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TABLE OF CONTENT
Project Selection…………………………………………………………………………………………… 3
Reference………………………………………………………………………………………………………9
Appendix……………………………………………………………………………………………………….10
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Using our findings, a report advising the Vice Chancellor as to which project should be adopted. Strength and Weakness of
each method of appraisal.
Project Selection:
From the table above, we get that the Project Relax has 30% of ARR, 2 year 3 month of PBP, £4,528,998.34 of NPV and 45.55% of
IRR. Appendix (A)
The Project Excite has 31% of ARR, 2 year 2 month of PBP, £1,478,348 of NPV and 44.76% of IRR. Appendix (B)
From the analysis we found that project relax has a slightly lower ARR than project excite although what should be taken into
account is the fact that project relax requires a smaller investment as it has a lower initial cost. There is a difference of £1.5m
between the two projects. The Payback period of project relax shows signs of financial health and a quick return as it would take 2
years and three months to recoup its original investment.
Project relax has a NPV figure of £4,528,998.34 which compared to project excites figure of £1,478,348 shows a significance
difference. Thus it shows project relax would be a better investment as less is invested yet more is made. Project relax also has a
higher IRR figure. Despite not being able to decide on which project relying alone on IRR when combined with NPV which is seen as
a more sophisticated method of appraisal judgment can be made that Project Relax is a better project to invest in. By assuming the
advantage and disadvantage of all the methods we have considered NPV method more as it is the most commonly used method
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which used by the financial analyst and It was much more helpful and easier to calculate and results us with the good investment
decisions. Considered the foundation, we can divide these four methods in two categories, one is profit based and another is cash
flow based. In these four methods, only ARR is profit based. The other three methods are all cash flow based. They can be more
trusted than the method of ARR.
Strength and Weakness:
The advantage of ARR is that the number it used can be directly find in the financial statement, its disadvantages are that it
only takes into account the profit, and it does not come across the timing of the initial payment. Payback period gives the exact
period when the initial money is payback, this method also consider the risk of the project. The PBP does not include the value of
any cash flows once the initial investment is repaid whereas the NPV and IRR takes in to account all the cash flows, which ends up
with a result that NPV and IRR are more reliable the PBP and ARR. NPV is relatively simple to calculate while other methods are
sometime complex (Zebra & Dively, 1994).
Then, we consider about the time value of money. For the interest rate, the initial investment will be more and more in the future.
This is what called time value of money. The money worth today can be worth less or more in future due to inflation. The time value
of money is not included in the methods of ARR and PBP; whereas NPV and IRR take it into account and use the depreciated factor
when calculate the cash flow. Both eight and ten year project are long projects. If we do not think about the time value of money, the
longer the time, the bigger the risk can be.
NPV not only includes all the cash flows in the whole period of the project, but also discounts the cash flow to reflect the time value
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of money. Although the discount rate will change every day in the whole year, it is reasonable to assume that it is same every day
and get an average figure to obtain the evaluated result. Besides, IRR is also a very good method. It connects the benefit in the
period of the project with the initial investment which reflected the yield of the project. Because of this, IRR is easy to be a standard
compared in the same industry. NPV is an absolute measure. On contrast, IRR is a relative measure. That means if the IRR is 20%
in a project and 40% in another project, the 40% project is preferred. But if the 20% project produces £10000 and the 40% project
only produces £2000, the 20% project is better than the 40% project. So we cannot decide which one is better only by IRR. When
compared between Project Relax and Project Excite, it is easy to decide because both NPV and IRR of the project Relax is bigger
than the Project Excite.. For the fluctuation of cash flows in the process of project, it may result to more than one outcomes of IRR. It
can mislead people to do the wrong decision. So as the method itself, it has weakness, but in this case the cash flow is steady
growing every year. In a word, for the method itself, the NPV has more advantages than the disadvantages and better than other
methods.
After all of those theoretical analyses, we prefer using the NPV to prove that the Project Relax is good choice. There are also some
empirical evidences that support my point. As Reaf A.Lawson and Richard P.Brief (1992) said, many writers warned that the ARR will
lead big error in measure of profitability, because it lacks economic significance, so as the PBP. Additionally, Fisher and McGowen
(1983) and Rappaport (1986) pointed that using ARR to compare is just like „comparing apples with oranges‟. On the other hand,
Samuel L. Baker (2000) concluded the IRR can fool you by itself and if you are evaluating investment, it would be better to use NPV
rather than IRR.
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Finally we came to the conclusion that from all these four methods the NPV is the best choice to get the most accurate result. And
after, integrating all these results, the Project Relax is more profitable than the Project Excite. So choosing the Project Relax is the
right decision.
While it is to give most importance to financial factors, it is essential that non- financial factors are considered too also
refrenced the two projects.
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- Satisfaction: the decision taking should be focused on the customer‟s needs and satisfaction the organisation should also have
good relationship with the suppliers and should also develop the business reputation.
- Employee‟s relationship: the result of the investment decision on employee‟s motivation should be considered before going on
further with the investment procedure.
- Climate problem: the popularity of green activities is now increasing to that level where companies had stopped investing in
such equipments which attack the environment in irresponsible and nonresponsive way (Peter Atrill, 2009).
In some cases the financial and non financial decisions are needed to be balanced on deciding the importance of each sector
with the business. By taking into account this process it can be well know how much the appraisal fits with the business strategy
as a whole. In past the non-financial factor was not much important as it is in now days because of the uncertainties caused
particularly in financial sector.
Before taking the decision of going with the project the university should have knowledge of competitor universities actions and
their planning‟s. Also the university should have enough backend profit or sale because these are the important non financial factors
and if organizations does not have enough backend sale the organizations can be closed for example: In 2004 shell announced a
record profit of £9.8 billion which is an all time record for European company but shell had only reserve oil for only 9 years whereas
its rival BP and Exxon had reserve oil for 14 years which mean shell can b close in 9 year time than its rivals(Ray Procter, 2009).
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So the university should have its backend profit or sale which can help the university even if the project results in non profitable in
future time. In the project Relax university should not buy the machinery or equipment which can break health and safety laws and
also the swimming pool and other fitness equipment should focus on the safety legislation. Moreover should allow enough time to
decide whether the staff will be satisfied with the Leisure facilities provided or not.
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Reference
Baker, Samuel L. (2000) Perils of the Internal Rate of Return. [online] available from
<http://hspm.sph.sc.edu/COURSES/ECON/invest/invest.html > [January 12, 2007].
Financial Management for Decision Makers, 5th Edition. FT Prentice Hall, Spain
Reaf, A.Lawson and Richard, P.Brief (1992) 'The Role of the Accounting Rate of Return in Financial Statement Analysis'. The
Accounting Review 67 (2), 411-426.
Management Accounting for Non-specialists 3rd Edition, 2002. FT Prentice Hall, London.
Fisher, F. and J.J. McGowen (1983) 'On the Misuse of Accounting Rates of Return to Infer Monopoly Profits'. American Economic
Review 73 (March), 82-97.
Rappaport, A. (1986) Creating Shareholder Value: The New Standard for Business Performance. New York: The Free Press.
Ray Proctor, (2009), Managerial Accounting For Business Decisions, 3rd Edition. FT Prentice Hall UK.
Zerbe R., & Dively D., (1994), Benefit- cost analysis, HarpeCollins College Publishers, Oregon.
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Appendix
Appendix (A)
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Monthly
year price £ % Total price P/M Staff Income Yearly Income
1 12 £12.00 700 £8,400.00 £100,800.00
2 12 5% £12.60 714 £8,996.40 £107,956.80
3 12.6 5% £13.23 728 £9,631.44 £115,577.28
4 13.23 5% £13.89 743 £10,321.38 £123,856.61
5 13.89 5% £14.59 758 £11,056.24 £132,674.94
6 14.59 5% £15.32 773 £11,838.79 £142,065.45
7 15.32 5% £16.08 788 £12,671.94 £152,063.33
8 16.08 5% £16.89 804 £13,575.70 £162,908.46
9 16.89 5% £17.73 820 £14,538.16 £174,457.94
10 17.73 5% £18.62 837 £15,581.54 £186,978.49
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Total £1,399,339.30
Monthly
year price £ % Total price P/M Staff Income yearly Income
1 18 £18.00 350 £6,300.00 £75,600.00
2 18 5% £18.90 357 £6,747.30 £80,967.60
3 18.9 5% £19.85 364 £7,223.58 £86,682.96
4 19.85 5% £20.84 371 £7,730.62 £92,767.44
5 20.84 5% £21.88 379 £8,292.18 £99,506.20
6 21.88 5% £22.97 386 £8,867.60 £106,411.25
7 22.97 5% £24.12 394 £9,503.96 £114,047.50
8 24.12 5% £25.33 402 £10,181.78 £122,181.34
9 25.33 5% £26.59 410 £10,903.62 £130,843.45
10 26.59 5% £27.92 418 £11,672.19 £140,066.32
Total £1,049,074.07
Monthly
year price £ % Total price P/M Staff Income Yearly Income
1 28 £28.00 1050 £29,400.00 £352,800.00
2 28 5% £29.40 1071 £31,487.40 £377,848.80
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Total £95,624.55
Swimming Fitness All Facility Fitness Class Total Revenue Year Average profit Investment ARR
£1,399,339.30 £1,049,074.07 £4,897,468.31 £95,624.55 £7,441,506.23 10 £744,150.62 £2,500,000 30%
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NPV= 4528998.34
Internal Rate Of Return (I.R.R)
Year Profit Depreciation Cash flow DF at 50% PV DF at 45% PV
0 -2,500,000 1 -2500000 1 -2500000
1 £535,200.00 550000 £1,085,200.00 0.667 £723,466.67 0.690 £748,413.79
2 £573,373.20 550000 £1,123,373.20 0.444 £498,777.70 0.475 £533,795.96
3 £614,040.72 550000 £1,164,040.72 0.296 £344,556.05 0.328 £381,323.68
4 £657,913.72 550000 £1,207,913.72 0.197 £238,361.64 0.226 £272,405.37
5 £705,328.03 550000 £1,255,328.03 0.131 £164,866.41 0.155 £194,792.28
6 £755,154.44 550000 £1,305,154.44 0.087 £113,983.49 0.107 £139,516.51
7 £809,412.13 550000 £1,359,412.13 0.058 £78,845.90 0.073 £99,377.71
8 £866,961.71 550000 £1,416,961.71 0.039 £54,789.19 0.050 £71,336.69
9 £928,765.71 550000 £1,478,765.71 0.025 £37,462.06 0.034 £50,991.92
10 £995,356.58 550000 £1,545,356.58 0.017 £25,755.94 0.023 £36,235.95
Total £7,441,506.23 £12,941,506.24 -219134.930 £28,189.87
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Year SwImming Fitness All Facilities Fitness Class Profit Depreciation Cashflow cumulative
0 -2,500,000
1 £100,800.00 75600 £352,800.00 £6,000.00 £535,200.00 550000 £1,085,200.00 £1,085,200.00
2 £107,956.80 80967.6 £377,848.80 £6,600.00 £573,373.20 550000 £1,123,373.20 £2,208,573.20
3 £115,577.28 86682.96 £404,520.48 £7,260.00 £614,040.72 550000 £1,164,040.72 £3,372,613.92
4 £123,856.61 92767.44 £433,303.67 £7,986.00 £657,913.72 550000 £1,207,913.72 £4,580,527.64
5 £132,674.94 99506.2 £464,362.28 £8,784.60 £705,328.03 550000 £1,255,328.03 £5,835,855.67
6 £142,065.45 106411.25 £497,014.67 £9,663.06 £755,154.44 550000 £1,305,154.44 £7,141,010.11
7 £152,063.33 114047.5 £532,671.94 £10,629.37 £809,412.13 550000 £1,359,412.13 £8,500,422.24
8 £162,908.46 122181.34 £570,179.60 £11,692.30 £866,961.71 550000 £1,416,961.71 £9,917,383.95
9 £174,457.94 130843.45 £610,602.79 £12,861.53 £928,765.71 550000 £1,478,765.71 £11,396,149.66
10 £186,978.49 140066.32 £654,164.08 £14,147.69 £995,356.58 550000 £1,545,356.58 £12,941,506.24
Total £1,399,339.30 1049074.07 £4,897,468.31 £95,624.55 £7,441,506.23 £12,941,506.24
solution:
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Appendix (B)
Karaoke Room
Year Session Cost per Room Total Revenue
1 2,000 £50.00 £100,000
2 2,000 £52.50 £105,000
3 2,000 £55.13 £110,250
4 2,000 £57.88 £115,763
5 2,000 £60.78 £121,551
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Dance Session
Year Session Cost per Session Total Revenue
1 10,000 £2.00 £20,000
2 10,000 £2.20 £22,000
3 10,000 £2.42 £24,200
4 10,000 £2.66 £26,620
5 10,000 £2.93 £29,282
6 10,000 £3.22 £32,210
7 10,000 £3.54 £35,431
8 10,000 £3.90 £38,974
Total £228,717.76
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6 10% £120,788
7 10% £132,867
8 10% £146,154
Total £857,691.61
GAMING ZONE
KARAOKE ZONE
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Gaming Zone karaoke Zone Zumba Zone Refuel Zone Total Revenue Year
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NPV = £1478347.89
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