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Fecha Duración (min)

Año Mes Día 5 10 20 45 80

1999 oct 8 7.3 9.0 9.3


1999 jul 8 8.0 10.4 15.4 16.7 18.3

2003 may 15 12.5 18.9 20.0 24.8 25.5


2005 sep 21 7.5 13.8 14.3 19.0 25.7
2005 jun 14 5.7 7.5 9.2 13.6 15.2
2007 ago 13 6.8 12.7
2007 ago 11 9.8 11.7 18.0 20.6 21.1
2009 jul 10 7.1 9.4 10.4 18.3 19.4
2012 sep 10 13.5 19.6 20.7 38.5 55.3
2014 may 17 7.4 10.0 19.5 23.8
2014 jun 16 20.3 29.1
2016 may 31 10.0 17.5 17.7 18.7 19.5

Fecha Duración (min)


Año Mes Día 5 10 20 45 80

1999 oct 8 87.6 54.0 27.9 0.0 0.0


1999 jul 8 96.0 62.4 46.2 22.3 13.7

2003 may 15 150.0 113.4 60.0 33.1 19.1


2005 sep 21 90.0 82.8 42.9 25.3 19.3
2005 jun 14 68.4 45.0 27.6 18.1 11.4
2007 ago 13 40.8 38.1
2007 ago 11 117.6 70.2 54.0 27.5 15.8
2009 jul 10 85.2 56.4 31.2 24.4 14.6
2012 sep 10 162.0 117.6 62.1 51.3 41.5
2014 may 17 88.8 60.0 58.5 31.7
2014 jun 16 0.0 27.1 21.8
2016 may 31 120.0 105.0 53.1 24.9 14.6

Fecha Duración (min)


Año Mes Día 5 10 20 45 80
1999 oct 8 96.0 62.4 46.2 22.3 13.7
2003 jul 8 150.0 113.4 60.0 33.1 19.1
2005 may 15 90.0 82.8 42.9 25.3 19.3
2005 jun 14 68.4 45.0 27.6 18.1 11.4
2007 sep 21 117.6 70.2 54.0 27.5 15.8
2009 jun 14 85.2 56.4 31.2 24.4 14.6
2012 ago 11 162.0 117.6 62.1 51.3 41.5
2014 jul 10 88.8 60.0 58.5 31.7 21.8
2016 sep 10 120.0 105.0 53.1 24.9 14.6

5.0 10.0 20.0 45.0 80.0


Análisis de frecuencia Duración (min)
N°Orden P(X>x) T(años) 5.0 10.0 20.0 45.0 80.0
1 0.100 10.00 162.0 117.6 62.1 51.3 41.5
2 0.200 5.00 150.0 113.4 60.0 33.1 21.8
3 0.300 3.33 120.0 105.0 58.5 31.7 19.3
4 0.400 2.50 117.6 82.8 54.0 27.5 19.1
5 0.500 2.00 96.0 70.2 53.1 25.3 15.8
6 0.600 1.67 90.0 62.4 46.2 24.9 14.6
7 0.700 1.43 88.8 60.0 42.9 24.4 14.6
8 0.800 1.25 85.2 56.4 31.2 22.3 13.7
9 0.900 1.11 68.4 45.0 27.6 18.1 11.4

x2=log(D) x1=log(T) y=log(i) x1y x2y x1^2 x2^2


1 0.699 1.000 2.210 2.210 1.544 1.000 0.489
2 0.699 0.699 2.176 1.521 1.521 0.489 0.489
3 0.699 0.523 2.079 1.087 1.453 0.273 0.489
4 0.699 0.398 2.070 0.824 1.447 0.158 0.489
5 0.699 0.301 1.982 0.597 1.386 0.091 0.489
6 0.699 0.222 1.954 0.434 1.366 0.049 0.489
7 0.699 0.155 1.948 0.302 1.362 0.024 0.489
8 0.699 0.097 1.930 0.187 1.349 0.009 0.489
9 0.699 0.046 1.835 0.084 1.283 0.002 0.489

1 1.000 1.000 2.070 2.070 2.070 1.000 1.000


2 1.000 0.699 2.055 1.436 2.055 0.489 1.000
3 1.000 0.523 2.021 1.057 2.021 0.273 1.000
4 1.000 0.398 1.918 0.763 1.918 0.158 1.000
5 1.000 0.301 1.846 0.556 1.846 0.091 1.000
6 1.000 0.222 1.795 0.398 1.795 0.049 1.000
7 1.000 0.155 1.778 0.275 1.778 0.024 1.000
8 1.000 0.097 1.751 0.170 1.751 0.009 1.000
9 1.000 0.046 1.653 0.076 1.653 0.002 1.000

1 1.301 1.000 1.793 1.793 2.333 1.000 1.693


2 1.301 0.699 1.778 1.243 2.313 0.489 1.693
3 1.301 0.523 1.767 0.924 2.299 0.273 1.693
4 1.301 0.398 1.732 0.689 2.254 0.158 1.693
5 1.301 0.301 1.725 0.519 2.244 0.091 1.693
6 1.301 0.222 1.665 0.369 2.166 0.049 1.693
7 1.301 0.155 1.632 0.253 2.124 0.024 1.693
8 1.301 0.097 1.494 0.145 1.944 0.009 1.693
9 1.301 0.046 1.441 0.066 1.875 0.002 1.693
1 1.653 1.000 1.710 1.710 2.828 1.000 2.733
2 1.653 0.699 1.519 1.062 2.512 0.489 2.733
3 1.653 0.523 1.502 0.785 2.482 0.273 2.733
4 1.653 0.398 1.439 0.573 2.379 0.158 2.733
5 1.653 0.301 1.404 0.423 2.321 0.091 2.733
6 1.653 0.222 1.397 0.310 2.309 0.049 2.733
7 1.653 0.155 1.387 0.215 2.294 0.024 2.733
8 1.653 0.097 1.348 0.131 2.228 0.009 2.733
9 1.653 0.046 1.258 0.058 2.081 0.002 2.733

1 1.903 1.000 1.618 1.618 3.079 1.000 3.622


2 1.903 0.699 1.339 0.936 2.548 0.489 3.622
3 1.903 0.523 1.285 0.672 2.445 0.273 3.622
4 1.903 0.398 1.282 0.510 2.439 0.158 3.622
5 1.903 0.301 1.199 0.361 2.282 0.091 3.622
6 1.903 0.222 1.165 0.258 2.217 0.049 3.622
7 1.903 0.155 1.163 0.180 2.213 0.024 3.622
8 1.903 0.097 1.138 0.110 2.165 0.009 3.622
9 1.903 0.046 1.057 0.048 2.011 0.002 3.622

1 2.079 1.000 1.602 1.602 3.331 1.000 4.323


2 2.079 0.699 1.176 0.822 2.445 0.489 4.323
3 2.079 0.523 1.161 0.607 2.415 0.273 4.323
4 2.079 0.398 1.155 0.460 2.402 0.158 4.323
5 2.079 0.301 1.138 0.343 2.367 0.091 4.323
6 2.079 0.222 1.053 0.234 2.190 0.049 4.323
7 2.079 0.155 1.002 0.155 2.084 0.024 4.323
8 2.079 0.097 0.987 0.096 2.052 0.009 4.323
9 2.079 0.046 0.892 0.041 1.855 0.002 4.323

Suma 77.719 20.641 84.479 34.366 113.124 12.574 124.732


x2=log(D) x1=log(T) y=log(i) x1y x2y x1^2 x2^2

54 a0 + 20.641 a1 + 79.162 a2 = 84.479


20.0641 a0 + 12.574 a1 + 30.260 a2 = 34.366
79.162 a0 + 30.260 a1 + 127.650 a2 = 115.802

54 20.641 77.719 84.479


20.641 12.574 29.708 34.366
77.719 29.708 124.732 113.124

0.21060945 -0.08161345 -0.1117906 2.34103 log k


-0.0816135 0.213508857 -1.8963E-16 0.44292351 m
-0.1117906 -2.09485E-16 0.07767296 -0.6572325 -n
MÉTODO DE GAUSS (MAS O MENOS DESPEJAMOS a2)
N 0
20.641 -1114.6368 -426.068294 -1604.238 -1743.7564
54 1114.63678 678.9852026 1604.23796 1855.77927
0 252.9169086 0 112.022844

-77.719354 -4196.8451 -1604.23796 -6040.2979 -6565.6147


54 4196.8451 1604.237962 6735.5206 6108.69177
0 0 695.222657 -456.92294

-115563.54 175833.565
-0.6572325 a1 n(-1)

log(k) a0 2.340985634
k 219.2732398
120

19.4

27.5
29.0
15.6

28.6
20.1
80.0

30.0
22.6

120

0.0
9.7

13.8
14.5
7.8

14.3
10.1
40.0

15.0
11.3

120
9.7
13.8
14.5
7.8
14.3
10.1
40.0
15.0
11.3

n
120.0 24.0

120.0
40.0
15.0
14.5
14.3
13.8
11.3
10.1
9.7
7.8

x1x2
0.699 1
0.489 2
0.365 3
0.278 4
0.210 5
0.155 6
0.108 7
0.068 8
0.032

1.000 11
0.699 12
0.523 13
0.398 14
0.301 15
0.222 16
0.155 17
0.097 18
0.046

1.301 21
0.909 22
0.680 23
0.518 24
0.392 25
0.289 26
0.202 27
0.126 28
0.060
1.653 31
1.156 32
0.864 33
0.658 34
0.498 35
0.367 36
0.256 37
0.160 38
0.076

1.903 41
1.330 42
0.995 43
0.757 44
0.573 45
0.422 46
0.295 47
0.184 48
0.087

2.079 51
1.453 52
1.087 53
0.827 54
0.626 55
0.461 56
0.322 57
0.201 58
0.095

29.708
x1x2

k= 219.30
m= 0.44
n= 0.66
a2 0.44303958 m