Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
The ValuEngine Weekly is an Investor Education newsletter focused on the quantitative approach to investing and the tools
available from ValuEngine. In today's fast-moving and globalized financial markets, it is easy to get overloaded with information.
The winners will adopt an objective, scientific, independent and unemotional approach to investing.
As a bonus to our Free Weekly Newsletter subscribers, we are now offering a FREE
DOWNLOAD of one of our $ 25.00 Detailed Valuation Reports.
MARKET OVERVIEW
Index started week Thursday Close 4 day change 4 day change % ytd
DJIA 10654.62 10320 -334.62 -3.14% -1.06%
NASDAQ 2298.81 2190.27 -108.54 -4.72% -4.54%
RUSSELL 2000 654.29 616.98 -37.31 -5.70% -1.77%
S&P 500 1122.8 1083.61 -39.19 -3.49% -2.95%
SECTOR OVERVIEW
Sector Change MTD YTD Valuation Last 12- P/E Ratio
MReturn
Basic Industries 0.08% -4.31% 15.73% 7.18% undervalued 28.07% 23.02
Capital Goods -0.52% -6.23% 8.50% 11.02% undervalued 14.62% 20.36
Consumer Durables -0.80% -5.93% 4.76% 15.17% undervalued 30.39% 17.61
Consumer Non-Durables 0.01% -4.02% 0.61% 7.37% undervalued 21.19% 16.5
Consumer Services -0.34% -4.76% 1.02% 15.08% undervalued 14.55% 20.66
Energy -0.23% -4.66% -6.43% 5.88% undervalued 27.52% 24.55
Finance -0.60% -4.07% 7.69% 10.09% undervalued 6.02% 17.61
Health Care 0.18% -2.88% 11.23% 18.10% undervalued 8.42% 19.7
Public Utilities -2.61% -3.40% -4.37% 3.88% undervalued 16.03% 18.41
Technology -1.14% -5.23% 1.80% 17.15% undervalued 22.99% 24.61
Transportation -0.15% -6.27% 2.40% 7.05% undervalued 17.37% 17.86
Industry Talk—Retail Goods
A variety of major retailers reported earnings this week. Those that had good
news often tempered it with reduced guidance for the rest of the year. Many analysts
do not expect the rest of 2010 to bolster evidence of a strong recovery. Below, we
present various top-five lists for the Retail Goods industry from our Institutional software
package (VEI). We filtered the results for liquidity by only including results that had an
average daily volume in excess of 100k shares/day.
With the ValuEngine Suttmeier Suite of Newsletter Products, you get access to
Richard Suttmeier's latest analysis of the markets as well as critical technical data on
the capital markets, ETFs, the Baking System, forex, commodities, and major indices.
We have newsletters relevant to every sort of investor: short or long term, active
traders, ETF traders, and professional investors.
The ValuEngine Morning Briefing brings Richard Suttmeier's expertise right to
your desktop, every trading day. The ValuEngine Morning Briefing provides daily
analysis of US Treasury Yields, Gold, Crude Oil, and Currency Exchange Rates--Dollar,
Yen, Pound, and Euro--as well as key technical indicators for the major equity
averages.
If you are interested in ETFs, Suttmeier publishes The ValuEngine Weekly ETF
Report. The ValuEngine Weekly ETF Report provides a variety of technical analysis
data for more than 30 Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).
Suttmeier's ValuEngine FDIC Report discusses the banking industry in-depth and
includes analysis of problem banks that may be in danger of failure. The ValuEngine
FDIC Report now includes monthly updates that provide Suttmeier's latest analysis as
well as updated VE data points for the Problem Banks and the Home Building industry.
Click the images below to download FREE sample issues of every Suttmeier report
ValuEngine has to offer.
Click the button below to Sign Up for Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier's
Investment Newsletters
Click the logo below to Sign Up for Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier's FREE
Daily Newsletter!
Suttmeier Says
--Commentary and Analysis from Chief Market Strategist
Richard Suttmeier
If you have any comments or questions, send them to Rsuttmeier@Gmail.com
Treasury Yields
Comex Gold--($1199.2) Gold continues to waffle around the $1,200 the Troy ounce
level. Weekly, quarterly, monthly and annual value levels are $1194.2, $1140.9, $1133.2
and $1115.2 with a daily pivot at $1212.3 and semiannual risky levels at $1218.7 and
$1260.8.
Nymex Crude--($80.15) Crude oil nearly tests my annual pivot at $77.05 after failing to
hold this month’s pivot at $80.02. My annual pivot is $77.05 with monthly pivot at
$80.02, and weekly, daily, and semiannual risky levels at $81.84, $82.61 and $83.94. My
quarterly value level is $56.63.
The Euro--(1.2842) Quarterly and monthly value levels are 1.2167, 1.1486 and 1.1424
with daily, weekly and semiannual risky levels at 1.3214, 1.3533 and 1.4733. A couple
of weeks ago, I thought that the euro would peak around 1.33-- the high was 1.3334
on August 6th.
Major Indices
The Dow--Daily: (10,379) My annual, weekly and monthly pivots are 10,379, 10,405 and
10,439 with semiannual and daily risky levels at 10,558 and 10,739, and monthly risky
level at 11,045. My quarterly value level is 7,812. My annual risky level at 11,235 was
tested at the April 26th high of 11,258.01.
The Fed
The FOMC statement this week demonstrated the areas of concern for our
central bankers. In general, The pace of the economic recovery and job growth has
slowed in recent months-- as household spending increases gradually but is
constrained by high unemployment, modest income growth, lower housing wealth,
and tight credit conditions.
In my view, managing the Fed’s balance sheet will not encourage a sustained
economic recovery. The Fed’s decision to push the funds rate to zero has failed. I
have always opined that the FOMC took rates too low in 2003 / 2004, which caused
the housing bubble. Then, they took rates too high under those tortuous 17 steps of 25
basis points-- orchestrated by Greenspan and continued by Bernanke.
The economy would be much better off today if low funds rate had been 3%
and the high 5% during the new millennium. A steadier hand on the tiller would have
reduced the rampant speculation in search of yield when the rate was below 3% and
would have reduced the pain cause when rates went above 5%.