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N° datos r "=-3*LN(1-r) Promedio movil k=3

1 0.903 7.002 Promedio movil k=


2 0.762 4.304
8.000
3 0.642 3.079 4.795
4 0.176 0.579 2.654 7.000

5 0.440 1.737 1.799 6.000


6 0.190 0.631 0.983
5.000
7 0.935 8.200 3.523
8 0.990 13.766 7.532 4.000

9 0.024 0.073 7.346 3.000


10 0.277 0.971 4.937
2.000
11 0.283 0.997 0.680
12 0.027 0.083 0.684 1.000

13 0.519 2.196 1.092 0.000


0 20 40 60
14 0.169 0.556 0.945
15 0.766 4.363 2.372
16 0.150 0.489 1.803 Grafica en estado transitorio
17 0.714 3.756 2.869
18 0.077 0.241 1.495
19 0.059 0.182 1.393
20 0.142 0.459 0.294
21 0.019 0.057 0.233
22 0.192 0.640 0.386
23 0.651 3.159 1.285
24 0.146 0.474 1.425
25 0.533 2.284 1.972
26 0.117 0.374 1.044
27 0.509 2.132 1.597
28 0.423 1.649 1.385
29 0.985 12.535 5.439
30 0.423 1.649 5.278
31 0.414 1.603 5.262
32 0.948 8.846 4.033
33 0.401 1.540 3.996
34 0.768 4.388 4.924
35 0.369 1.381 2.436
36 0.617 2.877 2.882
37 0.274 0.961 1.739
38 0.645 3.104 2.314
39 0.432 1.697 1.921
40 0.615 2.866 2.556
41 0.765 4.345 2.969
42 0.584 2.631 3.280
43 0.904 7.031 4.669
44 0.057 0.176 3.279
45 0.720 3.819 3.675
46 0.853 5.744 3.247
47 0.859 5.886 5.150
48 0.721 3.831 5.154
49 0.511 2.145 3.954
50 0.743 4.081 3.352
51 0.786 4.624 3.616
52 0.043 0.133 2.946
53 0.634 3.019 2.592
54 0.151 0.491 1.214
55 0.805 4.909 2.806
56 0.968 10.361 5.254
57 0.037 0.114 5.128
58 0.946 8.768 6.415
59 0.631 2.989 3.957
60 0.149 0.482 4.080
61 0.720 3.821 2.431
62 0.872 6.157 3.487
63 0.711 3.728 4.569
64 0.146 0.474 3.453
65 0.313 1.128 1.777
66 0.594 2.706 1.436
67 0.758 4.255 2.696
68 0.092 0.289 2.416
69 0.698 3.594 2.712
70 0.275 0.964 1.615
71 0.492 2.031 2.196
72 0.635 3.021 2.005
73 0.572 2.545 2.532
74 0.875 6.229 3.932
75 0.654 3.181 3.985
76 0.884 6.467 5.292
77 0.357 1.326 3.658
78 0.941 8.513 5.435
79 0.156 0.510 3.450
80 0.095 0.299 3.107
81 0.329 1.197 0.668
82 0.875 6.231 2.575
83 0.205 0.690 2.706
84 0.085 0.265 2.395
85 0.877 6.290 2.415
86 0.952 9.136 5.231
87 0.065 0.203 5.210
88 0.360 1.341 3.560
89 0.593 2.696 1.413
90 0.383 1.451 1.829
91 0.600 2.746 2.298
92 0.386 1.464 1.887
93 0.807 4.935 3.049
94 0.906 7.095 4.498
95 0.441 1.747 4.592
96 0.884 6.450 5.097
97 0.258 0.895 3.030
98 0.067 0.206 2.517
99 0.975 11.113 4.071
100 0.968 10.351 7.224
N° datos r "=-3*LN(1-r)
Promedio movil k=3 1 0.903 7.002
2 0.762 4.304
3 0.642 3.079
4 0.176 0.579
5 0.440 1.737
6 0.190 0.631
7 0.935 8.200
8 0.990 13.766
9 0.024 0.073
10 0.277 0.971
11 0.283 0.997
12 0.027 0.083
13 0.519 2.196
40 60 80 100 120
14 0.169 0.556
15 0.766 4.363
ado transitorio 16 0.150 0.489
17 0.714 3.756
18 0.077 0.241
19 0.059 0.182
20 0.142 0.459
21 0.019 0.057
22 0.192 0.640
23 0.651 3.159
24 0.146 0.474
25 0.533 2.284
26 0.117 0.374
27 0.509 2.132
28 0.423 1.649
29 0.985 12.535
30 0.423 1.649
31 0.414 1.603
32 0.948 8.846
33 0.401 1.540
34 0.768 4.388
35 0.369 1.381
36 0.617 2.877
37 0.274 0.961
38 0.645 3.104
39 0.432 1.697
40 0.615 2.866
41 0.765 4.345
42 0.584 2.631
43 0.904 7.031
44 0.057 0.176
45 0.720 3.819
46 0.853 5.744
47 0.859 5.886
48 0.721 3.831
49 0.511 2.145
50 0.743 4.081
51 0.786 4.624
52 0.043 0.133
53 0.634 3.019
54 0.151 0.491
55 0.805 4.909
56 0.968 10.361
57 0.037 0.114
58 0.946 8.768
59 0.631 2.989
60 0.149 0.482
61 0.720 3.821
62 0.872 6.157
63 0.711 3.728
64 0.146 0.474
65 0.313 1.128
66 0.594 2.706
67 0.758 4.255
68 0.092 0.289
69 0.698 3.594
70 0.275 0.964
71 0.492 2.031
72 0.635 3.021
73 0.572 2.545
74 0.875 6.229
75 0.654 3.181
76 0.884 6.467
77 0.357 1.326
78 0.941 8.513
79 0.156 0.510
80 0.095 0.299
81 0.329 1.197
82 0.875 6.231
83 0.205 0.690
84 0.085 0.265
85 0.877 6.290
86 0.952 9.136
87 0.065 0.203
88 0.360 1.341
89 0.593 2.696
90 0.383 1.451
91 0.600 2.746
92 0.386 1.464
93 0.807 4.935
94 0.906 7.095
95 0.441 1.747
96 0.884 6.450
97 0.258 0.895
98 0.067 0.206
99 0.975 11.113
100 0.968 10.351
101 0.156 0.510
102 0.836 5.426
103 0.316 1.138
104 0.012 0.035
105 0.894 6.722
106 0.453 1.808
107 0.469 1.899
108 0.442 1.752
109 0.500 2.079
110 0.554 2.422
111 0.343 1.262
112 0.211 0.711
113 0.754 4.202
114 0.191 0.636
115 0.373 1.398
116 0.598 2.737
117 0.375 1.411
118 0.403 1.549
119 0.675 3.370
120 0.556 2.433
121 0.840 5.491
122 0.500 2.082
123 0.801 4.842
124 0.026 0.079
125 0.928 7.911
126 0.353 1.305
127 0.545 2.364
128 0.060 0.185
129 0.160 0.523
130 0.973 10.801
131 0.864 5.977
132 0.164 0.539
133 0.877 6.277
134 0.852 5.741
135 0.625 2.939
136 0.836 5.422
137 0.148 0.480
138 0.113 0.361
139 0.057 0.176
140 0.619 2.899
141 0.119 0.380
142 0.821 5.165
143 0.405 1.558
144 0.967 10.260
145 0.955 9.282
146 0.475 1.932
147 0.047 0.144
148 0.681 3.430
149 0.884 6.450
150 0.803 4.867
151 0.881 6.398
152 0.060 0.185
153 0.818 5.111
154 0.065 0.202
155 0.966 10.188
156 0.867 6.049
157 0.472 1.914
158 0.037 0.112
159 0.899 6.890
160 0.174 0.573
161 0.134 0.432
162 0.772 4.438
163 0.740 4.044
164 0.592 2.687
165 0.573 2.552
166 0.388 1.473
167 0.187 0.621
168 0.206 0.693
169 0.739 4.035
170 0.416 1.613
171 0.112 0.356
172 0.738 4.014
173 0.421 1.639
174 0.188 0.625
175 0.675 3.373
176 0.336 1.229
177 0.881 6.390
178 0.192 0.638
179 0.029 0.088
180 0.027 0.082
181 0.420 1.636
182 0.978 11.400
183 0.923 7.710
184 0.143 0.464
185 0.958 9.515
186 0.822 5.176
187 0.500 2.079
188 0.159 0.519
189 0.814 5.050
190 0.669 3.313
191 0.369 1.380
192 0.994 15.589
193 0.210 0.708
194 0.572 2.548
195 0.305 1.090
196 0.058 0.179
197 0.262 0.912
198 0.442 1.748
199 0.824 5.208
200 0.625 2.943
Promedio movil k=6
Promedio movil k=6
7.000

6.000

5.000

2.889 4.000
3.088
3.000
4.666
4.164 2.000
4.230
1.000
4.106
4.015 0.000
0 50 100 150 200 250
3.014
0.813
1.528
1.447 Grafica en estado transitorio
1.907
1.934
1.598
1.582
0.864
0.889
0.790
0.829
1.179
1.165
1.511
1.679
3.241
3.437
3.324
4.736
4.637
5.093
3.234
3.439
3.332
2.375
2.401
2.148
2.641
2.601
3.612
3.124
3.478
3.958
4.215
4.415
3.600
4.251
4.385
3.450
2.972
2.415
2.876
3.923
3.171
4.610
4.606
4.604
4.423
3.722
4.324
2.942
2.632
3.002
3.075
2.097
2.074
2.156
2.306
2.359
2.074
3.064
2.995
3.912
3.795
4.710
4.371
3.383
3.052
3.012
2.906
1.532
2.495
3.968
3.802
2.987
3.322
3.519
2.929
1.650
2.439
3.398
3.240
4.073
3.764
3.555
4.584
5.127
4.921
4.750
4.791
4.762
4.030
2.606
2.838
2.226
2.382
2.780
1.870
1.688
2.072
1.886
1.772
1.825
1.849
1.989
1.850
2.150
2.832
2.723
3.295
3.050
3.807
3.619
3.097
2.781
2.061
3.848
3.526
3.398
4.050
4.976
5.379
4.483
3.566
3.537
2.520
2.046
1.620
1.577
1.756
3.406
4.924
4.763
4.723
4.434
5.249
4.351
3.870
3.579
4.407
3.869
4.492
4.689
3.942
3.929
4.226
4.288
2.662
2.393
2.748
3.177
2.454
2.604
2.636
2.012
2.010
1.831
1.465
1.888
2.058
2.047
1.937
1.873
2.878
2.316
2.057
1.967
1.677
3.373
3.593
3.564
5.135
5.983
6.057
4.244
3.800
4.275
2.920
4.655
4.427
4.765
4.105
3.583
3.504
1.198
1.947
2.013
200 250
N° datos r "=5+10*r Promedio movil k=3
1 0.589 10.893
2 0.665 11.652
3 0.588 10.880 11.142
4 0.674 11.740 11.424 14.000
Promedio movil con 100 da
5 0.613 11.128 11.249
6 0.007 5.072 9.313 12.000
7 0.933 14.328 10.176
10.000
8 0.335 8.348 9.250
9 0.922 14.215 12.297 8.000
10 0.312 8.116 10.227
6.000
11 0.744 12.438 11.590
12 0.116 6.159 8.905 4.000
13 0.778 12.776 10.458
14 0.023 5.229 8.055 2.000

15 0.146 6.460 8.155 0.000


16 0.729 12.292 7.994 0 20 40 60 80

17 0.248 7.484 8.745


18 0.946 14.458 11.411
19 0.510 10.095 10.679
20 0.532 10.320 11.624
21 0.708 12.084 10.833
22 0.104 6.043 9.483
23 0.703 12.030 10.053
24 0.498 9.977 9.350
25 0.360 8.599 10.202
26 0.271 7.712 8.763
27 0.974 14.739 10.350
28 0.758 12.583 11.678
29 0.592 10.923 12.748
30 0.312 8.117 10.541
31 0.669 11.690 10.243
32 0.303 8.027 9.278
33 0.473 9.730 9.816
34 0.259 7.585 8.447
35 0.427 9.274 8.863
36 0.378 8.784 8.548
37 0.245 7.452 8.503
38 0.866 13.662 9.966
39 0.145 6.454 9.189
40 0.799 12.991 11.036
41 0.391 8.907 9.451
42 0.733 12.330 11.409
43 0.007 5.066 8.768
44 0.975 14.752 10.716
45 0.250 7.502 9.107
46 0.368 8.680 10.311
47 0.150 6.504 7.562
48 0.227 7.266 7.483
49 0.246 7.461 7.077
50 0.623 11.234 8.654
51 0.862 13.625 10.773
52 0.082 5.820 10.226
53 0.128 6.281 8.575
54 0.605 11.053 7.718
55 0.826 13.256 10.196
56 0.468 9.677 11.328
57 0.438 9.379 10.770
58 0.244 7.444 8.833
59 0.950 14.501 10.441
60 0.276 7.763 9.903
61 0.144 6.445 9.570
62 0.877 13.768 9.325
63 0.619 11.189 10.467
64 0.780 12.796 12.584
65 0.720 12.196 12.060
66 0.556 10.560 11.851
67 0.230 7.297 10.018
68 0.517 10.168 9.342
69 0.697 11.967 9.811
70 0.246 7.458 9.865
71 0.911 14.105 11.177
72 0.762 12.620 11.394
73 0.395 8.954 11.893
74 0.552 10.521 10.698
75 0.961 14.612 11.362
76 0.084 5.835 10.323
77 0.429 9.291 9.913
78 0.303 8.030 7.719
79 0.136 6.359 7.894
80 0.004 5.038 6.476
81 0.161 6.608 6.002
82 0.671 11.710 7.785
83 0.608 11.078 9.799
84 0.338 8.376 10.388
85 0.125 6.254 8.569
86 0.011 5.112 6.580
87 0.115 6.150 5.839
88 0.908 14.083 8.448
89 0.413 9.133 9.789
90 0.916 14.163 12.460
91 0.752 12.519 11.938
92 0.601 11.015 12.565
93 0.569 10.686 11.406
94 0.588 10.878 10.859
95 0.150 6.500 9.355
96 0.913 14.134 10.504
97 0.357 8.569 9.734
98 0.539 10.388 11.030
99 0.372 8.722 9.226
100 0.611 11.106 10.072
N° datos r "=5+10*r
1 0.589 10.893
2 0.665 11.652
3 0.588 10.880
Promedio movil con 100 datos 4 0.674 11.740
5 0.613 11.128
6 0.007 5.072
7 0.933 14.328
8 0.335 8.348
9 0.922 14.215
10 0.312 8.116
11 0.744 12.438
12 0.116 6.159
13 0.778 12.776
14 0.023 5.229
15 0.146 6.460
0 40 60 80 100 120 16 0.729 12.292
17 0.248 7.484
18 0.946 14.458
19 0.510 10.095
20 0.532 10.320
21 0.708 12.084
22 0.104 6.043
23 0.703 12.030
24 0.498 9.977
25 0.360 8.599
26 0.271 7.712
27 0.974 14.739
28 0.758 12.583
29 0.592 10.923
30 0.312 8.117
31 0.669 11.690
32 0.303 8.027
33 0.473 9.730
34 0.259 7.585
35 0.427 9.274
36 0.378 8.784
37 0.245 7.452
38 0.866 13.662
39 0.145 6.454
40 0.799 12.991
41 0.391 8.907
42 0.733 12.330
43 0.007 5.066
44 0.975 14.752
45 0.250 7.502
46 0.368 8.680
47 0.150 6.504
48 0.227 7.266
49 0.246 7.461
50 0.623 11.234
51 0.862 13.625
52 0.082 5.820
53 0.128 6.281
54 0.605 11.053
55 0.826 13.256
56 0.468 9.677
57 0.438 9.379
58 0.244 7.444
59 0.950 14.501
60 0.276 7.763
61 0.144 6.445
62 0.877 13.768
63 0.619 11.189
64 0.780 12.796
65 0.720 12.196
66 0.556 10.560
67 0.230 7.297
68 0.517 10.168
69 0.697 11.967
70 0.246 7.458
71 0.911 14.105
72 0.762 12.620
73 0.395 8.954
74 0.552 10.521
75 0.961 14.612
76 0.084 5.835
77 0.429 9.291
78 0.303 8.030
79 0.136 6.359
80 0.004 5.038
81 0.161 6.608
82 0.671 11.710
83 0.608 11.078
84 0.338 8.376
85 0.125 6.254
86 0.011 5.112
87 0.115 6.150
88 0.908 14.083
89 0.413 9.133
90 0.916 14.163
91 0.752 12.519
92 0.601 11.015
93 0.569 10.686
94 0.588 10.878
95 0.150 6.500
96 0.913 14.134
97 0.357 8.569
98 0.539 10.388
99 0.372 8.722
100 0.611 11.106
101 0.783 12.835
102 0.133 6.332
103 0.837 13.366
104 0.927 14.272
105 0.168 6.683
106 0.103 6.033
107 0.942 14.416
108 0.853 13.525
109 0.346 8.457
110 0.538 10.382
111 0.089 5.886
112 0.252 7.517
113 0.053 5.526
114 0.395 8.948
115 0.581 10.815
116 0.317 8.165
117 0.331 8.307
118 0.509 10.095
119 0.703 12.029
120 0.869 13.688
121 0.617 11.169
122 0.982 14.824
123 0.506 10.056
124 0.125 6.248
125 0.584 10.842
126 0.115 6.149
127 0.327 8.268
128 0.546 10.464
129 0.384 8.841
130 0.589 10.887
131 0.304 8.041
132 0.828 13.279
133 0.506 10.059
134 0.632 11.321
135 0.932 14.320
136 0.320 8.200
137 0.844 13.445
138 0.623 11.227
139 0.013 5.127
140 0.452 9.516
141 0.989 14.893
142 0.449 9.494
143 0.929 14.287
144 0.978 14.776
145 0.583 10.833
146 0.166 6.660
147 0.804 13.043
148 0.689 11.894
149 0.651 11.510
150 0.946 14.456
151 0.028 5.279
152 0.550 10.498
153 0.727 12.269
154 0.722 12.218
155 0.541 10.409
156 0.136 6.363
157 0.590 10.897
158 0.860 13.598
159 0.491 9.915
160 0.466 9.665
161 0.822 13.217
162 0.655 11.547
163 0.692 11.920
164 0.664 11.643
165 0.443 9.433
166 0.765 12.651
167 0.170 6.695
168 0.588 10.877
169 0.230 7.298
170 0.030 5.296
171 0.724 12.239
172 0.730 12.304
173 0.412 9.123
174 0.266 7.661
175 0.886 13.859
176 0.199 6.986
177 0.187 6.867
178 0.256 7.559
179 0.951 14.512
180 0.940 14.398
181 0.507 10.072
182 0.594 10.940
183 0.574 10.745
184 0.238 7.378
185 0.267 7.670
186 0.904 14.036
187 0.543 10.428
188 0.561 10.605
189 0.068 5.682
190 0.757 12.575
191 0.615 11.148
192 0.032 5.317
193 0.133 6.328
194 0.356 8.562
195 0.444 9.440
196 0.662 11.620
197 0.838 13.376
198 0.612 11.117
199 0.352 8.518
200 0.875 13.752
Promedio movil k = 6

Promedio movil con 200 datos

14.000

12.000
10.228
10.800 10.000
10.250 8.000
10.805
6.000
10.201
10.420 4.000
10.601
2.000
10.342
9.822 0.000
0 50 100 150 200 250
8.530
9.226
8.400 se verifica que con un valor de k=6 y con 200 datos, la grafica es mas estable que la anter
9.783
9.336
10.185
11.122
10.081
10.838
10.092
9.842
9.408
9.850
10.940
10.756
10.446
10.961
11.013
10.178
9.345
9.070
9.182
8.475
9.414
8.868
9.769
9.708
10.299
9.902
10.083
10.258
9.539
9.139
8.295
8.694
8.108
9.128
8.652
8.614
9.246
10.211
9.952
9.244
9.515
10.885
10.337
9.202
9.883
10.185
11.077
10.693
11.159
11.301
10.701
10.831
9.941
10.259
10.603
10.879
10.937
11.378
11.108
10.305
9.541
9.108
8.194
6.860
7.840
8.137
8.195
8.177
8.190
8.113
8.509
8.185
9.149
10.193
11.177
11.933
11.399
10.960
10.955
10.297
10.192
9.865
9.903
10.959
9.659
10.458
11.106
10.766
9.920
10.184
11.382
10.564
9.916
9.783
10.030
8.549
7.786
8.179
7.810
8.213
8.643
9.726
10.517
10.576
11.685
11.977
11.336
11.138
9.881
9.398
8.671
8.469
9.242
8.775
9.964
10.262
10.405
11.318
10.870
11.770
11.428
10.607
10.306
10.401
10.617
10.757
11.349
12.300
11.824
11.515
11.915
11.453
11.399
10.474
11.113
10.984
11.038
10.855
9.506
10.442
10.959
10.567
10.141
10.609
11.473
11.643
11.318
11.238
11.735
10.648
10.537
9.766
8.708
9.176
9.118
9.523
8.987
10.080
10.362
9.467
8.676
9.574
10.697
10.066
10.725
11.371
11.341
10.200
10.140
10.200
10.144
9.300
10.166
10.746
9.293
8.609
8.268
8.895
8.736
9.107
10.074
10.439
11.304
atos

200 250

grafica es mas estable que la anterir

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