Trump Approval Ratings

“Who do you believe?”

December 13-19 2018
Prepared exclusively for CROSSOVER
METHODOLOGY
This report is based on automated telephone
interviews (Smart IVR) and online surveys
conducted between 13 and 19 January 2018
among a sample of 2319 adults, 18 years or
older, living in the United States. Respondents
that were interviewed on a landline telephone
and results were adjusted to simulate dual
frame responses including cellular phones.
The poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.04%
and is accurate 19 times out of 20.
A random digit dial was used. We apply
simulated cell phone sampling adjustments
based on similar public research in jurisdictions
where IVR can be used to dial cellular phones.
The landline samples were provided by
Mainstreet Research’s own proprietary Smart
IVR. The design of the landline sample ensures
representation of both listed and unlisted
numbers by using random digit dialing.
Responses were weighed using demographic
information based on the 2015 U.S. Census.
The survey was weighted by gender, age,
education, race, population density and
among non-Hispanic whites.
(breakout tables found at the end of report)
ABOUT MAINSTREET
With 20 years of political experience at all
three levels of government, President and CEO
Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on
international public affairs.
Differentiated by its large sample sizes,
Mainstreet Research has provided accurate
snapshots of public opinion, having predicted
accurately a host of Canadian elections. Most
notably, Mainstreet Research was the only
polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal
majority in the 2015 federal election. In the
international sphere, Mainstreet also accurately
predicted the Greek bailout referendum in 2015
and the Brexit referendum in 2016.
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MORE AMERICANS BELIEVE TRUMP OVER BANNON AND WOLFF; TRUMP APPROVAL RATING
LOW IN REPUBLICAN AND SWING STATES

We find a -6% net approval rating for President Donald Trump, a very low number for a President that is
coming up to the first year anniversary of his inauguration. There is a significant gap between the genders
in Presidential approvals, where 51.4% of men say they approve of Trump’s performance as President
so far, while only 39.3% of women say the same. Disapproval is higher among younger respondents,
while there is -6.9% net approval rating in respondents in swing states, and -1.4% in states that he carried
by more than 5% in 2016. These numbers are especially troubling for Trump as he will need a strong
performance in these states, especially in the swing states, to win re-election in 2020.

Regarding whom Americans believe regarding the state of the White House, nearly 37.7% say that
they believe President Trump more than they believe Michael Wolff and Steve Bannon (13.8% and 11.8%
respectively). The second most popular option, however, is neither of them with 22.1%. Once again, far
fewer women and younger respondents believe the President than men and older respondents. There are
no significant differences between respondents in different states.

45.8% of Americans believe that members of the Trump campaign team knew or assisted with Russian
interference in the 2016 election, compared to 38.7% who do not. More men believe that there was no
collusion with Russia, while nearly 15% more women believe that the Trump team knew or helped the
Russians interfere with the election. Belief in interference is highest among the 18-34 age cohort, while the
respondents aged 35 to 49 were the only age group where more respondents believed that the Trump
campaign did not know or help with alleged Russian interference.

Television news networks dominate in terms of whom Americans trust more regarding a selected number
of news sources. Nearly a third of respondents trust Fox News, while 19% say they trust CNN more. Fox
News is the most preferred new source among all demographics except 18-34s, who said they trust CNN
the most. 9.3% of Americans say that do not trust any of these sources, beating newspapers such as the
New York Times and the Washington Post. 2.2% of Americans say that they trust Trump’s Twitter account
as their most trusted news source, beating out the alt-right news site Breitbart.

Americans are optimistic about the economy, their personal finances, and the finances of their neighbors,
although in all cases, there is significantly more optimism in all of these fronts among men than women.

For more information, please contact

Quito Maggi, President
quito@mainstreetusapolls.com

Dr. Joseph Angolano, Vice President

joseph@mainstreetusapolls.com
Do you approve or disapprove of Donald Trump’s performance
as President?
 President Donald Trump claims that his former Chief Strategist Steve Bannon
“lost his mind” when he lost his job at the White House. Who do you believe is
more truthful when it comes to the state of the White House and the President?

Do you believe that members of the Trump Campaign knew or assisted with
Russian interference in the 2016 Presidential election?

Which is the most trusted source of news in your opinion?

Are you optimistic or pessimistic about your personal finances for the coming
year?
Are you optimistic or pessimistic about the finances of your neighbors
and community in the coming year?

Are you optimistic or pessimistic about the American economy in

general for the coming year?

Do you approve or disapprove of Donald Trump’s performance as

President ?
Q1: President Donald Trump claims that his former Q7: Do you approve or disapprove of Donald Trump’s
Chief Strategist Steve Bannon “lost his mind” when performance as President ?
he lost his job at the White House. Who do you Strongly approve
believe is more truthful when it comes to the state Somewhat approve
of the White House and the President? Somewhat disapprove
Donald Trump himself Strongly disapprove
Steve Bannon Not Sure
Michael Wolff
None of the above Q8: Finally, we would like to ask you a few
Not Sure demographic questions. Are you male or female?
Male
Q2: Do you believe that members of the Trump Female
Campaign knew or assisted with Russian interference
in the 2016 Presidential election? Q11: What age group do you fall into?
Yes 18 to 34
No 35 to 49
Not Sure 50 to 64
65 and older
Q3: Which is the most trusted source of news in your
opinion? Q12: What is the highest level of education you have
CNN attained?
Fox News Less than high school
Washington Post High school or equivalent
New York Times College degree
Brietbart Postgraduate degree
Donald Trump’s Twitter account
Other Q13: What is your income range?
None of the above Under $50,000
Not Sure Between $50,000 and $100,000
Over $100,000
Q4: Are you optimistic or pessimistic about your
personal finances for the coming year? Q14: What is your ethnicity?
Very optimistic Caucasian
Somewhat optimistic African-American
Somewhat pessimistic Hispanic
Strongly pessimistic Other
Not Sure
Q15: Are you registered as a Republican, Democrat
Q5: Are you optimistic or pessimistic about the or Independent?
finances of your neighbours and community in the Republican
coming year? Democrat
Very optimistic Independent
Somewhat optimistic
Somewhat pessimistic
Strongly pessimistic
Not Sure

Q6: Are you optimistic or pessimistic about the

American economy in general for the coming year?
Very optimistic
Somewhat optimistic
Somewhat pessimistic
Strongly pessimistic
Not Sure