Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
2011No.36 19-42
/ Abstract
2001 911
1
Chinese Ships harass US Vessel, http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/7933171.stm
2
http://www.dwnews.com/big5/news/2010-07-02/56160621.html
3
Ian Storey, Power Play in S. China Sea Stirs up Tension, The Strait Times (Singapore) (July
27, 2010), available at: http//viet-studies.info/kinhte/power_play_in_sea.htm
4
Abdul Khalik and Desy Nurhayati, US-China Tensions Eclipse ARF, The Jakarta Post (July
24, 2011), available at:
http://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2011/07/24/us-china-tensions-eclipse-arf.html
22 Review of Global Politics, No.36, October 2011
stakeholder
2020
5
5
2007 10 15
http://cpc.people.com.cn/GB/104019/104099/6429414.html
6
(2008 )
560-561
2011 10 23
1990 8
21
7
Michael Glosny, Getting Beyond Taiwan? Chinese Foreign Policy and PLA Modernization?
Strategic Forum, No.261 (January 2011), p.3.
8
1997 9 12
http://news.xinhuanet.com/ziliao/2003-01/20/content_697189.htm
9
2002 11 18
http://news.xinhuanet.com/ziliao/2002-11/17/content_6973542.htm
24 Review of Global Politics, No.36, October 2011
10
David Shambaugh
benign
malign11
hedging
2010
10
Evan Medeiros, Chinas International Behavior (Santa Monica: RAND Corporation, 2009), p.96.
11
David Shambaugh, China Engages Asia: Reshaping the Regional Order, International
Security, Vol.29, No.3 (2004/05), p.64-67.
2011 10 25
semi-closed
1.8 500
1.4 12
1405-1433
13
1992 10 12
Robert Ross
1415
12
1998 5 1
13
1405-1433 Louise Levathes,
When China Ruled the Seas: The Treasure Fleet of the Dragon Throne 1405-1433 (Oxford:
Oxford University Press, 1994).
14
Robert Ross, Chinas Naval Nationalism: Sources, Prospects, and the U.S. Response,
International Security, Vol.34, No.2 (2009), p.46.
15
1949 9 21
(
1994 ) 113-115
26 Review of Global Politics, No.36, October 2011
16
17
14 20
/
16
65-66
17
68-71
2011 10 27
15
40 60GDP
9018
80
1949 1978
90%
1993
70
19Strait of Malacca
Malacca dilemma20
18
(2008 ) 386
19
Christopher Pehrson, String of Pearls: Meeting the Challenge of Chinas Rising Power across
the Asian Littoral (Carlisle Barracks, Pennsylvania: Strategic Studies Institute, the U.S. Army
War College, 2006), p.6.
20
Christian
Bedford, The View from the West: String of Pearls: Chinas Maritime Strategy in Indias
Backyard, Canadian Naval Review, Vol.4, No.4 (2009), p.37.
28 Review of Global Politics, No.36, October 2011
150 600
21sea lines of communication
960
13 0.008
0.3 22
2.19 1.307
23
1050
24
21
Andrew Erickson and Gabriel Collins, Chinas Maritime Evolution: Military and
Commercial Factors, Pacific Focus, Vol.22, No.2 (2007), p.51.
22
1
23
(2009 ) 65
24
Michael Studeman, Calculating Chinas Advances in the South China Sea:
Identifying the Triggers of Expansionism, Naval War College Review, Vol.51, No.2 (1998),
p.78.
2011 10 29
Jamestown Foundation
China Brief25
1982
1992
26
2010
2010-25 blue-water
navy
2025-49
27
25
James Holmes, Chinas Maritime Strategy Is More than Naval Strategy, China Brief, Vol.11,
No.6 (2011), pp.10-13.
26
1992 10 12
http://news.xinhuanet.com/zilaio/2003-01/20/content_697148.htm
27
30 Review of Global Politics, No.36, October 2011
1989
75 60 55
85 28
29
30 4 Sovremmenyy-class
12
Kilo-class 65,000
Varyag
2012
2015-2020
31
2002 5
132 3.3
French Polynesia32
33
string of
pearls34
31
ORourke, op. cit., p.20.
32
Christopher Yung et al., Chinas Out of Area Naval Operations: Case Studies, Trajectories,
Obstacles, and Potential Solutions (Washington, D.C.: National Defense University Press,
2010), pp.15-19.
33
2004 11 2006 10
26 (Kitty Hawk)
2008 12
2011 11 (Gulf of Aden)
9 2010 3 (the Persian Gulf)
7 8
4
2 3 2 10
(Miyako Strait)2011 2 3
(the Suez Canal)2011
6 8-10
ORourke, op. cit., pp.38-40
34
(Booz Allen Hamilton)
2005 (Department of Defense)(Office of Net Assessment)
(the Arabian Sea)(the Persian Gulf)
(Great Coco)
Y. J. Sithara and N. Fernando,
Chinas Maritime Relations with South Asia: From Confrontation to Co-operation (Part
32 Review of Global Politics, No.36, October 2011
Gwadar
Hambantota
Chittagong
2005 Maldives
35
1998 maritime
confidence building measures
Agreement on Establishing a Consultation Mechanism to
Strengthen Military Marine Safety
36
One), Strategic Analysis Paper (November 24, 2010), p.3; U.S. Presses China on Armed
Submarine Encounter, The Washington Times (January 10, 2007); Chinese Sub Pops up
Undetected Near U.S.S. Kitty Hawk During Exercise,
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/1924031/posts
35
ORourke, op. cit., p.38.
36
2001-2003(
) 67-96
2011 10 33
10
2
Karachi37
2003 11
Gulf of Thailand 200
Kra Isthmus
38
Rouge
States
2001
2002
Treaty of Amity and Cooperation
37
Pehrson, op. cit., p.4.
38
Ibid.
34 Review of Global Politics, No.36, October 2011
the
Regional Cooperation Agreement on Combating Piracy and Armed Robbery
against Ships in Asia, ReCAAP International
Maritime Organizationthe
Cooperative Mechanism for the Malacca and Singapore Straits
39
1991 1
1990 1995 5
1996
1998 40
411964 7 22
The
39
Chris Rahman, Chinas Maritime Strategic Agenda, Policy Analysis (April 28, 2010), p.2.
40
41
468
2011 10 35
42
regimes
1996 5
15
1992 2
25
1998 6
26
12 24
200 200
42
469-471
36 Review of Global Politics, No.36, October 2011
2010
4343
GDP 2007
3151 2.5
GDP 1044 1979 266 45
2011
1998
43
Dean Cheng, Sea Power and the Chinese State: Chinas Maritime Ambitions, Backgrounder
No.2576 (July 11, 2011), p.3.
44
2007 398
45
http://env.people.com.cn/GB/146189/162842/9675029.html
2011 10 37
46
47
freedom of navigation
48
49
46
425
47
David Griffiths, U.S.-China Maritime Confidence Building: Paradigms, Precedents, and
Prospects, China Maritimes Study No.6 (July 2010), p.4.
48
425-430 () 317-331
49
2003 8
(Royal Dutch/Shell Group)(Unico Oil) 5
()
38 Review of Global Politics, No.36, October 2011
2005 2
2+2
50
1962
strategic encirclement
51
2008 2
14
27
50
(2009 ) 426-431
51
S. Hoffman, Perception and China Policy in India, in Francine Frankel and Harry Harding
eds., The India-China Relationship: Rivalry and Engagement (New Delhi: Oxford University
Press, 2004), p.51; C. Arasakumar, Maritime CooperationMantra for Security of the Indian
Ocean, Journal of Indian Ocean Studies, Vol.14, No.1 (2006), pp.61-62.
2011 10 39
Japan-India
Strategic and Global Partnership52
2007
53
2010 7
54
52
Shalendra Sharma, China and India in the Age of Globalization (New York: Cambridge
University Press, 2009), p.179.
53
329-330
54
http://www2.ouc.cn/xyh/detail.asp?cat=A0010&id=450
40 Review of Global Politics, No.36, October 2011
1999
55
balkanization
56
HP1500-2 52 2
1002 1003
2000
1000
6000-8000
China Maritime Surveillance
57
55
1999 11 24
304 22
Lyle Goldstein, Five
Dragons Stirring Up the Sea: Challenge and Opportunities in Chinas Improving Maritime
Enforcement Capabilities, China Maritimes Study No.5 (2010), pp.12-13;
1999.11 http://www.sinic.net.cn/news_show.php?id=8672
56
Goldstein, op. cit., pp.26-27.
57
Ibid., pp.5-21.
2011 10 41
1840
Alfred Mahan
Naval
War CollegeChina Maritime Studies Institute
Lyle Goldstein
---
58
58
Ibid., p.24.