Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
www.aapairlines.org
annual report
2009
AAPA
MEMBERS
02 03 04 06 07 10
12 14 17 21 24 28
executive committee
Chew Choon Seng Robert Yang Tengku Dato’ Azmil Tony Tyler Haruka Nishimatsu
Chief Executive Chief Executive Zahruddin Chief Executive President & Chief
Officer Officer Managing Director Cathay Pacific Executive Officer
Singapore Airlines Royal Brunei Airlines Malaysia Airlines Airways Japan Airlines
This period has been one of the added to pressures on airlines estimating that the global airline
most difficult and challenging for and aircraft leasing companies. industry will lose US$11 billion in
airlines in the history of aviation. Airframe manufacturers went into 2009. Asia Pacific airlines have
Unfolding over the past two years, the downturn cushioned by multi- been particularly badly affected,
the bursting of the credit bubble in year order backlogs, but have given their traditional strong
the US housing market triggered been forced to negotiate deferrals, reliance on premium passenger
a global financial crisis, which and a small number of order traffic and the air cargo business,
in turn led to a worldwide cancellations, as the industry the two worst affected market
collapse in consumer confidence. seeks to adjust to the loss of at segments. A number of carriers
Consequently, the world has least two years of expected have taken steps to strengthen
suffered a synchronized global growth. This process has not yet their balance sheets through a
economic slowdown in 2009, of a run its course. variety of new financing initiatives,
severity not seen since the 1930’s. in order to ride out the crisis.
At the same time, airlines made
As a result, starting in mid-2008, strenuous efforts to cut Despite the severity of the
airlines have experienced a costs. Initiatives to trim staff downturn, aviation continues to
prolonged and painful period of costs included reductions in play a fundamentally positive role
weaker demand for both performance bonuses, unpaid in the global economy every day,
passenger and cargo services. leave schemes and, as a last keeping air travel safe, secure and
With load factors falling, airline resort, staff retrenchments. affordable, and linking people and
revenues took a double hit from products to markets across the
both declining traffic and lower Meanwhile, oil prices, despite world.
yields. falling back from the peak
reached in mid-2008, have Once again demonstrating our
Air cargo dropped precipitously in remained exceptionally volatile, customary resilience in the face of
the fourth quarter of 2008, and ranging from US$40 to US$80 adversity, we look forward to the
bottomed out at year end, down per barrel so far this year. A hopefully brighter days that lie
almost 30% in tonnage terms. In number of airlines suffered ahead.
2009, we have seen a slow but significant losses on fuel hedging
steady recovery in cargo volumes, programmes as a result.
regaining some of the lost ground,
but rates remain depressed. Given all these negative factors, Andrew Herdman
most airlines have been reporting Director General
Passenger traffic continued to financial losses, with IATA
deteriorate throughout the first
half of 2009 and has only recently
“
begun to show some signs of
stabilisation. Demand for premium
passenger services has been
particularly weak, as businesses
cut back on travel costs. This period has
Airlines responded, as they have
been one of the
to previous downturns, by most difficult
progressively reducing capacity
and challenging
along with efforts to stimulate
demand through highly
competitive fares and discounted
travel packages.
By region, US carriers were hardest hit, recording US Europe Asia Pacific Source : IATA
losses of USD9.5 billion, more than half the global total.
Asia Pacific airlines reported USD5.5 billion in net
losses. European airlines as a group, on the other hand,
managed to remain profitable, reporting an aggregate Operating Performance of Asia Pacific and AAPA
USD0.2 billion in net earnings. Airlines 2008
USD billion
Losses suffered by the three largest carriers in Mainland
140 - 129.0
China, inclusive of fuel hedging losses, totalled USD4.2 124.2
120 -
billion, compared to a combined net profit of USD0.8 100.1 101.2
100 -
billion recorded in 2007.
80 -
60 -
Asia Pacific-based low cost carriers also faced 40 -
challenging market conditions in 2008, with Virgin Blue 20 -
and Air Asia reporting an aggregate net loss, including 0-
fuel hedging losses, of USD242 million, compared to a -1.2 -4.8
-20 -
net profit of USD286 million recorded in 2007.
AAPA Asia Pacific
60 -
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Overall LF Breakeven LF
29% 38%
71%
62%
2007 2008
Others Fuel
2008
DESCRIPTION 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Growth
%
A. INCOME STATEMENT
B. BALANCE SHEET
C. OPERATING STATISTICS
AVERAGE STAGE LENGTH (KM) 1,952 1,996 1,981 1,984 2,003 0.9
AVERAGE FARE in USD 207 220 234 245 270 10.3
PAX YIELD in US cents / RPK 7.6 7.9 8.8 9.6 10.5 10.1
CARGO YIELD in US cents / FTK 25.9 28.0 29.7 33.1 33.3 0.5
TOTAL YIELD in US cents / RTK 66.4 69.5 76.0 81.3 88.5 8.8
UNIT REVENUE in US cents / ATK 45.3 47.3 51.9 55.5 58.7 5.8
UNIT COST in US cents / ATK 42.7 46.2 49.7 51.9 59.4 14.4
OVERALL LOAD FACTOR 68.3% 68.0% 68.4% 68.2% 66.4% (1.9)
BREAKEVEN LOAD FACTOR 64.3% 66.4% 65.4% 63.9% 67.2% 3.3
AAPA member airlines saw a 2.2% dip in Growth of AAPA inter-regional passenger numbers
international passenger numbers to 140.9 million. was almost flat, at 0.2% to 34.3 million in 2008.
AAPA international passenger traffic in RPK terms Traffic growth for the Indian subcontinent, up 3.0%,
declined by 1.4%. Capacity increased by 1.4% and and the Middle East/Africa, up 10.8%, were offset
the average passenger load factor declined by 2.1 by declines on long haul US and European routes,
pp to 75.0%. which slipped by 3.3% and 0.3% respectively.
2008 was a tale of two halves. The first half of the For the first six months of 2009, the impact of
year saw AAPA carriers post a moderate increase Influenza A(H1N1) compounded the airlines’ woes,
of 3% in international passenger numbers and RPK, contributing to a 7.6% contraction in global
with the passenger load factor holding steady at international passenger traffic in RPK terms
75.9% on carefully managed capacity. Travel following a slight growth of 1.6% in 2008. The
demand then weakened significantly as a result of overall passenger load factor fell by 2.9 pp to
the global economic slowdown. In the second half 72.6%, as falling passenger demand outpaced
of 2008, international passenger numbers tumbled capacity cuts.
by 7.0% whilst international RPKs fell by 5.9%. The
average passenger load factor fell by 3.8 pp to Asia Pacific airlines were hit particularly hard, with
74.0%, despite a year-on-year capacity reduction AAPA members’ reporting a 12.6% decline in
of 1.1%. international passenger RPK, compared to an overall
industry decline of 7.6% in the first half of 2009.
Similar trends were reported on AAPA inter-regional Hong Kong - Taiwan -7.5
figures, with passenger numbers contracting by
10.9% in January-June 2009 against a marginal Korea - China -10.0
0.2% growth for the year ended December 2008.
Japan - United States -7.2
Premium travel fell at an even faster pace. For the first
half of 2009, AAPA members reported a shocking Australia - Singapore 10.4
27.4% drop in premium passenger numbers, much
worse than the 4.1% decline seen in 2008. Australia - New Zealand 8.0
20
15
10
-5
-10
-15
-20
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
Jul-07
Aug-07
Sep-07
Oct-07
Nov-07
Dec-07
Jan-08
Feb-08
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
Aug-08
Sep-08
Oct-08
Nov-08
Dec-08
Jan-09
Feb-09
Mar-09
Apr-09
May-09
Jun-09
Reflecting major inter-links between the Northeast Korea - United States -8.8
Asian and US economies on international trade, the
Korea-US sector topped the list as the largest trade Korea - China 5.3
lane with more than 460,000 tonnes carried.
Japan - Korea -7.6
During the first six months of 2009, global
international air cargo traffic deteriorated sharply, Taiwan - United States -14.2
with FTKs falling by 20.6% compared to the more
modest 4.0% decline in 2008. Slower capacity
Japan - United States -11.3
reductions of 10.4% resulted in a 3.6 pp decline in
global cargo load factor to just 45.3%.
Hong Kong - Taiwan -8.5
15
10
-5
-10
-15
-20
-25
-30
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
Jul-07
Aug-07
Sep-07
Oct-07
Nov-07
Dec-07
Jan-08
Feb-08
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
Aug-08
Sep-08
Oct-08
Nov-08
Dec-08
Jan-09
Feb-09
Mar-09
Apr-09
May-09
Jun-09
EVA Air played host to the 52nd cultural performances and were year. Industry profitability was
Assembly of Presidents on 13-14 appreciative of the warm and under severe pressure, with Mr.
November 2008 in the city of generous hospitality of their Taipei Herdman warning that, “We have
Taipei, with nearly 200 delegates hosts. already seen a number of airline
from various sectors of the failures. Some others won’t
aviation industry present at the The opening ceremony included survive the current crisis.”
event. remarks by Mr. Oliver Fang-Lai Yu,
Administrative Deputy Minister of Once again facing turbulent
CEOs and senior executives the Ministry of Transportation and times, Asia Pacific carriers were
of the AAPA member airlines, Communications, emphasising responding appropriately, by
as well as aviation industry the positive role played by aviation making careful adjustments to
partners including regulators, in economic and social both capacity and route
manufacturers, suppliers, airports development. networks, as well as seeking
further operational cost savings.
and other service providers In his keynote address, Mr. Mr Herdman emphasised AAPA’s
thoroughly enjoyed the Andrew Herdman, Director commitment to act as the trade
opportunity to exchange views General of the Association of Asia association for all Asia Pacific
and reinforce established industry Pacific Airlines, noted that based international airlines,
relationships. The mood of the following several years of steady regardless of business model,
meeting was friendly and growth, the situation had abruptly and said the Association was
constructive, in spite of the reversed. A slowing global always willing to welcome new
difficult times confronting the economy was proving extremely members. AAPA continued to
airline industry. challenging for airlines around the play an important and valuable
world. The growth in passenger role in ensuring that the region’s
In addition to serious discussions numbers was just 2% in 2008, views are heard and given proper
on industry matters, delegates while cargo volumes had fallen weight in international debates on
were treated to some spectacular below the levels of the previous key aviation policy issues.
Mr. Idris Jala (Malaysia Airlines), Air Traffic Management Air Cargo Security
and Mr. Pandit Chanapai (Thai
Airways International). Airspace congestion, delays and Noting that globally, airlines
environmental pressures remain a transport goods representing
AAPA ASSEMBLY OF PRESIDENTS major challenge for air carriers. 35% by value of international
RESOLUTIONS AAPA called upon governments trade, AAPA called on
to collaborate and co-operate governments to establish aviation
At the conclusion of the
with stakeholders on the security measures in a manner
Assembly, AAPA member airlines
development of future ATM and that strikes a balance between
strongly expressed their collective
infrastructure improvements with the requirements of national
views on major industry policy
the objective of ensuring proper security and the need for efficient
topics, passing the following
harmonisation and technical cargo facilitation.
resolutions:
inter-operability.
AS OF NOVEMBER 2009
PASSENGER
AIRBUS BOEING ATR
AIRLINE B717/ Q200/
A300 A319 A320 A321 A330 A343 A345/6 A380 B737 B737NG B747 B744 B767 B777 DC9 MD90 ATR-72 Q100 300
AIR NEW ZEALAND 12 16 7 5 8 11 23
ALL NIPPON AIRWAYS 29 20 24 15 55 43 5
ASIANA AIRLINES 11 14 8 5 2 7 10
CATHAY PACIFIC AIRWAYS 32 15 23 30
CHINA AIRLINES 17 6 10 13
DRAGONAIR 10 6 14
EVA AIRWAYS 11 3 14 3
GARUDA INDONESIA 10 35 20 3
JAPAN AIRLINES 22 23 25 6 37 46 46 14 16 4 1
KOREAN AIR 8 19 30 21 23
MALAYSIA AIRLINES 14 37 3 13 17
PHILIPPINE AIRLINES 4 18 8 4 5 3
QANTAS AIRWAYS 33 4 22 3 24 38 30 29 11 21
ROYAL BRUNEI AIRLINES 2 2 6
SINGAPORE AIRLINES 8 5 8 9 77
THAI AIRWAYS INTERNATIONAL 17 21 10 6 18 20 2
VIETNAM AIRLINES 10 15 4 10 11
TOTAL BY AIRCRAFT TYPE 47 6 125 39 188 25 15 11 166 150 6 199 148 298 14 30 24 4 53
The effects of the global economic Royal Brunei Airlines and EVA Air Orders have been placed for over
downturn, volatile fuel prices and saw their fleet remain unchanged, 480 new aircraft, including the
falling passenger and cargo yields while four airlines: Dragonair, A330, A350, A380, B737 NG,
has forced airlines to reduce China Airlines, Asiana Airlines and B777 and B787, which are
capacity, delay new aircraft Korean Air saw reductions due to scheduled for delivery in phases
deliveries, and retire or park the retirement of older aircraft. up to 2013.
aircraft to remain competitive. The All Nippon Airways and Japan
current AAPA fleet, including Airlines, on the other hand, saw The B747 (322 aircraft) and B777
regional and turboprop aircraft, increases in fleet size due to the (298 aircraft) remain the most
totalled 1,782 aircraft. This is made consolidation of smaller domestic popular wide-bodied passenger
up of 937 wide-bodied aircraft, operations. Qantas Airways’ fleet aircraft among AAPA members
including Combis, 547 narrow- has also increased due to the with an additional 28 B777 and 10
bodied, 158 turboprop aircraft and growth of its Jetstar and regional B747 to be delivered in the
140 pure freighter aircraft. Japan operations. coming five years. Firm orders for
Airlines tops the list with 292 B737-NG (103) and A320 (64)
aircraft, followed by Qantas Boeing continues to dominate aircraft to be delivered by 2013
Airways (233), All Nippon Airways AAPA member airlines’ fleet type indicates further demand for
(212), Cathay Pacific Airways with a 65% market share, while narrow-bodied aircraft types
(124), Korean Air (124), and Airbus currently accounts for among AAPA members. In terms
Singapore Airlines (119). 26% of the overall fleet. of newer aircraft types, AAPA
Bombardier is the leading carriers have placed firm orders
The majority of AAPA member supplier of regional and for the A380 (43 aircraft), the long
airlines’ fleets only saw minor commuter aircraft for AAPA awaited B787 (122 aircraft) and
changes in numbers in 2009. members. A350 (55 aircraft).
AAPA 38%
The airline industry has always chronically poor profitability of the The US Department of Homeland
been subject to close scrutiny airline industry. Looking to the Security (DHS) in 2008 issued a
and regulatory oversight, not future, it seems clear that further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking
least because of the need liberalisation is needed to address (NPRM) proposing to make it
to maintain the highest these fundamental challenges and mandatory for airlines to collect
safety standards. Unfortunately, pave the way for the successful and submit biometric data of
regulation of the industry did not evolution of the industry. departing foreigners at airports
stop there, instead permeating and seaports. AAPA, working with
almost every aspect of the In the past year, governments other industry stakeholders,
business. Such rules and and regulatory agencies have raised vigorous objections to
regulations are promulgated by continued to progress several airlines being made to undertake
national governments, as well as industry regulatory initiatives, what was clearly a government
international bodies. some unfortunately introduced responsibility. After a coordinated
with little or no industry lobbying campaign, funding for
Airlines face a number of consultation. the programme was blocked, with
fundamental restrictions on how Congress instructing DHS to
they do business, with limits on Flying is not only the safest form conduct additional pilot studies
ways in which they can access of travel, but also highly secure. before final recommendations are
and serve markets, governed However, governments have made. AAPA will continue to
by a historical aero-political developed a habit of imposing lobby on behalf of airlines against
regulatory framework of layer upon layer of additional this ill-conceived initiative.
bilateral air services agreements. security requirements on aviation.
Too often, such measures seem
National ownership and control to be reactive in nature, based on
requirements prevent airlines from fear rather than a balanced
fully accessing international evaluation of threats and risk
capital markets, resulting in a assessment. There is a reluctance
highly fragmented industry. to subject proposed new security
International mergers, commonly initiatives to an objective
seen in other sectors, simply appraisal of the related costs
cannot take place. Whilst weighed against the benefits to
progressive liberalisation has at society.
least allowed the industry to
expand to meet growing demand,
the shape of the industry reflects “ Airlines need greater
these distortions, and may also freedom to operate
account for other structural
weaknesses which underlie the
just like any other
industry.”
“Governments need to
fundamentally re-think the
rationale for new
regulatory initiatives.”
1.4 -
approach to safety management.
1.3 -
1.2 - The aim is to evaluate risk factors,
1.1 -
1- and identify precursors to potential
0.9 - accidents, so that appropriate
0.8 -
0.7 - action can be taken, even before a
0.6 - safety incident occurs.
0.5 -
0.4 -
0.3 -
Close collaboration across the
0.2 -
0.1 - industry is a key feature in
0-
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 working towards this shared
World North America Europe Asia Pacific AAPA IATA
objective. Examples of such
programmes include the US
The travelling public increasingly The industry’s excellent safety Commercial Aviation Safety Team
recognises that flying is the safest record is the result of concerted (CAST), European Commercial
form of travel, but there is no room efforts by regulatory agencies, Aviation Team (ECAST) and the
for complacency. Our target is zero the aviation industry and ICAO Cooperative Development
accidents and zero fatalities. From other safety stakeholders to of Operational Safety
an industry standpoint, safety continuously develop new and Continuing Airworthiness
remains the number one priority. technology, operational standards, Programme (COSCAP).
challenges.”
Air travel plays an important role business models and products value as justifying the extra cost.
in our daily lives, bringing global offered by carriers today is to be Overall, in an international
mobility, together with welcomed, as this represents context, customer demand and
reassuringly high levels of safety more choices for consumers. competition has resulted in higher
and reliability. In an intensely standards of comfort and service.
competitive marketplace, airlines Particularly on longer routes, However, the current economic
are constantly seeking ways to passengers are willing to place downturn has inevitably led to
provide even better service to greater value on higher levels of weaker demand for business
customers, through product comfort, space and service. travel, leading some to question
innovation and adapting quickly Accordingly, leading airlines have the validity of the full service
to meet the changing demands of developed a variety of products, business model and premium
travellers worldwide. ranging from extra legroom in cabins in particular.
premium economy cabins, to flat
As Asian populations grow more beds in business class, and even Similar concerns were expressed
affluent and have a greater more luxurious first class cabins. during past recessions, but
propensity to travel, the overall Although the premium cabins are invariably demand for premium
growth in the Asia Pacific market mainly targeting business products recovered strongly once
has meant more commercial travellers, a significant proportion economic conditions improved.
opportunities for the airline of those seats are used by leisure Whilst there may be a temporary
industry. The multiplicity of travellers who similarly see the mismatch between the products
on offer and what the market experimenting with so-called trimming costs, and competing
demands, cabin reconfigurations menu pricing, offering customers more aggressively in discounting
are a time consuming and costly a choice of separately priced prices to attract discretionary
exercise. Consequently, airlines service options, such as seat travellers.
have had to respond to current selection, or for checking extra
challenges by more aggressively bags. Unbundling services in A number of major carriers have
marketing their premium products this way should lead to adopted multiple branding
using a variety of pricing closer matching of customer strategies, and established stand-
initiatives and other promotional needs, although the process can alone low cost carrier operations
campaigns to win back value- be taken too far. Experience focused on key short haul leisure
conscious customers. from other industries reminds markets. The most successful
us that a la carte pricing and example of this approach has
In short haul markets, customers inclusive packages of services been Qantas and its very
obviously place more emphasis can happily co-exist. successful development of
on schedule frequency, and subsidiary Jetstar.
reliability, although there is still a The successful entry of new
business market segment willing budget carriers to key markets As further evidence of the
to pay a modest premium for a has stimulated further convergence of competing
higher level of comfort and competition, and now accounts business models, both Jetstar
service. Some new entrants have for about 14% of the total intra- and Air Asia X have recently
even begun offering customer Asia Pacific market in seat expanded their networks to
loyalty programmes and lounge capacity terms. Established include a number of medium and
access. On the other hand, some carriers have responded by longhaul routes, served with
full service carriers have begun streamlining their own products, widebody aircraft. Whilst focusing
Thankfully, we seem to have In recent months, airlines have Even more fundamental, is the
weathered the worst of the storm; seen load factors recover, but low need for further structural reform,
the global economy is beginning yields mean continuing losses for including a fresh look at
to show some signs of recovery the industry. Rising oil prices are restrictions on national ownership
following widespread declines in certainly not helping. Even when and control which hold back
output of both goods and we do see a further pickup in consolidation and hinder access
services. The rebound has demand, it will require careful to international capital markets.
been led by the Asia Pacific management of capacity, costs
region, where both individuals and pricing to nurse battered With the expected resumption of
and governments are less balance sheets back to full health. growth, environmental challenges
encumbered by the excessive We must also never lose sight of remain high on the political
levels of debt which continue to the need to drive further agenda. The aviation industry is
weigh heavily on both business improvements in efficiency and united in its commitment to
and consumer sentiment in North cost-effectiveness throughout the ambitious environmental targets,
America and Europe. value chain. but is being held back by the
failure of governments to resolve
The IMF anticipates global GDP If there is a part of the industry major differences between the
growing by 3% in 2010. This figure that appears to have been views of developed and
reflects expectations of a modest unaffected by the recession, it is developing states. AAPA will
recovery in the major developed the fact that the regulatory continue to press for a global
markets, but strong growth in agenda has remained as busy as sectoral approach to aviation
China and India could see the ever. Fresh challenges include emissions, working through ICAO.
Asian region achieving 7% growth onerous security procedures for
in the coming year. Whilst positive, both passengers and cargo that To end on a distinctly positive
there is still the question of whether often seem to be driven more note, global air travel demand is
this resurgence will be self- by fear than cold reason; expected to double over the next
sustaining. Western consumers, inconsistencies in the multiple fifteen years, led by faster growth
facing still rising unemployment, ways in which passenger in the Asia Pacific region, which is
are cutting back and taking steps information has to be provided to set to become the world’s largest
to reduce debts, whereas in government authorities; and the aviation market. AAPA and its
developing and emerging imposition of further layers of member airlines will be at the
economies, the challenge is how to government fees, taxes and forefront of these developments,
diversify beyond over-reliance on charges. playing an important role in
exports to a more balanced shaping the future of the industry
scenario including faster growth in whilst serving the wider
domestic consumption. community.
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