EJERCICIO N°1 METODO DE LA REGRESIÓN LINEAL

AÑO ESTACIÓN AA ESTACIÓN SS ESTACIÓN SS ESTACION SS COMPLETA

1979 663.5 ? 718.501 718.501
1980 308.5 ? 303.861 303.861
1981 498.2 ? 525.4306 525.4306
1982 557.2 ? 594.3426 594.3426
1983 275.1 279.5 264.8498 279.5
1984 705.2 783.5 767.2066 783.5
1985 560.1 638.1 597.7298 638.1
1986 606.8 680.5 652.2754 680.5
1987 347.7 350.4 349.6466 350.4
1988 466.8 444.4 488.7554 444.4
1989 355.3 304.9 358.5234 304.9
1990 395.2 ? 405.1266 405.1266
1991 333.4 377.4 332.9442 377.4
1992 385.9 431.8 394.2642 431.8
1993 491.4 418.6 517.4882 418.6
1994 334.9 302.1 334.6962 302.1
1995 487.8 491.7 513.2834 491.7
1996 404.4 401.5 415.8722 401.5
1997 476.6 ? 500.2018 500.2018
1998 400.1 377.1 410.8498 377.1
1999 439.7 490.9 457.1026 490.9
2000 355.7 443.3 358.9906 443.3
2001 603.7 ? 648.6546 648.6546
2002 331.6 ? 330.8418 330.8418
2003 484.4 ? 509.3122 509.3122
MATRIZ DE COEFICIENTES DE CORRELACIÓN
ESTACIÓN AA ESTACIÓN SS
900
ESTACIÓN AA 1
ESTACIÓN SS 0.9449786669 1
800

SUB TABLA f(x) = 1.1681760747x

700 R² = 0.8929846809
ESTACIÓN AA ESTACIÓN SS
275.1 279.5
600
705.2 783.5
Esta sub tabla es para hallar la linea
560.1 638.1 de tendencia y su respectiva ecuación
que tiene como componentes solo los 500

ESTACION SS
606.8 680.5
datos completos de la tabla original
347.7 350.4
400
466.8 444.4
355.3 304.9
300
333.4 377.4
385.9 431.8
491.4 418.6 200

334.9 302.1
487.8 491.7 100

404.4 401.5
400.1 377.1 0
200 300 400
439.7 490.9
355.7 443.3
 LINEA TENDENCIA

f(x) = 1.1681760747x - 56.4671357468

R² = 0.8929846809

Col umn I
Li near (Col umn I)

300 400 500 600 700 800

ESTACION AA
EJERCICIO N°2 METODO U.S. National Wearher Service

ESTACIONES
MES
largunmayu Linkupata Janamayu Laguna taquina
ENE 146.00 124 145.5 160.7
FEB 83.00 103.8 155.5 161.6
MAR 141.50 183.6 248.2 242.3
ABR 79.00 25.1 30.1 50.3
MAY 0.00 3.8 3.2 3.2
JUN 0.50 1.5 1.3 0.8
JULI 4.50 2 6.9 3
AGO 1.00 0 0 0
SEP 39.50 58.5 67.4 61.3
OCT 33.56 28 54 43.6
NOV 36.40 44.9 51.8 45.4
DIC 61.23 75.7 89.5 76.1
D (km) 3.02 4.05 1.88
W (km) 0.1096 0.0610 0.2829
 EJERCICIO N°3 METODO DE LOS PROMEDIOS

donde:
𝑃_𝑋:𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑐𝑖ó𝑛 𝑐𝑜𝑛 𝑒𝑙 𝑑𝑎𝑡𝑜 𝑓𝑎𝑙𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑒
𝑃_𝐴:𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑐𝑖ó𝑛 𝑖𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑐𝑒
(𝑃_𝐴 )  ̅:𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑐𝑖ó𝑛 𝑚𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑎 𝑎𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑛 𝑙𝑎 𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑐𝑖ó𝑛 𝐴
(𝑃_𝑋 )  ̅:𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑐𝑖ó𝑛 𝑚𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑎 𝑎𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑛 𝑙𝑎 𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑐𝑖ó𝑛 𝑋

Años Lag. Tanquiña Largunmayu Janamayu Linkupata

1993 890.9 ? 855 ?
1994 746.5 818.3 572 541.8
1995 854 ? 762.5 712.3
1996 689.8 553 ? ?
1997 945.6 974.2 982.7 ?
1998 670.3 ? 665.3 ?
1999 900.8 ? 852.9 566.6
2000 869.7 ? 884 682.1
2001 598.6 ? 841.2 663.9
2002 622 ? 564.5 ?
Promedio 778.82 781.83 775.57 633.34

DATOS COMPLETADOS
Años Lag. Tanquiña Largunmayu Janamayu Linkupata
1993 890.90 894.35 855.00 724.48
1994 746.50 818.30 572.50 541.8
1995 854.00 857.30 762.50 712.3
1996 689.80 553.00 686.92 560.95
1997 945.60 974.20 982.70 768.97
1998 670.30 672.89 665.30 545.09
1999 900.80 904.29 852.90 566.6
2000 869.70 873.06 884.00 682.1
2001 598.60 600.92 841.20 663.9
2002 622.00 624.41 564.50 505.81
 EJERCICIO N°4 METODO DE RAZONES PROMEDIO

𝑃_𝑋,𝑃_𝐴,𝑃_𝐵,…𝑃_𝑁=𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑜 𝑛𝑜𝑟𝑚𝑎𝑙 𝑑𝑒 𝑙𝑎𝑠 𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑐𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑠 𝑎𝑛𝑎𝑢𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠

𝑟𝑒𝑔𝑖𝑠𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑑𝑎𝑠 𝑒𝑛 𝑢𝑛 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑𝑜 𝑐𝑜𝑚ú𝑛 𝑝𝑎𝑟𝑎 𝑙𝑎𝑠 𝑁 𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑐𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑠 𝑦 𝑙𝑎 𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑐𝑖ó𝑛 𝑋.
𝑃_𝐴,𝑃_𝐵,…𝑃_𝑁=𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑐𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑒𝑛 𝑙𝑎𝑠 𝑁 𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑐𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑠 𝑑𝑢𝑟𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑒 𝑒𝑙 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑𝑜 𝑞𝑢𝑒 𝑓𝑎𝑙𝑡𝑎 𝑒𝑛 𝑋.

PRECIP. MEDIA PERIODO DE PRECIP DEL AÑO

ESTACIÓN anual, en mm. REGISTRO 1995 en mm.
LINKUPATA 623.6 1992-2003 712.3
JANAMAYU 774.9 1992-2003 762.5
LAGUNA TAQUIÑA 822.1 1992-2003 854
LARGUNMAYU 781.8 1994-1999 ?

𝑃_𝑋=781.8/3(854/822.1+762.5/774.9+712.3/623.6)

PRECIP. MEDIA PERIODO DE PRECIP DEL AÑO

ESTACIÓN anual, en mm. REGISTRO 1995 en mm.
LINKUPATA 623.6 1992-2003 712.3
JANAMAYU 774.9 1992-2003 762.5
LAGUNA TAQUIÑA 822.1 1992-2003 854
LARGUNMAYU 781.8 1994-1999 824.81
 EJERCICIO N°7 COMPLETAR LOS DATOS POR LOS DIFERENTES METODOS

METODO DE REGRESION LINEAL

Date ALTOS MACHAY CHALHUACOCHA JAICO

7/1/1965 0:00 1617.5 1720.3 1681.5

7/1/1966 0:00 1591.8 1633.3 1641.4
7/1/1967 0:00 1775.7 1880.9 1812.0
7/1/1968 0:00 1789.3 1923.0 1832.7
7/1/1969 0:00 1188.3 1341.0 1340.5
7/1/1970 0:00 1260.1 1529.8 1427.4
7/1/1971 0:00 1401.0 1745.5 1582.3
7/1/1972 0:00 1317.6 1537.4 1334.0
7/1/1973 0:00 1624.2 1874.5 1610.3
7/1/1974 0:00 1417.2 1658.4 1370.1
7/1/1975 0:00 1597.1 1801.2 1618.7
7/1/1976 0:00 1279.6 1509.3 1308.3
7/1/1977 0:00 1429.2 1739.6 1505.7
7/1/1978 0:00 1286.5 1687.3 1580.8
7/1/1979 0:00 1353.8 1631.0 1610.1
7/1/1980 0:00 1286.3 1645.4 1425.7
7/1/1981 0:00 1488.6 1819.7 1722.7
7/1/1982 0:00 1425.4 1752.1 1673.9
7/1/1983 0:00 1358.9 1720.8 1565.6
7/1/1984 0:00 1864.6 1997.9 1922.6
7/1/1985 0:00 1780.8 1754.1 1768.3
7/1/1986 0:00 1457.3 1748.9 1510.3
7/1/1987 0:00 1336.4 1365.7 1322.9
7/1/1988 0:00 1316.0 1499.7 1311.0
7/1/1989 0:00 1590.5 1789.2 1618.9
7/1/1990 0:00 1475.9 1680.6 1514.7
7/1/1991 0:00 1334.2 1630.2 1385.7
7/1/1992 0:00 1231.3 1256.5
7/1/1993 0:00 1899.9 1970.0
7/1/1994 0:00 1493.0 1371.0
7/1/1995 0:00 1748.8 1659.3
7/1/1996 0:00 1663.3 1591.9
7/1/1997 0:00 1645.6 1537.1
7/1/1998 0:00 1699.6 1569.3
7/1/1999 0:00 1244.7
7/1/2000 0:00 1568.3 1515.4
7/1/2001 0:00 1635.5 1549.5
7/1/2002 0:00 1420.8 1417.3
GRAFICAMOS LAS DOS ESTACIONES PARA HALLAR LA ECUACIÓN

CHALHUACOCHA JAICO CHALHUACOCHA

CORREGIDO
1720.3 1681.5 1822.35
1633.3 1641.4 1780.09
1880.9 1812.0 1959.86
1923.0 1832.7 1981.68
1341.0 1340.5 1463.02 2000.0

1529.8 1427.4 1554.59 1900.0

1745.5 1582.3 1717.82 1800.0 f(x) = 0
1537.4 1334.0 1456.17 R² = 0.
1700.0
1874.5 1610.3 1747.32
1658.4 1370.1 1494.21 1600.0
1801.2 1618.7 1756.17 1500.0
1509.3 1308.3 1429.09
1400.0
1739.6 1505.7 1637.10
1687.3 1580.8 1716.24 1300.0
1631.0 1610.1 1747.11 1200.0
1200.0 1300.0 1400.0
1645.4 1425.7 1552.80
1819.7 1722.7 1865.76
1752.1 1673.9 1814.34
1720.8 1565.6 1700.22
1997.9 1922.6 2076.41
1754.1 1768.3 1913.81
1748.9 1510.3 1641.95
1365.7 1322.9 1444.48
1499.7 1311.0 1431.94
1789.2 1618.9 1756.39
1680.6 1514.7 1646.59
1630.2 1385.7 1510.65
1256.5 1374.51
1970.0 2126.35
1371.0 1495.16
1659.3 1798.96
1591.9 1727.93
1537.1 1670.19
1569.3 1704.12
1244.7 1362.08
1515.4 1647.32
1549.5 1683.26
1417.3 1543.95
METODO DE PROMEDIOS VECINALES

ALTOS MACHAY CHALHUACOCHA JAICO MACHAVADO

1617.5 1720.3 1681.5 1291.7

1591.8 1633.3 1641.4 1437.8
1775.7 1880.9 1812.0 1699.5
1789.3 1923.0 1832.7 1483.0
1188.3 1341.0 1340.5 1165.7
1260.1 1529.8 1427.4 1062.3
1401.0 1745.5 1582.3 1288.2
1317.6 1537.4 1334.0 1201.8
1624.2 1874.5 1610.3 1486.3
1417.2 1658.4 1370.1 1130.0
1597.1 1801.2 1618.7 1349.3
1279.6 1509.3 1308.3 1074.5
1429.2 1739.6 1505.7 1194.3
1286.5 1687.3 1580.8 1135.7
1353.8 1631.0 1610.1 1205.3
1286.3 1645.4 1425.7 1087.3
1488.6 1819.7 1722.7 1277.7
1425.4 1752.1 1673.9 1279.8
1358.9 1720.8 1565.6 1287.6
1864.6 1997.9 1922.6 1780.8
1780.8 1754.1 1768.3 1577.6
1457.3 1748.9 1510.3 1331.9
1336.4 1365.7 1322.9 1101.3
1316.0 1499.7 1311.0 1070.0
1590.5 1789.2 1618.9 1441.1
1475.9 1680.6 1514.7 1346.0
1334.2 1630.2 1385.7 1176.6
1231.3 1256.5 1045.3
1899.9 1970.0 1653.9
1493.0 1371.0 1257.4
1748.8 1659.3 1516.3
1663.3 1591.9 1425.6
1645.6 1537.1 1371.2
1699.6 1569.3 1448.8
1425.8 1244.7 1317.6
1568.3 1515.4 1414.6
1635.5 1549.5 1539.8
1420.8 1417.3 1264.2
 METODO DE RAZONES PROMEDIO

SACAMOS EL PROMEDIO DE LAS ESTACIONES SOLO CON DATOS COMPLETOS

ALTOS MACHAY CHALHUACOCHA JAICO MACHAVADO

1617.5 1720.3 1681.5 1291.7

1591.8 1633.3 1641.4 1437.8
1775.7 1880.9 1812.0 1699.5
1789.3 1923.0 1832.7 1483.0
1188.3 1341.0 1340.5 1165.7
1260.1 1529.8 1427.4 1062.3
1401.0 1745.5 1582.3 1288.2
1317.6 1537.4 1334.0 1201.8
1624.2 1874.5 1610.3 1486.3
1417.2 1658.4 1370.1 1130.0
1597.1 1801.2 1618.7 1349.3
1279.6 1509.3 1308.3 1074.5
1429.2 1739.6 1505.7 1194.3
1286.5 1687.3 1580.8 1135.7
1353.8 1631.0 1610.1 1205.3
1286.3 1645.4 1425.7 1087.3
1488.6 1819.7 1722.7 1277.7
1425.4 1752.1 1673.9 1279.8
1358.9 1720.8 1565.6 1287.6
1864.6 1997.9 1922.6 1780.8
1780.8 1754.1 1768.3 1577.6
1457.3 1748.9 1510.3 1331.9
1336.4 1365.7 1322.9 1101.3
1316.0 1499.7 1311.0 1070.0
1590.5 1789.2 1618.9 1441.1
1475.9 1680.6 1514.7 1346.0
1334.2 1630.2 1385.7 1176.6
PROMEDIO 1468.3 1689.5 1555.5 1294.9

ALTOS MACHAY JAICO MACHAVADO

CHALHUACOCHA
CORREGIDO
 1617.5 1681.5 1291.7 1790.96
1591.8 1641.4 1437.8 1830.13
1775.7 1812.0 1699.5 2076.24
1789.3 1832.7 1483.0 1994.80
1188.3 1340.5 1165.7 1448.08
1260.1 1427.4 1062.3 1462.11
1401.0 1582.3 1288.2 1670.48
1317.6 1334.0 1201.8 1511.02
1624.2 1610.3 1486.3 1852.39
1417.2 1370.1 1130.0 1531.07
1597.1 1618.7 1349.3 1785.45
1279.6 1308.3 1074.5 1431.78
1429.2 1505.7 1194.3 1612.73
1286.5 1580.8 1135.7 1559.70
1353.8 1610.1 1205.3 1626.39
1286.3 1425.7 1087.3 1482.42
1488.6 1722.7 1277.7 1750.35
1425.4 1673.9 1279.8 1709.35
1358.9 1565.6 1287.6 1648.03
1864.6 1922.6 1780.8 2185.74
1780.8 1768.3 1577.6 2009.36
1457.3 1510.3 1331.9 1685.02
1336.4 1322.9 1101.3 1470.51
1316.0 1311.0 1070.0 1444.76
1590.5 1618.9 1441.1 1822.92
1475.9 1514.7 1346.0 1699.87
1334.2 1385.7 1176.6 1525.15
1231.3 1256.5 1045.3 1381.80
1899.9 1970.0 1653.9 2161.25
1493.0 1371.0 1257.4 1615.87
1748.8 1659.3 1516.3 1930.96
1663.3 1591.9 1425.6 1834.32
1645.6 1537.1 1371.2 1784.03
1699.6 1569.3 1448.8 1850.15
1425.8 1244.7 1317.6 1570.55
1568.3 1515.4 1414.6 1765.40
1635.5 1549.5 1539.8 1857.97
1420.8 1417.3 1264.2 1607.90

METODO DE LOS PROMEDIOS

LA ESTACION INDICE SERÁ JAICO YA QUE TIENE MAYOR COEFICIENTE DE CORRELACION
PROMEDIO SOLO CON LOS DATOS COMPLETOS

CHALHUACOCHA JAICO CHALHUACOCHA

CORREGIDO
1720.3 1681.5 1839.72
1633.3 1641.4 1795.84
1880.9 1812.0 1982.49
1923.0 1832.7 2005.14
1341.0 1340.5 1466.63
1529.8 1427.4 1561.71
1745.5 1582.3 1731.18
1537.4 1334.0 1459.52
1874.5 1610.3 1761.82
1658.4 1370.1 1499.02
1801.2 1618.7 1771.01
1509.3 1308.3 1431.40
1739.6 1505.7 1647.37
1687.3 1580.8 1729.54
1631.0 1610.1 1761.60
1645.4 1425.7 1559.85
1819.7 1722.7 1884.79
1752.1 1673.9 1831.40
1720.8 1565.6 1712.91
1997.9 1922.6 2103.50
1754.1 1768.3 1934.68
1748.9 1510.3 1652.41
1365.7 1322.9 1447.37
1499.7 1311.0 1434.35
1789.2 1618.9 1771.23
1680.6 1514.7 1657.22
1630.2 1385.7 1516.08
1256.5 1374.73
1970.0 2155.36
1371.0 1500.00
1659.3 1815.43
1591.9 1741.68
1537.1 1681.73
1569.3 1716.96
1244.7 1361.82
1515.4 1657.99
1549.5 1695.30
1417.3 1550.66
PROMEDIO 1689.5 1544.2

METODO POR ESTACIONES VECINALES

ALTOS MACHAY CHALHUACOCHA JAICO MACHAVADO

1617.5 1720.3 1681.5 1291.7

1591.8 1633.3 1641.4 1437.8
1775.7 1880.9 1812.0 1699.5
1789.3 1923.0 1832.7 1483.0
1188.3 1341.0 1340.5 1165.7
1260.1 1529.8 1427.4 1062.3
1401.0 1745.5 1582.3 1288.2
1317.6 1537.4 1334.0 1201.8
1624.2 1874.5 1610.3 1486.3
1417.2 1658.4 1370.1 1130.0
1597.1 1801.2 1618.7 1349.3
1279.6 1509.3 1308.3 1074.5
1429.2 1739.6 1505.7 1194.3
1286.5 1687.3 1580.8 1135.7
1353.8 1631.0 1610.1 1205.3
1286.3 1645.4 1425.7 1087.3
1488.6 1819.7 1722.7 1277.7
1425.4 1752.1 1673.9 1279.8
1358.9 1720.8 1565.6 1287.6
1864.6 1997.9 1922.6 1780.8
1780.8 1754.1 1768.3 1577.6
1457.3 1748.9 1510.3 1331.9
1336.4 1365.7 1322.9 1101.3
1316.0 1499.7 1311.0 1070.0
1590.5 1789.2 1618.9 1441.1
1475.9 1680.6 1514.7 1346.0
1334.2 1630.2 1385.7 1176.6
 1231.3 1256.5 1045.3
1899.9 1970.0 1653.9
1493.0 1371.0 1257.4
1748.8 1659.3 1516.3
1663.3 1591.9 1425.6
1645.6 1537.1 1371.2
1699.6 1569.3 1448.8
1425.8 1244.7 1317.6
1568.3 1515.4 1414.6
1635.5 1549.5 1539.8
1420.8 1417.3 1264.2

COMPARACION DE METODOS

METODOS
ORIGINAL R.L. P.V. R.P.
1720.3 1822.35 1530.23 1790.96
1633.3 1780.09 1557.00 1830.13
1880.9 1959.86 1762.40 2076.24
1923.0 1981.68 1701.67 1994.80
1341.0 1463.02 1231.50 1448.08
1529.8 1554.59 1249.93 1462.11
1745.5 1717.82 1423.83 1670.48
1537.4 1456.17 1284.47 1511.02
1874.5 1747.32 1573.60 1852.39
1658.4 1494.21 1305.77 1531.07
1801.2 1756.17 1521.70 1785.45
1509.3 1429.09 1220.80 1431.78
1739.6 1637.10 1376.40 1612.73
1687.3 1716.24 1334.33 1559.70
1631.0 1747.11 1389.73 1626.39
1645.4 1552.80 1266.43 1482.42
1819.7 1865.76 1496.33 1750.35
1752.1 1814.34 1459.70 1709.35
1720.8 1700.22 1404.03 1648.03
1997.9 2076.41 1856.00 2185.74
1754.1 1913.81 1708.90 2009.36
1748.9 1641.95 1433.17 1685.02
1365.7 1444.48 1253.53 1470.51
1499.7 1431.94 1232.33 1444.76
1789.2 1756.39 1550.17 1822.92
1680.6 1646.59 1445.53 1699.87
1630.2 1510.65 1298.83 1525.15
MACHAVADO

1291.7
1437.8 Coeficientes de Correlacion
1699.5 ALTOS MACHAY
1483.0 ALTOS MACHAY 1
1165.7 CHALHUACOCHA 0.8038007984
1062.3 JAICO 0.8253248663
1288.2 MACHAVADO 0.9311367934
1201.8
1486.3
1130.0
1349.3 analisando los coeficientes de correlacion vemos que el m
1074.5 con JAICO por lo tanto será con esa estación la que se har
1194.3 regresión lineal.
1135.7
1205.3
1087.3
1277.7
1279.8
1287.6
1780.8
1577.6
1331.9
1101.3
1070.0
1441.1
1346.0
1176.6
1045.3
1653.9
1257.4
1516.3
1425.6
1371.2
1448.8
1317.6
1414.6
1539.8
1264.2
 Chart Title Col umn C Li nea r (Col umn C)
2000.0

1900.0

1800.0 f(x) = 0.9490296202x - 47.9109028471

R² = 0.7374023792
1700.0

1600.0

1500.0

1400.0

1300.0

1200.0
1200.0 1300.0 1400.0 1500.0 1600.0 1700.0 1800.0 1900.0 2000.0 2100.0
CHALHUACOCHA
CORREGIDO
1530.2
1557.0
1762.4
1701.7
1231.5
1249.9
1423.8
1284.5
1573.6
1305.8
1521.7
1220.8
1376.4
1334.3
1389.7
1266.4
1496.3
1459.7
1404.0
1856.0
1708.9
1433.2
1253.5
1232.3
1550.2
1445.5
1298.8
1177.7
1841.3
1373.8
1641.5
1560.3
1518.0
1572.6
1329.4
1499.4
1574.9
1367.4
CHALHUACOCHA
CORREGIDO
1536.72
1560.44 Coeficientes de Correlacion
1764.33 ALTOS MACHAY
1707.44 ALTOS MACHAY 1
1234.81 CHALHUACOCHA 0.8038007984
1256.35 JAICO 0.8253248663
1429.15 MACHAVADO 0.9311367934
1286.65
1575.55
1309.48
1526.11
1224.66
1381.66
1342.45
1397.08
1272.33
1504.25
1466.85
1409.18
1858.47
1711.93
1436.21
1257.06
1236.20
1553.12
1448.38
1302.37
 1181.18
1846.58
1375.24
1643.48
1562.71
1520.29
1574.09
1327.61
1500.89
1574.81
1369.89

S
P. E.V.
1839.72 1536.72
1795.84 1560.44
1982.49 1764.33
2005.14 1707.44 COEFICIENTES DE CORRELACIÓN
1466.63 1234.81
1561.71 1256.35
1731.18 1429.15 ORIGINAL
1459.52 1286.65 R.L.
1761.82 1575.55 P.V.
1499.02 1309.48 R.P.
1771.01 1526.11 P.
1431.40 1224.66 E.V.
1647.37 1381.66
1729.54 1342.45 2200.0
1761.60 1397.08
1559.85 1272.33 2100.0

1884.79 1504.25 2000.0

1831.40 1466.85
1900.0
1712.91 1409.18
2103.50 1858.47 1800.0
1934.68 1711.93 1700.0
1652.41 1436.21
1447.37 1257.06 1600.0

1434.35 1236.20 1500.0

1771.23 1553.12
1400.0
1657.22 1448.38
1516.08 1302.37 1300.0

1200.0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
 1500.0

1400.0

1300.0

1200.0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

CONCLUSIÓN

LA MEJOR OPCION SERÍA EL METODO DE REGRESIÓN LINEA

 CHALHUACOCHA JAICO MACHAVADO

1
0.8587213629 1
0.7724415971 0.7979869495 1

de correlacion vemos que el mayor valor se tiene

á con esa estación la que se hará el metodo de la
regresión lineal.
Li nea r (Col umn C)
CHALHUACOCHA JAICO MACHAVADO

1
0.8587213629 1
0.7724415971 0.7979869495 1
ORRELACIÓN

ORIGINAL R.L. P.V. R.P. P. E.V.

1
0.8587213629 1
0.8454569526 0.9384784567 1
0.8420563883 0.93347224 0.9998586765 1
0.8587213629 1 0.9384784567 0.93347224 1
0.8474965677 0.9419037962 0.9999456276 0.99963738 0.9419038 1

ORIGINAL
R.L.
P.V.
R.P.
P.
E.V.

7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27

CION SERÍA EL METODO DE REGRESIÓN LINEAL

 EJERCICIO N°5 ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA

Años A B C X ACUM. X PROM. A,B,C.

2014 105 120 186 101 101 137.00
2013 152 98 130 105 206 126.67
2012 198 153 130 112 318 160.33
2011 165 120 197 96 414 160.67
2010 258 304 325 150 564 295.67
2009 95 107 108 104 668 103.33
2008 120 125 153 137 805 132.67
2007 168 94 185 156 961 149.00
2006 103 92 112 94 1055 102.33
2005 206 251 155 192 1247 204.00
2004 351 356 352 55 1302 353.00
2003 172 203 252 80 1382 209.00
2002 94 98 98 32 1414 96.67
2001 96 97 93 49 1463 95.33
2000 107 95 100 40 1503 100.67
1999 104 108 104 58 1561 105.33
1998 100 103 107 53 1614 103.33
1997 83 58 196 37 1651 112.33
1996 98 112 94 58 1709 101.33
1995 102 100 99 57 1766 100.33

Chart Title
2000
1800 20; 1766
1600
ACUMULADO ESTACION X

1400 10; 1247

1200 11; 1302
1000
800
600
400 5; 564
4; 414
200
1; 101
0
0.00 500.00 1000.00 1500.00 2000.00 2500.00 3000.00 3500.00
ACUMULADO ESTACIONES
A,B,C.

𝐹𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟 𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑜𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑐𝑖ó𝑛=𝑚_(𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑖𝑠.)/𝑚_(𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑠.)

𝐹.𝐶.=((1766−1302)/(2949−1924.67))/((11247−564)/(1571.67−880.33))=0.4585
 𝐹.𝐶.=((1766−1302)/(2949−1924.67))/((11247−564)/(1571.67−880.33))=0.4585

AÑO Acum. X Corregido X CORREGIDO ACUM. X ACUM. A,B,C.

2014 101 46.3085 46.31 46.31 137.00
2013 105 48.1425 48.14 94.45 263.67
2012 112 51.352 51.35 145.80 424.00
2011 96 44.016 44.02 189.82 584.67
2010 150 68.775 68.78 258.59 880.33
2009 104 47.684 47.68 306.28 983.67
2008 137 62.8145 62.81 369.09 1116.33
2007 156 71.526 71.53 440.62 1265.33
2006 94 43.099 43.10 483.72 1367.67
2005 192 88.032 88.03 571.75 1571.67
55.00 626.75 1924.67
80.00 706.75 2133.67
32.00 738.75 2230.33
49.00 787.75 2325.67
40.00 827.75 2426.33
58.00 885.75 2531.67
53.00 938.75 2635.00
37.00 975.75 2747.33
58.00 1033.75 2848.67
57.00 1090.75 2949.00

1200.00 Col umn G

1000.00

800.00

600.00

400.00

200.00

0.00
0.00 500.00 1000.00 1500.00 2000.00 2500.00 3000.00 3500.00

grafico final
 ACUM. A,B,C.
137.00
263.67
424.00
584.67
880.33
983.67
1116.33
1265.33
1367.67
1571.67
1924.67
2133.67
2230.33
2325.67
2426.33
2531.67
2635.00
2747.33
2848.67
2949.00

20; 1766

3000.00 3500.00

.33))=0.4585
.33))=0.4585

3500.00