7 3.42 0.1458 -0.9789 0.1638 0.0180
1959-60 7.48 8 3.72 0.1667 -0.7578 0.2243 0.0576
1960-61 3.87 9 3.73 0.1875 -0.7505 0.2265 0.0390
1961-62 4.76 10 3.74 0.2083 -0.7431 0.2287 0.0204
1962-63 4.47 11 3.77 0.2292 -0.7210 0.2355 0.0063
1963-64 4.86 12 3.82 0.2500 -0.6841 0.2469 0.0031
1964-65 3.74 13 3.87 0.2708 -0.6473 0.2587 0.0121
1965-66 6.02 14 3.93 0.2917 -0.6031 0.2732 0.0184
1966-67 4.37 15 4.09 0.3125 -0.4851 0.3138 0.0013
1967-68 3.82 16 4.12 0.3333 -0.4630 0.3217 0.0117
1968-69 6.74 17 4.25 0.3542 -0.3672 0.3567 0.0026
1969-70 6.08 18 4.30 0.3750 -0.3304 0.3706 0.0044
1970-71 4.09 19 4.30 0.3958 -0.3304 0.3706 0.0253
1971-72 3.72 20 4.37 0.4167 -0.2788 0.3902 0.0265
1972-73 4.52 21 4.40 0.4375 -0.2567 0.3987 0.0388
1973-74 4.30 22 4.41 0.4583 -0.2493 0.4016 0.0568
1974-75 3.77 23 4.47 0.4792 -0.2051 0.4187 0.0604
1975-76 4.62 24 4.52 0.5000 -0.1683 0.4332 0.0668
1976-77 5.75 25 4.62 0.5208 -0.0946 0.4623 0.0585
1977-78 6.76 26 4.62 0.5417 -0.0946 0.4623 0.0793
1978-79 6.38 27 4.72 0.5625 -0.0209 0.4917 0.0708
1979-80 5.98 28 4.76 0.5833 0.0086 0.5034 0.0799
1980-81 5.25 29 4.79 0.6042 0.0307 0.5123 0.0919
1981-82 6.24 30 4.86 0.6250 0.0823 0.5328 0.0922
1982-83 7.19 31 4.99 0.6458 0.1781 0.5707 0.0751
1983-84 4.25 32 5.19 0.6667 0.3255 0.6276 0.0391
1984-85 3.22 33 5.25 0.6875 0.3697 0.6442 0.0433
1985-86 5.19 34 5.26 0.7083 0.3771 0.6470 0.0614
1986-87 4.30 35 5.50 0.7292 0.5540 0.7102 0.0190
1987-88 3.93 36 5.75 0.7500 0.7382 0.7698 0.0198
1988-89 3.03 37 5.92 0.7708 0.8635 0.8061 0.0352
1989-90 2.92 38 5.98 0.7917 0.9077 0.8180 0.0263
1990-91 4.40 39 6.02 0.8125 0.9372 0.8257 0.0132
1991-92 1.12 40 6.08 0.8333 0.9814 0.8368 0.0035
1992-93 3.73 41 6.24 0.8542 1.0993 0.8642 0.0100
1993-94 4.41 42 6.38 0.8750 1.2025 0.8854 0.0104
 1994-95 4.62 43 6.74 0.8958 1.4678 0.9289 0.0331
1995-96 5.92 44 6.76 0.9167 1.4826 0.9309 0.0142
1996-97 8.29 45 7.19 0.9375 1.7995 0.9640 0.0265
1997-98 5.26 46 7.48 0.9583 2.0132 0.9780 0.0196
1998-99 4.72 47 8.29 0.9792 2.6102 0.9955 0.0163
X= 4.75 Δ calc. 0.092 u
S= 1.357 Δ teorico 0.259 σ
El ajuste es bueno
ALFA = 1.058
u= 4.138
λ= 0.211
Distribuciones teoricas
Normal
Log Normal 2PGumbel Expon
T (años) F(Z) Z Y Q Q Q Q
2 0.50000 0.000 0.3665 4.7 4.5 4.5 3.3
5 0.80000 0.842 1.4999 5.9 6.0 5.7 7.6
10 0.90000 1.282 2.2504 6.5 6.9 6.5 10.9
15 0.93333 1.501 2.6738 6.8 7.4 7.0 12.9
20 0.95000 1.645 2.9702 7.0 7.7 7.3 14.2
25 0.96000 1.751 3.1985 7.1 8.0 7.5 15.3
50 0.98000 2.054 3.9019 7.5 8.8 8.3 18.6
75 0.98667 2.216 4.3108 7.8 9.3 8.7 20.5
100 0.99000 2.326 4.6001 7.9 9.6 9.0 21.9
200 0.99500 2.576 5.2958 8.2 10.4 9.7 25.2
500 0.99800 2.878 6.2136 8.7 11.5 10.7 29.5
Ln(xi)
0.1133
1.0716
1.1086
1.1249
1.1569
1.1694
1.2296
1.3137
1.3164
1.3191
1.3271
1.3403
1.3533
1.3686
1.4085
1.4159
1.4469
1.4586
1.4586
1.4748
1.4816
1.4839
1.4974
1.5085
1.5304
1.5304
1.5518
1.5602
1.5665
1.5810
1.6074
1.6467
1.6582
1.6601
1.7047
1.7492
1.7783
1.7884
1.7951
1.8050
1.8310
1.8532
1.9081
1.9110
1.9727
2.0122
2.1150
1.512
0.323
 Año Agosto m xi = Q P(X) Z F(Z) P(X)-
1952-53 4.04 1 2.06 0.0208 -2.07 0.01934
F(Z)
0.0015
1953-54 4.31 2 2.38 0.0417 -1.7614 0.0391 0.0026
1954-55 3.09 3 2.52 0.0625 -1.6275 0.0518 0.0107
1955-56 3.20 4 3.07 0.0833 -1.1014 0.1354 0.0520
1956-57 3.65 5 3.09 0.1042 -1.0823 0.1396 0.0354
1957-58 4.93 6 3.19 0.1250 -0.9866 0.1619 0.0369
1958-59 4.49 7 3.20 0.1458 -0.9770 0.1643 0.0184
1959-60 5.89 8 3.30 0.1667 -0.8814 0.1891 0.0224
1960-61 3.35 9 3.32 0.1875 -0.8623 0.1943 0.0068
1961-62 4.35 10 3.35 0.2083 -0.8336 0.2023 0.0061
1962-63 3.95 11 3.48 0.2292 -0.7092 0.2391 0.0099
1963-64 5.07 12 3.51 0.2500 -0.6805 0.2481 0.0019
1964-65 3.07 13 3.56 0.2708 -0.6327 0.2635 0.0074
1965-66 6.22 14 3.58 0.2917 -0.6136 0.2698 0.0219
1966-67 3.67 15 3.59 0.3125 -0.6040 0.2729 0.0396
1967-68 3.56 16 3.59 0.3333 -0.6040 0.2729 0.0604
1968-69 5.32 17 3.65 0.3542 -0.5466 0.2923 0.0618
1969-70 5.88 18 3.66 0.3750 -0.5370 0.2956 0.0794
1970-71 3.73 19 3.67 0.3958 -0.5275 0.2989 0.0969
1971-72 3.66 20 3.73 0.4167 -0.4701 0.3191 0.0975
1972-73 3.58 21 3.95 0.4375 -0.2597 0.3976 0.0399
1973-74 3.51 22 3.97 0.4583 -0.2405 0.4050 0.0534
1974-75 3.59 23 4.04 0.4792 -0.1736 0.4311 0.0481
1975-76 4.22 24 4.20 0.5000 -0.0205 0.4918 0.0082
1976-77 5.23 25 4.22 0.5208 -0.0014 0.4994 0.0214
1977-78 5.49 26 4.24 0.5417 0.0160 0.5064 0.0353
1978-79 5.13 27 4.27 0.5625 0.0464 0.5185 0.0440
1979-80 4.81 28 4.31 0.5833 0.0847 0.5338 0.0496
1980-81 5.24 29 4.35 0.6042 0.1230 0.5489 0.0552
1981-82 4.20 30 4.37 0.6250 0.1421 0.5565 0.0685
1982-83 7.05 31 4.49 0.6458 0.2569 0.6014 0.0445
1983-84 4.27 32 4.59 0.6667 0.3525 0.6378 0.0289
1984-85 3.19 33 4.81 0.6875 0.5630 0.7133 0.0258
1985-86 4.37 34 4.93 0.7083 0.6777 0.7510 0.0427
1986-87 3.97 35 5.04 0.7292 0.7830 0.7832 0.0540
1987-88 3.32 36 5.07 0.7500 0.8117 0.7915 0.0415
1988-89 2.38 37 5.13 0.7708 0.8691 0.8076 0.0368
1989-90 2.52 38 5.14 0.7917 0.8786 0.8102 0.0185
1990-91 3.59 39 5.23 0.8125 0.9647 0.8327 0.0202
1991-92 2.06 40 5.24 0.8333 0.9743 0.8350 0.0017
1992-93 3.30 41 5.32 0.8542 1.0508 0.8533 0.0008
1993-94 3.48 42 5.47 0.8750 1.1943 0.8838 0.0088
 1994-95 5.14 43 5.49 0.8958 1.2134 0.8875 0.0083
1995-96 5.47 44 5.88 0.9167 1.5864 0.9437 0.0270
1996-97 4.24 45 5.89 0.9375 1.5960 0.9448 0.0073
1997-98 5.04 46 6.22 0.9583 1.9117 0.9720 0.0137
1998-99 4.59 47 7.05 0.9792 2.7056 0.9966 0.0174
X= 4.22 Δ calc. 0.098 u
S= 1.045 Δ teorico 0.259 σ
El ajuste es bueno
ALFA = 0.815
u= 3.751
λ= 0.237
Distribuciones teoricas
Normal
Log Normal 2PGumbel Expon
T (años) F(Z) Z Y Q Q Q Q
2 0.50000 0.000 0.3665 4.2 4.1 4.0 2.9
5 0.80000 0.842 1.4999 5.1 5.1 5.0 6.8
10 0.90000 1.282 2.2504 5.6 5.6 5.6 9.7
15 0.93333 1.501 2.6738 5.8 6.0 5.9 11.4
20 0.95000 1.645 2.9702 5.9 6.2 6.2 12.6
25 0.96000 1.751 3.1985 6.1 6.4 6.4 13.6
50 0.98000 2.054 3.9019 6.4 6.9 6.9 16.5
75 0.98667 2.216 4.3108 6.5 7.1 7.3 18.2
100 0.99000 2.326 4.6001 6.7 7.3 7.5 19.4
200 0.99500 2.576 5.2958 6.9 7.8 8.1 22.4
500 0.99800 2.878 6.2136 7.2 8.4 8.8 26.2
Ln(xi)
0.7227
0.8671
0.9243
1.1217
1.1282
1.1600
1.1632
1.1939
1.2000
1.2090
1.2470
1.2556
1.2698
1.2754
1.2782
1.2782
1.2947
1.2975
1.3002
1.3164
1.3737
1.3788
1.3962
1.4351
1.4398
1.4441
1.4516
1.4609
1.4702
1.4748
1.5019
1.5239
1.5707
1.5953
1.6174
1.6233
1.6351
1.6371
1.6544
1.6563
1.6715
1.6993
1.7029
1.7716
1.7733
1.8278
1.9530
1.409
0.251
 Año Agosto m xi = Q P(X) Z F(Z) P(X)-
1952-53 4.12 1 2.41 0.0208 -2.01 0.02243
F(Z)
0.0016
1953-54 3.84 2 2.65 0.0417 -1.7568 0.0395 0.0022
1954-55 3.38 3 2.68 0.0625 -1.7257 0.0422 0.0203
1955-56 3.69 4 3.30 0.0833 -1.0821 0.1396 0.0563
1956-57 3.97 5 3.37 0.1042 -1.0094 0.1564 0.0522
1957-58 5.03 6 3.37 0.1250 -1.0094 0.1564 0.0314
1958-59 4.85 7 3.38 0.1458 -0.9991 0.1589 0.0131
1959-60 6.44 8 3.40 0.1667 -0.9783 0.1640 0.0027
1960-61 3.30 9 3.41 0.1875 -0.9679 0.1665 0.0210
1961-62 4.53 10 3.48 0.2083 -0.8952 0.1853 0.0230
1962-63 3.98 11 3.52 0.2292 -0.8537 0.1966 0.0325
1963-64 5.13 12 3.64 0.2500 -0.7292 0.2329 0.0171
1964-65 3.48 13 3.69 0.2708 -0.6773 0.2491 0.0217
1965-66 5.67 14 3.76 0.2917 -0.6046 0.2727 0.0189
1966-67 3.52 15 3.79 0.3125 -0.5735 0.2832 0.0293
1967-68 3.41 16 3.82 0.3333 -0.5423 0.2938 0.0395
1968-69 6.25 17 3.84 0.3542 -0.5216 0.3010 0.0532
1969-70 5.66 18 3.95 0.3750 -0.4074 0.3419 0.0331
1970-71 3.40 19 3.97 0.3958 -0.3866 0.3495 0.0463
1971-72 3.76 20 3.98 0.4167 -0.3762 0.3534 0.0633
1972-73 3.82 21 3.98 0.4375 -0.3762 0.3534 0.0841
1973-74 3.37 22 4.06 0.4583 -0.2932 0.3847 0.0736
1974-75 4.14 23 4.12 0.4792 -0.2309 0.4087 0.0705
1975-76 4.32 24 4.14 0.5000 -0.2102 0.4168 0.0832
1976-77 5.29 25 4.32 0.5208 -0.0233 0.4907 0.0301
1977-78 5.43 26 4.39 0.5417 0.0449 0.5179 0.0238
1978-79 5.72 27 4.50 0.5625 0.1635 0.5649 0.0024
1979-80 5.02 28 4.53 0.5833 0.1947 0.5772 0.0062
1980-81 4.58 29 4.58 0.6042 0.2466 0.5974 0.0068
1981-82 4.68 30 4.62 0.6250 0.2881 0.6134 0.0116
1982-83 6.27 31 4.65 0.6458 0.3192 0.6252 0.0206
1983-84 4.65 32 4.68 0.6667 0.3504 0.6370 0.0297
1984-85 3.64 33 4.79 0.6875 0.4646 0.6789 0.0086
1985-86 4.50 34 4.85 0.7083 0.5268 0.7008 0.0075
1986-87 3.98 35 5.02 0.7292 0.7033 0.7591 0.0299
1987-88 3.79 36 5.03 0.7500 0.7137 0.7623 0.0123
1988-89 2.68 37 5.13 0.7708 0.8175 0.7932 0.0223
1989-90 2.65 38 5.21 0.7917 0.9005 0.8161 0.0244
1990-91 3.95 39 5.29 0.8125 0.9836 0.8373 0.0248
1991-92 2.41 40 5.36 0.8333 1.0562 0.8546 0.0212
1992-93 3.37 41 5.43 0.8542 1.1289 0.8705 0.0164
1993-94 4.06 42 5.66 0.8750 1.3676 0.9143 0.0393
 1994-95 5.21 43 5.67 0.8958 1.3780 0.9159 0.0201
1995-96 4.79 44 5.72 0.9167 1.4299 0.9236 0.0070
1996-97 4.39 45 6.25 0.9375 1.9801 0.9762 0.0387
1997-98 5.36 46 6.27 0.9583 2.0008 0.9773 0.0190
1998-99 4.62 47 6.44 0.9792 2.1773 0.9853 0.0061
X= 4.34 Δ calc. 0.084 u
S= 0.963 Δ teorico 0.259 σ
El ajuste es bueno
ALFA = 0.751
u= 3.909
λ= 0.230
Distribuciones teoricas
Normal
Log Normal 2PGumbel Expon
T (años) F(Z) Z Y Q Q Q Q
2 0.50000 0.000 0.3665 4.3 4.2 4.2 3.0
5 0.80000 0.842 1.4999 5.2 5.1 5.0 7.0
10 0.90000 1.282 2.2504 5.6 5.6 5.6 10.0
15 0.93333 1.501 2.6738 5.8 5.9 5.9 11.8
20 0.95000 1.645 2.9702 5.9 6.1 6.1 13.0
25 0.96000 1.751 3.1985 6.0 6.3 6.3 14.0
50 0.98000 2.054 3.9019 6.3 6.7 6.8 17.0
75 0.98667 2.216 4.3108 6.5 7.0 7.1 18.7
100 0.99000 2.326 4.6001 6.6 7.1 7.4 20.0
200 0.99500 2.576 5.2958 6.8 7.5 7.9 23.0
500 0.99800 2.878 6.2136 7.1 8.1 8.6 27.0
Ln(xi)
0.8796
0.9746
0.9858
1.1939
1.2149
1.2149
1.2179
1.2238
1.2267
1.2470
1.2585
1.2920
1.3056
1.3244
1.3324
1.3403
1.3455
1.3737
1.3788
1.3813
1.3813
1.4012
1.4159
1.4207
1.4633
1.4783
1.5041
1.5107
1.5217
1.5304
1.5369
1.5433
1.5665
1.5790
1.6134
1.6154
1.6351
1.6506
1.6658
1.6790
1.6919
1.7334
1.7352
1.7440
1.8326
1.8358
1.8625
1.444
0.224
 Año Setiembre m xi = Q P(X) Z F(Z) P(X)-
1952-53 4.94 1 2.51 0.0208 -1.81 0.03484
F(Z)
0.0140
1953-54 4.92 2 2.63 0.0417 -1.7176 0.0429 0.0013
1954-55 3.74 3 2.64 0.0625 -1.7095 0.0437 0.0188
1955-56 2.84 4 2.84 0.0833 -1.5487 0.0607 0.0226
1956-57 2.90 5 2.90 0.1042 -1.5005 0.0667 0.0374
1957-58 4.83 6 3.39 0.1250 -1.1066 0.1342 0.0092
1958-59 5.11 7 3.50 0.1458 -1.0182 0.1543 0.0085
1959-60 4.71 8 3.74 0.1667 -0.8253 0.2046 0.0379
1960-61 2.63 9 3.76 0.1875 -0.8092 0.2092 0.0217
1961-62 2.64 10 3.78 0.2083 -0.7931 0.2139 0.0055
1962-63 4.27 11 3.86 0.2292 -0.7288 0.2331 0.0039
1963-64 5.13 12 3.97 0.2500 -0.6404 0.2610 0.0110
1964-65 4.01 13 4.01 0.2708 -0.6082 0.2715 0.0007
1965-66 4.30 14 4.14 0.2917 -0.5037 0.3072 0.0156
1966-67 6.49 15 4.27 0.3125 -0.3992 0.3449 0.0324
1967-68 3.86 16 4.27 0.3333 -0.3992 0.3449 0.0115
1968-69 4.27 17 4.30 0.3542 -0.3751 0.3538 0.0004
1969-70 6.29 18 4.40 0.3750 -0.2947 0.3841 0.0091
1970-71 4.40 19 4.40 0.3958 -0.2947 0.3841 0.0117
1971-72 4.14 20 4.43 0.4167 -0.2706 0.3934 0.0233
1972-73 3.76 21 4.53 0.4375 -0.1902 0.4246 0.0129
1973-74 4.40 22 4.71 0.4583 -0.0455 0.4819 0.0235
1974-75 3.50 23 4.76 0.4792 -0.0053 0.4979 0.0187
1975-76 3.78 24 4.79 0.5000 0.0188 0.5075 0.0075
1976-77 6.33 25 4.83 0.5208 0.0510 0.5203 0.0005
1977-78 4.83 26 4.83 0.5417 0.0510 0.5203 0.0213
1978-79 6.42 27 4.92 0.5625 0.1233 0.5491 0.0134
1979-80 6.82 28 4.94 0.5833 0.1394 0.5554 0.0279
1980-81 8.30 29 4.99 0.6042 0.1796 0.5713 0.0329
1981-82 5.13 30 5.03 0.6250 0.2117 0.5838 0.0412
1982-83 5.67 31 5.07 0.6458 0.2439 0.5963 0.0495
1983-84 7.16 32 5.11 0.6667 0.2761 0.6087 0.0579
1984-85 4.99 33 5.13 0.6875 0.2921 0.6149 0.0726
1985-86 5.51 34 5.13 0.7083 0.2921 0.6149 0.0934
1986-87 4.76 35 5.16 0.7292 0.3162 0.6241 0.1051
1987-88 5.25 36 5.25 0.7500 0.3886 0.6512 0.0988
1988-89 5.03 37 5.34 0.7708 0.4609 0.6776 0.0933
1989-90 3.39 38 5.51 0.7917 0.5976 0.7249 0.0667
1990-91 4.43 39 5.67 0.8125 0.7262 0.7662 0.0463
1991-92 4.53 40 6.29 0.8333 1.2246 0.8896 0.0563
1992-93 2.51 41 6.33 0.8542 1.2568 0.8956 0.0414
1993-94 3.97 42 6.42 0.8750 1.3291 0.9081 0.0331
 1994-95 5.16 43 6.49 0.8958 1.3854 0.9170 0.0212
1995-96 5.34 44 6.78 0.9167 1.6185 0.9472 0.0306
1996-97 4.79 45 6.82 0.9375 1.6507 0.9506 0.0131
1997-98 5.07 46 7.16 0.9583 1.9240 0.9728 0.0145
1998-99 6.78 47 8.30 0.9792 2.8404 0.9977 0.0186
X= 4.77 Δ calc. 0.105 u
S= 1.244 Δ teorico 0.259 σ
El ajuste es bueno
ALFA = 0.970
u= 4.207
λ= 0.210
Distribuciones teoricas
Normal
Log Normal 2PGumbel Expon
T (años) F(Z) Z Y Q Q Q Q
2 0.50000 0.000 0.3665 4.8 4.6 4.6 3.3
5 0.80000 0.842 1.4999 5.8 5.8 5.7 7.7
10 0.90000 1.282 2.2504 6.4 6.5 6.4 11.0
15 0.93333 1.501 2.6738 6.6 6.9 6.8 12.9
20 0.95000 1.645 2.9702 6.8 7.1 7.1 14.3
25 0.96000 1.751 3.1985 6.9 7.3 7.3 15.3
50 0.98000 2.054 3.9019 7.3 7.9 8.0 18.6
75 0.98667 2.216 4.3108 7.5 8.3 8.4 20.6
100 0.99000 2.326 4.6001 7.7 8.5 8.7 22.0
200 0.99500 2.576 5.2958 8.0 9.1 9.3 25.3
500 0.99800 2.878 6.2136 8.3 9.9 10.2 29.6
Ln(xi)
0.9203
0.9670
0.9708
1.0438
1.0647
1.2208
1.2528
1.3191
1.3244
1.3297
1.3507
1.3788
1.3888
1.4207
1.4516
1.4516
1.4586
1.4816
1.4816
1.4884
1.5107
1.5497
1.5602
1.5665
1.5748
1.5748
1.5933
1.5974
1.6074
1.6154
1.6233
1.6312
1.6351
1.6351
1.6409
1.6582
1.6752
1.7066
1.7352
1.8390
1.8453
1.8594
1.8703
1.9140
1.9199
1.9685
2.1163
1.527
0.265
 Año Octubre m xi = Q P(X) Z F(Z) P(X)-
1952-53 6.92 1 2.85 0.0208 -1.87 0.03055
F(Z)
0.0097
1953-54 6.02 2 3.97 0.0417 -1.3389 0.0903 0.0486
1954-55 4.73 3 4.02 0.0625 -1.3150 0.0942 0.0317
1955-56 4.33 4 4.33 0.0833 -1.1673 0.1216 0.0382
1956-57 4.02 5 4.71 0.1042 -0.9861 0.1620 0.0579
1957-58 6.87 6 4.72 0.1250 -0.9814 0.1632 0.0382
1958-59 6.14 7 4.73 0.1458 -0.9766 0.1644 0.0185
1959-60 7.06 8 4.96 0.1667 -0.8670 0.1930 0.0263
1960-61 7.60 9 5.19 0.1875 -0.7574 0.2244 0.0369
1961-62 3.97 10 5.25 0.2083 -0.7288 0.2331 0.0247
1962-63 6.27 11 5.34 0.2292 -0.6859 0.2464 0.0172
1963-64 5.98 12 5.69 0.2500 -0.5190 0.3019 0.0519
1964-65 5.98 13 5.73 0.2708 -0.5000 0.3085 0.0377
1965-66 5.81 14 5.81 0.2917 -0.4618 0.3221 0.0304
1966-67 7.09 15 5.81 0.3125 -0.4618 0.3221 0.0096
1967-68 5.86 16 5.86 0.3333 -0.4380 0.3307 0.0026
1968-69 5.73 17 5.96 0.3542 -0.3903 0.3481 0.0060
1969-70 8.50 18 5.98 0.3750 -0.3808 0.3517 0.0233
1970-71 6.24 19 5.98 0.3958 -0.3808 0.3517 0.0442
1971-72 5.69 20 6.02 0.4167 -0.3617 0.3588 0.0579
1972-73 4.96 21 6.02 0.4375 -0.3617 0.3588 0.0787
1973-74 5.96 22 6.12 0.4583 -0.3141 0.3767 0.0816
1974-75 4.72 23 6.14 0.4792 -0.3045 0.3804 0.0988
1975-76 5.19 24 6.24 0.5000 -0.2569 0.3986 0.1014
1976-77 8.86 25 6.27 0.5208 -0.2426 0.4042 0.1167
1977-78 12.51 26 6.27 0.5417 -0.2426 0.4042 0.1375
1978-79 6.68 27 6.68 0.5625 -0.0472 0.4812 0.0813
1979-80 8.62 28 6.87 0.5833 0.0434 0.5173 0.0660
1980-81 11.74 29 6.90 0.6042 0.0577 0.5230 0.0812
1981-82 10.67 30 6.92 0.6250 0.0672 0.5268 0.0982
1982-83 10.38 31 7.06 0.6458 0.1340 0.5533 0.0925
1983-84 12.23 32 7.08 0.6667 0.1435 0.5571 0.1096
1984-85 7.08 33 7.09 0.6875 0.1483 0.5589 0.1286
1985-86 5.34 34 7.28 0.7083 0.2388 0.5944 0.1140
1986-87 7.28 35 7.50 0.7292 0.3437 0.6345 0.0947
1987-88 8.42 36 7.60 0.7500 0.3914 0.6522 0.0978
1988-89 6.90 37 7.72 0.7708 0.4486 0.6731 0.0977
1989-90 6.27 38 8.01 0.7917 0.5868 0.7213 0.0703
1990-91 7.72 39 8.42 0.8125 0.7822 0.7830 0.0295
1991-92 4.71 40 8.50 0.8333 0.8203 0.7940 0.0393
1992-93 2.85 41 8.62 0.8542 0.8775 0.8099 0.0443
1993-94 5.81 42 8.86 0.8750 0.9919 0.8394 0.0356
 1994-95 6.02 43 10.38 0.8958 1.7164 0.9570 0.0611
1995-96 7.50 44 10.67 0.9167 1.8547 0.9682 0.0515
1996-97 8.01 45 11.74 0.9375 2.3647 0.9910 0.0535
1997-98 5.25 46 12.23 0.9583 2.5982 0.9953 0.0370
1998-99 6.12 47 12.51 0.9792 2.7317 0.9968 0.0177
X= 6.78 Δ calc. 0.138 u
S= 2.098 Δ teorico 0.259 σ
El ajuste es bueno
ALFA = 1.636
u= 5.835
λ= 0.148
Distribuciones teoricas
Normal
Log Normal 2PGumbel Expon
T (años) F(Z) Z Y Q Q Q Q
2 0.50000 0.000 0.3665 6.8 6.5 6.4 4.7
5 0.80000 0.842 1.4999 8.5 8.3 8.3 10.9
10 0.90000 1.282 2.2504 9.5 9.5 9.5 15.6
15 0.93333 1.501 2.6738 9.9 10.1 10.2 18.4
20 0.95000 1.645 2.9702 10.2 10.5 10.7 20.3
25 0.96000 1.751 3.1985 10.5 10.9 11.1 21.8
50 0.98000 2.054 3.9019 11.1 11.9 12.2 26.5
75 0.98667 2.216 4.3108 11.4 12.5 12.9 29.3
100 0.99000 2.326 4.6001 11.7 12.9 13.4 31.2
200 0.99500 2.576 5.2958 12.2 13.8 14.5 35.9
500 0.99800 2.878 6.2136 12.8 15.1 16.0 42.1
Ln(xi)
1.0473
1.3788
1.3913
1.4656
1.5497
1.5518
1.5539
1.6014
1.6467
1.6582
1.6752
1.7387
1.7457
1.7596
1.7596
1.7681
1.7851
1.7884
1.7884
1.7951
1.7951
1.8116
1.8148
1.8310
1.8358
1.8358
1.8991
1.9272
1.9315
1.9344
1.9544
1.9573
1.9587
1.9851
2.0149
2.0281
2.0438
2.0807
2.1306
2.1401
2.1541
2.1815
2.3399
2.3674
2.4630
2.5039
2.5265
1.870
0.294
 Año Noviembr m xi = Q P(X) Z F(Z) P(X)-
1952-53 8.54 1 3.39 0.0208 -1.93 0.02653
F(Z)
0.0057
1953-54 8.98 2 4.85 0.0417 -1.3475 0.0889 0.0472
1954-55 5.11 3 5.00 0.0625 -1.2872 0.0990 0.0365
1955-56 5.02 4 5.02 0.0833 -1.2792 0.1004 0.0171
1956-57 5.00 5 5.11 0.1042 -1.2430 0.1069 0.0028
1957-58 8.92 6 5.24 0.1250 -1.1908 0.1169 0.0081
1958-59 8.89 7 5.65 0.1458 -1.0259 0.1525 0.0066
1959-60 8.38 8 5.69 0.1667 -1.0099 0.1563 0.0104
1960-61 9.37 9 5.90 0.1875 -0.9254 0.1774 0.0101
1961-62 5.69 10 6.16 0.2083 -0.8209 0.2058 0.0025
1962-63 7.12 11 6.30 0.2292 -0.7646 0.2222 0.0069
1963-64 9.55 12 6.31 0.2500 -0.7606 0.2234 0.0266
1964-65 8.04 13 6.47 0.2708 -0.6963 0.2431 0.0277
1965-66 6.70 14 6.70 0.2917 -0.6038 0.2730 0.0187
1966-67 8.36 15 6.70 0.3125 -0.6038 0.2730 0.0395
1967-68 7.66 16 6.94 0.3333 -0.5074 0.3059 0.0274
1968-69 6.30 17 7.12 0.3542 -0.4350 0.3318 0.0224
1969-70 10.86 18 7.48 0.3750 -0.2903 0.3858 0.0108
1970-71 8.40 19 7.48 0.3958 -0.2903 0.3858 0.0100
1971-72 5.90 20 7.66 0.4167 -0.2179 0.4137 0.0029
1972-73 6.94 21 8.04 0.4375 -0.0652 0.4740 0.0365
1973-74 8.13 22 8.13 0.4583 -0.0290 0.4884 0.0301
1974-75 6.47 23 8.33 0.4792 0.0514 0.5205 0.0413
1975-76 5.24 24 8.36 0.5000 0.0635 0.5253 0.0253
1976-77 8.93 25 8.38 0.5208 0.0715 0.5285 0.0077
1977-78 16.79 26 8.40 0.5417 0.0795 0.5317 0.0100
1978-79 8.93 27 8.47 0.5625 0.1077 0.5429 0.0196
1979-80 9.80 28 8.54 0.5833 0.1358 0.5540 0.0293
1980-81 4.85 29 8.89 0.6042 0.2765 0.6089 0.0048
1981-82 13.52 30 8.92 0.6250 0.2886 0.6135 0.0115
1982-83 12.66 31 8.93 0.6458 0.2926 0.6151 0.0307
1983-84 10.36 32 8.93 0.6667 0.2926 0.6151 0.0516
1984-85 6.31 33 8.93 0.6875 0.2926 0.6151 0.0724
1985-86 6.16 34 8.96 0.7083 0.3047 0.6197 0.0886
1986-87 8.33 35 8.98 0.7292 0.3127 0.6227 0.1064
1987-88 12.26 36 9.37 0.7500 0.4695 0.6806 0.0694
1988-89 8.96 37 9.45 0.7708 0.5016 0.6920 0.0788
1989-90 7.48 38 9.55 0.7917 0.5418 0.7060 0.0856
1990-91 10.76 39 9.76 0.8125 0.6263 0.7344 0.0781
1991-92 5.65 40 9.80 0.8333 0.6423 0.7397 0.0937
1992-93 3.39 41 10.36 0.8542 0.8675 0.8072 0.0470
1993-94 8.47 42 10.76 0.8750 1.0283 0.8481 0.0269
 1994-95 9.45 43 10.86 0.8958 1.0685 0.8573 0.0385
1995-96 8.93 44 12.26 0.9167 1.6312 0.9486 0.0319
1996-97 9.76 45 12.66 0.9375 1.7920 0.9634 0.0259
1997-98 7.48 46 13.52 0.9583 2.1378 0.9837 0.0254
1998-99 6.70 47 16.79 0.9792 3.4523 0.9997 0.0206
X= 8.20 Δ calc. 0.106 u
S= 2.488 Δ teorico 0.259 σ
El ajuste es bueno
ALFA = 1.940
u= 7.083
λ= 0.122
Distribuciones teoricas
Normal
Log Normal 2PGumbel Expon
T (años) F(Z) Z Y Q Q Q Q
2 0.50000 0.000 0.3665 8.2 7.9 7.8 5.7
5 0.80000 0.842 1.4999 10.3 10.1 10.0 13.2
10 0.90000 1.282 2.2504 11.4 11.5 11.4 18.9
15 0.93333 1.501 2.6738 11.9 12.3 12.3 22.2
20 0.95000 1.645 2.9702 12.3 12.8 12.8 24.6
25 0.96000 1.751 3.1985 12.6 13.2 13.3 26.4
50 0.98000 2.054 3.9019 13.3 14.5 14.7 32.1
75 0.98667 2.216 4.3108 13.7 15.2 15.4 35.4
100 0.99000 2.326 4.6001 14.0 15.7 16.0 37.8
200 0.99500 2.576 5.2958 14.6 16.9 17.4 43.5
500 0.99800 2.878 6.2136 15.4 18.5 19.1 51.0
Ln(xi)
1.2208
1.5790
1.6094
1.6134
1.6312
1.6563
1.7317
1.7387
1.7750
1.8181
1.8405
1.8421
1.8672
1.9021
1.9021
1.9373
1.9629
2.0122
2.0122
2.0360
2.0844
2.0956
2.1199
2.1235
2.1258
2.1282
2.1365
2.1448
2.1849
2.1883
2.1894
2.1894
2.1894
2.1928
2.1950
2.2375
2.2460
2.2565
2.2783
2.2824
2.3380
2.3758
2.3851
2.5063
2.5384
2.6042
2.8208
2.061
0.298
 Año Diciemb m xi = Q P(X) Z F(Z) P(X)-
1952-53
re
10.57 1 4.16 0.0208 -1.77 0.03824
F(Z)
0.0174
1953-54 10.02 2 4.94 0.0417 -1.5254 0.0636 0.0219
1954-55 6.62 3 6.17 0.0625 -1.1373 0.1277 0.0652
1955-56 6.44 4 6.28 0.0833 -1.1026 0.1351 0.0518
1956-57 6.17 5 6.43 0.1042 -1.0553 0.1457 0.0415
1957-58 8.75 6 6.44 0.1250 -1.0521 0.1464 0.0214
1958-59 10.21 7 6.48 0.1458 -1.0395 0.1493 0.0035
1959-60 10.66 8 6.62 0.1667 -0.9953 0.1598 0.0069
1960-61 12.50 9 6.64 0.1875 -0.9890 0.1613 0.0262
1961-62 8.09 10 7.60 0.2083 -0.6861 0.2463 0.0380
1962-63 6.64 11 7.62 0.2292 -0.6798 0.2483 0.0191
1963-64 13.47 12 7.73 0.2500 -0.6451 0.2594 0.0094
1964-65 6.48 13 7.87 0.2708 -0.6009 0.2739 0.0031
1965-66 8.81 14 8.01 0.2917 -0.5568 0.2888 0.0028
1966-67 8.07 15 8.06 0.3125 -0.5410 0.2943 0.0182
1967-68 7.73 16 8.07 0.3333 -0.5378 0.2953 0.0380
1968-69 8.06 17 8.09 0.3542 -0.5315 0.2975 0.0566
1969-70 11.35 18 8.41 0.3750 -0.4306 0.3334 0.0416
1970-71 9.07 19 8.50 0.3958 -0.4022 0.3438 0.0521
1971-72 7.60 20 8.60 0.4167 -0.3706 0.3555 0.0612
1972-73 7.62 21 8.75 0.4375 -0.3233 0.3732 0.0643
1973-74 8.01 22 8.81 0.4583 -0.3044 0.3804 0.0779
1974-75 8.41 23 9.03 0.4792 -0.2350 0.4071 0.0720
1975-76 4.94 24 9.07 0.5000 -0.2223 0.4120 0.0880
1976-77 9.03 25 9.18 0.5208 -0.1876 0.4256 0.0952
1977-78 17.40 26 9.40 0.5417 -0.1182 0.4529 0.0887
1978-79 11.87 27 9.49 0.5625 -0.0898 0.4642 0.0983
1979-80 11.25 28 10.02 0.5833 0.0774 0.5308 0.0525
1980-81 11.78 29 10.21 0.6042 0.1373 0.5546 0.0495
1981-82 9.40 30 10.43 0.6250 0.2068 0.5819 0.0431
1982-83 14.87 31 10.51 0.6458 0.2320 0.5917 0.0541
1983-84 9.49 32 10.57 0.6667 0.2509 0.5991 0.0676
1984-85 11.31 33 10.66 0.6875 0.2793 0.6100 0.0775
1985-86 8.50 34 10.91 0.7083 0.3582 0.6399 0.0684
1986-87 10.51 35 11.25 0.7292 0.4655 0.6792 0.0500
1987-88 14.19 36 11.31 0.7500 0.4844 0.6859 0.0641
1988-89 6.43 37 11.35 0.7708 0.4970 0.6904 0.0804
1989-90 9.18 38 11.78 0.7917 0.6327 0.7365 0.0551
1990-91 10.43 39 11.87 0.8125 0.6611 0.7457 0.0668
1991-92 8.60 40 12.50 0.8333 0.8599 0.8051 0.0283
1992-93 4.16 41 13.47 0.8542 1.1659 0.8782 0.0240
1993-94 18.84 42 14.19 0.8750 1.3931 0.9182 0.0432
 1994-95 16.38 43 14.44 0.8958 1.4719 0.9295 0.0336
1995-96 7.87 44 14.87 0.9167 1.6076 0.9460 0.0294
1996-97 10.91 45 16.38 0.9375 2.0840 0.9814 0.0439
1997-98 14.44 46 17.40 0.9583 2.4058 0.9919 0.0336
1998-99 6.28 47 18.84 0.9792 2.8601 0.9979 0.0187
X= 9.77 Δ calc. 0.098 u
S= 3.170 Δ teorico 0.259 σ
El ajuste es bueno
ALFA = 2.471
u= 8.348
λ= 0.102
Distribuciones teoricas
Normal
Log Normal 2PGumbel Expon
T (años) F(Z) Z Y Q Q Q Q
2 0.50000 0.000 0.3665 9.8 9.3 9.3 6.8
5 0.80000 0.842 1.4999 12.4 12.1 12.1 15.7
10 0.90000 1.282 2.2504 13.8 13.9 13.9 22.5
15 0.93333 1.501 2.6738 14.5 14.9 15.0 26.5
20 0.95000 1.645 2.9702 15.0 15.6 15.7 29.3
25 0.96000 1.751 3.1985 15.3 16.1 16.3 31.5
50 0.98000 2.054 3.9019 16.3 17.7 18.0 38.2
75 0.98667 2.216 4.3108 16.8 18.6 19.0 42.2
100 0.99000 2.326 4.6001 17.1 19.3 19.7 45.0
200 0.99500 2.576 5.2958 17.9 20.9 21.4 51.8
500 0.99800 2.878 6.2136 18.9 22.9 23.7 60.7
Ln(xi)
1.4255
1.5974
1.8197
1.8374
1.8610
1.8625
1.8687
1.8901
1.8931
2.0281
2.0308
2.0451
2.0631
2.0807
2.0869
2.0882
2.0906
2.1294
2.1401
2.1518
2.1691
2.1759
2.2006
2.2050
2.2170
2.2407
2.2502
2.3046
2.3234
2.3447
2.3523
2.3580
2.3665
2.3897
2.4204
2.4257
2.4292
2.4664
2.4740
2.5257
2.6005
2.6525
2.6700
2.6993
2.7961
2.8565
2.9360
2.231
0.314