CUADRO DE CALCULO DE CAUDALES O CDESCARGAS PROMEDIO

MESES Q PROMEDIO POR MESES (LT/SEG)

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC
1986 99 93 96 90 55 40 46 45 36 66 63 54
1987 54 52 56 40 35 15 16 15 16 16 23 44
1988 74 62 66 60 55 50 46 48 40 36 33 64
1989 44 52 56 42 38 18 19 25 26 26 33 47
1990 99 93 96 90 55 40 46 45 36 66 63 54
1991 59 57 54 38 38 25 26 18 17 19 53 64
1992 64 62 66 60 55 50 36 29 30 33 34 48
1993 56 52 69 70 53 48 34 35 36 38 39 66
1994 65 63 62 50 45 40 46 45 32 46 53 64
1995 34 32 56 40 38 35 26 22 26 26 23 40
1996 58 59 60 61 65 30 28 29 30 36 33 50
1997 44 50 46 52 39 38 29 28 26 27 35 45
1998 55 53 56 50 55 40 46 45 36 66 63 54
1999 54 52 56 38 35 25 26 25 26 28 33 51
2000 52 50 46 42 41 40 36 32 30 26 23 54
2001 61 74 78 69 59 45 43 41 37 46 50 67
PROM
MENS 60.75 59.75 63.688 55.75 47.563 36.188 34.313 32.938 30 37.563 40.875 54.125
UAL

V OFER INICIAL 38.3 LT/SEG Q DISEÑO (70%) 25.533 LT/SEG

V V V Qm
MESES PARCIAL ACUM OFERT DISEÑ

ENE 162.71 162.71 102.58 68.39

FEB 144.55 307.26 195.24 130.16
MAR 170.58 477.84 297.82 198.55
ABR 144.50 622.34 397.09 264.73
MAY 127.39 749.74 499.68 333.12
JUN 93.80 843.53 598.95 399.30
JUL 91.90 935.44 701.53 467.69
AGO 88.22 1023.66 804.12 536.08
SEP 77.76 1101.42 903.39 602.26
OCT 100.61 1202.02 1005.97 670.65
NOV 105.95 1307.97 1105.25 736.83
DIC 144.97 1452.94 1207.83 805.22
 16
P(Q>Qo)X10
CAUDAL
CAUDAL N° 0 = PROB
PROME AÑO MEDIO DECRECIENT ORDEN OCURRENCI
ANUAL E A
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
65.3 1986 65.3 65.3 1 6.25
31.8 1990 31.8 65.3 2 12.50
52.8 2001 52.8 55.8 3 18.75
35.5 1988 35.5 52.8 4 25.00
65.3 1998 65.3 51.6 5 31.25
39.0 1994 39.0 50.9 6 37.50
47.3 1993 47.3 49.7 7 43.75
49.7 1992 49.7 47.3 8 50.00
50.9 1996 50.9 44.9 9 56.25
33.2 2000 33.2 39.3 10 62.50
44.9 1991 44.9 39.0 11 68.75
38.3 1997 38.3 38.3 12 75.00
51.6 1999 51.6 37.4 13 81.25
37.4 1989 37.4 35.5 14 87.50
39.3 1995 39.3 33.2 15 93.75
55.8 1987 55.8 31.8 16 100.00

46.1
 CUADRO DE CALCULO DE CAUDALES O CDESCARGAS PROMEDIO

MESES Q PROMEDIO POR MESES (LT/SEG)

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986 99 93 96 90 55 40 46 45 36 66 63 54
1987 54 52 56 40 35 15 16 15 16 16 23 44
1988 74 62 66 60 55 50 46 48 40 36 33 64
1989 44 52 56 42 38 18 19 25 26 26 33 47
1990 99 93 96 90 55 40 46 45 36 66 63 54
1991 59 57 54 38 38 25 26 18 17 19 53 64
1992 64 62 66 60 55 50 36 29 30 33 34 48
1993 56 52 69 70 53 48 34 35 36 38 39 66
1994 65 63 62 50 45 40 46 45 32 46 53 64
1995 34 32 56 40 38 35 26 22 26 26 23 40
1996 58 59 60 61 65 30 28 29 30 36 33 50
1997 44 50 46 52 39 38 29 28 26 27 35 45
1998 55 53 56 50 55 40 46 45 36 66 63 54
1999 54 52 56 38 35 25 26 25 26 28 33 51
2000 52 50 46 42 41 40 36 32 30 26 23 54
2001 61 74 78 69 59 45 43 41 37 46 50 67
PROM
MENS 60.75 59.75 63.688 55.75 47.563 36.188 34.313 32.938 30 37.563 40.875 54.125
UAL

V OFER INICIAL 38.3 LT/SEG Q DISEÑO (70%) 25.533 LT/SEG

V V V Qm
MESES PARCIAL ACUM OFERT DISEÑ

ENE 162.71 162.71 102.58 68.39

FEB 144.55 307.26 195.24 130.16
MAR 170.58 477.84 297.82 198.55
ABR 144.50 622.34 397.09 264.73
MAY 127.39 749.74 499.68 333.12
JUN 93.80 843.53 598.95 399.30
JUL 91.90 935.44 701.53 467.69
AGO 88.22 1023.66 804.12 536.08
SEP 77.76 1101.42 903.39 602.26
OCT 100.61 1202.02 1005.97 670.65
NOV 105.95 1307.97 1105.25 736.83
DIC 144.97 1452.94 1207.83 805.22
 CAUDAL PARA LA LEY DE GUMBEL
20

CAUDAL T
AÑO CAUDAL N°
PROME DECRECIENT PERIODO
MEDIO ORDEN
ANUAL E RETORNO

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)

#DIV/0! 1982 166.5 206.7 1 21.000
#DIV/0! 1983 122.4 203.1 2 10.500
#DIV/0! 1984 143.6 189.8 3 7.000
#DIV/0! 1985 178.3 178.3 4 5.250
65.3 1986 189.8 166.5 5 4.200
31.8 1987 203.1 152.7 6 3.500
52.8 1988 206.7 147.8 7 3.000
35.5 1989 100.5 143.6 8 2.625
65.3 1990 71.3 126.4 9 2.333
39.0 1991 102.3 122.4 10 2.100
47.3 1992 72.9 119.4 11 1.909
49.7 1993 152.7 111.8 12 1.750
50.9 1994 57.5 107.0 13 1.615
33.2 1995 79.6 102.3 14 1.500
44.9 1996 147.8 100.5 15 1.400
38.3 1997 119.4 79.6 16 1.313
51.6 1998 111.8 77.4 17 1.235
37.4 1999 107.0 72.9 18 1.167
39.3 2000 126.4 71.3 19 1.105
55.8 2001 77.4 57.5 20 1.050

46.1
2536.95
CAUDAL PROMEDIO (Qm) 126.8475
DESVIACION ESTANDAR (Va) 45.444638

EL CALCULO DE LOS CAUDALES PARA CADA PERIODO DE RETORNO SERÁ:

Qt=Qm-Va(0.45+0.7797ln(lnT-ln(T-1)))
Va 45.444638
T Qt
10 186.135093
20 211.640888
50 244.655524
100 269.395348
 ELABORACION DE LA CURVA DE DURACION PARA EL CAUDAL MEDIO
20
P(Q>Qo)X10
CAUDAL
FRECUENCI CAUDAL 0 = PROB PERIODO
AÑO DECRECIENT N° ORDEN OCURRENCI
AS MEDIO RETORNO
E A
(6) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
95.2380952 1982 65.8 88.0 1 4.76
90.4761905 1983 68.6 70.0 2 9.52
85.7142857 1984 42.8 68.6 3 14.29
80.952381 1985 44 65.8 4 19.05
76.1904762 1986 40.0 65.4 5 23.81
71.4285714 1987 32.6 64.0 6 28.57
66.6666667 1988 64.0 61.0 7 33.33
61.9047619 1989 35.6 47.2 8 38.10
57.1428571 1990 18.4 44 9 42.86
52.3809524 1991 47.2 42.8 10 47.62
47.6190476 1992 15.0 42.4 11 52.38
42.8571429 1993 65.4 40.0 12 57.14
38.0952381 1994 9.2 35.6 13 61.90
33.3333333 1995 13.4 32.6 14 66.67
28.5714286 1996 31.2 31.2 15 71.43
23.8095238 1997 61.0 18.4 16 76.19
19.047619 1998 70.0 16.8 17 80.95
14.2857143 1999 88.0 15.0 18 85.71
9.52380952 2000 42.4 13.4 19 90.48
4.76190476 2001 16.8 9.2 20 95.24
D ES C A RG A S M ED IA S A N UA L ES (M 3 / S )

CURVA DE DURACIÓN PARA EL CAUDAL MEDIO

100.0
90.0
80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00 90.00 100.00
% DEL TIEMPO EN QUE Q ES IGUALADA O EXCEDIDA
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00 90.00 100.00
% DEL TIEMPO EN QUE Q ES IGUALADA O EXCEDIDA
 ELABORACION DE LA CURVA DE FRECUENCIAS O PROBABILIDADES EMPIRICA PARA CAUDALES M
20
P(Q>Qo)X10
CAUDAL
CAUDAL 0 = PROB PERIODO
AÑO DECRECIENT N° ORDEN OCURRENCI
MÍNIMO RETORNO
E A
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
1982 23.3 25.2 1 5.00
1983 17.6 23.3 2 10.00
1984 25.2 22.2 3 15.00
1985 21.4 21.4 4 20.00
1986 18.0 18.4 5 25.00
1987 15.4 18.0 6 30.00
1988 22.2 17.6 7 35.00
1989 13.6 17.0 8 40.00
1990 5.2 15.5 9 45.00
1991 11.3 15.4 10 50.00
1992 4.7 14.8 11 55.00
1993 18.4 13.9 12 60.00
1994 4.0 13.8 13 65.00
1995 5.2 13.6 14 70.00
1996 14.8 11.3 15 75.00
1997 15.5 5.2 16 80.00
1998 13.8 5.2 17 85.00
1999 13.9 4.7 18 90.00
2000 17.0 4.7 19 95.00
2001 4.7 4.0 20 100.00
C AU DA L ES M ÍN IM O S A N UA L ES (M 3 / S)

CURVA DE PROBABILIDADES PARA CAUDALES MÍNIMOS

30

25

20

15

10

0
90.00 100.00 0.00 20.00 40.00 60.00 80.00 100.00 120.00
PROBABILIDAD DE OCURRENCIA %
 5

0
90.00 100.00 0.00 20.00 40.00 60.00 80.00 100.00 120.00
PROBABILIDAD DE OCURRENCIA %
PIRICA PARA CAUDALES MINIMOS

S MÍNIMOS

00.00 120.00
00.00 120.00