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News from the Technical Analysts Professional Certication Organization

June 2005 Vo l u m e 3 3 Number 12

T h e M o n t h l y N e w s l e t t e r o f t h e M a r k e t Te c h n i c i a n s A s s o c i a t i o n , I n c .

Introduction To Fusion Analysis time, technical/behavioral overlays. Thus, we are


lead to believe that either a basic set of fundamental
Bodies of Knowledge
My Fusion workshop stresses three bodies of
V. John Palicka, CFA, CMT or technical factors leads to say outperformance, but knowledge and uses some of the leading tools of:
there is an uneasy feeling that maybe it was not just 1. Technical analysis and Behavioral Finance
Introduction technical or fundamental factors alone that explain 2. Fundamental analysis
the outcome. Maybe, each had some inuence that
There is no free lunch, so says the Efcient was not picked up by the research. 3. Generating AI quant stocks screens that can be
Market Hypothesis (EMH). The overall track record customized to meet investor risk proles, and
of market participants who beat the market, whether So, academic journals seem to evaluate invest-
ment hypothesis either on a fundamental basis, if it thus provide promising investment ideas using
by using mutual fund returns or doing corporate Fusion Analysis.
mergers and acquisitions is not good. The vast is a fundamental journal, or a technical basis if it is
majority of funds underperforms the indices, and a technical journal, etc. It would seem that benets Sample Topic- Selling Climax
acquiring companies (as compared to those being should grow if one uses Fusion Analysis. To my A fairly common occurrence in the market is
acquired) dont have much to show for it. Getting knowledge, there are no Fusion textbooks, nor Fu- the Selling Climax. This provides opportunities
risk-adjusted excess returns is not easy. sion journals, nor Fusion back testing approaches. for traders and even longer-term investors. One can
One learns one or the other, but not both combined. blend Technical, Fundamental, and Behavioral tools
The EMH in its Weak form casts doubt on Nobody uses 1 plus 1 to get 3 that Fusion may offer.
technical analysis, and in its Semi-Strong form, to reach an investment decision.
Hence, I have for the past few years provided the
it casts doubt on the use of fundamental research. only Fusion course in the United States, and have Technical Considerations
Perhaps, only in the Strong form of the EMH can done workshops both in the US and abroad. Based on the denition of a leading technical
one outperform by using material inside informa- analyst, John J. Murphy2 a Selling Climax is: A
tion. However, that invites an orange jumpsuit at The Introduction To Fusion Analysis in this
article will give a avor of the many topics that signicant reversal occurring at chart bottom. Once
the local jail. can also have the reverse, a Buying Climax at a chart
are discussed in my Fusion Analysis workshop
Still, exceptions and doubts on the EMH are courses. top. It is ...usually a dramatic turnaround at the
growing. In Technical Analysis, studies on certain bottom of a down move where all the discouraged
common practices, such as the use of Moving This introduction will include:
longs have nally been forced out of the market
Averages to create buy/sell decisions, seem to pro- 1. An introductory discussion of the Fusions
on heavy volume.....The subsequent absence of
vide an exception to the Weak form, and there are overview, niche, and bodies of knowledge,
selling pressures creates a vacuum over the market,
others1. Eugene Famas work has also cast doubt 2. Selecting one area to illustrate the use of Fusion, which prices quickly rally to ll. While it may not
on the Semi-Strong, by creating buy/sell deci- namely, the Selling Climax mark the nal bottom of a falling market, it usu-
sions using historical nancial ratios. Behavioral 3. Concluding remarks ally signals that a signicant low has been seen.
Finance, which has recently attracted attention as Edwards and Magee in their Technical Analysis
a Nobel Prize winning topic, has also cast doubt Overview of Stock Trends (8th Edition), page 171, state, It
on a rational market. At times, the market may not An increasing number of portfolio managers is a harvest time for traders who, having avoided
exhibit an expected symmetrical mean-variance have realized that Fundamental Analysis alone often the Bullish inection at the top of the market,
efcient prole. This may be due to various hu- does not make the best investment approach. The have funds in reserve to pick up stocks available
man emotions. Somewhat of a kissing cousin to number of managers, especially hedge funds using at panic prices.
Technical Analysis, Behavioral Finance indicates a combined approach of Fundamental and Techni-
So, a Selling Climax based on the observations
that these emotions create irrational decisions by cal disciplines, Fusion Analysis, have been rising.
of leading technicians appears to provide good
market participants. Also, more applicants are taking both the CFA and
return opportunities.
Thus, the door is open to exploit anomalies CMT exams, with a growing list (although still
and exceptions to the EMH. A blended discipline small) having earned both designations. Distrust of
using exceptions in both fundamental and technical accounting and other fundamental issues, has lead continued on page 3
arenas should prove benecial to the investor. These more investors to use technical analysis. Also, the
blended approaches have been used for many years volatile trading markets have focused increasing
by investors and have gone by many names, but I attention on the proper blend of Fundamental and W H AT S I N S I D E
like Fusion Analysis. The prestigious CFA Institute Technical analysis for a broad array of investors
devoted articles to Fusion Investing in their CFA with various timing requirements. Most major Chapter View of National Meeting__________ 4
Magazine, Sept-Oct 2003 issue. Prior to this, for MBA schools and leading textbooks now devote In Memoriam __________________________ 5
years I have seen Wall Street research that has had specic sections to technical analysis. Even the
CFA Institute requires some basic knowledge of The Market Pulse Indicator _______________ 6
a fundamental write-up and then at the end of the
report provide some technical outlook on a stock as technical analysis for the CFA exam. CAPM as- India Welcomes MTA ____________________ 9
well. However, academic research usually focuses sumptions are increasingly being challenged with Stock Master Shares His Secrets __________ 10
on one or the other (mostly fundamental). Gener- Behavioral Finance considerations. It seems that the
strict fundamental investment world of Graham and Using the Float in Technical Analysis ______ 12
ally, it does not try to examine investment issues by
using both fundamental back testing and at the same Dodd is becoming only part of the story. MTA Business ________________________ 13
w w w. m t a . o rg T E C H N I C A L L Y S P E A K I N G

New York, New York


Award Winners and Thank You.
The volunteers of the MTA are the people who
Market Technicians Association, Inc. make the organization run. With a staff of 6 and a Another May, another suc-
membership of 2500, the cessful MTA conference in
74 Main Street 3rd Floor
MTA could not run without New York. It was a great
Woodbridge, NJ 07095
the active participation and experience to meet every-
Phone: 732/596-9399
frankly the selfless giving one and as always,
Fax: 732/596-9392
of the volunteer time of so interact on markets, ideas,
E-mail: info@mta.org many people. From the board personalities and whether
to the committees to the grad- the drum or the bass solo
MTA Administrative Staff ing to the speaking engage- was better at Birdland
ments, many are giving and Jordan Kotick, CMT
that Saturday night. Many
Shelley Lebeck John R. Kirby more people are participating thanks to not only everyone who attended, but
Jeanne Farrelly
in the volunteer effort every day. MTA is fortunate to everyone behind the scenes. On that note, a tip
Tom MacMahon
have so many willing volunteers. Thank you all very of the cap to Barry Sine who did a lot of work
Marie Penza
much. Your organization appreciates your efforts. organizing, leading and steering the conference
Cassandra Townes
Because you give so much and so few thank yous this year.
are said, Duke Jones, Chair of the annual Awards As the summer hits, we have the post-
Technically Speaking Editor Committee championed an effort to expand the rec- election additions and subtractions from the
Mike Carr, CMT ognition process beyond one annual award. That is MTA Board. While I will say more about the
not to diminish the MTA annual award. new additions in forthcoming letters, I wanted to
editor@mta.org
John Bollinger was the winner of that prestigious say a most sincere thanks to two gentlemen who
award this year. His contributions to the MTA and have served their term on the Board: Phil Roth
Change of Address the eld of technical analysis are long and legendary. and Mike Epstein. I am sure these names are not
Make changes on your personal home John Murphy said it best when presenting the award at new to anyone in the MTA or, dare I say it, many
page of the MTA website, or e-mail the the recent annual seminar in New York city. My own technicians globally. Both have been mainstays
MTA ofce (admin@mta.org) thanks to John for pushing the MTA on completing and leaders in our eld both within the US and
the body of knowledge study. Without his eloquent in the greater global community for longer than I
emails, we might still be debating the process. Thank am sure they would like me to mention. You just
Website you John. cannot replace the kind of experience they both
www.mta.org Brad Herndon received a service award for his brought with them. They go with our thanks and
efforts on the accreditation committee, the CMT exam their phone numbers close at hand...as they will
Market Professionals Managing Risk process, the body of knowledge study and his service soon nd out, you never really leave the MTA
Incorporated 1973 on the nance committee. Thank you, Brad. Board, not really! Finally, as promised, please
David Upshaw received a service award for his note our rst article from our correspondent from
long term service to the accreditation committee. India. The potential here is unlimited.
Calendar of Events David has quietly given more of his time and his
thoughtful comments to that committee than perhaps Have a wonderful summer.
November 3-5, 2005 - IFTA Conference any other member. Thank you, David.
Pan Pacic Hotel in Vancouver, BC, Canada. Tim Snavely received a service award for his ef-
Details and registration information will be forts on the regions committee. Thanks in large part
available on the CSTA Website: www. csta.org to Tims efforts our chapters have grown tremendously
2006 MTA Seminars
over the last year. His regional initiative accepted by
the Board at their December 04 meeting has resulted MTA Ofce E-mail Directory
January 20-21 MTA Retreat in more speaking engagements supported by the MTA Inquiries Directory
Second annual mid-winter MTA Retreat in than ever before. Thank you, Tim. General Questions info@mta.org
Miami Beach. Mark your calendar. To register Barry Sine received a service award for his efforts Membership Information admin@mta.org
www.mta.org/seminars (after May 22nd). on the accreditation committee, the body of knowl-
edge study, providing guidance to CMT candidates CMT Information cmt@mta.org
May 2006 MTA Education Seminar and the seminar committee. Everywhere I turned this Technically Speaking editor@mta.org
New York City. This Education Seminar has year Barry seemed to be there willing to lend a hand. Journal of Technical Analysis journal@mta.org
been designed to address the repeated requests He also stepped into an unexpired term as secretary
for more basic technical education by the to the Board. Thank you, Barry.
People Directory
majority of our organization: afliates. If you have the opportunity, please extend your
thanks to these outstanding contributors. Thank John Kirby jk@mta.org
you. Shelly Lebeck shelly@mta.org
This newsletter is produced by the Market Technicians Association, Inc., Sincerely, Tom MacMahon tom@mta.org
74 Main Street, 3rd Floor, Woodbridge, NJ 07095. All comments and
editorial material do not necessarily reect the organizations opinion Jeanne Farrelly jeanne@mta.org
nor does it constitute an endorsement by the Market Technicians As-
sociation, Inc., or any of its ofcers, of products or services mentioned. Marie Penza marie@mta.org
Sources are believed to be reliable at time of publication, but not John R. Kirby Cassandra Townes cassandra@mta.org
guaranteed. The Market Technicians Association, Inc., and its ofcers, Executive Director Jordan Kotick president@mta.org
assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Copyright 2005
Market Technicians Association, Inc. All rights are reserved.

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Introduction To Fusion Analysis, continued from page 1 These included, at rst, earnings disappointments nated their positions by the time of the next ling
and later, announcements of management gover- on April 12, 2002. Perhaps, the Representativeness
Fundamental Considerations nance violations, thereby causing Selling Climaxes. issue of IMPH reminded them of similar torpedo
Selling climaxes may reect various corporate The chart below indicates a Selling Climax in stocks in their portfolios.
imbroglios, such earnings disappointments, gover- late April, based on a disappointing earnings an-
nance issues, etc. Optimistic fundamental earnings nouncement. Other Considerations- Derivatives 1
models of PEG and DDM are scaled down substan- One a technical basis, when IMPH went below Selling climaxes in my opinion, are becom-
tially, evidence by lowered earnings estimates and 30 at the end of April, a short-term Fusion trader ing more common, especially with the increased
the removal of Street Buy recommendations. would have bought the stock at that point because use of momentum strategies in rising markets by
Upon sell-off, however, a stock may reach valu- the combination of the stock plunge and relatively hedge funds.
ation levels that offer the opportunity to generate high volume would seem to indicate a Selling In a Selling Climax, one can attempt to buy the
future risk-adjusted excess returns (Alpha). That Climax. Thus, one would expect some sort of rally stock at the low and hedge risks with derivatives,
would then be an exception to the Semi-Strong once calmer days set in. namely buying a protective put option with an elas-
Form of the Efcient Market Hypothesis. Under this ticity that is a close as possible to -1.0. Naturally,
form of the Efcient Market Hypothesis, historical upon a stock rally from the low, the price of the put
nancial information should not be useful for gen- should expire worthless, but its loss would be offset
erating an Alpha. The Selling Climax would also by the much larger gains of the stock.
be an exception to the Weak form which precludes In the case of Impath, one can use an upside
the use of technical analysis. target price objective of around 40 based upon
At the relatively low levels, the stock would drawing a downward trendline that connects the
show more attractive valuations evidenced by peaks of near 58 in February and 48 in April. Thus,
relatively lower price/book ratios and even smaller buying around 30, the Selling Climax, would lead
market cap sizes. These historical measures, based to a 10 point potential gain, using technical analysis
on the work of Fama and French3 would provide use of trendlines. For illustration purposes, should a
better opportunities for investors to outperform a 30 put strike price with about a months expiration
seemingly efcient market. Some value players left cost under 3, the ensuing risk/reward of over
would also claim that the lower p/e ratio of the stock 3 to 1 would be very attractive. Since the Selling
should enable it to show future risk-adjusted returns Climax tends to reverse in a few days, one would
as well. This is based on the belief that over long not pay much for an options Theta (time value) but
periods, low p/e stocks perform better than high p/e On a fundamental basis, the stocks P/E and P/B one would seek a near term put with a strike price
rms, because investors emotionally overpay for relative to the market was markedly more attractive close to Selling Climax price. Should the stock
perceived growth associated with a high p/e ratio at the approximate 30 selling climax low and ap- not have options, one could create a synthetic op-
on estimated earnings. Under the Gordon Growth pealed more to value investors. The expected P/E tion from other securities. This would be more for
model, a p/e increases as growth increases, assum- was 26 (1.2 x the SP 500), the trailing P/E was 33 professionals and, in this paper I shall not do the
ing the other variables remain constant. (1.3 x the SP 500) and the P/Book was 3.3 (about computations for this strategy (discussed in another
60% of the SP 500). Just a few months ago, IMPH section of the course).
Behavioral Considerations traded at 60 with much higher absolute and relative
James Montier4, a leading observer of Behav- Other Considerations-Derivatives 2
valuations. IMPH came down signicantly to more One can also do a spread trade on an intermar-
ioral Finance on Wall Street has commented: relatively attractive valuations, and close to the
..if a stock price drops, then in theory if the ket basis. For example, if the stock was a housing
sweet spot of FAMA/value valuations. The stock stock that sold off because of a Selling Climax, one
analyst were correct in their initial price target, subsequently rallied nicely. About two years later,
it should become even more attractive to buy. can evaluate against which area (most likely the
upon announcement of fraud issues, IMPH would industry ETF) was the sell-off overdone, and try
However, in practice, analysts actually reduce their have another massive Selling Climax, this time to
target prices in response to a drop in the current to position a spread trade. A spread trade may
about $0.75 and subsequent rally within a month try to buy the cheaper security, say the housing
market price. to over $5.00 a share. On a valuation basis, one stock, from the proceeds of a short on the more
One Behavioral inuence on analyst forecasts could easily make the ultimate Graham and Dodd expensive asset, say the ETF. Hopefully, the spread
is Representativeness. It is a ...tendency to evalu- calculation of liquidation value which subsequently will narrow and thus generate prots after carrying
ate how likely something is with reference to how proved true, as IMPH paid off its creditors and as and transaction costs.
closely it resembles something rather than using of today will soon return about $4.50 per share to
probabilities. For example, one could see initial Other, more complex strategies that play up
stockholders. Of course, not all Selling Climaxes behavioral aspects could also be used, such as Vega
accounting scandals of Tyco as similar to those end up in bankruptcy, and many times they are just
of Enron, even though upon subsequent events it analysis of the implied and historical volatility of
storms in a long prosperous voyage. the stocks option. One would then exploit the
wasnt even close. Thus, to play a Selling Climax only may lead Vega mispricing (again, discussed in another sec-
Representativeness generates excessively to protable opportunities, but combined with tion of the course). Since a Selling Climax would
extreme forecasts... This would partially account valuations that have been shown to exhibit better lead to panic selling, this could articially boost
for the willingness to trade the stock at much lower than average results for acceptable prots, greatly the options price based on investors expecting
levels. Other behavioral factors would also come enhances prot potential. One can also get a better relatively higher volatility in the security going
into play. feel for the psyche of the holders by scanning SEC forward, as compared to the past.
Example- Impath documents such as Schedule 14A to determine the As we can see, a Selling Climax combined with
We can demonstrate our Fusion process by ex- level of nervousness that Behavioral Finance may derivative strategies could lead to many trading
amining the stock of Impath. Impath was medical impose. A stock with mostly index fund holders permutations that should satisfy the utmost lever-
diagnostic company that reached lofty valuation should show low need to panic sell, as compared to aged speculator.
levels and eventually went into bankruptcy. Along hot money funds that shoot rst and ask questions
the way, it had several investor disappointments. later. In the case of IMPH, of the three major 5%
holders as of April 26, 2001, all lowered or elimi-

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Fusion Analysis - continued from page 3 with a premium of 600 basis points per annum over
the Russell 2000 Index. He started his own invest-
Chapter View of National
Other Considerations-Quant/AI
Traders and Hedge Funds may seek Selling
ment rm, Global Emerging Growth Capital, over Meeting
14 years ago. His funds have been ranked among Clare White
Climaxes as a major strategy for protable trades. the leaders by various reporting agencies. He has
Using Fuzzy Logic one can create algorithms to taught Fusion Analysis for the New York Institute of
identify technical patterns5. Fuzzy logic has been Finance and various professional conferences. John I just attended my rst MTA annual conference
applied to more complex patterns such as Head and consults to leading hedge funds, and also teaches and want to urge other chapter members to make
Shoulders, and a Selling Climax can be more easily nance and technical analysis courses at some of it a point to get to (at least) one of these events. It
programmed. These should lead to a Quant deci- the leading New York business schools. He lives in was truly a great experience. I had an unusually
sion-making process. This is discussed in another Manhattan with his wife, Cindy, and three children, high travel schedule right before the conference
section of the course. Clark, Chris, and Cullen. For fun, he plays two and gured Id just blend into the background to
Using fundamental databases, one can select hours of tennis each day, weather permitting. wind down my week. I had only met a couple of
fundamental lters to screen for optimal valuations, the attendees in person and was looking forward to
say those similar to Fama. Combining both, one Footnotes putting faces with names for those Ive been in
can have Articial Intelligence programs auto- 1. Alexander, Sharpe, Bailey, Fundamentals of contact with by e-mail.
matically present real-time trading opportunities. Investments, 3rd Edition (New Jersey:Prentice
Absolutely everyone-and I mean everyone-was
In fact, these trades could be done without human Hall,2001), 291-292.
so welcoming and receptive to conversation. Any
intervention under strict parameters. Yes, the Fu- 2. John J. Murphy, The Technical Analysis of the concerns of being an outsider were quickly allevi-
sion black box! Financial Markets, (New York Institute of Fi- ated. Additionally, the range of backgrounds for
Leading Wall Street funds spend millions of nance, 1999), 91-93. the attendees seemed extremely varied. Whether
dollars per year on quantitative trading techniques. 3. Eugene Fama and Kenneth R. French, The new to the association or established with a couple
Fusion should be a part of this program. Cross Section of Expected Stock Returns, of widely used indicators under your belt, you had
A very simple approach that I use for my own Journal of Finance: 47 (June 1992):427-465. someone in which you could commiserate. It was
funds is demonstrated in the Fusion workshop, us- This is cited in a leading nancial textbook by great.
ing Excel spreadsheets. Bodie, Kane, Marcus, Essentials of Investments, Funny its a side note, but it seems important to
5th Edition (New York:Irwin, 2004), 241. There mention that the actual sessions were also varied
Concluding Remarks is ample literature exploring the Fama/French
In physics, Einstein unsuccessfully tried to rec- and extremely relevant for me. One sign of a good
thesis. Note also, that in the Bodie textbook, conference is when attendees need to make choices
oncile the key forces in the universe into a Unied Chapter 19 is devoted to behavioral nance and
Theory. Each force explained a key aspect of the on which sessions to attend. This event lled the
technical analysis. bill I really enjoyed all of the ones I had the
universe, yet was there some way they could be
blended to explain the entire universe? Some say 4. James Montier, Behavioural Finance, (West opportunity to catch and missed a couple due to
that today unication has been solved with String Sussex:Wiley, 2002), 9,11,79. scheduling conicts.
Theory. In investments, we should also try to nd 5. Xu-Shen Zhou and Ming Dong, Can Fuzzy Given budget constraints at many companies,
out the unifying force that blends the major forces Logic Make Technical Analysis 20/20?, Finan- youre probably not alone in making the decision
of Fundamentals and Technical/Behavioral. Fusion cial Analysts Journal 60:4 (2004), cited in CFA to foot the bill on your own. To help with that deci-
Analysis could be the start to such an approach. It Institute (2004) www.cfapubs.org,54-75. sion, I just want to express how glad I am I did. I
can enable better decisions for protable trades. was looking forward to the conference and it far
The challenges are formidable. Few can master exceeded my expectations on all levels. Thanks.
the combined Technical, Fundamental, and Behav- Clare is an afliate of the Rocky Mountain
ioral Aspects of an investment situation. Academic Chapter of the MTA
journals must get a mindset that all disciplines are
somehow related. Back testing should use all the
bodies of knowledge of Fusion Analysis. Fusion Analysis Luncheon Thank You
In my Fusion Analysis seminars, I examine Boston Security Analysts Society
other investment situations with other technical Mathematical Investment Decisions Inc. would
and the MTA will co-sponsor a
tools, such as: like to thank the members and afliates of the MTA
Fusion Analysis Luncheon who have taken advantage of our free offer of
Evaluating the current real estate outlook in the
context of the Elliot Wave Cycle, Thursday, July 14, 2005 Financial Data Calculator. The product has truly
Hot IPOs and Gann Analysis, 12:15 pm beneted from the valuable input of professional
The Millennium Hotel technical analysts. This free offer (three years
Momentum trading and SUE fundamental running) will expire on June 30, 2005. After June
analysis Haymarket Square, Boston
30, MTA Members and Afliates will still receive a
Strategic Asset Allocation using sentiment and $35/pp 38 percent discount on purchases of Financial Data
momentum technical measures with the funda- featuring Calculator and FDC-Plus. That is, MTA persons
mentals use of the Fed Model. John Palicka, CFA, CMT may purchase FDC for $100 (instead of $160), and
The Author Fusion Analysis is the blended use of fundamental, FDC-Plus for $160 (instead of $260). All owners of
technical and behavioral nance disciplines for mak- the software (whether promotional or paid) receive
John Palicka, CFA, CMT has been managing ing investment decisions in the market.
money since the 1970s using Fusion Analysis. He free upgrades for life!
helped take a $25 million small cap fund at The Pru- Prepaid registration is a must. Call Cassandra
Mathematical Investment Decisions Inc. (856)
dential and grow it into $1.5 billion in eleven years, at the MTA ofce to register. 857-9088, support@mathinvestdecisions.com

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In Memoriam
One of the worse tasks in assembling the he still managed to ll his duties and the manual
monthly issues of Technically Speaking is an In for conference organiser as well as his work was
Memoriam to an MTA member. This one is espe- very much appreciated by all his IFTA board
cially difcult as I knew and liked Frank. Never collegues.
did I ever image that I would doing a tribute to - Bruno Estier, MFTA
him. I have asked a few of his friends to write
something about him and I also asked his wife A warm and friendly person, it was a pleasure
to do the same. I never met Loes, but she is very to accommodate Frank, who asked for a few
brave to write such a personal tribute and send minutes to promote the (then) upcoming IFTA
it to me (someone she never met) to publish in Conference (Mainz, Germany 2000) during the
our newsletter. Our condolences to her and their MTAs Silver Anniversary Seminar.
two children. I made room for him between dinner and
- BG dessert and his presentation was well received.
He spoke uent English and was well prepared
with a series of slides spotlighting some of the
I am writing this with great sadness to inform Frank Vlug, CMT historic sites of the area, as well as program
you of the passing away of our good friend and
colleague Frank Vlug from the Netherlands at October 16, 1960 - May 8, 2005 highlights.
Oosterhout, The Netherlands Those there may recall his wit by including
age 44, way too young. Many of you have known
a slide of one of the historic buildings with a
him as a very professional analyst and a dedicated puppy dog in the picture. He explained that
IFTA board member who did an outstanding job photo was a favor to a lady-friend/associate who
putting together the conference manual, which Frank was a very dedicated person, to his family,
dared him to make her puppy dog WORLD
has proven to be an excellent guide for confer- to his work, and to Technical Analysis. He thought
FAMOUS. He kept his promise to her that he
ence organizers in past years. he invented TA until he found out it was a profession
would do it by including that slide in his presenta-
Personally I worked together with Frank at and started working at IRIS, Robeco. He worked
tion to the attendees from all over the world at
Robeco for more than ve years and recently we and studied very hard and was proud to be the rst
the Atlanta seminar.
Dutch Chartered Market Technician.
have been involved in various projects together. Ive just realized there is a smile on my face
One of those projects being the revival of the For the last four years he owned his own com-
as I recall that moment; but now, a sinking feeling
pany Technical Analysis Consultancy, which was
Dutch society of technical analysts. as I realize he is gone. Im sure he was a great
very successful.
Some time in March Frank told me that he friend to many fellow technicians and Im glad
His ideas and professional vision will be contin- our paths crossed, if only briey.
had been diagnosed with colon cancer. The good ued by our new rm Vlug, Davids & van Mourik
news, as he stated, was that it was in its early My Emory University intern at that time,
which he started in January 2005 with Hendrik Jan
stages and doctors were pretty condent that a Ramon de Groot, was from Amsterdam and
Davids and Rene van Mourik, both CMTs.
relatively minor operation would be sufcient to has since returned there as a trader with an
Frank was a favourite everywhere, not only by international hedge fund. He had kept in touch
remove and cure it. Shortly after this diagnosis us, his family, but also it seems in the TA business,
he underwent the necessary surgery and the with Frank and, on behalf of the MTA, Shel-
domestic and international as well. ley, Barbara and others, personally extended
initial results looked very good. According to We have received so many kind letters, owers
the doctors it could not have gone better that condolences to his wife and family with a oral
and cards from colleagues all over the world. It is arrangement.
day. However, some days after the operation very touching to know that he was special for a
complications started to arise and the situation - Sam Hale, CMT
lot of people.
grew worse and worse by the week, eventually We really like to thank you all for your support Frank was a gentleman, always willing to
leading to three heart failures in about 6 weeks. during his sickness and after his passing. It makes help, and a technical analyst, always willing to
The last one in the early hours of Sunday 8 May us very strong. learn. I cant speak higher than that.
was too much for Frank... - Loes Vlug - Michael Smyrk
We will remember Frank as a dedicated
technical analyst and somebody one could count In May 1999 at the MTA Seminar in Manhattan The last time I saw Frank was in Atlanta
on. No big stories but simply delivering what Beach, I met Frank and spent quite a lot of time with where he was pleased to show me that he had
he promised and always willing to help out a him walking one day after the seminar on the beach, taken notes in English. And, during a discussion
colleague. before boarding our planes. At the time I was chair- over cocktails with Frank and Bruno Estier, I
On a personal note I know that Frank was man of IFTA and was very proud to have gained realized that he (also Bruno) knew more about
very loving and caring husband and father for his Franks offer of his time for IFTA as Conference American history than I did...embarrassing!
family. He leaves behind his wife Loes and their Chairman (for Mainz, Germany). Frank put together a conference manual for
two children Thomas (15) and Dominique (12). I keep great memories of Frank as a trustful, IFTA that assisted us greatly when the MTA
Let our thoughts and support be with them. warm and solid personality. I admired him when hosted IFTA in Washington, DC in 2003. I only
So long Frankie-boy! We will miss you! he decided to go on his own consultancy. He was wish that he could have been there and still
then very busy and I missed him in the following here right now.
- Julius de Kempenae IFTA conferences, he was not able to attend. But - Barbara Gomperts

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The Market Pulse Indicator Issues Volume Nasdaq Performance MPI Interpretation
Frank Testa AI > DI AV > DV Falls Bullish Divergence
Market Pulse Indicator Objective AI < D AV > DV Falls Bullish Tone
Often times, investors are led astray by the performance of the Dow Jones AI > DI AV < DV Falls Bullish Tone
Industrial Average, Standard & Poors 500 Index and/or Nasdaq Composite
Index, as these generals will behave contrary to the underlying market (sol- AI > DI AV > DV Rises Bullish Conrmation
diers). In an attempt to gauge the true overall strength/weakness of the market, AI < DI AV < DV Falls Bearish Conrmation
ne technical analysis work has been conducted leading to the development of
the advance/decline ratio, McClellan Summation Index, and the ARMS Index. AI < DI AV < DV Rises Bearish Divergence
In an effort to ne tune the existing tools that are available to technicians, I AI < DI AV > DV Rises Bearish Tone
have developed the Market Pulse Indicator (MPI).
The MPI utilizes both price and volume into its calculation, however AI > DI AV < DV Rises Bearish Tone
the key strength and pivotal difference separating it from the ARMS Index
is the exibility of the MPI Indicator. The determent of the numerator and AI = Advancing Issues AV = Advancing Volume
denominator is based on whether the number of advancing issues outnumbers
declining issues during the session. The result is an indicator possessing a DI = Declining Issues DV = Declining Volume
strong inverse correlation versus the ARMS Index, though its direction of the As depicted in the aforementioned table, a session whereby the number
MPI runs in sync with the market - meaning oversold conditions will appear of issues advancing outnumbers decliners, but up volume trails down volume
as valleys and overbought as peaks. Like the ARMS Index, MPI is designed qualies as a mixed session. The bullish action in the advance/decline ratio
to point out an imbalance in the advancers/decliners and the volume behind is muted by the fact that volume in declining issues was heavier than volume
those advances and declines. in advancing issues.
I have back tested the MPI utilizing daily market data on the Nasdaq for The most bullish scenario transpires when both gainers lead decliners
the period spanning December 31, 1997 through June 30, 2004. However, AND up volume eclipses down volume, while the major indices nish higher.
due to the scope of a monthly newsletter, I have elected to display a sampling Conversely, the most bearish scenario takes place when decliners lead gain-
of the actual data. ers AND down volume is heavier than up volume, while the major indices
MPI Calculation lose ground. But how do we gauge the overall health of the market when the
The methodology of the MPI is consistent with the principle of technical indicators nish mixed? By analyzing the advance/decline ratio and up/down
analysis, namely market direction rst followed by volume. Consequently, volume equation, we are in better position to determine whether the bulls or
bullish/bearish sessions are determined by whether the number of advancing bears had the upper hand.
issues outnumbers the number of declining issues. The volume component Daily Analysis
contributes to the degree of bullishness/bearishness. Hence, the larger the Like the ARMS Index, the MPI does not lend itself to daily interpretation
MPI, the more bullish the session, while a large negative outcome is consid- as the day-to-day uctuations in the market are far too erratic. One could
ered bearish. smooth out the process by applying moving averages (perhaps a 9-day moving
Bullish Tone average) of the two respective indicators. When the 9-day moving average
If advancing issues eclipse declining issues, then the MPI formula is deviates from the center points of the indexes, it often will return as the market
calculated as follows: turns around.
MPI = (advancing issues / declining issues) x (advancing volume / declin- A split view daily chart, located below this section, depicts the cumula-
ing volume) tive MPI indicator overlaid with the performance of the Nasdaq Composite
Index, while the bottom chart is devoted to the daily MPI Indicator and ARMS
Example 1 Index.
Date AI DI A/D AV DV A/D Vol. MPI

3/6/98 2,884 1,315 2.19 608,058 136,093 4.47 9.80

Bearish Tone
If declining stocks outnumber advancing stocks, then the MPI formula is
calculated as follows:
MPI = (declining issues / advancing issues) x (declining volume / advanc-
ing volume). The sum is then assigned a negative value to reect the bearish
session.
Example 2
Date AI DI A/D AV DV A/D Vol. MPI
7/28/98 1,399 2,802 -2.00 203,643 548,190 -2.69 -5.20
MPI Interpretation
The MPI depicts the tone of the market based on eight possible combina-
tions as described in the table below:

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The choppy market that characterized the period spanning February 27, 2004 than the preceding example whereby the number of advancing issues outpaced
through April 30, 2004 was clearly evident by the dramatic uctuations in the declining issues.
MPI, Cumulative MPI, ARMS, and Nasdaq Composite Index. The March 25th
session signaled a turning point in the bulls favor, as the underlying action of Example 4:
the soldiers was overwhelmingly bullish with advancing volume outpacing
declining volume by nearly a 17-to-1 ratio and advancing issues exceeding Date AI DI A/D AV DV A/D. MPI ARMS Nasdaq
declining issues by nearly 3-to-1. The MPI and ARMS weighed in with bullish Vol. Chg.
readings of 47.84 and 0.17, respectively. Meanwhile, the Cumulative MPIs 11/29/99 1,800 2,356 -1.31 779,768 683,605 -0.88 -1.15 0.67 -26.44
inability to penetrate its April 19th peak, as it showed signs of rolling over
during the April 20 - April 27 period, spelled trouble for the Nasdaq Composite Bearish Tone (AV > DV, while AI < DI and the Nasdaq Rallies):
Index. Ultimately, the underlying deterioration in the market pulled the Nasdaq The strength in the generals masks the weakness in the soldiers, as
lower by months end. declining stocks outnumber advancing stocks. However, advancing issues
Divergences were able to garner more volume than declining issues, thereby lessening
the bears grip on the session and reducing the negative impact of the MPI.
Bullish Divergence: (AI > DI and AV > DV, while Nasdaq Declines) Nevertheless, as price is accorded more weight than volume, the day belonged
A bullish divergence transpires when advancing issues outnumber declin- to the bears.
ing issues and up volume is heavier than down volume, while the Nasdaq
Composite Index declines. Example 5:
In Example 1 below, bullish action in price and volume equates to a MPI
reading of 1.41. The underlying strength of the soldiers is impressive given Date AI DI A/D AV DV A/D MPI ARMS Nasdaq
the fall of the general (Nasdaq Composite Index). Vol. Chg

Example 1: 7/15/02 1,303 2,112 -1.62 1,177,357 809,271 -0.69 -1.11 0.42 9.12

Date AI DI A/D AV DV A/D MPI Arms Nasdaq Bearish Tone (AV > DV, while AI > DI and the Nasdaq Rallies):
Vol. ChG The bulls grip of the session is weakened by the bears ability to control
the volume component, thereby reducing the bullish tone of the session.
12/24/98 1,940 1,705 1.14 229,449 185,252 1.24 1.41 0.92 - 9.50 However, since price action is afforded slightly more weight, the bears inu-
Bearish Divergence: (AI < DI, while AV < DV and Nasdaq Rises) ence is diminished compared to the situation where the bears controlled the
price action.
A bearish divergence transpires when declining issues outnumber advanc-
ing issues and down volume is heavier than up volume, while the Nasdaq Example 6:
Composite Index rises.
In Example 2 below, the Nasdaqs gain of 6.63 points masked the overall Date AI DI A/D AV DV A/D MPI ARMS Nasdaq
weakness in the market, as declining issues outnumber advancing issues and Vol. Chg
down volume outpaced up volume, resulting in an MPI of -5.19 (since the
session was controlled by the bears we automatically assign a negative value 4/17/01 2,067 1,728 1.20 878,383 949,651 0.92 1.11 1.29 13.65
to the MPI). Weekly Analysis
Example 2: When applied to weekly data, the MPI is a useful tool for measuring the
underlying health of the market. However, the divergences are not visually
Date AI DI A/D AV DV A/D MPI ARMS Nasdaq noticeable when glancing at the weekly cumulative MPI chart overlaid with the
Vol. Chg. Nasdaq. In order to extract the full value of the MPI, we must isolate the weeks
where the divergences transpired. Thus, for ease of analysis, a detailed weekly
3/5/03 1,193 1,987 -1.67 285,550 887,652 -3.11 - 5.19 1.87 6.63
breakdown, along with the interpretation of the market is presented below.
Bullish Tone (AI > DI, while DV > AV and the Nasdaq Declines):
While the Nasdaq Composite Index suffered a loss and declining volume Date Cumulative MPI Nasdaq MPI
was heavier than advancing volume, the price action resided in the bulls camp, MPI Chg. Nasdaq Chg. Interpretation
as advancing issues outnumbered declining stocks. The underlying strength
of the soldiers results in a positive session for the MPI. However, the bears 12/31/97 2.94 1,570.35
ability to wrestle control from one part of the MPI equation (volume) lessened
the bullish tone of the session. 1/2/98 5.08 2.14 1,581.53 11.18

Example 3: 1/9/98 (26.30) (31.38) 1,503.22 (78.31)


Date AI DI A/D AV DV A/D MPI ARMS Nasdaq 1/16/98 (16.79) 9.51 1,562.88 59.66
Vol. Chg. 1/23/98 (17.43) (0.64) 1,575.93 13.05
8/25/00 2,088 1,816 1.15 571,682 612,379 0.93 1.07 1.23 -10.60 1/30/98 (11.82) 5.61 1,619.36 43.43
Bullish Tone (AV > DV, while the AI < DI and the Nasdaq Declines): 2/6/98 0.71 12.53 1,694.35 74.99
The bearishness of the session marked by a decline in the Nasdaq Composite
Index and declining stocks outnumbering advancing stocks is offset to some 2/13/98 5.22 4.51 1,710.42 16.07
extent by heavier trading in stocks that rose in value versus stocks that fell.
As a result, the DV/AV component of the MPI lessened the bearish impact 2/20/98 4.06 (1.16) 1,728.13 17.71
caused by the negative DI/AI ratio, thereby leaving the session with a very 2/27/98 12.01 7.95 1,770.51 42.38
slight bullish tone. As technicians typically place more emphasis on price
action rst then volume, the bullish tone of this scenario is less in magnitude 3/6/98 10.29 (1.72) 1,753.49 (17.02)
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3/20/98 21.10 4.18 1,789.16 17.50 during the week ending April 28, 2000. The cumulative MPI ended the week
virtually unchanged, while the Nasdaq Composite charged ahead 216.78 points.
3/27/98 24.64 3.54 1,823.62 34.46 Clearly, the soldiers were not keeping pace with the generals and would
ultimately spell trouble for the Nasdaq. Subsequently, the Nasdaq suffered four
4/3/98 29.87 5.23 1,855.40 31.78 consecutive weekly losses, cumulating into a 611.71 point drubbing.
4/9/98 24.08 (5.79) 1,820.24 (35.16) Bullish Divergence
The MPI also forecasted several bullish divergences. Specically, during
4/17/98 28.73 4.65 1,866.60 46.36 the weeks of December 29, 2000 through January 5, 2001, the MPI advanced
28.39 points, while the Nasdaq witnessed a 109.37 point setback. Underlying
4/24/98 28.46 (0.27) 1,868.96 2.36 strength set the stage for a powerful rally over the ensuring two-weeks for the
Nasdaq Composite, which vaulted 362.73 points.
5/1/98: MPI fell 14.80 points, while
5/1/98 13.66 (14.80) 1,873.44 4.48 Nasdaq tacked on 4.48 points.
Underlying market weakened ahead
of Nasdaq. Subsequently, Nasdaq
suffered 4 straight weekly losses.

5/8/98 12.71 (0.95) 1,864.37 (9.07)

5/15/98 4.61 (8.10) 1,846.77 (17.60)

5/22/98 (3.92) (8.53) 1,805.00 (41.77)


6/5/98: MPI eased 7.74
5/29/98 (12.03) (8.11) 1,778.87 (26.13) points, though Nasdaq tacked
on 4.05 points before pulling
back 37.87 points during the
following week.

6/5/98 (19.77) (7.74) 1,782.92 4.05


6/12/98 (35.81) (16.04) 1,745.05 (37.87) During the week of April 16, 1999, the market diverged as the MPI rose
1.53 points, while the Nasdaq plunged 109.01 points. The action set the stage
Bearish Divergence for a snap back rally during the following week.
During the week ending May 1, 1998, the cumulative MPI fell 14.80
points, while the Nasdaq tacked on 4.48 points. The strength in the Nasdaq
was masking the underlying weakness in the broader market. Subsequently,
the bearish divergence manifested itself into ve consecutive losing weeks for
the Nasdaq Composite Index.

MPI Implementation
As noted earlier in the report, the MPI, like the ARMS Index, is best suited
for weekly analysis. The investor looking to take full advantage of the MPI
should focus attention on divergences that surface from time-to-time between
the Cumulative MPI and the Nasdaq Composite. In an effort to prot from a
bullish divergence, the investor would go long the Nasdaq 100 Trust (QQQs).
Conversely, a bearish convergence would trigger a sell signal of the Nasdaq
The second bearish divergence depicted on the chart below transpired 100 Trust.
The inherent advantage of the MPI is the exible nature of the components
of the equation, as the underlying strength of the market dictates whether the
advancing portion of the equation will be reected in the numerator or the
denominator. Such exibility ensures that the overall trend of the MPI is in
sync with the direction of the Nasdaq Composite, thereby making it easier for
the market technician to gauge the true health of the market.
Data Origin: The 6-1/2 year market breadth data compiled in this study
was supplied by Pinnacle Data Corp. (pinnacledata.com), while the Nas-
daq Composite daily closing gures were retrieved from Yahoo Finance.

Frank E. Testa has over 20 years of investment experience and is a CMT


Level 2 candidate. Frank can be reached at fjkltesta@verizon.net

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3rd of the IIIrd Wave for the Profession of Technical Analysis : India Welcomes MTA
Sushil Kedia

India has been waiting for the MTA, I said to price while value is a concern of the fundamental in handling abstract thoughts as zero as much as
Mr. Jordan Kotick, President MTA when I recently analyst. Whether drawing charts in the conventional it has today staked its claim on the software and
met up with him in Mumbai. Why? Let me take Technical sense or not, the trader in India has pre- programming landscape of the globe.
the opportunity to explain India and its thorough dominantly been price and sentiment driven. Isnt When Technical Analysis as a profession is on
involvement with Technical Analysis of Financial that the same everywhere? Counting of historical the cross-roads of evolving from the experimental
Markets by repeating another observation that I had price-behaviour in all its avours has been here and empirical evolution of its tools to statistically
to submit to him, The third of the third wave on a too, like everywhere else on the globe, the chosen tested and well-counted decision systems, there
supercycle scale for technical analysis is awaiting passion for every brokerage house of every vintage does ring a bell that its esteemed members with their
to be triggered in India. that has catered to traders ever. expertise in global markets and practises would pos-
Global Macro Traders, Emerging Market Funds, sibly nd a burgeoning network of bright, sparkling
the biggest of big names from the Global Hedge minds that would not only bring argued merit to
Fund community, S&P (just offered to buy and the profession but also provide greater fuel to the
in the process of completing the transaction of evolution of the Artful applications of the Scientic
taking over Indias largest credit rating agency), study of price action.
Bloomberg, Reuters, E-signal, Metastock, Thom- Whether or not a student of value is found in
son Publishing you name it and they are already a brokerage in India, ardent followers of price ac-
there rmly on the ground oor of one of the fastest tion are there in every broking, fund-management,
growing economies and one of the most rapidly advisory rm or a currency trading desk of a bank.
deepening markets. Futures Industry Magazine Now in such a scenario, if the gold standard of
estimates already rank the National Stock Exchange the veracity of Technical competence the CMT
of India, Mumbai to be one of the top 10 volume accreditation becomes available for properly
producing derivatives markets in the world today. coaching, guiding and testing the skills of this
Debates between trend-followers and contrarians burgeoning army of Technical Analysts, are the
are fought right from the sandwich stalls in Dalal odds for the explosion of the third wave of the third
Street to the trading screens, each day. wave of Technical Analysis in India high enough?
A typical day on the CNBC in India does not go Proliferation of Technical Analysis to a critical mass
by without featuring a battery of chartists through a having being achieved, the rest is up to the MTA.
typical trading day. It would be hard to nd a single Heres to the world, a young 3rd wave of the 3rd
nancial daily or weekly that does not have colum- in the bull market that the profession of technical
nists after columnists dissecting charts with their analysis continues to nd!
favourite spatulas of Candlesticks, Elliott Waves, Sushil Kedia is responsible for Foreign Institu-
and Oscillator systems. So, heres welcoming the tional Investors sales at Alchemy Share & Stock
MTA to Mumbai and its hinterland where not only Brokers Pvt. Ltd in India. He can be reached at
Bob Prechter has thousands of followers, but where sushilkedia@vsnl.net
Please notice the analogous pictures found in the there are hundreds who debate and continue their
monthly charts of the DOW and the BSE Sensex, efforts at mastering the waves on Glenn Neelys
not present in the hard-disks of technical analysts thoughts too.
alone in Mumbai, but a favourite long term trend
idea of arguably the biggest and most successful
Let me bring to attention, MTA has chosen to Practice Exams & Quiz Cards
arrive in a city and country where Martin Pring, Practice Exams for CMT Levels 1, 2 & 3 and
value investor in Mumbai today. From pencil- Robert Prechter, Steve Nison, John Bollinger, Ralph ash cards for CMT Levels 1 & 2 are available
drawn charts preserved on acid-free paper that Acampora, Larry Williams, Welles Wilder, Robert for purchase through Electric Books from your
may be at least 75 years old used by some brokers Colby and all their contemporaries are highly user- personal home page. They are based on the
in Mumbai to the real-time tick charts displayed friendly names and the day may not be far when suggested readings and can be used as part of
by the electronic exchanges right on the trading MTA may be able to convince them to set-off on a candidates overall preparation for the CMT
terminals, Technical Analysis has had a history in highly ecstatic seminar/webinar jaunts to India. exams. They should not be seen as the actual
India as deep as its organised equity markets: over Let me repeat, what I had to submit to Mr. Kotick, exam questions.
130 years since the Mumbai Stock Exchange was India has been waiting for the MTA.
formed in 1875. D.E.Shaw, that enigmatic nancial engineering
From applying Elliott waves to 5 minute live powerhouse of a trading rm that has got most still
charts, to comparing long term cyclical possibili- guessing, has a full-edged system developing and
ties as in the example in the two charts above, the testing centre functioning in India at Hyderabad for 2005 IFTA Conference
technical analyst has arrived far and fairly deep several years. The computing and programming
in India. skills apart, the hordes of IIT graduates that India
Vancouver, BC
Everyone from the global investment commu- produces each year apart, India has a millennium The next Annual IFTA Conference will be held
nity who matters is already in there in India and now ago contributed zero to the mathematics prevalent November 3-5, 2005 at the Pan Pacic Hotel in
the MTA has responded so timely with offering its on the globe today, paving way for rst writing the Vancouver, BC, Canada. Come learn in a spec-
CMT examination beginning this year in Mumbai! big numbers before which the Theories of Big Num- tacular setting on the Pacic Ocean. Details and
Thank you MTA, for timing it so perfectly! bers and grappling with Innity became feasible! registration information is available on the CSTA
Trading we know, world over is highly driven by Welcome MTA to a culture that is as comfortable Website: www.csta.org

J U N E 2 0 0 5 9
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Stock Master Shares His Secrets hedge fund managers trading millions and possibly
billions of dollars and numerous clearing and trad-
Zanger has added some of his own criteria, and,
interestingly, he has discovered over the years that
Matt Blackman ing houses. stocks demonstrating interesting chart patterns on
Want to spend a day watching him trade? He volume very often turn out to fulll most if not all
It is not often that traders get a crash course from doesnt say much, especially when the market is of the CANSLIM criteria. Here is a summary of
a legend, but they had that opportunity recently. On really moving, but he is only too happy to share his the CANSLIM criteria, including the way Zanger
May 14, 2005, more than 100 attendees gathered to many secrets when he has a spare minute between uses them.
hear the world record holding stock trader speak at scanning more than 60 stock charts and watching C urrent Quarterly Earnings/Share Growth
a conference in Los Angeles. They werent disap- for volume breakouts on another stock list. That will This must be up a minimum of 40% and
pointed and listeners were kept on the edges of set you back $5000, but his students know they will quarterly sales accelerating at 40% or better to
their seats for more than 7 hours as Daniel Zanger always get their moneys worth. capture Zangers interest. ONeil recommends,
spun his magic. As an added bonus, they also got His system is not for the faint of heart. As Dan earnings must be up 18 - 20% and sales accel-
to hear a presentation by Stan Ehrlich on learning says using a racecar analogy, I like to drive at 180 erating at 25% but this just isnt good enough
how to identify powerful commodity cycles and miles-per-hour inches from the wall, when describ- for Zanger. He also needs to see companies with
chart patterns and prot from them. ing his high velocity 2:1 margin trading style. He is both earnings and revenues that demonstrate a
Both men will also be speaking at the upcoming constantly on the lookout for the high beta movers continual quarter-over-quarter sequential expan-
IFTA Conference in Vancouver, B.C. November he calls his frisky buddies. sion, a process he refers to as ramping up.
3-5, 2005 hosted by the Canadian Society of Techni- I want to nd the market leaders, the up and Retailers are a little different and he looks for
cal Analysts (CSTA) (please see link below). Dan comers and I only trade them. If its not moving year-over-year expansion due to the seasonal
Zanger is the keynote speaker. higher, Im not interested. Contrary to popular industry characteristics.
Zanger rst came to public attention when he was practice, he steers clear of bargains. Why buy Annual Earnings Growth Studies by Investors
featured in a Fortune magazine article in December a stock that will go up $5 or $10 if you are lucky Business Daily have shown that winning stocks
2000 entitled, My Stocks are Up 10,000%! The truth when there are stocks that will move $30 - $50 in over the last 50 years had a return on equity
was even more amazing. He became the unofcial the same time frame? (ROE) of 17% or more. Any CANSLIM-worthy
stock trading record holder in 2000 by transforming stock should demonstrate this kind of ROE in
a $10,775 investment into $18 million in 18 months, each of the last three years. The higher the annual
which actually worked out to 164,000% in a year and growth, the better the candidate.
a half. In 23 months his market nest egg had grown New Products, New Management, and New
to a mind-boggling $42 million. He even has the tax Highs -This feature combines fundamentals
receipts to prove it. and chart technicals. Companies offering new
The pool contractor turned millionaire had products/services, with new management and/
developed quite a following in the process during or industry innovations are prime candidates.
the bubble heyday. On any given weekday from Technically, Zanger only buys stocks that are
1998 through 2000, you could nd Zanger glued to emerging from basing chart patterns and that
his computer screens with laser focus surrounded have put in a new high out of the base or con-
by a half-dozen friends watching his every move solidation pattern. It is also important that they
on occasions. Without saying a word, he would FIGURE 1 - DAN ZANGER AT HIS RECENT ANNUAL CONFERENCE HELD AT THE have a global domination in their market space
remain poised like a hawk watching 40 - 60 stocks SHERATON GATEWAY HOTEL IN LOS ANGELES, SPEAKING TO 100 PLUS and are under-known and under-owned. This
and waiting for the all-important breakouts from ATTENDEES. PHOTO BY M. BLACKMAN means that institutions that dont yet have these
patterns on volume, calling his broker to buy and stocks in their portfolio are going to become
sell a stock when the time was right. This would Mixing It Up: Technicals + Fundamentals = major buyers, at which point they create demand
go on from market open to market close. His audi- Consistent Winners for the stock and this in turn pushes up the stock
ence would do their best to follow his every move Zanger takes a top-down approach when looking price.
in silent amazement. Today they are gone and he for stocks to buy. First he looks for stocks putting in Supply and demand in share volume/shares that
trades solo for the most part. Most of his friends just interesting chart patterns on increasing volume. oat Shares outstanding is of less importance
didnt have the stamina or commitment, especially If the stock is acting frisky, there is generally a here than demand but Zanger likes to see no more
when the going got tough. fundamental reason why; often institutions are ac- than a maximum of 75-100 million shares. The
What did he talk about at the seminar? Much cumulating the stock and the chart pattern is simply total number of shares that the public can buy is
of the day was spent examining chart patterns and proof of this. known as the oat. A small number of shares that
daily bars, but more importantly, seminar attendees A one-time student of William ONeil, founder oat means that fewer shares have to be bought
had a chance to hear a detailed post mortem on of the Investors Business Daily newspaper dynasty, to push up the stock price. TASR, one of Dans
each of his largest and best winning trade of the Zanger has paid his dues. He spent more than 10 big winners in 2003-2004, it started out with a
past 7 years. years logging 20 or more hours per week (on top of oat of just 3 million shares. The stock made a
When asked what are the keys to his incredible his day job) studying chart patterns. Like a Top Gun 5000% move in 18 months and now has a oat
success, he simply replies, chart patterns and ghter pilot looking at enemy aircraft silhouettes of 54.3 million due to numerous stock splits. A
volume, thats pretty much it. Volume is the real until they can identify them in their sleep, Zanger stock should demonstrate increasing volume as
key for without a strong surge in volume, even the internalized a myriad of chart patterns until he could price moves out of a basing chart pattern such
best pattern breakouts wont go anywhere. Sounds pick them out in an instant. as a cup and handle, saucer bottom, or inverted
simple but like all great success stories, its not A breed apart from most traders who are either head and shoulders bottom. Other patterns such
so easy. technical or fundamental, Zanger uses ONeils as ags or pennants, ascending triangles, bull-
Those who subscribe to his newsletter, The CANSLIM formula discussed in his best selling ish diamond patterns and bullish wedges also
Zanger Report and his members chatroom at book, How to Make Money in Stocks: A Winning represent excellent buying opportunities when
Chartpattern.com quickly learn that it took Zanger System in Good Times and Bad. ONeil recom- greater-than-average volumes accompany the
years to become an overnight success. His clients mends that you buy only companies exhibiting breakouts.
range from private traders with small accounts to certain fundamental and technical characteristics.
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Leader (or Laggard)? Buy market sector and for free trials at https://secure2.lorber.net/cf/chart- About the Author
industry leaders. Sell laggards. Own the industry pattern/shopping.htm Matt Blackman is a technical trader, author,
leaders and sell them when they no longer lead. Adding Some Perspective reviewer, keynote speaker and regular contributor
This also applies to the sectors and groups in Zangers high-speed trading method is not for to a number of trading publications and investment/
which they reside. everyone. Any system that offers big potential wins trading websites in North America and Europe. He
Institutional Dan look for stocks with a high also works in reverse and Dan is the rst to attest also writes a weekly and monthly market letter. His
potential of institutional participation. Ideally, to that. Get caught in a stock that does an abrupt articles have appeared in such publications as Tech-
he wants to nd stocks that institutions are be- about face and the game turns into a survival of nical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities magazine,
ginning to accumulate. This includes those with the fastest to reach the exits. But like all successful Laffer Economics, Working Money, Traders.com
a higher degree of corporate executive insider traders, Zanger has had to learn how to limit losses Advantage, Traders Mag (Europe), Active Trader,
ownership. while maximizing prots and he doesnt let his bad SFO (Stocks, Futures & Options) Magazine, Trader
Monthly and Investopedia.com. He has also written
Market direction Seventy to eighty percent of days get him down for long.
articles on a wide variety of international nance
a stocks price movement is determined by the Internalizing your trading rules and patterns and e-commerce business-related topics. In a
direction of the overall market. Even a winner is also critical to success. Besides How to Make September 2004 article for Offshore Investment
will be ghting a strong current to get to higher Money in Stocks, two other books that are absolute Magazine, he was referred to as one of Western
prices in a market that is tanking. It is best to essential parts of trader education in his opinion Canadas leading international nancial analysts
be long big winners in a bull market (and short are Reminiscences of a Stock Operator and En- by Walter H. Diamond, economist and author of
losers in a bear market) and never ght the trend cyclopedia of Chart Patterns. His daily newsletter more than 50 books on international taxation and
unless it is giving strong signs of a potential turn is also very useful for those who are interested in trade. Blackman is an afliate Market Technicians
around. Catching a bottom is great when you getting his input on the market and stocks making Association and Canadian Society of Technical
can do it, but if wrong its like trying to catch a moves. Analysts member and currently enrolled in the
falling knife, it can also be extremely detrimental It is also important to take your own personality Chartered Market Technicians (CMT) program.
to your (nancial) health! into account. By his own admission, Zanger is a type Published with permission from Traders-Mag.
Which stocks have been some of his big winners A personality and needs the thrill of the chase to com Fourth draft May 28/05. (c)Matt Black-
recently? Other than Taser (TASR), some of his big keep his interest. He thrives on the high adrenaline man2005. Redistribution without written consent
winners in 2003 -2004 included Research in Motion rush of trading fast moving stocks. Others might strictly prohibited.
(RIMM), E-Bay (EBAY), Sina Corp (SINA), Sand- consider this stressful but its not just the best game,
isk (SNDK), Chicago Mercantile (CME), Kmart its the only game in the world to him.
(KMRT), which is now Sears Holdings (SHLD), But then again, that describes a high percentage
Apple Inc. (AAPL), Travelzoo (TZOO) and of of successful traders.
course Google Inc. (GOOG). In 2005, its Google Dan Zanger will be the keynote speaker at the
(GOOG) again and he says this stock could run big
for the rest of 2005, is one of his major leader
International Federation of Technical Analysts
Conference, November 3-5, 2005 in Vancouver,
And, the winner is....
stocks and his largest single position in years. BC, Canada. Stan Ehrlich will be speaking at the John J. Murphy, CMT
He was short EBAY when it broke down in same event. Its a great opportunity for traders, It was a great honor being asked to present this
January 2005, dropping from a pre- 2 for 1 split money managers, analysts and brokers to get years MTA Annual Award. As you know, this is
price of $103.50 to $83 in one day after an earnings together and network as well as learn about cut- the most prestigious award given each year by the
shortfall. It was his biggest single one-day gain on ting edge techniques. For more information visit Market Technicians Association. I rst become
one stock ever as he was short 160,000 shares prior http://www.csta.org aware of this years recipient in his role as the
to the earnings news. technical analysis for the Financial News Network
Zanger offers a key caveat. Most of the stocks many years ago. I was impressed with his daily
that he trades are CANSLIM stocks, but there are Recommended Reading discussions of the technical aspects of the market
two key exceptions that show why checking com- Blackman, Matt, 2003 The Charts Know It All. in front of the camera and often felt sorry for him
pany fundamentals is so important. First, Biotechs Chart Patterns, Trading, and Dan Zanger having to do so on especially difcult market days.
often act like CANSLIM stocks but dont have earn- http://www.chartpattern.com/cf/images/new/ar- I once told him that I wouldnt do his job for a mil-
ings growth and other positive criteria. Second, near ticles/stocks-comm-2003.pdf lion dollars. I actually wound up doing it later on
the end of a major bull run in the markets, after most CNBC for a lot less. My role as technical analyst
Bulkowski, Thomas, 2005 - Encyclopedia of
of the quality stocks have already moved and are for CNBC was actually a direct result of his work
Chart Patterns (Second Edition), John Wiley &
starting to exhaust themselves, the trash stocks will at FNN. CNBC felt that they needed a technical
Sons,
get pushed higher as investors scramble to nd the presence to compete with his FNN show Tech Talk.
next big thing. A rising tide lifts all boats includ- Lefevre, Edwin, 1993 - Reminiscences of a
Stock Trader, John Wiley & Sons That started my 7-year TV career.
ing those that dont have the fundamentals behind John is best known for his invention of Bol-
them. Loading up on these trash stocks late in the ONeil, William, 2002 - How to Make Money
in Stocks - A Winning System in Good Times linger Bands, but has also
game can lead to serious losses and a situation that developed a solid reputation for
can be avoided by looking at the fundamentals. and Bad, McGraw-Hill
his quantitative approach to the
Stan Ehrlich, inventor of the Ehrlich Cycle Dans 10 Golden Rules market. His TV work helped
Finder, and Zanger have teamed up to provide a http://www.chartpattern.com/10_golden_rules. introduce an entire generation
full spectrum of analysis and commentary to read- html to the technical side of the
ers through the Chartpattern.com website: Zanger Other Articles about Zanger market. His award is richly
on stocks http://www.chartpattern.com/cf/registra- deserved and long overdue. It
tion_form.cfm and Ehrlich on commodities http:// http://www.chartpattern.com/media.html
is my great pleasure to present
www.chartpattern.com/cf/ehrlich/ehrlich_report. the 2005 MTA Award to John
html Each newsletter costs $69USD per month or Bollinger for his creative contribution to the eld
$190USD per quarter. Those interested can sign up of technical analysis.

J U N E 2 0 0 5 11
w w w. m t a . o rg T E C H N I C A L L Y S P E A K I N G

Using the Float in Technical Analysis The chart of SIRI ts nicely into this denition
as its volume in the bottom is only moderate but
Steve Woods the volume at the top is quite high. The shape of
the boxes themselves signies this; a long and at
Technical analysis of stock behavior is currently oat turnover box at the bottom shows slow gradual
created around three pieces of data: price, volume accumulation and a tall narrow oat turnover box
and time. There is, however, a fourth piece of data at the top shows fast paced distribution.
which can be incorporated into a stock chart that When discussing oat turnovers at tops and at
has been generally over-looked. That piece of data bottoms it is important to understand that we can-
is the oat. For those technicians unfamiliar with not say that the entire oat trades hands right at the
the term oat, it is the number of shares actually bottom or right at the top.
available for trading. When a company comes pub-
lic they issue shares outstanding. The companys
management retains some percentage of those
shares and the remaining shares to be traded by the
public is the oating supply or oat.
The origins of the terms, oat and oating sup-
ply are unknown to me but I do know that one of the
earliest attempts to incorporate the oat technically to presume that Gann was looking for areas on the
into a price chart can be traced to famed trader W.D. chart that represented accumulation at the bottom
Gann. In his book, Truth of the Stock Tape1, he and distribution at the top and search for the highest
made two references to the oat that indicated he and lowest oat turnover boxes on the chart. My
was tracking the oat on his charts. In one passage oat tracking software allows me to move the oat
he talked about the amount of volume it took for a box from bar to bar on the chart and thus quickly
stock to make a 23 point move to the upside. He nd the oat turnover boxes at the bottom and the
said that 1.6 million shares traded hands, which top and Ive plotted them on the chart.
was ve or six times the oating supply. In a The oat turnover at the top shows how the oat
second passage, he talked of a stock in which the box looked if we use a starting date for the cumula-
shares were changing hands about twice each tive count on December 10th. The oat turnover
week. Upon rst reading these two passages, I at the bottom shows how the oat box looked if
realized that Gann had a unique way of looking we use a starting date for the cumulative count on
at a stocks trading volume. He was treating a September 9th. The cumulative total of the shares
companys tradable shares as a whole unit, and he traded in each box is 1.262 billion shares. Im
was tracking that unit as it changed hands one or simply adding up backwards until the cumulative
more times. Gann was looking at time distances total reaches to 1.262 billion shares.
on the chart in relation to cumulative volume that Note that the cumulative total does not exactly
equaled the number of shares. I believe he was equal the oat when using a daily chart but actually
searching for areas on the chart in which changes exceeds the oat. When using a daily chart I add
of ownership of the oat would help in determining up volume going backwards until the cumulative
when the stock was under accumulation and when total is equal to or greater than the oat. Here are
it was under distribution. the actual volume numbers of the ve days at the
To understand Ganns idea more clearly I have top that are added up in a backward cumulative This is because we cannot know the intentions of
coined the term oat turnover and in this article I count: all the market participants. There may be day traders
will dene the term and explain how it can be quite Daily Volume Running Cumulative Total Float =1,262,000,000 who buy and sell within the oat turnover and there
useful as a new technical analysis tool. Dec. 10th 104,001,600 may be long-term investors who hold their shares
through several turnovers. But this does not negate
Dening a Float Turnover Dec. 9th 143,520,304 247,521,904 is less than 1,262,000,000
the power of the oat turnover box as a technical
Dec. 8th 580,453,376 827,975,280 is less than 1,262,000,000
The simplest denition of a oat turnover is any Dec. 7th 407,152,992 1,235,128,272 is less than 1,262,000,000 tool. The reason for this is that technical analysis
time frame on a stock chart in which the cumulative Dec. 6th 216,497,104 1,451,625,376 is greater than 1,262,000,000 is grounded on recognizing recurring patterns on
volume equals the number of shares in the oating a stock chart and a close study of oat turnover
supply. Float turnovers are shown on the chart as To understand the implications of the oat
boxes shows that a oat turnover box will always be
a rectangle. The rectangle changes from day to day turnover boxes that Ive presented, we need to
found at long term bottoms and long term tops. Thus
like a moving average and is known as the Float view them in the context of two very old techni-
they are a powerful tool for identifying areas of ac-
Turnover Box or more simply the Float Box. The cal analysis terms: accumulation and distribution.
cumulation and distribution on stock charts. Two
oat box has two functions. One is to show the Accumulation as dened in the glossary of the
other examples of oat turnover boxes at the bottom
dimensions of the current oat turnover or it can Edwards and Magee classic Technical Analysis of
and the top are Onyx Pharmaceuticals (ONXX)
be used to generate trading signals when the price Stock Trends is The rst phase in a Bull Market.
(Chart 2) and Sina Corporation (SINA) (Chart 3).
penetrates above the top of the box or below the The period when farsighted investors begin to buy
bottom of the box. shares from discouraged or distressed sellers...
To explain oat turnovers Ill use the chart of Volume is only moderate. Distribution in the
same book is dened as The rst phase of a Bear
1.
Gann, W.D. (1976), Truth of the Stock Tape,
Sirius Satellite (SIRI). Figure 1 shows the chart of Lambert-Gann Publishing, Pomeroy, WA
Sirius as it looked on February 8, 2005. On this Market, which really begins in the last stage of a
day it had a oat of 1.262 billion shares. Notice Bull Market. The period when far sighted investors
that in the last several months of trading the stock sense that the market has outrun its fundamentals Steve Woods has been an MTA Afliate for He
made a low at the $2 level in August 2004 and a and begin to unload their holdings at an increasing is CEO of www.FloatCharts.com and www.
high at the $9 level in December 2004. Im going pace...trading volume is high. FloatAnalysis.com

12 J U N E 2 0 0 5
T E C H N I C A L L Y S P E A K I N G w w w. m t a . o rg

M TA B U S I N E S S
Reections on the MTA Seminar Software Vendor Panel Discussion
Robert W. Colby, CMT

Barry Sine, CFA, CMT, Co-Chair of the MTA Software selection can be complex because __Japanese Candlestick Pattern Recognition with
seminar committee asked me to moderate a two- everyones needs are not the same and one size Labeling
hour panel with four top TA software vendors as part does not t all. I have my biases, but they may not __Expert Systems Included
of the MTA Education Seminar. The intention was match yours. So, my advice would be test drive a __Expert Systems Design Tools
to educate MTA members about what is available, few and dont buy without a free trial on the full
how the various alternatives compare, any unique software version, or at least a realistic demo ver- __Articial Intelligence, Built In, Customizable
capabilities, and costs. Also, three vendors set up sion. Take some time to evaluate and compare, and __Neural Networks
and staffed full live data displays so we could a ask questions. Here are some points you may wish __Genetic Algorithms
test drive their software, get answers to questions, to consider: __Cycle Finding Tools, Cycle Measuring Tools
and check the market during the three days of the __Other
conference. Rate These Features In Light of Your Needs
Four vendors each took 15 to 20 minutes to (scale: 0 worst, 5 average, 10 best)
talk about their unique benets, then we opened Thanks to these four vendors for their participa-
it up for audience Q&A. The vendors arrived at a tion. And special thanks to Hima Tadoori and Barry
__Price of Software (monthly and yearly) Sine for volunteering to set up this panel, and to the
consensus in advance to keep the panel friendly and
__Price of Data, if Sold Separately (specify monthly entire MTA staff for the complex task of staging the
non-confrontational.
and yearly) whole seminar.
I felt that as moderator I should be unbiased and
only speak in order to keep the discussion moving __Overall Capabilities
or ask a question when it might help clarify some __Ease of Use Robert W. Colby, CMT, is an author and
point. As it turned out, I think they might have been __Ease of Learning to Use & Customer Support consultant providing custom research services
a little bit too gentlemanly, and it might have been to institutional and private investors and
__Getting Started Tutorial
more interesting with a dash of controversy. One traders. He offers daily market updates and
__User Selectable Flexibility, Adaptability, Cus- educational information on his free website,
of the vendors set the tone early on saying that all tomization www.robertwcolby.com
the software was very good and much the same!
That statement passed unchallenged, somewhat to __Visual/Graphics Capabilities & Display Op-
my surprise. tions
__Back Testing And Simulation Capabilities
True that all four have very good graphics and
most of the standard trendlines, moving averages, __As A Trading Systems Development Tool MTA Needs Senior Editor
popular indicators, etc. But some lack back-testing __Breadth of Pre-Programmed Analysis Tools Mike Carr has done a great job as MTA Senior
and automated order entry. And there are consider- Editor but would like to retire. MTA needs to ll
__Flexibility & Ease of User Created Analysis his shoes with a member who has editorial writ-
able differences in costs. Tools ing experience and is willing to be overworked
For software and data, costs range from $545 a __Time Period Selection Flexibility and underpaid. The job pays $500 per month and
month (plus exchange fees) for CQG Chart Trader
__Data Accuracy, Checking, Automatic Correc- takes about 5 hrs per week. If you are interested,
(cqg.com, 800-525-7082) to free (but only for
tions or would like to discuss it, please let me know.
Fidelity customers who place 120 trades a year) for
__Data Breadth of Coverage (how many & what jk@mta.org
Fidelity Active Traders Wealth-Lab (wealth-lab.
com, 800-823-0175). kinds of securities)
Both include data feed, have a built-in prot __Data Depth of History (how many years back)
back-testing simulators with optimization, auto- __Ability to Access Outside Data From Spread-
mated order entry, and are very attractive high-end
products. In addition, on its website, Wealth-Lab
sheets
__How many variables can be contained in a single
Attention:
offers a growing list of indicators and formulas
contributed by its 20,000 users.
data le? To the attendees of Steve
__Trade Filtering & Screening Included, Prepro-
RealTick (from Townsend Analytics, realtick. grammed Nisons Session at the MTA
com, 800-827-0141) offers top-tier pairs and spread
trading analytical displays, as well as basket trad-
__Custom Filtering & Screening Design Tools
__Automated Generation and Execution of Actual
Education Seminar 2005
ing, but it does not include protability testing or
optimization. RealTick costs about $250 a month Trading Orders and all attendees
__Automated Portfolio Tracking During Steve Nisons session on candle chart-
for software and data feed (plus exchange fees).
ing, he offered a free 2-week trial of his daily
Aspen Graphics (from Aspen Research Group, __Back Testing Protability Simulation
newsletters. To take advantage of this offer
aspenres.com, 800-359-1121) offers uncluttered __Optimization of Parameters which he is also making available to all at-
charts and emphasizes ease of use and customer __Back Testing Flexibility tendees of the May seminar please contact
support. Aspen also costs about $250 a month for tracy@ candlecharts.com
__Back Testing Performance Measures
software and data feed (plus exchange fees). Aspen
__Pattern Recognition, Classic Chart Patterns, All emails are kept condential.
has no protability simulator and no automated
generation and execution of actual trading orders. with Labeling
__Elliott Wave Identication and Labeling
J U N E 2 0 0 5 13
w w w. m t a . o rg T E C H N I C A L L Y S P E A K I N G

MTA Regional Chapter Contact Information


If you are visiting any of these chapter areas over the next several months and might be willing to make a presentation to the local group, please contact
the regional chapter chair as noted to work something out. Some are long-standing chapters, some are trying to get started, but ALL of them are in need of
speakers now and then.
Atlanta Tim Snavely 404-926-5473 tim_snavely@rhco.com
Austin Sean Mackie 512-517-6506 sean_mackie@sonoranfunds.com
Boston Chuck Dukas 508-841-4195 chuck@trendadvisor.com
Chicago Ross Leinweber 847-849-8236 Rleinweber@lakeshoretrading.com
Cincinnati Ron Brandt 513-622-5421 traderon@aol.com
Dallas Michael (Mike) Allocco mallocco@mcstay.com
D.C./Northern Virginia Cary Greenspan 703-442-9225 greenspanc@aol.com
Denver Lyle Dokken 970-266-4707 klyledokken@yahoo.com
Florida, Orlando David Gonzalez 407-481-8286 Dgonzalez@rwbaird.com
Florida, Tampa/St.Pete Will Shahriari wshahriari@yahoo.com
Houston Randi Schea 281-437-0817 randi@prismtrading.com
LA Area Kristin Hetzer 562-495-5580 kristin.hetzer@ubs.com
Minneapolis Pat McGrath 612-671-9809 tradinpat@hotmail.com
New York City Jeanette Young optnqueen@aol.com
Portland, Oregon Leonard H. Smith lensmith@teleport.com
San Antonio Duke Jones 210-481-2863 duke@dukejones.com
San Diego Julia Bussie 858-350-8101 jebussie@sbcglobal.net
If you have any questions about the regional chapters, please contact the Regions Chairperson, Tim Snavely, 404/926-5473; tim_snavely@rhco.com

MTA 2004-2005 Board of Directors and Committee Chairs


Board of Directors Philip Roth, CMT Education, Library, and Distance Newsletter
212/370-0040 Learning Mike Carr, CMT
Director: President proth@millertabak.com Philip Roth, CMT 307/632-3027
Jordan Kotick, CMT Michael Kahn 212/370-0040, Fax: 212/697-7106 editor@mta.org
212/412-1137 516/647-7466 proth@millertabak.com
jordan.kotick@barcap.com michaelkahn@lycos.com
Placement
Ethics & Standards
Director: Vice President Jon S. Duke Jones, CMT Neal Genda, CMT
John Kosar, CMT 713/203-7030 310/888-6416, Fax: 310/888-6388
224/569-4112 duke@dukejones.com neal.genda@cnb.com Programs (NY)
john@asburyresearch.com Jeanette Young, CFP, CMT
MTA Educational Foundation optnqueen@aol.com
Committee Chairs
Director: Treasurer Mike Epstein
Larry Berman, CFA, CMT Regions
Academic Liaison, Journal of TA 617/876-5615
Timothy Snavely, CMT
416/594-8067 Charles Kirkpatrick II, CMT mepstein@mit.edu
larry.berman@cibc.ca 404/926-5473, Fax: 404/926-5946
970/884-0821, Fax: 970/884-0823 tim_snavely@rhco.com
kirkco@capecod.net IFTA Liaison
Director: Secretary Larry Berman, CFA, CMT
Barry Sine, CFA, CMT Rules
Accreditation 416/594-8067
Charles Comer, CMT
646/422-1333 Les Williams, CMT larry.berman@cibc.ca
bsine@nyc.rr.com 516/883-9375, Fax: 516/883-9371
817/571-8332, Fax: 817/571-5889 chascomer@mindspring.com
capitalmgt@hotmail.com Internship
Director: Past President Mark Eidem, CMT
Ralph Acampora, CMT
Seminar
Admissions 415/296-7831 Barry Sine, CFA, CMT
212/778-2273 Andrew Bekoff alaskatrader78@yahoo.com
ralph_acampora@prusec.com 646/422-1333
646/576-2748, Fax: 646/576-2755 bsine@nyc.rr.com
abekoff@bloomberg.net Marketing
Directors:
Mike Epstein Body of Knowledge
617/253-3784 Frederick Meissner, Jr., CMT Membership
mepstein@mit.edu 404/875-3733 CMT is a service mark of the
fred8821@earthlink.net Market Technicians Association, Inc.
J U N E 2 0 0 5

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