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INTRODUCTION
If it were not for the existence of interest, the analysis of investment oppor-
tunities would be greatly simplified. In the absence of interest, investors would be
indifferent as to when cash outlays are made or cash benefits are received. It
would, in fact, be irrelevant whether the outlays preceded or followed inflows as
long as both amounts are known with certainty.
Of course, it does make a considerable difference whether, for example, a firm
receives $1 million now or five years from now. The reason is that money does.
indeed, have a value which is a function of time. Interest is how this time value is
measured.
Interest is generally defined as money paid for the use of borrowed money. In
other words, interest is the rental charge for using an asset over some specific time
period. The rate of interest is the ratio of the interest chargeable at the end of a
specific period of time to the money owed, or borrowed, at the beginning of that
period.
In order to understand why interest exists, it is necessary to take the lender's
viewpoint. The lender can justify charging interest for several reasons:
1) Risk: The lender is faced with the possibility that the borrower will be
unable to repay the loan.
2) Inflation: Money repaid in the future will be in units of lower value due to
inflation.
3) 'Ikansactions Cost: There will be expense incurred in preparing the loan
agreement, recording payments, collecting the loan, and other administrative
tasks.
4) Opportunity Cost: By committing limited funds to one borrower, a lender
is unable to take advantage of other available opportunities.
5) Postponement of Pleasure: By lending money, an individual (or organiza-
tion) is postponing the pleasure which that money could purchase.
Each of these is a valid reason for a lender demanding interest from a borrower.
The level of interest is, like the price of other assets, determined by supply and
demand. Nonetheless, from time to time various analysts have taken a then current
average interest rate and broken it down into the components described previously.
36 MINE INVESTMENT ANALYSIS
Nelson (1975),for example, estimated that the 12% rate for high-grade commercial
paper which prevailed at that time could be broken down as follows:
Opportunity cost 29%'
Risk 2%
Transaction cost - - 0%
Inflation - 8%
Total 12%
Note that there is nothing fundamental to the definition of interest which says
that payment of interest is a legal obligation of the borrower. It is important to
recognize the concept of interest applies in all investment transactions, not just
those where repayment is legally enforceable. This is particularly relevant in
regard to corporate equity financing of capital projects. Managers who treat equity
funds as "free," thereby not providing an adequate return on the investor's capital,
are not fuIfilling their obligations to the owners. The result to the firm would be a
slow attrition of present capital and the inability to raise new funds.
The history, philosophy, and theoretical underpinnings of interest are covered
exhaustively in a large number of other text and reference books. This material
need not be repeated here. It is sufficient at this point to recognize simply that
money has earning power. That is, the timing of when payments are made and
earnings are received in a capital project is very important.
INTEREST TERMS
Simple interest, often referred to as the nominal rate of interest, is the
annualized percentage of amount borrowed (the principal) which is paid for the
use of the money for some period of time (Hubbard and Hawkins, 1969). If the
interest is not paid at the end of the period in which it is due but is added to, and
becomes part of, the principal upon which interest is calculated, the interest is
compounded. Interest rates in this text will always be compound interest rates
unless otherwise specified.
The difference between simple and compound interest rates can be best
illustrated by an example. Suppose $1000 is invested for one year at a simple rate of
interest of 6%. At the end of the first year the investment would yield:
If this investment existed for a period of two years at a simple interest rate of 6%.
the final amount of the investment would be $1120.
Now assume the same $1000 investment is made for a period of two years at an
interest rate of 6% compounded annually. At the end of the first year the investment
would be worth:
However, since interest is compounded annually, at the end of the second year the
investment would now be worth:
-- -
$1000(1 + 0.06)
L-- 1 st year
+ $1000 ( 1 + 0.06) (0.06)
2nd year
THE 'TIME VALUE OF MONEY
where F is the future sum of money which will accrue from investing a present
sum, P, at an annual rate of interest, r, for n years. When the compounding
frequency is annual, there is no difference between the nominal rate of interest, r,
and the eflective rate of interest, i. When compounding is performed more than
once per year, the effective or true annual rate always exceeds the nominal annual
rate. This is explained and discussed in more detail in "Varying the Payment and
Compounding Intervals" later in this chapter.
INTEREST FORMULAS
Cash flows at different points in time are related by a series of six (6) basic
interest formulas. These formulas in turn are based on five variables as follows:
Every interest problem is composed of four (4) of these variables; three are
given and the fourth must be determined. The standard notation for describing the
particular type of problem involved lists all four variables of concern in the
following manner.
Example: Find the amount which will accrue at the end of 7 years if $1250 is
invested now at 8%, compounded annually. Given: P = $1250, n = 7 years, i =
8%
The quantity (1 + i)" = (FIP, i, n) has, like other interest factors, been
tabulated for various values of i and n. A set of these tables for discrete compound-
ing is located in Appendix A. For the foregoing example the correct factor
(rounded to three decimal places) from Table A-12 is 1.714. Thus,
MINE INVESTMENT ANALYSIS
F = P ( 1 + i)"
F = P (FIP, i, n)
F = 1250 (FIP, 8%, 7)
F = 1250 (1.714) = $2142.50
Due to rounding, the answers are slightly different. Many hand-held calcula-
tors can now solve such problems directly so that interest tables are becoming less
important in investment studies.
2) Single payment, present worth, (PIF. i, n). This is Eq. I solved for P.
Example: If $6500 will be needed in 5 years, how much should be invested now at
an interest rate of 7E%, compounded annually? Given: F = $6500, n = 5 years, i
= 7.5%
Using interest tables to solve this problem becomes somewhat more difficult
because one must interpolate between 7% and 8%. For most interest problems, a
linear interpolation is satisfactory. Thus, using interest tables A-l l and A-12. the
solution is determined as follows:
for i = 8%
P = 6,500 (0.6806) = 4423.79
for i = 7%
P = 6.500 (0.7130) = 4634.50
for n = 1, F = A
n=2,F=A(I +i)+A
n = 3 , F = A ( I +i)'+A(I + i ) + A
THE TIME VALUE OF MONEY 39
or, in general,
F = A(l + i)fl-'+ A(l + i ) ~ '+- ~... + A(l + i ) + A
= A[(1+ i)"-I + (1 + i)n-2+ ... + (1 + i ) + 11 (3)
Example: If payments of $725 are made at the end of each year for 12 years to an
account which pays interest at the rate of 9% per year, what will be the terminal
amount?
F =
A[(1 + i)" - 11
i
Example: With interest at 6%,how much must be deposited at the end ofeach year
to yield a final amount of $2,825 in 7 years?
40 MINE INVESTMENT ANALYSIS
The concept of a sinking fund is well known, so that the AIF interest factor is
often called the sinking fund factor. Solving the foregoing problem using Table
A-10, gives the following answer:
A = F (AIF, i, n )
A = $2825 (AIF, 6%. 7 )
= $2825 (0.1191) = $336.56
and
P =
A[(] + I)" - I)
i(l + i)"
Example: An investment will yield $610 at the end of each year for 15 years. If
interest is lo%, what is the maximum purchase price (i.e., present value) for this
investment?
Solving the same problem using Table A-14, gives the following answer:
P = A (PIA, I , n)
P = 610 (PIA. 10% IS)
= 610 (7.6061) = $4639.71
i P(I + i)"
A =
[(I + i)" - I I
THE TIME VALUE OF MONEY 41
Example: If an investment opportunity is offered now for $3500, how much
must it yield at the end of every year for 6 years to justify the investment if interest
is 12%?
A = P (AIP, i, n)
= $3500 (Alp, 12%, 6)
= $3500 (0.2432) = $851.20
G
B+ A, A4
r
v, 0 I 2 3 4 Time
0
0 -
P
Step 1
The variables given in this problem are A, i, and n. The unknown to be
determined is P. Actually, the problem must first be separated into subproblems
because A is not constant over the life of the proposal. This is illustrated in the
second step.
Step 2
The cash flow diagram, Fig. 2, shows the compound nature of the problem.
A4 AA5
0 I 2 3 4 5 Year
P = A , ( P I A , , i , n , )+A2(PIA,,i,n2)(PIF,i,n,)
= 1000 (PIA,, 12, 3) + 600 (PIA,,
12,2) (PIF,12, 3)
= 1000 (2.4018) + 600 (1.6901) (0.7118) = $3123.61
but since
and
lim (1 + i)""
=e
x+m
therefore
i = lim [(I + xI ) x l r ] r - 1 = er - 1
x+==
Beginning with the relationship expressed in Eq. 10, a second series of six
interest equations can be developed based upon continuous interest. For exanlple
for discrete compounding:
THE TIME VALUE OF MONEY
but now
The term, ern,is the single payment, compound amount factor for continuous
interest. It is designed as (FIP, r, n ) and is listed in the interest tables in Appendix
C.
'The six interest factors for continuous interest are listed for reference:
F = $1200
r = 10%
x =4compounding periods per year
n 5 years
=
P = Fl( 1 i)"+
= "(1 + 9%
46 MINE INVESTMENT ANALYSIS
Continuous Compounding
F = $1200
r- = 10%
n = 5 years
P = Fir'"
= 1200ieu5= $727.84
Thus, the difference between monthly and continuous compounding is usually not
large.
t t t I
2
t t 3 4
t t t 5 Year
A = F (AIF, i, n)
= 250 (AIF, 2, 2) = $123.76
Now,
F = A (FIA, i , n)
= 123.76 (FIA, 2, 20) = $3007.10
2) Cash flows more frequent than compounding. The key to solving this type
of problem is the intraperiod interest rate. That is, what interest rate-if any-
applies to cash flows occurring between compounding points.
Obviously, there are many assumptions which could be made here. However,
most financial institutions pay no interest on intraperiod deposits or withdrawals.
Therefore, the most common procedure here is to assume that withdrawals were
made at the last compounding period, and deposits are made at the next period.
Example: If deposits of $260 are made every month to an account which pays 12%
per year, compounded semiannually, how much will accumulate by the end of
three years'?
i = 6% per period
n = 6 periods
But
So that
becomes
when n = 1.
This simply gives the year-end equivalent for a single A. Therefore, by
multiplying A by the factor, (er - l)lr, an equivalent A is calculated and the
problem can be solved by the application of the previously developed continuous
interest formulas.
Appendix D contains funds flow conversion factors for several values of r.
Finally, Table 2 summarizes the approaches to solving interest problems for all
possible combinations of payment and compounding frequencies.
Relative
interest Payments Frequencies Solution
1. Discrete Discrete Same General formulas, i = rlx if not
annual compounding
as 5.
50 MINE INVESTMENT ANALYSIS
GRADIENT SERIES
A great many real problems in investment analysis involve unequal cash flow
series and, therefore, cannot be solved with the annuity formulas developed in the
foregoing. The general case of independent and variable cash flows can be
analyzed only by repeated application of the single payment formulas. However,
mathematical solutions have been developed for two special types of unequal cash
flows-the uniform gradient series and the geometric gradient series.
A uniform gradient, G , exists when cash flows either increase or decrease by a
fixed amount in successive periods. In this case, the annual cash flow consists of
two components: (1) a constant amount, A , , equal to the cash flow in the first
period; and (2) a variable amount equal to ( n - 1 ) G .
To solve such problems, a constant amount, A:. is first calculated which is
equivalent to the variable cash flow component. It can be shown through algebra
(see Thuesen, et al.. 1977) that
1
The factor, [ :-
1
!1!( A I F , i, n ) ] , is called the uniform gradient factor;
is designated ( A I G , i, n ) ; and is tabulated for each value of i in tables in Appendices
A and C.
The total A in a gradient problem then becomes:
This yields two solutions depending upon the relative values of i and j.
P = A, (PIA, i, j, n)
where (PIA, i, j, n) is called the geometric series present value factor. Appendix E
contains tables of both the present value and future value factors for geometric
series for some representative values of i and j.
In the specific case where i # j and j 3 o, Eq. 22 becomes
(a) i = 8%
n = 10 years
G = $150,000
A, = $1,400,000
A, = G(A,IG, i, n)
= $150,000 (AzlG, 8%, 10)
= $150,000 (3.8713) = $580,695
A = A, + A? = $1,400,000 + $580,695 = $1,980,695
P = A (PIA, i, n)
P = $1,980,695 (PIA, 8%, 10) = $1,980,695 (6.7101)
= $13,290,662 or roughly $13,300,000
(b) i = 8%
j = 10%
n = 10 years
A, = $1,400,000
P =A,(PIA,i,j,n) =$1,400,000(PIA,8%,10%,10)
= $1,400,000 (10.0702)
= $14,098,280
or roughly = $14,100,000
= (FIP, i, n )
(PIF. i, n )
2 ) The sinking fund factor (AIF, i, n ) and the compound amount factor for an
annuity (FIA, i, n ) are reciprocals.
= (FIA, i, n )
(AIF, i, n )
3) The capital recovery factor (AIP, i, n ) and the present value factor for an
annuity (PIA, i, n ) are reciprocals.
= (PIA, i, n )
(AIP, i , n )
4 ) The capital recovery factor (AIP, i, n ) is equal to the sinking fund factor (A1
F, i , n ) plus interest rate.
(AIP, i, n ) = (AIF, I , n ) + 1
5 ) The present value factor for an annuity (PIA, i , n ) is equal to the sum of the
first n terms of single payment present value factors (PIF, i , n ) .
EQUIVALENCE
The concept of equivalence is covered exhaustively in most textbooks on
THE TIME VALUE OF MONEY
engineering economy, and, to be sure, it is of fundamental importance to invest-
ment analysis. It is, however, not a difficult concept and can be grasped readily,
given a clear definition and a few examples. That is the procedure which is
followed subsequently.
Equivalence is nothing more than the fact that due to interest, two cash flow
series, either receipts or payments, of entirely different magnitudes and timing
may have the same present value. They are, therefore, equivalent, and a rational
investor would be indifferent as to which series he or she would select.
The example in Table 3 was constructed to illustrate the notion of equivalence.
In this example, an investor is presented with four riskless investment alternatives.
each offering different total revenues. At a 10% rate of interest, however, all four
projects have the same present value. They are, therefore, equivalent, and because
they are worth the same, the investor would have no preference among the
alternatives. Even though alternative D has the highest total cash flow, equivalence
indicates that at 10% interest it is no more attractive than any of the other
opportunities.
This situation could, of course, be easily changed by adopting another interest
rate, by introducing risk into the analysis, or by altering the sequence or magni-
tudes of the cash flows. Nonetheless, it is clear that interest can affect the selection
among investment alternatives which have different magnitudes and timing of the
cash flows.
Aiternatlve A Alternatlve B
Alternatlve C Alternative D
face value. As a consequence, the price of a bond will change continuously with-
and in the opposite direction to-the market rate of interest.
Suppose a 9% corporate bond, maturing on Jan. 1, 2008, is available for
purchase on Jan. 1, 1983. Interest is payable semiannually. What is the present
value of the bond if the market rate of interest i s 12% (a) compounded semian-
nually, and (b) compounded continuously?
(a) Semiannual compounding
The bond just described is equivalent to (i.e.,worth the same) as a present sum
of $763.60, disregarding risk. Stated differently, an investor could afford to spend
a maximum of $763.60 for this bond and still receive a nominal 12% return on his
or her investment.
(g) Continuous compounding
A = $45
n = 50 periods
i = 6% per period, continuous
A = (PIA, r, 11) + F(PIF, r, 11)
= 45 (PIA , 6%, 50) +
1000 (PIF, 6%, 50)
= 45 ( 15.367) + 1000 (0.0498) = $741.32
The higher effective interest rate per period, eUoh- 1 = 6.18%1, as opposed to
6% in Part a, makes the fixed income of $45 every six months now look somewhat
less attractive to the investor.
If the same bond is offered for sale for $850, what interest rate of return is
available to the investor? Assume semiannual compounding.
A = $45
n = 50 periods
P = $850
This problem really asks the question, "What interest rate will equate an $850
investment on 1/1/1983 with revenues of $45 every 6 months thereafter for 25
years, and $1000on 1/1/2008?
P = +
A(P/A, i, n) F(PIF, i, 11)
850 = 45 (PIA, i , 50) + I000 (PIF, i, 50)
THE TIME VALUE OF MONEY 55
By interpolation
$ 908.72 $ 850.00
-830.74 - 830.74
$ 77.98 $ 19.26
REFERENCES
Hubbard, C.L.,and Hawkins, C.A..1969, Theorv of Valuation, International Textbook Co..Scranton.
PA,247 pp.
Nelson, W.G., 1975, "Inflation-Hanging in There." Financial Executive, Vol. 48. No. 2, Feb., pp.
32, 37-41.
Thuesen, H.G., Fabrycky, W.J., and Thuesen, G.J., 1977. Engineering Economy Prentice-Hall. Inc..
Englewood Cliffs, NJ, 589 pp.
PROBLEMS
I. A savings and loan offers an annual interest rate of 10% compounded continuously for
savings of $1000 or more deposited for at least 2 years. If $1642 is deposited on Jan. I ,
1984, how much would this amount to by July I, 1992?
2. How much will a deposit of $575 now grow to in 15 years at an annual interest rate of
15%. compounded monthly?
3. A mining company holds an option to purchase some property in fee simple for $87,000
in 5 years. Recent exploration results have been favorable and the firm would like to
purchase the property immediately. What would be a fair price if money is worth 1 2 5
compounded annually? (Assume that no other option or lease payments are involved).
4. If you participated in a Christmas Club which paid 10% per year compounded weekly,
what must your weekly deposit be to accumulate $500 at the end of one year?
5. To accumulate the necessary $15,000 down payment in 6 years for a new home, a couple
makes quarterly payments to an account which pays 9% compounded monthly. ~ b w
much must these payments be?
6. A recent mining engineering graduate wants to purchase a new car in 5 years which
presently costs $9500, but the price of the car is rising at an annual compound rate of
8%. If she makes semiannual deposits to an account which pays 10% compounded
semiannually, how large must these payments be?
7. If income from the sales of an item occurs continuously at the rate of $17,000 per year
and is deposited immediately in an account which yields 12% per year, compounded
continuously, how much would accumulate at the end of 3 years?
8 . Will annual payments of $4800 be enough to repay a $40,000 loan in 20 years of an
MINE INVESTMENT ANALYSIS
interest rate of (a) 10%. compounded annually?; (b) lo%, compounded continuously?:
(c) 12%. compounded quarterly?
9. A crushed stone operation having a projected life of 12 years is offered for sale. If annual
net cash flows are expected to be roughly $107,000. determine the appropriate pur-
chase price for the property when interest is 9%: (a) compounded annually; (b)
compounded continuously; (c) same as (b). but funds are also received continuously.
10. What is the value of a series of monthly royalty payments of $5.000 each for X years. if
interest if 8% per year compounded annually'?
l I. To purchase a new home. a couple borrows $50,000 at 11% for 30 years. What will their
monthly payments be if interest is compounded monthly'? What is the principal
remaining after 10 years (120) payments'?
12. What must the annual earnings be from a new piece of equipment that costs $125.000
and lasts 15 years'! Assume no salvage value, and interest is 14% per year.
13. Maintenance costs for a new piece of mining equipment are expected to be $20.000 in
the first year. rising by $1000 per year every year thereafter. The machine has a life of 8
years and interest is 10% annually. To evaluate bids from outside firms for a mainte-
nance contract. you need to know the present value of these costs. What is this value'?
14. In the preceding problem, suppose the maintenance costs rise by 670 per year rather than
by a fixed amount. Now find the present value of maintenance costs.
15. An investor brought $100 shares of a common stock 6 years ago for $24 per share. Hc
just sold for $40 per share. What is the annual rate of return on his investment'!
16. A $1000 corporate bond has a coupon rate of 8% per year. with interest payable
semiannually. If the maturity date is in seven years, what is a fair price at the present
time if interest is 1 2 8 compounded continuously?
17. Annual cash flow from a proposed small gold leaching operation is expected to be
$360.000 per year for 8 years. Initial expenditure for plant and equipment is estimated
to be $1.16 million. The salavage value of this investment is expected to be roughly
$90,000. If the property is offered for sale for $450,000. calculate the approximate rate
of return for this investment. Assume that the property payment would be made
immediately but that the remaining capital investment would be divided equally over a
two-year preproduction period.
18. How long will it take for an investment of $1200 to double in value if interest is 8%.
compounded quarterly?
19. Find the net present value of the following series of cash Bows: income of $6500 every
six months for 10 years, income of 15,000 at the end of the 10th year. and expenditures
of $5700 per year for 10 years. Interest is 12% compounded semiannually.
20. A certain coal stripping operation presently uses three dozers for reclamation work. To
reduce costs. three alternatives are being considered for this job in the future: rebuild
present equipment, purchase new dozers. and employ a contractor. Details for the
alternatives are: