Short Course

Foresight: Exploring the Future,

Shaping the Present

Manchester Institute of Innovation Research

Manchester Business School, University of Manchester
http://research.mbs.ac.uk/innovation/

Course team:

Professor Ian Miles, Dr Ozcan Saritas, Dr Rafael Popper,

Professor Denis Loveridge, Professor Luke Georghiou,
Jonathan Aylen, Joe Ravetz, and guest speakers

Mrs Lisa Gledhill (course administrator)

1st 5th July 2013

 Short Course Foresight: Horizon-Scanning and Scenarios

Monday 1st July

Time Session Title

09.00 Tea and Coffee and Welcome

09.30 10.00 Introduction and Organising Foresight (Ian Miles)

10.00 10.45 Futures, Forecasts and Foresight (Ian Miles)

10.45 11.00 Tea and Coffee

11.00 11.45 Foresight Principles, Scoping and Organising (Ozcan Saritas)

11.45 12.45 Practical

12.45 13.30 Lunch

13.30 14.30 Methods in Foresight (Rafael Popper)

14.30 14.45 Tea and Coffee

15.00 17.00 Practical

6.30 Dinner - MBS Dining Room

1 Manchester Institute of Innovation Research

 Short Course Foresight: Horizon-Scanning and Scenarios

Tuesday 2nd July

Time Session Title

09.00 10.00 Intelligence and Scanning (Ian Miles)

10.00 10.45 Provocation Wild Cards (Rafael Popper)

10.45 11.00 Tea and Coffee

11.00 11.45 Horizon Scanning Methods and Uses (Rafael Popper)

11.45 12.45 Practical

12.45 13.30 Lunch

13.30 14.30 Using Expert Knowledge: Delphi and Beyond (Rafael Popper)

14.30 14.45 Tea and Coffee

15.00 17.00 Practical

6.30 Dinner MBS Dining Room

2 Manchester Institute of Innovation Research

 Short Course Foresight: Horizon-Scanning and Scenarios

Wednesday 5th July

Time Session Title

09.30 10.00 Wild Fires Introduction (Jonathan Aylen)

10.00 10.45 Quantitative Approaches (Jonathan Aylen)

10.45 11.00 Tea and Coffee

11.00 11.45 Models and Scenarios (Ian Miles)

11.45 12.45 Scenarios (Ian Miles)

12.45 13.30 Lunch

13.30 14.30 Using Scenarios (Gill Ringland)

14.30 - 14.45 Meet at MBS Reception to board coach for trip to MOSI

15.00 17.00 Museum of Science and Industry talk and tour (Jonathan Aylen)

17.15 - Dinner at Ox Noble Pub

3 Manchester Institute of Innovation Research

 Short Course Foresight: Horizon-Scanning and Scenarios

Thursday 4th July

Time Session Title

09.30 10.00 Foresight models & perspectives (Joe Ravetz)

10.00 10.45 The Healthy Cities Agenda (Joe Ravetz)

10.45 11.00 Tea and Coffee

11.00 11.45 Qualitative Models in Health and Wellbeing (Joe Ravetz)

11.45 12.45 Horizon Scanning, Foresight and Modelling for the NHS (Peter Sharp)

12.45 13.30 Lunch

13.30 14.30 From Scenarios to Action Roadmapping (Ozcan Saritas)

14.30 14.45 Tea and Coffee

15.00 17.00 Practical

6.30 Course Dinner Felicini Restaurant, Oxford Road

4 Manchester Institute of Innovation Research

 Short Course Foresight: Horizon-Scanning and Scenarios

Friday 5th July

Time Session Title

9.30 10.00 Action Intro (Ozcan Saritas)

10.00 10.45 Planning for an Emerging Technology (Luke Georghiou)

10.45 11.00 Tea and Coffee

11.00 11.45 Grand Challenges (Denis Loveridge)

11.45 12.45 Practical

12.45 13.30 Lunch

13.30 14.30 Evaluation Foresight (Rafael Popper)

14.30 14.45 Tea and Coffee

14.45 16.00 Practical Reporting Review of Course

16.00 Finish

5 Manchester Institute of Innovation Research

Manchester Institute of Innovation Research

The Manchester Institute of Innovation Research (MIoIR) is the research centre of excellence in the
Manchester Business School (MBS) and The University of Manchester in the field of innovation and
science studies. With more than 50 full members and a range of associated academics from across the
University, MIoIR is Europes largest and one of the Worlds leading research centres in this field.

The Institutes key strengths lie in the linkage and cross-fertilisation of economics, management and
policy around innovation and science. Building on forty years of tradition in innovation and science
studies, the Institutes philosophy is to combine academic rigour with concrete practical relevance for
policy and management. This includes broad engagement with and research for policy makers and
societal and industrial stakeholders in the Manchester City Region, across the UK and internationally.
MIoIR is also firmly committed to a range of teaching activities within and beyond MBS and integrates a
strong and successful PhD programme into its research activities. The Institute has a visitor programme
for academics and management and policy practitioners and provides a range of popular and high level
executive education courses on evaluation, foresight and S&T Policy.

For more information please visit www.mbs.ac.uk/research/portals/innovation/

1 Manchester Institute of Innovation Research