Tarea 05:

ELASTICIDAD PERIODO (ENERO 2011 -

SETIEMBRE 2015)

Actividad: clculo de las elasticidades

Variables a analizar:

PARROZ
PPAPABLAN
IPDFM
QDARROZ

Dependent Variable: QDARROZ

Method: Least Squares
Date: 10/12/17 Time: 19:41
Sample: 2011M01 2015M10
Included observations: 58

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C 73448.52 7998.416 9.182884 0.0000

PARROZ -5715.009 2626.164 -2.176181 0.0339
PPAPABLAN -3620.525 1915.235 -1.890381 0.0641
IPDFM -18.22887 4.689129 -3.887474 0.0003

R-squared 0.351688 Mean dependent var 30533.68

Adjusted R-squared 0.315670 S.D. dependent var 4943.645
S.E. of regression 4089.592 Akaike info criterion 19.53675
Sum squared resid 9.03E+08 Schwarz criterion 19.67885
Log likelihood -562.5657 Hannan-Quinn criter. 19.59210
F-statistic 9.764399 Durbin-Watson stat 1.590626
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000030
 ECUACIN

Estimation Command:
=========================
LS QDARROZ C PARROZ PPAPABLAN IPDFM

Estimation Equation:
=========================
QDARROZ = C(1) + C(2)*PARROZ + C(3)*PPAPABLAN + C(4)*IPDFM

Forecasting Equation:
=========================
QDARROZ = C(1) + C(2)*PARROZ + C(3)*PPAPABLAN + C(4)*IPDFM

Substituted Coefficients:
=========================

QDARROZ = 73448.5223905 - 5715.00894697*PARROZ -

3620.52504075*PPAPABLAN - 18.2288668065*IPDFM

Elasticidad del precio del arroz.

d QDA
dPArroz

PARROZ PPAPABLAN IPDFM QDARROZ elasticidad

1.93 0.68 1386 39008.46 0.283
1.98 0.54 1386 37367.3 0.303
2.07 0.52 1386 39596.51 0.299
2.06 0.58 1386 34828.32 0.338
1.86 0.57 1386 29028.53 0.366
1.82 0.59 1386 40863.01 0.255
1.91 0.6 1417 39417.27 0.277
2 0.91 1386 38582.06 0.296
2 1.06 1386 32223.72 0.355
1.91 1.06 1386 30317.53 0.360
1.9 1.08 1386 28842.26 0.376
1.94 1.19 1417 26828.33 0.413
1.91 1.04 1509 25842.26 0.422
1.83 1.17 1509 28542.4 0.366
1.76 1.17 1509 29716.93 0.338
1.54 1.22 1509 28675.93 0.307
1.39 1.31 1509 36967.17 0.215
1.44 1.26 1509 32719.02 0.252
1.5 1.22 1608 33680.4 0.255
1.57 1 1509 32485.14 0.276
1.6 0.97 1509 29849.72 0.306
1.66 1.11 1509 29445.62 0.322
1.68 1.02 1509 28792.14 0.333
1.64 0.85 1616 29443.51 0.318
1.61 0.73 1616 30659.5 0.300
1.58 0.5 1616 24469.57 0.369
1.57 0.53 1616 39800.33 0.225
1.55 0.68 1616 32354.95 0.274
1.52 0.67 1616 39841.34 0.218
1.54 0.69 1620.8 29297.25 0.300
1.58 1.03 1620 33185.69 0.272
1.64 1.39 1616 34792.68 0.269
1.72 1.68 1616 28319.99 0.347
1.76 1.62 1616 32647.92 0.308
1.89 1.4 1616 25807.22 0.419
1.92 1.54 1700 27393.65 0.401
1.93 1.42 1656 30614.61 0.360
1.96 0.98 1656 27573.18 0.406
2.08 0.88 1656 26141.45 0.455
2.08 0.81 1656 32033.85 0.371
2.07 0.66 1656 29463.16 0.402
2.03 0.81 1656 30925.86 0.375
2.04 1.04 1660 30811.84 0.378
2.04 1.13 1656 32026.65 0.364
2.05 1.07 1656 29787.54 0.393
2.11 1.01 1656 28010.51 0.431
2.13 0.91 1656 25348.73 0.480
2.13 1.04 1689 26151.5 0.465
2.13 0.76 1733.3 28189.5 0.432
2.12 0.59 1733.3 24073.7 0.503
2.11 0.65 1733.3 27771.44 0.434
2.08 0.65 1733.3 27381.49 0.434
2.01 0.64 1733.3 27896.78 0.412
2.02 0.81 1733.3 31201.19 0.370
2.03 0.94 1733.3 24730.69 0.469
2.04 1.06 1733.3 30420.77 0.383
2.07 0.97 1733.3 25847.7 0.458
2.09 0.92 1733.3 12917.72 0.925