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CONFIDENTIAL DOCUMENT
N equals 600 respondents
Fielded October 11-13, 2018
MoE ± 4.0%
My name is _______________ of a national survey research firm. We’re talking with people like you
today across Missouri and would like to ask you a few questions on a confidential basis. You have been
selected randomly to participate in a survey and have a rare opportunity to voice your opinions. I am not
selling or promoting any product and I am not asking for a donation; I simply want to know what you think
and how you feel. (DO NOT PAUSE)
41% Republican
21% Independent or Unaffiliated
33% Democratic
6% Unsure / refused (vol)
____________________________________________________________________________________
N123
32% The Republican candidate
39% The Democratic candidate
12% Other / won’t vote for either (vol)
17% Unsure / refused (vol)
____________________________________________________________________________________
2. Now looking ahead to the upcoming election in November, how likely would you say you are to
vote in the election this November? Would you say you are… (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM,
BOTTOM TO TOP)
3. Now, thinking about the election for Senate that will be held in November – If the election for
Senate were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for …
(ROTATE CHOICES) (Probe: And would you DEFINTELY vote for the Republican/Democrat
candidate or just PROBABLY?)
8% Undecided (vol)
1% Refused (vol)
the polling company, inc./WomanTrend on behalf of Citizens United Political Victory Fund
Missouri Senate TOPLINE
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____________________________________________________________________________________
N51
31% The Republican Candidate
13% The Democrat Candidate
____________________________________________________________________________________
7. Josh Hawley
9% Heard of / No Opinion
6% Never Heard Of
1% Do Not Know (vol)
* Refused (vol)
the polling company, inc./WomanTrend on behalf of Citizens United Political Victory Fund
Missouri Senate TOPLINE
2
____________________________________________________________________________________
8. Claire McCaskill
3% Heard of / No Opinion
1% Never Heard Of
* Do Not Know (vol)
* Refused (vol)
____________________________________________________________________________________
BALLOT TEST
9. If the election for U.S. Senate were tomorrow, who would you vote for if the race was between
(ROTATE) Republican Josh Hawley, and Democrat Claire McCaskill?
(Probe Those Who Say Undecided: Toward Which Candidate Do You Lean?)
the polling company, inc./WomanTrend on behalf of Citizens United Political Victory Fund
Missouri Senate TOPLINE
3
ADDITIONAL DEMOGRAPHICS
Finally, I would like to ask you a few confidential statistical questions, for generic classification purposes
only.
10. In the Presidential election in 2016, please tell me who you voted for. As you’ll recall, the
candidates were… (Randomize choices)
23% 18-34
31% 35-54
19% 55-64
28% 65+
- Refused
____________________________________________________________________________________
12. And, which of the following best describes your racial or ethnic background? (READ AND
ROTATE)
13. County
____________________________________________________________________________________
14. Gender
48% Male
52% Female
____________________________________________________________________________________
the polling company, inc./WomanTrend on behalf of Citizens United Political Victory Fund
Missouri Senate TOPLINE
4