Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
Much has changed in the Australian bond market over However, the market remains small and underdeveloped,
the last year since the release of the last report in the as discussed in Appendix 1 on page 12.
ACFS-NAB Australian Debt Securities and Corporate Ultimately, the maturation of the retail corporate bond
Bonds series. market depends upon three key factors: underlying demand
of investors; potential supply by corporate issuers; regulatory
and other impediments to connecting investors and issuers.
This report is part of a series covering:
Demand
• The role that corporate bonds can play in
diversifying a portfolio and therefore potentially The underlying demand of retail investors (particularly
enhancing returns for a given level of risk; those with self-managed super funds (SMSFs)) is driving
an appetite to take on exposure to corporate credit risk
• The risk-return characteristics of different types
in return for higher expected returns from debt securities
of debt securities and corporate bonds, and
investments. The low interest rate world in which we
tools for assessing the risk of various corporate
currently live has increased investor incentives to take on
bond issues;
risk in search of higher yields, although to date much
• Methods and vehicles for accessing corporate of that focus among retail investors has been upon equity
bonds and an explanation of the various markets and property market investments rather than bonds.
in which corporate bonds trade; and
Supply
• Barriers to the development of a strong corporate
The other side of the spectrum but just as significant is the
bond market and regulatory initiatives to
willingness of companies to issue bonds available to retail
overcome these barriers.
investors via:
• Direct purchase at the time of primary issue (involving
In the last year, a number of things have changed:
much smaller minimum parcel sizes than the $500,000
• There has been a significant increase in new corporate amount which applies for wholesale investors), or
bond issues (and other hybrid securities) that can be
• Subsequent purchase in the secondary market (through
accessed by sophisticated retail investors, including
intermediaries converting wholesale market parcels of
growth of issues by unrated companies.
bonds into smaller parcel sizes), or
• Ways for retail investors to access corporate bonds
• Purchase as part of a diversified portfolio of bonds
have continued to develop.
through a managed investment scheme or other
• Regulatory changes to reduce impediments to retail structure created by market intermediaries.
investment in corporate bonds are slowly occurring.
Regulatory factors
Finally, the emergence of favourable regulatory
arrangements which are more conducive to retail bond
market development. Such changes are underway and
the recent Financial System (Murray) Inquiry made the
importance of this explicit in its Recommendation 33 on
the Retail Corporate Bond Market to “reduce disclosure
requirements for large listed corporates issuing ‘simple’
bonds and encourage industry to develop standard terms
for ‘simple’ bonds”.1
1. Appendix 2 provides an overview of the definition of “simple” corporate bonds contained in the Corporations Amendment (Simple Corporate Bonds and Other Measures) Act 2014,
passed in September 2014
The continuing growth of SMSFs creates a large potential While spreads have not declined to the very low levels
retail investor base for corporate bonds. This is particularly prior to the Global Financial Crisis, whether they provide
so for those funds with older members for whom fixed adequate compensation for taking on corporate credit
interest investments with more stable income streams and risk for retail investors is open to question.
market value become more important in, and approaching,
the retirement phase. So, in the current low interest
rate world, some willingness to take on additional risk Corporate Bond investments and market risk
to seek higher yields, such as via corporate bond rather Figures 1 and 2 also illustrate one important source
than government bond or bank deposit investments, of risk for investors in corporate bonds – that of
is understandable. fluctuations in price, often referred to as market risk.
Unfortunately, one consequence of current low interest It is the case that a bond held to maturity offers a
rates and Quantitative Easing (QE) policies which have guaranteed rate of return as long as the issuer does
been followed by major Central Banks in recent years not default (the risk of that event being generally
is that corporate credit spreads have been reduced. referred to as credit risk). However, changes in market
Institutional investors seeking higher returns, have been conditions can lead to significant changes in the
willing to accept lower corporate bond yields (relative market value of a bond, creating significant risk of
to risk free rates). And because institutional investors have capital gain or loss for an bond holder wishing to exit
well diversified portfolios, acceptable credit spreads for that holding prior to maturity.
them, which determine market rates, are much lower than Take, for example, the case of a BBB rated bond
should be the case for retail investors without the safety purchased in 2006 for $100 at a yield of 6 per cent
of such diversification. p.a., and maturing at end 2013. The spike in bond
Figure 1 shows corporate bond yields in Australia over yields at end 2008 to over 12 per cent p.a. meant that
the past decade and highlights the significant decline the market price of the bond at that time would have
since the global financial crisis. fallen to below $80.
.
.
.
.
Basis Points
.
.
.
–
–
–
n
n
n
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Source: ACFS
–
–
–
n
n
n
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
This decline reflects both the downward trend in the Spread A – CGS Spread BBB – CGS
general level of interest rates (such as government bond
Source: RBA
rates) as well as a compression of the spread of corporate
bond yields over government rates – as shown in Figure 2.
For example, at March 2015 the spread of 5 year AA-rated A fundamental issue for retail investors to minimize
corporate bond yields (such as for issues by the major credit (default) risk is the ability to invest in a diversified
banks) over commonwealth government bonds in the portfolio of corporate bonds such that the yields available
wholesale market was in the region of 100 basis points, are commensurate with the risk of the portfolio. We
giving a total yield of around 3 per cent. Investors could, discuss later the various innovations which are available
at that time, get equivalent or better rates on 5 year term and emerging to facilitate this. But while the low interest
deposits from many including the major banks. rate environment may encourage search by investors for
greater yield by taking on credit risk, the rewards available
2. S usan Black, Joshua Kirkwood, Alan Rai and Thomas Williams A History of Australian Corporate Bonds, Reserve Bank of Australia, RDP 2012-09. They attribute the marked
decline to the introduction of compulsory superannuation (and subsequent investment via the funds management industry) and the cost of disclosure requirements leading
to targeting of institutional investors.
3. S
ee Çelik, S., G. Demirtaş and M. Isaksson (2015), “Corporate Bonds, Bondholders and Corporate Governance”, OECD Corporate Governance Working Papers, No. 16, OECD
Publishing. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/5js69lj4hvnw-en
4. See Appendix 3 for information on different pricing arrangements in OTC markets versus exchanges.
5. A SIC, 14-191MR Statement on wholesale and retail investors and SMSFs, Media release, Friday 8 August 2014
There are two broad ways in which retail investors can for new units. This drives the unit price closer to the
access corporate bonds: underlying asset value). However, units in ‘open’ funds can
1. Directly: whereby an investor selects and invests in typically only be bought or sold at pre-specified intervals –
individual bonds either through a platform or a broker. such as at the end of each day.
2. Indirectly: whereby corporate bonds are assets in a There are however significant liquidity management issues
pooled, professionally managed investment structure for ‘open’ bond funds which allow investors to withdraw
like a mutual fund or ETF. their funds on demand. Because the assets held are often
not particularly liquid, such funds can be potentially subject
There are a number of developments underway, drawing to runs (as occurred with unlisted property and mortgage
on modern technology to facilitate both forms of access. trusts in Australia at the time of the GFC) and the need to
Some developments, such as depository interests introduce limits on withdrawals.
(discussed later) fall between these methods by linking
wholesale and retail markets. Technology and innovation have increased the range of
indirect investment structures available to retail investors, in
3.1 Indirect access to Corporate Bonds some cases reducing the cost, liquidity and ease of investing
in indirect investment vehicles. In Australia there have
Indirectly accessing corporate bonds involves an investor
been two innovations of this nature that warrant further
using the services of an institutional investor who selects
mention: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and mFunds.
and holds a pool of bonds on the individual investor’s
behalf. The individual investor buys a percentage Bond Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs)
ownership of the overall pool, typically in the form of
units, which entitles the investor to participate in any From the retail investor’s perspective, an ETF is a listed
coupon payouts as well as capital gains and losses. By this fund in which units are bought on the stock exchange and
means the investor benefits from both the management where the price of units is virtually guaranteed to equal
expertise and the access of the pool operator to existing the value of the underlying assets.6 Their structure means
corporate bonds and new issues which otherwise may not that they are generally very liquid and trade with a very
be available to the individual. low bid-ask spread.
An investor who chooses to access corporate bonds Unlike managed funds which can be either actively
through a managed structure should be aware of the managed (with variable asset composition at the
investment fee charged by the investment manager and discretion of the manager) or passively managed (with
the time required to purchase or sell units in the structure. a fixed asset composition), ETFs have to date been only
Investing in bonds indirectly also requires the investor to passively managed.7
accept the bond selection of the pool operator as indirect Despite the substantial increase in ETF volumes, the
investors cede discretion in choosing the individual assets range of ETFs with corporate bond exposure currently
that are held in the portfolio to their investment manager. available to investors remains limited with only one
Historically, managed funds were the primary vehicles specialist corporate bond ETF, the Russell Australian Select
for indirectly accessing corporate bonds. These funds can Corporate Bond ETF, currently on the market.
be either listed funds which can be bought or sold on the This absence of corporate bond ETFs likely reflects several
ASX like any other asset, or unlisted funds which require factors. First, unlike shares which are perpetual in nature,
an investor to contact a fund to either purchase or sell bonds mature. This means that the composition of the
shares in a fund. Listed funds are typically ‘closed’, meaning assets held must change over time with, as yet, unissued
the fund has a set number of units and the price of each bonds replacing maturing bonds if the ETF is to continue.
unit fluctuates with market demand. This means that the Specifying such arrangements is more problematic than
price of units in the fund can diverge from the value of the in the case of shares where the fund can specify that its
underlying assets. holdings will replicate a particular index (such as the top
Unlisted funds can be either ‘open’ or ‘closed’. The number 100 stocks weighted by market capitalisation). Second, the
of units in an ‘open’ fund fluctuates with investor demand need for market makers to buy and sell specific quantities
meaning the units are more likely to track the underlying of corporate bonds in the OTC market to perform arbitrage
asset value rather than investor sentiment. (If the unit in response to on-market ETF trades by retail investors
price is, for example, below the value of assets held by make market-maker arrangements more complicated and
the fund, there is an incentive for investors to subscribe potentially risky.
6. This is achieved by the fund manager committing to issue new units to, or redeem existing units from, a specified group of “market makers” in exchange for the specified
underlying assets. Arbitrage activity by those market makers will prevent the unit price deviating from the value of the underlying assets, and see the number of units on issue
vary directly with investor demand.
7. This is necessary to enable the market makers to know what portfolio of assets is involved in exchanges for units. Recently, however, there have been initiatives to structure
disclosure arrangements which enable actively managed ETFs to operate.
Typical management fees for such funds are in the order Transmutation allows any listed corporate that has issued
of 0.5 – 0.75 per cent p.a. of funds under management, simple corporate bonds through the OTC market to also
while investors may face a buy-sell spread when buying make Chess Depositary Interests (CDIs) in the securities
or redeeming units. While that varies from fund to fund, available to retail investors through the listed market. The
20 – 40 basis points is indicative of the magnitude. process requires a market maker, an institutional investor
It is too early to assess the impact of the mfunds initiative who also operates in the OTC market to hold the bonds
on the extent of retail investor exposure to corporate bond through the OTC market and to subsequently create CDIs.
investments. However, by providing an alternative means CDIs provide holders of the instruments with the right to
of access to such unlisted funds it can be expected to a proportion of the coupons and capital appreciation or
increase indirect investment of such investors in diversified loss derived from the underlying bond.
portfolios of such bonds. The advantage of CDIs is that they can be sold in much
smaller denominations relative to the minimum parcels
3.2 Linking retail and wholesale markets issued in the OTC market. For example, CDIs in Australian
One innovative development is the ASX’s proposal to Government Bonds currently trade in parcels equal to $100
directly link the OTC wholesale corporate bond market of face value of the underlying bond. Once CDIs are created
with the listed retail market. The technology to facilitate the market maker provides continuous bid and offer prices
this link was developed in 2013 and is currently being for the instruments to ensure liquidity, while other market
utilised to provide retail investors access to Australian participants can narrow the market spread by offering a
Government bonds. Linking the OTC and retail markets higher bid price or lower offer price than that offered by
would allow retail investors to trade corporate bonds the market maker.
on the exchange, while institutional investors continue This model will provide retail investors with price
to trade the same bonds in the inter-dealer RFQ market. transparency equivalent to that available in the equity
This process is known as ‘transmutation’. market while also providing the benefit of a market
maker acting as a liquidity backstop in the security.
Figure 3 presents an illustration of the likely operation
of the linked ASX and OTC markets.
8. Daniel Mulino “Improving Australia’s Financial Infrastructure”, Australian Centre for Financial Studies, July 2013,
http://www.fundingaustraliasfuture.com/improvingaustraliasfinancialinfrastructure
Current state of the Australian The extent of corporate bond issuance by Australian
non-bank companies (internationally and domestically)
Corporate Bond market from July 2014 to mid April 2015 is Shown in Table A1.
The Australian corporate bond market has historically There has been significant activity (AUD 31 billion raised
been much smaller relative to those of other major from 89 issues), partly reflecting the historically low yields
economies, with banks and equity markets traditionally available – with the average yield for AUD issues being
being the main source of long term funding for most 4.2% p.a. While yields on foreign currency issues appear
corporates. By December 2014 the turnover in all lower, the costs of hedging the exposure back into AUD
debt market instruments was over $11 trillion. Of this, terms would bring the effective cost of borrowings back
Australian Government outstanding issuance amounted close to the AUD cost. Nevertheless, Australian companies
to $540 billion and the Australian Bond Market, including have tapped those markets (particularly in USD and EUR)
financial and asset backed issuance, sat at $474 billion because of investor demand and the opportunity to
dollars. Despite this, the total size of the Australian improve borrowing costs marginally relative to AUD issues.
Corporate Bond Market remains at $50 billion – compared The ability to raise larger amounts in foreign markets (USD
to the Australian equity market which has a total market and EUR average sizes of over $600 million relative to AUD
capitalisation of over $1.5 trillion. average size of $151 million) is also relevant – although it is
generally larger companies also tapping those markets.
Figure A1 provides an overview of the size and growth
of the corporate bond market in Australia. It can be seen Table A1: Global Australian Corporate Bond Issues:
that bonds issued by non-financial companies remains July 2014 – April 2015
relatively small compared to amounts from other issuers
(banks and other financial institutions, asset backed Amount Average Average Average
Issued Years to Yield to Number Size
securities and foreign issuers and the Australian Currency
(AUD Maturity maturity of Issues (AUD
government. The Australian issuance by non-financial Million) (or Call) (%) Million)
companies is also relatively small compared to issuance
overseas. At end 2014, there was approximately three AUD 6,663 5.5 4.20 44 151.4
times the value of bonds on issue by Australian
EUR 8,110 8.2 1.32 11 737.3
non-financial companies overseas as domestically.
GBP 2,667 6.2 1.72 6 444.5
Figure A1: Australian Corporate Bonds outstanding
JPY 32 2.8 0.47 4 7.9
.
.
.
.
–
–
–
n
n
n
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
4 Provide for repayment of the principal sum at the end of the fixed term
Carry a fixed interest rate or floating rate of interest comprised of a reference rate plus a fixed margin,
6
which cannot be decreased
Alternative quote mechanisms Table A2: Comparing RFQ and CLOB trading systems
Lower liquidity in fixed-income markets has led to a Request for Central Limit Order
preference amongst some institutional investors for the Quotation (RFQ) Book (CLOB)
dealer market’s ‘request for quotation’ (RFQ) method of Typically
trading whereby dealers stand ready to make offers to Venue Over-the-Counter Typically Exchange
purchase and sell fixed income issues at a specified price. (OTC)
This contrasts with the ‘central limit order book’ (CLOB) Dealer uses its
trading method used by most listed exchanges in which No inventory
Capital Required balance sheet to
required
the highest bid and lowest offer price posted by market hold inventory
participants (including institutional market makers) is made Explicit
available to all market participants. According to a 2014 Cost of Execution Bid-offer spread
commission or fee
report by McKinsey, although the US has a large and active
Who Takes Customer / Asset
retail corporate bond market that utilises a CLOB system, Dealer / Sell-side
Execution Risk? Owner
US institutional investors enjoy the immediacy, anonymity
Source: Adapted from Blackrock 2014
and larger parcel sizes that can be traded through the RFQ
method.9 Table 2 below outlines some of the key differences
between the RFQ and CLOB trading systems.
9. McKinsey and Company and Greenwich Associates (2014) Corporate Bond E-Trading: Same Game, New Playing Field
Glossary
Accrued interest Convertible bond Duration (modified duration)
The amount of interest accumulated A traditional fixed income style A measure of the sensitivity of a
on a bond from the last coupon security that gives the investor the bond’s price or market value to a
payment date. right to convert into ordinary shares change in interest rates.
Asset allocation of the company at redemption. Face value or principal
An investment strategy that attempts Corporate bond The amount that the issuer borrows
to balance risk versus reward by A debt obligation (bond) issued by which must be repaid to the investor
adjusting the percentage of each a corporation, either senior secured, at maturity. Also known as par value.
asset in an investment portfolio. senior unsecured or subordinated. Fixed income investment
Asset class Corporate bond market A financial instrument that can be
A group of investments that display A secondary market for investors bought and sold between secondary
similar characteristics. to buy and sell corporate bonds. parties that has a defined rate of
Bank bills Coupon rate interest which must be paid on a
A short-term money market The rate of interest paid by the specified date to avoid default.
investment. issuer of a bond. The rate is usually Fixed rate bond
Basis point expressed as a percentage of the Bond on which the coupon rate has
A measure used to calculate interest face value of the security. been set at the time of issue and
returns. One basis point equals one Credit default swap will remain fixed for the life of the
hundredth of one percent or 0.01%. A form of insurance against the risk security.
Contact
Professor Deborah Ralston Professor Kevin Davis
Executive Director Research Director
Australian Centre for Australian Centre for
Financial Studies Financial Studies
Level 46, Rialto South Tower, Level 46, Rialto South Tower,
525 Collins St, 525 Collins St,
Melbourne VIC 3000 Melbourne VIC 3000
T: +61 3 9666 1050 T: +61 3 9666 1050
australiancentre.com.au
This document is independent research written by ACFS and is distributed by National Australia Bank Limited ABN 12 004 044 937 (AFSL 230686)
(‘NAB’) for information purposes and does not constitute financial product advice. This is not an offer to buy, sell or provide any product or service
described herein. So far as the law allows, neither ACFS, NAB nor its related bodies corporate or any of their officers, employees, agents, advisers or
contractors warrants or represents that the information in this document is accurate, reliable, complete or contemporary. To the extent permitted by
law, NAB shall not be liable for any loss or damage which may be suffered by any person relying upon this document or any Information (including
by way of negligence or misrepresentation) arising from or in connection with information contained in this document. Analyst Disclaimer: The
Information accurately reflects the personal views of the author(s) about the securities, issuers and other subject matters discussed, and is based
upon sources reasonably believed to be reliable and accurate. The views of the author(s) are independent of the views of the NAB Group. No part
of the compensation of the author(s) was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to any specific recommendations or views expressed.
©2015 National Australia Bank Limited ABN 12 004 044 937 AFSL and Australian Credit Licence 230686 A116778-0615