Forecasting

bulan P01 P02 Total MA2 MA3 MA4 MA5
1 18,816.00 29,216.00 48,032.00

2 17,952.00 17,488.00 35,440.00
3 8,560.00 8,504.00 17,064.00 41,736.00
4 13,328.00 34,576.00 47,904.00 26,252.00 33,512.00
5 10,624.00 48,208.00 58,832.00 32,484.00 33,469.33 37,110.00
6 25,000.00 31,776.00 56,776.00 53,368.00 41,266.67 39,810.00 41,454.40
7 37,280.00 39,192.00 76,472.00 57,804.00 54,504.00 45,144.00 43,203.20
8 42,296.00 32,856.00 75,152.00 66,624.00 64,026.67 59,996.00 51,409.60
9 37,536.00 34,288.00 71,824.00 75,812.00 69,466.67 66,808.00 63,027.20
10 28,344.00 27,560.00 55,904.00 73,488.00 74,482.67 70,056.00 67,811.20
11 12,232.00 17,280.00 29,512.00 63,864.00 67,626.67 69,838.00 67,225.60
12 29,360.00 42,320.00 71,680.00 42,708.00 52,413.33 58,098.00 61,772.80
ERR2 CUMERR2 DEV2 MAD2 TS2 ERR3 CUMERR3

1
2
3 (24,672.00) (24,672.00) 24,672.00 24,672.00 -1.00
4 21,652.00 (3,020.00) 21,652.00 23,162.00 -0.13 14,392.00 14,392.00
5 26,348.00 23,328.00 26,348.00 24,224.00 0.96 25,362.67 39,754.67
6 3,408.00 26,736.00 3,408.00 19,020.00 1.41 15,509.33 55,264.00
7 18,668.00 45,404.00 18,668.00 18,949.60 2.40 21,968.00 77,232.00
8 8,528.00 53,932.00 8,528.00 17,212.67 3.13 11,125.33 88,357.33
9 (3,988.00) 49,944.00 3,988.00 15,323.43 3.26 2,357.33 90,714.67
10 (17,584.00) 32,360.00 17,584.00 15,606.00 2.07 (18,578.67) 72,136.00
11 (34,352.00) (1,992.00) 34,352.00 17,688.89 -0.11 (38,114.67) 34,021.33
12 28,972.00 26,980.00 28,972.00 18,817.20 1.43 19,266.67 53,288.00
-1.00
3.26
MA6 DEV2 DEV3 DEV4 DEV5 DEV6
24,672.0
21,652.0 14,392.0
26,348.0 25,362.7 21,722.0
3,408.0 15,509.3 16,966.0 15,321.6
44,008.00 18,668.0 21,968.0 31,328.0 33,268.8 32,464.0
48,748.00 8,528.0 11,125.3 15,156.0 23,742.4 26,404.0
55,366.67 3,988.0 2,357.3 5,016.0 8,796.8 16,457.3
64,493.33 17,584.0 18,578.7 14,152.0 11,907.2 8,589.3
65,826.67 34,352.0 38,114.7 40,326.0 37,713.6 36,314.7
60,940.00 28,972.0 19,266.7 13,582.0 9,907.2 10,740.0
MAD 18,817.2 18,519.4 19,781.0 20,093.9 21,828.2 MSE
DEV3 MAD3 TS3 ERR4 CUMERR4 DEV4 MAD4 TS4
14,392.00 14,392.00 1.00

25,362.67 19,877.33 2.00 21,722.00 21,722.00 21,722.00 21,722.00 1.00
15,509.33 18,421.33 3.00 16,966.00 38,688.00 16,966.00 19,344.00 2.00
21,968.00 19,308.00 4.00 31,328.00 70,016.00 31,328.00 23,338.67 3.00
11,125.33 17,671.47 5.00 15,156.00 85,172.00 15,156.00 21,293.00 4.00
2,357.33 15,119.11 6.00 5,016.00 90,188.00 5,016.00 18,037.60 5.00
18,578.67 15,613.33 4.62 (14,152.00) 76,036.00 14,152.00 17,390.00 4.37
38,114.67 18,426.00 1.85 (40,326.00) 35,710.00 40,326.00 20,666.57 1.73
19,266.67 18,519.41 2.88 13,582.00 49,292.00 13,582.00 19,781.00 2.49
1.00 1.00
6.00 5.00
90,000.00
80,000.00
70,000.00
60,000.00
50,000.00
40,000.00
60,000.00
50,000.00
40,000.00
30,000.00
20,000.00
10,000.00
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
ERR^2 2 ERR^2 3 ERR^2 4 ERR^2 5 ERR^2 6
608,707,584.0
468,809,104.0 207,129,664.0
694,217,104.0 643,264,860.4 471,845,284.0
11,614,464.0 240,539,420.4 287,845,156.0 234,751,426.6
348,494,224.0 482,593,024.0 981,443,584.0 1,106,813,053.4 1,053,911,296.0
72,726,784.0 123,773,041.8 229,704,336.0 563,701,557.8 697,171,216.0
15,904,144.0 5,557,020.4 25,160,256.0 77,383,690.2 270,843,820.4
309,197,056.0 345,166,855.1 200,279,104.0 141,781,411.8 73,776,647.1
1,180,059,904.0 1,452,727,815.1 1,626,186,276.0 1,422,315,625.0 1,318,755,015.1
839,376,784.0 371,204,444.4 184,470,724.0 98,152,611.8 115,347,600.0
454,910,715.2 430,217,349.5 500,866,840.0 520,699,910.9 588,300,932.4 MAPE
ERR5 CUMERR5 DEV5 MAD5 TS5 ERR6
15,321.60 15,321.60 15,321.60 15,321.60 1.00

33,268.80 48,590.40 33,268.80 24,295.20 2.00 32,464.00
23,742.40 72,332.80 23,742.40 24,110.93 3.00 26,404.00
8,796.80 81,129.60 8,796.80 20,282.40 4.00 16,457.33
(11,907.20) 69,222.40 11,907.20 18,607.36 3.72 (8,589.33)
(37,713.60) 31,508.80 37,713.60 21,791.73 1.45 (36,314.67)
9,907.20 41,416.00 9,907.20 20,093.94 2.06 10,740.00
1.00
4.00
Total
MA2
MA3
MA4
MA5
MA6
Total
MA2
MA3
MA4
MA5
MA6
7 8 9 10 11 12
MAPE 2 MAPE 3 MAPE 4 MAPE 5 MAPE 6
144.5850914
45.19873079 30.04342017
44.78515094 43.11032545 36.92208322
6.002536283 27.31670659 29.88234465 26.98605
24.41154933 28.72685427 40.96662831 43.50455 42.45214
11.34766872 14.80377546 20.16712795 31.59251 35.13413
5.552461573 3.282096978 6.983738026 12.24772 22.91342
31.45392101 33.23316161 25.31482541 21.29937 15.36443
116.4001084 129.1497244 136.6427216 127.7907 123.0505
40.41852679 26.87872024 18.94810268 13.82143 14.98326
47.0 37.4 39.5 39.6 42.3
CUMERR6 DEV6 MAD6 TS6
32,464.00 32,464.00 32,464.00 1.00

58,868.00 26,404.00 29,434.00 2.00
75,325.33 16,457.33 25,108.44 3.00
66,736.00 8,589.33 20,978.67 3.18
30,421.33 36,314.67 24,045.87 1.27
41,161.33 10,740.00 21,828.22 1.89
1.00
3.18
bulan P01 P02 Total MA2 MA3 MA4 MA5
1 18,816.00 29,216.00 48,032.00
2 17,952.00 17,488.00 35,440.00
3 8,560.00 8,504.00 17,064.00 39,637.33
4 13,328.00 34,576.00 47,904.00 23,189.33 28,350.67
5 10,624.00 48,208.00 58,832.00 37,624.00 35,546.67 36,172.00
6 25,000.00 31,776.00 56,776.00 55,189.33 48,228.00 44,860.80 43,725.33
7 37,280.00 39,192.00 76,472.00 57,461.33 55,982.67 51,647.20 48,832.53
8 42,296.00 32,856.00 75,152.00 69,906.67 66,966.67 64,178.40 59,922.13
9 37,536.00 34,288.00 71,824.00 75,592.00 72,529.33 70,240.80 67,836.27
10 28,344.00 27,560.00 55,904.00 72,933.33 73,708.00 72,247.20 70,768.53
11 12,232.00 17,280.00 29,512.00 61,210.67 64,418.67 66,586.40 66,799.47
12 29,360.00 42,320.00 71,680.00 38,309.33 45,361.33 50,456.00 54,228.27
ERR2 CUMERR2 DEV2 MAD2 TS2 ERR3 CUMERR3

1
2
3 (22,573.33) (22,573.33) 22,573.33 22,573.33 -1.00
4 24,714.67 2,141.33 24,714.67 23,644.00 0.09 19,553.33 19,553.33
5 21,208.00 23,349.33 21,208.00 22,832.00 1.02 23,285.33 42,838.67
6 1,586.67 24,936.00 1,586.67 17,520.67 1.42 8,548.00 51,386.67
7 19,010.67 43,946.67 19,010.67 17,818.67 2.47 20,489.33 71,876.00
8 5,245.33 49,192.00 5,245.33 15,723.11 3.13 8,185.33 80,061.33
9 (3,768.00) 45,424.00 3,768.00 14,015.24 3.24 (705.33) 79,356.00
10 (17,029.33) 28,394.67 17,029.33 14,392.00 1.97 (17,804.00) 61,552.00
11 (31,698.67) (3,304.00) 31,698.67 16,314.96 -0.20 (34,906.67) 26,645.33
12 33,370.67 30,066.67 33,370.67 18,020.53 1.67 26,318.67 52,964.00
-1.00
3.24
MA6 DEV2 DEV3 DEV4 DEV5 DEV6
22,573.3
24,714.7 19,553.3
21,208.0 23,285.3 22,660.0
1,586.7 8,548.0 11,915.2 13,050.7
47,454.10 19,010.7 20,489.3 24,824.8 27,639.5 29,017.9
56,729.52 5,245.3 8,185.3 10,973.6 15,229.9 18,422.5
64,273.52 3,768.0 705.3 1,583.2 3,987.7 7,550.5
68,975.62 17,029.3 17,804.0 16,343.2 14,864.5 13,071.6
66,521.52 31,698.7 34,906.7 37,074.4 37,287.5 37,009.5
56,145.90 33,370.7 26,318.7 21,224.0 17,451.7 15,534.1
MAD 18,020.5 17,755.1 18,324.8 18,501.6 20,101.0 MSE
DEV3 MAD3 TS3 ERR4 CUMERR4 DEV4 MAD4 TS4
19,553.33 19,553.33 1.00

23,285.33 21,419.33 2.00 22,660.00 22,660.00 22,660.00 22,660.00 1.00
8,548.00 17,128.89 3.00 11,915.20 34,575.20 11,915.20 17,287.60 2.00
20,489.33 17,969.00 4.00 24,824.80 59,400.00 24,824.80 19,800.00 3.00
8,185.33 16,012.27 5.00 10,973.60 70,373.60 10,973.60 17,593.40 4.00
705.33 13,461.11 5.90 1,583.20 71,956.80 1,583.20 14,391.36 5.00
17,804.00 14,081.52 4.37 (16,343.20) 55,613.60 16,343.20 14,716.67 3.78
34,906.67 16,684.67 1.60 (37,074.40) 18,539.20 37,074.40 17,910.63 1.04
26,318.67 17,755.11 2.98 21,224.00 39,763.20 21,224.00 18,324.80 2.17
1.00 1.00
5.90 5.00
90,000.00
80,000.00
70,000.00
60,000.00
50,000.00
40,000.00
60,000.00
50,000.00
40,000.00
30,000.00
20,000.00
10,000.00
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
ERR^2 2 ERR^2 3 ERR^2 4 ERR^2 5 ERR^2 6
509,555,377.8
610,814,748.4 382,332,844.4
449,779,264.0 542,206,748.4 513,475,600.0
2,517,511.1 73,068,304.0 141,971,991.0 170,319,900.4
361,405,447.1 419,812,780.4 616,270,695.0 763,940,117.6 842,038,796.8
27,513,521.8 66,999,681.8 120,419,897.0 231,948,838.7 339,387,629.0
14,197,824.0 497,495.1 2,506,522.2 15,902,017.1 57,009,690.7
289,998,193.8 316,982,416.0 267,100,186.2 220,954,351.2 170,867,224.5
1,004,805,468.4 1,218,475,377.8 1,374,511,135.4 1,390,355,170.4 1,369,704,852.6
1,113,601,393.8 692,672,215.1 450,458,176.0 304,562,996.3 241,308,114.9
438,418,875.0 412,560,873.7 435,839,275.4 442,569,056.0 503,386,051.4 MAPE
ERR5 CUMERR5 DEV5 MAD5 TS5 ERR6
13,050.67 13,050.67 13,050.67 13,050.67 1.00

27,639.47 40,690.13 27,639.47 20,345.07 2.00 29,017.90
15,229.87 55,920.00 15,229.87 18,640.00 3.00 18,422.48
3,987.73 59,907.73 3,987.73 14,976.93 4.00 7,550.48
(14,864.53) 45,043.20 14,864.53 14,954.45 3.01 (13,071.62)
(37,287.47) 7,755.73 37,287.47 18,676.62 0.42 (37,009.52)
17,451.73 25,207.47 17,451.73 18,501.64 1.36 15,534.10
0.42
4.00
Total
MA2
MA3
MA4
MA5
MA6
Total
MA2
MA3
MA4
MA5
MA6
7 8 9 10 11 12
MAPE 2 MAPE 3 MAPE 4 MAPE 5 MAPE 6
132.2862947
51.59207303 40.8177466
36.04840903 39.57936724 38.51645363
2.79460805 15.05565732 20.98633225 22.98624
24.85964362 26.79324895 32.46260069 36.14325 37.94579
6.979632389 10.89170392 14.60187354 20.26542 24.51362
5.246157273 0.982030148 2.204277122 5.55209 10.51247
30.46174394 31.84745278 29.23440183 26.58939 23.38226
107.4094154 118.2795699 125.6248306 126.3468 125.405
46.55505952 36.71688988 29.609375 24.34673 21.67145
44.4 35.7 36.7 37.5 40.6
CUMERR6 DEV6 MAD6 TS6
29,017.90 29,017.90 29,017.90 1.00

47,440.38 18,422.48 23,720.19 2.00
54,990.86 7,550.48 18,330.29 3.00
41,919.24 13,071.62 17,015.62 2.46
4,909.71 37,009.52 21,014.40 0.23
20,443.81 15,534.10 20,101.02 1.02
0.23
3.00
0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
bulan P01 P02 Total alpha =0,1 alpha =0.2 alpha =0.3 alpha =0.4 alpha =0.5
1 18,816.00 29,216.00 48,032.00
2 17,952.00 17,488.00 35,440.00 48,032.00 48,032.00 48,032.00 48,032.00 48,032.00
3 8,560.00 8,504.00 17,064.00 46,772.80 45,513.60 44,254.40 42,995.20 41,736.00
4 13,328.00 34,576.00 47,904.00 43,801.92 39,823.68 36,097.28 32,622.72 29,400.00
5 10,624.00 48,208.00 58,832.00 44,212.13 41,439.74 39,639.30 38,735.23 38,652.00
6 25,000.00 31,776.00 56,776.00 45,674.12 44,918.20 45,397.11 46,773.94 48,742.00
7 37,280.00 39,192.00 76,472.00 46,784.30 47,289.76 48,810.78 50,774.76 52,759.00
8 42,296.00 32,856.00 75,152.00 49,753.07 53,126.20 57,109.14 61,053.66 64,615.50
9 37,536.00 34,288.00 71,824.00 52,292.97 57,531.36 62,522.00 66,692.99 69,883.75
10 28,344.00 27,560.00 55,904.00 54,246.07 60,389.89 65,312.60 68,745.40 70,853.88
11 12,232.00 17,280.00 29,512.00 54,411.86 59,492.71 62,490.02 63,608.84 63,378.94
12 29,360.00 42,320.00 71,680.00 51,921.88 53,496.57 52,596.61 49,970.10 46,445.47
12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00

29,708.80 28,449.60 27,190.40 25,931.20 24,672.00
4,102.08 8,080.32 11,806.72 15,281.28 18,504.00
14,619.87 17,392.26 19,192.70 20,096.77 20,180.00
11,101.88 11,857.80 11,378.89 10,002.06 8,034.00
29,687.70 29,182.24 27,661.22 25,697.24 23,713.00
25,398.93 22,025.80 18,042.86 14,098.34 10,536.50
19,531.03 14,292.64 9,302.00 5,131.01 1,940.25
1,657.93 4,485.89 9,408.60 12,841.40 14,949.88
24,899.86 29,980.71 32,978.02 34,096.84 33,866.94
19,758.12 18,183.43 19,083.39 21,709.90 25,234.53
mad 17,550.75 17,865.70 18,057.89 17,952.55 17,656.64
158558464 158558464 158558464 158558464 158558464

882612797 809379740 739317852 672427133 608707584
16827060.33 65291571 139398637 233517518 342398016
213740657 302490569 368359887 403880084 407232400
123251846 140607535 129479201 100041220 64545156
881359313 851603356 765143366 660347963 562306369
645105477 485135649 325544706 198763244 111017832
381461290 204279445 86527208 26327214 3764570.06
2748733.932 20123219 88521751 164901475 223498763
620003150 898843147 1087549796 1162594372 1146969456
390383456 330637114 364175624 471319632 636781567
mse 392368386 387904528 386597863 386607120 387798198
35.53047404 35.530474 35.530474 35.530474 35.530474

174.1022035 166.722925 159.343647 151.964369 144.585091
8.563126253 16.8677355 24.6466266 31.8997996 38.6272545
24.85020397 29.5625782 32.6228991 34.1595866 34.3010606
19.55383401 20.8852417 20.0417303 17.6167057 14.1503452
38.8216554 38.1606913 36.1717033 33.6034581 31.0087352
33.79674086 29.3083286 24.0084861 18.7597694 14.0202523
27.19290769 19.8995267 12.951103 7.14385878 2.70139508
2.965674401 8.02427582 16.8299224 22.9704438 26.7420489
84.37199256 101.588211 111.744443 115.535505 114.756497
27.56434682 25.3675079 26.6230275 30.2872449 35.2044242
mape 43.39210541 44.7197724 45.5012784 45.4064741 44.6934163
err (12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00)

(29,708.80) (28,449.60) (27,190.40) (25,931.20) (24,672.00)
4,102.08 8,080.32 11,806.72 15,281.28 18,504.00
14,619.87 17,392.26 19,192.70 20,096.77 20,180.00
11,101.88 11,857.80 11,378.89 10,002.06 8,034.00
29,687.70 29,182.24 27,661.22 25,697.24 23,713.00
25,398.93 22,025.80 18,042.86 14,098.34 10,536.50
19,531.03 14,292.64 9,302.00 5,131.01 1,940.25
1,657.93 (4,485.89) (9,408.60) (12,841.40) (14,949.88)
(24,899.86) (29,980.71) (32,978.02) (34,096.84) (33,866.94)
19,758.12 18,183.43 19,083.39 21,709.90 25,234.53
cumer (12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00)

(42,300.80) (41,041.60) (39,782.40) (38,523.20) (37,264.00)
(38,198.72) (32,961.28) (27,975.68) (23,241.92) (18,760.00)
(23,578.85) (15,569.02) (8,782.98) (3,145.15) 1,420.00
(12,476.96) (3,711.22) 2,595.92 6,856.91 9,454.00
17,210.73 25,471.02 30,257.14 32,554.15 33,167.00
42,609.66 47,496.82 48,300.00 46,652.49 43,703.50
62,140.69 61,789.46 57,602.00 51,783.49 45,643.75
63,798.62 57,303.56 48,193.40 38,942.10 30,693.88
38,898.76 27,322.85 15,215.38 4,845.26 (3,173.06)
58,656.89 45,506.28 34,298.77 26,555.15 22,061.47
mad 12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00

21,150.40 20,520.80 19,891.20 19,261.60 18,632.00
15,467.63 16,373.97 17,196.37 17,934.83 18,589.33
15,255.69 16,628.54 17,695.46 18,475.31 18,987.00
14,424.93 15,674.40 16,432.14 16,780.66 16,796.40
16,968.72 17,925.70 18,303.66 18,266.76 17,949.17
18,173.04 18,511.43 18,266.40 17,671.27 16,890.21
18,342.79 17,984.08 17,145.85 16,103.74 15,021.47
16,488.91 16,484.28 16,286.16 15,741.25 15,013.51
17,330.01 17,833.93 17,955.34 17,576.81 16,898.86
17,550.75 17,865.70 18,057.89 17,952.55 17,656.64
ts (1.00) (1.00) (1.00) (1.00) (1.00)
(2.00) (2.00) (2.00) (2.00) (2.00)
(2.47) (2.01) (1.63) (1.30) (1.01)
(1.55) (0.94) (0.50) (0.17) 0.07
(0.86) (0.24) 0.16 0.41 0.56
1.01 1.42 1.65 1.78 1.85
2.34 2.57 2.64 2.64 2.59
3.39 3.44 3.36 3.22 3.04
3.87 3.48 2.96 2.47 2.04
2.24 1.53 0.85 0.28 (0.19)
3.34 2.55 1.90 1.48 1.25
min (2.47) (2.01) (2.00) (2.00) (2.00)
max 3.87 3.48 3.36 3.22 3.04
0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.95 0.99
alpha =0.6 alpha =0.7 alpha =0.8 alpha =0.9 alpha =0.95 alpha =0.99 90,000.00
80,000.00
48,032.00 48,032.00 48,032.00 48,032.00 48,032.00 48,032.00
40,476.80 39,217.60 37,958.40 36,699.20 36,069.60 35,565.92 70,000.00
26,429.12 23,710.08 21,242.88 19,027.52 18,014.28 17,249.02
60,000.00
39,314.05 40,645.82 42,571.78 45,016.35 46,409.51 47,597.45
51,024.82 53,376.15 55,579.96 57,450.44 58,210.88 58,719.65 50,000.00
54,475.53 55,756.04 56,536.79 56,843.44 56,847.74 56,795.44
40,000.00
67,673.41 70,257.21 72,484.96 74,509.14 75,490.79 76,275.23
72,160.56 73,683.56 74,618.59 75,087.71 75,168.94 75,163.23 30,000.00
71,958.63 72,381.87 72,382.92 72,150.37 71,991.25 71,857.39
20,000.00
62,325.85 60,847.36 59,199.78 57,528.64 56,708.36 56,063.53
42,637.54 38,912.61 35,449.56 32,313.66 30,871.82 29,777.52 10,000.00
-
12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00
1 2 3 4
23,412.80 22,153.60 20,894.40 19,635.20 19,005.60 18,501.92
21,474.88 24,193.92 26,661.12 28,876.48 29,889.72 30,654.98
19,517.95 18,186.18 16,260.22 13,815.65 12,422.49 11,234.55
5,751.18 3,399.85 1,196.04 674.44 1,434.88 1,943.65
21,996.47 20,715.96 19,935.21 19,628.56 19,624.26 19,676.56
7,478.59 4,894.79 2,667.04 642.86 338.79 1,123.23
336.56 1,859.56 2,794.59 3,263.71 3,344.94 3,339.23
16,054.63 16,477.87 16,478.92 16,246.37 16,087.25 15,953.39
32,813.85 31,335.36 29,687.78 28,016.64 27,196.36 26,551.53
29,042.46 32,767.39 36,230.44 39,366.34 40,808.18 41,902.48
17,315.58 17,143.32 16,854.34 16,614.38 16,613.13 16,679.41 16613.132
158558464 158558464 158558464 158558464 158558464 158558464

548159204 490781993 436575951 385541079 361212831 342321044
461170471 585345765 710815320 833851097 893395362 939727848
380950450 330736998 264394885 190872130 154318158 126215109
33076081 11558999 1430523.16 454862.839 2058868.27 3777792.82
483844795 429150826 397412556 385280229 385111432 387167149
55929292 23958937 7113111.92 413263.384 114776.76 1261655.44
113275.615 3457978.17 7809742.44 10651832 11188619.3 11150472.6
257751009 271520173 271554749 263944585 258799515 254510727
1076748772 981904834 881364499 784931957 739642125 704983954
843464476 1073701964 1312645019 1549708433 1665307709 1755818221
390887844 396425176 404515893 414927994 420882533 425953858 386597863
35.530474 35.530474 35.530474 35.530474 35.530474 35.530474

137.205813 129.826535 122.447257 115.067979 111.37834 108.426629
44.8289913 50.50501 55.6553106 60.2798931 62.3950401 63.9925284
33.1757411 30.9120479 27.6384009 23.48322 21.1151856 19.0959849
10.1295984 5.98818656 2.10660279 1.18788784 2.52725747 3.42337344
28.7640866 27.089596 26.0686381 25.6676385 25.6620151 25.7304156
9.95128397 6.51318229 3.54886336 0.85540724 0.45080263 1.49461673
0.46859605 2.58905655 3.89088834 4.54404438 4.65713321 4.64918738
28.7182058 29.4752955 29.4771722 29.0611968 28.776558 28.5371214
111.188162 106.178371 100.595635 94.9330345 92.1535726 89.9686023
40.5168246 45.7134372 50.5447032 54.919554 56.9310573 58.4577074
43.6797979 42.756472 41.5912678 40.5027572 40.1434033 39.9369673 39.936967
(12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00)

(23,412.80) (22,153.60) (20,894.40) (19,635.20) (19,005.60) (18,501.92)
21,474.88 24,193.92 26,661.12 28,876.48 29,889.72 30,654.98
19,517.95 18,186.18 16,260.22 13,815.65 12,422.49 11,234.55
5,751.18 3,399.85 1,196.04 (674.44) (1,434.88) (1,943.65)
21,996.47 20,715.96 19,935.21 19,628.56 19,624.26 19,676.56
7,478.59 4,894.79 2,667.04 642.86 (338.79) (1,123.23)
(336.56) (1,859.56) (2,794.59) (3,263.71) (3,344.94) (3,339.23)
(16,054.63) (16,477.87) (16,478.92) (16,246.37) (16,087.25) (15,953.39)
(32,813.85) (31,335.36) (29,687.78) (28,016.64) (27,196.36) (26,551.53)
29,042.46 32,767.39 36,230.44 39,366.34 40,808.18 41,902.48
(12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00)

(36,004.80) (34,745.60) (33,486.40) (32,227.20) (31,597.60) (31,093.92)
(14,529.92) (10,551.68) (6,825.28) (3,350.72) (1,707.88) (438.94)
4,988.03 7,634.50 9,434.94 10,464.93 10,714.61 10,795.61
10,739.21 11,034.35 10,630.99 9,790.49 9,279.73 8,851.96
32,735.69 31,750.30 30,566.20 29,419.05 28,903.99 28,528.52
40,214.27 36,645.09 33,233.24 30,061.90 28,565.20 27,405.29
39,877.71 34,785.53 30,438.65 26,798.19 25,220.26 24,066.05
23,823.08 18,307.66 13,959.73 10,551.82 9,133.01 8,112.66
(8,990.77) (13,027.70) (15,728.05) (17,464.82) (18,063.35) (18,438.87)
20,051.69 19,739.69 20,502.39 21,901.52 22,744.83 23,463.61
12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00

18,002.40 17,372.80 16,743.20 16,113.60 15,798.80 15,546.96
19,159.89 19,646.51 20,049.17 20,367.89 20,495.77 20,582.97
19,249.41 19,281.42 19,101.94 18,729.83 18,477.45 18,245.86
16,549.76 16,105.11 15,520.76 15,118.75 15,068.94 14,985.42
17,457.55 16,873.58 16,256.50 15,870.39 15,828.16 15,767.28
16,031.98 15,162.33 14,315.15 13,695.03 13,615.39 13,675.27
14,070.05 13,499.48 12,875.08 12,391.11 12,331.58 12,383.27
14,290.56 13,830.41 13,275.51 12,819.47 12,748.88 12,779.95
16,142.89 15,580.91 14,916.73 14,339.19 14,193.63 14,157.11
17,315.58 17,143.32 16,854.34 16,614.38 16,613.13 16,679.41
(1.00) (1.00) (1.00) (1.00) (1.00) (1.00)
(2.00) (2.00) (2.00) (2.00) (2.00) (2.00)
(0.76) (0.54) (0.34) (0.16) (0.08) (0.02)
0.26 0.40 0.49 0.56 0.58 0.59
0.65 0.69 0.68 0.65 0.62 0.59
1.88 1.88 1.88 1.85 1.83 1.81
2.51 2.42 2.32 2.20 2.10 2.00
2.83 2.58 2.36 2.16 2.05 1.94
1.67 1.32 1.05 0.82 0.72 0.63
(0.56) (0.84) (1.05) (1.22) (1.27) (1.30)
1.16 1.15 1.22 1.32 1.37 1.41
(2.00) (2.00) (2.00) (2.00) (2.00) (2.00)
2.83 2.58 2.36 2.20 2.10 2.00
0
0
Total
0 alpha =0,1
alpha =0.2
0
alpha =0.3
0 alpha =0.4
alpha =0.5
0 alpha =0.6
alpha =0.7
0
alpha =0.8
0 alpha =0.9
alpha =0.95
0 alpha =0.99
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.4410344643
R Square 0.1945113987
Adjusted R Square 0.1139625386
Standard Error 17944.34822779
Observations 12
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 777572754.7972 777572754.8 2.41482497 0.1512424235
Residual 10 3219996333.203 321999633.3
Total 11 3997569088
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept 38558.90909091 11043.98289006 3.491395222 0.005809445 13951.3817329
bulan 2331.86013986 1500.581783028 1.553970711 0.151242423 -1011.6444315
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation Predicted Total Residuals

1 40890.76923077 7141.230769231
2 43222.62937063 -7782.62937063
3 45554.48951049 -28490.4895105
4 47886.34965035 17.6503496504
5 50218.20979021 8613.79020979
6 52550.06993007 4225.93006993
7 54881.93006993 21590.06993007
8 57213.79020979 17938.20979021
9 59545.65034965 12278.34965035
10 61877.51048951 -5973.51048951
11 64209.37062937 -34697.3706294
12 66541.23076923 5138.769230769
bulan Line Fit Plot
100,000.00
80,000.00
60,000.00 Total
Total
40,000.00 Predicted Total
20,000.00
-
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
bulan
Upper 95% Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%

63166.43645 13951.381733 63166.436449
5675.364711 -1011.644431 5675.3647112
Total
Predicted Total
x y
bulan P01 P02 Total forecast IS x^2
1 18,816.00 29,216.00 48,032.00 40,890.77 0.894184 1
2 17,952.00 17,488.00 35,440.00 43,222.63 0.659766 4
3 8,560.00 8,504.00 17,064.00 45,554.49 0.317671 9
4 13,328.00 34,576.00 47,904.00 47,886.35 0.891801 16
5 10,624.00 48,208.00 58,832.00 50,218.21 1.095242 25
6 25,000.00 31,776.00 56,776.00 52,550.07 1.056966 36
7 37,280.00 39,192.00 76,472.00 54,881.93 1.423635 49
8 42,296.00 32,856.00 75,152.00 57,213.79 1.399062 64
9 37,536.00 34,288.00 71,824.00 59,545.65 1.337106 81
10 28,344.00 27,560.00 55,904.00 61,877.51 1.040733 100
11 12,232.00 17,280.00 29,512.00 64,209.37 0.549408 121
12 29,360.00 42,320.00 71,680.00 66,541.23 1.334425 144
sigma x 78 sigma y 644,592.00 650
x bar 6.5 y bar 53,716.00 sigma x^2
4,189,848.00 333,456.00 42.25 507 143

b 2,331.86
a 38,558.91
90,000.00
80,000.00
70,000.00
60,000.00
50,000.00
40,000.00
30,000.00
20,000.00
10,000.00
-
1 2 3 4 5
xy
48,032.00
70,880.00
51,192.00
191,616.00
294,160.00
340,656.00
535,304.00
601,216.00
646,416.00
559,040.00
324,632.00
860,160.00
4,523,304.00
sigma xy
0
Total
0 forecast
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
bulan P01 P02 Total trend reg trendsea3 ma2 wma2
1 18,816.00 29,216.00 48,032.00 40,890.77 36,563.88
2 17,952.00 17,488.00 35,440.00 43,222.63 28,516.83
3 8,560.00 8,504.00 17,064.00 45,554.49 14,471.33 41,736.00 39,637.33
4 13,328.00 34,576.00 47,904.00 47,886.35 42,705.11 26,252.00 23,189.33
5 10,624.00 48,208.00 58,832.00 50,218.21 55,001.07 32,484.00 37,624.00
6 25,000.00 31,776.00 56,776.00 52,550.07 55,543.65 53,368.00 55,189.33
7 37,280.00 39,192.00 76,472.00 54,881.93 78,131.86 57,804.00 57,461.33
8 42,296.00 32,856.00 75,152.00 57,213.79 80,045.62 66,624.00 69,906.67
9 37,536.00 34,288.00 71,824.00 59,545.65 79,618.86 75,812.00 75,592.00
10 28,344.00 27,560.00 55,904.00 61,877.51 64,397.95 73,488.00 72,933.33
11 12,232.00 17,280.00 29,512.00 64,209.37 35,277.14 63,864.00 61,210.67
12 29,360.00 42,320.00 71,680.00 66,541.23 88,794.31 42,708.00 38,309.33
7,141.23 11,468.12
7,782.63 6,923.17
28,490.49 2,592.67 24,672.00 22,573.33
17.65 5,198.89 21,652.00 24,714.67
8,613.79 3,830.93 26,348.00 21,208.00
4,225.93 1,232.35 3,408.00 1,586.67
21,590.07 1,659.86 18,668.00 19,010.67
17,938.21 4,893.62 8,528.00 5,245.33
12,278.35 7,794.86 3,988.00 3,768.00
5,973.51 8,493.95 17,584.00 17,029.33
34,697.37 5,765.14 34,352.00 31,698.67
5,138.77 17,114.31 28,972.00 33,370.67
mad 12,824.00 6,413.99 18,817.20 18,020.53
50997176.899 131517755.2
60569319.921 47930297.13
811707992.55 6721952.525 608707584 509555377.78
311.53484278 27028456.29 468809104 610814748.44
74197381.778 14675990.11 694217104 449779264
17858484.956 1518683.451 11614464 2517511.1111
466131119.59 2755133.029 348494224 361405447.11
321779370.48 23947560.06 72726784 27513521.778
150757870.14 60759873.46 15904144 14197824
35682827.568 72147206.91 309197056 289998193.78
1203907529 33236859.35 1180059904 1004805468
26406949.207 292899776 839376784 1113601394
mse 268,333,028 59,594,962 454,910,715 438,418,875
14.867652334 23.87599741
21.960015154 19.53490697
166.96254987 15.19381653 144.58509142 132.28629473
0.0368452523 10.8527261 45.198730795 51.592073035
14.641335004 6.511635658 44.785150938 36.048409029
7.4431627271 2.170545219 6.0025362829 2.7946080503
28.232647152 2.170545219 24.411549325 24.859643617
23.869238064 6.511635658 11.347668725 6.9796323895
17.095051306 10.8527261 5.5524615727 5.2461572733
10.685300675 15.19381653 31.453921007 30.461743942
117.57038028 19.53490697 116.40010843 107.40941538
7.1690418956 23.87599741 40.418526786 46.555059524
mape 35.87776831 13.02327132 47.015574528 44.423303697
err 7,141.23 11,468.12

(7,782.63) 6,923.17
(28,490.49) 2,592.67 (24,672.00) (22,573.33)
17.65 5,198.89 21,652.00 24,714.67
8,613.79 3,830.93 26,348.00 21,208.00
4,225.93 1,232.35 3,408.00 1,586.67
21,590.07 (1,659.86) 18,668.00 19,010.67
17,938.21 (4,893.62) 8,528.00 5,245.33
12,278.35 (7,794.86) (3,988.00) (3,768.00)
(5,973.51) (8,493.95) (17,584.00) (17,029.33)
(34,697.37) (5,765.14) (34,352.00) (31,698.67)
5,138.77 (17,114.31) 28,972.00 33,370.67
cumer 7,141.23 11,468.12

(641.40) 18,391.29
(29,131.89) 20,983.96 (24,672.00) (22,573.33)
(29,114.24) 26,182.85 (3,020.00) 2,141.33
(20,500.45) 30,013.78 23,328.00 23,349.33
(16,274.52) 31,246.13 26,736.00 24,936.00
5,315.55 29,586.27 45,404.00 43,946.67
23,253.76 24,692.64 53,932.00 49,192.00
35,532.11 16,897.78 49,944.00 45,424.00
29,558.60 8,403.83 32,360.00 28,394.67
(5,138.77) 2,638.69 (1,992.00) (3,304.00)
0.00 (14,475.63) 26,980.00 30,066.67
mad 7,141.23 11,468.12

7,461.93 9,195.65
14,471.45 6,994.65 24,672.00 22,573.33
10,858.00 6,545.71 23,162.00 23,644.00
10,409.16 6,002.76 24,224.00 22,832.00
9,378.62 5,207.69 19,020.00 17,520.67
11,123.11 4,700.86 18,949.60 17,818.67
11,975.00 4,724.95 17,212.67 15,723.11
12,008.71 5,066.05 15,323.43 14,015.24
11,405.19 5,408.84 15,606.00 14,392.00
13,522.66 5,441.23 17,688.89 16,314.96
12,824.00 6,413.99 18,817.20 18,020.53
ts 1.00 1.00
(0.09) 2.00
(2.01) 3.00 (1.00) (1.00)
(2.68) 4.00 (0.13) 0.09
(1.97) 5.00 0.96 1.02
(1.74) 6.00 1.41 1.42
0.48 6.29 2.40 2.47
1.94 5.23 3.13 3.13
2.96 3.34 3.26 3.24
2.59 1.55 2.07 1.97
(0.38) 0.48 (0.11) (0.20)
0.00 (2.26) 1.43 1.67
min (2.68) (2.26) (1.00) (1.00)
max 2.96 6.29 3.26 3.24
mad 12,824.00 6,413.99 18,817.20 18,020.53

mse 16,380.87 7,719.78 21,328.64 20,938.45
mape 35.88 13.02 47.02 44.42
min ts (2.68) (2.26) (1.00) (1.00)
max ts 2.96 6.29 3.26 3.24
0.3 0.95 0.99 seama2 seawma3 120,000.00
48,032.00 48,032.00 48,032.00

44,254.40 36,069.60 35,565.92 13,258.30 12,591.62
36,097.28 18,014.28 17,249.02 23,411.57 20,680.28 100,000.00
39,639.30 46,409.51 47,597.45 35,577.83 41,207.37
45,397.11 58,210.88 58,719.65 56,408.18 58,333.26
48,810.78 56,847.74 56,795.44 82,291.82 81,803.99
57,109.14 75,490.79 76,275.23 93,211.09 97,803.74 80,000.00
62,522.00 75,168.94 75,163.23 101,368.70 101,074.54
65,312.60 71,991.25 71,857.39 76,481.37 75,904.11
62,490.02 56,708.36 56,063.53 35,087.39 33,629.63
52,596.61 30,871.82 29,777.52 56,990.64 51,120.95 60,000.00
12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00

27,190.40 19,005.60 18,501.92 3,805.70 4,472.38 40,000.00
11,806.72 29,889.72 30,654.98 24,492.43 27,223.72
19,192.70 12,422.49 11,234.55 23,254.17 17,624.63
11,378.89 1,434.88 1,943.65 367.82 1,557.26
20,000.00
27,661.22 19,624.26 19,676.56 5,819.82 5,331.99
18,042.86 338.79 1,123.23 18,059.09 22,651.74
9,302.00 3,344.94 3,339.23 29,544.70 29,250.54
9,408.60 16,087.25 15,953.39 20,577.37 20,000.11 -
32,978.02 27,196.36 26,551.53 5,575.39 4,117.63 1 2 3
19,083.39 40,808.18 41,902.48 14,689.36 20,559.05
18,057.89 16,613.13 16,679.41 14,618.58 15,278.90 6413.9901
158558464 158558464 158558464

739317852.16 361212831.36 342321043.69 14483315.479 20002183.517
139398637.16 893395361.68 939727847.85 599879205.84 741131028.43
368359886.83 154318158.42 126215109.39 540756446.87 310627529.43
129479201.35 2058868.2745 3777792.8228 135294.68693 2425070.024
765143366.29 385111432 387167149.4 33870323.225 28430108.591
325544705.75 114776.7596 1261655.4397 326130689.64 513101422.43
86527208.286 11188619.318 11150472.645 872889296.77 855593891.38
88521750.925 258799515 254510726.63 423428065 400004321
1087549796 739642125 704983953.68 31084999.966 16954875.22
364175624.24 1665307709 1755818221 215777175.92 422674488.58
386,597,863 420,882,533 425,953,858 305,843,481 331,094,492 59594962
35.530474041 35.530474041 35.530474041

159.34364744 111.37834037 108.42662916 22.302479708 26.209447216
24.646626587 62.39504008 63.99252839 51.128155484 56.829746568
32.622899103 21.115185613 19.095984852 39.526398094 29.957554546
20.041730309 2.5272574679 3.4233734358 0.6478516643 2.7428202646
36.171703316 25.662015136 25.730415649 7.6103954129 6.9724725097
24.008486098 0.4508026257 1.4946167307 24.030084146 30.141236627
12.951103016 4.6571332138 4.6491873798 41.134857398 40.725296001
16.829922436 28.776557971 28.537121357 36.808399732 35.775808573
111.74444256 92.153572609 89.968602342 18.891950257 13.95239159
26.623027454 56.931057314 58.457707395 20.492962991 28.68170874
45.501278396 40.143403312 39.936967339 26.257353489 27.198848264 13.023271
(12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00)

(27,190.40) (19,005.60) (18,501.92) 3,805.70 4,472.38
11,806.72 29,889.72 30,654.98 24,492.43 27,223.72
19,192.70 12,422.49 11,234.55 23,254.17 17,624.63
11,378.89 (1,434.88) (1,943.65) 367.82 (1,557.26)
27,661.22 19,624.26 19,676.56 (5,819.82) (5,331.99)
18,042.86 (338.79) (1,123.23) (18,059.09) (22,651.74)
9,302.00 (3,344.94) (3,339.23) (29,544.70) (29,250.54)
(9,408.60) (16,087.25) (15,953.39) (20,577.37) (20,000.11)
(32,978.02) (27,196.36) (26,551.53) (5,575.39) (4,117.63)
19,083.39 40,808.18 41,902.48 14,689.36 20,559.05
(12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00)

(39,782.40) (31,597.60) (31,093.92) 3,805.70 4,472.38
(27,975.68) (1,707.88) (438.94) 28,298.13 31,696.10
(8,782.98) 10,714.61 10,795.61 51,552.30 49,320.73
2,595.92 9,279.73 8,851.96 51,920.12 47,763.47
30,257.14 28,903.99 28,528.52 46,100.30 42,431.48
48,300.00 28,565.20 27,405.29 28,041.21 19,779.74
57,602.00 25,220.26 24,066.05 (1,503.49) (9,470.80)
48,193.40 9,133.01 8,112.66 (22,080.86) (29,470.91)
15,215.38 (18,063.35) (18,438.87) (27,656.25) (33,588.54)
34,298.77 22,744.83 23,463.61 (12,966.89) (13,029.49)
12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00

19,891.20 15,798.80 15,546.96 3,805.70 4,472.38
17,196.37 20,495.77 20,582.97 14,149.06 15,848.05
17,695.46 18,477.45 18,245.86 17,184.10 16,440.24
16,432.14 15,068.94 14,985.42 12,980.03 12,719.50
18,303.66 15,828.16 15,767.28 11,547.99 11,242.00
18,266.40 13,615.39 13,675.27 12,633.17 13,143.62
17,145.85 12,331.58 12,383.27 15,049.10 15,444.61
16,286.16 12,748.88 12,779.95 15,740.14 16,014.05
17,955.34 14,193.63 14,157.11 14,610.72 14,692.22
18,057.89 16,613.13 16,679.41 14,618.58 15,278.90
(1.00) (1.00) (1.00)

(2.00) (2.00) (2.00) 1.00 1.00
(1.63) (0.08) (0.02) 2.00 2.00
(0.50) 0.58 0.59 3.00 3.00
0.16 0.62 0.59 4.00 3.76
1.65 1.83 1.81 3.99 3.77
2.64 2.10 2.00 2.22 1.50
3.36 2.05 1.94 (0.10) (0.61)
2.96 0.72 0.63 (1.40) (1.84)
0.85 (1.27) (1.30) (1.89) (2.29)
1.90 1.37 1.41 (0.89) (0.85)
(2.00) (2.00) (2.00) (1.89) (2.29)
3.36 2.10 2.00 4.00 3.77
18,057.89 16,613.13 16,679.41 14,618.58 15,278.90

19,662.09 20,515.42 20,638.65 17,488.38 18,196.00
45.50 40.14 39.94 26.26 27.20
(2.00) (2.00) (2.00) (1.89) (2.29)
3.36 2.10 2.00 4.00 3.77
0
0
Total
trend reg
trendsea3
ma2
0
wma2
0.3
0.95
0.99
0 seama2
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Total
trend reg
trendsea3
ma2
wma2
0.3
0.95
0.99
seama2
1 12
Bulan ke- TA Demand P01 R01
1 51232 50756.6666667 1.0093649438 0.7103652647 4484 35872
2 28160 0.5548039666 0.72251152 2162 17296
3 40792 0.8036776778 0.7978124863 1806 14448
4 51640 1.0174032968 0.8796910861 3931 31448
5 58928 1.1609903461 1.3483930721 1918 15344
6 43376 0.8545872463 0.9683112561 2765 22120
100000
7 73472
90000 1.4475339857 1.5251259502 5379 43032
8 86824
80000 1.7105930255 1.3981858982 4531 36248
9 20280
70000 0.3995534248 1.0925682994 2075 16600
10 60000
87944 1.7326590924 1.1780894087 7061 56488
Permintaan (kg)
11 50000
38512 0.7587574703 0.6622430565 1226 9808
40000
12 27920 0.5500755237 0.7167027016 3140 25120
30000
13 11336
20000
49928 0.2270469476 0.7103652647 964 7712
14 47896
10000 0.959301394 0.72251152 2949 23592
15 63504
0 1.2719115526 0.7978124863 3466 27728
16 36416 0.7293702932 0.8796910861 2874 22992
17 89288 1.7883352027 1.3483930721 5070 40560
18 49568 Bulan
0.992789617 ke-
0.9683112561 2912 23296
19 85048 1.7034129146 1.5251259502 6829 54632
TA R01 R02
20 54128 1.0841211344 1.3981858982 5106 40848
21 76904 1.5402980292 1.0925682994 7503 60024
22 37960 0.7602948245 1.1780894087 3035 24280
23 33864 0.6782566896 0.6622430565 1384 11072
24 13224 0.2648614004 0.7167027016 295 2360
25 48032 53686 0.8946839027 0.7103652647 2352 18816
26 35080 0.6534291994 0.72251152 2199 17592
27 17064 0.3178482286 0.7978124863 1070 8560
28 47904 0.8922996684 0.8796910861 1666 13328
29 58832 1.0958536676 1.3483930721 1328 10624
30 56776 1.057556905 0.9683112561 3125 25000
31 76472 1.4244309503 1.5251259502 4660 37280
32 75152 1.3998435346 1.3981858982 5287 42296
33 71824 1.3378534441 1.0925682994 4692 37536
34 55904 1.0413143091 1.1780894087 3543 28344
35 29512 0.5497150095 0.6622430565 1529 12232
36 71680 1.3351711806 0.7167027016 3670 29360
Demand P02 R02
3373.166667 1.329314689 0.801950106 1920 15360 2971.416667 0.646156435
0.640940758 0.742388242 1358 10864 0.457021062
0.535401947 0.627413144 3293 26344 1.108225594
1.165373783 0.849417187 2524 20192 0.84942648
0.568605168 0.819232178 5448 43584 1.833468884
0.819704531 0.903948497 2657 21256 0.894186275
1.594644004 1.706727469 3805 30440 1.280533976
1.343248184 1.531742107 6322 50576 2.127604678
0.61514897 1.447478075 460 3680 0.154808313
2.093285241 1.387689578 3932 31456 1.323274532
0.363456693 0.42589914 3588 28704 1.207504838
0.930876031 0.756114277 350 2800 0.117788933
3532.25 0.272913865 0.801950106 453 3624 2708.75 0.16723581
0.834878618 0.742388242 3038 24304 1.121550531
0.981244249 0.627413144 4472 35776 1.650946008
0.813645693 0.849417187 1678 13424 0.619473927
1.435345743 0.819232178 6091 48728 2.248638671
0.824403709 0.903948497 3284 26272 1.212367328
1.933328615 1.706727469 3802 30416 1.403599446
1.445537547 1.531742107 1660 13280 0.612828796
2.124141836 1.447478075 2110 16880 0.778957084
0.859225706 1.387689578 1710 13680 0.631287494
0.391818246 0.42589914 2849 22792 1.05177665
0.083516172 0.756114277 1358 10864 0.501338256
2926.75 0.803621765 0.801950106 3652 29216 3784 0.965116279
0.751345349 0.742388242 2186 17488 0.57769556
0.365593235 0.627413144 1063 8504 0.280919662
0.569232083 0.849417187 4322 34576 1.14217759
0.453745622 0.819232178 6026 48208 1.592494715
1.067737251 0.903948497 3972 31776 1.049682875
1.592209789 1.706727469 4899 39192 1.294661734
1.806440591 1.531742107 4107 32856 1.085359408
1.603143418 1.447478075 4286 34288 1.132663848
1.210557786 1.387689578 3445 27560 0.910412262
0.522422482 0.42589914 2160 17280 0.570824524
1.253950628 0.756114277 5290 42320 1.397991543
tot %p1 %p2 Demand P01
0.592836175 1.394786281 57.50% 42.50% Bulan ke- tahun 1
0.718755718 1.461143959 50.81% 49.19% 1 4484
1.013363755 1.640776898 38.24% 61.76% 80002 2162
0.870359332 1.719776519 49.39% 50.61% 3 1806
1.89153409 2.710766268 30.22% 69.78% 70004 3931
1.052078826 1.956027323 46.21% 53.79% 6000 5 1918
1.326265052 3.032992521 56.27% 43.73% 6 2765
5000
1.275264294 2.807006401 54.57% 45.43% 7 5379
0.688809748 2.136287823 67.76% 32.24% 40008 4531
0.95499143 2.342681007 59.24% 40.76% 3000 9 2075
0.943368671 1.369267811 31.10% 68.90% 10 7061
2000
0.672372911 1.428487188 52.93% 47.07% 11 1226
0.592836175 1000
12 3140
0.718755718 0
1.013363755 1 2 3 4 5 6
0.870359332 tahun 1
1.89153409
1.052078826 TA
1.326265052 100000
1.275264294 90000
0.688809748 80000
0.95499143 70000
0.943368671 60000
0.672372911 50000 f(x) = 191.2092664093x + 4791
0.592836175 40000
0.718755718 30000
1.013363755 20000
0.870359332 10000
0
1.89153409
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22
1.052078826
1.326265052
1.275264294
0.688809748
0.95499143
0.943368671
0.672372911
Demand P02 Total
tahun 2 tahun 3 Bulan ke- tahun 201 tahun 201 tahun 2012 Bulan ke- tahun 201
964 2352 1 1920 453 3652 1 6404
2949 2199 2 1358 3038 2186 2 3520
3466 1070 3 3293 4472 1063 3 5099
2874 1666 4 2524 1678 4322 4 6455
5070 1328 5 5448 6091 6026 5 7366
2912 3125 6 2657 3284 3972 6 5422
6829 4660 7 3805 3802 4899 7 9184
5106 5287 8 6322 1660 4107 8 10853
7503 4692 9 460 2110 4286 9 2535
12000
3035 3543 10 3932 1710 3445 10 10993
1384 1529 11 3588 2849 2160 11 4814
10000
295 3670 12 350 1358 5290 12 3490
8000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
tahun 1 tahun 2 tahun 3 12000
6000
TA 10000
4000
0
0 8000
2000
0
0 ta
6000 0
0 ta
TA
0 ta
f(x) = 191.2092664093x + 47919.5174603175 Linear (TA)
4000
0
0
2000
0
0
0 0
1 4 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34
7000
6000
5000
4000
tahun 2010
tahun 2011
3000
tahun 2012
2000
1000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Demand P01
tahun 201 tahun 2012 Bulan ke- tahun 201 tahun 2011
1417 6004 1 6404 6004
5987 4385 2 3520 4385
7938 2133 3 5099 2133
4552 5988 4 6455 5988
11161 7354 5 7366 7354
6196 7097 6 5422 7097
10631 9559 7 9184 9559
6766 9394 8 10853 9394
9613 8978 9 2535 8978
4745 6988 10 10993 6988
4233 3689 11 4814 3689
1653 8960 12 3490 8960
13 1417
14 5987
15 7938
tahun 2010 16 4552
tahun 2011 17 11161
18 6196
19 10631
20 6766
tahun 2010 21 9613
tahun 2011 22 4745
tahun 2012
23 4233
24 1653
8 9 10 11 12
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics Bulan

Multiple R 0.092022 100000
R Square 0.008468 80000
Total Demand
Adjusted R -0.02069 60000
40000
Standard E 2764.621
20000
Observatio 36 0
0 5 10
ANOVA B
Regression 1 2219366 2219366 0.290374 0.593492
Residual 34 2.6E+08 7643131
Total 35 2.62E+08
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95,0%
Upper 95,0%
Intercept 5989.94 941.0806 6.36496 2.9E-07 4077.434 7902.445 4077.434 7902.445
Bulan ke- 23.90116 44.35475 0.538864 0.593492 -66.2385 114.0409 -66.2385 114.0409
RESIDUAL OUTPUT PROBABILITY OUTPUT
Observation
Predicted Total Demand
Residuals Percentile
Total Demand
1 6013.841 390.1592 1.388889 1417
2 6037.742 -2517.74 4.166667 1653
3 6061.643 -962.643 6.944444 2133
4 6085.544 369.4557 9.722222 2535
5 6109.445 1256.555 12.5 3490
6 6133.347 -711.347 15.27778 3520
7 6157.248 3026.752 18.05556 3689
8 6181.149 4671.851 20.83333 4233
9 6205.05 -3670.05 23.61111 4385
10 6228.951 4764.049 26.38889 4552
11 6252.852 -1438.85 29.16667 4745
12 6276.754 -2786.75 31.94444 4814
13 6300.655 -4883.65 34.72222 5099
14 6324.556 -337.556 37.5 5422
15 6348.457 1589.543 40.27778 5987
16 6372.358 -1820.36 43.05556 5988
17 6396.259 4764.741 45.83333 6004
18 6420.161 -224.161 48.61111 6196
19 6444.062 4186.938 51.38889 6404
20 6467.963 298.0372 54.16667 6455
21 6491.864 3121.136 56.94444 6766
22 6515.765 -1770.77 59.72222 6988
23 6539.666 -2306.67 62.5 7097
24 6563.567 -4910.57 65.27778 7354
25 6587.469 -583.469 68.05556 7366
26 6611.37 -2226.37 70.83333 7938
27 6635.271 -4502.27 73.61111 8960
28 6659.172 -671.172 76.38889 8978
29 6683.073 670.9267 79.16667 9184
30 6706.974 390.0256 81.94444 9394
31 6730.876 2828.124 84.72222 9559
32 6754.777 2639.223 87.5 9613
33 6778.678 2199.322 90.27778 10631
34 6802.579 185.4209 93.05556 10853
35 6826.48 -3137.48 95.83333 10993
36 6850.381 2109.619 98.61111 11161
Bulan ke- Line Fit Plot
100000
80000 Normal Probability Plot
Total Demand
60000 Total Demand

40000 15000 Predicted Total
Demand
Total Demand
20000 10000
0
0 55000
10 15 20 25 30 35 40
0Bulan ke-
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Sample Percentile
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics Bulan ke

Multiple R 0.092022 100000
R Square 0.008468 80000
Total Demand
Adjusted R -0.02069 60000
40000
Standard E 22116.97
20000
Observatio 36 0
0 5 10 15
ANOVA Bulan
Regression 1 1.42E+08 1.42E+08 0.290374 0.593492
Residual 34 1.66E+10 4.89E+08
Total 35 1.68E+10
Coefficients
Lower 95,0%
Upper 95,0%
Intercept 47919.52 7528.644 6.36496 2.9E-07 32619.47 63219.56 32619.47 63219.56
Bulan ke- 191.2093 354.838 0.538864 0.593492 -529.908 912.3268 -529.908 912.3268
Observation
Predicted Total Demand
Residuals Percentile
Total Demand
1 48110.73 3121.273 1.388889 11336
2 48301.94 -20141.9 4.166667 13224
3 48493.15 -7701.15 6.944444 17064
4 48684.35 2955.645 9.722222 20280
5 48875.56 10052.44 12.5 27920
6 49066.77 -5690.77 15.27778 28160
7 49257.98 24214.02 18.05556 29512
8 49449.19 37374.81 20.83333 33864
9 49640.4 -29360.4 23.61111 35080
10 49831.61 38112.39 26.38889 36416
11 50022.82 -11510.8 29.16667 37960
12 50214.03 -22294 31.94444 38512
13 50405.24 -39069.2 34.72222 40792
14 50596.45 -2700.45 37.5 43376
15 50787.66 12716.34 40.27778 47896
16 50978.87 -14562.9 43.05556 47904
17 51170.07 38117.93 45.83333 48032
18 51361.28 -1793.28 48.61111 49568
19 51552.49 33495.51 51.38889 51232
20 51743.7 2384.297 54.16667 51640
21 51934.91 24969.09 56.94444 54128
22 52126.12 -14166.1 59.72222 55904
23 52317.33 -18453.3 62.5 56776
24 52508.54 -39284.5 65.27778 58832
25 52699.75 -4667.75 68.05556 58928
26 52890.96 -17811 70.83333 63504
27 53082.17 -36018.2 73.61111 71680
28 53273.38 -5369.38 76.38889 71824
29 53464.59 5367.414 79.16667 73472
30 53655.8 3120.205 81.94444 75152
31 53847 22625 84.72222 76472
32 54038.21 21113.79 87.5 76904
33 54229.42 17594.58 90.27778 85048
34 54420.63 1483.367 93.05556 86824
35 54611.84 -25099.8 95.83333 87944
36 54803.05 16876.95 98.61111 89288
Bulan ke- Line Fit Plot
100000
Total Demand
60000 Total Demand

40000 100000 Predicted Total
80000 Demand
Total Demand
20000
60000
0
40000
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
20000
Bulan
0 ke-
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Sample Percentile
bulan P01 P02 Total trend reg trendsea3 ma2
1 4484 1920 51,232.00 48,110.73 34,176.19
2 2162 1358 28,160.00 48,301.94 34,898.71
3 1806 3293 40,792.00 48,493.15 38,688.44 39,696.00
4 3931 2524 51,640.00 48,684.35 42,827.19 34,476.00
5 1918 5448 58,928.00 48,875.56 65,903.47 46,216.00
6 2765 2657 43,376.00 49,066.77 47,511.91 55,284.00
7 5379 3805 73,472.00 49,257.98 75,124.63 51,152.00
8 4531 6322 86,824.00 49,449.19 69,139.16 58,424.00
9 2075 460 20,280.00 49,640.40 54,235.53 80,148.00
10 7061 3932 87,944.00 49,831.61 58,706.09 53,552.00
11 1226 3588 38,512.00 50,022.82 33,127.26 54,112.00
12 3140 350 27,920.00 50,214.03 35,988.53 63,228.00
13 964 453 11,336.00 50,405.24 35,806.13 33,216.00
14 2949 3038 47,896.00 50,596.45 36,556.52 19,628.00
15 3466 4472 63,504.00 50,787.66 40,519.03 29,616.00
16 2874 1678 36,416.00 50,978.87 44,845.65 55,700.00
17 5070 6091 89,288.00 51,170.07 68,997.37 49,960.00
18 2912 3284 49,568.00 51,361.28 49,733.71 62,852.00
19 6829 3802 85,048.00 51,552.49 78,624.05 69,428.00
20 5106 1660 54,128.00 51,743.70 72,347.32 67,308.00
21 7503 2110 76,904.00 51,934.91 56,742.44 69,588.00
22 3035 1710 37,960.00 52,126.12 61,409.23 65,516.00
23 1384 2849 33,864.00 52,317.33 34,646.79 57,432.00
24 295 1358 13,224.00 52,508.54 37,633.01 35,912.00
25 2352 3652 48,032.00 52,699.75 37,436.07 23,544.00
26 2199 2186 35,080.00 52,890.96 38,214.33 30,628.00
27 1070 1063 17,064.00 53,082.17 42,349.62 41,556.00
28 1666 4322 47,904.00 53,273.38 46,864.11 26,072.00
29 1328 6026 58,832.00 53,464.59 72,091.28 32,484.00
30 3125 3972 56,776.00 53,655.80 51,955.51 53,368.00
31 4660 4899 76,472.00 53,847.00 82,123.46 57,804.00
32 5287 4107 75,152.00 54,038.21 75,555.47 66,624.00
33 4692 4286 71,824.00 54,229.42 59,249.35 75,812.00
34 3543 3445 55,904.00 54,420.63 64,112.37 73,488.00
35 1529 2160 29,512.00 54,611.84 36,166.31 63,864.00
36 3670 5290 71,680.00 54,803.05 39,277.49 42,708.00
117986 113570
231556 3,121.27 17,055.81
0.5095354903 0.49046451 20,141.94 6,738.71
7,701.15 2,103.56 1,096.00
2,955.65 8,812.81 17,164.00
10,052.44 6,975.47 12,712.00
5,690.77 4,135.91 11,908.00
24,214.02 1,652.63 22,320.00
37,374.81 17,684.84 28,400.00
29,360.40 33,955.53 59,868.00
38,112.39 29,237.91 34,392.00
11,510.82 5,384.74 15,600.00
22,294.03 8,068.53 35,308.00
39,069.24 24,470.13 21,880.00
2,700.45 11,339.48 28,268.00
12,716.34 22,984.97 33,888.00
14,562.87 8,429.65 19,284.00
38,117.93 20,290.63 39,328.00
1,793.28 165.71 13,284.00
33,495.51 6,423.95 15,620.00
2,384.30 18,219.32 13,180.00
24,969.09 20,161.56 7,316.00
14,166.12 23,449.23 27,556.00
18,453.33 782.79 23,568.00
39,284.54 24,409.01 22,688.00
4,667.75 10,595.93 24,488.00
17,810.96 3,134.33 4,452.00
36,018.17 25,285.62 24,492.00
5,369.38 1,039.89 21,832.00
5,367.41 13,259.28 26,348.00
3,120.20 4,820.49 3,408.00
22,625.00 5,651.46 18,668.00
21,113.79 403.47 8,528.00
17,594.58 12,574.65 3,988.00
1,483.37 8,208.37 17,584.00
25,099.84 6,654.31 34,352.00
16,876.95 32,402.51 28,972.00
mad 17,538.61 12,415.64 21,227.65
9742346.8465 290900684.54
405697585.55 45410147.697
59307638.309 4424978.1777 1201216
8735840.1682 77665572.308 294602896
101051473.71 48657204.243 161594944
32384898.006 17105740.396 141800464
586318651.96 2731176.3283 498182400
1396876303.6 312753482.32 806560000
862033138.54 1152977905.2 3584177424
1452554262 854855258.04 1182809664
132498963.05 28995373.102 243360000
497023713.77 65101176.29 1246654864
1526405351.9 598787271.06 478734400
7292415.0262 128583898.14 799079824
161705393.12 528309008.03 1148396544
212077058.06 71059062.484 371872656
1452976207.1 411709478.46 1546691584
3215868.4217 27459.695872 176464656
1121948954.2 41267189.254 243984400
5684873.1928 331943459.46 173712400
623455352.81 406488560.44 53523856
200678993.29 549866455.36 759333136
340525409.78 612758.48525 555450624
1543275071.6 595799884.84 514745344
21787881.852 112273706.4 599662144
317230238.66 9824004.1103 19820304
1297308401.1 639362384.39 599858064
28830208.507 1081361.2182 476636224
28809131.049 175808442.95 694217104
9735676.4176 23237117.162 11614464
511890411.47 31939048.032 348494224
445791959.87 162787.03905 72726784
309569130.95 158121854.36 15904144
2200379.086 67377350.93 309197056
630002057.61 44279881.808 1180059904
284831405.83 1049922346.9 839376784
mse 461,984,796 246,650,652 592,661,779
6.0924290937 33.291323534
71.526761339 23.93006106
18.879057804 5.1568033188 2.6868013336
5.7235582379 17.065854548 33.237800155
17.058845044 11.837278737 21.572087972
13.119635418 9.5350162629 27.452969384
32.956796705 2.2493291308 30.378919861
43.046632738 20.368605039 32.709849811
144.77515216 167.43357172 295.20710059
43.337112112 33.246051913 39.106704266
29.888916158 13.981967162 40.506855006
79.849672841 28.898746403 126.46131805
344.64747639 215.86212227 193.01340861
5.6381476325 23.675221382 59.019542342
20.02447648 36.194528733 53.363567649
39.990294713 23.148214407 52.954745167
42.690983123 22.724918672 44.046232416
3.6178265326 0.334307766 26.799548096
39.384237699 7.5533279226 18.366099144
4.4049239054 33.659687333 24.349689625
32.467866359 26.216531596 9.5131592635
37.318549319 61.773528569 72.592202318
54.492471615 2.3115666043 69.596031184
297.0700231 184.58115827 171.56684815
9.7179986687 22.060144832 50.982678215
50.772401331 8.934796863 12.690992018
211.07693186 148.18106046 143.5302391
11.208619155 2.1707690271 45.574482298
9.1232897298 22.537526547 44.785150938
5.4956399665 8.4903644274 6.0025362829
29.585986088 7.3902398759 24.411549325
28.09477594 0.5368702875 11.347668725
24.4967932 17.50758975 5.5524615727
2.6534192218 14.682975787 31.453921007
85.049612987 22.547821303 116.40010843
23.544850654 45.204387915 40.418526786
mape 53.300615703 36.813174151 58.166229268
err 3,121.27 17,055.81

(20,141.94) (6,738.71)
(7,701.15) 2,103.56 1,096.00
2,955.65 8,812.81 17,164.00
10,052.44 (6,975.47) 12,712.00
(5,690.77) (4,135.91) (11,908.00)
24,214.02 (1,652.63) 22,320.00
37,374.81 17,684.84 28,400.00
(29,360.40) (33,955.53) (59,868.00)
38,112.39 29,237.91 34,392.00
(11,510.82) 5,384.74 (15,600.00)
(22,294.03) (8,068.53) (35,308.00)
(39,069.24) (24,470.13) (21,880.00)
(2,700.45) 11,339.48 28,268.00
12,716.34 22,984.97 33,888.00
(14,562.87) (8,429.65) (19,284.00)
38,117.93 20,290.63 39,328.00
(1,793.28) (165.71) (13,284.00)
33,495.51 6,423.95 15,620.00
2,384.30 (18,219.32) (13,180.00)
24,969.09 20,161.56 7,316.00
(14,166.12) (23,449.23) (27,556.00)
(18,453.33) (782.79) (23,568.00)
(39,284.54) (24,409.01) (22,688.00)
(4,667.75) 10,595.93 24,488.00
(17,810.96) (3,134.33) 4,452.00
(36,018.17) (25,285.62) (24,492.00)
(5,369.38) 1,039.89 21,832.00
5,367.41 (13,259.28) 26,348.00
3,120.20 4,820.49 3,408.00
22,625.00 (5,651.46) 18,668.00
21,113.79 (403.47) 8,528.00
17,594.58 12,574.65 (3,988.00)
1,483.37 (8,208.37) (17,584.00)
(25,099.84) (6,654.31) (34,352.00)
16,876.95 32,402.51 28,972.00
cumer 3,121.27 17,055.81

(17,020.66) 10,317.11
(24,721.81) 12,420.67 1,096.00
(21,766.16) 21,233.48 18,260.00
(11,713.73) 14,258.00 30,972.00
(17,404.50) 10,122.10 19,064.00
6,809.52 8,469.47 41,384.00
44,184.33 26,154.31 69,784.00
14,823.93 (7,801.22) 9,916.00
52,936.32 21,436.69 44,308.00
41,425.50 26,821.42 28,708.00
19,131.47 18,752.89 (6,600.00)
(19,937.77) (5,717.24) (28,480.00)
(22,638.22) 5,622.25 (212.00)
(9,921.87) 28,607.22 33,676.00
(24,484.74) 20,177.56 14,392.00
13,633.19 40,468.19 53,720.00
11,839.90 40,302.48 40,436.00
45,335.41 46,726.43 56,056.00
47,719.70 28,507.12 42,876.00
72,688.79 48,668.68 50,192.00
58,522.67 25,219.45 22,636.00
40,069.34 24,436.66 (932.00)
784.80 27.65 (23,620.00)
(3,882.95) 10,623.58 868.00
(21,693.91) 7,489.25 5,320.00
(57,712.07) (17,796.37) (19,172.00)
(63,081.45) (16,756.48) 2,660.00
(57,714.04) (30,015.76) 29,008.00
(54,593.83) (25,195.27) 32,416.00
(31,968.84) (30,846.73) 51,084.00
(10,855.05) (31,250.20) 59,612.00
6,739.53 (18,675.55) 55,624.00
8,222.89 (26,883.92) 38,040.00
(16,876.95) (33,538.23) 3,688.00
(0.00) (1,135.73) 32,660.00
mad 3,121.27 17,055.81

11,631.60 11,897.26
10,321.45 8,632.69 1,096.00
8,480.00 8,677.72 9,130.00
8,794.49 8,337.27 10,324.00
8,277.20 7,637.04 10,720.00
10,553.89 6,782.13 13,040.00
13,906.50 8,144.97 15,600.00
15,623.60 11,012.81 21,924.00
17,872.48 12,835.32 23,482.50
17,294.15 12,157.99 22,606.67
17,710.81 11,817.20 23,876.80
19,353.76 12,790.50 23,695.27
18,164.24 12,686.86 24,076.33
17,801.05 13,373.40 24,831.08
17,598.66 13,064.42 24,434.86
18,805.68 13,489.49 25,427.73
17,860.54 12,749.28 24,668.75
18,683.44 12,416.37 24,136.47
17,868.48 12,706.51 23,527.78
18,206.60 13,061.52 22,674.53
18,022.95 13,533.69 22,918.60
18,041.66 12,979.30 22,949.52
18,926.78 13,455.54 22,937.64
18,356.42 13,341.15 23,005.04
18,335.44 12,948.58 22,232.00
18,990.35 13,405.51 22,322.40
18,503.89 12,963.88 22,303.54
18,050.91 12,974.07 22,453.33
17,553.22 12,702.28 21,773.14
17,716.82 12,474.83 21,666.07
17,822.98 12,097.60 21,228.13
17,816.06 12,112.06 20,672.00
17,335.68 11,997.25 20,575.50
17,557.52 11,844.59 20,992.97
17,538.61 12,415.64 21,227.65
ts 1.00 1.00
(1.46) 0.87
(2.40) 1.44 1.00
(2.57) 2.45 2.00
(1.33) 1.71 3.00
(2.10) 1.33 1.78
0.65 1.25 3.17
3.18 3.21 4.47
0.95 (0.71) 0.45
2.96 1.67 1.89
2.40 2.21 1.27
1.08 1.59 (0.28)
(1.03) (0.45) (1.20)
(1.25) 0.44 (0.01)
(0.56) 2.14 1.36
(1.39) 1.54 0.59
0.72 3.00 2.11
0.66 3.16 1.64
2.43 3.76 2.32
2.67 2.24 1.82
3.99 3.73 2.21
3.25 1.86 0.99
2.22 1.88 (0.04)
0.04 0.00 (1.03)
(0.21) 0.80 0.04
(1.18) 0.58 0.24
(3.04) (1.33) (0.86)
(3.41) (1.29) 0.12
(3.20) (2.31) 1.29
(3.11) (1.98) 1.49
(1.80) (2.47) 2.36
(0.61) (2.58) 2.81
0.38 (1.54) 2.69
0.47 (2.24) 1.85
(0.96) (2.83) 0.18
(0.00) (0.09) 1.54
min (3.41) (2.83) (1.20)
max 3.99 3.76 4.47
TREND TREND-SEASON MA 2
mad 17,538.61 12,415.64 21,227.65
mse 21,493.83 15,705.12 24,344.65
mape 53.30 36.81 58.17
min ts (3.41) (2.83) (1.20)
max ts 3.99 3.76 4.47
ma3 ma4 ma5 wma2 0.1 0.95 0.99
51,232.00 51,232.00 51,232.00

35,850.67 48,924.80 29,313.60 28,390.72
40,061.33 36,581.33 48,111.52 40,218.08 40,667.99
40,197.33 42,956.00 48,024.00 48,464.37 51,068.90 51,530.28
50,453.33 44,880.00 46,150.40 56,498.67 49,510.73 58,535.05 58,854.02
51,314.67 48,684.00 44,579.20 48,560.00 48,897.26 44,133.95 43,530.78
58,592.00 56,854.00 53,641.60 63,440.00 51,354.73 72,005.10 73,172.59
67,890.67 65,650.00 62,848.00 82,373.33 54,901.66 86,083.05 86,687.49
60,192.00 55,988.00 56,576.00 42,461.33 51,439.49 23,570.15 20,944.07
65,016.00 67,130.00 62,379.20 65,389.33 55,089.94 84,725.31 87,274.00
48,912.00 58,390.00 61,406.40 54,989.33 53,432.15 40,822.67 38,999.62
51,458.67 43,664.00 52,296.00 31,450.67 50,880.93 28,565.13 28,030.80
25,922.67 41,428.00 37,198.40 16,864.00 46,926.44 12,197.46 11,502.95
29,050.67 31,416.00 42,721.60 35,709.33 47,023.40 46,111.07 47,532.07
40,912.00 37,664.00 37,833.60 58,301.33 48,671.46 62,634.35 63,344.28
49,272.00 39,788.00 37,414.40 45,445.33 47,445.91 37,726.92 36,685.28
63,069.33 59,276.00 49,688.00 71,664.00 51,630.12 86,709.95 88,761.97
58,424.00 59,694.00 57,334.40 62,808.00 51,423.91 51,425.10 49,959.94
74,634.67 65,080.00 64,764.80 73,221.33 54,786.32 83,366.85 84,697.12
62,914.67 69,508.00 62,889.60 64,434.67 54,720.49 55,589.94 54,433.69
72,026.67 66,412.00 70,987.20 69,312.00 56,938.84 75,838.30 76,679.30
56,330.67 63,510.00 60,721.60 50,941.33 55,040.95 39,853.91 38,347.19
49,576.00 50,714.00 57,580.80 35,229.33 52,923.26 34,163.50 33,908.83
28,349.33 40,488.00 43,216.00 20,104.00 48,953.33 14,270.97 13,430.85
31,706.67 33,270.00 41,996.80 36,429.33 48,861.20 46,343.95 47,685.99
32,112.00 32,550.00 33,632.00 39,397.33 47,483.08 35,643.20 35,206.06
33,392.00 28,350.00 29,452.80 23,069.33 44,441.17 17,992.96 17,245.42
33,349.33 37,020.00 32,260.80 37,624.00 44,787.45 46,408.45 47,597.41
41,266.67 39,720.00 41,382.40 55,189.33 46,191.91 58,210.82 58,719.65
54,504.00 45,144.00 43,131.20 57,461.33 47,250.32 56,847.74 56,795.44
64,026.67 59,996.00 51,409.60 69,906.67 50,172.49 75,490.79 76,275.23
69,466.67 66,808.00 63,027.20 75,592.00 52,670.44 75,168.94 75,163.23
74,482.67 70,056.00 67,811.20 72,933.33 54,585.79 71,991.25 71,857.39
67,626.67 69,838.00 67,225.60 61,210.67 54,717.61 56,708.36 56,063.53
52,413.33 58,098.00 61,772.80 38,309.33 52,197.05 30,871.82 29,777.52
23,072.00 23,072.00 23,072.00

4,941.33 8,132.80 11,478.40 12,401.28
11,578.67 15,058.67 3,528.48 11,421.92 10,972.01
18,730.67 15,972.00 10,904.00 10,463.63 7,859.10 7,397.72
7,077.33 1,504.00 2,774.40 13,122.67 6,134.73 15,159.05 15,478.02
22,157.33 24,788.00 28,892.80 24,912.00 24,574.74 29,338.05 29,941.22
28,232.00 29,970.00 33,182.40 23,384.00 35,469.27 14,818.90 13,651.41
47,610.67 45,370.00 42,568.00 62,093.33 34,621.66 65,803.05 66,407.49
27,752.00 31,956.00 31,368.00 45,482.67 36,504.51 64,373.85 66,999.93
26,504.00 28,618.00 23,867.20 26,877.33 16,577.94 46,213.31 48,762.00
20,992.00 30,470.00 33,486.40 27,069.33 25,512.15 12,902.67 11,079.62
40,122.67 32,328.00 40,960.00 20,114.67 39,544.93 17,229.13 16,694.80
21,973.33 6,468.00 10,697.60 31,032.00 969.56 35,698.54 36,393.05
34,453.33 32,088.00 20,782.40 27,794.67 16,480.60 17,392.93 15,971.93
4,496.00 1,248.00 1,417.60 21,885.33 12,255.46 26,218.35 26,928.28
40,016.00 49,500.00 51,873.60 43,842.67 41,842.09 51,561.08 52,602.72
13,501.33 9,708.00 120.00 22,096.00 2,062.12 37,141.95 39,193.97
26,624.00 25,354.00 27,713.60 22,240.00 33,624.09 33,622.90 35,088.06
20,506.67 10,952.00 10,636.80 19,093.33 658.32 29,238.85 30,569.12
13,989.33 7,396.00 14,014.40 12,469.33 22,183.51 21,314.06 22,470.31
34,066.67 28,452.00 33,027.20 31,352.00 18,978.84 37,878.30 38,719.30
22,466.67 29,646.00 26,857.60 17,077.33 21,176.95 5,989.91 4,483.19
36,352.00 37,490.00 44,356.80 22,005.33 39,699.26 20,939.50 20,684.83
19,682.67 7,544.00 4,816.00 27,928.00 921.33 33,761.03 34,601.15
3,373.33 1,810.00 6,916.80 1,349.33 13,781.20 11,263.95 12,605.99
15,048.00 15,486.00 16,568.00 22,333.33 30,419.08 18,579.20 18,142.06
14,512.00 19,554.00 18,451.20 24,834.67 3,462.83 29,911.04 30,658.58
25,482.67 21,812.00 26,571.20 21,208.00 14,044.55 12,423.55 11,234.59
15,509.33 17,056.00 15,393.60 1,586.67 10,584.09 1,434.82 1,943.65
21,968.00 31,328.00 33,340.80 19,010.67 29,221.68 19,624.26 19,676.56
11,125.33 15,156.00 23,742.40 5,245.33 24,979.51 338.79 1,123.23
2,357.33 5,016.00 8,796.80 3,768.00 19,153.56 3,344.94 3,339.23
18,578.67 14,152.00 11,907.20 17,029.33 1,318.21 16,087.25 15,953.39
38,114.67 40,326.00 37,713.60 31,698.67 25,205.61 27,196.36 26,551.53
19,266.67 13,582.00 9,907.20 33,370.67 19,482.95 40,808.18 41,902.48
21,946.10 21,315.63 22,345.86 22,182.67 19,046.92 24,326.83 24,676.99
532317184 532317184 532317184

24416775.111 66142435.84 131753666.56 153791745.64
134065521.78 226763441.78 12450171.11 130460256.49 120385064.88
350837873.78 255104784 118897216 109487594.63 61765389.937 54726263.092
50088647.111 2262016 7697295.36 172204380.44 37634926.896 229796651.38 239569189.76
490947420.44 614444944 834793891.84 620607744 603917940.43 860721045.19 896476641.44
797045824 898200900 1101071670 546811456 1258068953 219599868 186361055
2266775580 2058436900 1812034624 3855582044 1198659275 4330042032 4409954181
770173504 1021185936 983951424 2068672967 1332579021 4143992211 4488989969
702462016 818989924 569643235.84 722391047.11 274828221.51 2135669803 2377732717
440664064 928420900 1121338985 732748807.11 650869769.24 166478774 122757979.51
1609828380 1045099584 1677721600 404599815.11 1563801845 296843033.2 278716220.16
482827377.78 41835024 114438645.76 962985024 940044.55876 1274385996 1324454237
1187032178 1029639744 431908149.76 772543495.11 271610277.08 302513915.43 255102564.55
20214016 1557504 2009589.76 478967815.11 150196232.41 687402067.68 725132301.18
1601280256 2450250000 2690870377 1922179420 1750760368 2658545210 2767045856
182286001.78 94245264 14400 488233216 4252340.4306 1379524144 1536167506
708837376 642825316 768043624.96 494617600 1130579540 1130499586 1231171974
420523377.78 119946304 113141514.24 364555377.78 433381.93306 854910633.8 934471060.73
195701447.11 54700816 196403407.36 155484273.78 492108304.41 454289036.74 504914777.84
1160537778 809516304 1090795940 982947904 360196260.57 1434765394 1499183953
504751111.11 878885316 721330677.76 291635313.78 448463357.79 35879079.992 20099019.198
1321467904 1405500100 1967525706 484234695.11 1576031095 438462482 427862272
387407367.11 56911936 23193856 779973184 848853.20995 1139806823 1197239698
11379377.778 3276100 47842122.24 1820700.4444 189921447.85 126876541.2 158910945.64
226442304 239816196 274498624 498777777.78 925320377.2 345186577.4 329134336.86
210598144 382358916 340446781.44 616760668.44 11991182.967 894670321.55 939948490.9
649366300.44 475763344 706028669.44 449779264 197249268.89 154344644.46 126215918
240539420.44 290907136 236962920.96 2517511.1111 112022988.42 2058715.3186 3777791.4239
482593024 981443584 1111608945 361405447.11 853906708.28 385111536.59 387167149.54
123773041.78 229704336 563701557.76 27513521.778 623976116.89 114776.66931 1261655.4396
5557020.4444 25160256 77383690.24 14197824 366858958.35 11188619.274 11150472.645
345166855.11 200279104 141781411.84 289998193.78 1737667.8358 258799515 254510726.63
1452727815 1626186276 1422315625 1004805468 635322994 739642125 704983953.68
371204444.44 184470724 98152611.84 1113601394 379585227.66 1665307709 1755818221
603,184,932 620,853,922 685,440,373 648,624,435 517,859,152 846,106,439 884,500,088
81.931818182 81.931818182 81.931818182

12.113486305 19.937242597 28.138850755 30.401255148
22.421895172 29.160857217 6.8328427576 22.118357862 21.247120062
31.785681962 27.104262829 18.503937008 17.75663861 13.336777084 12.553828618
16.316242469 3.4673552195 6.3961637772 30.253289069 14.14314644 34.94800166 35.683379746
30.157520325 33.738022648 39.324912892 33.906794425 33.447765026 39.930922991 40.751877956
32.516354925 34.518105593 38.218004238 26.932645352 40.851916208 17.067748995 15.72308601
234.76660092 223.71794872 209.90138067 306.18014464 170.71823987 324.4726572 327.45308618
31.55644501 36.336759756 35.668152461 51.717759787 41.508808855 73.198680133 76.18475978
68.820108018 74.30930619 61.973410885 69.789502839 43.046177364 119.99716358 126.61508296
75.186246418 109.13323782 119.93696275 96.953199618 91.375893423 46.212984892 39.683452749
353.94024935 285.17995766 361.32674665 177.44060221 348.84381174 151.98600273 147.27237297
45.877178331 13.504259228 22.335059295 64.790379155 2.0243004648 74.533454436 75.983489306
54.253800286 50.529100529 32.726127488 43.768371546 25.952070823 27.38871121 25.15106217
12.346221441 3.4270650264 3.8927943761 60.098125366 33.654045612 71.996797127 73.946289254
44.816772691 55.438580772 58.096944718 49.102529642 46.861939426 57.746933875 58.91353507
27.238003013 19.585216269 0.242091672 44.577146546 4.1601847411 74.931298185 79.071120134
31.304675007 29.811400621 32.585833882 26.149938858 39.53542901 39.534031025 41.256772966
37.885505961 20.233520544 19.651197162 35.274411272 1.2162235843 54.017984896 56.475612247
18.190644613 9.6171850619 18.223239363 16.214154444 28.845722262 27.71514779 29.218647672
89.743589744 74.952581665 87.005268704 82.592202318 49.996936713 99.784765904 102.0002553
66.343806599 87.544294826 79.310181904 50.429167651 62.535298425 17.688149235 13.238816942
274.89413188 283.49969752 335.42649728 166.40451704 300.20612608 158.34464415 156.41887424
40.978236731 15.706195869 10.026648901 58.144570286 1.9181635193 70.28861012 72.03770753
9.6161155454 5.1596351197 19.717217788 3.8464462182 39.285060067 32.109317957 35.934972871
88.185654008 90.752461322 97.093295827 130.87982497 178.26464583 108.8794974 106.31774429
30.293921176 40.819138277 38.517034068 51.842574037 7.2286839348 62.439546026 64.0000405
43.314296075 37.075061191 45.164536307 36.048409029 23.872290381 21.116997563 19.096046019
27.31670659 30.040862336 27.112864591 2.7946080503 18.641840371 2.5271635897 3.423372802
28.726854273 40.966628308 43.598702793 24.859643617 38.212263522 25.662018621 25.730415654
14.80377546 20.167127954 31.592505855 6.9796323895 33.238654918 0.4508024484 1.4946167306
3.2820969778 6.9837380263 12.247716641 5.2461572733 26.667357081 4.6571332045 4.6491873798
33.23316161 25.314825415 21.299370349 30.461743942 2.3579820672 28.77655797 28.537121357
129.14972441 136.6427216 127.79072919 107.40941538 85.408018212 92.153572609 89.968602342
26.878720238 18.948102679 13.821428571 46.555059524 27.180450752 56.931057314 58.457707395
62.913361734 60.757011144 66.136226486 58.747683736 56.790228253 61.800404535 62.194946587
(23,072.00) (23,072.00) (23,072.00)

4,941.33 (8,132.80) 11,478.40 12,401.28
11,578.67 15,058.67 3,528.48 11,421.92 10,972.01
18,730.67 15,972.00 10,904.00 10,463.63 7,859.10 7,397.72
(7,077.33) (1,504.00) (2,774.40) (13,122.67) (6,134.73) (15,159.05) (15,478.02)
22,157.33 24,788.00 28,892.80 24,912.00 24,574.74 29,338.05 29,941.22
28,232.00 29,970.00 33,182.40 23,384.00 35,469.27 14,818.90 13,651.41
(47,610.67) (45,370.00) (42,568.00) (62,093.33) (34,621.66) (65,803.05) (66,407.49)
27,752.00 31,956.00 31,368.00 45,482.67 36,504.51 64,373.85 66,999.93
(26,504.00) (28,618.00) (23,867.20) (26,877.33) (16,577.94) (46,213.31) (48,762.00)
(20,992.00) (30,470.00) (33,486.40) (27,069.33) (25,512.15) (12,902.67) (11,079.62)
(40,122.67) (32,328.00) (40,960.00) (20,114.67) (39,544.93) (17,229.13) (16,694.80)
21,973.33 6,468.00 10,697.60 31,032.00 969.56 35,698.54 36,393.05
34,453.33 32,088.00 20,782.40 27,794.67 16,480.60 17,392.93 15,971.93
(4,496.00) (1,248.00) (1,417.60) (21,885.33) (12,255.46) (26,218.35) (26,928.28)
40,016.00 49,500.00 51,873.60 43,842.67 41,842.09 51,561.08 52,602.72
(13,501.33) (9,708.00) (120.00) (22,096.00) (2,062.12) (37,141.95) (39,193.97)
26,624.00 25,354.00 27,713.60 22,240.00 33,624.09 33,622.90 35,088.06
(20,506.67) (10,952.00) (10,636.80) (19,093.33) (658.32) (29,238.85) (30,569.12)
13,989.33 7,396.00 14,014.40 12,469.33 22,183.51 21,314.06 22,470.31
(34,066.67) (28,452.00) (33,027.20) (31,352.00) (18,978.84) (37,878.30) (38,719.30)
(22,466.67) (29,646.00) (26,857.60) (17,077.33) (21,176.95) (5,989.91) (4,483.19)
(36,352.00) (37,490.00) (44,356.80) (22,005.33) (39,699.26) (20,939.50) (20,684.83)
19,682.67 7,544.00 4,816.00 27,928.00 (921.33) 33,761.03 34,601.15
3,373.33 1,810.00 (6,916.80) (1,349.33) (13,781.20) (11,263.95) (12,605.99)
(15,048.00) (15,486.00) (16,568.00) (22,333.33) (30,419.08) (18,579.20) (18,142.06)
14,512.00 19,554.00 18,451.20 24,834.67 3,462.83 29,911.04 30,658.58
25,482.67 21,812.00 26,571.20 21,208.00 14,044.55 12,423.55 11,234.59
15,509.33 17,056.00 15,393.60 1,586.67 10,584.09 (1,434.82) (1,943.65)
21,968.00 31,328.00 33,340.80 19,010.67 29,221.68 19,624.26 19,676.56
11,125.33 15,156.00 23,742.40 5,245.33 24,979.51 (338.79) (1,123.23)
2,357.33 5,016.00 8,796.80 (3,768.00) 19,153.56 (3,344.94) (3,339.23)
(18,578.67) (14,152.00) (11,907.20) (17,029.33) 1,318.21 (16,087.25) (15,953.39)
(38,114.67) (40,326.00) (37,713.60) (31,698.67) (25,205.61) (27,196.36) (26,551.53)
19,266.67 13,582.00 9,907.20 33,370.67 19,482.95 40,808.18 41,902.48
(23,072.00) (23,072.00) (23,072.00)

4,941.33 (31,204.80) (11,593.60) (10,670.72)
11,578.67 20,000.00 (27,676.32) (171.68) 301.29
30,309.33 15,972.00 30,904.00 (17,212.69) 7,687.42 7,699.01
23,232.00 14,468.00 (2,774.40) 17,781.33 (23,347.42) (7,471.63) (7,779.01)
45,389.33 39,256.00 26,118.40 42,693.33 1,227.32 21,866.42 22,162.21
73,621.33 69,226.00 59,300.80 66,077.33 36,696.59 36,685.32 35,813.62
26,010.67 23,856.00 16,732.80 3,984.00 2,074.93 (29,117.73) (30,593.86)
53,762.67 55,812.00 48,100.80 49,466.67 38,579.44 35,256.11 36,406.06
27,258.67 27,194.00 24,233.60 22,589.33 22,001.49 (10,957.19) (12,355.94)
6,266.67 (3,276.00) (9,252.80) (4,480.00) (3,510.66) (23,859.86) (23,435.56)
(33,856.00) (35,604.00) (50,212.80) (24,594.67) (43,055.59) (41,088.99) (40,130.36)
(11,882.67) (29,136.00) (39,515.20) 6,437.33 (42,086.03) (5,390.45) (3,737.30)
22,570.67 2,952.00 (18,732.80) 34,232.00 (25,605.43) 12,002.48 12,234.63
18,074.67 1,704.00 (20,150.40) 12,346.67 (37,860.88) (14,215.88) (14,693.65)
58,090.67 51,204.00 31,723.20 56,189.33 3,981.20 37,345.21 37,909.06
44,589.33 41,496.00 31,603.20 34,093.33 1,919.08 203.26 (1,284.91)
71,213.33 66,850.00 59,316.80 56,333.33 35,543.18 33,826.16 33,803.15
50,706.67 55,898.00 48,680.00 37,240.00 34,884.86 4,587.31 3,234.03
64,696.00 63,294.00 62,694.40 49,709.33 57,068.37 25,901.37 25,704.34
30,629.33 34,842.00 29,667.20 18,357.33 38,089.53 (11,976.93) (13,014.96)
8,162.67 5,196.00 2,809.60 1,280.00 16,912.58 (17,966.85) (17,498.15)
(28,189.33) (32,294.00) (41,547.20) (20,725.33) (22,786.68) (38,906.34) (38,182.98)
(8,506.67) (24,750.00) (36,731.20) 7,202.67 (23,708.01) (5,145.32) (3,581.83)
(5,133.33) (22,940.00) (43,648.00) 5,853.33 (37,489.21) (16,409.27) (16,187.82)
(20,181.33) (38,426.00) (60,216.00) (16,480.00) (67,908.29) (34,988.46) (34,329.88)
(5,669.33) (18,872.00) (41,764.80) 8,354.67 (64,445.46) (5,077.42) (3,671.30)
19,813.33 2,940.00 (15,193.60) 29,562.67 (50,400.91) 7,346.13 7,563.29
35,322.67 19,996.00 200.00 31,149.33 (39,816.82) 5,911.31 5,619.63
57,290.67 51,324.00 33,540.80 50,160.00 (10,595.14) 25,535.57 25,296.20
68,416.00 66,480.00 57,283.20 55,405.33 14,384.37 25,196.78 24,172.96
70,773.33 71,496.00 66,080.00 51,637.33 33,537.94 21,851.84 20,833.73
52,194.67 57,344.00 54,172.80 34,608.00 34,856.14 5,764.59 4,880.34
14,080.00 17,018.00 16,459.20 2,909.33 9,650.53 (21,431.77) (21,671.20)
33,346.67 30,600.00 26,366.40 36,280.00 29,133.48 19,376.41 20,231.29
23,072.00 23,072.00 23,072.00

4,941.33 15,602.40 17,275.20 17,736.64
11,578.67 10,000.00 11,577.76 15,324.11 15,481.76
15,154.67 15,972.00 10,301.33 11,299.23 13,457.85 13,460.75
12,462.22 8,738.00 2,774.40 11,006.67 10,266.33 13,798.09 13,864.21
14,886.00 14,088.00 15,833.60 13,787.73 12,651.06 16,388.08 16,543.71
17,555.20 18,058.50 21,616.53 15,387.11 15,910.81 16,163.92 16,130.52
22,564.44 23,520.80 26,854.40 22,059.43 18,249.66 22,368.81 22,415.14
23,305.52 24,926.67 27,757.12 24,987.33 20,277.98 27,036.03 27,369.01
23,705.33 25,454.00 27,108.80 25,197.33 19,907.98 28,953.76 29,508.31
23,403.85 26,081.00 28,019.89 25,384.53 20,417.45 27,494.57 27,832.97
25,075.73 26,775.11 29,637.40 24,905.45 22,011.40 26,639.12 26,904.79
24,793.70 24,744.40 27,532.98 25,416.00 20,392.80 27,336.00 27,634.66
25,598.67 25,412.00 26,857.92 25,598.97 20,113.36 26,625.78 26,801.61
23,975.38 23,398.33 24,545.16 25,333.71 19,589.50 26,598.62 26,810.05
25,121.14 25,406.15 26,822.53 26,567.64 20,980.28 28,158.77 28,422.09
24,346.49 24,284.86 24,768.49 26,288.17 19,867.45 28,687.19 29,055.73
24,488.83 24,356.13 24,978.86 26,050.04 20,631.71 28,961.40 29,390.86
24,254.59 23,518.38 24,022.72 25,663.56 19,580.48 28,976.00 29,452.88
23,684.30 22,570.00 23,397.20 24,969.12 19,710.63 28,592.90 29,103.75
24,230.74 22,896.78 23,963.67 25,288.27 19,675.78 29,035.07 29,561.63
24,142.53 23,252.00 24,124.44 24,897.27 19,744.02 27,987.56 28,421.70
24,723.94 23,963.90 25,189.31 24,765.82 20,611.64 27,681.12 28,085.32
24,494.79 23,182.00 24,170.64 24,903.30 19,791.21 27,934.45 28,356.81
23,576.46 22,210.55 23,349.03 23,921.89 19,550.81 27,267.63 27,726.78
23,221.11 21,918.17 23,040.80 23,858.35 19,968.82 26,933.46 27,358.13
22,872.75 21,819.67 22,841.25 23,895.90 19,357.48 27,043.74 27,480.37
22,973.13 21,819.36 22,996.67 23,796.35 19,167.74 26,521.59 26,900.17
22,696.69 21,636.15 22,692.54 23,003.14 18,871.75 25,656.53 26,039.60
22,670.67 21,995.11 23,102.09 22,865.47 19,216.75 25,455.45 25,827.49
22,272.55 21,750.86 23,125.81 22,278.13 19,402.64 24,645.24 25,030.58
21,608.71 21,173.79 22,614.06 21,681.03 19,394.86 23,979.61 24,352.73
21,510.97 20,939.73 22,244.86 21,535.67 18,847.08 23,740.44 24,098.20
22,029.83 21,565.10 22,760.48 21,843.64 19,034.10 23,842.09 24,170.36
21,946.10 21,315.63 22,345.86 22,182.67 19,046.92 24,326.83 24,676.99
(1.00) (1.00) (1.00)

1.00 (2.00) (0.67) (0.60)
1.00 2.00 (2.39) (0.01) 0.02
2.00 1.00 3.00 (1.52) 0.57 0.57
1.86 1.66 (1.00) 1.62 (2.27) (0.54) (0.56)
3.05 2.79 1.65 3.10 0.10 1.33 1.34
4.19 3.83 2.74 4.29 2.31 2.27 2.22
1.15 1.01 0.62 0.18 0.11 (1.30) (1.36)
2.31 2.24 1.73 1.98 1.90 1.30 1.33
1.15 1.07 0.89 0.90 1.11 (0.38) (0.42)
0.27 (0.13) (0.33) (0.18) (0.17) (0.87) (0.84)
(1.35) (1.33) (1.69) (0.99) (1.96) (1.54) (1.49)
(0.48) (1.18) (1.44) 0.25 (2.06) (0.20) (0.14)
0.88 0.12 (0.70) 1.34 (1.27) 0.45 0.46
0.75 0.07 (0.82) 0.49 (1.93) (0.53) (0.55)
2.31 2.02 1.18 2.11 0.19 1.33 1.33
1.83 1.71 1.28 1.30 0.10 0.01 (0.04)
2.91 2.74 2.37 2.16 1.72 1.17 1.15
2.09 2.38 2.03 1.45 1.78 0.16 0.11
2.73 2.80 2.68 1.99 2.90 0.91 0.88
1.26 1.52 1.24 0.73 1.94 (0.41) (0.44)
0.34 0.22 0.12 0.05 0.86 (0.64) (0.62)
(1.14) (1.35) (1.65) (0.84) (1.11) (1.41) (1.36)
(0.35) (1.07) (1.52) 0.29 (1.20) (0.18) (0.13)
(0.22) (1.03) (1.87) 0.24 (1.92) (0.60) (0.58)
(0.87) (1.75) (2.61) (0.69) (3.40) (1.30) (1.25)
(0.25) (0.86) (1.83) 0.35 (3.33) (0.19) (0.13)
0.86 0.13 (0.66) 1.24 (2.63) 0.28 0.28
1.56 0.92 0.01 1.35 (2.11) 0.23 0.22
2.53 2.33 1.45 2.19 (0.55) 1.00 0.98
3.07 3.06 2.48 2.49 0.74 1.02 0.97
3.28 3.38 2.92 2.38 1.73 0.91 0.86
2.43 2.74 2.44 1.61 1.85 0.24 0.20
0.64 0.79 0.72 0.13 0.51 (0.90) (0.90)
1.52 1.44 1.18 1.64 1.53 0.80 0.82
(1.35) (1.75) (2.61) (0.99) (3.40) (1.54) (1.49)
4.19 3.83 2.92 4.29 2.90 2.27 2.22
MA 3 MA 4 MA 5 WMA2 ES 0,3 ES 0,95 ES 0,99

21,946.10 21,315.63 22,345.86 22,182.67 19,046.92 24,326.83 24,676.99
24,559.82 24,916.94 26,180.92 25,468.11 22,756.52 29,087.91 29,740.55
62.91 60.76 66.14 58.75 56.79 61.80 62.19
(1.35) (1.75) (2.61) (0.99) (3.40) (1.54) (1.49)
4.19 3.83 2.92 4.29 2.90 2.27 2.22
100,000.00
90,000.00
80,000.00
70,000.00
60,000.00
50,000.00
40,000.00
40,000.00
30,000.00
20,000.00
10,000.00
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 3
12415.6436317
246650651.936
36.8131741507
Bulan ke-
Metode MAD MSE MAPE min TS max TS 1
Trend 17,538.61 461,984,795.73 53.30 -3.41 3.99 2
Trend-Season 12,415.64 246,650,651.94 36.81 -2.83 3.76 3
MA 4 21,315.63 620,853,921.50 60.76 -1.75 3.83 4
WMA 2 22,182.67 648,624,434.82 58.75 -0.99 4.29 5
ES 0,3 19,046.92 517,859,152.32 56.79 -3.40 2.90 6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Total
trend reg
trendsea3
ma2
wma2
0.1
0.95
0.99
2 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36
Indeks Bulan ke- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
0.710 Indeks 0.710 0.723 0.798 0.880 1.348 0.968 1.525 1.398 1.093 1.178 0.662 0.717
0.723
0.798
0.880
1.348
0.968
1.525
1.398
1.093
1.178
0.662
0.717
y = a + bx
a= 47,919.52
b= 191.21
Bulan ke- Trend Indeks seasonal Peramalan proporsi P01 P01 proporsi P02 P02
37 54,994.26 71.04% 39,066.01 57.50% 22,461.50 42.50% 16,604.51
38 55,185.47 72.25% 39,872.14 50.81% 20,258.51 49.19% 19,613.62
39 55,376.68 79.78% 44,180.21 38.24% 16,893.97 61.76% 27,286.23
40 55,567.89 87.97% 48,882.58 49.39% 24,143.66 50.61% 24,738.92
41 55,759.10 134.84% 75,185.18 30.22% 22,722.03 69.78% 52,463.15
42 55,950.31 96.83% 54,177.31 46.21% 25,037.23 53.79% 29,140.09
43 56,141.52 152.51% 85,622.88 56.27% 48,181.76 43.73% 37,441.12
44 56,332.73 139.82% 78,763.62 54.57% 42,980.15 45.43% 35,783.47
45 56,523.93 109.26% 61,756.26 67.76% 41,844.00 32.24% 19,912.26
46 56,715.14 117.81% 66,815.51 59.24% 39,578.24 40.76% 27,237.27
47 56,906.35 66.22% 37,685.84 31.10% 11,721.86 68.90% 25,963.98
48 57,097.56 71.67% 40,921.98 52.93% 21,660.46 47.07% 19,261.52
Famili Item Iij Dij qij ssij Qij Kij
A P01 5080 22461.50047367 -17381.5005 67362.78852 267.4359565 0.384615
P02 4628 16604.5118146 -11976.5118 57346.23173 265.821553 0.384615
inv awal permint jan kebutuhan safety stock konversi
des 5080
4628
b setup = 2572.5
awal 0.5785
P02 P01 52853.5209764 51942.8
16604.51181 22461.50047 26050.02678 per kg 43434.58
19613.62303 20258.51448 po1 17366.68452 per output 41697.2
27286.2321 16893.97374 25892.77322 45172
24738.91556 24143.66029 17261.84881 41697.2
52463.14811 22722.03251 77933.41
29140.08503 25037.22669 74936
37441.12006 48181.76275 77933.41
35783.47192 42980.15004 62946.21
19912.25747 41844.00147 53953
27237.27188 39578.23824 0.0288636603 56111.14
25963.97709 11721.86004 337483.3818 53953
19261.51603 21660.46109 335446.1301 43162.41
sum 335446.1301 337483.3818 672929.5118934 2067239461
ave 27953.84417 28123.61515
stdev 10032.98858 11785.43154 17287.11
Famili Item Permintaan Standar Deviasi Biaya Setup Biaya Safety stock Kij
I j Tij σij Si Unit ssij
Cij
A 1 337483.3818 11785.43154122 321.5625 52853.52098 67362.78852 0.384615
2 335446.1301 10032.98858323 321.5625 52853.52098 57346.23173 0.384615
Qij x Kij Qadj Qadj* Qadj x Kij It
102.8599832709 56635.89634 56635.8963 21783.03706 39254.39587
102.239058836 54042.24784 54042.2478 20785.47994 42065.73603
205.0990421069 42568.517
3%
Volume Produksi
Optimal
Qij*
267.4359565043 7.32487E+13 1024142956 71521.99083 267.4359565
265.8215529736 7.23671E+13 1024142956 70661.09803 265.821553
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics bulan

Multiple R 0.042801 8000
R Square 0.001832 6000
Adjusted R -0.02753 4000
P01
Standard E 1823.646 2000
Observatio 36 0
0 5 10 15
ANOVA bul
Regression 1 207521 207521 0.062399 0.804246
Residual 34 1.13E+08 3325685
Total 35 1.13E+08
Coefficients
Lower 95,0%
Upper 95,0%
Intercept 3412.598 620.7714 5.497351 3.88E-06 2151.039 4674.158 2151.039 4674.158
bulan -7.30862 29.25803 -0.2498 0.804246 -66.7681 52.15085 -66.7681 52.15085
Observation
Predicted P01Residuals Percentile P01
1 3405.29 1078.71 1.388889 295
2 3397.981 -1235.98 4.166667 964
3 3390.673 -1584.67 6.944444 1070
4 3383.364 547.6361 9.722222 1226
5 3376.055 -1458.06 12.5 1328
6 3368.747 -603.747 15.27778 1384
7 3361.438 2017.562 18.05556 1529
8 3354.129 1176.871 20.83333 1666
9 3346.821 -1271.82 23.61111 1806
10 3339.512 3721.488 26.38889 1918
11 3332.204 -2106.2 29.16667 2075
12 3324.895 -184.895 31.94444 2162
13 3317.586 -2353.59 34.72222 2199
14 3310.278 -361.278 37.5 2352
15 3302.969 163.0309 40.27778 2765
16 3295.66 -421.66 43.05556 2874
17 3288.352 1781.648 45.83333 2912
18 3281.043 -369.043 48.61111 2949
19 3273.735 3555.265 51.38889 3035
20 3266.426 1839.574 54.16667 3125
21 3259.117 4243.883 56.94444 3140
22 3251.809 -216.809 59.72222 3466
23 3244.5 -1860.5 62.5 3543
24 3237.191 -2942.19 65.27778 3670
25 3229.883 -877.883 68.05556 3931
26 3222.574 -1023.57 70.83333 4484
27 3215.266 -2145.27 73.61111 4531
28 3207.957 -1541.96 76.38889 4660
29 3200.648 -1872.65 79.16667 4692
30 3193.34 -68.3397 81.94444 5070
31 3186.031 1473.969 84.72222 5106
32 3178.722 2108.278 87.5 5287
33 3171.414 1520.586 90.27778 5379
34 3164.105 378.8948 93.05556 6829
35 3156.797 -1627.8 95.83333 7061
36 3149.488 520.512 98.61111 7503
bulan Line Fit Plot
8000
6000
4000 P01
P01
Predicted P01
2000
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
bulan
Normal Probability Plot

8000
6000
4000
P01
2000
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Sample Percentile
bulan P01 P02 Total trend reg trendsea3 ma2 ma3
1 4484 1920 4484 3,405.29 2,730.87
2 2162 1358 2162 3,397.98 2,522.62
3 1806 3293 1806 3,390.67 2,127.35 3,323.00
4 3931 2524 3931 3,383.36 2,873.89 1,984.00 2,817.33
5 1918 5448 1918 3,376.06 2,765.77 2,868.50 2,633.00
6 2765 2657 2765 3,368.75 3,045.17 2,924.50 2,551.67
7 5379 3805 5379 3,361.44 5,737.06 2,341.50 2,871.33
8 4531 6322 4531 3,354.13 5,137.66 4,072.00 3,354.00
9 2075 460 2075 3,346.82 4,844.45 4,955.00 4,225.00
10 7061 3932 7061 3,339.51 4,634.21 3,303.00 3,995.00
11 1226 3588 1226 3,332.20 1,419.18 4,568.00 4,555.67
12 3140 350 3140 3,324.89 2,514.00 4,143.50 3,454.00
13 964 453 964 3,317.59 2,660.54 2,183.00 3,809.00
14 2949 3038 2949 3,310.28 2,457.51 2,052.00 1,776.67
15 3466 4472 3466 3,302.97 2,072.33 1,956.50 2,351.00
16 2874 1678 2874 3,295.66 2,799.39 3,207.50 2,459.67
17 5070 6091 5070 3,288.35 2,693.92 3,170.00 3,096.33
18 2912 3284 2912 3,281.04 2,965.89 3,972.00 3,803.33
19 6829 3802 6829 3,273.73 5,587.37 3,991.00 3,618.67
20 5106 1660 5106 3,266.43 5,003.32 4,870.50 4,937.00
21 7503 2110 7503 3,259.12 4,717.50 5,967.50 4,949.00
22 3035 1710 3035 3,251.81 4,512.50 6,304.50 6,479.33
23 1384 2849 1384 3,244.50 1,381.83 5,269.00 5,214.67
24 295 1358 295 3,237.19 2,447.69 2,209.50 3,974.00
25 2352 3652 2352 3,229.88 2,590.20 839.50 1,571.33
26 2199 2186 2199 3,222.57 2,392.40 1,323.50 1,343.67
27 1070 1063 1070 3,215.27 2,017.30 2,275.50 1,615.33
28 1666 4322 1666 3,207.96 2,724.89 1,634.50 1,873.67
29 1328 6026 1328 3,200.65 2,622.07 1,368.00 1,645.00
30 3125 3972 3125 3,193.34 2,886.61 1,497.00 1,354.67
31 4660 4899 4660 3,186.03 5,437.69 2,226.50 2,039.67
32 5287 4107 5287 3,178.72 4,868.98 3,892.50 3,037.67
33 4692 4286 4692 3,171.41 4,590.55 4,973.50 4,357.33
34 3543 3445 3543 3,164.11 4,390.80 4,989.50 4,879.67
35 1529 2160 1529 3,156.80 1,344.48 4,117.50 4,507.33
36 3670 5290 3670 3,149.49 2,381.37 2,536.00 3,254.67
117986 113570
231556 1,078.71 1,753.13
0.50953549 0.49046451 1,235.98 360.62
1,584.67 321.35 1,517.00
547.64 1,057.11 1,947.00 1,113.67
1,458.06 847.77 950.50 715.00
603.75 280.17 159.50 213.33
2,017.56 358.06 3,037.50 2,507.67
1,176.87 606.66 459.00 1,177.00
1,271.82 2,769.45 2,880.00 2,150.00
3,721.49 2,426.79 3,758.00 3,066.00
2,106.20 193.18 3,342.00 3,329.67
184.89 626.00 1,003.50 314.00
2,353.59 1,696.54 1,219.00 2,845.00
361.28 491.49 897.00 1,172.33
163.03 1,393.67 1,509.50 1,115.00
421.66 74.61 333.50 414.33
1,781.65 2,376.08 1,900.00 1,973.67
369.04 53.89 1,060.00 891.33
3,555.27 1,241.63 2,838.00 3,210.33
1,839.57 102.68 235.50 169.00
4,243.88 2,785.50 1,535.50 2,554.00
216.81 1,477.50 3,269.50 3,444.33
1,860.50 2.17 3,885.00 3,830.67
2,942.19 2,152.69 1,914.50 3,679.00
877.88 238.20 1,512.50 780.67
1,023.57 193.40 875.50 855.33
2,145.27 947.30 1,205.50 545.33
1,541.96 1,058.89 31.50 207.67
1,872.65 1,294.07 40.00 317.00
68.34 238.39 1,628.00 1,770.33
1,473.97 777.69 2,433.50 2,620.33
2,108.28 418.02 1,394.50 2,249.33
1,520.59 101.45 281.50 334.67
378.89 847.80 1,446.50 1,336.67
1,627.80 184.52 2,588.50 2,978.33
520.51 1,288.63 1,134.00 415.33
mad 1,451.55 917.70 1,594.78 1,645.34
1163615.7176 3073455.9984
1527649.4449 130047.69609
2511187.0716 103267.44206 2301289
299905.27495 1117486.9155 3790809 1240253.4444
2125925.2525 718719.28705 903450.25 511225
364510.04787 78497.186511 25440.25 45511.111111
4070556.2127 128206.00434 9226406.25 6288392.1111
1385024.3399 368037.90952 210681 1385329
1617528.1639 7669851.8487 8294400 4622500
13849471.568 5889327.8952 14122564 9400356
4436093.4391 37319.529258 11168964 11086680.111
34186.138022 391875.33302 1007012.25 98596
5539368.5416 2878243.555 1485961 8094025
130521.57072 241561.2056 804609 1374365.4444
26579.08444 1942326.6412 2278590.25 1243225
177797.53186 5566.5589436 111222.25 171672.11111
3174270.2257 5645738.9377 3610000 3895360.1111
136192.88372 2904.5707033 1123600 794475.11111
12639912.225 1541638.2759 8054244 10306240.111
3384032.6688 10542.735698 55460.25 28561
18010540.103 7759005.3446 2357760.25 6522916
47006.016172 2183009.3645 10689630.25 11863432.111
3461460.5693 4.7097797126 15093225 14674007.111
8656490.6043 4634059.956 3665310.25 13535041
770678.28074 56741.568338 2287656.25 609440.44444
1047704.1779 37404.02687 766500.25 731595.11111
4602164.4695 897377.08941 1453230.25 297388.44444
2377631.3012 1121256.0487 992.25 43125.444444
3506811.8366 1674627.8195 1600 100489
4670.3180732 56827.577496 2650384 3134080.1111
2172584.3107 604796.76032 5921922.25 6866146.7778
4444834.1029 174738.15396 1944630.25 5059500.4444
2312182.2192 10291.691932 79242.25 112001.77778
143561.24385 718757.8133 2092362.25 1786677.7778
2649721.8064 34048.751277 6700332.25 8870469.4444
270932.75465 1660559.9738 1285956 172501.77778
mse 3,140,925 1,488,837 3,693,101 4,089,866
24.056873555 39.097401664
57.168416599 16.679984462
87.744880619 17.793605754 83.997785161
13.93121544 26.891695161 49.529381837 28.330365471
76.019567161 44.200893336 49.556830031 37.278415016
21.835322794 10.132856911 5.7685352622 7.7154912598
37.508123214 6.6566027229 56.469604016 46.619569932
25.973749075 13.389125595 10.130214081 25.976605606
61.292568989 133.46745723 138.79518072 103.61445783
52.704826744 34.368980994 53.22192324 43.42161167
171.79474394 15.757147788 272.59380098 271.58781947
5.8883738151 19.936288767 31.958598726 10
244.14795798 175.98949153 126.45228216 295.12448133
12.250854255 16.666285672 30.417090539 39.753588787
4.7037198768 40.209861309 43.551644547 32.169648009
14.67155345 2.5960116809 11.604036186 14.416608675
35.140989679 46.865411727 37.475345168 38.928336621
12.673186825 1.8507578735 36.401098901 30.608974359
52.061288952 18.18168501 41.55806121 47.010299214
36.027693801 2.0109248876 4.6122209166 3.3098315707
56.562477254 37.125138204 20.465147274 34.039717446
7.1436147845 48.682077561 107.72652389 113.487095
134.42919695 0.1568065527 280.70809249 276.7822736
997.35303827 729.72429939 648.98305085 1247.1186441
37.32495068 10.127758814 64.306972789 33.191609977
46.547258621 8.7949616645 39.813551614 38.896468092
200.4921116 88.532700386 112.6635514 50.965732087
92.554440051 63.559050743 1.8907563025 12.464985994
141.01267683 97.445340113 3.0120481928 23.870481928
2.1868712141 7.6283313612 52.096 56.650666667
31.630233851 16.68855796 52.221030043 56.230329041
39.876631745 7.9065052059 26.376016645 42.544606267
32.40805932 2.1621478363 5.9995737425 7.1327081557
10.694179119 23.92875687 40.826982783 37.726973375
106.46151804 12.068216956 169.29365598 194.78962285
14.182888611 35.112456849 30.899182561 11.316984559
mape 83.290445936 52.010710459 80.628699125 100.39621224
err 1,078.71 1,753.13

(1,235.98) (360.62)
(1,584.67) (321.35) (1,517.00)
547.64 1,057.11 1,947.00 1,113.67
(1,458.06) (847.77) (950.50) (715.00)
(603.75) (280.17) (159.50) 213.33
2,017.56 (358.06) 3,037.50 2,507.67
1,176.87 (606.66) 459.00 1,177.00
(1,271.82) (2,769.45) (2,880.00) (2,150.00)
3,721.49 2,426.79 3,758.00 3,066.00
(2,106.20) (193.18) (3,342.00) (3,329.67)
(184.89) 626.00 (1,003.50) (314.00)
(2,353.59) (1,696.54) (1,219.00) (2,845.00)
(361.28) 491.49 897.00 1,172.33
163.03 1,393.67 1,509.50 1,115.00
(421.66) 74.61 (333.50) 414.33
1,781.65 2,376.08 1,900.00 1,973.67
(369.04) (53.89) (1,060.00) (891.33)
3,555.27 1,241.63 2,838.00 3,210.33
1,839.57 102.68 235.50 169.00
4,243.88 2,785.50 1,535.50 2,554.00
(216.81) (1,477.50) (3,269.50) (3,444.33)
(1,860.50) 2.17 (3,885.00) (3,830.67)
(2,942.19) (2,152.69) (1,914.50) (3,679.00)
(877.88) (238.20) 1,512.50 780.67
(1,023.57) (193.40) 875.50 855.33
(2,145.27) (947.30) (1,205.50) (545.33)
(1,541.96) (1,058.89) 31.50 (207.67)
(1,872.65) (1,294.07) (40.00) (317.00)
(68.34) 238.39 1,628.00 1,770.33
1,473.97 (777.69) 2,433.50 2,620.33
2,108.28 418.02 1,394.50 2,249.33
1,520.59 101.45 (281.50) 334.67
378.89 (847.80) (1,446.50) (1,336.67)
(1,627.80) 184.52 (2,588.50) (2,978.33)
520.51 1,288.63 1,134.00 415.33
cumer 1,078.71 1,753.13

(157.27) 1,392.51
(1,741.94) 1,071.15 (1,517.00)
(1,194.31) 2,128.27 430.00 1,113.67
(2,652.36) 1,280.49 (520.50) 398.67
(3,256.11) 1,000.32 (680.00) 612.00
(1,238.55) 642.26 2,357.50 3,119.67
(61.68) 35.60 2,816.50 4,296.67
(1,333.50) (2,733.85) (63.50) 2,146.67
2,387.99 (307.06) 3,694.50 5,212.67
281.79 (500.24) 352.50 1,883.00
96.89 125.76 (651.00) 1,569.00
(2,256.69) (1,570.78) (1,870.00) (1,276.00)
(2,617.97) (1,079.29) (973.00) (103.67)
(2,454.94) 314.38 536.50 1,011.33
(2,876.60) 388.99 203.00 1,425.67
(1,094.95) 2,765.07 2,103.00 3,399.33
(1,464.00) 2,711.18 1,043.00 2,508.00
2,091.27 3,952.80 3,881.00 5,718.33
3,930.84 4,055.48 4,116.50 5,887.33
8,174.73 6,840.98 5,652.00 8,441.33
7,957.92 5,363.48 2,382.50 4,997.00
6,097.42 5,365.65 (1,502.50) 1,166.33
3,155.22 3,212.96 (3,417.00) (2,512.67)
2,277.34 2,974.76 (1,904.50) (1,732.00)
1,253.77 2,781.36 (1,029.00) (876.67)
(891.50) 1,834.06 (2,234.50) (1,422.00)
(2,433.45) 775.16 (2,203.00) (1,629.67)
(4,306.10) (518.91) (2,243.00) (1,946.67)
(4,374.44) (280.53) (615.00) (176.33)
(2,900.47) (1,058.21) 1,818.50 2,444.00
(792.20) (640.20) 3,213.00 4,693.33
728.39 (538.75) 2,931.50 5,028.00
1,107.28 (1,386.54) 1,485.00 3,691.33
(520.51) (1,202.02) (1,103.50) 713.00
0.00 86.61 30.50 1,128.33
mad 1,078.71 1,753.13

1,157.35 1,056.87
1,299.79 811.70 1,517.00
1,111.75 873.05 1,732.00 1,113.67
1,181.01 868.00 1,471.50 914.33
1,084.80 770.03 1,143.50 680.67
1,218.05 711.17 1,522.30 1,137.42
1,212.90 698.11 1,345.08 1,145.33
1,219.45 928.26 1,564.36 1,312.78
1,469.65 1,078.11 1,838.56 1,563.24
1,527.52 997.66 2,005.61 1,784.04
1,415.64 966.69 1,905.40 1,620.70
1,487.79 1,022.83 1,843.00 1,743.13
1,407.32 984.88 1,764.17 1,691.24
1,324.37 1,012.13 1,744.58 1,643.22
1,267.95 953.54 1,643.79 1,548.69
1,298.17 1,037.22 1,660.87 1,579.05
1,246.55 982.59 1,623.31 1,533.20
1,368.06 996.22 1,694.76 1,638.02
1,391.64 951.54 1,613.69 1,551.61
1,527.46 1,038.88 1,609.58 1,607.30
1,467.88 1,058.81 1,692.58 1,703.98
1,484.95 1,012.87 1,796.98 1,810.32
1,545.67 1,060.36 1,802.32 1,899.30
1,518.96 1,027.48 1,789.72 1,848.45
1,499.91 995.40 1,751.63 1,805.28
1,523.81 993.62 1,729.78 1,752.78
1,524.46 995.95 1,664.46 1,690.97
1,536.46 1,006.23 1,604.30 1,638.13
1,487.53 980.63 1,605.14 1,643.02
1,487.09 974.09 1,633.71 1,677.93
1,506.50 956.71 1,625.73 1,697.63
1,506.93 930.79 1,582.37 1,652.20
1,473.75 928.35 1,578.13 1,642.02
1,478.15 907.10 1,608.74 1,683.78
1,451.55 917.70 1,594.78 1,645.34
ts 1.00 1.00
(0.14) 1.32
(1.34) 1.32 (1.00)
(1.07) 2.44 0.25 1.00
(2.25) 1.48 (0.35) 0.44
(3.00) 1.30 (0.59) 0.90
(1.02) 0.90 1.55 2.74
(0.05) 0.05 2.09 3.75
(1.09) (2.95) (0.04) 1.64
1.62 (0.28) 2.01 3.33
0.18 (0.50) 0.18 1.06
0.07 0.13 (0.34) 0.97
(1.52) (1.54) (1.01) (0.73)
(1.86) (1.10) (0.55) (0.06)
(1.85) 0.31 0.31 0.62
(2.27) 0.41 0.12 0.92
(0.84) 2.67 1.27 2.15
(1.17) 2.76 0.64 1.64
1.53 3.97 2.29 3.49
2.82 4.26 2.55 3.79
5.35 6.58 3.51 5.25
5.42 5.07 1.41 2.93
4.11 5.30 (0.84) 0.64
2.04 3.03 (1.90) (1.32)
1.50 2.90 (1.06) (0.94)
0.84 2.79 (0.59) (0.49)
(0.59) 1.85 (1.29) (0.81)
(1.60) 0.78 (1.32) (0.96)
(2.80) (0.52) (1.40) (1.19)
(2.94) (0.29) (0.38) (0.11)
(1.95) (1.09) 1.11 1.46
(0.53) (0.67) 1.98 2.76
0.48 (0.58) 1.85 3.04
0.75 (1.49) 0.94 2.25
(0.35) (1.33) (0.69) 0.42
0.00 0.09 0.02 0.69
min (3.00) (2.95) (1.90) (1.32)
max 5.42 6.58 3.51 5.25
mad 1,451.55 917.70 1,594.78 1,645.34

mse 1,772.27 1,220.18 1,921.74 2,022.34
mape 83.29 52.01 80.63 100.40
min ts (3.00) (2.95) (1.90) (1.32)
max ts 5.42 6.58 3.51 5.25
ma4 ma5 wma2 0.4 0.95 0.99
8000
4,484.00 4,484.00 4,484.00
2,936.00 3,555.20 2,278.10 2,185.22
1,924.67 2,855.52 1,829.61 1,809.79
3,095.75 3,222.67 3,285.71 3,825.93 3,909.79
2,454.25 2,860.20 2,589.00 2,738.63 2,013.40 1,937.92
2,605.00 2,516.40 2,482.67 2,749.18 2,727.42 2,756.73
3,498.25 3,159.80 4,507.67 3,801.11 5,246.42 5,352.78
3,648.25 3,704.80 4,813.67 4,093.06 4,566.77 4,539.22
3,687.50 3,333.60 2,893.67 3,285.84 2,199.59 2,099.64 7000
4,761.50 4,362.20 5,399.00 4,795.90 6,817.93 7,011.39
3,723.25 4,054.40 3,171.00 3,367.94 1,505.60 1,283.85
3,375.50 3,606.60 2,502.00 3,276.77 3,058.28 3,121.44
3,097.75 2,893.20 1,689.33 2,351.66 1,068.71 985.57
2,069.75 3,068.00 2,287.33 2,590.60 2,854.99 2,929.37
2,629.75 2,349.00 3,293.67 2,940.76 3,435.45 3,460.63
2,563.25 2,678.60 3,071.33 2,914.05 2,902.07 2,879.87
3,589.75 3,064.60 4,338.00 3,776.43 4,961.60 5,048.10
6000
3,580.50 3,454.20 3,631.33 3,430.66 3,014.48 2,933.36
4,421.25 4,230.20 5,523.33 4,790.00 6,638.27 6,790.04
4,979.25 4,558.20 5,680.33 4,916.40 5,182.61 5,122.84
5,587.50 5,484.00 6,704.00 5,951.04 7,386.98 7,479.20
5,618.25 5,077.00 4,524.33 4,784.62 3,252.60 3,079.44
4,257.00 4,771.40 1,934.33 3,424.37 1,477.43 1,400.95
3,054.25 3,464.60 658.00 2,172.62 354.12 306.06
1,766.50 2,913.80 1,666.33 2,244.37 2,252.11 2,331.54
1,557.50 1,853.00 2,250.00 2,226.22 2,201.66 2,200.33 5000
1,479.00 1,460.00 1,446.33 1,763.73 1,126.58 1,081.30
1,821.75 1,516.40 1,467.33 1,724.64 1,639.03 1,660.15
1,565.75 1,723.00 1,440.67 1,565.98 1,343.55 1,331.32
1,797.25 1,877.60 2,526.00 2,189.59 3,035.93 3,107.06
2,694.75 2,369.80 4,148.33 3,177.75 4,578.80 4,644.47
3,600.00 3,213.20 5,078.00 4,021.45 5,251.59 5,280.57
4,441.00 3,818.40 4,890.33 4,289.67 4,719.98 4,697.89
4,545.50 4,261.40 3,926.00 3,991.00 3,601.85 3,554.55
3,762.75 3,942.20 2,200.33 3,006.20 1,632.64 1,549.26 4000
2,322.00 2,322.00 2,322.00

1,130.00 1,749.20 472.10 379.22
2,006.33 1,075.48 2,101.40 2,121.21
1,177.75 1,304.67 1,367.71 1,907.93 1,991.79
310.75 95.20 176.00 26.37 751.60 827.08
3000
2,774.00 2,862.60 2,896.33 2,629.82 2,651.58 2,622.27
3000
1,032.75 1,371.20 23.33 729.89 715.42 821.78
1,573.25 1,629.80 2,738.67 2,018.06 2,491.77 2,464.22
3,373.50 3,727.40 4,167.33 3,775.16 4,861.41 4,961.36
3,535.50 3,136.20 4,173.00 3,569.90 5,591.93 5,785.39
583.25 914.40 31.00 227.94 1,634.40 1,856.15
2,411.50 2,642.60 1,538.00 2,312.77 2,094.28 2,157.44
148.75 55.80 1,259.67 597.34 1,880.29 1,963.43
1,396.25 398.00 1,178.67 875.40 611.01 536.63
244.25 525.00 419.67 66.76 561.45 586.63 2000
2,506.75 2,391.40 1,998.67 2,155.95 2,167.93 2,190.13
677.75 152.60 1,426.00 864.43 2,049.60 2,136.10
3,248.50 3,374.80 3,197.67 3,398.34 3,814.52 3,895.64
684.75 875.80 417.33 316.00 1,532.27 1,684.04
2,523.75 2,944.80 1,822.67 2,586.60 2,320.39 2,380.16
2,552.50 2,449.00 3,669.00 2,916.04 4,351.98 4,444.20
4,234.25 3,693.00 3,140.33 3,400.62 1,868.60 1,695.44
3,962.00 4,476.40 1,639.33 3,129.37 1,182.43 1,105.95
702.25 1,112.60 1,694.00 179.38 1,997.88 2,045.94 1000
432.50 714.80 532.67 45.37 53.11 132.54
487.50 783.00 1,180.00 1,156.22 1,131.66 1,130.33
187.00 206.00 219.67 97.73 539.42 584.70
493.75 188.40 139.33 396.64 311.03 332.15
1,559.25 1,402.00 1,684.33 1,559.02 1,781.45 1,793.68
2,862.75 2,782.40 2,134.00 2,470.41 1,624.07 1,552.94
2,592.25 2,917.20 1,138.67 2,109.25 708.20 642.53
1,092.00 1,478.80 386.00 670.55 559.59 588.57
0
898.00 275.40 1,347.33 746.67 1,176.98 1,154.89 1 2 3 4 5
3,016.50 2,732.40 2,397.00 2,462.00 2,072.85 2,025.55
92.75 272.20 1,469.67 663.80 2,037.36 2,120.74
1,667.76 1,696.17 1,608.13 1,561.95 1,826.57 1,858.08
5391684 5391684 5391684

1276900 3059700.64 222878.41 143807.8084
4025373.4444 1156657.2304 4415860.946 4499522.5308
1387095.0625 1702155.1111 1870636.1149 3640197.8389 3967219.1262
96565.5625 9063.04 30976 695.52457984 564907.80242 684064.83451
7695076 8194478.76 8388746.7778 6915972.5879 7030877.4211 6876304.2598
1066572.5625 1880189.44 544.44444444 532745.55487 511827.19477 675317.9173
2475115.5625 2656248.04 7500295.1111 4072580.1899 6208922.9634 6072369.2324
11380502.25 13893510.76 17366667.111 14251847.484 23633321.262 24615071.441
12499760.25 9835750.44 17413929 12744206.366 31269674.724 33470696.049
340180.5625 836127.36 961 51957.423451 2671274.8944 3445278.4774
5815332.25 6983334.76 2365444 5348882.0673 4386007.9794 4654541.048
22126.5625 3113.64 1586760.1111 356816.25137 3535475.475 3855040.1441
1949514.0625 158404 1389255.1111 766333.19707 373338.47534 287976.32487
59658.0625 275625 176120.11111 4456.5298534 315225.2996 344139.04804
6283795.5625 5718793.96 3994668.4444 4648101.6569 4699909.8003 4796685.4637
459345.0625 23286.76 2033476 747243.73455 4200875.0123 4562917.4996
10552752.25 11389275.04 10225072.111 11548717.712 14550561.448 15176003.322
468882.5625 767025.64 174167.11111 99858.692943 2347863.6388 2836002.8799
6369314.0625 8671847.04 3322113.7778 6690512.7857 5384192.5791 5665159.5496
6515256.25 5997601 13461561 8503280.3355 18939735.883 19750899.457
17928873.063 13638249 9861693.4444 11564237.33 3491662.3508 2874523.5213
15697444 20038156.96 2687413.7778 9792980.6792 1398140.5907 1223135.1788
493155.0625 1237878.76 2869636 32175.638641 3991518.5104 4185872.3487
187056.25 510939.04 283733.77778 2058.8529821 2820.2551891 17567.00944
237656.25 613089 1392400 1336855.6751 1280643.7265 1277635.5233
34969 42436 48253.444444 9552.1010359 290970.95321 341870.28471
243789.0625 35494.56 19413.777778 157324.01181 96739.124846 110325.63703
2431260.5625 1965604 2836978.7778 2430529.1851 3173558.9117 3217282.4526
8195337.5625 7741749.76 4553956 6102921.9724 2637611.2486 2411612.6573
6719760.0625 8510055.84 1296561.7778 4448916.8465 501552.3693 412843.98855
1192464 2186849.44 148996 449633.73251 313140.76545 346420.18492
806404 75845.16 1815307.1111 557518.47405 1385280.7221 1333761.0888
9099272.25 7466009.76 5745609 6061458.5668 4296702.8713 4102848.174
8602.5625 74092.84 2159920.1111 440628.08353 4150825.7917 4497557.2827
4,334,778 4,562,262 3,886,913 3,775,705 4,894,451 5,089,256
107.40055504 107.40055504 107.40055504

62.569213732 96.854928018 26.140642303 20.997785161
51.038751802 27.358941745 53.457008395 53.961022641
61.405109489 68.022245395 71.309280501 99.474986966 103.84712836
11.238698011 3.4430379747 6.3652802893 0.9538083183 27.182766275 29.912554097
51.570923964 53.218070273 53.845200471 48.890568507 49.295039494 48.750154698
22.792981682 30.26263518 0.5149709409 16.108898874 15.78947233 18.136775365
75.819277108 78.544578313 131.98393574 97.256071094 120.08535179 118.75748303
47.776518907 52.788556862 59.01902469 53.464975427 68.848767137 70.264237676
288.37683524 255.80750408 340.37520392 291.18294054 456.11169883 471.89122527
18.574840764 29.121019108 0.9872611465 7.2592901479 52.05106779 59.112934261
250.15560166 274.12863071 159.54356846 239.91338448 217.24894435 223.80067828
5.0440827399 1.8921668362 42.715044648 20.255713264 63.760122374 66.579369773
40.284189267 11.482977496 34.006539719 25.256912594 17.628802667 15.482811776
8.4986082116 18.267223382 14.602180469 2.3227990849 19.535465726 20.411748693
49.442800789 47.16765286 39.421433268 42.523582891 42.759911948 43.197902632
23.274381868 5.2403846154 48.96978022 29.68518573 70.384739808 73.355036517
47.569190218 49.418655733 46.824815737 49.763368501 55.857663184 57.045526627
13.410693302 17.152369761 8.1733907821 6.1888809432 30.009283374 32.981660984
33.636545382 39.24830068 24.29250522 34.47424439 30.926113549 31.722771743
84.10214168 80.691927512 120.88962109 96.080344845 143.3931033 146.4315784
305.94291908 266.83526012 226.9026975 245.70976009 135.01438109 122.50303353
1343.0508475 1517.4237288 555.70621469 1060.8046942 400.82371244 374.89980334
29.857568027 47.304421769 72.023809524 7.6265174886 84.943813878 86.987264277
19.668030923 32.505684402 24.223131727 2.0634190632 2.4150102264 6.0273122075
45.560747664 73.177570093 110.28037383 108.05838796 105.76217792 105.63788841
11.224489796 12.364945978 13.18527411 5.8664376154 32.377985283 35.095843094
37.17996988 14.186746988 10.491967871 29.867538434 23.420868845 25.011523535
49.896 44.864 53.898666667 49.88849452 57.006353379 57.39771103
61.432403433 59.708154506 45.793991416 53.013074512 34.851339639 33.324823706
49.030641195 55.176848875 21.537103587 39.894941618 13.395188601 12.153004877
23.273657289 31.517476556 8.2267689685 14.291290239 11.926466729 12.544217952
25.345752187 7.7730736664 38.028036504 21.074558205 33.219855799 32.596267205
197.28580772 178.70503597 156.76913015 161.02046817 135.56893228 132.47539944
2.5272479564 7.416893733 40.045413261 18.087145096 55.513829735 57.78595399
104.19529697 109.57533977 79.155074928 90.907754346 82.673754928 83.099456789
(2,322.00) (2,322.00) (2,322.00)

(1,130.00) (1,749.20) (472.10) (379.22)
2,006.33 1,075.48 2,101.40 2,121.21
(1,177.75) (1,304.67) (1,367.71) (1,907.93) (1,991.79)
310.75 (95.20) 176.00 26.37 751.60 827.08
2,774.00 2,862.60 2,896.33 2,629.82 2,651.58 2,622.27
1,032.75 1,371.20 23.33 729.89 (715.42) (821.78)
(1,573.25) (1,629.80) (2,738.67) (2,018.06) (2,491.77) (2,464.22)
3,373.50 3,727.40 4,167.33 3,775.16 4,861.41 4,961.36
(3,535.50) (3,136.20) (4,173.00) (3,569.90) (5,591.93) (5,785.39)
(583.25) (914.40) (31.00) (227.94) 1,634.40 1,856.15
(2,411.50) (2,642.60) (1,538.00) (2,312.77) (2,094.28) (2,157.44)
(148.75) 55.80 1,259.67 597.34 1,880.29 1,963.43
1,396.25 398.00 1,178.67 875.40 611.01 536.63
244.25 525.00 (419.67) (66.76) (561.45) (586.63)
2,506.75 2,391.40 1,998.67 2,155.95 2,167.93 2,190.13
(677.75) (152.60) (1,426.00) (864.43) (2,049.60) (2,136.10)
3,248.50 3,374.80 3,197.67 3,398.34 3,814.52 3,895.64
684.75 875.80 (417.33) 316.00 (1,532.27) (1,684.04)
2,523.75 2,944.80 1,822.67 2,586.60 2,320.39 2,380.16
(2,552.50) (2,449.00) (3,669.00) (2,916.04) (4,351.98) (4,444.20)
(4,234.25) (3,693.00) (3,140.33) (3,400.62) (1,868.60) (1,695.44)
(3,962.00) (4,476.40) (1,639.33) (3,129.37) (1,182.43) (1,105.95)
(702.25) (1,112.60) 1,694.00 179.38 1,997.88 2,045.94
432.50 (714.80) 532.67 (45.37) (53.11) (132.54)
(487.50) (783.00) (1,180.00) (1,156.22) (1,131.66) (1,130.33)
187.00 206.00 219.67 (97.73) 539.42 584.70
(493.75) (188.40) (139.33) (396.64) (311.03) (332.15)
1,559.25 1,402.00 1,684.33 1,559.02 1,781.45 1,793.68
2,862.75 2,782.40 2,134.00 2,470.41 1,624.07 1,552.94
2,592.25 2,917.20 1,138.67 2,109.25 708.20 642.53
1,092.00 1,478.80 (386.00) 670.55 (559.59) (588.57)
(898.00) (275.40) (1,347.33) (746.67) (1,176.98) (1,154.89)
(3,016.50) (2,732.40) (2,397.00) (2,462.00) (2,072.85) (2,025.55)
(92.75) (272.20) 1,469.67 663.80 2,037.36 2,120.74
(2,322.00) (2,322.00) (2,322.00)

(1,130.00) (4,071.20) (2,794.10) (2,701.22)
876.33 (2,995.72) (692.71) (580.01)
(1,177.75) (428.33) (4,363.43) (2,600.64) (2,571.80)
(867.00) (95.20) (252.33) (4,337.06) (1,849.03) (1,744.72)
1,907.00 2,767.40 2,644.00 (1,707.24) 802.55 877.55
2,939.75 4,138.60 2,667.33 (977.34) 87.13 55.78
1,366.50 2,508.80 (71.33) (2,995.40) (2,404.64) (2,408.44)
4,740.00 6,236.20 4,096.00 779.76 2,456.77 2,552.92
1,204.50 3,100.00 (77.00) (2,790.15) (3,135.16) (3,232.47)
621.25 2,185.60 (108.00) (3,018.09) (1,500.76) (1,376.32)
(1,790.25) (457.00) (1,646.00) (5,330.85) (3,595.04) (3,533.76)
(1,939.00) (401.20) (386.33) (4,733.51) (1,714.75) (1,570.34)
(542.75) (3.20) 792.33 (3,858.11) (1,103.74) (1,033.70)
(298.50) 521.80 372.67 (3,924.86) (1,665.19) (1,620.34)
2,208.25 2,913.20 2,371.33 (1,768.92) 502.74 569.80
1,530.50 2,760.60 945.33 (2,633.35) (1,546.86) (1,566.30)
4,779.00 6,135.40 4,143.00 764.99 2,267.66 2,329.34
5,463.75 7,011.20 3,725.67 1,080.99 735.38 645.29
7,987.50 9,956.00 5,548.33 3,667.60 3,055.77 3,025.45
5,435.00 7,507.00 1,879.33 751.56 (1,296.21) (1,418.75)
1,200.75 3,814.00 (1,261.00) (2,649.07) (3,164.81) (3,114.19)
(2,761.25) (662.40) (2,900.33) (5,778.44) (4,347.24) (4,220.14)
(3,463.50) (1,775.00) (1,206.33) (5,599.06) (2,349.36) (2,174.20)
(3,031.00) (2,489.80) (673.67) (5,644.44) (2,402.47) (2,306.74)
(3,518.50) (3,272.80) (1,853.67) (6,800.66) (3,534.12) (3,437.07)
(3,331.50) (3,066.80) (1,634.00) (6,898.40) (2,994.71) (2,852.37)
(3,825.25) (3,255.20) (1,773.33) (7,295.04) (3,305.74) (3,184.52)
(2,266.00) (1,853.20) (89.00) (5,736.02) (1,524.29) (1,390.85)
596.75 929.20 2,045.00 (3,265.61) 99.79 162.09
3,189.00 3,846.40 3,183.67 (1,156.37) 807.99 804.62
4,281.00 5,325.20 2,797.67 (485.82) 248.40 216.05
3,383.00 5,049.80 1,450.33 (1,232.49) (928.58) (938.84)
366.50 2,317.40 (946.67) (3,694.50) (3,001.43) (2,964.39)
273.75 2,045.20 523.00 (3,030.70) (964.07) (843.64)
2,322.00 2,322.00 2,322.00

1,130.00 2,035.60 1,397.05 1,350.61
1,568.17 1,715.56 1,631.83 1,607.48
1,177.75 1,480.33 1,628.60 1,700.86 1,703.55
744.25 95.20 1,154.25 1,308.15 1,511.01 1,528.26
1,420.83 1,478.90 1,502.67 1,528.43 1,701.10 1,710.59
1,323.81 1,443.00 1,256.11 1,414.35 1,560.29 1,583.62
1,373.70 1,489.70 1,467.90 1,489.82 1,676.73 1,693.70
1,707.00 1,937.24 1,805.33 1,743.75 2,030.58 2,056.77
1,968.21 2,137.07 2,068.41 1,926.36 2,386.71 2,429.63
1,795.09 1,962.40 1,864.67 1,771.96 2,318.32 2,377.50
1,863.58 2,047.43 1,834.97 1,817.03 2,299.65 2,359.16
1,692.10 1,826.13 1,787.03 1,723.20 2,267.39 2,328.72
1,665.20 1,683.32 1,740.23 1,662.65 2,149.08 2,200.71
1,546.79 1,578.02 1,645.90 1,556.25 2,043.24 2,093.11
1,620.63 1,645.80 1,669.42 1,593.74 2,051.03 2,099.17
1,553.29 1,530.94 1,654.21 1,550.84 2,050.95 2,101.34
1,666.30 1,662.64 1,745.00 1,653.47 2,148.92 2,201.03
1,604.95 1,610.19 1,671.24 1,583.08 2,116.47 2,173.82
1,659.00 1,693.60 1,679.21 1,633.26 2,126.66 2,184.13
1,708.64 1,738.04 1,778.70 1,694.34 2,232.63 2,291.76
1,841.57 1,846.64 1,843.54 1,771.90 2,216.08 2,264.65
1,947.59 1,985.05 1,834.26 1,830.92 2,171.14 2,214.27
1,888.29 1,941.43 1,828.16 1,762.11 2,163.92 2,207.26
1,822.11 1,883.02 1,774.18 1,693.44 2,079.49 2,124.27
1,764.09 1,833.02 1,750.41 1,672.78 2,043.04 2,086.04
1,698.38 1,762.28 1,691.54 1,614.44 1,987.35 2,030.44
1,650.19 1,696.70 1,634.05 1,570.95 1,927.48 1,969.78
1,646.69 1,684.91 1,635.85 1,570.54 1,922.44 1,963.71
1,691.73 1,727.12 1,653.02 1,600.53 1,912.50 1,950.02
1,723.89 1,771.20 1,635.88 1,616.94 1,873.65 1,907.84
1,702.10 1,760.76 1,595.56 1,587.37 1,832.58 1,866.61
1,675.30 1,709.54 1,587.80 1,561.89 1,812.72 1,845.05
1,718.56 1,743.63 1,612.32 1,588.37 1,820.37 1,850.35
1,667.76 1,696.17 1,608.13 1,561.95 1,826.57 1,858.08
(1.00) (1.00) (1.00)

(1.00) (2.00) (2.00) (2.00)
0.56 (1.75) (0.42) (0.36)
(1.00) (0.29) (2.68) (1.53) (1.51)
(1.16) (1.00) (0.22) (3.32) (1.22) (1.14)
1.34 1.87 1.76 (1.12) 0.47 0.51
2.22 2.87 2.12 (0.69) 0.06 0.04
0.99 1.68 (0.05) (2.01) (1.43) (1.42)
2.78 3.22 2.27 0.45 1.21 1.24
0.61 1.45 (0.04) (1.45) (1.31) (1.33)
0.35 1.11 (0.06) (1.70) (0.65) (0.58)
(0.96) (0.22) (0.90) (2.93) (1.56) (1.50)
(1.15) (0.22) (0.22) (2.75) (0.76) (0.67)
(0.33) (0.00) 0.46 (2.32) (0.51) (0.47)
(0.19) 0.33 0.23 (2.52) (0.81) (0.77)
1.36 1.77 1.42 (1.11) 0.25 0.27
0.99 1.80 0.57 (1.70) (0.75) (0.75)
2.87 3.69 2.37 0.46 1.06 1.06
3.40 4.35 2.23 0.68 0.35 0.30
4.81 5.88 3.30 2.25 1.44 1.39
3.18 4.32 1.06 0.44 (0.58) (0.62)
0.65 2.07 (0.68) (1.50) (1.43) (1.38)
(1.42) (0.33) (1.58) (3.16) (2.00) (1.91)
(1.83) (0.91) (0.66) (3.18) (1.09) (0.99)
(1.66) (1.32) (0.38) (3.33) (1.16) (1.09)
(1.99) (1.79) (1.06) (4.07) (1.73) (1.65)
(1.96) (1.74) (0.97) (4.27) (1.51) (1.40)
(2.32) (1.92) (1.09) (4.64) (1.72) (1.62)
(1.38) (1.10) (0.05) (3.65) (0.79) (0.71)
0.35 0.54 1.24 (2.04) 0.05 0.08
1.85 2.17 1.95 (0.72) 0.43 0.42
2.52 3.02 1.75 (0.31) 0.14 0.12
2.02 2.95 0.91 (0.79) (0.51) (0.51)
0.21 1.33 (0.59) (2.33) (1.65) (1.60)
0.16 1.21 0.33 (1.94) (0.53) (0.45)
(2.32) (1.92) (1.58) (4.64) (2.00) (2.00)
4.81 5.88 3.30 2.25 1.44 1.39
1,667.76 1,696.17 1,608.13 1,561.95 1,826.57 1,858.08

2,082.01 2,135.95 1,971.53 1,943.12 2,212.34 2,255.94
104.20 109.58 79.16 90.91 82.67 83.10
(2.32) (1.92) (1.58) (4.64) (2.00) (2.00)
4.81 5.88 3.30 2.25 1.44 1.39
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
3000
2000
1000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35
917.69739
1488836.7
52.01071
Total
trend reg
trendsea3
ma2
wma2
0.4
0.95
0.99
27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics bulan

Multiple R 0.201968 8000
R Square 0.040791 6000
Adjusted R 0.012579 4000
P02
Standard E 1617.783 2000
Observatio 36 0
0 5 10 15
ANOVA bul
Regression 1 3784186 3784186 1.445879 0.237498
Residual 34 88985541 2617222
Total 35 92769727
Coefficients
Lower 95,0%
Upper 95,0%
Intercept 2577.341 550.6954 4.680158 4.45E-05 1458.194 3696.489 1458.194 3696.489
bulan 31.20978 25.95522 1.202447 0.237498 -21.5376 83.95714 -21.5376 83.95714
Observation
Predicted P02Residuals Percentile P02
1 2608.551 -688.551 1.388889 350
2 2639.761 -1281.76 4.166667 453
3 2670.971 622.0294 6.944444 460
4 2702.18 -178.18 9.722222 1063
5 2733.39 2714.61 12.5 1358
6 2764.6 -107.6 15.27778 1358
7 2795.81 1009.19 18.05556 1660
8 2827.02 3494.98 20.83333 1678
9 2858.229 -2398.23 23.61111 1710
10 2889.439 1042.561 26.38889 1920
11 2920.649 667.3511 29.16667 2110
12 2951.859 -2601.86 31.94444 2160
13 2983.068 -2530.07 34.72222 2186
14 3014.278 23.72179 37.5 2524
15 3045.488 1426.512 40.27778 2657
16 3076.698 -1398.7 43.05556 2849
17 3107.908 2983.092 45.83333 3038
18 3139.117 144.8827 48.61111 3284
19 3170.327 631.6729 51.38889 3293
20 3201.537 -1541.54 54.16667 3445
21 3232.747 -1122.75 56.94444 3588
22 3263.956 -1553.96 59.72222 3652
23 3295.166 -446.166 62.5 3802
24 3326.376 -1968.38 65.27778 3805
25 3357.586 294.4142 68.05556 3932
26 3388.796 -1202.8 70.83333 3972
27 3420.005 -2357.01 73.61111 4107
28 3451.215 870.7849 76.38889 4286
29 3482.425 2543.575 79.16667 4322
30 3513.635 458.3653 81.94444 4472
31 3544.844 1354.156 84.72222 4899
32 3576.054 530.9457 87.5 5290
33 3607.264 678.736 90.27778 5448
34 3638.474 -193.474 93.05556 6026
35 3669.684 -1509.68 95.83333 6091
36 3700.893 1589.107 98.61111 6322
bulan Line Fit Plot
8000
4000 P02
8000
P02
Predicted P02
2000 6000
0 4000
P02
0 52000
10 15 20 25 30 35 40
0 bulan
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Sample Percentile
bulan P01 P02 Total trend reg trendsea3 ma2 ma3
1 4484 1920 1920 2,608.55 1,546.44
2 2162 1358 1358 2,639.76 1,897.34
3 1806 3293 3293 2,670.97 2,706.66 1,639.00
4 3931 2524 2524 2,702.18 2,351.87 2,325.50 2,190.33
5 1918 5448 5448 2,733.39 5,170.30 2,908.50 2,391.67
6 2765 2657 2657 2,764.60 2,908.58 3,986.00 3,755.00
7 5379 3805 3805 2,795.81 3,707.98 4,052.50 3,543.00
8 4531 6322 6322 2,827.02 3,605.20 3,231.00 3,970.00
9 2075 460 460 2,858.23 1,968.78 5,063.50 4,261.33
10 7061 3932 3932 2,889.44 2,759.39 3,391.00 3,529.00
11 1226 3588 3588 2,920.65 2,755.25 2,196.00 3,571.33
12 3140 350 350 2,951.86 1,984.75 3,760.00 2,660.00
13 964 453 453 2,983.07 1,768.47 1,969.00 2,623.33
14 2949 3038 3038 3,014.28 2,166.53 401.50 1,463.67
15 3466 4472 4472 3,045.49 3,086.19 1,745.50 1,280.33
16 2874 1678 1678 3,076.70 2,677.83 3,755.00 2,654.33
17 5070 6091 6091 3,107.91 5,878.71 3,075.00 3,062.67
18 2912 3284 3284 3,139.12 3,302.60 3,884.50 4,080.33
19 6829 3802 3802 3,170.33 4,204.69 4,687.50 3,684.33
20 5106 1660 1660 3,201.54 4,082.81 3,543.00 4,392.33
21 7503 2110 2110 3,232.75 2,226.75 2,731.00 2,915.33
22 3035 1710 1710 3,263.96 3,117.05 1,885.00 2,524.00
23 1384 2849 2849 3,295.17 3,108.56 1,910.00 1,826.67
24 295 1358 1358 3,326.38 2,236.57 2,279.50 2,223.00
25 2352 3652 3652 3,357.59 1,990.50 2,103.50 1,972.33
26 2199 2186 2186 3,388.80 2,435.72 2,505.00 2,619.67
27 1070 1063 1063 3,420.01 3,465.71 2,919.00 2,398.67
28 1666 4322 4322 3,451.22 3,003.80 1,624.50 2,300.33
29 1328 6026 6026 3,482.42 6,587.13 2,692.50 2,523.67
30 3125 3972 3972 3,513.63 3,696.62 5,174.00 3,803.67
31 4660 4899 4899 3,544.84 4,701.40 4,999.00 4,773.33
32 5287 4107 4107 3,576.05 4,560.41 4,435.50 4,965.67
33 4692 4286 4286 3,607.26 2,484.72 4,503.00 4,326.00
34 3543 3445 3445 3,638.47 3,474.71 4,196.50 4,430.67
35 1529 2160 2160 3,669.68 3,461.86 3,865.50 3,946.00
36 3670 5290 5290 3,700.89 2,488.38 2,802.50 3,297.00
117986 113570
231556 688.55 373.56
0.50953549 0.49046451 1,281.76 539.34
622.03 586.34 1,654.00
178.18 172.13 198.50 333.67
2,714.61 277.70 2,539.50 3,056.33
107.60 251.58 1,329.00 1,098.00
1,009.19 97.02 247.50 262.00
3,494.98 2,716.80 3,091.00 2,352.00
2,398.23 1,508.78 4,603.50 3,801.33
1,042.56 1,172.61 541.00 403.00
667.35 832.75 1,392.00 16.67
2,601.86 1,634.75 3,410.00 2,310.00
2,530.07 1,315.47 1,516.00 2,170.33
23.72 871.47 2,636.50 1,574.33
1,426.51 1,385.81 2,726.50 3,191.67
1,398.70 999.83 2,077.00 976.33
2,983.09 212.29 3,016.00 3,028.33
144.88 18.60 600.50 796.33
631.67 402.69 885.50 117.67
1,541.54 2,422.81 1,883.00 2,732.33
1,122.75 116.75 621.00 805.33
1,553.96 1,407.05 175.00 814.00
446.17 259.56 939.00 1,022.33
1,968.38 878.57 921.50 865.00
294.41 1,661.50 1,548.50 1,679.67
1,202.80 249.72 319.00 433.67
2,357.01 2,402.71 1,856.00 1,335.67
870.78 1,318.20 2,697.50 2,021.67
2,543.58 561.13 3,333.50 3,502.33
458.37 275.38 1,202.00 168.33
1,354.16 197.60 100.00 125.67
530.95 453.41 328.50 858.67
678.74 1,801.28 217.00 40.00
193.47 29.71 751.50 985.67
1,509.68 1,301.86 1,705.50 1,786.00
1,589.11 2,801.62 2,487.50 1,993.00
mad 1,282.26 930.79 1,575.00 1,413.86
474102.5499 139544.51367
1642910.8311 290891.07791
386920.55771 343788.95576 2735716
31748.253048 29629.451529 39402.25 111333.44444
7369106.4972 77116.90197 6449060.25 9341173.4444
11577.750768 63291.025856 1766241 1205604
1018464.9843 9411.9590643 61256.25 68644
12214888.559 7381018.2625 9554281 5531904
5751503.7789 2276405.6344 21192212.25 14450135.111
1086933.2679 1375015.2451 292681 162409
445357.53986 693474.83535 1937664 277.77777778
6769668.4052 2672406.8727 11628100 5336100
6401246.2381 1730463.6205 2298256 4710346.7778
562.72347366 759460.49166 6951132.25 2478525.4444
2034936.5204 1920477.2769 7433802.25 10186736.111
1956355.4496 999665.26043 4313929 953226.77778
8898840.5628 45065.736487 9096256 9170802.7778
20990.987598 345.91822877 360600.25 634146.77778
399010.63639 162162.50074 784110.25 13845.444444
2376335.9957 5869987.3939 3545689 7465645.4444
1260560.0968 13629.960672 385641 648561.77778
2414780.6686 1979790.9476 30625 662596
199064.31163 67369.624998 881721 1045165.4444
3874504.1517 771876.68111 849162.25 748225
86679.721111 2760587.827 2397852.25 2821280.1111
1446717.2104 62358.180417 101761 188066.77778
5555474.2789 5773012.8213 3444736 1784005.4444
758266.26594 1737658.3366 7276506.25 4087136.1111
6469774.1625 314861.78293 11112222.25 12266338.778
210098.74262 75833.771645 1444804 28336.111111
1833737.1525 39044.432631 10000 15792.111111
281903.36974 205584.54695 107912.25 737308.44444
460682.49014 3244614.5347 47089 1600
37432.123272 882.76285279 564752.25 971538.77778
2279144.6089 1694851.3086 2908730.25 3189796
2525259.8072 7849072.0271 6187656.25 3972049
mse 2,471,821 1,484,185 3,770,340 3,181,474
35.862033909 19.456071541
94.385922847 39.715993462
18.889443867 17.805502297 50.227755846
7.0594451141 6.81981283 7.8645007924 13.219756999
49.827639943 5.0972705828 46.613436123 56.100097895
4.0496784757 9.4684635817 50.018818216 41.324802409
26.522740123 2.5496781001 6.5045992116 6.8856767411
55.282829492 42.97378913 48.892755457 37.20341664
521.35419581 327.994827 1000.7608696 826.37681159
26.514774111 29.822239076 13.758901322 10.24923703
18.599530013 23.209346841 38.795986622 0.4645113341
743.3881841 467.07136829 974.28571429 660
558.51400123 290.39092142 334.65783664 479.10228109
0.7808358533 28.685658477 86.784068466 51.821373711
31.898748032 30.988659611 60.968246869 71.370005963
83.3550518 59.584780465 123.77830751 58.184346444
48.975413718 3.4852556263 49.51567887 49.71816341
4.4117743113 0.5663482669 18.285627284 24.248883475
16.614226385 10.591637389 23.290373488 3.0948623531
92.863668315 145.95214978 113.43373494 164.59839357
53.210742903 5.5330532015 29.431279621 38.167456556
90.874646576 82.283651604 10.233918129 47.602339181
15.660450603 9.1104455266 32.958932959 35.883935884
144.94668769 64.695517399 67.857142857 63.696612666
8.0617250798 45.495664795 42.401423877 45.993063162
55.022670691 11.423430913 14.592863678 19.838365355
221.73145461 226.03099483 174.60018815 125.65067419
20.147729206 30.499830906 62.413234614 46.776183865
42.210007884 9.311740142 55.318619316 58.120367297
11.539911729 6.9330141792 30.26183283 4.2379993286
27.641467905 4.0334076596 2.0412329047 2.5651493502
12.927823994 11.040037047 7.9985390796 20.90739388
15.836116431 42.027096573 5.0629958003 0.9332711153
5.6160763708 0.8624477599 21.814223512 28.611514272
69.892759823 60.27150698 78.958333333 82.685185185
30.039822431 52.960671767 47.02268431 37.674858223
mape 90.680839761 61.798396807 109.74719578 97.372939096
err (688.55) 373.56

(1,281.76) (539.34)
622.03 586.34 1,654.00
(178.18) 172.13 198.50 333.67
2,714.61 277.70 2,539.50 3,056.33
(107.60) (251.58) (1,329.00) (1,098.00)
1,009.19 97.02 (247.50) 262.00
3,494.98 2,716.80 3,091.00 2,352.00
(2,398.23) (1,508.78) (4,603.50) (3,801.33)
1,042.56 1,172.61 541.00 403.00
667.35 832.75 1,392.00 16.67
(2,601.86) (1,634.75) (3,410.00) (2,310.00)
(2,530.07) (1,315.47) (1,516.00) (2,170.33)
23.72 871.47 2,636.50 1,574.33
1,426.51 1,385.81 2,726.50 3,191.67
(1,398.70) (999.83) (2,077.00) (976.33)
2,983.09 212.29 3,016.00 3,028.33
144.88 (18.60) (600.50) (796.33)
631.67 (402.69) (885.50) 117.67
(1,541.54) (2,422.81) (1,883.00) (2,732.33)
(1,122.75) (116.75) (621.00) (805.33)
(1,553.96) (1,407.05) (175.00) (814.00)
(446.17) (259.56) 939.00 1,022.33
(1,968.38) (878.57) (921.50) (865.00)
294.41 1,661.50 1,548.50 1,679.67
(1,202.80) (249.72) (319.00) (433.67)
(2,357.01) (2,402.71) (1,856.00) (1,335.67)
870.78 1,318.20 2,697.50 2,021.67
2,543.58 (561.13) 3,333.50 3,502.33
458.37 275.38 (1,202.00) 168.33
1,354.16 197.60 (100.00) 125.67
530.95 (453.41) (328.50) (858.67)
678.74 1,801.28 (217.00) (40.00)
(193.47) (29.71) (751.50) (985.67)
(1,509.68) (1,301.86) (1,705.50) (1,786.00)
1,589.11 2,801.62 2,487.50 1,993.00
cumer (688.55) 373.56

(1,970.31) (165.79)
(1,348.28) 420.55 1,654.00
(1,526.46) 592.68 1,852.50 333.67
1,188.15 870.38 4,392.00 3,390.00
1,080.55 618.80 3,063.00 2,292.00
2,089.74 715.82 2,815.50 2,554.00
5,584.72 3,432.62 5,906.50 4,906.00
3,186.49 1,923.84 1,303.00 1,104.67
4,229.05 3,096.46 1,844.00 1,507.67
4,896.40 3,929.21 3,236.00 1,524.33
2,294.54 2,294.46 (174.00) (785.67)
(235.53) 978.99 (1,690.00) (2,956.00)
(211.80) 1,850.46 946.50 (1,381.67)
1,214.71 3,236.27 3,673.00 1,810.00
(183.99) 2,236.44 1,596.00 833.67
2,799.10 2,448.72 4,612.00 3,862.00
2,943.98 2,430.12 4,011.50 3,065.67
3,575.66 2,027.43 3,126.00 3,183.33
2,034.12 (395.38) 1,243.00 451.00
911.37 (512.12) 622.00 (354.33)
(642.58) (1,919.17) 447.00 (1,168.33)
(1,088.75) (2,178.73) 1,386.00 (146.00)
(3,057.12) (3,057.29) 464.50 (1,011.00)
(2,762.71) (1,395.79) 2,013.00 668.67
(3,965.51) (1,645.51) 1,694.00 235.00
(6,322.51) (4,048.22) (162.00) (1,100.67)
(5,451.73) (2,730.02) 2,535.50 921.00
(2,908.15) (3,291.14) 5,869.00 4,423.33
(2,449.79) (3,015.76) 4,667.00 4,591.67
(1,095.63) (2,818.17) 4,567.00 4,717.33
(564.69) (3,271.58) 4,238.50 3,858.67
114.05 (1,470.30) 4,021.50 3,818.67
(79.42) (1,500.01) 3,270.00 2,833.00
(1,589.11) (2,801.87) 1,564.50 1,047.00
0.00 (0.25) 4,052.00 3,040.00
mad 688.55 373.56

985.16 456.45
864.11 499.74 1,654.00
692.63 417.84 926.25 333.67
1,097.03 389.81 1,464.00 1,695.00
932.12 366.77 1,430.25 1,496.00
943.13 328.24 1,193.70 1,187.50
1,262.11 626.81 1,509.92 1,420.40
1,388.35 724.80 1,951.86 1,817.22
1,353.77 769.58 1,775.50 1,615.19
1,291.37 775.33 1,732.89 1,415.38
1,400.58 846.95 1,900.60 1,514.78
1,487.46 882.99 1,865.64 1,580.33
1,382.91 882.16 1,929.88 1,579.79
1,385.81 915.74 1,991.15 1,714.11
1,386.62 921.00 1,997.29 1,657.36
1,480.53 879.31 2,065.20 1,755.29
1,406.33 831.49 1,973.66 1,691.36
1,365.56 808.92 1,909.65 1,593.00
1,374.35 889.62 1,908.17 1,660.02
1,362.37 852.81 1,840.42 1,612.54
1,371.08 878.01 1,757.15 1,570.51
1,330.87 851.12 1,718.19 1,543.10
1,357.43 852.26 1,681.98 1,510.81
1,314.91 884.63 1,676.17 1,518.48
1,310.60 860.21 1,619.63 1,471.32
1,349.35 917.34 1,629.08 1,465.67
1,332.26 931.66 1,670.17 1,487.91
1,374.03 918.88 1,731.78 1,565.38
1,343.51 897.43 1,712.86 1,513.64
1,343.85 874.85 1,657.24 1,464.07
1,318.45 861.68 1,612.95 1,443.20
1,299.06 890.16 1,567.92 1,396.42
1,266.55 864.85 1,542.41 1,383.17
1,273.49 877.34 1,547.35 1,395.76
1,282.26 930.79 1,575.00 1,413.86
ts (1.00) 1.00
(2.00) (0.36)
(1.56) 0.84 1.00
(2.20) 1.42 2.00 1.00
1.08 2.23 3.00 2.00
1.16 1.69 2.14 1.53
2.22 2.18 2.36 2.15
4.42 5.48 3.91 3.45
2.30 2.65 0.67 0.61
3.12 4.02 1.04 0.93
3.79 5.07 1.87 1.08
1.64 2.71 (0.09) (0.52)
(0.16) 1.11 (0.91) (1.87)
(0.15) 2.10 0.49 (0.87)
0.88 3.53 1.84 1.06
(0.13) 2.43 0.80 0.50
1.89 2.78 2.23 2.20
2.09 2.92 2.03 1.81
2.62 2.51 1.64 2.00
1.48 (0.44) 0.65 0.27
0.67 (0.60) 0.34 (0.22)
(0.47) (2.19) 0.25 (0.74)
(0.82) (2.56) 0.81 (0.09)
(2.25) (3.59) 0.28 (0.67)
(2.10) (1.58) 1.20 0.44
(3.03) (1.91) 1.05 0.16
(4.69) (4.41) (0.10) (0.75)
(4.09) (2.93) 1.52 0.62
(2.12) (3.58) 3.39 2.83
(1.82) (3.36) 2.72 3.03
(0.82) (3.22) 2.76 3.22
(0.43) (3.80) 2.63 2.67
0.09 (1.65) 2.56 2.73
(0.06) (1.73) 2.12 2.05
(1.25) (3.19) 1.01 0.75
0.00 (0.00) 2.57 2.15
min (4.69) (4.41) (0.91) (1.87)
max 4.42 5.48 3.91 3.45
mad 1,282.26 930.79 1,575.00 1,413.86

mse 1,572.20 1,218.27 1,941.74 1,783.67
mape 90.68 61.80 109.75 97.37
min ts (4.69) (4.41) (0.91) (1.87)
max ts 4.42 5.48 3.91 3.45
ma4 ma5 wma2 0.2 0.95 0.99
7000
1,920.00 1,920.00 1,920.00
1,545.33 1,807.60 1,386.10 1,363.62
2,648.00 2,104.68 3,197.66 3,273.71
2,273.75 2,780.33 2,188.54 2,557.68 2,531.50
3,155.75 2,908.60 4,473.33 2,840.44 5,303.48 5,418.83
3,480.50 3,056.00 3,587.33 2,803.75 2,789.32 2,684.62
3,608.50 3,545.40 3,422.33 3,004.00 3,754.22 3,793.80
4,558.00 4,151.20 5,483.00 3,667.60 6,193.61 6,296.72
3,311.00 3,738.40 2,414.00 3,026.08 746.68 518.37
3,629.75 3,435.20 2,774.67 3,207.26 3,772.73 3,897.86 6000
3,575.50 3,621.40 3,702.67 3,283.41 3,597.24 3,591.10
2,082.50 2,930.40 1,429.33 2,696.73 512.36 382.41
2,080.75 1,756.60 418.67 2,247.98 455.97 452.29
1,857.25 2,272.20 2,176.33 2,405.99 2,908.90 3,012.14
2,078.25 2,380.20 3,994.00 2,819.19 4,393.84 4,457.40
2,410.25 1,998.20 2,609.33 2,590.95 1,813.79 1,705.79
3,819.75 3,146.40 4,620.00 3,290.96 5,877.14 6,047.15
3,881.25 3,712.60 4,219.67 3,289.57 3,413.66 3,311.63
3,713.75 3,865.40 3,629.33 3,392.06 3,782.58 3,797.10
3,709.25 3,303.00 2,374.00 3,045.64 1,766.13 1,681.37 5000
2,714.00 3,389.40 1,960.00 2,858.52 2,092.81 2,105.71
2,320.50 2,513.20 1,843.33 2,628.81 1,729.14 1,713.96
2,082.25 2,426.20 2,469.33 2,672.85 2,793.01 2,837.65
2,006.75 1,937.40 1,855.00 2,409.88 1,429.75 1,372.80
2,392.25 2,335.80 2,887.33 2,658.30 3,540.89 3,629.21
2,511.25 2,351.00 2,674.67 2,563.84 2,253.74 2,200.43
2,064.75 2,221.60 1,437.33 2,263.67 1,122.54 1,074.37
2,805.75 2,516.20 3,235.67 2,675.34 4,162.03 4,289.52
3,399.25 3,449.80 5,458.00 3,345.47 5,932.80 6,008.64
3,845.75 3,513.80 4,656.67 3,470.78 4,070.04 3,992.37 4000
4,804.75 4,056.40 4,590.00 3,756.42 4,857.55 4,889.93
4,751.00 4,665.20 4,371.00 3,826.54 4,144.53 4,114.83
4,316.00 4,658.00 4,226.33 3,918.43 4,278.93 4,284.29
4,184.25 4,141.80 3,725.33 3,823.74 3,486.70 3,453.39
3,499.50 3,779.40 2,588.33 3,491.00 2,226.33 2,172.93
562.00 562.00 562.00

1,747.67 1,485.40 1,906.90 1,929.38
124.00 419.32 673.66 749.71 3000
3,174.25 2,667.67 3,259.46 2,890.32 2,916.50
498.75 251.60 1,816.33 183.44 2,646.48 2,761.83
3000
324.50 749.00 217.67 1,001.25 1,015.68 1,120.38

2,713.50 2,776.60 2,899.67 3,318.00 2,567.78 2,528.20
4,098.00 3,691.20 5,023.00 3,207.60 5,733.61 5,836.72
621.00 193.60 1,518.00 905.92 3,185.32 3,413.63
41.75 152.80 813.33 380.74 184.73 309.86
3,225.50 3,271.40 3,352.67 2,933.41 3,247.24 3,241.10
1,629.50 2,477.40 976.33 2,243.73 59.36 70.59
2000
957.25 1,281.40 2,619.33 790.02 2,582.03 2,585.71
2,614.75 2,199.80 2,295.67 2,066.01 1,563.10 1,459.86
400.25 702.20 2,316.00 1,141.19 2,715.84 2,779.40
3,680.75 4,092.80 3,481.67 3,500.05 4,277.21 4,385.21
535.75 137.60 1,336.00 6.96 2,593.14 2,763.15
79.25 89.40 417.67 512.43 388.34 490.37
2,053.75 2,205.40 1,969.33 1,732.06 2,122.58 2,137.10
1,599.25 1,193.00 264.00 935.64 343.87 428.63
1,004.00 1,679.40 250.00 1,148.52 382.81 395.71
528.50 335.80 1,005.67 220.19 1,119.86 1,135.04
1000
724.25 1,068.20 1,111.33 1,314.85 1,435.01 1,479.65
1,645.25 1,714.60 1,797.00 1,242.12 2,222.25 2,279.20
206.25 149.80 701.33 472.30 1,354.89 1,443.21
1,448.25 1,288.00 1,611.67 1,500.84 1,190.74 1,137.43
2,257.25 2,100.40 2,884.67 2,058.33 3,199.46 3,247.63
3,220.25 3,509.80 2,790.33 3,350.66 1,863.97 1,736.48
572.75 522.20 1,486.00 626.53 1,960.80 2,036.64
1,053.25 1,385.20 242.33 1,428.22 828.96 906.63
697.75 50.60 483.00 350.58 750.55 782.93
465.00 379.20 85.00 459.46 141.47 171.17
0
871.00 1,213.00 781.33 473.43 833.93 839.29 1 2 3 4 5
2,024.25 1,981.80 1,565.33 1,663.74 1,326.70 1,293.39
1,790.50 1,510.60 2,701.67 1,799.00 3,063.67 3,117.07
1,461.13 1,430.77 1,628.02 1,391.24 1,798.12 1,842.02
315844 315844 315844

3054338.7778 2206413.16 3636267.61 3722507.1844
15376 175829.2624 453811.05903 562059.38632
10075863.063 7116445.4444 10624053.416 8353933.8056 8505989.3874
248751.5625 63302.56 3299066.7778 33648.472599 7003878.29 7627732.4049
105300.25 561001 47378.777778 1002505.2471 1031597.3167 1255255.0423
7363082.25 7709507.56 8408066.7778 11009133.768 6593513.5904 6391814.5378
16793604 13624957.44 25230529 10288690.205 32874292.926 34067276.566
385641 37480.96 2304324 820692.7533 10146260.059 11652889.032
1743.0625 23347.84 661511.11111 144960.47559 34126.660741 96015.495099
10403850.25 10702057.96 11240373.778 8604897.731 10544546.195 10504720.373
2655270.25 6137510.76 953226.77778 5034317.4814 3523.8274626 4982.8088457
916327.5625 1641985.96 6860907.1111 624127.20454 6666888.7752 6685874.9503
6836917.5625 4839120.04 5270085.4444 4268412.9156 2443286.5976 2131182.6324
160200.0625 493084.84 5363856 1302312.2894 7375813.6307 7725072.3058
13547920.563 16751011.84 12122002.778 12250341.711 18294506.171 19230031.537
287028.0625 18933.76 1784896 48.454790905 6724373.0489 7634986.5391
6280.5625 7992.36 174445.44444 262585.77773 150810.30071 240461.28599
4217889.0625 4863789.16 3878273.7778 3000014.5453 4505357.951 4567180.6587
2557600.5625 1423249 69696 875429.70437 118247.16667 183722.85123
1008016 2820384.36 62500 1319087.1741 146540.78361 156589.33999
279312.25 112761.64 1011365.4444 48482.683432 1254085.6965 1288322.3006
524538.0625 1141051.24 1235061.7778 1728829.8142 2059245.1364 2189362.8541
2706847.5625 2939853.16 3229209 1542862.6297 4938393.5033 5194768.614
42539.0625 22440.04 491868.44444 223070.90557 1835720.1852 2082849.2301
2097428.0625 1658944 2597469.4444 2252529.897 1417872.1687 1293751.7358
5095177.5625 4411680.16 8321301.7778 4236704.0711 10236562.088 10547072.552
10370010.063 12318696.04 7785960.1111 11226925.386 3474395.8631 3015349.7904
328042.5625 272692.84 2208196 392537.77613 3844741.9069 4147883.0904
1109335.5625 1918779.04 58725.444444 2039820.0287 687174.57027 821984.57101
486855.0625 2560.36 233289 122905.03604 563328.30974 612985.12148
216225 143792.64 7225 211105.80391 20014.439914 29299.395997
758641 1471369 610481.77778 224135.95253 695433.20727 704404.83938
4097588.0625 3927531.24 2450268.4444 2768044.0628 1760123.1228 1672865.1496
3205890.25 2281912.36 7299002.7778 3236418.3005 9386044.36 9716100.892
3,402,804 3,365,896 3,984,021 2,983,363 4,845,444 5,045,120
41.384388807 41.384388807 41.384388807

53.072173297 45.107804434 57.907682964 58.590343152
4.912836767 16.613312203 26.689976228 29.703098257
58.264500734 48.9659814 59.828487518 53.052812959 53.533460683
18.771170493 9.4693263079 68.36030611 6.9038464434 99.604220455 103.94561425
8.5282522996 19.684625493 5.720543145 26.314108804 26.69318773 29.444984239
42.921543815 43.919645682 45.86628704 52.483414616 40.616636977 39.990569701
890.86956522 802.43478261 1091.9565217 697.30409183 1246.4371327 1268.8517308
15.793489318 4.9237029502 38.606307223 23.039698425 81.010159193 86.816704486
1.1636008919 4.2586399108 22.668153103 10.611392243 5.1486629606 8.6361112541
921.57142857 934.68571429 957.9047619 838.11731345 927.78191467 926.02818192
359.71302428 546.88741722 215.52612215 495.3042997 13.104157852 15.582563716
31.50921659 42.179065174 86.219003731 26.004516717 84.991175387 85.112109616
58.469364937 49.190518784 51.334227788 46.198876885 34.95307682 32.644388616
23.852800954 41.847437426 138.02145411 68.00887846 161.85011444 165.63774907
60.42932195 67.194220982 57.160838395 57.462630365 70.221765785 71.994844618
16.313946407 4.1900121803 40.682095006 0.2119655164 78.962838377 84.139705851
2.0844292478 2.3513940032 10.985446256 13.477939031 10.214177259 12.897646518
123.71987952 132.85542169 118.63453815 104.34066304 127.86643669 128.74074186
75.793838863 56.54028436 12.511848341 44.34331778 16.29719704 20.314172363
58.713450292 98.210526316 14.619883041 67.16463182 22.386342522 23.14115261
18.55036855 11.786591787 35.298935299 7.7286007969 39.307113975 39.840044328
53.332106038 78.659793814 81.836033382 96.822513302 105.67061975 108.95799495
45.050657174 46.949616648 49.205914567 34.012054093 60.850209452 62.409734509
9.4350411711 6.8526989936 32.08295212 21.605847558 61.980215807 66.02049245
136.24176858 121.16650988 151.61492631 141.18937555 112.01734486 107.00207711
52.226978251 48.597871356 66.743791455 47.624376454 74.027366525 75.141732513
53.439263193 58.244274809 46.304900985 55.603392636 30.93217954 28.81639988
14.419687815 13.147029204 37.411883182 15.773624175 49.365592725 51.274804568
21.499285568 28.275158196 4.946587739 29.153351332 16.921002916 18.50650434
16.989286584 1.2320428537 11.760409058 8.5361126227 18.274945297 19.063395752
10.849276715 8.8474101727 1.9832011199 10.720077376 3.3008026092 3.9937158975
25.283018868 35.210449927 22.680212869 13.74252502 24.206861539 24.362504887
93.715277778 91.75 72.469135802 77.025184701 61.42112588 59.879300136
33.846880907 28.555765595 51.071203529 34.007652332 57.914275691 58.923744257
104.7925538 110.97090157 110.26880636 95.250579029 112.6675347 114.60922023
(562.00) (562.00) (562.00)

1,747.67 1,485.40 1,906.90 1,929.38
(124.00) 419.32 (673.66) (749.71)
3,174.25 2,667.67 3,259.46 2,890.32 2,916.50
(498.75) (251.60) (1,816.33) (183.44) (2,646.48) (2,761.83)
324.50 749.00 217.67 1,001.25 1,015.68 1,120.38
2,713.50 2,776.60 2,899.67 3,318.00 2,567.78 2,528.20
(4,098.00) (3,691.20) (5,023.00) (3,207.60) (5,733.61) (5,836.72)
621.00 193.60 1,518.00 905.92 3,185.32 3,413.63
(41.75) 152.80 813.33 380.74 (184.73) (309.86)
(3,225.50) (3,271.40) (3,352.67) (2,933.41) (3,247.24) (3,241.10)
(1,629.50) (2,477.40) (976.33) (2,243.73) (59.36) 70.59
957.25 1,281.40 2,619.33 790.02 2,582.03 2,585.71
2,614.75 2,199.80 2,295.67 2,066.01 1,563.10 1,459.86
(400.25) (702.20) (2,316.00) (1,141.19) (2,715.84) (2,779.40)
3,680.75 4,092.80 3,481.67 3,500.05 4,277.21 4,385.21
(535.75) 137.60 (1,336.00) (6.96) (2,593.14) (2,763.15)
(79.25) 89.40 (417.67) 512.43 388.34 490.37
(2,053.75) (2,205.40) (1,969.33) (1,732.06) (2,122.58) (2,137.10)
(1,599.25) (1,193.00) (264.00) (935.64) 343.87 428.63
(1,004.00) (1,679.40) (250.00) (1,148.52) (382.81) (395.71)
528.50 335.80 1,005.67 220.19 1,119.86 1,135.04
(724.25) (1,068.20) (1,111.33) (1,314.85) (1,435.01) (1,479.65)
1,645.25 1,714.60 1,797.00 1,242.12 2,222.25 2,279.20
(206.25) (149.80) (701.33) (472.30) (1,354.89) (1,443.21)
(1,448.25) (1,288.00) (1,611.67) (1,500.84) (1,190.74) (1,137.43)
2,257.25 2,100.40 2,884.67 2,058.33 3,199.46 3,247.63
3,220.25 3,509.80 2,790.33 3,350.66 1,863.97 1,736.48
572.75 522.20 (1,486.00) 626.53 (1,960.80) (2,036.64)
1,053.25 1,385.20 242.33 1,428.22 828.96 906.63
(697.75) 50.60 (483.00) 350.58 (750.55) (782.93)
(465.00) (379.20) (85.00) 459.46 141.47 171.17
(871.00) (1,213.00) (781.33) (473.43) (833.93) (839.29)
(2,024.25) (1,981.80) (1,565.33) (1,663.74) (1,326.70) (1,293.39)
1,790.50 1,510.60 2,701.67 1,799.00 3,063.67 3,117.07
(562.00) (562.00) (562.00)

1,747.67 923.40 1,344.90 1,367.38
1,623.67 1,342.72 671.25 617.67
3,174.25 4,291.33 4,602.18 3,561.56 3,534.18
2,675.50 (251.60) 2,475.00 4,418.74 915.08 772.34
3,000.00 497.40 2,692.67 5,419.99 1,930.75 1,892.72
5,713.50 3,274.00 5,592.33 8,737.99 4,498.54 4,420.93
1,615.50 (417.20) 569.33 5,530.40 (1,235.07) (1,415.79)
2,236.50 (223.60) 2,087.33 6,436.32 1,950.25 1,997.84
2,194.75 (70.80) 2,900.67 6,817.05 1,765.51 1,687.98
(1,030.75) (3,342.20) (452.00) 3,883.64 (1,481.72) (1,553.12)
(2,660.25) (5,819.60) (1,428.33) 1,639.91 (1,541.09) (1,482.53)
(1,703.00) (4,538.20) 1,191.00 2,429.93 1,040.95 1,103.17
911.75 (2,338.40) 3,486.67 4,495.94 2,604.05 2,563.03
511.50 (3,040.60) 1,170.67 3,354.76 (111.80) (216.37)
4,192.25 1,052.20 4,652.33 6,854.80 4,165.41 4,168.84
3,656.50 1,189.80 3,316.33 6,847.84 1,572.27 1,405.69
3,577.25 1,279.20 2,898.67 7,360.28 1,960.61 1,896.06
1,523.50 (926.20) 929.33 5,628.22 (161.97) (241.04)
(75.75) (2,119.20) 665.33 4,692.58 181.90 187.59
(1,079.75) (3,798.60) 415.33 3,544.06 (200.90) (208.12)
(551.25) (3,462.80) 1,421.00 3,764.25 918.95 926.92
(1,275.50) (4,531.00) 309.67 2,449.40 (516.05) (552.73)
369.75 (2,816.40) 2,106.67 3,691.52 1,706.20 1,726.47
163.50 (2,966.20) 1,405.33 3,219.22 351.31 283.26
(1,284.75) (4,254.20) (206.33) 1,718.37 (839.43) (854.17)
972.50 (2,153.80) 2,678.33 3,776.70 2,360.03 2,393.46
4,192.75 1,356.00 5,468.67 7,127.36 4,224.00 4,129.93
4,765.50 1,878.20 3,982.67 7,753.89 2,263.20 2,093.30
5,818.75 3,263.40 4,225.00 9,182.11 3,092.16 2,999.93
5,121.00 3,314.00 3,742.00 9,532.69 2,341.61 2,217.00
4,656.00 2,934.80 3,657.00 9,992.15 2,483.08 2,388.17
3,785.00 1,721.80 2,875.67 9,518.72 1,649.15 1,548.88
1,760.75 (260.00) 1,310.33 7,854.98 322.46 255.49
3,551.25 1,250.60 4,012.00 9,653.98 3,386.12 3,372.55
562.00 562.00 562.00

1,747.67 1,023.70 1,234.45 1,245.69
935.83 822.24 1,047.52 1,080.36
3,174.25 1,513.11 1,431.54 1,508.22 1,539.40
1,836.50 251.60 1,588.92 1,181.92 1,735.87 1,783.88
1,332.50 500.30 1,314.67 1,151.81 1,615.84 1,673.30
1,677.75 1,259.07 1,578.83 1,461.27 1,751.83 1,795.43
2,161.80 1,867.10 2,070.86 1,679.56 2,249.55 2,300.59
1,905.00 1,532.40 2,001.75 1,593.60 2,353.53 2,424.26
1,638.82 1,302.47 1,869.70 1,472.31 2,136.65 2,212.82
1,837.16 1,583.74 2,018.00 1,605.14 2,237.61 2,306.30
1,814.08 1,695.45 1,923.30 1,658.36 2,056.09 2,119.99
1,728.40 1,649.44 1,981.31 1,591.56 2,096.55 2,155.82
1,808.98 1,704.48 2,005.49 1,625.45 2,058.44 2,106.11
1,691.58 1,613.36 2,027.67 1,593.17 2,102.27 2,150.99
1,844.60 1,819.98 2,124.60 1,712.35 2,238.20 2,290.63
1,751.11 1,690.57 2,075.31 1,612.03 2,259.08 2,318.43
1,639.65 1,576.20 1,977.80 1,550.94 2,155.15 2,216.87
1,665.53 1,618.15 1,977.33 1,560.47 2,153.44 2,212.67
1,661.63 1,591.58 1,887.16 1,529.23 2,062.96 2,123.47
1,625.10 1,596.74 1,805.30 1,511.10 1,982.95 2,041.19
1,567.38 1,526.69 1,767.22 1,452.42 1,943.72 2,000.00
1,525.23 1,502.56 1,737.41 1,446.44 1,921.60 1,977.38
1,530.94 1,513.16 1,740.00 1,437.93 1,934.13 1,989.96
1,470.73 1,448.24 1,696.72 1,399.30 1,910.96 1,968.09
1,469.75 1,440.95 1,693.32 1,403.21 1,883.26 1,936.14
1,502.56 1,469.63 1,739.14 1,427.47 1,932.01 1,984.71
1,571.27 1,554.63 1,778.07 1,496.16 1,929.58 1,975.85
1,532.87 1,513.34 1,767.64 1,466.17 1,930.65 1,977.94
1,515.10 1,508.41 1,715.05 1,464.91 1,893.93 1,942.23
1,485.91 1,454.41 1,673.98 1,428.96 1,857.05 1,904.83
1,450.71 1,416.01 1,622.72 1,398.66 1,803.44 1,850.66
1,431.38 1,409.01 1,596.43 1,370.63 1,774.06 1,820.01
1,450.51 1,428.11 1,595.48 1,379.25 1,760.90 1,804.52
1,461.13 1,430.77 1,628.02 1,391.24 1,798.12 1,842.02
(1.00) (1.00) (1.00)

1.00 0.90 1.09 1.10
1.73 1.63 0.64 0.57
1.00 2.84 3.21 2.36 2.30
1.46 (1.00) 1.56 3.74 0.53 0.43
2.25 0.99 2.05 4.71 1.19 1.13
3.41 2.60 3.54 5.98 2.57 2.46
0.75 (0.22) 0.27 3.29 (0.55) (0.62)
1.17 (0.15) 1.04 4.04 0.83 0.82
1.34 (0.05) 1.55 4.63 0.83 0.76
(0.56) (2.11) (0.22) 2.42 (0.66) (0.67)
(1.47) (3.43) (0.74) 0.99 (0.75) (0.70)
(0.99) (2.75) 0.60 1.53 0.50 0.51
0.50 (1.37) 1.74 2.77 1.27 1.22
0.30 (1.88) 0.58 2.11 (0.05) (0.10)
2.27 0.58 2.19 4.00 1.86 1.82
2.09 0.70 1.60 4.25 0.70 0.61
2.18 0.81 1.47 4.75 0.91 0.86
0.91 (0.57) 0.47 3.61 (0.08) (0.11)
(0.05) (1.33) 0.35 3.07 0.09 0.09
(0.66) (2.38) 0.23 2.35 (0.10) (0.10)
(0.35) (2.27) 0.80 2.59 0.47 0.46
(0.84) (3.02) 0.18 1.69 (0.27) (0.28)
0.24 (1.86) 1.21 2.57 0.88 0.87
0.11 (2.05) 0.83 2.30 0.18 0.14
(0.87) (2.95) (0.12) 1.22 (0.45) (0.44)
0.65 (1.47) 1.54 2.65 1.22 1.21
2.67 0.87 3.08 4.76 2.19 2.09
3.11 1.24 2.25 5.29 1.17 1.06
3.84 2.16 2.46 6.27 1.63 1.54
3.45 2.28 2.24 6.67 1.26 1.16
3.21 2.07 2.25 7.14 1.38 1.29
2.64 1.22 1.80 6.94 0.93 0.85
1.21 (0.18) 0.82 5.70 0.18 0.14
2.43 0.87 2.46 6.94 1.88 1.83
(1.47) (3.43) (0.74) (1.00) (1.00) (1.00)
3.84 2.60 3.54 7.14 2.57 2.46
1,461.13 1,430.77 1,628.02 1,391.24 1,798.12 1,842.02

1,844.67 1,834.64 1,996.00 1,727.24 2,201.24 2,246.13
104.79 110.97 110.27 95.25 112.67 114.61
(1.47) (3.43) (0.74) (1.00) (1.00) (1.00)
3.84 2.60 3.54 7.14 2.57 2.46
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
3000
2000
1000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35
930.78788
1484184.8
61.798397
Total
trend reg
trendsea3
ma2
wma2
0.2
0.95
0.99
27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36
bulan P01 P02 Total trend reg trendsea3 ma2 wma2
1 4484 1920 1,920.00 2,608.55 1,546.44
2 2162 1358 1,358.00 2,639.76 1,897.34
3 1806 3293 3,293.00 2,670.97 2,706.66 1,639.00 1,545.33
4 3931 2524 2,524.00 2,702.18 2,351.87 2,325.50 2,648.00
5 1918 5448 5,448.00 2,733.39 5,170.30 2,908.50 2,780.33
6 2765 2657 2,657.00 2,764.60 2,908.58 3,986.00 4,473.33
7 5379 3805 3,805.00 2,795.81 3,707.98 4,052.50 3,587.33
8 4531 6322 6,322.00 2,827.02 3,605.20 3,231.00 3,422.33
9 2075 460 460.00 2,858.23 1,968.78 5,063.50 5,483.00
10 7061 3932 3,932.00 2,889.44 2,759.39 3,391.00 2,414.00
11 1226 3588 3,588.00 2,920.65 2,755.25 2,196.00 2,774.67
12 3140 350 350.00 2,951.86 1,984.75 3,760.00 3,702.67
13 964 453 453.00 2,983.07 1,768.47 1,969.00 1,429.33
14 2949 3038 3,038.00 3,014.28 2,166.53 401.50 418.67
15 3466 4472 4,472.00 3,045.49 3,086.19 1,745.50 2,176.33
16 2874 1678 1,678.00 3,076.70 2,677.83 3,755.00 3,994.00
17 5070 6091 6,091.00 3,107.91 5,878.71 3,075.00 2,609.33
18 2912 3284 3,284.00 3,139.12 3,302.60 3,884.50 4,620.00
19 6829 3802 3,802.00 3,170.33 4,204.69 4,687.50 4,219.67
20 5106 1660 1,660.00 3,201.54 4,082.81 3,543.00 3,629.33
21 7503 2110 2,110.00 3,232.75 2,226.75 2,731.00 2,374.00
22 3035 1710 1,710.00 3,263.96 3,117.05 1,885.00 1,960.00
23 1384 2849 2,849.00 3,295.17 3,108.56 1,910.00 1,843.33
24 295 1358 1,358.00 3,326.38 2,236.57 2,279.50 2,469.33
25 2352 3652 3,652.00 3,357.59 1,990.50 2,103.50 1,855.00
26 2199 2186 2,186.00 3,388.80 2,435.72 2,505.00 2,887.33
27 1070 1063 1,063.00 3,420.01 3,465.71 2,919.00 2,674.67
28 1666 4322 4,322.00 3,451.22 3,003.80 1,624.50 1,437.33
29 1328 6026 6,026.00 3,482.42 6,587.13 2,692.50 3,235.67
30 3125 3972 3,972.00 3,513.63 3,696.62 5,174.00 5,458.00
31 4660 4899 4,899.00 3,544.84 4,701.40 4,999.00 4,656.67
32 5287 4107 4,107.00 3,576.05 4,560.41 4,435.50 4,590.00
33 4692 4286 4,286.00 3,607.26 2,484.72 4,503.00 4,371.00
34 3543 3445 3,445.00 3,638.47 3,474.71 4,196.50 4,226.33
35 1529 2160 2,160.00 3,669.68 3,461.86 3,865.50 3,725.33
36 3670 5290 5,290.00 3,700.89 2,488.38 2,802.50 2,588.33
117986 113570
231556 688.55 373.56
0.50953549 0.49046451 1,281.76 539.34
622.03 586.34 1,654.00 1,747.67
178.18 172.13 198.50 124.00
2,714.61 277.70 2,539.50 2,667.67
107.60 251.58 1,329.00 1,816.33
1,009.19 97.02 247.50 217.67
3,494.98 2,716.80 3,091.00 2,899.67
2,398.23 1,508.78 4,603.50 5,023.00
1,042.56 1,172.61 541.00 1,518.00
667.35 832.75 1,392.00 813.33
2,601.86 1,634.75 3,410.00 3,352.67
2,530.07 1,315.47 1,516.00 976.33
23.72 871.47 2,636.50 2,619.33
1,426.51 1,385.81 2,726.50 2,295.67
1,398.70 999.83 2,077.00 2,316.00
2,983.09 212.29 3,016.00 3,481.67
144.88 18.60 600.50 1,336.00
631.67 402.69 885.50 417.67
1,541.54 2,422.81 1,883.00 1,969.33
1,122.75 116.75 621.00 264.00
1,553.96 1,407.05 175.00 250.00
446.17 259.56 939.00 1,005.67
1,968.38 878.57 921.50 1,111.33
294.41 1,661.50 1,548.50 1,797.00
1,202.80 249.72 319.00 701.33
2,357.01 2,402.71 1,856.00 1,611.67
870.78 1,318.20 2,697.50 2,884.67
2,543.58 561.13 3,333.50 2,790.33
458.37 275.38 1,202.00 1,486.00
1,354.16 197.60 100.00 242.33
530.95 453.41 328.50 483.00
678.74 1,801.28 217.00 85.00
193.47 29.71 751.50 781.33
1,509.68 1,301.86 1,705.50 1,565.33
1,589.11 2,801.62 2,487.50 2,701.67
mad 1,282.26 930.79 1,575.00 1,628.02
474102.5499 139544.51367
1642910.8311 290891.07791
386920.55771 343788.95576 2735716 3054338.7778
31748.253048 29629.451529 39402.25 15376
7369106.4972 77116.90197 6449060.25 7116445.4444
11577.750768 63291.025856 1766241 3299066.7778
1018464.9843 9411.9590643 61256.25 47378.777778
12214888.559 7381018.2625 9554281 8408066.7778
5751503.7789 2276405.6344 21192212.25 25230529
1086933.2679 1375015.2451 292681 2304324
445357.53986 693474.83535 1937664 661511.11111
6769668.4052 2672406.8727 11628100 11240373.778
6401246.2381 1730463.6205 2298256 953226.77778
562.72347366 759460.49166 6951132.25 6860907.1111
2034936.5204 1920477.2769 7433802.25 5270085.4444
1956355.4496 999665.26043 4313929 5363856
8898840.5628 45065.736487 9096256 12122002.778
20990.987598 345.91822877 360600.25 1784896
399010.63639 162162.50074 784110.25 174445.44444
2376335.9957 5869987.3939 3545689 3878273.7778
1260560.0968 13629.960672 385641 69696
2414780.6686 1979790.9476 30625 62500
199064.31163 67369.624998 881721 1011365.4444
3874504.1517 771876.68111 849162.25 1235061.7778
86679.721111 2760587.827 2397852.25 3229209
1446717.2104 62358.180417 101761 491868.44444
5555474.2789 5773012.8213 3444736 2597469.4444
758266.26594 1737658.3366 7276506.25 8321301.7778
6469774.1625 314861.78293 11112222.25 7785960.1111
210098.74262 75833.771645 1444804 2208196
1833737.1525 39044.432631 10000 58725.444444
281903.36974 205584.54695 107912.25 233289
460682.49014 3244614.5347 47089 7225
37432.123272 882.76285279 564752.25 610481.77778
2279144.6089 1694851.3086 2908730.25 2450268.4444
2525259.8072 7849072.0271 6187656.25 7299002.7778
mse 2,471,821 1,484,185 3,770,340 3,984,021
35.862033909 19.456071541
94.385922847 39.715993462
18.889443867 17.805502297 50.227755846 53.072173297
7.0594451141 6.81981283 7.8645007924 4.912836767
49.827639943 5.0972705828 46.613436123 48.9659814
4.0496784757 9.4684635817 50.018818216 68.36030611
26.522740123 2.5496781001 6.5045992116 5.720543145
55.282829492 42.97378913 48.892755457 45.86628704
521.35419581 327.994827 1000.7608696 1091.9565217
26.514774111 29.822239076 13.758901322 38.606307223
18.599530013 23.209346841 38.795986622 22.668153103
743.3881841 467.07136829 974.28571429 957.9047619
558.51400123 290.39092142 334.65783664 215.52612215
0.7808358533 28.685658477 86.784068466 86.219003731
31.898748032 30.988659611 60.968246869 51.334227788
83.3550518 59.584780465 123.77830751 138.02145411
48.975413718 3.4852556263 49.51567887 57.160838395
4.4117743113 0.5663482669 18.285627284 40.682095006
16.614226385 10.591637389 23.290373488 10.985446256
92.863668315 145.95214978 113.43373494 118.63453815
53.210742903 5.5330532015 29.431279621 12.511848341
90.874646576 82.283651604 10.233918129 14.619883041
15.660450603 9.1104455266 32.958932959 35.298935299
144.94668769 64.695517399 67.857142857 81.836033382
8.0617250798 45.495664795 42.401423877 49.205914567
55.022670691 11.423430913 14.592863678 32.08295212
221.73145461 226.03099483 174.60018815 151.61492631
20.147729206 30.499830906 62.413234614 66.743791455
42.210007884 9.311740142 55.318619316 46.304900985
11.539911729 6.9330141792 30.26183283 37.411883182
27.641467905 4.0334076596 2.0412329047 4.946587739
12.927823994 11.040037047 7.9985390796 11.760409058
15.836116431 42.027096573 5.0629958003 1.9832011199
5.6160763708 0.8624477599 21.814223512 22.680212869
69.892759823 60.27150698 78.958333333 72.469135802
30.039822431 52.960671767 47.02268431 51.071203529
mape 90.680839761 61.798396807 109.74719578 110.26880636
err (688.55) 373.56

(1,281.76) (539.34)
622.03 586.34 1,654.00 1,747.67
(178.18) 172.13 198.50 (124.00)
2,714.61 277.70 2,539.50 2,667.67
(107.60) (251.58) (1,329.00) (1,816.33)
1,009.19 97.02 (247.50) 217.67
3,494.98 2,716.80 3,091.00 2,899.67
(2,398.23) (1,508.78) (4,603.50) (5,023.00)
1,042.56 1,172.61 541.00 1,518.00
667.35 832.75 1,392.00 813.33
(2,601.86) (1,634.75) (3,410.00) (3,352.67)
(2,530.07) (1,315.47) (1,516.00) (976.33)
23.72 871.47 2,636.50 2,619.33
1,426.51 1,385.81 2,726.50 2,295.67
(1,398.70) (999.83) (2,077.00) (2,316.00)
2,983.09 212.29 3,016.00 3,481.67
144.88 (18.60) (600.50) (1,336.00)
631.67 (402.69) (885.50) (417.67)
(1,541.54) (2,422.81) (1,883.00) (1,969.33)
(1,122.75) (116.75) (621.00) (264.00)
(1,553.96) (1,407.05) (175.00) (250.00)
(446.17) (259.56) 939.00 1,005.67
(1,968.38) (878.57) (921.50) (1,111.33)
294.41 1,661.50 1,548.50 1,797.00
(1,202.80) (249.72) (319.00) (701.33)
(2,357.01) (2,402.71) (1,856.00) (1,611.67)
870.78 1,318.20 2,697.50 2,884.67
2,543.58 (561.13) 3,333.50 2,790.33
458.37 275.38 (1,202.00) (1,486.00)
1,354.16 197.60 (100.00) 242.33
530.95 (453.41) (328.50) (483.00)
678.74 1,801.28 (217.00) (85.00)
(193.47) (29.71) (751.50) (781.33)
(1,509.68) (1,301.86) (1,705.50) (1,565.33)
1,589.11 2,801.62 2,487.50 2,701.67
cumer (688.55) 373.56

(1,970.31) (165.79)
(1,348.28) 420.55 1,654.00 1,747.67
(1,526.46) 592.68 1,852.50 1,623.67
1,188.15 870.38 4,392.00 4,291.33
1,080.55 618.80 3,063.00 2,475.00
2,089.74 715.82 2,815.50 2,692.67
5,584.72 3,432.62 5,906.50 5,592.33
3,186.49 1,923.84 1,303.00 569.33
4,229.05 3,096.46 1,844.00 2,087.33
4,896.40 3,929.21 3,236.00 2,900.67
2,294.54 2,294.46 (174.00) (452.00)
(235.53) 978.99 (1,690.00) (1,428.33)
(211.80) 1,850.46 946.50 1,191.00
1,214.71 3,236.27 3,673.00 3,486.67
(183.99) 2,236.44 1,596.00 1,170.67
2,799.10 2,448.72 4,612.00 4,652.33
2,943.98 2,430.12 4,011.50 3,316.33
3,575.66 2,027.43 3,126.00 2,898.67
2,034.12 (395.38) 1,243.00 929.33
911.37 (512.12) 622.00 665.33
(642.58) (1,919.17) 447.00 415.33
(1,088.75) (2,178.73) 1,386.00 1,421.00
(3,057.12) (3,057.29) 464.50 309.67
(2,762.71) (1,395.79) 2,013.00 2,106.67
(3,965.51) (1,645.51) 1,694.00 1,405.33
(6,322.51) (4,048.22) (162.00) (206.33)
(5,451.73) (2,730.02) 2,535.50 2,678.33
(2,908.15) (3,291.14) 5,869.00 5,468.67
(2,449.79) (3,015.76) 4,667.00 3,982.67
(1,095.63) (2,818.17) 4,567.00 4,225.00
(564.69) (3,271.58) 4,238.50 3,742.00
114.05 (1,470.30) 4,021.50 3,657.00
(79.42) (1,500.01) 3,270.00 2,875.67
(1,589.11) (2,801.87) 1,564.50 1,310.33
0.00 (0.25) 4,052.00 4,012.00
mad 688.55 373.56

985.16 456.45
864.11 499.74 1,654.00 1,747.67
692.63 417.84 926.25 935.83
1,097.03 389.81 1,464.00 1,513.11
932.12 366.77 1,430.25 1,588.92
943.13 328.24 1,193.70 1,314.67
1,262.11 626.81 1,509.92 1,578.83
1,388.35 724.80 1,951.86 2,070.86
1,353.77 769.58 1,775.50 2,001.75
1,291.37 775.33 1,732.89 1,869.70
1,400.58 846.95 1,900.60 2,018.00
1,487.46 882.99 1,865.64 1,923.30
1,382.91 882.16 1,929.88 1,981.31
1,385.81 915.74 1,991.15 2,005.49
1,386.62 921.00 1,997.29 2,027.67
1,480.53 879.31 2,065.20 2,124.60
1,406.33 831.49 1,973.66 2,075.31
1,365.56 808.92 1,909.65 1,977.80
1,374.35 889.62 1,908.17 1,977.33
1,362.37 852.81 1,840.42 1,887.16
1,371.08 878.01 1,757.15 1,805.30
1,330.87 851.12 1,718.19 1,767.22
1,357.43 852.26 1,681.98 1,737.41
1,314.91 884.63 1,676.17 1,740.00
1,310.60 860.21 1,619.63 1,696.72
1,349.35 917.34 1,629.08 1,693.32
1,332.26 931.66 1,670.17 1,739.14
1,374.03 918.88 1,731.78 1,778.07
1,343.51 897.43 1,712.86 1,767.64
1,343.85 874.85 1,657.24 1,715.05
1,318.45 861.68 1,612.95 1,673.98
1,299.06 890.16 1,567.92 1,622.72
1,266.55 864.85 1,542.41 1,596.43
1,273.49 877.34 1,547.35 1,595.48
1,282.26 930.79 1,575.00 1,628.02
ts (1.00) 1.00
(2.00) (0.36)
(1.56) 0.84 1.00 1.00
(2.20) 1.42 2.00 1.73
1.08 2.23 3.00 2.84
1.16 1.69 2.14 1.56
2.22 2.18 2.36 2.05
4.42 5.48 3.91 3.54
2.30 2.65 0.67 0.27
3.12 4.02 1.04 1.04
3.79 5.07 1.87 1.55
1.64 2.71 (0.09) (0.22)
(0.16) 1.11 (0.91) (0.74)
(0.15) 2.10 0.49 0.60
0.88 3.53 1.84 1.74
(0.13) 2.43 0.80 0.58
1.89 2.78 2.23 2.19
2.09 2.92 2.03 1.60
2.62 2.51 1.64 1.47
1.48 (0.44) 0.65 0.47
0.67 (0.60) 0.34 0.35
(0.47) (2.19) 0.25 0.23
(0.82) (2.56) 0.81 0.80
(2.25) (3.59) 0.28 0.18
(2.10) (1.58) 1.20 1.21
(3.03) (1.91) 1.05 0.83
(4.69) (4.41) (0.10) (0.12)
(4.09) (2.93) 1.52 1.54
(2.12) (3.58) 3.39 3.08
(1.82) (3.36) 2.72 2.25
(0.82) (3.22) 2.76 2.46
(0.43) (3.80) 2.63 2.24
0.09 (1.65) 2.56 2.25
(0.06) (1.73) 2.12 1.80
(1.25) (3.19) 1.01 0.82
0.00 (0.00) 2.57 2.46
min (4.69) (4.41) (0.91) (0.74)
max 4.42 5.48 3.91 3.54
mad 1,282.26 930.79 1,575.00 1,628.02

mse 1,572.20 1,218.27 1,941.74 1,996.00
mape 90.68 61.80 109.75 110.27
min ts (4.69) (4.41) (0.91) (0.74)
max ts 4.42 5.48 3.91 3.54
0.2 0.95 0.99
7,000.00
1,920.00 1,920.00 1,920.00
1,807.60 1,386.10 1,363.62
2,104.68 3,197.66 3,273.71
2,188.54 2,557.68 2,531.50
2,840.44 5,303.48 5,418.83
2,803.75 2,789.32 2,684.62
3,004.00 3,754.22 3,793.80
3,667.60 6,193.61 6,296.72
3,026.08 746.68 518.37
3,207.26 3,772.73 3,897.86 6,000.00
3,283.41 3,597.24 3,591.10
2,696.73 512.36 382.41
2,247.98 455.97 452.29
2,405.99 2,908.90 3,012.14
2,819.19 4,393.84 4,457.40
2,590.95 1,813.79 1,705.79
3,290.96 5,877.14 6,047.15
3,289.57 3,413.66 3,311.63
3,392.06 3,782.58 3,797.10
3,045.64 1,766.13 1,681.37 5,000.00
2,858.52 2,092.81 2,105.71
2,628.81 1,729.14 1,713.96
2,672.85 2,793.01 2,837.65
2,409.88 1,429.75 1,372.80
2,658.30 3,540.89 3,629.21
2,563.84 2,253.74 2,200.43
2,263.67 1,122.54 1,074.37
2,675.34 4,162.03 4,289.52
3,345.47 5,932.80 6,008.64
3,470.78 4,070.04 3,992.37 4,000.00
3,756.42 4,857.55 4,889.93
3,826.54 4,144.53 4,114.83
3,918.43 4,278.93 4,284.29
3,823.74 3,486.70 3,453.39
3,491.00 2,226.33 2,172.93
562.00 562.00 562.00

1,485.40 1,906.90 1,929.38
419.32 673.66 749.71 3,000.00
3,259.46 2,890.32 2,916.50
183.44 2,646.48 2,761.83
3,000.00
1,001.25 1,015.68 1,120.38

3,318.00 2,567.78 2,528.20
3,207.60 5,733.61 5,836.72
905.92 3,185.32 3,413.63
380.74 184.73 309.86
2,933.41 3,247.24 3,241.10
2,243.73 59.36 70.59
2,000.00
790.02 2,582.03 2,585.71
2,066.01 1,563.10 1,459.86
1,141.19 2,715.84 2,779.40
3,500.05 4,277.21 4,385.21
6.96 2,593.14 2,763.15
512.43 388.34 490.37
1,732.06 2,122.58 2,137.10
935.64 343.87 428.63
1,148.52 382.81 395.71
220.19 1,119.86 1,135.04
1,000.00
1,314.85 1,435.01 1,479.65
1,242.12 2,222.25 2,279.20
472.30 1,354.89 1,443.21
1,500.84 1,190.74 1,137.43
2,058.33 3,199.46 3,247.63
3,350.66 1,863.97 1,736.48
626.53 1,960.80 2,036.64
1,428.22 828.96 906.63
350.58 750.55 782.93
459.46 141.47 171.17
-
473.43 833.93 839.29 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 1
1,663.74 1,326.70 1,293.39
1,799.00 3,063.67 3,117.07
1,391.24 1,798.12 1,842.02 930.78788
315844 315844 315844

2206413.16 3636267.61 3722507.1844
175829.2624 453811.05903 562059.38632
10624053.416 8353933.8056 8505989.3874
33648.472599 7003878.29 7627732.4049
1002505.2471 1031597.3167 1255255.0423
11009133.768 6593513.5904 6391814.5378
10288690.205 32874292.926 34067276.566
820692.7533 10146260.059 11652889.032
144960.47559 34126.660741 96015.495099
8604897.731 10544546.195 10504720.373
5034317.4814 3523.8274626 4982.8088457
624127.20454 6666888.7752 6685874.9503
4268412.9156 2443286.5976 2131182.6324
1302312.2894 7375813.6307 7725072.3058
12250341.711 18294506.171 19230031.537
48.454790905 6724373.0489 7634986.5391
262585.77773 150810.30071 240461.28599
3000014.5453 4505357.951 4567180.6587
875429.70437 118247.16667 183722.85123
1319087.1741 146540.78361 156589.33999
48482.683432 1254085.6965 1288322.3006
1728829.8142 2059245.1364 2189362.8541
1542862.6297 4938393.5033 5194768.614
223070.90557 1835720.1852 2082849.2301
2252529.897 1417872.1687 1293751.7358
4236704.0711 10236562.088 10547072.552
11226925.386 3474395.8631 3015349.7904
392537.77613 3844741.9069 4147883.0904
2039820.0287 687174.57027 821984.57101
122905.03604 563328.30974 612985.12148
211105.80391 20014.439914 29299.395997
224135.95253 695433.20727 704404.83938
2768044.0628 1760123.1228 1672865.1496
3236418.3005 9386044.36 9716100.892
2,983,363 4,845,444 5,045,120 1484184.8
41.384388807 41.384388807 41.384388807

45.107804434 57.907682964 58.590343152
16.613312203 26.689976228 29.703098257
59.828487518 53.052812959 53.533460683
6.9038464434 99.604220455 103.94561425
26.314108804 26.69318773 29.444984239
52.483414616 40.616636977 39.990569701
697.30409183 1246.4371327 1268.8517308
23.039698425 81.010159193 86.816704486
10.611392243 5.1486629606 8.6361112541
838.11731345 927.78191467 926.02818192
495.3042997 13.104157852 15.582563716
26.004516717 84.991175387 85.112109616
46.198876885 34.95307682 32.644388616
68.00887846 161.85011444 165.63774907
57.462630365 70.221765785 71.994844618
0.2119655164 78.962838377 84.139705851
13.477939031 10.214177259 12.897646518
104.34066304 127.86643669 128.74074186
44.34331778 16.29719704 20.314172363
67.16463182 22.386342522 23.14115261
7.7286007969 39.307113975 39.840044328
96.822513302 105.67061975 108.95799495
34.012054093 60.850209452 62.409734509
21.605847558 61.980215807 66.02049245
141.18937555 112.01734486 107.00207711
47.624376454 74.027366525 75.141732513
55.603392636 30.93217954 28.81639988
15.773624175 49.365592725 51.274804568
29.153351332 16.921002916 18.50650434
8.5361126227 18.274945297 19.063395752
10.720077376 3.3008026092 3.9937158975
13.74252502 24.206861539 24.362504887
77.025184701 61.42112588 59.879300136
34.007652332 57.914275691 58.923744257
95.250579029 112.6675347 114.60922023 61.798397
(562.00) (562.00) (562.00)

1,485.40 1,906.90 1,929.38
419.32 (673.66) (749.71)
3,259.46 2,890.32 2,916.50
(183.44) (2,646.48) (2,761.83)
1,001.25 1,015.68 1,120.38
3,318.00 2,567.78 2,528.20
(3,207.60) (5,733.61) (5,836.72)
905.92 3,185.32 3,413.63
380.74 (184.73) (309.86)
(2,933.41) (3,247.24) (3,241.10)
(2,243.73) (59.36) 70.59
790.02 2,582.03 2,585.71
2,066.01 1,563.10 1,459.86
(1,141.19) (2,715.84) (2,779.40)
3,500.05 4,277.21 4,385.21
(6.96) (2,593.14) (2,763.15)
512.43 388.34 490.37
(1,732.06) (2,122.58) (2,137.10)
(935.64) 343.87 428.63
(1,148.52) (382.81) (395.71)
220.19 1,119.86 1,135.04
(1,314.85) (1,435.01) (1,479.65)
1,242.12 2,222.25 2,279.20
(472.30) (1,354.89) (1,443.21)
(1,500.84) (1,190.74) (1,137.43)
2,058.33 3,199.46 3,247.63
3,350.66 1,863.97 1,736.48
626.53 (1,960.80) (2,036.64)
1,428.22 828.96 906.63
350.58 (750.55) (782.93)
459.46 141.47 171.17
(473.43) (833.93) (839.29)
(1,663.74) (1,326.70) (1,293.39)
1,799.00 3,063.67 3,117.07
(562.00) (562.00) (562.00)

923.40 1,344.90 1,367.38
1,342.72 671.25 617.67
4,602.18 3,561.56 3,534.18
4,418.74 915.08 772.34
5,419.99 1,930.75 1,892.72
8,737.99 4,498.54 4,420.93
5,530.40 (1,235.07) (1,415.79)
6,436.32 1,950.25 1,997.84
6,817.05 1,765.51 1,687.98
3,883.64 (1,481.72) (1,553.12)
1,639.91 (1,541.09) (1,482.53)
2,429.93 1,040.95 1,103.17
4,495.94 2,604.05 2,563.03
3,354.76 (111.80) (216.37)
6,854.80 4,165.41 4,168.84
6,847.84 1,572.27 1,405.69
7,360.28 1,960.61 1,896.06
5,628.22 (161.97) (241.04)
4,692.58 181.90 187.59
3,544.06 (200.90) (208.12)
3,764.25 918.95 926.92
2,449.40 (516.05) (552.73)
3,691.52 1,706.20 1,726.47
3,219.22 351.31 283.26
1,718.37 (839.43) (854.17)
3,776.70 2,360.03 2,393.46
7,127.36 4,224.00 4,129.93
7,753.89 2,263.20 2,093.30
9,182.11 3,092.16 2,999.93
9,532.69 2,341.61 2,217.00
9,992.15 2,483.08 2,388.17
9,518.72 1,649.15 1,548.88
7,854.98 322.46 255.49
9,653.98 3,386.12 3,372.55
562.00 562.00 562.00

1,023.70 1,234.45 1,245.69
822.24 1,047.52 1,080.36
1,431.54 1,508.22 1,539.40
1,181.92 1,735.87 1,783.88
1,151.81 1,615.84 1,673.30
1,461.27 1,751.83 1,795.43
1,679.56 2,249.55 2,300.59
1,593.60 2,353.53 2,424.26
1,472.31 2,136.65 2,212.82
1,605.14 2,237.61 2,306.30
1,658.36 2,056.09 2,119.99
1,591.56 2,096.55 2,155.82
1,625.45 2,058.44 2,106.11
1,593.17 2,102.27 2,150.99
1,712.35 2,238.20 2,290.63
1,612.03 2,259.08 2,318.43
1,550.94 2,155.15 2,216.87
1,560.47 2,153.44 2,212.67
1,529.23 2,062.96 2,123.47
1,511.10 1,982.95 2,041.19
1,452.42 1,943.72 2,000.00
1,446.44 1,921.60 1,977.38
1,437.93 1,934.13 1,989.96
1,399.30 1,910.96 1,968.09
1,403.21 1,883.26 1,936.14
1,427.47 1,932.01 1,984.71
1,496.16 1,929.58 1,975.85
1,466.17 1,930.65 1,977.94
1,464.91 1,893.93 1,942.23
1,428.96 1,857.05 1,904.83
1,398.66 1,803.44 1,850.66
1,370.63 1,774.06 1,820.01
1,379.25 1,760.90 1,804.52
1,391.24 1,798.12 1,842.02
(1.00) (1.00) (1.00)

0.90 1.09 1.10
1.63 0.64 0.57
3.21 2.36 2.30
3.74 0.53 0.43
4.71 1.19 1.13
5.98 2.57 2.46
3.29 (0.55) (0.62)
4.04 0.83 0.82
4.63 0.83 0.76
2.42 (0.66) (0.67)
0.99 (0.75) (0.70)
1.53 0.50 0.51
2.77 1.27 1.22
2.11 (0.05) (0.10)
4.00 1.86 1.82
4.25 0.70 0.61
4.75 0.91 0.86
3.61 (0.08) (0.11)
3.07 0.09 0.09
2.35 (0.10) (0.10)
2.59 0.47 0.46
1.69 (0.27) (0.28)
2.57 0.88 0.87
2.30 0.18 0.14
1.22 (0.45) (0.44)
2.65 1.22 1.21
4.76 2.19 2.09
5.29 1.17 1.06
6.27 1.63 1.54
6.67 1.26 1.16
7.14 1.38 1.29
6.94 0.93 0.85
5.70 0.18 0.14
6.94 1.88 1.83
(1.00) (1.00) (1.00)
7.14 2.57 2.46
1,391.24 1,798.12 1,842.02

1,727.24 2,201.24 2,246.13
95.25 112.67 114.61
(1.00) (1.00) (1.00)
7.14 2.57 2.46
Total
trend reg
trendsea3
ma2
wma2
0.2
0.95
0.99
0 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36

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bulan P01 P02 Total MA2 MA3 MA4 MA5

1 18,816.00 29,216.00 48,032.00

ERR2 CUMERR2 DEV2 MAD2 TS2 ERR3 CUMERR3

DEV3 MAD3 TS3 ERR4 CUMERR4 DEV4 MAD4 TS4

14,392.00 14,392.00 1.00

ERR5 CUMERR5 DEV5 MAD5 TS5 ERR6

15,321.60 15,321.60 15,321.60 15,321.60 1.00

CUMERR6 DEV6 MAD6 TS6

32,464.00 32,464.00 32,464.00 1.00

ERR2 CUMERR2 DEV2 MAD2 TS2 ERR3 CUMERR3

DEV3 MAD3 TS3 ERR4 CUMERR4 DEV4 MAD4 TS4

19,553.33 19,553.33 1.00

ERR5 CUMERR5 DEV5 MAD5 TS5 ERR6

13,050.67 13,050.67 13,050.67 13,050.67 1.00

CUMERR6 DEV6 MAD6 TS6

29,017.90 29,017.90 29,017.90 1.00

12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00

158558464 158558464 158558464 158558464 158558464

35.53047404 35.530474 35.530474 35.530474 35.530474

err (12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00)

cumer (12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00)

mad 12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00

158558464 158558464 158558464 158558464 158558464 158558464

35.530474 35.530474 35.530474 35.530474 35.530474 35.530474

(12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00)

(12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00)

12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Observation Predicted Total Residuals

Upper 95% Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%

4,189,848.00 333,456.00 42.25 507 143

err 7,141.23 11,468.12

cumer 7,141.23 11,468.12

mad 7,141.23 11,468.12

mad 12,824.00 6,413.99 18,817.20 18,020.53

48,032.00 48,032.00 48,032.00

12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00

158558464 158558464 158558464

35.530474041 35.530474041 35.530474041

(12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00)

(12,592.00) (12,592.00) (12,592.00)

12,592.00 12,592.00 12,592.00

(1.00) (1.00) (1.00)

18,057.89 16,613.13 16,679.41 14,618.58 15,278.90

Regression Statistics Bulan

RESIDUAL OUTPUT PROBABILITY OUTPUT

60000 Total Demand

Regression Statistics Bulan ke

RESIDUAL OUTPUT PROBABILITY OUTPUT

60000 Total Demand

err 3,121.27 17,055.81

cumer 3,121.27 17,055.81

mad 3,121.27 17,055.81

51,232.00 51,232.00 51,232.00

23,072.00 23,072.00 23,072.00

532317184 532317184 532317184

81.931818182 81.931818182 81.931818182

(23,072.00) (23,072.00) (23,072.00)

(23,072.00) (23,072.00) (23,072.00)

23,072.00 23,072.00 23,072.00

(1.00) (1.00) (1.00)

MA 3 MA 4 MA 5 WMA2 ES 0,3 ES 0,95 ES 0,99

Regression Statistics bulan

RESIDUAL OUTPUT PROBABILITY OUTPUT