Resultados

Ajuste de una serie de datos a la distribución Gamma de 2 parámetros

Serie de datos X:

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N° X
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1 130.12
2 120.42
3 117.31
4 115.03
5 109.73
6 98.61
7 96.79
8 90.44
9 89.86
10 89.08
11 82.97
12 81.99
13 81.29
14 81.02
15 80.34
16 74.44
17 72.7
18 68.21
19 68.04
20 67.41
21 66.68
22 64.04
23 63.79
24 61.95
25 60.87
26 60.81
27 57.96
28 56.9
29 54.99
30 51.09
31 49.72
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Cálculos del ajuste Smirnov Kolmogorov:

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m X P(X) G(Y) Ordinario G(Y) Mom Lineal Delta
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1 49.72 0.0313 0.0571 0.1606 0.1294
2 51.09 0.0625 0.0682 0.1758 0.1133
3 54.99 0.0938 0.1071 0.2221 0.1283
4 56.9 0.1250 0.1302 0.2461 0.1211
 5 57.96 0.1563 0.1441 0.2598 0.1036
6 60.81 0.1875 0.1854 0.2975 0.1100
7 60.87 0.2188 0.1863 0.2983 0.0796
8 61.95 0.2500 0.2034 0.3129 0.0629
9 63.79 0.2813 0.2339 0.3381 0.0568
10 64.04 0.3125 0.2382 0.3415 0.0290
11 66.68 0.3438 0.2854 0.3780 0.0342
12 67.41 0.3750 0.2989 0.3881 0.0131
13 68.04 0.4063 0.3107 0.3968 0.0094
14 68.21 0.4375 0.3139 0.3992 0.0383
15 72.7 0.4688 0.4012 0.4611 0.0077
16 74.44 0.5000 0.4356 0.4847 0.0153
17 80.34 0.5313 0.5506 0.5621 0.0309
18 81.02 0.5625 0.5634 0.5707 0.0082
19 81.29 0.5938 0.5685 0.5741 0.0197
20 81.99 0.6250 0.5814 0.5828 0.0422
21 82.97 0.6563 0.5993 0.5949 0.0614
22 89.08 0.6875 0.7022 0.6656 0.0219
23 89.86 0.7188 0.7141 0.6741 0.0446
24 90.44 0.7500 0.7228 0.6803 0.0697
25 96.79 0.7813 0.8066 0.7432 0.0381
26 98.61 0.8125 0.8269 0.7595 0.0530
27 109.73 0.8438 0.9178 0.8428 0.0009
28 115.03 0.8750 0.9445 0.8735 0.0015
29 117.31 0.9063 0.9534 0.8850 0.0212
30 120.42 0.9375 0.9636 0.8994 0.0381
31 130.12 0.9688 0.9839 0.9347 0.0341
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Ajuste con momentos lineales:
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Como el delta teórico 0.1294, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2443. Los datos se ajustan a la
distribución Gamma de 2 parámetros, con un nivel de significación del 5%

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Los 2 parámetros de la distribución Gamma:
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Con momentos ordinarios:
Parámetro de forma (gamma)= 14.7038
Parámetro de escala (beta)= 5.407

Con momentos lineales:

Parámetro de forma (gammal)= 6.6868
Parámetro de escala (betal)= 11.8895

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Caudal de diseño:
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El caudal de diseño para un periodo de retorno de 200 años, es 180.44