FASTEST-GROWING FLIGHT ROUTES

AROUND THE WORLD

AIRLINE PASSENGER TRAFFIC GROWTH FORECAST 2014-2034 (%)
AVERAGE ANNUAL INCREASE IN REVENUE PASSENGER KILOMETRES, BY REGIONAL FLOW
3.3 4.2 Former Soviet states to other
EUROPE international destinations
FORMER SOVIET STATES

3.3 NORTH-EAST ASIA

NORTH AMERICA

MIDDLE EAST
6.5 CHINA
6.5
3 2.9
2.4
5.9 1.5
6.1
1.8 1.8
5.9 5.4
6.5 4.6
4.9
5.9
6.2
5.4 8
4.7 9.9

3.5 4.3
4.5
5.6 7.3
7.3
6
3
5
7.4 8.9
3.5
5.9 AFRICA 4.1
9.9

7.7 6.3
CENTRAL AMERICA
6.7
SOUTH ASIA
Regional flights SOUTH AMERICA 4.6
Trans-regional flights

4.9 SOUTH-EAST ASIA OCEANIA

World average

7.1

4.5
Source: Boeing 2015
REGIONAL SHARE OF ANNUAL TRAFFIC
SHARE OF REVENUE PASSENGER KILOMETRES

Asia-Pacific

South America CORRELATION BETWEEN GDP AND AIR TRAVEL GROWTH ANNUAL GDP GROWTH 2014-2034 (%)
41% ANNUAL CHANGE IN GLOBAL GDP AND AIR TRAFFIC IN REVENUE PASSENGER KILOMETRES (RPKs)
Middle East m erica S oviet stat
A r e
pe e
th

Form

s
10% 15%

o
Nor

Eur
Africa RPKs (RH scale)
2.5% 1.8% 2.4%
Former Soviet GDP ( LH scale)
states 2004
8% 12%
North America
st ific
ica Ea ac
Europe er

a-P
dle

6% 9%
m

Asi
Mid
Latin A

51% 3.4% 3.8% 4.3%

4% 6%

ca L
2014 2% 3% TA
ri
Af

TO

4.5% 3.1%
0% 0%

62%
-2% -3%
1980

2012
1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

2000
1992

1994

1996

1998

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2014

Source: Sabre/Airbus 2034 Source: IMF/ICAO/IATA 2014 Source: IHS Economics 2015

TOP 10 FASTEST-GROWING ROUTES 2014-2034 2014

CALCULATED IN ANNUAL ORIGIN AND DESTINATION TRAFFIC PER FLOW, IN REVENUE PASSENGER KILOMETRES
2034

Domestic India x5.8

China US x4.1

Middle East - US x4.1

Domestic China x3.8

India - US x3.8

Domestic Asia
(emerging) x3.7

India Middle East x3.4

Asia (advanced)
Asia (emerging) x3.1

Western Europe
China x3

Domestic Brazil 2.9

0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600

Source: Airbus 2015