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The global inorganic chemicals industry is being shaped by the following trends
that are impacting business models, processes and product segments of multinational
players.
Globalization
Consolidation
Indian chemicals industry, which includes basic chemicals & its products,
petrochemicals, fertilizers, paints, gases and pharmaceuticals, is one of the oldest
industries in the country and plays an important role in its overall economic
development. Other features that set it apart, are the requirement for large capital for
set-up, high power consumption for production and a highly diversified product
range, covering more than 70,000 commercial products. The chemical industry
forms the backbone of the industrial and agricultural development of India, by
providing building blocks for downstream industries.
The chemical industry accounts for about 17.6 per cent of the output of India’s
manufacturing sector and about 3 per cent of the GDP. The industry output is estimated
at US$ 35 billion, with a total investment of approximately US$ 60 billion.
The Indian chemical industry is the 12th largest in the world and 3rd largest in
Asia, in terms of volume. It accounts for about 13 per cent of total exports and 8 per cent
of the total imports of India. During the last 5 years, exports of chemicals have
exceeded imports thereby resulting in a positive balance of trade, as against negative
balance in the nineties. The industry contributes about 18-20 per cent of total customs
and excise duties collection in India. India’s current per capita consumption of
chemicals is just a tenth of the world’s average, indicating the tremendous scope
for industry’s growth in India. The industry size is projected to more than double, to
reach US$ 80 – 100 billion by 2010.
The industry is highly fragmented, with close to 7000 firms developing multiple
products at dispersed locations. Western India accounts for half of the total Indian
chemical industry.
Gujarat 53%
Maharashtra 9%
Uttar Pradesh 6%
Tamil Nadu 6%
Madhya Pradesh 5%
Punjab 4%
others 17%
Industry Segmentation
The chemicals industry is broadly classified into basic chemicals, specialty
chemicals and knowledge chemicals. Basic chemicals have traditionally formed the bulk
of the chemicals industry in India and still account for 57 per cent of the output. The
industry is now evolving and developing with higher investments in R&D. As a result,
knowledge chemicals and specialty chemicals have grown and today occupy nearly 43
per cent of the industry.
Inorganic chemicals are those that are not carbon based. Typically, they are of
mineral origin. The chemicals produced by this industry are intermediate products that
are used as inputs in industrial and manufacturing processes.
-Aluminum Fluoride
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-Calcium Carbide
-Carbon Black
-Potassium Chlorate
-Sodium Chlorate
-Titanium Dioxide
-Red Phosphorus
Alkali chemicals
-Soda Ash
-Caustic Soda
-Liquid Chlorine
MARKET SIZE
The inorganic chemicals industry had an output of approximately 5.8 million
tonnes in 2006-07. Of this, alkaline chemicals contributed 5.26 million tonnes, or
nearly 90 per cent and basic inorganic chemicals contributed 0.6 million tonnes.
Among alkaline chemicals, soda ash is the largest segment, contributing to 40 per
cent of the output caustic soda has a 36 per cent share and liquid chlorine has 24
per cent.
Carbon black is the biggest segment in basic inorganic chemicals, with a share of nearly
71 per cent of the output. Calcium carbide with 16 per cent and titanium dioxide with 10
per cent, are the other significant segments.
Production of inorganic chemicals has been growing at a CAGR of 4.4 percent between
FY’2002 and FY 2007. The output has gone up from 4.7 million tones in 2001-02 to 5.9
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million tones in 2006-07. Alkaline chemicals have grown at a CAGR on 3.9 percent,
from 4.34 million tones to 5.26 million tones during this period. Basic inorganic
chemicals have grown at a CAGR of 10 per cent, from 374000 tonnes to 602000 tonnes.
As a result of faster growth, the share of inorganic chemicals has gone up, from 8 percent
to 10 percent.
There was a sudden growth in alkali chemicals imports in 2005-06, which was
contributed by a spurt in imports of soda ash.
Exports have followed a similar trend, with a growth of 24.2 per cent
CAGR between FY’02 and FY’06. Basic inorganic chemicals have grown at 31.4 per
cent CAGR and alkaline chemicals, at 21.1 per cent CAGR, during the period.
Production of caustic soda has been increasing at a CAGR of 4.9 per cent, from
1.56 million tonnes in 2001-02 to 1.91 million tonnes in 2006-07. Imports have been
declining over the past 4 years, after a sudden increase in 2002-03. Exports have had a
fluctuating trend.
There are about 40 manufacturers of caustic soda in India. Caustic soda, finds
use in various applications, such as, finishing operations in textiles, manufacture of
soaps and detergents, control of pH (softening) of water for various applications and
general cleansing / bleaching applications. As such, demand for caustic soda is driven by
user industries such as, FMCG, textiles, food processing, paper and pulp, etc.
SODA ASH
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Soda ash production in India has been growing at 2.5 per cent CAGR
from 1.83 million tones in 2001-02 to 2.08 million tones in 2006-07. Imports have
grown at 41.3 per cent CAGR between FY’02 and FY’06, largely due to a jump of 350
per cent between 2004-05 and 2005-06. Exports have more than doubled between FY’02
and FY’06, from 87,000 tonnes to 197,000 tonnes.
Glass manufacturing is the largest application for soda ash whether it is in the
production of containers, fiberglass insulation or flat glass for the housing, commercial
building, and automotive industries. Soda ash also is used to clean the air and soften
water. Household detergents and paper products are a few other common examples of
readily
Identifiable products using soda ash.
LIQUID CHLORINE
Liquid chlorine production in India has been growing at 6.1 per cent CAGR,
from 0.9 million tonnes in 2001-02 to 1.27 million tonnes in 2006-07. Imports have been
negligible,
and exports have fluctuated widely over the past 5 years.
Liquid chlorine is used primarily for various bleaching applications, across
paper and pulp, textiles and other industries.
CARBON BLACK
Carbon black production has grown from 248,000 tonnes in 2001-02 to 422,000
tonnes in 2006-07, a CAGR of 11.2 per cent. The sector has a capacity of 455,000
tonnes. Both imports and exports have been increasing, imports from 16,300 tonnes in
FY’02 to 55300 tonnes in FY’06, at a CAGR of 35.6 per cent and exports from 36,900
tonnes in FY’02 to 97,000 tonnes in FY’06, at 27 per cent CAGR.
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There are many different sources of raw materials for the manufacture of
inorganic chemicals. Very few of them are found in their elemental form. Sulfur is a
notable exception. It occurs in underground deposits and can be brought to the surface by
compressed air after it is melted by superheated steam. However, increasing quantities of
sulfur are recovered from petroleum and natural gas (where they occur as impurities).
The inorganic chemicals industry produces intermediate products that are used as
inputs for several user industries. Hence, the demand for chemicals will depend on the
demand for the products in whose production they are used. In this context, it is
pertinent to look at some of the key user segments for inorganic chemicals and assess the
potential demand for those products. Five major segments are discussed here paints,
glass, automotive, paper and detergents/soaps.
PAINTS INDUSTRY
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The Indian paint industry is divided into two segments decorative and industrial.
The market is highly fragmented, with 25 large and medium players and about 2,000
unorganized players. Asian Paints is the market leader in the industry, with a market
share of 37 per cent, followed by Kansai Nerolac and Berger Paints, both accounting for
18 per cent and 15 per cent, respectively. The paint industry has shown a compounded
annual rate of growth (CAGR) of 28 per cent over the past five years. The continued
growth in the demand from the housing sector, backed by low home finance rates,
augurs well for the decorative segment. The household construction industry is
expected to grow at 8 per cent in the next five years. Demand will be generated
through the new constructions, coming in housing and industries. The decorative
segment, spurred by these trends, is expected to grow at CAGR of 30-32 per cent
over the next couple of years.
The automobile sector, accounts for the lion’s share of industrial paints demand.
The growing demand in consumer durables is expected to improve the demand in
powder coatings. Overall, the industrial paints segment is expected to grow at 18-20 per
cent in the coming years.
GLASS INDUSTRY
The glass industry in India manufactures almost a complete range of glass items.
Glass products are manufactured both in the organized and small-scale sector and the
major segment of tiny and small-scale sector is concentrated in Ferozabad, Uttar
Pradesh. However, the large units are spread over throughout the country.
The Indian glass industry has been growing across all segments. Sheet and Float
glass have recorded the fastest growth at nearly 67 per cent CAGR between 2001 and
2005. This growth has been driven primarily by India’s booming automotive and
construction sectors. Other glassware such as bottles and fiberglass has recorded more
modest growth rates, of about 5 to 6 per cent CAGR over the same period.
Exports of glassware from India have been growing at a rate of 17 per cent
CAGR over the period 2001-02 to 2006-07. From a level of US$ 139 million in 2001,
exports have increased to US$ 307 million by 2007.
AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY
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The Indian automotive market has been one of the key drivers of the economy.
The domestic market has been growing at 14 per cent CAGR from FY’02 to
FY’07. All segments of the vehicles market are growing. Exports of vehicles have been
growing at over 40 per cent CAGR during the same period. Growth in vehicle sales
has been complemented by that in auto components. The components sector has
been growing at 22 per cent CAGR and components exports at 33 per cent CAGR over
FY ‘02 to FY ‘07.
PAPER INDUSTRY
DETERGENTS/SOAPS INDUSTRY
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The soaps and detergents industry include laundry soaps, Synthetic detergents,
and toilet soaps including bathing bars. The production of soap during 2005-2006 was 4,
86,533 tonnes and detergents was 9, 28,222 tonnes. The export and import of soaps
during 2005-06 was 15,344 tonnes and 35,579 tonnes. The export and import of
detergents during 2005-06 was 32,342.02 tonnes and 20,547 tonnes, respectively.
With the chemical industry now having reached a stage of maturity, this sector
has been to a large extent de-regulated. Licensing requirements have also been done
away with, except for hazardous chemicals and a few specified drugs.
• Entrepreneurs are allowed to set up chemical industries following the Industrial
Entrepreneurs’ Memorandum (IEM) route.
• Tariff levels have been reduced substantially for most chemicals
andpetrochemical products and majority of the chemical items can now be freely
imported or exported through simplified procedures.
• 100 per cent FDI under the automatic route is allowed for all chemical items
except hazardous chemicals, where Government/FIPB approval and license to
manufacture are required.
• Plans are underway to set up port based chemical parks in SEZs have been
planned to use the output of chemical parks.
The industry is reaching capacity saturation levels in some of the key segments,
which indicates that imports could increase further unless capacity is added urgently.
The capacity utilization across different segments in 2006-07 is given in the table –
Carbon black, soda ash and caustic soda are approaching full capacity utilization levels.
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GUJARAT
FACTOR CONDITIONS
✔ Proactive policies of the government and capability driven are supporting factors
for driving this industry.
✔ The state accounts for 34.5 per cent of the total sales by industries. The state has
accounted for investments worth US$ 32.57 billion in this sector, aggregating
50.3 per cent of the total investment from 1991.
✔ The state has vast reserves of limestone, bauxite and natural gas, which has
enabled the mineral-based industry to flourish.
✔ The state boasts of abundant raw-material, good infrastructure and skilled man-
power.
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✔ The state has vast reserves of limestone, bauxite and natural gas, which has
enabled the mineral-based industry to flourish.
✔ The state boasts of abundant raw-material, good infrastructure and skilled man-
power.
✔ The exports of chemicals have accounted for 30 per cent of the total exports for
the year 2002-03.
✔ In the past, international firms have investment in the state in the chemicals
segment.
✔ The state offers quality manpower, good infrastructure facilities such as, power,
water supply, ports and gas grid.
ANDHRA PRADESH
FACTOR CONDITIONS
✔ The state has high literacy rates and the presence of good vocational training
institutions have ensured that the state has well qualified manpower.
✔ Proactive policies along with capabilities have made the state attractive in the
chemicals and pharmaceuticals industry.
✔ The state derives close to around 40 per cent of its revenues from the chemicals
sector. This industry is growing at a healthy rate, when compared to other
sectors in state.
✔ Majority of the FDI’s in the state has been in chemicals & petrochemicals sector
(as on Feb. 2004).
✔ The state supports the chemical industry with excellent research institutes.`
MAHARASHTRA
FACTOR CONDITIONS
✔ Chemicals, petrochemicals, oil & gas contribution around 44 per cent of the total
NVA (Net Value Added).
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✔ The state contributes 27.4 per cent of the country’s chemicals, petrochemicals and
oil & gas output.
✔ The chemical industry is expected to grow 15 per cent per annum till 2010 and
thus, present ample opportunities for the state.
✔ The state accounts for 18.2 per cent of the countries employment in the sector.
✔ The upstream and downstream linkages for the industry are the strongest in the
state.
✔ The upstream and downstream linkages for the industry are the strongest in the
state.
✔ 12 percent of the total exports have been contributed by the chemicals and
petroleum crude for the 2002.
Income details
Inorganic Chemicals
Rs. Crore (Non-Annualised) Mar-03 Mar-04 Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08
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Expenses details
Inorganic Chemicals
Rs. Crore (Non-Annualised) Mar-03 Mar-04 Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08
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Assets
Inorganic Chemicals
Rs. Crore (Non-Annualised) Mar-03 Mar-04 Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08
Net pre-operative expenses pending allocation 9.61 17.82 19.51 20.03 26.87 26.22
Net lease reserve adjustment 0 -9.94 0 0 0 0
Less: Cumulative depreciation 1038.19 1153.68 1203.64 1207.16 1295.18 1214.21
Less: Arrears of depreciation 3.34 4.09 4.71 5.13 0 0
Market value of quoted investments 48.11 34.48 69.79 75.24 70.29 77.14
Liabilities
Inorganic Chemicals
Rs. Crore (Non-Annualised) Mar-03 Mar-04 Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08
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1070.1
Secured borrowings 616.56 780.61 827.13 937.92 1046 3
Unsecured borrowings 277.98 270.83 281.81 260.46 346.94 328.95
Current portion of long term debt 47.42 41.44 41.28 48.79 102.19 89.54
1006.4
Current liabilities & provisions 843.58 9 936.41 878.08 956.95 915.76
Sundry creditors 374.86 394.79 443.44 450.33 464.41 602.35
Acceptances 6.11 13.33 18.81 18.74 38.57 39.06
Deposits & advances from customers and employees 27.86 27.78 32.63 46.01 54.87 51.59
Interest accrued 108.59 104.4 44.94 16.32 15.07 13.11
Share application money 0.24 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02
Other current liabilities 114.01 148 117.74 133.72 129.06 58.09
Provisions 211.91 318.17 278.83 212.94 254.95 151.54
Deferred tax liability 170.02 182.27 179.46 178.88 192.18 208.55
3281.8 3647.2 3806.3 3925.5 4419.4 4066.9
Total liabilities 8 1 2 5 4 9
1311.6 1356.2 1509.2 1608.8 1817.8
Net Worth (net of reval & DRE) 6 2 6 4 8 1494.8
1405.0 1229.3
Contingent liabilities 360.99 632.55 850.52 5 4 450.94
No of companies 71 80 80 78 71 61
Profits
Inorganic Chemicals
Rs. Crore (Non-Annualised) Mar-03 Mar-04 Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08
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5 9 7 5 4
0.0022383 0.0016531 0.0016822 0.0023201 0.0023590
Tax 0.0028496 6 6 4 1 3
0.0021334 0.0018574 0.0040508 0.0048178 0.0033708 0.0035560
PAT 5 9 7 6 1 1
Non--provisions for 25.69 35.16 11.38 16.95 20.41 19.49
Diminution in investment 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sundry debtors 3.09 0.47 0.57 0.16 1.08 0.83
Loans and advances including npas 21.76 24.23 0.19 0.18 0.1 0
Loans and advances to group
companies 0 0 0 0 0 0
Interest expenses 0.56 2.49 2.47 16.43 18.45 18.06
Power expenses 0 0 0 0 0 0
Gratuity 0 7.97 7.97 0 0.6 0.6
Others 0.28 0 0.18 0.18 0.18 0
No of companies 71 80 80 78 71 61
Investments
Inorganic Chemicals
Mar- Mar- Mar- Mar- Mar- Mar-
Rs. Crore (Non-Annualised) 03 04 05 06 07 08
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TOOLS OF ANALYSIS
Correlation
Coefficient of correlation is independent of change of scale and origin of the
variable X and Y. By change of origin we mean subtracting some constant from every
given value of x and y by change of scale. We can divide or multiply every value of x and
y by some constant.
_ _
∑(X-X) (Y-Y)
r= -------------------------
_ _
√∑(X-X) 2 √∑(Y-Y) 2
✔
Trend Analysis:
The method of least squares may be used either to fit a straight line trend
is represented by the equation
✔
✔
Yc = a+bx
In order to determine the values of the constants a and b the following to
normal equations are to be solved.
ΣY = Na+bΣX
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Inorganic Chemicals Industry
ΣXY = aΣX+bΣX²
COST STRUCTURE
Table no: 1
S. Particulars
No 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
1 Sales 2473.87 2663.02 2966.77 3131.60 3550.97 3596.57
INTERPRETATION
From the above table it is observed that the cost structure of the inorganic industry
is fluctuating because of the fluctuations occurred in fixed charges and value added.
INTERPRETATION
From the above table it is clear that the raw material productivity of the inorganic
industry has been continuously decreasing. It is high in the year 2003 because of
purchasing of raw material and sales are very high. In the year 2008 raw material
productivity is very low.
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Inorganic Chemicals Industry
OPERATING PERFORMANCE
Operating performance shows the relationship between profit before interest and tax and
net assets.
EBIT
Operating performance = -----------------
Net Assets
Table no: 3
YEAR EBIT NET ASSETS OPERATING
PERFORMANCE
2003 232.13 3281.88 0.070
2004 191.83 3647.21 0.052
2005 327.66 3806.32 0.086
2006 322.99 3925.55 0.082
2007 302.99 4419.44 0.068
2008 335.27 4066.69 0.082
INTERPRETATION
From the above table it is clear that the operating performance of the inorganic
chemicals industry has been fluctuating. It is high in the year 2005 because of the EBIT is
increased and net assets decreased. In the year 2006 it is very low due to increase of the
EBIT
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Financial performance shows the relationship between profit after tax and net
worth.
PAT
Financial performance= --------------
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Inorganic Chemicals Industry
Net worth
Table no:4
YEAR PAT NET WORTH FINANCIAL
PERFORMANCE
2003 49.72 1373.74 0.036
2004 48.72 1407.01 0.034
2005 170.89 1581.51 0.108
2006 167.57 1670.21 0.100
2007 110.04 1877.37 0.058
2008 121.21 1543.60 0.078
INTERPRETATION
From the above table it is clear that the financial performance of the inorganic
chemicals industry has been fluctuating. It is high in the year 2005 because the PAT &
net worth are increased when compared with other years .In the year 2004 it is low.
NET PERFORMANCE
Net performance shows the relationship between Net profit to Total assets
Net profit
Operating performance = -----------------
Total Assets
Table no: 5
YEAR NET PROFIT TOTAL NET
ASSETS PERFORMANCE
2003 49.72 3281.88 0.015
2004 48.72 3647.21 0.013
2005 170.89 3806.32 0.044
2006 167.57 3925.55 0.042
2007 110.04 4419.44 0.024
2008 121.21 4066.99 0.029
INTERPRETATION
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Inorganic Chemicals Industry
From the above table it is clear that the net performance of the inorganic
chemicals industry has been fluctuating. It is high in the year 2005 because of the net
profit is increased and total assets decreased. In the year 2004 it is very low.
Pn = Po (1+r)n
Table no: 6
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Inorganic Chemicals Industry
From the above table it is observed that the growth trend of the inorganic chemicals
industry is fluctuating. In the year 2005 it is high because of total income increased. in
the 2008 it is low.
TREND IN SALES:
The method of least squires may be used either to fit a straight line trend
Is represented by the equation
Yc = a+bx
In order to determine the values of the Constance a & by the following to normal
equations are to be solved
∑Y= Na+b∑X
∑XY= a∑X +b∑X2
Table no: 7
YEARS SALES
2003 2473.87
2004 2663.02
2005 2966.77
2006 3131.6
2007 3550.97
2008 3596.57
Estimated sales for 2009 3908
Interpretation
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Inorganic Chemicals Industry
The method of least squires may be used either to fit a straight line trend
Is represented by the equation
Yc = a+bx
In order to determine the values of the Constance a & by the following to normal
equations are to be solved
∑Y= Na+b∑X
∑XY= a∑X +b∑X2
Table no: 8
YEARS INCOME
2003 2587.34
2004 2763.23
2005 3200.81
2006 3261.35
2007 3672.93
2008 3687.05
Estimated income for 2009 4024.29
Estimated income for 2010 4261.11
Estimated income for 2011 4497.22
Graph No: 8.1
INTERPRETATION:
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4600
Inorganic Chemicals Industry
INTERPRETATION:
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INTERPRETATION:
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Table no: 11
(Rs. In Crores)
INTERPRETATION:
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Inorganic Chemicals Industry
STRENGTHS
➢ Strong presence in the export market in sub segments such as Dyes, Pharma
and agrochemicals.
➢ Cost of power
Very high cost of power, unreliability of supply and frequent
interruption. Transmission and distribution losses are very high.
➢ Cost of finance
Inorganic chemical industry is highly capital intensive, cost of finance
in India is very high; interest rates are 14% -15% p. a. as compared to 2% to
6% prevailing in developed countries.
➢ Infrastructure
India ranked 55th in infrastructure development in the global
competitiveness report 1999. Infrastructure facilities are not of world class.
Transport and communications are complex resulting in delays and slow
movement of goods. In-adequate port facilities result in high demurrage costs.
For example turn around time for Vessels is an average of eight days in India
as against one or two days in Singapore.
➢ Labour Laws
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OPPORTUNITIES
➢ A decade of economic reforms has tested the resilience of the Indian Chemical
Industry. Individual enterprises have realised their weaknesses and are gearing
up to face the new challenges. Success stories in dyes and Agrochemicals have
boosted the confidence to take on global competition squarely.
➢ On WTO front, India should seek greater market access. The markets in the
developed countries are opening up and India can take advantage of this. The
signing of the IPR protocol gives an opportunity to create Intellectual capital
by investment in as well as R&D collaboration with national laboratories. A
large number of products are going off Patent. India can pursue the possibility
of producing these on a more economic scale as compared to other countries.
➢ India has the capacity for major value addition being close to middle East. This
is a cheap and abundant source for Petrochemicals feedstock.
THREATS
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Inorganic Chemicals Industry
➢ If the major end product industries are attracted away from India to other
countries it would cause a shift in the consumption pattern for the manufacturers
of the inorganic building blocks. It has to be recognized that demand for the end
product drives the demand for intermediates and also the bulk chemicals. For
example if world scale capacity for Polyurethane and MDI comes up in our
neighboring countries, it will have an adverse impact on the demand growth for
Aniline in India.
➢ Recession in end use industries e.g. The Textile industry (which is the major
market for dyestuff industry) is facing a big crisis which has affected the dyestuff
industry.
➢ Movement of key raw material prices for the production of alcohol in India is
influenced by political considerations rather than economic principles.
➢ Large capacity for Organo Phosphorous compound is being set up in China; with
economies of scale pushing domestic prices downwards.
➢ Weak registration laws for new products will adversely affect both Indian
producers and MNC producers in India due to imports of these products from
China as an alternate
OBSERVATIONS
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➢ The Coefficient of correlation between total income and total expenses is showing
positive sign for the investors. The 100 % change in total income will lead to
99.30% change in total expenses.
➢ The Coefficient of correlation between total expenses and profit is showing
positive sign for the investors. The 100 % change in total expenses will lead to
56.20% change in profit.
➢ The Coefficient of correlation between total income and total assets is showing
positive sign for the investors. The 100 % change in total income will lead to
97.70% change
CONCLUSION
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