Cap 3. IDF

DATA DE INTENSIDADES MAXIMAS (mm/h)
AÑO I 5 min I 10 min I 15 min I 30 min I 60 min I 120 min

1 1972 24.3 24.3 24.3 24.3 24.3 19.2
2 1973 34.5 34.5 34.5 23.6 12.7 10.1
3 1974 4.8 4.8 4.8 3.6 2.3 1.3
4 1975 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 3.6 2.7
5 1976 18.1 18.1 18.1 18.1 13.8 7.3
6 1977 11.2 11.2 11.2 10.2 8.6 4.8
7 1978 21.4 21.4 21.4 21.4 14.6 9.4
8 1979 24 12.1 10.8 6.5 4.0 2.1
9 1980 17.3 17.3 17.3 15.7 13.3 7.5
10 1981 11.8 11.8 11.8 11.8 8.0 6.4
11 1982 6 3.5 3.4 3.4 2.6 1.8
12 1983 55.5 55.5 55.5 44.6 34.2 32.8
13 1984 7.8 7.8 7.8 7.8 5.8 5.0
14 1985 15.5 14.6 13.0 10.7 8.1 5.3
15 1986 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 3.4 2.6
16 1987 25.7 25.7 25.7 23.0 17.3 9.6
17 1988 8.7 8.7 6.3 4.6 3.8 2.6
18 1989 24 24 24.0 14.4 8.1 4.4
19 1990 11.0 9.9 8.4 7.0 4.1 2.3
20 1991 9 9 6.3 3.7 2.1 1.1
21 1992 60 60 50.0 40.0 35.0 29.5
22 1993 20.4 20.4 15.9 11.4 8.6 6.1
23 1994 27.6 27.6 19.2 13.7 12.4 7.4
24 1995 15 15 5.6 5.6 3.5 1.9
25 1996 10.8 9.7 8.2 6.8 3.9 2.1
26 1997 13.2 13.2 13.2 11.2 8.6 6.1
27 1998 69.8 69.8 69.8 69.8 60.1 36.4
28 1999 19 19 19.0 19.0 12.0 7.2
29 2000 6.37 6.37 3.6 3.6 3.0 2.4
30 2001 33.2 33.2 33.2 33.2 33.2 28.5
31 2002 38.7 38.7 38.1 38.1 38.1 25.2
32 2003 33.6 26.8 24.5 22.2 12.8 7.1
I 180 min I 360 min I 720 min I 1440 min
14.4 9.7 5.4 2.7
7.1 4.0 2.3 1.5
0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1
1.9 1.0 0.5 0.3
5.2 3.0 1.5 0.8
3.4 2.3 1.2 0.6
7.9 4.6 2.6 1.3
1.4 0.7 0.4 0.2
6.4 4.8 2.4 1.2
5.4 2.8 1.4 0.7
1.3 0.6 0.5 0.3
29.5 16.5 9.3 4.6
4.1 2.4 1.2 0.6
3.9 2.3 1.2 0.7
1.9 1.2 0.6 0.3
7.7 5.6 2.9 1.5
1.8 0.9 0.5 0.1
2.9 1.7 0.9 0.5
1.3 0.6 0.3 0.2
0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2
24.6 14.6 8.7 4.5
5.0 2.6 1.3 0.8
5.0 2.8 1.7 1.4
1.3 0.7 0.3 0.2
1.2 0.6 0.3 0.2
5.2 3.0 1.5 0.8
33.4 22.8 12.4 6.2
5.2 3.0 1.7 1.0
1.8 1.0 0.5 0.3
20.4 11.4 6.6 3.3
19.9 13.4 7.4 3.7
5.3 2.6 1.3 0.7
INTENSIDADES MAXIMAS (mm/h)
AÑO I 5 min y=lnx I 10 min y=lnx I 15 min y=lnx I 30 min y=lnx
1 1972 24.3 3.2 24.3 3.2 24.3 3.2 24.3 3.2
2 1973 34.5 3.5 34.5 3.5 34.5 3.5 23.6 3.2
3 1974 4.8 1.6 4.8 1.6 4.8 1.6 3.6 1.3
4 1975 4.2 1.4 4.2 1.4 4.2 1.4 4.2 1.4
5 1976 18.1 2.9 18.1 2.9 18.1 2.9 18.1 2.9
6 1977 11.2 2.4 11.2 2.4 11.2 2.4 10.2 2.3
7 1978 21.4 3.1 21.4 3.1 21.4 3.1 21.4 3.1
8 1979 24 3.2 12.1 2.5 10.8 2.4 6.5 1.9
9 1980 17.3 2.9 17.3 2.9 17.3 2.9 15.7 2.8
10 1981 11.8 2.5 11.8 2.5 11.8 2.5 11.8 2.5
11 1982 6 1.8 3.5 1.3 3.4 1.2 3.4 1.2
12 1983 55.5 4.0 55.5 4.0 55.5 4.0 44.6 3.8
13 1984 7.8 2.1 7.8 2.1 7.8 2.1 7.8 2.1
14 1985 15.5 2.7 14.6 2.7 13.0 2.6 10.7 2.4
14 1986 4.1 1.4 4.1 1.4 4.1 1.4 4.1 1.4
15 1987 25.7 3.2 25.7 3.2 25.7 3.2 23.0 3.1
16 1988 8.7 2.2 8.7 2.2 6.3 1.8 4.6 1.5
17 1989 24 3.2 24 3.2 24.0 3.2 14.4 2.7
19 1990 11.0 2.4 9.9 2.3 8.4 2.1 7.0 1.9
18 1991 9 2.2 9 2.2 6.3 1.8 3.7 1.3
19 1992 60 4.1 60 4.1 50.0 3.9 40.0 3.7
20 1993 20.4 3.0 20.4 3.0 15.9 2.8 11.4 2.4
21 1994 27.6 3.3 27.6 3.3 19.2 3.0 13.7 2.6
22 1995 15 2.7 15 2.7 5.6 1.7 5.6 1.7
25 1996 10.8 2.4 9.7 2.3 8.2 2.1 6.8 1.9
24 1997 13.2 2.6 13.2 2.6 13.2 2.6 11.2 2.4
25 1998 69.8 4.2 69.8 4.2 69.8 4.2 69.8 4.2
26 1999 19 2.9 19 2.9 19.0 2.9 19.0 2.9
27 2000 6.37 1.9 6.37 1.9 3.6 1.3 3.6 1.3
28 2001 33.2 3.5 33.2 3.5 33.2 3.5 33.2 3.5
29 2002 38.7 3.7 38.7 3.7 38.1 3.6 38.1 3.6
30 2003 33.6 3.5 26.8 3.3 24.5 3.2 22.2 3.1
media 21.46 2.80 20.70 2.75 19.16 2.63 16.79 2.48
desv.stand 16.32 0.76 16.41 0.78 16.12 0.83 14.92 0.84
coef.asim 1.48 -0.08 1.56 -0.08 1.57 0.01 1.83 0.14
Pexc. Tr x=LN I x=LN I x=LN I x=LN I

0.500 2 16.45 15.59 13.88 11.95
0.200 5 31.13 30.11 27.99 24.32
0.100 10 43.44 42.48 40.39 35.26
0.050 20 57.20 56.43 54.68 47.92
0.040 25 61.97 61.30 59.72 52.40
0.020 50 77.96 77.70 76.89 67.68
0.010 100 95.85 96.16 96.50 85.19
90.00
80.00
70.00
60.00
50.00
I 10 min I 60 min I 120 min I 180 min 90.00
2.7467424 2.1786678 1.7568877 1.45332 80.00
0.7820209 0.9115818 0.9767691 1.05804 70.00
60.00
m lnx 2.75 2.18 1.76 1.45
s lnx 0.78 0.91 0.98 1.06 50.00
Tr 10 60 120 180 40.00
0.100 10 42.50 28.39 20.41 16.58
30.00
0.040 25 61.29 43.52 32.32 27.27
0.020 50 77.63 57.34 43.50 37.60 20.00
10.00
1.7506861 0.00
0 20 40 6
I 60 min y=lnx I 120 min y=lnx I 180 min y=lnx I 360 min y=lnx I 720 min y=lnx
24.3 3.2 19.2 3.0 14.4 2.7 9.7 2.3 5.4 1.7
12.7 2.5 10.1 2.3 7.1 2.0 4.0 1.4 2.3 0.8
2.3 0.8 1.3 0.3 0.9 -0.1 0.4 -0.9 0.2 -1.6
3.6 1.3 2.7 1.0 1.9 0.6 1.0 0.0 0.5 -0.7
13.8 2.6 7.3 2.0 5.2 1.6 3.0 1.1 1.5 0.4
8.6 2.2 4.8 1.6 3.4 1.2 2.3 0.8 1.2 0.2
14.6 2.7 9.4 2.2 7.9 2.1 4.6 1.5 2.6 1.0
4.0 1.4 2.1 0.7 1.4 0.3 0.7 -0.4 0.4 -0.9
13.3 2.6 7.5 2.0 6.4 1.9 4.8 1.6 2.4 0.9
8.0 2.1 6.4 1.9 5.4 1.7 2.8 1.0 1.4 0.3
2.6 1.0 1.8 0.6 1.3 0.3 0.6 -0.5 0.5 -0.7
34.2 3.5 32.8 3.5 29.5 3.4 16.5 2.8 9.3 2.2
5.8 1.8 5.0 1.6 4.1 1.4 2.4 0.9 1.2 0.2
8.1 2.1 5.3 1.7 3.9 1.4 2.3 0.8 1.2 0.2
3.4 1.2 2.6 1.0 1.9 0.6 1.2 0.2 0.6 -0.5
17.3 2.9 9.6 2.3 7.7 2.0 5.6 1.7 2.9 1.1
3.8 1.3 2.6 1.0 1.8 0.6 0.9 -0.1 0.5 -0.7
8.1 2.1 4.4 1.5 2.9 1.1 1.7 0.5 0.9 -0.1
4.1 1.4 2.3 0.8 1.3 0.2 0.6 -0.5 0.3 -1.2
2.1 0.7 1.1 0.1 0.7 -0.4 0.4 -0.9 0.3 -1.2
35.0 3.6 29.5 3.4 24.6 3.2 14.6 2.7 8.7 2.2
8.6 2.2 6.1 1.8 5.0 1.6 2.6 1.0 1.3 0.3
12.4 2.5 7.4 2.0 5.0 1.6 2.8 1.0 1.7 0.5
3.5 1.3 1.9 0.6 1.3 0.3 0.7 -0.4 0.3 -1.2
3.9 1.4 2.1 0.7 1.2 0.1 0.6 -0.6 0.3 -1.4
8.6 2.2 6.1 1.8 5.2 1.6 3.0 1.1 1.5 0.4
60.1 4.1 36.4 3.6 33.4 3.5 22.8 3.1 12.4 2.5
12.0 2.5 7.2 2.0 5.2 1.6 3.0 1.1 1.7 0.5
3.0 1.1 2.4 0.9 1.8 0.6 1.0 0.0 0.5 -0.7
33.2 3.5 28.5 3.3 20.4 3.0 11.4 2.4 6.6 1.9
38.1 3.6 25.2 3.2 19.9 3.0 13.4 2.6 7.4 2.0
12.8 2.5 7.1 2.0 5.3 1.7 2.6 1.0 1.3 0.3
13.31 2.18 9.32 1.76 7.41 1.45 4.50 0.89 2.48 0.27
13.39 0.91 10.03 0.98 8.66 1.06 5.49 1.13 3.09 1.15
1.92 0.29 1.65 0.34 1.86 0.30 1.95 0.23 1.90 0.29
x=LN I x=LN I x=LN I x=LN I x=LN I

8.83 5.79 4.28 2.43 1.31
19.03 13.18 10.42 6.31 3.43
28.41 20.26 16.60 10.39 5.68
39.57 28.89 24.38 15.68 8.62
43.58 32.04 27.27 17.68 9.73
57.45 43.07 37.57 24.93 13.77
73.65 56.22 50.13 33.96 18.82
90.00
80.00
70.00
60.00
50.00 10
90.00
80.00
70.00
60.00
50.00 10
40.00 25
50
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200
I 1440 min y=lnx
2.7 1.0
1.5 0.4
0.1 -2.3
0.3 -1.2
0.8 -0.2
0.6 -0.5
1.3 0.3
0.2 -1.6
1.2 0.2
0.7 -0.4
0.3 -1.2
4.6 1.5
0.6 -0.5
0.7 -0.4
0.3 -1.2
1.5 0.4
0.2 -1.6
0.5 -0.7
0.2 -1.5
0.2 -1.6
4.5 1.5
0.8 -0.2
1.4 0.3
0.2 -1.6
0.2 -1.6
0.8 -0.2
6.2 1.8
1.0 0.0
0.3 -1.2
3.3 1.2
3.7 1.3
0.7 -0.4
1.30 -0.32
1.54 1.10
1.85 0.27
x=LN I
0.73
1.83
2.96
4.41
4.96
6.92
9.33
n = 32 yn medio = 0.538
Sn = 1.1193
parámetros
a = Sx / Sn =
u = x medio-yn*Sx/Sn=
P(x<=X) = e ^ -e ^ -y y=(x-u)/a
P(x>=X) = 1- e ^ -e ^ -y
P(x>=X) = 1 / Tr
I = u-a.ln(-ln(1-1/Tr))

AÑO I 5 min y=(x-u)/a I 10 min y=(x-u)/a I 15 min y=(x-u)/a I 30 min y=(x-u)/a I 60 min y=(x-u)/a I 120 min
1 1972 24.3 0.73 24.3 0.78 24.30 0.89 24.30 1.10 24.30 1.46 19.20
2 1973 34.5 1.43 34.5 1.48 34.50 1.60 23.60 1.05 12.70 0.49 10.10
3 1974 4.8 -0.60 4.8 -0.55 4.80 -0.46 3.60 -0.45 2.30 -0.38 1.30
4 1975 4.2 -0.65 4.2 -0.59 4.20 -0.50 4.20 -0.41 3.60 -0.27 2.70
5 1976 18.1 0.31 18.1 0.36 18.10 0.46 18.10 0.64 13.80 0.58 7.30
6 1977 11.2 -0.17 11.2 -0.11 11.20 -0.02 10.20 0.04 8.60 0.14 4.80
7 1978 21.4 0.53 21.4 0.59 21.40 0.69 21.40 0.88 14.60 0.65 9.40
8 1979 24 0.71 12.1 -0.05 10.80 -0.04 6.50 -0.23 4.00 -0.24 2.10
9 1980 17.3 0.25 17.3 0.31 17.30 0.41 15.70 0.46 13.30 0.54 7.50
10 1981 11.8 -0.12 11.8 -0.07 11.80 0.03 11.80 0.16 8.00 0.09 6.40
11 1982 6 -0.52 3.5 -0.63 3.40 -0.56 3.40 -0.47 2.60 -0.36 1.80
12 1983 55.5 2.87 55.5 2.91 55.50 3.06 44.60 2.62 34.20 2.28 32.80
13 1984 7.8 -0.40 7.8 -0.34 7.80 -0.25 7.80 -0.14 5.80 -0.09 5.00
14 1985 15.5 0.13 14.6 0.12 13.0 0.11 10.7 0.08 8.1 0.10 5.3
15 1986 4.1 -0.65 4.1 -0.59 4.10 -0.51 4.10 -0.41 3.40 -0.29 2.60
16 1987 25.7 0.83 25.7 0.88 25.70 0.99 23.00 1.00 17.30 0.87 9.60
17 1988 8.7 -0.34 8.7 -0.28 6.30 -0.36 4.60 -0.38 3.80 -0.26 2.60
18 1989 24 0.71 24 0.76 24.00 0.87 14.40 0.36 8.10 0.10 4.40
19 1990 11.0 -0.18 9.9 -0.20 8.4 -0.21 7.0 -0.20 4.1 -0.23 2.3
20 1991 9 -0.32 9 -0.26 6.30 -0.36 3.70 -0.44 2.10 -0.40 1.10
21 1992 60 3.18 60 3.22 50.00 2.68 40.00 2.28 35.00 2.35 29.50
22 1993 20.4 0.47 20.4 0.52 15.90 0.31 11.40 0.13 8.60 0.14 6.10
23 1994 27.6 0.96 27.6 1.01 19.20 0.54 13.70 0.31 12.40 0.46 7.40
24 1995 15 0.10 15 0.15 5.60 -0.40 5.60 -0.30 3.50 -0.28 1.90
25 1996 10.8 -0.19 9.7 -0.21 8.2 -0.22 6.8 -0.21 3.9 -0.25 2.1
26 1997 13.2 -0.03 13.2 0.03 13.20 0.12 11.20 0.12 8.60 0.14 6.10
27 1998 69.8 3.85 69.8 3.89 69.80 4.05 69.80 4.51 60.10 4.45 36.40
28 1999 19 0.37 19 0.42 19.00 0.53 19.00 0.70 12.00 0.43 7.20
29 2000 6.37 -0.50 6.37 -0.44 3.60 -0.54 3.60 -0.45 3.00 -0.32 2.40
30 2001 33.2 1.34 33.2 1.39 33.20 1.51 33.20 1.77 33.20 2.20 28.50
31 2002 38.7 1.72 38.7 1.77 38.10 1.85 38.10 2.14 38.10 2.61 25.20
32 2003 33.6 1.37 26.8 0.95 24.50 0.91 22.20 0.94 12.80 0.50 7.10
xmedio 21.46 0.54 20.70 0.54 19.16 0.54 16.79 0.54 13.31 0.54 9.32
Sx 16.32 1.12 16.41 1.12 16.12 1.12 14.92 1.12 13.39 1.12 10.03
a 14.58 14.66 14.40 13.33 11.97 8.96
u 13.61 12.81 11.42 9.62 6.87 4.50
Pexc. Tr I 5 min I 10 min I 15 min I 30 min I 60 min I 120 min

0.500 2 19.0 18.2 16.7 14.5 11.3 7.8
0.200 5 35.5 34.8 33.0 29.6 24.8 17.9
0.100 10 46.4 45.8 43.8 39.6 33.8 24.7
0.050 20 56.9 56.4 54.2 49.2 42.4 31.1
0.040 25 60.3 59.7 57.5 52.3 45.1 33.2
0.020 50 70.5 70.0 67.6 61.6 53.6 39.5
0.010 100 80.7 80.3 77.7 70.9 61.9 45.7
y=(x-u)/a I 180 min y=(x-u)/a I 360 min y=(x-u)/a I 720 min y=(x-u)/a I 1440 min y=(x-u)/a
1.64 14.40 1.44 9.70 1.60 5.40 1.60 2.70 1.56
0.63 7.05 0.49 3.96 0.43 2.30 0.47 1.50 0.68
-0.36 0.90 -0.30 0.40 -0.30 0.20 -0.29 0.10 -0.34
-0.20 1.90 -0.17 1.00 -0.18 0.50 -0.18 0.30 -0.19
0.31 5.20 0.25 3.00 0.23 1.50 0.18 0.80 0.17
0.03 3.40 0.02 2.30 0.09 1.20 0.08 0.60 0.03
0.55 7.90 0.60 4.60 0.56 2.60 0.58 1.30 0.54
-0.27 1.40 -0.24 0.70 -0.24 0.40 -0.21 0.20 -0.26
0.34 6.40 0.41 4.80 0.60 2.40 0.51 1.20 0.47
0.21 5.40 0.28 2.80 0.19 1.40 0.15 0.70 0.10
-0.30 1.30 -0.25 0.60 -0.26 0.50 -0.18 0.30 -0.19
3.16 29.50 3.39 16.50 2.98 9.30 3.01 4.60 2.94
0.06 4.10 0.11 2.40 0.11 1.20 0.08 0.60 0.03
0.09 3.9 0.08 2.3 0.09 1.2 0.09 0.7 0.09
-0.21 1.90 -0.17 1.20 -0.13 0.60 -0.14 0.30 -0.19
0.57 7.70 0.57 5.60 0.76 2.90 0.69 1.50 0.68
-0.21 1.80 -0.19 0.90 -0.20 0.50 -0.18 0.20 -0.26
-0.01 2.90 -0.05 1.70 -0.03 0.90 -0.03 0.50 -0.04
-0.25 1.3 -0.26 0.6 -0.25 0.3 -0.25 0.2 -0.25
-0.38 0.70 -0.33 0.40 -0.30 0.30 -0.25 0.20 -0.26
2.79 24.60 2.76 14.60 2.60 8.70 2.79 4.50 2.87
0.18 5.00 0.23 2.60 0.15 1.30 0.11 0.80 0.17
0.32 5.00 0.23 2.80 0.19 1.70 0.26 1.40 0.61
-0.29 1.30 -0.25 0.70 -0.24 0.30 -0.25 0.20 -0.26
-0.27 1.2 -0.27 0.6 -0.26 0.3 -0.27 0.2 -0.27
0.18 5.20 0.25 3.00 0.23 1.50 0.18 0.80 0.17
3.56 33.40 3.89 22.80 4.27 12.40 4.13 6.20 4.11
0.30 5.20 0.25 3.00 0.23 1.70 0.26 1.00 0.32
-0.23 1.80 -0.19 1.00 -0.18 0.50 -0.18 0.30 -0.19
2.68 20.40 2.22 11.40 1.94 6.60 2.03 3.30 2.00
2.31 19.90 2.15 13.40 2.35 7.40 2.32 3.70 2.29
0.29 5.30 0.26 2.60 0.15 1.30 0.11 0.70 0.10
0.54 7.41 0.54 4.50 0.54 2.48 0.54 1.30 0.54
1.12 8.66 1.12 5.49 1.12 3.09 1.12 1.54 1.12
7.74 4.91 2.76 1.37
3.25 1.86 0.99 0.56

6.1 3.7 2.0 1.1
14.9 9.2 5.1 2.6
20.7 12.9 7.2 3.7
26.2 16.4 9.2 4.6
28.0 17.5 9.8 5.0
33.5 21.0 11.8 5.9
38.9 24.4 13.7 6.9
PARAMETROS GUMBEL En función de n
Media reducida Yn
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
10 0.4952 0.4996 0.5035 0.5070 0.5100 0.5128 0.5157
20 0.5230 0.5252 0.5268 0.5283 0.5296 0.5309 0.5320
30 0.5362 0.5371 0.5380 0.5388 0.5396 0.5402 0.5410
40 0.5436 0.5442 0.5448 0.5453 0.5458 0.5463 0.5468
50 0.5485 0.5489 0.5493 0.5497 0.5501 0.5504 0.5508
60 0.5521 0.5524 0.5527 0.5530 0.5533 0.5535 0.5538
70 0.5548 0.5550 0.5552 0.5555 0.5557 0.5559 0.5561
80 0.5569 0.5570 0.5572 0.5574 0.5576 0.5578 0.5580
90 0.5586 0.5587 0.5589 0.5591 0.5592 0.5593 0.5595
100 0.5600
Desviación tipica reducida Sn
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
10 0.9496 0.9676 0.9833 0.9971 1.0095 1.0206 1.0316
20 1.0628 1.0696 1.0754 1.0811 1.0864 1.0915 1.0961
30 1.1124 1.1159 1.1193 1.2260 1.1255 1.1285 1.1313
40 1.1413 1.1430 1.1458 1.1480 1.1499 1.1519 1.1538
50 1.1607 1.1623 1.1638 1.1658 1.1667 1.1681 1.1696
60 1.1747 1.1759 1.1770 1.1782 1.1793 1.1803 1.1814
70 1.1854 1.1863 1.1873 1.1881 1.1890 1.1898 1.1906
80 1.1938 1.1945 1.1953 1.1959 1.1967 1.1973 1.1980
90 1.2007 1.2013 1.2020 1.2026 1.2032 1.2038 1.2044
100 1.2065
7 8 9
0.5181 0.5202 0.5220
0.5332 0.5343 0.5353
0.5418 0.5424 0.5430
0.5473 0.5477 0.5481
0.5511 0.5515 0.5518
0.5540 0.5543 0.5545
0.5563 0.5565 0.5567
0.5581 0.5583 0.5585
0.5596 0.5598 0.5599
7 8 9
1.0411 1.0493 1.0565
1.1004 1.1047 1.1086
1.1339 1.1363 1.3880
1.1557 1.1574 1.1590
1.1708 1.1721 1.1734
1.1824 1.1834 1.1844
1.1915 1.1923 1.1930
1.1987 1.1994 1.2001
1.2049 1.2055 1.2060
AÑO I 5 min y=ln(I-a) I 10 min y=ln(x-a) I 15 min y=ln(I-a)
1 1972 24.3 3.2 24.3 3.2 24.3 3.2
2 1973 34.5 3.6 34.5 3.6 34.5 3.5
3 1974 4.8 1.7 4.8 1.7 4.8 1.5
4 1975 4.2 1.6 4.2 1.6 4.2 1.4
5 1976 18.1 2.9 18.1 2.9 18.1 2.9
6 1977 11.2 2.5 11.2 2.5 11.2 2.4
7 1978 21.4 3.1 21.4 3.1 21.4 3.1
8 1979 24 3.2 12.1 2.5 10.8 2.4
9 1980 17.3 2.9 17.3 2.9 17.3 2.8
10 1981 11.8 2.5 11.8 2.5 11.8 2.5
11 1982 6 1.9 3.5 1.4 3.4 1.2
12 1983 55.5 4.0 55.5 4.0 55.5 4.0
13 1984 7.8 2.1 7.8 2.1 7.8 2.0
14 1985 15.5 2.8 14.6 2.7 13.0 2.6
14 1986 4.1 1.6 4.1 1.6 4.1 1.4
15 1987 25.7 3.3 25.7 3.3 25.7 3.2
16 1988 8.7 2.2 8.7 2.2 6.3 1.8
17 1989 24 3.2 24 3.2 24.0 3.2
19 1990 11.0 2.5 9.9 2.4 8.4 2.1
18 1991 9 2.3 9 2.3 6.3 1.8
19 1992 60 4.1 60 4.1 50.0 3.9
20 1993 20.4 3.1 20.4 3.0 15.9 2.8
21 1994 27.6 3.3 27.6 3.3 19.2 2.9
22 1995 15 2.8 15 2.7 5.6 1.7
25 1996 10.8 2.4 9.7 2.3 8.2 2.1
24 1997 13.2 2.6 13.2 2.6 13.2 2.6
25 1998 69.8 4.3 69.8 4.3 69.8 4.2
26 1999 19 3.0 19 3.0 19.0 2.9
27 2000 6.37 2.0 6.37 1.9 3.6 1.3
28 2001 33.2 3.5 33.2 3.5 33.2 3.5
29 2002 38.7 3.7 38.7 3.7 38.1 3.6
30 2003 33.6 3.5 26.8 3.3 24.5 3.2
media 21.46 2.86 20.70 2.80 19.16 2.62
desv.stand 16.32 0.72 16.41 0.74 16.12 0.84
coef.asimet. 1.48 0.00 1.56 0.00 1.57 0.00
a -0.77 -0.64 0.10
Pexc. Tr e^x+a=I 5' x=LN (I-a) e^y+a=I 10' y=LN (I-a) e^x+a=I 15' x=LN (I-a)
0.500 2 16.7 2.86 15.8 2.80 13.8 2.62
0.200 5 31.1 3.46 30.1 3.43 28.0 3.33
0.100 10 42.9 3.78 42.0 3.75 40.5 3.70
0.050 20 55.9 4.04 55.2 4.02 54.9 4.00
0.040 25 60.4 4.11 59.8 4.10 60.0 4.09
0.020 50 75.2 4.33 75.0 4.33 77.4 4.35
0.010 100 91.6 4.53 92.1 4.53 97.3 4.58
I 30 min y=ln(x-a) I 60 min y=ln(x-a) I 120 min y=ln(x-a) I 180 min y=ln(x-a)
24.3 3.1 24.3 3.1 19.2 2.9 14.4 2.6
23.6 3.1 12.7 2.4 10.1 2.2 7.1 1.9
3.6 0.9 2.3 0.1 1.3 -0.5 0.9 -0.7
4.2 1.1 3.6 0.9 2.7 0.7 1.9 0.4
18.1 2.8 13.8 2.5 7.3 1.9 5.2 1.6
10.2 2.2 8.6 2.0 4.8 1.4 3.4 1.1
21.4 3.0 14.6 2.6 9.4 2.2 7.9 2.0
6.5 1.7 4.0 1.0 2.1 0.4 1.4 0.0
15.7 2.7 13.3 2.5 7.5 1.9 6.4 1.8
11.8 2.4 8.0 1.9 6.4 1.7 5.4 1.6
3.4 0.9 2.6 0.3 1.8 0.1 1.3 -0.1
44.6 3.8 34.2 3.5 32.8 3.5 29.5 3.4
7.8 1.9 5.8 1.5 5.0 1.5 4.1 1.3
10.7 2.3 8.1 1.9 5.3 1.5 3.9 1.2
4.1 1.1 3.4 0.8 2.6 0.7 1.9 0.4
23.0 3.1 17.3 2.8 9.6 2.2 7.7 2.0
4.6 1.3 3.8 1.0 2.6 0.7 1.8 0.3
14.4 2.6 8.1 1.9 4.4 1.3 2.9 0.9
7.0 1.8 4.1 1.1 2.3 0.5 1.3 -0.2
3.7 1.0 2.1 -0.1 1.1 -0.9 0.7 -1.3
40.0 3.7 35.0 3.5 29.5 3.4 24.6 3.2
11.4 2.3 8.6 2.0 6.1 1.7 5.0 1.5
13.7 2.5 12.4 2.4 7.4 1.9 5.0 1.5
5.6 1.5 3.5 0.8 1.9 0.2 1.3 -0.1
6.8 1.7 3.9 1.0 2.1 0.4 1.2 -0.3
11.2 2.3 8.6 2.0 6.1 1.7 5.2 1.6
69.8 4.2 60.1 4.1 36.4 3.6 33.4 3.5
19.0 2.9 12.0 2.4 7.2 1.9 5.2 1.6
3.6 0.9 3.0 0.6 2.4 0.5 1.8 0.3
33.2 3.5 33.2 3.5 28.5 3.3 20.4 3.0
38.1 3.6 38.1 3.6 25.2 3.2 19.9 3.0
22.2 3.1 12.8 2.5 7.1 1.9 5.3 1.6
16.79 2.35 13.31 1.94 9.32 1.54 7.41 1.27
14.92 0.95 13.39 1.11 10.03 1.16 8.66 1.23
1.83 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.65 0.00 1.86 0.00
1.04 1.20 0.68 0.42
e^x+a=I 30' x=LN (I-a) e^x+a=I 60' x=LN (I-a) e^x+a=I 120'x=LN (I-a) e^x+a=I 180'x=LN (I-a)
11.5 2.35 8.2 1.94 5.4 1.54 4.0 1.27
24.3 3.14 18.9 2.88 13.2 2.52 10.4 2.30
36.3 3.56 30.1 3.36 21.5 3.04 17.6 2.85
50.7 3.91 44.4 3.76 32.5 3.46 27.4 3.29
56.0 4.01 49.7 3.88 36.7 3.58 31.1 3.42
74.2 4.29 69.1 4.22 51.9 3.94 45.0 3.80
95.8 4.55 93.0 4.52 71.1 4.25 62.8 4.13
I 360 min y=ln(x-a) I 720 min y=ln(x-a) I 1440 min y=ln(x-a)
9.7 2.3 5.4 1.7 2.7 1.0
4.0 1.3 2.3 0.8 1.5 0.4
0.4 -1.6 0.2 -1.6 0.1 -2.3
1.0 -0.2 0.5 -0.7 0.3 -1.2
3.0 1.0 1.5 0.4 0.8 -0.2
2.3 0.7 1.2 0.2 0.6 -0.5
4.6 1.5 2.6 1.0 1.3 0.3
0.7 -0.7 0.4 -0.9 0.2 -1.6
4.8 1.5 2.4 0.9 1.2 0.2
2.8 1.0 1.4 0.3 0.7 -0.4
0.6 -0.9 0.5 -0.7 0.3 -1.2
16.5 2.8 9.3 2.2 4.6 1.5
2.4 0.8 1.2 0.0 0.6 -0.7
2.3 0.7 1.2 0.1 0.7 -0.6
1.2 0.0 0.6 -0.8 0.3 -1.7
5.6 1.7 2.9 1.0 1.5 0.3
0.9 -0.3 0.5 -1.1 0.2 -2.5
1.7 0.4 0.9 -0.3 0.5 -1.0
0.6 -0.8 0.3 -1.9 0.2 -2.3
0.4 -1.6 0.3 -1.9 0.2 -2.5
14.6 2.7 8.7 2.1 4.5 1.5
2.6 0.9 1.3 0.1 0.8 -0.4
2.8 1.0 1.7 0.4 1.4 0.2
0.7 -0.7 0.3 -1.9 0.2 -2.5
0.6 -1.0 0.3 -2.3 0.2 -2.6
3.0 1.0 1.5 0.3 0.8 -0.4
22.8 3.1 12.4 2.5 6.2 1.8
3.0 1.0 1.7 0.4 1.0 -0.1
1.0 -0.2 0.5 -1.1 0.3 -1.7
11.4 2.4 6.6 1.9 3.3 1.2
13.4 2.6 7.4 2.0 3.7 1.3
2.6 0.9 1.3 0.1 0.7 -0.5
4.50 0.73 2.48 0.10 1.30 -0.54
5.49 1.29 3.09 1.32 1.54 1.31
2.17 0.00 1.90 0.00 1.85 0.00
0.19 0.15 0.12
e^x+a=I 360'x=LN (I-a) e^x+a=I 720'x=LN (I-a) e^x+a=I 144x=LN (I-a)

2.3 0.73 1.3 0.10 0.7 -0.54
6.3 1.81 3.5 1.21 1.9 0.56
11.0 2.38 6.1 1.79 3.2 1.13
17.4 2.85 9.8 2.27 5.1 1.61
19.9 2.98 11.3 2.41 5.9 1.75
29.4 3.37 16.7 2.81 8.6 2.14
41.7 3.72 23.9 3.17 12.3 2.50
AÑO I 5 min I 10 min I 15 min I 30 min I 60 min I 120 min I 180 min
1 1972 24.3 24.3 24.30 24.30 24.30 19.20 14.40
2 1973 34.5 34.5 34.50 23.60 12.70 10.10 7.05
3 1974 4.8 4.8 4.80 3.60 2.30 1.30 0.90
4 1975 4.2 4.2 4.20 4.20 3.60 2.70 1.90
5 1976 18.1 18.1 18.10 18.10 13.80 7.30 5.20
6 1977 11.2 11.2 11.20 10.20 8.60 4.80 3.40
7 1978 21.4 21.4 21.40 21.40 14.60 9.40 7.90
8 1979 24 12.1 10.80 6.50 4.00 2.10 1.40
9 1980 17.3 17.3 17.30 15.70 13.30 7.50 6.40
10 1981 11.8 11.8 11.80 11.80 8.00 6.40 5.40
11 1982 6 3.5 3.40 3.40 2.60 1.80 1.30
12 1983 55.5 55.5 55.50 44.60 34.20 32.80 29.50
14 1985 15.5 14.6 13.0 10.7 8.1 5.3 3.9
13 1984 7.8 7.8 7.80 7.80 5.80 5.00 4.10
14 1986 4.1 4.1 4.10 4.10 3.40 2.60 1.90
15 1987 25.7 25.7 25.70 23.00 17.30 9.60 7.70
16 1988 8.7 8.7 6.30 4.60 3.80 2.60 1.80
17 1989 24 24 24.00 14.40 8.10 4.40 2.90
19 1990 11.0 9.9 8.4 7.0 4.1 2.3 1.3
18 1991 9 9 6.30 3.70 2.10 1.10 0.70
19 1992 60 60 50.00 40.00 35.00 29.50 24.60
20 1993 20.4 20.4 15.90 11.40 8.60 6.10 5.00
21 1994 27.6 27.6 19.20 13.70 12.40 7.40 5.00
22 1995 15 15 5.60 5.60 3.50 1.90 1.30
25 1996 10.8 9.7 8.2 6.8 3.9 2.1 1.2
24 1997 13.2 13.2 13.20 11.20 8.60 6.10 5.20
25 1998 69.8 69.8 69.80 69.80 60.10 36.40 33.40
26 1999 19 19 19.00 19.00 12.00 7.20 5.20
27 2000 6.37 6.37 3.60 3.60 3.00 2.40 1.80
28 2001 33.2 33.2 33.20 33.20 33.20 28.50 20.40
29 2002 38.7 38.7 38.10 38.10 38.10 25.20 19.90
30 2003 33.6 26.8 24.50 22.20 12.80 7.10 5.30
media 21.46 20.70 19.16 16.79 13.31 9.32 7.41
desv.estand 16.32 16.41 16.12 14.92 13.39 10.03 8.66
alfa 1.73 1.59 1.41 1.27 0.99 0.86 0.73
beta 12.42 13.01 13.56 13.26 13.48 10.80 10.12
Pexc. Tr I 5 min I 10 min I 15 min I 30 min I 60 min I 120 min I 180 min
0.500 2 17.49 16.56 14.88 12.63 9.18 6.06 4.43
0.200 5 32.67 31.81 29.84 26.44 21.44 15.16 12.17
0.100 10 43.21 42.52 40.52 36.47 30.74 22.24 18.41
0.050 20 53.34 52.87 50.93 46.32 40.05 29.42 24.83
0.040 25 56.55 56.15 54.24 49.47 43.05 31.74 26.92
0.020 50 66.37 66.23 64.44 59.18 52.36 38.98 33.47
0.010 100 76.03 76.16 74.53 68.82 61.68 46.26 40.09
I 360 min I 720 min I 1440 min
9.70 5.40 2.70
3.96 2.30 1.50
0.40 0.20 0.10
1.00 0.50 0.30
3.00 1.50 0.80
2.30 1.20 0.60
4.60 2.60 1.30
0.70 0.40 0.20
4.80 2.40 1.20
2.80 1.40 0.70
0.60 0.50 0.30
16.50 9.30 4.60
2.3 1.2 0.7
2.40 1.20 0.60
1.20 0.60 0.30
5.60 2.90 1.50
0.90 0.50 0.20
1.70 0.90 0.50
0.6 0.3 0.2
0.40 0.30 0.20
14.60 8.70 4.50
2.60 1.30 0.80
2.80 1.70 1.40
0.70 0.30 0.20
0.6 0.3 0.2
3.00 1.50 0.80
22.80 12.40 6.20
3.00 1.70 1.00
1.00 0.50 0.30
11.40 6.60 3.30
13.40 7.40 3.70
2.60 1.30 0.70
4.50 2.48 1.30
5.49 3.09 1.54
0.67 0.64 0.72
6.70 3.85 1.82
I 360 min I 720 min I 1440 min

2.55 1.37 0.77
7.40 4.08 2.13
11.40 6.34 3.25
15.55 8.70 4.39
16.90 9.47 4.76
21.16 11.89 5.93
25.47 14.35 7.11
AÑO I 5 min y=logx I 10 min y=logx I 15 min y=logx
1 1972 24.3 1.4 24.3 1.4 24.3 1.4
2 1973 34.5 1.5 34.5 1.5 34.5 1.5
3 1974 4.8 0.7 4.8 0.7 4.8 0.7
4 1975 4.2 0.6 4.2 0.6 4.2 0.6
5 1976 18.1 1.3 18.1 1.3 18.1 1.3
6 1977 11.2 1.0 11.2 1.0 11.2 1.0
7 1978 21.4 1.3 21.4 1.3 21.4 1.3
8 1979 24 1.4 12.1 1.1 10.8 1.0
9 1980 17.3 1.2 17.3 1.2 17.3 1.2
10 1981 11.8 1.1 11.8 1.1 11.8 1.1
11 1982 6 0.8 3.5 0.5 3.4 0.5
12 1983 55.5 1.7 55.5 1.7 55.5 1.7
13 1984 7.8 0.9 7.8 0.9 7.8 0.9
14 1986 4.1 0.6 4.1 0.6 4.1 0.6
15 1987 25.7 1.4 25.7 1.4 25.7 1.4
16 1988 8.7 0.9 8.7 0.9 6.3 0.8
17 1989 24 1.4 24 1.4 24.0 1.4
18 1991 9 1.0 9 1.0 6.3 0.8
19 1992 60 1.8 60 1.8 50.0 1.7
20 1993 20.4 1.3 20.4 1.3 15.9 1.2
21 1994 27.6 1.4 27.6 1.4 19.2 1.3
22 1995 15 1.2 15 1.2 5.6 0.7
24 1997 13.2 1.1 13.2 1.1 13.2 1.1
25 1998 69.8 1.8 69.8 1.8 69.8 1.8
26 1999 19 1.3 19 1.3 19.0 1.3
27 2000 6.37 0.8 6.37 0.8 3.6 0.6
28 2001 33.2 1.5 33.2 1.5 33.2 1.5
29 2002 38.7 1.6 38.7 1.6 38.1 1.6
30 2003 33.6 1.5 26.8 1.4 24.5 1.4
media 22.39 1.23 21.66 1.21 20.12 1.2
desv.stand 16.88 0.34 16.95 0.35 16.64 0.38
coef.asimet. -0.19 -0.20 -0.11
k
Pexc. Tr K I 5min K I 10min K I 15min

0.500 2 0.028 17.3 0.033 16.6 0.020 14.7
0.200 5 0.849 33.1 0.850 32.2 0.847 30.0
0.100 10 1.262 45.9 1.258 44.9 1.268 43.2
0.050 20 1.538 57.0 1.586 58.6 1.547 55.0
0.040 25 1.691 64.4 1.680 63.2 1.708 63.2
0.020 50 1.961 79.7 1.945 78.4 1.989 80.5
0.010 100 2.200 96.2 2.178 94.8 2.237 99.9
LOG PEARSON III
log I=mlog I + K * slogI

log I=1.2 + 0.37 *K
I 30 min y=logx I 60 min y=logx I 120 min y=logx I 180 min y=logx
24.3 1.4 24.3 1.4 19.2 1.3 14.4 1.2
23.6 1.4 12.7 1.1 10.1 1.0 7.1 0.8
3.6 0.6 2.3 0.4 1.3 0.1 0.9 0.0
4.2 0.6 3.6 0.6 2.7 0.4 1.9 0.3
18.1 1.3 13.8 1.1 7.3 0.9 5.2 0.7
10.2 1.0 8.6 0.9 4.8 0.7 3.4 0.5
21.4 1.3 14.6 1.2 9.4 1.0 7.9 0.9
6.5 0.8 4.0 0.6 2.1 0.3 1.4 0.1
15.7 1.2 13.3 1.1 7.5 0.9 6.4 0.8
11.8 1.1 8.0 0.9 6.4 0.8 5.4 0.7
3.4 0.5 2.6 0.4 1.8 0.3 1.3 0.1
44.6 1.6 34.2 1.5 32.8 1.5 29.5 1.5
7.8 0.9 5.8 0.8 5.0 0.7 4.1 0.6
4.1 0.6 3.4 0.5 2.6 0.4 1.9 0.3
23.0 1.4 17.3 1.2 9.6 1.0 7.7 0.9
4.6 0.7 3.8 0.6 2.6 0.4 1.8 0.3
14.4 1.2 8.1 0.9 4.4 0.6 2.9 0.5
3.7 0.6 2.1 0.3 1.1 0.0 0.7 -0.2
40.0 1.6 35.0 1.5 29.5 1.5 24.6 1.4
11.4 1.1 8.6 0.9 6.1 0.8 5.0 0.7
13.7 1.1 12.4 1.1 7.4 0.9 5.0 0.7
5.6 0.7 3.5 0.5 1.9 0.3 1.3 0.1
11.2 1.0 8.6 0.9 6.1 0.8 5.2 0.7
69.8 1.8 60.1 1.8 36.4 1.6 33.4 1.5
19.0 1.3 12.0 1.1 7.2 0.9 5.2 0.7
3.6 0.6 3.0 0.5 2.4 0.4 1.8 0.3
33.2 1.5 33.2 1.5 28.5 1.5 20.4 1.3
38.1 1.6 38.1 1.6 25.2 1.4 19.9 1.3
22.2 1.3 12.8 1.1 7.1 0.9 5.3 0.7
17.68 1.1 14.13 1.0 9.95 0.8 7.96 0.7
15.40 0.38 13.81 0.41 10.33 0.43 8.92 0.46
0.00 0.15 0.20 0.19
K I 30min K I 60 min K I 120 min K I 180 min

-0.003 12.4 -0.033 9.1 -0.045 5.9 -0.041 4.5
0.841 26.0 0.830 20.3 0.825 14.1 0.827 11.2
1.268 37.8 1.301 31.5 1.307 22.7 1.305 18.6
1.575 49.4 1.611 42.1 1.624 31.1 1.620 25.9
1.758 58.0 1.818 51.1 1.840 38.5 1.834 32.5
2.065 75.8 2.159 70.3 2.195 54.8 2.185 47.1
2.341 96.5 2.472 94.1 2.522 75.8 2.508 66.2
I 360 min y=logx I 720 min y=logx I 1440 min y=logx
9.7 1.0 5.4 0.7 2.7 0.4
4.0 0.6 2.3 0.4 1.5 0.2
0.4 -0.4 0.2 -0.7 0.1 -1.0
1.0 0.0 0.5 -0.3 0.3 -0.5
3.0 0.5 1.5 0.2 0.8 -0.1
2.3 0.4 1.2 0.1 0.6 -0.2
4.6 0.7 2.6 0.4 1.3 0.1
0.7 -0.2 0.4 -0.4 0.2 -0.7
4.8 0.7 2.4 0.4 1.2 0.1
2.8 0.4 1.4 0.1 0.7 -0.2
0.6 -0.2 0.5 -0.3 0.3 -0.5
16.5 1.2 9.3 1.0 4.6 0.7
2.4 0.4 1.2 0.1 0.6 -0.2
1.2 0.1 0.6 -0.2 0.3 -0.5
5.6 0.7 2.9 0.5 1.5 0.2
0.9 0.0 0.5 -0.3 0.2 -0.7
1.7 0.2 0.9 0.0 0.5 -0.3
0.4 -0.4 0.3 -0.5 0.2 -0.7
14.6 1.2 8.7 0.9 4.5 0.7
2.6 0.4 1.3 0.1 0.8 -0.1
2.8 0.4 1.7 0.2 1.4 0.1
0.7 -0.2 0.3 -0.5 0.2 -0.7
3.0 0.5 1.5 0.2 0.8 -0.1
22.8 1.4 12.4 1.1 6.2 0.8
3.0 0.5 1.7 0.2 1.0 0.0
1.0 0.0 0.5 -0.3 0.3 -0.5
11.4 1.1 6.6 0.8 3.3 0.5
13.4 1.1 7.4 0.9 3.7 0.6
2.6 0.4 1.3 0.1 0.7 -0.2
4.84 0.4 2.7 0.2 1.4 -0.1
5.66 0.49 3.18 0.49 1.58 0.48
0.13 0.24 0.16
K I 360 min K I 720 min K I 1440 min

-0.033 2.6 -0.050 1.4 -0.036 0.8
0.830 6.8 0.823 3.7 0.829 2.0
1.301 11.6 1.309 6.4 1.303 3.3
1.611 16.5 1.630 9.1 1.615 4.7
1.818 20.8 1.849 11.7 1.824 5.9
2.159 30.6 2.210 17.6 2.169 8.6
2.472 43.5 2.544 25.6 2.486 12.2
Valores de "K", para la distribución Log Pearson tipo III
Periodo de retorno en años

Coeficiente 1.0101 1.25 2 5 10 20 25
de asimetría Nivel de probabilidad, porcentaje
g 99 80 50 20 10 5 4
3 -0.667 -0.636 -0.396 0.42 1.18 2.095 2.278
2.8 -0.714 -0.666 -0.384 0.46 1.21 2.068 2.275
2.6 -0.769 -0.696 -0.368 0.499 1.238 2.038 2.267
2.4 -0.832 -0.725 -0.351 0.537 1.262 2.008 2.256
2.2 -0.905 -0.752 -0.33 0.574 1.284 1.977 2.24
2 -0.99 -0.777 -0.307 0.609 1.302 1.944 2.219
1.8 -1.087 -0.7999 -0.282 0.643 1.318 1.909 2.193
1.6 -1.197 -0.8177 -0.254 0.675 1.329 1.875 2.163
1.4 -1.318 -0.8332 -0.225 0.705 1.337 1.839 2.128
1.2 -1.449 -0.844 -0.195 0.732 1.34 1.803 2.087
1 -1.558 -0.852 -0.164 0.758 1.34 1.766 2.043
0.8 -1.733 -0.856 -0.132 0.78 1.336 1.728 1.993
0.6 -1.88 -0.857 -0.099 0.8 1.328 1.689 1.939
0.4 -2.029 -0.855 -0.066 0.816 1.317 1.649 1.88
0.3 -2.104 -0.853 -0.050 0.823 1.309 1.630 1.849
0.27 -2.126 -0.852 -0.045 0.825 1.307 1.624 1.840
0.25 -2.141 -0.851 -0.041 0.827 1.305 1.620 1.834
0.22 -2.163 -0.851 -0.036 0.829 1.303 1.615 1.824
0.2 -2.178 -0.85 -0.033 0.83 1.301 1.611 1.818
0.02 -2.311 -0.843 -0.003 0.841 1.284 1.575 1.758
0 -2.326 -0.842 0 0.842 1.282 1.571 1.751
-0.12 -2.414 -0.835 0.020 0.847 1.268 1.547 1.708
-0.17 -2.450 -0.832 0.028 0.849 1.262 1.538 1.691
-0.2 -2.472 -0.83 0.033 0.85 1.258 1.532 1.68
-0.4 -2.615 -0.816 0.066 0.855 1.232 1.492 1.606
-0.6 -2.755 -0.8 0.099 0.857 1.2 1.453 1.528
-0.8 -2.891 -0.78 0.132 0.856 1.166 1.415 1.448
-1 -3.022 -0.758 0.164 0.852 1.128 1.378 1.366
-1.2 -3.149 -0.732 0.195 0.844 1.086 1.343 1.282
-1.4 -3.271 -0.705 0.225 0.832 1.041 1.311 1.198
-1.6 -3.388 -0.675 0.254 0.817 0.994 1.282 1.116
-1.8 -3.499 -0.643 0.282 0.799 0.945 1.255 1.035
-2 -3.605 -0.609 0.307 0.777 0.895 1.233 0.958
-2.2 -3.705 -0.574 0.33 0.752 0.844 1.217 0.888
-2.4 -3.8 -0.537 0.351 0.725 0.795 1.203 0.823
-2.6 -3.889 -0.499 0.368 0.696 0.747 1.194 0.764
-2.8 -3.973 -0.46 0.384 0.666 0.702 1.188 0.712
-3 -4.051 -0.42 0.396 0.636 0.66 1.185 0.666
50 100 200
2 1 0.5 Determinación de K distr. LogPearson tipo III

3.152 4.051
4
3.114 3.973
3.071 3.889
3.023 3.8
2.97 3.705 3
- 0.0187987687x^6
f(x) = 0.0158519005x^6 + 0.3107417715x^5
+ 0.2675157613x^5 - 2.0645699069x^4+ +6.4015925611x^3
+ 1.8137691313x^4 7.1290061024x^3+ -12.435350337x
13.528366084
2.912 3.605 0.9999875417
R² = 0.9999728108
2.848 3.499
2.78 3.388 2
2.706 3.271
2.626 3.149
2.542 3.022 Tr=1.0
1 Polyno
Coeficiente de asimetrìa
2.453 2.891
Tr=1.2
2.359 2.755
Tr=2
2.261 2.615
Tr=5
2.210 2.544 0 Tr=10
2.195 2.522 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 Tr=25
2.185 2.508 Tr=50
2.169 2.486 Tr=100
-1
2.159 2.472 Polyno
2.065 2.341
2.054 2.326
1.989 2.237 -2
1.961 2.200
1.945 2.178
1.834 2.029 -3
1.72 1.88
1.606 1.733
1.492 1.588
-4
1.379 1.449
1.27 1.318
1.166 1.197
Periodo de retorno
1.069 1.087
0.98 0.99
0.9 0.905
0.83 0.832
0.768 0.769
0.714 0.714
0.666 0.667
tr. LogPearson tipo III
9x^4
^4 + +6.4015925611x^3
7.1290061024x^3+ -12.435350337x^2
13.5283660849x^2 + 14.7336085234x
+ 13.9437564307x - 8.5391535547
+ 8.3253588005
Tr=1.0101
Polynomial (Tr=1.0101)
Tr=1.25
Tr=2
Tr=5
Tr=10
2 3 4 5 Tr=25
Tr=50
Tr=100
Polynomial (Tr=100)
o
LOG NORMAL 3
I 5 min I 10 min I 15 min I 30 min I 60 min I 120 min I 180 min I 360 min
1 4.1 3.5 3.4 3.4 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.4
2 4.2 4.1 4.1 3.6 2.3 1.3 0.9 0.4
3 4.8 4.2 4.2 3.6 2.6 1.8 1.2 0.6
4 6.0 4.8 4.8 3.7 3.0 1.9 1.3 0.6
5 6.4 6.4 3.6 4.1 3.4 2.1 1.3 0.6
6 7.8 7.8 7.8 4.2 3.5 2.1 1.3 0.7
7 8.7 8.7 6.3 4.6 3.6 2.3 1.4 0.7
8 9.0 9.0 6.3 5.6 3.8 2.4 1.8 0.9
9 10.8 9.7 8.2 6.5 3.9 2.6 1.8 1.0
10 11.0 9.9 8.4 6.8 4.0 2.6 1.9 1.0
11 11.2 11.2 11.2 7.0 4.1 2.7 1.9 1.2
12 11.8 11.8 11.8 7.8 5.8 4.4 2.9 1.7
13 13.2 12.1 10.8 10.2 8.0 4.8 3.4 2.3
14 15.0 13.2 13.2 10.7 8.1 5.0 3.9 2.3
15 15.5 14.6 13.0 11.2 8.1 5.3 4.1 2.4
16 17.3 15.0 5.6 11.4 8.6 6.1 5.0 2.6
17 18.1 17.3 17.3 11.8 8.6 6.1 5.0 2.6
18 19.0 18.1 18.1 13.7 8.6 6.4 5.2 2.8
19 20.4 19.0 19.0 14.4 12.0 7.1 5.2 2.8
20 21.4 20.4 15.9 15.7 12.4 7.2 5.2 3.0
21 24.0 21.4 21.4 18.1 12.7 7.3 5.3 3.0
22 24.0 24.0 24.0 19.0 12.8 7.4 5.4 3.0
23 24.3 24.3 24.3 21.4 13.3 7.5 6.4 4.0
24 25.7 25.7 25.7 22.2 13.8 9.4 7.1 4.6
25 27.6 26.8 24.5 23.0 14.6 9.6 7.7 4.8
26 33.2 27.6 19.2 23.6 17.3 10.1 7.9 5.6
27 33.6 33.2 33.2 24.3 24.3 19.2 14.4 9.7
28 34.5 34.5 34.5 33.2 33.2 25.2 19.9 11.4
29 38.7 38.7 38.1 38.1 34.2 28.5 20.4 13.4
30 55.5 55.5 55.5 40.0 35.0 29.5 24.6 14.6
31 60.0 60.0 50.0 44.6 38.1 32.8 29.5 16.5
32 69.8 69.8 69.8 69.8 60.1 36.4 33.4 22.8
media 2.86 2.73 2.62 2.35 1.94 1.54 1.27 0.73
desv.st 0.72 0.78 0.84 0.95 1.11 1.16 1.23 1.29
coef.as 1.48 1.56 1.57 1.83 1.92 1.65 1.86 2.17
a -0.77 -0.08 0.10 1.04 1.20 0.68 0.42 0.19
GUMBEL
1 4.1 3.5 3.4 3.4 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.4
2 4.2 4.1 4.1 3.6 2.3 1.3 0.9 0.4
3 4.8 4.2 4.2 3.6 2.6 1.8 1.2 0.6
4 6.0 4.8 4.8 3.7 3.0 1.9 1.3 0.6
5 6.4 6.4 3.6 4.1 3.4 2.1 1.3 0.6
6 7.8 7.8 7.8 4.2 3.5 2.1 1.3 0.7
7 8.7 8.7 6.3 4.6 3.6 2.3 1.4 0.7
8 9.0 9.0 6.3 5.6 3.8 2.4 1.8 0.9
9 10.8 9.7 8.2 6.5 3.9 2.6 1.8 1.0
10 11.0 9.9 8.4 6.8 4.0 2.6 1.9 1.0
11 11.2 11.2 11.2 7.0 4.1 2.7 1.9 1.2
12 11.8 11.8 11.8 7.8 5.8 4.4 2.9 1.7
13 13.2 12.1 10.8 10.2 8.0 4.8 3.4 2.3
14 15.0 13.2 13.2 10.7 8.1 5.0 3.9 2.3
15 15.5 14.6 13.0 11.2 8.1 5.3 4.1 2.4
16 17.3 15.0 5.6 11.4 8.6 6.1 5.0 2.6
17 18.1 17.3 17.3 11.8 8.6 6.1 5.0 2.6
18 19.0 18.1 18.1 13.7 8.6 6.4 5.2 2.8
19 20.4 19.0 19.0 14.4 12.0 7.1 5.2 2.8
20 21.4 20.4 15.9 15.7 12.4 7.2 5.2 3.0
21 24.0 21.4 21.4 18.1 12.7 7.3 5.3 3.0
22 24.0 24.0 24.0 19.0 12.8 7.4 5.4 3.0
23 24.3 24.3 24.3 21.4 13.3 7.5 6.4 4.0
24 25.7 25.7 25.7 22.2 13.8 9.4 7.1 4.6
25 27.6 26.8 24.5 23.0 14.6 9.6 7.7 4.8
26 33.2 27.6 19.2 23.6 17.3 10.1 7.9 5.6
27 33.6 33.2 33.2 24.3 24.3 19.2 14.4 9.7
28 34.5 34.5 34.5 33.2 33.2 25.2 19.9 11.4
29 38.7 38.7 38.1 38.1 34.2 28.5 20.4 13.4
30 55.5 55.5 55.5 40.0 35.0 29.5 24.6 14.6
31 60.0 60.0 50.0 44.6 38.1 32.8 29.5 16.5
32 69.8 69.8 69.8 69.8 60.1 36.4 33.4 22.8
a 14.58 14.66 14.40 13.33 11.97 8.96 7.74 4.91
u 13.61 12.81 11.42 9.62 6.87 4.50 3.25 1.86
Gamma
1 4.1 3.5 3.4 3.4 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.4
2 4.2 4.1 4.1 3.6 2.3 1.3 0.9 0.4
3 4.8 4.2 4.2 3.6 2.6 1.8 1.2 0.6
4 6.0 4.8 4.8 3.7 3.0 1.9 1.3 0.6
5 6.4 6.4 3.6 4.1 3.4 2.1 1.3 0.6
6 7.8 7.8 7.8 4.2 3.5 2.1 1.3 0.7
7 8.7 8.7 6.3 4.6 3.6 2.3 1.4 0.7
8 9.0 9.0 6.3 5.6 3.8 2.4 1.8 0.9
9 10.8 9.7 8.2 6.5 3.9 2.6 1.8 1.0
10 11.0 9.9 8.4 6.8 4.0 2.6 1.9 1.0
11 11.2 11.2 11.2 7.0 4.1 2.7 1.9 1.2
12 11.8 11.8 11.8 7.8 5.8 4.4 2.9 1.7
13 13.2 12.1 10.8 10.2 8.0 4.8 3.4 2.3
14 15.0 13.2 13.2 10.7 8.1 5.0 3.9 2.3
15 15.5 14.6 13.0 11.2 8.1 5.3 4.1 2.4
16 17.3 15.0 5.6 11.4 8.6 6.1 5.0 2.6
17 18.1 17.3 17.3 11.8 8.6 6.1 5.0 2.6
18 19.0 18.1 18.1 13.7 8.6 6.4 5.2 2.8
19 20.4 19.0 19.0 14.4 12.0 7.1 5.2 2.8
20 21.4 20.4 15.9 15.7 12.4 7.2 5.2 3.0
21 24.0 21.4 21.4 18.1 12.7 7.3 5.3 3.0
22 24.0 24.0 24.0 19.0 12.8 7.4 5.4 3.0
23 24.3 24.3 24.3 21.4 13.3 7.5 6.4 4.0
24 25.7 25.7 25.7 22.2 13.8 9.4 7.1 4.6
25 27.6 26.8 24.5 23.0 14.6 9.6 7.7 4.8
26 33.2 27.6 19.2 23.6 17.3 10.1 7.9 5.6
27 33.6 33.2 33.2 24.3 24.3 19.2 14.4 9.7
28 34.5 34.5 34.5 33.2 33.2 25.2 19.9 11.4
29 38.7 38.7 38.1 38.1 34.2 28.5 20.4 13.4
30 55.5 55.5 55.5 40.0 35.0 29.5 24.6 14.6
31 60.0 60.0 50.0 44.6 38.1 32.8 29.5 16.5
32 69.8 69.8 69.8 69.8 60.1 36.4 33.4 22.8
alfa 1.73 1.59 1.41 1.27 0.99 0.86 0.73 0.67
beta 12.42 13.01 13.56 13.26 13.48 10.80 10.12 6.70
gamma 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.9
WEIBULL
1 4.1 3.5 3.4 3.4 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.4
2 4.2 4.1 4.1 3.6 2.3 1.3 0.9 0.4
3 4.8 4.2 4.2 3.6 2.6 1.8 1.2 0.6
4 6.0 4.8 4.8 3.7 3.0 1.9 1.3 0.6
5 6.4 6.4 3.6 4.1 3.4 2.1 1.3 0.6
6 7.8 7.8 7.8 4.2 3.5 2.1 1.3 0.7
7 8.7 8.7 6.3 4.6 3.6 2.3 1.4 0.7
8 9.0 9.0 6.3 5.6 3.8 2.4 1.8 0.9
9 10.8 9.7 8.2 6.5 3.9 2.6 1.8 1.0
10 11.0 9.9 8.4 6.8 4.0 2.6 1.9 1.0
11 11.2 11.2 11.2 7.0 4.1 2.7 1.9 1.2
12 11.8 11.8 11.8 7.8 5.8 4.4 2.9 1.7
13 13.2 12.1 10.8 10.2 8.0 4.8 3.4 2.3
14 15.0 13.2 13.2 10.7 8.1 5.0 3.9 2.3
15 15.5 14.6 13.0 11.2 8.1 5.3 4.1 2.4
16 17.3 15.0 5.6 11.4 8.6 6.1 5.0 2.6
17 18.1 17.3 17.3 11.8 8.6 6.1 5.0 2.6
18 19.0 18.1 18.1 13.7 8.6 6.4 5.2 2.8
19 20.4 19.0 19.0 14.4 12.0 7.1 5.2 2.8
20 21.4 20.4 15.9 15.7 12.4 7.2 5.2 3.0
21 24.0 21.4 21.4 18.1 12.7 7.3 5.3 3.0
22 24.0 24.0 24.0 19.0 12.8 7.4 5.4 3.0
23 24.3 24.3 24.3 21.4 13.3 7.5 6.4 4.0
24 25.7 25.7 25.7 22.2 13.8 9.4 7.1 4.6
25 27.6 26.8 24.5 23.0 14.6 9.6 7.7 4.8
26 33.2 27.6 19.2 23.6 17.3 10.1 7.9 5.6
27 33.6 33.2 33.2 24.3 24.3 19.2 14.4 9.7
28 34.5 34.5 34.5 33.2 33.2 25.2 19.9 11.4
29 38.7 38.7 38.1 38.1 34.2 28.5 20.4 13.4
30 55.5 55.5 55.5 40.0 35.0 29.5 24.6 14.6
31 60.0 60.0 50.0 44.6 38.1 32.8 29.5 16.5
32 69.8 69.8 69.8 69.8 60.1 36.4 33.4 22.8
media 1.23 1.21 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.4
desv.st 0.34 0.35 0.38 0.38 0.41 0.43 0.46 0.49
coef.asi -0.19 -0.20 -0.11 0.00 0.15 0.20 0.19 0.13
g.d.l=k-1-s (6-1-3)
I 720 min I 1440 min x= 5 Frec.obs. y P no exc p
0.2 0.1 7 5 2.05 0.13 0.13
0.3 0.2 11.5 5 2.51 0.31 0.18
0.3 0.2 18 6 2.93 0.54 0.23
0.3 0.2 24 5 3.21 0.69 0.15
0.3 0.2 34 5 3.55 0.83 0.14
0.4 0.2 70 6 4.26 0.97 0.14
0.5 0.2 y mayor... 0
0.5 0.3 2
0.5 0.3 x = 10 Frec.obs. y P no exc p
0.5 0.3 7 5 1.96 0.16 0.16
0.6 0.3 10 5 2.31 0.30 0.13
0.9 0.5 15 6 2.71 0.49 0.20
1.2 0.6 23 5 3.14 0.70 0.21
1.2 0.6 30 5 3.40 0.81 0.11
1.2 0.7 70 6 4.25 0.98 0.17
1.3 0.7 y mayor... 0
1.3 0.7 2
1.5 0.8 5 5 1.59 0.11 0.11
1.5 0.8 10 6 2.29 0.35 0.24
1.7 1.0 15 5 2.70 0.54 0.19
1.7 1.2 20 5 2.99 0.67 0.13
2.3 1.3 30 5 3.40 0.82 0.15
2.4 1.4 70 6 4.25 0.97 0.15
2.6 1.5 y mayor... 0
2.9 1.5 2
6.6 3.3 5 7 1.38 0.15 0.15
7.4 3.7 8 5 1.94 0.33 0.18
8.7 4.5 12 5 2.39 0.52 0.19
9.3 4.6 20 5 2.94 0.73 0.22
12.4 6.2 30 5 3.37 0.86 0.12
0.10 -0.54 70 5 4.23 0.98 0.12
1.32 1.31 y mayor...
1.90 1.85 2
3.5 6 0.83 0.16 0.16
5.8 6 1.53 0.35 0.20
8.6 6 2.00 0.52 0.17
14.6 7 2.60 0.72 0.20
61 7 4.09 0.97 0.25
y mayor... 0
1
x = 120 Frec.obs. y P no exc p
2.5 8 0.60 0.21 0.21
4.8 5 1.42 0.46 0.25
7 5 1.84 0.60 0.15
9.4 6 2.17 0.70 0.10
37 8 3.59 0.96 0.26
1
1.3 6 (0.12) 0.13 0.13
2.9 6 0.91 0.39 0.26
5.2 8 1.56 0.60 0.21
7.9 6 2.01 0.73 0.13
33.4 6 3.50 0.96 0.24
y mayor... 0
1
0.65 5 (0.78) 0.12 0.12
1 5 (0.21) 0.23 0.11
2.4 5 0.79 0.52 0.29
3.9 7 1.31 0.67 0.15
9.7 5 2.25 0.88 0.21
23 5 3.13 0.97 0.09
y mayor... 0
2
0.4 6 (1.40) 0.13 0.13
0.8 5 (0.44) 0.34 0.21
1.3 6 0.14 0.51 0.17
2.2 5 0.72 0.68 0.17
5.4 5 1.66 0.88 0.20
13 5 2.55 0.97 0.09
y mayor... 0
2
0.25 7 (2.02) 0.13 0.13
0.5 5 (0.96) 0.37 0.24
0.7 5 (0.54) 0.50 0.13
1.2 5 0.08 0.68 0.18
2.7 5 0.95 0.87 0.19
7 5 1.93 0.97 0.10
y mayor... 0
2
g.d.l=k-1-s (6-1-2)
I 720 min I 1440 min x= 5 Frec.obs. y P no exc p
0.2 0.1 7 5 (0.45) 0.2074 0.21
0.3 0.2 11.5 5 (0.14) 0.3149 0.11
0.3 0.2 18 6 0.30 0.4771 0.16
0.3 0.2 24 5 0.71 0.6124 0.14
0.3 0.2 34 5 1.40 0.7811 0.17
0.4 0.2 70 6 3.87 0.9793 0.20
0.5 0.2 y mayor... 0
0.5 0.3 3
0.5 0.3 7 5 (0.40) 0.2262 0.23
0.6 0.3 10 5 (0.19) 0.2978 0.07
0.9 0.5 15 6 0.15 0.4227 0.12
1.2 0.6 23 5 0.70 0.6071 0.18
1.2 0.6 30 5 1.17 0.7338 0.13
1.2 0.7 70 6 3.90 0.9800 0.25
1.3 0.7 y mayor... 0
1.3 0.7 3
1.5 0.8 5 5 (0.45) 0.2099 0.21
1.5 0.8 10 6 (0.10) 0.3318 0.12
1.7 1.0 15 5 0.25 0.4585 0.13
1.7 1.2 20 5 0.60 0.5764 0.12
2.3 1.3 30 5 1.29 0.7594 0.18
2.4 1.4 70 6 4.07 0.9830 0.22
2.6 1.5 y mayor... 0
2.9 1.5 3
6.6 3.3 5 7 (0.35) 0.2432 0.24
7.4 3.7 8 5 (0.12) 0.3233 0.08
8.7 4.5 12 5 0.18 0.4333 0.11
9.3 4.6 20 5 0.78 0.6319 0.20
12.4 6.2 30 5 1.53 0.8051 0.17
2.76 1.37 70 5 4.53 0.9893 0.18
0.99 0.56 y mayor... 0
3
3.45 5 (0.29) 0.2642 0.26
8 8 0.09 0.4025 0.14
12.3 6 0.45 0.5298 0.13
21 7 1.18 0.7356 0.21
62 6 4.61 0.9901 0.25
y mayor... 0
2
2.1 5 (0.27) 0.2708 0.27
5 9 0.06 0.3886 0.12
6.4 4 0.21 0.4455 0.06
9.3 5 0.54 0.5571 0.11
38 9 3.74 0.9765 0.42
0
y mayor... 32
2
1.3 6 (0.25) 0.2762 0.28
4.9 9 0.21 0.4457 0.17
6.3 7 0.39 0.5095 0.06
19.8 5 2.14 0.8888 0.38
34 5 3.97 0.9813 0.09
32
y mayor... 0
2
0.6 5 (0.26) 0.2746 0.27
1.7 7 (0.03) 0.3560 0.08
2.9 7 0.21 0.4454 0.09
5.5 6 0.74 0.6212 0.18
25 7 4.72 0.9911 0.37
y mayor... 32
2
0.3 5 (0.25) 0.2766 0.28
1.1 7 0.04 0.3822 0.11
1.4 6 0.15 0.4220 0.04
2.6 7 0.58 0.5720 0.15
15 7 5.07 0.9938 0.42
y mayor... 32
2
0.2 6 (0.26) 0.2724 0.27
0.3 5 (0.19) 0.2984 0.03
0.7 6 0.10 0.4051 0.11
1.2 5 0.47 0.5338 0.13
2.7 5 1.56 0.8101 0.28
6.5 5 4.33 0.9869 0.18
y mayor... 0
3
g.d.l=k-1-s (6-1-2)
I 720 min I 1440 min x= 5 Frec.obs. P no exc p Frec teor
0.2 0.1 7.7 5 19.0% 0.190 6.1
0.3 0.2 11.7 5 32.4% 0.134 4.3
0.3 0.2 18 6 51.4% 0.190 6.1
0.3 0.2 24 5 65.7% 0.143 4.6
0.3 0.2 34 5 81.6% 0.159 5.1
0.4 0.2 70 6 98.5% 0.168 5.4
0.5 0.2 y mayor... 0
0.5 0.3 3
0.5 0.3 x = 10 Frec.obs. P no exc p Frec teor
0.5 0.3 7 5 19.1% 0.19 6.1
0.6 0.3 10 5 29.5% 0.10 3.3
0.9 0.5 15 6 45.5% 0.16 5.1
1.2 0.6 23 5 65.6% 0.20 6.4
1.2 0.6 30 5 77.6% 0.12 3.8
1.2 0.7 70 6 98.5% 0.21 6.7
1.3 0.7 y mayor... 0
1.3 0.7 3
1.5 0.8 5 5 12.2% 0.12 3.9
1.5 0.8 10 6 29.5% 0.17 5.5
1.7 1.0 15 5 45.5% 0.16 5.1
1.7 1.2 20 5 58.9% 0.13 4.3
2.3 1.3 30 5 77.6% 0.19 6.0
2.4 1.4 70 6 98.5% 0.21 6.7
2.6 1.5 y mayor... 0
2.9 1.5 3
6.6 3.3 5 7 12.2% 0.12 3.9
7.4 3.7 8 5 22.6% 0.10 3.3
8.7 4.5 12 5 36.2% 0.14 4.4
9.3 4.6 20 5 58.9% 0.23 7.3
12.4 6.2 30 5 77.6% 0.19 6.0
0.64 0.72 70 5 98.5% 0.21 6.7
3.85 1.82 y mayor... 0
0.9 1.0 3
x = 60 Frec.obs. P no exc p Frec teor
3.8 8 8.3% 0.08 2.7
8 5 22.6% 0.14 4.6
12.7 8 38.4% 0.16 5.1
24.3 6 68.1% 0.30 9.5
60.2 5 97.0% 0.29 9.2
32
y mayor... 0
2
2.1 5 3.5% 0.04 1.1
3 6 5.9% 0.02 0.8
6.1 6 15.9% 0.10 3.2
7.4 5 20.5% 0.05 1.4
25 5 69.5% 0.49 15.7
40 5 88.2% 0.19 6.0
y mayor... 0
3
1.3 6 1.7% 0.017 0.5
1.9 5 3.0% 0.013 0.4
5 6 12.2% 0.092 2.9
5.4 5 13.6% 0.013 0.4
15 5 45.5% 0.320 10.2
35 5 83.7% 0.381 12.2
y mayor... 0
3
1.1 5 1.3% 0.013 0.4
2.5 5 4.5% 0.032 1.0
2.8 5 5.4% 0.008 0.3
3 7 5.9% 0.006 0.2
10 5 29.5% 0.236 7.5
25 5 69.5% 0.400 12.8
y mayor... 0
3
0.3 5 0.2% 0.002 0.1
0.5 5 0.4% 0.002 0.1
1.25 5 1.6% 0.012 0.4
1.5 5 2.1% 0.005 0.2
3 6 5.9% 0.038 1.2
15 6 45.5% 0.396 12.7
y mayor... 0
3
0.2 6 0.1% 0.001 0.0
0.3 5 0.2% 0.001 0.0
0.7 6 0.7% 0.005 0.2
1.2 5 1.5% 0.008 0.3
2.7 5 5.1% 0.036 1.1
6.5 5 17.3% 0.122 3.9
y mayor... 0
3
g.d.l=k-1-s (6-1-2)
I 720 min I 1440 min x= 5 Frec.obs. P no exc p Frec teor
0.2 0.1 7 5 0.21 0.210 6.7
0.3 0.2 11.5 5 0.99 0.782 25.0
0.3 0.2 18 6 1.00 0.009 0.3
0.3 0.2 24 5 1.00 0.000 0.0
0.3 0.2 34 5 1.00 0.000 0.0
0.4 0.2 70 6 1.00 0.000 0.0
0.5 0.2 y mayor... 0
0.5 0.3 3
0.5 0.3 7 5 0.55 0.55 17.5
0.6 0.3 10 5 0.98 0.43 13.8
0.9 0.5 15 6 1.00 0.02 0.7
1.2 0.6 23 5 1.00 0.00 0.0
1.2 0.6 30 5 1.00 0.00 0.0
1.2 0.7 70 6 1.00 0.00 0.0
1.3 0.7 y mayor... 0
1.3 0.7 3
1.5 0.8 5 5 0.18 0.18 5.9
1.5 0.8 10 6 0.99 0.81 25.9
1.7 1.0 15 5 1.00 0.01 0.2
1.7 1.2 20 5 1.00 0.00 0.0
2.3 1.3 30 5 1.00 0.00 0.0
2.4 1.4 70 6 1.00 0.00 0.0
2.6 1.5 y mayor... 0
2.9 1.5 3
6.6 3.3 5 7 0.75 0.75 23.9
7.4 3.7 8 5 0.99 0.24 7.7
8.7 4.5 12 5 1.00 0.01 0.4
9.3 4.6 20 5 1.00 0.00 0.0
12.4 6.2 30 5 1.00 0.00 0.0
0.2 -0.1 70 5 1.00 0.00 0.0
0.49 0.48 y mayor... 0
0.24 0.16 3
3.4 5 0.81 0.81 25.8
4 5 0.89 0.09 2.8
8.2 5 1.00 0.10 3.4
12.5 5 1.00 0.00 0.1
24.5 7 1.00 0.00 0.0
65 5 1.00 0.00 0.0
y mayor... 0
3
2.1 5 0.59 0.59 18.8
3 6 0.83 0.24 7.8
6.1 6 0.99 0.16 5.1
7.4 5 1.00 0.01 0.2
25 5 1.00 0.00 0.1
40 5 1.00 0.00 0.0
y mayor... 0
3
1.3 6 0.51 0.51 16.4
1.9 5 0.73 0.22 7.0
5 6 0.99 0.26 8.2
5.4 5 0.99 0.00 0.1
15 5 1.00 0.01 0.3
35 5 1.00 0.00 0.0
y mayor... 0
3
0.65 5 0.08 0.08 2.7
1 5 0.36 0.27 8.6
2.5 5 0.86 0.50 16.0
3 7 0.91 0.06 1.8
10 5 1.00 0.09 2.8
25 5 1.00 0.00 0.0
y mayor... 0
3
0.55 10 0.05 0.05 1.5
1.3 7 0.55 0.50 16.1
1.7 5 0.70 0.15 4.7
5.4 5 0.99 0.29 9.4
12.4 5 1.00 0.01 0.2
y mayor...
2
0.3 11 0.05 0.05 1.7
0.7 6 0.36 0.31 10.0
1.2 5 0.61 0.25 8.0
2.7 5 0.91 0.30 9.6
6.2 5 1.00 0.08 2.7
y mayor... 0
2
Frec teor (obs-teo)^2/teor
4.1 0.2
5.8 0.1
7.3 0.2
4.7 0.0
4.6 0.0
4.6 0.5
1.0 59.46% > 5 % OK

5.1 0.0
4.3 0.1
6.3 0.0
6.7 0.4
3.4 0.7
5.3 0.1
1.4 49.97% > 5 % OK

3.5 0.6
7.6 0.3
6.1 0.2
4.2 0.1
4.9 0.0
4.8 0.3
1.6 45.30% > 5 % OK

4.9 0.9
5.8 0.1
6.0 0.2
6.9 0.5
4.0 0.3
3.8 0.4
2.4 30.55% > 5 % OK

5.1 0.17
6.2 0.01
5.4 0.07
6.4 0.05
8.1 0.14
0.4 50.38% > 5 % OK

6.7 0.26
7.9 1.08
4.7 0.03
3.3 2.32
8.2 0.01
3.7 5.46% > 5 % OK

4.1 0.83
8.2 0.59
6.7 0.25
4.2 0.75
7.6 0.33
2.8 9.66256% > 5 % OK

3.8 0.34
3.6 0.57
9.2 1.92
4.9 0.85
6.6 0.40
2.8 1.75
5.8 5.41393% > 5 % OK

4.0 0.96
6.9 0.50
5.4 0.06
5.4 0.03
6.5 0.33
2.8 1.72
3.6 16.38054% > 5 % OK

4.1 2.02
7.8 1.03
4.0 0.23
5.8 0.12
6.1 0.20
3.1 1.11
4.7 9.49266% < 5 % RECHAZADA

6.6 0.4
3.4 0.7
5.2 0.1
4.3 0.1
5.4 0.0
6.3 0.0
1.4 70.82% > 5 % OK

7.2 0.7
2.3 3.2
4.0 1.0
5.9 0.1
4.1 0.2
7.9 0.4
5.7 12.67% > 5 % OK

6.7 0.4
3.9 1.1
4.1 0.2
3.8 0.4
5.9 0.1
7.2 0.2
2.5 47.53% > 5 % OK

7.8 0.1
2.6 2.3
3.5 0.6
6.4 0.3
5.5 0.1
5.9 0.1
3.5 32.20% > 5 % OK

8.5 1.41
4.4 2.89
4.1 0.91
6.6 0.03
8.1 0.56
5.8 5.50654026% > 5 % OK

8.7 1.55
3.8 7.26
1.8 2.60
3.6 0.57
13.4 1.46
13.4 ### < 5 % RECHAZADA

8.8 0.91
5.4 2.36
2.0 12.06
12.1 4.20
3.0 1.40
20.9 0.00286% < 5 % RECHAZADA

8.8 1.63
2.6 7.42
2.9 5.98
5.6 0.02
11.8 1.98
17.0 0.02003% < 5 % RECHAZADA

8.9 1.68
3.4 3.88
1.3 17.54
4.8 1.01
13.5 3.13
27.2 0.00012% < 5 % RECHAZADA

8.7 0.85
0.8 20.82
3.4 1.96
4.1 0.19
8.8 1.67
5.7 0.08
25.6 0.00118% < 5 % RECHAZADA
(obs-teo)^2/teor
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.4 93.64% > 5 % OK

(obs-teo)^2/teor
0.2
0.8
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.1
1.9 59.31% > 5 % OK

(obs-teo)^2/teor
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.7 87.29% > 5 % OK

(obs-teo)^2/teor
2.4
0.9
0.1
0.7
0.2
0.4
4.7 19.57% > 5 % OK

(obs-teo)^2/teor
10.66
0.04
1.67
1.29
1.93
15.6 0.04% < 5 % RECHAZADA

(obs-teo)^2/teor
13.39
35.12
2.44
8.74
7.27
0.17
67.1 0.000% < 5 % RECHAZADA

(obs-teo)^2/teor
54.79
49.52
3.18
48.58
2.68
4.26
163.0 0.00000% < 5 % RECHAZADA

(obs-teo)^2/teor
49.87
15.21
85.19
255.88
0.85
4.75
411.7 0.00000% < 5 % RECHAZADA

(obs-teo)^2/teor
442.39
357.03
54.76
142.37
18.65
3.51
1,018.7 0.00000% < 5 % RECHAZADA

(obs-teo)^2/teor
1,223.67
946.63
222.68
82.21
12.92
0.30
2,488.41 0.00000% < 5 % RECHAZADA
(obs-teo)^2/teor
0.4
16.0
116.4
59,054.7
23,713,570.8
749,101,734,414.2
749,125,507,172.6 0.00%
(obs-teo)^2/teor
8.9
5.6
38.8
5,112.7
15,230,662.0
23,962,681,572.4
23,977,917,400.4 0.00%
(obs-teo)^2/teor
0.1
15.3
133.0
21,147.6
3,112,802.4
98,335,686,589.9
98,338,820,688.5 0.00%
(obs-teo)^2/teor
12.0
0.9
53.8
3,386.4
10,089,324.9
221,341,042,320.3
221,351,135,098.4 0.00%
(obs-teo)^2/teor
16.77
1.73
0.81
485.59
70,474.35
5,825,294,668.72
5,825,365,648.0 0.00%
(obs-teo)^2/teor
10.15
0.42
0.15
132.39
369.41
16,579,392,400.54
16,579,392,913.1 0.000%
(obs-teo)^2/teor
6.57
0.60
0.59
186.17
86.64
1,417,490.68
1,417,771.2 0.00000%
(obs-teo)^2/teor
1.92
1.54
7.59
14.85
1.74
9,770.05
9,797.7 0.00000%
(obs-teo)^2/teor
46.50
5.12
0.01
2.07
94.97
148.7 0.00000%
(obs-teo)^2/teor
52.73
1.60
1.13
2.19
2.03
59.7 0.00000%
INTENSIDAD 5 min
120.00
Tr P exc = 1/Tr Gumbel Log N 2 Log N 3 Gama Log P III Weibull

2 50.0% 18.95 16.45 16.68 17.49 17.34 100.00
#REF!
5 20.0% 35.48 31.13 31.11 32.67 33.13 #REF!
10 10.0% 46.43 43.44 42.92 43.21 45.88 #REF!
80.00
20 5.0% 56.93 57.20 55.91 53.34 57.04 #REF!
25 4.0% 60.26 61.97 60.38 56.55 64.36 #REF!
60.00
50 2.0% 70.52 77.96 75.20 66.37 79.68 #REF!
100 1.0% 80.70 95.85 91.58 76.03 96.20 #REF!
40.00
INTENSIDAD 10 min 20.00

0.00
2 50.0% 18.18 15.59 15.80 16.56 16.58 #REF!
0 10 20
5 20.0% 34.80 30.11 30.09 31.81 32.19 #REF!
10 10.0% 45.80 42.48 41.98 42.52 44.86 #REF!
20 5.0% 56.35 56.43 55.21 52.87 58.55 #REF!
25 4.0% 59.70 61.30 59.78 56.15 63.20 #REF!
50 2.0% 70.01 77.70 75.05 66.23 78.39 #REF!
100 1.0% 80.25 96.16 92.06 76.16 94.76 #REF!
INTENSIDAD 15 min

2 50.0% 16.69 13.88 13.84 14.88 14.66 #REF!
5 20.0% 33.02 27.99 27.99 29.84 29.99 #REF!
10 10.0% 43.83 40.39 40.48 40.52 43.16 #REF!
20 5.0% 54.19 54.68 54.90 50.93 54.98 #REF!
25 4.0% 57.48 59.72 60.00 54.24 63.20 #REF!
50 2.0% 67.61 76.89 77.39 64.44 80.55 #REF!
100 1.0% 77.67 96.50 97.30 74.53 99.88 #REF!
INTENSIDAD 30 min

2 50.0% 14.50 11.95 11.50 12.63 12.43 #REF!
5 20.0% 29.61 24.32 24.26 26.44 26.00 #REF!
10 10.0% 39.62 35.26 36.26 36.47 37.77 #REF!
20 5.0% 49.21 47.92 50.74 46.32 49.41 #REF!
25 4.0% 52.26 52.40 55.98 49.47 57.98 #REF!
50 2.0% 61.63 67.68 74.25 59.18 75.83 #REF!
100 1.0% 70.94 85.19 95.82 68.82 96.55 #REF!
INTENSIDAD 60 min
2 50.0% 11.26 8.83 8.18 9.18 9.07 #REF!
5 20.0% 24.82 19.03 18.93 21.44 20.31 #REF!
10 10.0% 33.80 28.41 30.06 30.74 31.53 #REF!
20 5.0% 42.41 39.57 44.35 40.05 42.11 #REF!
25 4.0% 45.14 43.58 49.72 43.05 51.10 #REF!
50 2.0% 53.56 57.45 69.07 52.36 70.26 #REF!
100 1.0% 61.91 73.65 92.99 61.68 94.12 #REF!
INTENSIDAD 120 min

2 50.0% 7.78 5.79 5.37 6.06 5.95 #REF!
5 20.0% 17.94 13.18 13.17 15.16 14.09 #REF!
10 10.0% 24.66 20.26 21.53 22.24 22.71 #REF!
20 5.0% 31.11 28.89 32.51 29.42 31.11 #REF!
25 4.0% 33.16 32.04 36.69 31.74 38.52 #REF!
50 2.0% 39.46 43.07 51.94 38.98 54.76 #REF!
100 1.0% 45.72 56.22 71.09 46.26 75.75 #REF!
INTENSIDAD 180 min

2 50.0% 6.09 4.28 3.97 4.43 4.48 #REF!
5 20.0% 14.86 10.42 10.43 12.17 11.21 #REF!
10 10.0% 20.67 16.60 17.63 18.41 18.59 #REF!
20 5.0% 26.24 24.38 27.35 24.83 25.94 #REF!
25 4.0% 28.01 27.27 31.10 26.92 32.49 #REF!
50 2.0% 33.45 37.57 45.00 33.47 47.08 #REF!
100 1.0% 38.86 50.13 62.80 40.09 66.25 #REF!
INTENSIDAD 360 min

2 50.0% 3.66 2.43 2.26 2.55 2.59 #REF!
5 20.0% 9.22 6.31 6.32 7.40 6.84 #REF!
10 10.0% 12.90 10.39 10.99 11.40 11.63 #REF!
20 5.0% 16.43 15.68 17.43 15.55 16.49 #REF!
25 4.0% 17.55 17.68 19.95 16.90 20.83 #REF!
50 2.0% 21.00 24.93 29.38 21.16 30.60 #REF!
100 1.0% 24.43 33.96 41.66 25.47 43.54 #REF!
INTENSIDAD 720 min

2 50.0% 2.00 1.31 1.26 1.37 1.38 #REF!
5 20.0% 5.13 3.43 3.51 4.08 3.69 #REF!
10 10.0% 7.20 5.68 6.15 6.34 6.38 #REF!
20 5.0% 9.19 8.62 9.82 8.70 9.15 #REF!
25 4.0% 9.82 9.73 11.27 9.47 11.71 #REF!
50 2.0% 11.76 13.77 16.71 11.89 17.58 #REF!
100 1.0% 13.69 18.82 23.86 14.35 25.58 #REF!
INTENSIDAD 1440 min

2 50.0% 1.06 0.73 0.70 0.77 0.76 #REF!
5 20.0% 2.62 1.83 1.87 2.13 1.97 #REF!
10 10.0% 3.65 2.96 3.23 3.25 3.33 #REF!
20 5.0% 4.64 4.41 5.11 4.39 4.69 #REF!
25 4.0% 4.95 4.96 5.85 4.76 5.91 #REF!
50 2.0% 5.92 6.92 8.64 5.93 8.63 #REF!
100 1.0% 6.88 9.33 12.28 7.11 12.24 #REF!
120.00
100.00
80.00 Gumbel
Log N 2
60.00 Log N 3
Gama
40.00 Log P III
Weibull
20.00
0.00
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Tr 5 10 15 30 60 120 180 360 720 1440
2 16.7 15.2 13.8 11.5 8.2 5.4 4.0 2.3 1.3 0.7
5 31.1 29.3 28.0 24.3 18.9 13.2 10.4 6.3 3.5 1.9
10 42.9 41.3 40.5 36.3 30.1 21.5 17.6 11.0 6.1 3.2
20 55.9 54.8 54.9 50.7 44.4 32.5 27.4 17.4 9.8 5.1
25 60.4 60.4 60.0 56.0 49.7 36.7 31.1 19.9 11.3 5.9
50 77.4 77.4 77.4 74.2 69.1 51.9 45.0 29.4 16.7 8.6
100 97.3 97.3 97.3 95.8 93.0 71.1 62.8 41.7 23.9 12.3
Curvas IDF
100.0
80.0
2
Intensidad (mm/h)
60.0
5
10
20
40.0 25
50
100
20.0
0.0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400
Tiempo (min)
I10 Gunbel LN3
datos P emp exed y P exed DIF Y P exed
1 69.80 0.0303 3.89 0.0203 0.0100 4.255 0.0252
2 60.00 0.0606 3.22 0.0392 0.0214 4.105 0.0396
3 55.50 0.0909 2.91 0.0529 0.0380 4.028 0.0493
4 38.70 0.1212 1.77 0.1572 0.0360 3.672 0.1203
5 34.50 0.1515 1.48 0.2037 0.0522 3.559 0.1534
6 33.20 0.1818 1.39 0.2203 0.0385 3.522 0.1657
7 27.60 0.2121 1.01 0.3055 0.0934 3.341 0.2333
8 26.80 0.2424 0.95 0.3196 0.0772 3.312 0.2453
9 25.70 0.2727 0.88 0.3397 0.0670 3.271 0.2630
10 24.30 0.3030 0.78 0.3666 0.0636 3.217 0.2875
11 24.00 0.3333 0.76 0.3726 0.0392 3.204 0.2930
12 21.40 0.3636 0.59 0.4268 0.0632 3.093 0.3466
13 20.40 0.3939 0.52 0.4489 0.0550 3.047 0.3699
14 19.00 0.4242 0.42 0.4808 0.0566 2.978 0.4054
15 18.10 0.4545 0.36 0.5020 0.0474 2.931 0.4300
16 17.30 0.4848 0.31 0.5210 0.0362 2.887 0.4531
17 15.00 0.5152 0.15 0.5773 0.0622 2.750 0.5266
18 14.55 0.5455 0.12 0.5885 0.0430 2.721 0.5421
19 13.20 0.5758 0.03 0.6223 0.0466 2.628 0.5914
20 12.10 0.6061 -0.05 0.6499 0.0438 2.545 0.6340
21 11.80 0.6364 -0.07 0.6574 0.0211 2.521 0.6460
22 11.20 0.6667 -0.11 0.6724 0.0058 2.472 0.6704
23 9.94 0.6970 -0.20 0.7037 0.0067 2.359 0.7233
24 9.73 0.7273 -0.21 0.7087 0.0186 2.339 0.7320
25 9.00 0.7576 -0.26 0.7266 0.0310 2.266 0.7634
26 8.70 0.7879 -0.28 0.7338 0.0541 2.235 0.7764
27 7.80 0.8182 -0.34 0.7552 0.0630 2.133 0.8149
28 6.37 0.8485 -0.44 0.7881 0.0604 1.948 0.8741
29 4.80 0.8788 -0.55 0.8222 0.0566 1.694 0.9314
30 4.20 0.9091 -0.59 0.8345 0.0746 1.577 0.9499
31 4.10 0.9394 -0.59 0.8366 0.1028 1.556 0.9527
32 3.50 0.9697 -0.63 0.8485 0.1212 1.421 0.9681
0.1212
delta critico 1.36/raiz2(nun datos) 0.24041631
acepto
DIF
0.0051
0.0210
0.0416
0.0010
0.0019
0.0161
0.0212
0.0029
0.0098
0.0156
0.0403
0.0171
0.0240
0.0189
0.0246
0.0317
0.0114
0.0033
0.0156
0.0280
0.0096
0.0037
0.0263
0.0047
0.0059
0.0115
0.0033
0.0256
0.0527
0.0408
0.0133
0.0016
0.0527
0.240416306
acepto

Cap 3. IDF

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Cap 3. IDF

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DATA DE INTENSIDADES MAXIMAS (mm/h)

AÑO I 5 min I 10 min I 15 min I 30 min I 60 min I 120 min

Pexc. Tr x=LN I x=LN I x=LN I x=LN I

x=LN I x=LN I x=LN I x=LN I x=LN I

INTENSIDADES MAXIMAS (mm/h)

Pexc. Tr I 5 min I 10 min I 15 min I 30 min I 60 min I 120 min

I 180 min I 360 min I 720 min I 1440 min

Desviación tipica reducida Sn

e^x+a=I 360'x=LN (I-a) e^x+a=I 720'x=LN (I-a) e^x+a=I 144x=LN (I-a)

I 360 min I 720 min I 1440 min

Pexc. Tr K I 5min K I 10min K I 15min

LOG PEARSON III

log I=mlog I + K * slogI

K I 30min K I 60 min K I 120 min K I 180 min

K I 360 min K I 720 min K I 1440 min

Periodo de retorno en años

2 1 0.5 Determinación de K distr. LogPearson tipo III

1.0 59.46% > 5 % OK

1.4 49.97% > 5 % OK

1.6 45.30% > 5 % OK

2.4 30.55% > 5 % OK

0.4 50.38% > 5 % OK

3.7 5.46% > 5 % OK

2.8 9.66256% > 5 % OK

5.8 5.41393% > 5 % OK

3.6 16.38054% > 5 % OK

4.7 9.49266% < 5 % RECHAZADA

Frec teor (obs-teo)^2/teor

1.4 70.82% > 5 % OK

5.7 12.67% > 5 % OK

2.5 47.53% > 5 % OK

3.5 32.20% > 5 % OK

5.8 5.50654026% > 5 % OK

13.4 ### < 5 % RECHAZADA

20.9 0.00286% < 5 % RECHAZADA

17.0 0.02003% < 5 % RECHAZADA

27.2 0.00012% < 5 % RECHAZADA

25.6 0.00118% < 5 % RECHAZADA

0.4 93.64% > 5 % OK

1.9 59.31% > 5 % OK

0.7 87.29% > 5 % OK

4.7 19.57% > 5 % OK

15.6 0.04% < 5 % RECHAZADA

67.1 0.000% < 5 % RECHAZADA

163.0 0.00000% < 5 % RECHAZADA

411.7 0.00000% < 5 % RECHAZADA

1,018.7 0.00000% < 5 % RECHAZADA

2,488.41 0.00000% < 5 % RECHAZADA

Tr P exc = 1/Tr Gumbel Log N 2 Log N 3 Gama Log P III Weibull

INTENSIDAD 10 min 20.00

Tr P exc = 1/Tr Gumbel Log N 2 Log N 3 Gama Log P III Weibull

Tr P exc = 1/Tr Gumbel Log N 2 Log N 3 Gama Log P III Weibull

Tr P exc = 1/Tr Gumbel Log N 2 Log N 3 Gama Log P III Weibull

INTENSIDAD 120 min

Tr P exc = 1/Tr Gumbel Log N 2 Log N 3 Gama Log P III Weibull

INTENSIDAD 180 min

Tr P exc = 1/Tr Gumbel Log N 2 Log N 3 Gama Log P III Weibull

INTENSIDAD 360 min

Tr P exc = 1/Tr Gumbel Log N 2 Log N 3 Gama Log P III Weibull

INTENSIDAD 720 min

Tr P exc = 1/Tr Gumbel Log N 2 Log N 3 Gama Log P III Weibull

INTENSIDAD 1440 min

Tr P exc = 1/Tr Gumbel Log N 2 Log N 3 Gama Log P III Weibull