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periodo indice promedio movil a 2t pronostico error error va promedio m a 4 t

1 9.5
2 9.3 9.4
3 9.4 9.35 9.4 0 0
4 9.6 9.5 9.35 0.25 0.25 9.45
5 9.8 9.7 9.5 0.3 0.3 9.525
6 9.7 9.75 9.7 0 0 9.625
7 9.8 9.75 9.75 0.05 0.05 9.725
8 10.5 10.15 9.75 0.75 0.75 9.95
9 9.9 10.2 10.15 -0.25 0.25 9.975
10 9.7 9.8 10.2 -0.5 0.5 9.975
11 9.6 9.65 9.8 -0.2 0.2 9.925
12 9.6 9.6 9.65 -0.05 0.05 9.7
13 9.1 9.35 9.6 -0.5 0.5 9.5
14 9 9.05 9.35 -0.35 0.35 9.325
15 9.2 9.1 9.05 0.15 0.15 9.225
16 9.3 9.25 9.1 0.2 0.2 9.15
17 9.8 9.55 9.25 0.55 0.55 9.325
18 10.1 9.95 9.55 0.55 0.55 9.6
19 9.95
4.65

DAM 0.290625
pronostico error error va promrdio m a 5t pronostico error error va

9.45 0.35 0.35 9.52


9.525 0.175 0.175 9.56 9.52 0.18 0.18
9.625 0.175 0.175 9.66 9.56 0.24 0.24
9.725 0.775 0.775 9.88 9.66 0.84 0.84
9.95 -0.05 0.05 9.94 9.88 0.02 0.02
9.975 -0.275 0.275 9.92 9.94 -0.24 0.24
9.725 -0.125 0.125 9.9 9.92 -0.32 0.32
9.25 0.35 0.35 9.86 9.9 -0.3 0.3
9.7 -0.6 0.6 9.58 9.86 -0.76 0.76
9.5 -0.5 0.5 9.4 9.58 -0.58 0.58
9.325 -0.125 0.125 9.3 9.4 -0.2 0.2
9.225 0.075 0.075 9.24 9.3 0 0
9.15 0.65 0.65 9.28 9.24 0.56 0.56
9.325 0.775 0.775 9.48 9.28 0.82 0.82
9.6 9.48
5 5.06

DAM 0.35714286 DAM 0.38923077


periodo indice promedio movil a 2t pronostico error error va
1 27
2 31 29
3 29 30 29 0 0
4 33 31 30 3 3
5 28 30.5 31 -3 3
6 26 27 30.5 -4.5 4.5
7 30 28 27 3 3
8 28 29 28 0 0
9 32 30 29 3 3
10 30 31 30 0 0
11 25 27.5 31 -6 6
12 32 28.5 27.5 4.5 4.5
13 28.5

27
DAM 2.7
promedio m a 4 t pronostico error error va promrdio m a 6t pronostico error

30
30.25 30 -2 2
29 30.25 -4.25 4.25 29
29.25 29 1 1 29.5 29 1
28 29.25 -1.25 1.25 29 29.5 -1.5
29 28 4 4 29.5 29 3
30 29 1 1 29 29.5 0.5
28.75 30 -5 5 28.5 29 -4
29.75 28.75 3.25 3.25 29.5 28.5 3.5
29.75 29.5

21.75
DAM 2.71875 DAM
error va

1
1.5
3
0.5
4
3.5

13.5
2.25