Resumen

Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple 0.9362038374
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2 0.8764776251
R^2 ajustado 0.8720661117
Error tpico 10041.2505285763
Observaciones 30

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad Suma de cuadrados Promedio de los cuadrados
Regresin 1 20032208772.3929 20032208772.3929
Residuos 28 2823147940.97372 100826712.177633
Total 29 22855356713.3667

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t

Intercepcin 10785.0561128845 4723.525116648 2.283264267
Variable X 1 2.1231075769 0.1506244188 14.0953743989

VENTAS ESTIMADAS 116,940.43

 F Valor crtico de F
198.679579446 3.058681366E-14

Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95,0% Superior 95,0%

0.03 1109.3535294935 20460.7587 1109.3535295 20460.7586963
0.00 1.8145674417 2.43164771 1.8145674417 2.4316477122
 Poblacin
Local
Infantil X
Ventas Y X*Y X
1 14,680 38,450 564,446,000 215,502,400
2 22,930 54,500 1,249,685,000 525,784,900
3 16,650 50,990 848,983,500 277,222,500
4 35,990 88,900 3,199,511,000 1,295,280,100
5 32,480 66,810 2,169,988,800 1,054,950,400
6 38,770 96,780 3,752,160,600 1,503,112,900
7 10,030 45,420 455,562,600 100,600,900
8 24,260 45,570 1,105,528,200 588,547,600
9 52,460 132,890 6,971,409,400 2,752,051,600
10 36,800 105,060 3,866,208,000 1,354,240,000
11 17,340 51,340 890,235,600 300,675,600
12 43,690 90,660 3,960,935,400 1,908,816,100
13 14,974 39,219 587,265,306 224,220,676
14 23,388 55,590 1,300,138,920 546,998,544
15 16,983 52,010 883,285,830 288,422,289
16 36,710 90,678 3,328,789,380 1,347,624,100
17 33,130 68,146 2,257,676,980 1,097,596,900
18 39,545 98,716 3,903,724,220 1,563,807,025
19 10,230 46,328 473,935,440 104,652,900
20 24,745 46,481 1,150,172,345 612,315,025
21 53,509 135,548 7,253,037,932 2,863,213,081
22 37,536 107,161 4,022,395,296 1,408,951,296
23 17,687 52,367 926,215,129 312,829,969
24 44,564 92,473 4,120,966,772 1,985,950,096
25 15,267 39,988 610,496,796 233,081,289
26 23,847 56,680 1,351,647,960 568,679,409
27 17,316 53,029 918,250,164 299,843,856
28 37,430 92,456 3,460,628,080 1,401,004,900
29 33,779 69,482 2,347,032,478 1,141,020,841
30 40,321 100,651 4,058,348,971 1,625,783,041
Suma 867,041.00 2,164,373 71,988,662,099 29,502,780,237
Media 28,901.37 72,146

2,159,659,862,970 1,876,600,130,293
885,083,407,110 751,760,095,681
b
a

2159659862970 1,876,600,130,293 283,059,732,677

885,083,407,110 751,760,095,681 5,370,171,184,530
133,323,311,429

r^2
 Y
1,478,402,500
2,970,250,000
2,599,980,100
7,903,210,000
4,463,576,100
9,366,368,400
2,062,976,400
2,076,624,900
17,659,752,100
11,037,603,600
2,635,795,600
8,219,235,600
1,538,129,961
3,090,248,100
2,705,040,100
8,222,499,684
4,643,877,316
9,744,848,656
2,146,283,584
2,160,483,361
18,373,260,304
11,483,479,921
2,742,302,689
8,551,255,729
1,599,040,144
3,212,622,400
2,812,074,841
8,548,111,936
4,827,748,324
10,130,623,801
179,005,706,151

283,059,732,677
133,323,311,429
2.12
10,785.06

80,122,812,263,174,700,000,000
4,684,510,483,129
685,660,701,401
91,414,555,227,512,100,000,000
0.88
Resumen

Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple 0.94
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2 0.88
R^2 ajustado 0.87
Error tpico 10,041.25
Observaciones 30.00

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad Suma de cuadradosPromedio de los cuadrados
Regresin 1.00 20,032,208,772.39 20,032,208,772.39
Residuos 28.00 2,823,147,940.97 100,826,712.18
Total 29.00 22,855,356,713.37

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t

Intercepcin 10,785.06 4,723.53 2.28
Poblacin Infantil X 2.12 0.15 14.10

Anlisis de los residuales

Observacin Pronstico Ventas Y Residuos

1.00 41,952.28 (3,502.28)
2.00 59,467.91 (4,967.91)
3.00 46,134.80 4,855.20
4.00 87,195.70 1,704.30
5.00 79,743.59 (12,933.59)
6.00 93,097.94 3,682.06
7.00 32,079.83 13,340.17
8.00 62,291.65 (16,721.65)
9.00 122,163.28 10,726.72
10.00 88,915.41 16,144.59
11.00 47,599.74 3,740.26
12.00 103,543.63 (12,883.63)
13.00 42,576.47 (3,357.47)
14.00 60,440.30 (4,850.30)
15.00 46,841.79 5,168.21
16.00 88,724.34 1,953.66
17.00 81,123.61 (12,977.61)
18.00 94,743.35 3,972.65
19.00 32,504.45 13,823.55
20.00 63,321.35 (16,840.35)
21.00 124,390.42 11,157.58
22.00 90,478.02 16,682.98
23.00 48,336.46 4,030.54
24.00 105,399.22 (12,926.22)
25.00 43,198.54 (3,210.54)
26.00 61,414.80 (4,734.80)
27.00 47,548.79 5,480.21
28.00 90,252.97 2,203.03
29.00 82,501.51 (13,019.51)
30.00 96,390.88 4,260.12
 Curva de regresin ajustada
160,000.00
140,000.00

Ventas Y
120,000.00
f(x) = 2.12x + 10785.06
100,000.00
F Valor crtico de F
198.68 0.00 80,000.00
60,000.00
40,000.00
Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%
20,000.00 Inferior 95.0% Superior 95.0%
0.03 1,109.35 20,460.76 1,109.35 20,460.76
0.00 1.81 2.43- 1.81 2.43
- 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000
Poblacin Infantil X
stada

0,000 50,000 60,000