Precio del oro en los ultimos 10 aos

Aos (t) X $$/Oz (Y) X.Y

2006 -5 668.68 -3343.4
2007 -4 920.48 -3681.92
2008 -3 905.64 -2716.92
2009 -2 1081.48 -2162.96
2010 -1 1332.37 -1332.37
2011 0 1667.03 0
2012 1 1656.54 1656.54
2013 2 1229.05 2458.1
2014 3 1231.03 3693.09
2015 4 1118.22 4472.88
2016 5 1217.49 6087.45

Sumatoria n=11 0 13028.01 5130.49

Y=an 13028.01=11*a
Sea nuestra ecuacion :
X.Y=bX*2
Y*=a+bx
Y*=1184.36455+46.6408182X

pasamos a hallar el valor de el error estandar de

estimacion(S)=
S*2= Y*2-aY-bxy
______________
n
 INTER

2500

2000

1500

1000

500

0
2000 2005 2
timos 10 aos Proyeccion del

X*2 Y*2 Aos (t)

25 447132.9424 2006
16 847283.4304 2007
9 820183.8096 2008
4 1169598.9904 2009
1 1775209.8169 2010
0 2778989.0209 2011
1 2744124.7716 2012
4 1510563.9025 2013
9 1515434.8609 2014
16 1250415.9684 2015
25 1482281.9001 2016
2017
2018

110 16341219.4141 2019

2020
2021
a= 1184.364545455 2022
2023
b= 46.6408181818 2024
2025
8182X 2026
2027

ndar de
ERROR ESTANDAR
S*2= 61092.3655454

S= 247.1686986
INTERSECCION DE GRAFICOS DE TENDENCIA

2010 2015 2020

Proyeccion del precio del oro en 10 aos (2006-2027)

X Y*=a+bx Y*-S Y*+S

-5 951.1604545455 703.9917559455 1198.329153
-4 997.8012727273 750.6325741273 1244.969971
PROYECCION DE PRECIOS DEL
-3 1044.4420909091 797.2733923091 1291.61079
-2 1091.0829090909 2500843.9142104909 1338.251608
-1 1137.7237272727 890.5550286727 1384.892426
0 1184.3645454546 937.1958468545 1431.533244
1 1231.0053636364 2000983.8366650364 1478.174062
2 1277.6461818182 1030.4774832182 1524.81488
3 1324.287 1077.1183014 1571.455699
4 1370.9278181818 1123.7591195818
1500 1618.096517
5 1417.5686363636 1170.3999377636 1664.737335
6 1464.2094545455 1217.0407559455 1711.378153
7 1510.8502727273 1263.6815741273
1000 1758.018971

8 1557.4910909091 1310.3223923091 1804.65979

9 1604.1319090909 1356.9632104909 1851.300608

500
10 1650.7727272727 1403.6040286727 1897.941426
11 1697.4135454546 1450.2448468546 1944.582244
12 1744.0543636364 1496.8856650364
0 1991.223062
2000 2005 2010 2015
13 1790.6951818182 1543.5264832182 2037.86388
14 1837.336 1590.1673014 2084.504699
15 1883.9768181818 1636.8081195818 2131.145517
16 1930.6176363636 1683.4489377636 2177.786335

INDICE DE PRECIO DEL ORO (2006-2016)

1800

1600

1400

1200

1000

800

600

400

200

0
2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
 400

200

0
2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

0 2025 2030
DE PRECIOS DEL ORO (2006-2027)

2015 2020 2025 2030

672016.021

2016 2018
2016 2018
 INDICE DE PRECIOS DEL ZIN (2007-2017)

Aos (t) X $$/Oz (Y) X.Y X*2

2007 -5 3610 -18050 25
2008 -4 2261 -9044 16
2009 -3 1519.5 -4558.5 9
2010 -2 1888 -3776 4
2011 -1 2137.65 -2137.65 1
2012 0 1883.4 0 0
2013 1 1833.4 1833.4 1
2014 2 2084.9 4169.8 4
2015 3 2168.25 6504.75 9
2016 4 1870.8 7483.2 16
2017 5 2546.1 12730.5 25

Sumatoria n=11 0 23803 -4844.5 110

Y=an 23803=11*a

X.Y=bX*2

Sea nuestra ecuacion :

Y*=a+bx
Y*=2163909-44.0409X

pasamos a hallar el valor de el error

estandar de estimacion(S)=
S*2= Y*2-aY-bxy
______________
n
017) PROYECCION DE PRECIOS DEL ZINC (20

Y*2 Aos (t) X

13032100 2007 -5
5112121 2008 -4
2308880.25 2009 -3
3564544 2010 -2
4569547.5225 2011 -1
3547195.56 2012 0
3361355.56 2013 1
4346808.01 2014 2
4701308.0625 2015 3
3499892.64 2016 4
6482625.21 2017 5
2018 6
2019 7

54526377.815 2020 8

2021 9
2022 10
a= 2163.90909 2023 11
2024 12
b= -44.0409091 2025 13
2026 14
2027 15
2028 16

9X

ERROR ESTANDAR
S*2= 255044.867

S= 505.019703
CION DE PRECIOS DEL ZINC (2007-2028)

Y*=a+bx Y*-S Y*+S

2384.11364 1879.09393 2889.13334
2340.07273 1835.05302 2845.09243 PROYECION DEL PRECIO DEL ZIN
2296.03182 1791.01212 2801.05152
3500
2251.99091 1746.97121 2757.01061
2207.95 1702.9303 2712.9697 3000
2163.90909 1658.88939 2668.92879
2119.86818 1614.84848 2624.88788 2500
2075.82727 1570.80757 2580.84698
2000
2031.78636 1526.76666 2536.80607
1987.74545 1482.72575 2492.76516 1500
1943.70455 1438.68484 2448.72425
1899.66364 1394.64393 2404.68334 1000

1855.62273 1350.60302 2360.64243 500

1811.58182 1306.56212 2316.60152

0
2005 2010 2015 2020
1767.54091 1262.52121 2272.56061
1723.5 1218.4803 2228.5197
1679.45909 1174.43939 2184.47879
1635.41818 1130.39848 2140.43788
INDICE DE PRECI
1591.37727 1086.35757 2096.39698
4000
1547.33636 1042.31666 2052.35607
1503.29545 998.275752 2008.31516 3500
1459.25455 954.234843 1964.27425 3000

2500

2000

1500

1000

500

0
2006 2008 2010 201

INTERSECION DE
4000

3500

3000

2500

2000

1500

1000
3000

2500

2000

1500

1000

500

0
2005 2010 2015
N DEL PRECIO DEL ZINC (2005-2030)

0 2015 2020 2025 2030

INDICE DE PRECIOS DEL ZINC

2805493.54

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

INTERSECION DE GRAFICOS
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
 INDICE DE PRECIO DEL PLOMO (2007-2017)

Aos (t) X $$/Oz (Y) X.Y

2007 -5 2156 -10780
2008 -4 2137 -8548
2009 -3 1422.5 -4267.5
2010 -2 1779 -3558
2011 -1 2455.35 -2455.35
2012 0 1941.75 0
2013 1 2024.9 2024.9
2014 2 2122.15 4244.3
2015 3 1918.7 5756.1
2016 4 1670.25 6681
2017 5 2101.75 10508.75

Sumatoria n=11 0 21729.35 -393.8

Y=an 21729.35=11*a

X.Y=bX*2

Sea nuestra ecuacion :

Y*=a+bx
Y*=1975.395-3.58X

pasamos a hallar el valor de el error

estandar de estimacion(S)=
S*2= Y*2-aY-bxy
______________
n
PLOMO (2007-2017) PROYECCION DEL PLOM

X*2 Y*2 Aos (t)

25 4648336 2007
16 4566769 2008
9 2023506.25 2009
4 3164841 2010
1 6028743.6225 2011
0 3770393.0625 2012
1 4100220.01 2013
4 4503520.6225 2014
9 3681409.69 2015
16 2789735.0625 2016
25 4417353.0625 2017
2018
2019
110 43694827.383 2020
2021
2022
.35=11*a a= 1975.3954545 2023
2024
b= -3.58 2025
2026
: 2027
2028

.58X

r ERROR ESTANDAR

S*2= 69941.668934

S= 264.4648748
PROYECCION DEL PLOMO EN 10 AOS (2007-2028)

X Y*=a+bx Y*-S Y*+S

-5 1993.29545 1728.83058 2257.76033
-4 1989.71545 1725.25058 2254.18033
-3 1986.13545 1721.67058 2250.60033
-2 1982.55545 1718.09058 2247.02033
-1 1978.97545 1714.51058 2243.44033
0 1975.39545 1710.93058 2239.86033
1 1971.81545 1707.35058 2236.28033
2 1968.23545 1703.77058 2232.70033
INDICE DE P
3 1964.65545 1700.19058 2229.12033
4 1961.07545 1696.61058 2225.54033 3000
5 1957.49545 1693.03058 2221.96033
6 1953.91545 1689.45058 2218.38033 2500
7 1950.33545 1685.87058 2214.80033
2000
8 1946.75545 1682.29058 2211.22033
9 1943.17545 1678.71058 2207.64033 1500
10 1939.59545 1675.13058 2204.06033
1000
11 1936.01545 1671.55058 2200.48033
12 1932.43545 1667.97058 2196.90033
500
13 1928.85545 1664.39058 2193.32033
14 1925.27545 1660.81058 2189.74033 0
2006 2008
15 1921.69545 1657.23058 2186.16033
16 1918.11545 1653.65058 2182.58033

PROYECCION
2500

2000

1500

1000

500

0
2005 2010
 INT
3000

2500

2000

1500

1000

500

0
2005 2010
 INDICE DE PRECIOS DEL PLOMO(2007-2017)
3000

2500

2000

1500

1000

500

0
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

PROYECCION DE PRECIOS DEL769358.358

PLOMO(2007-2028)

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

 INTERSECCION DE GRAFICOS
3000

2500

2000

1500

1000

500

0
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
2030
 INDICE DE PRECIOS DE LA PLATA (2006-2016)

Aos (t) X $$/Oz (Y) X.Y X*2

2006 -5 12.43 -62.15 25
2007 -4 12.87 -51.48 16
2008 -3 17.18 -51.54 9
2009 -2 13.88 -27.76 4
2010 -1 18.53 -18.53 1
2011 0 35.75 0 0
2012 1 28.48 28.48 1
2013 2 21.66 43.32 4
2014 3 19.55 58.65 9
2015 4 17.4 69.6 16
2016 5 16.6 83 25

Sumatoria n=11 0 214.33 71.59 110

Y=an 214.33=11*a

X.Y=bX*2

Sea nuestra ecuacion :

Y*=a+bx
Y*=19.4845455+0.65081818
X

pasamos a hallar el valor de el error

estandar de estimacion(S)=
S*2= Y*2-aY-bxy
______________
n
2016) PROYECCION DE LA PLATA (2006-2027)

Y*2 Aos (t) X Y*=a+bx

154.5049 2006 -5 16.2304545
165.6369 2007 -4 16.8812727
295.1524 2008 -3 17.5320909
192.6544 2009 -2 18.1829091
343.3609 2010 -1 18.8337273
1278.0625 2011 0 19.4845455
811.1104 2012 1 20.1353636
469.1556 2013 2 20.7861818
382.2025 2014 3 21.437
302.76 2015 4 22.0878182
275.56 2016 5 22.7386364
2017 6 23.3894545
2018 7 24.0402727

4670.1605 2019 8 24.6910909

2020 9 25.3419091
2021 10 25.9927273
a= 19.4845455 2022 11 26.6435455
2023 12 27.2943636
b= 0.65081818 2024 13 27.9451818
2025 14 28.596
2026 15 29.2468182
2027 16 29.8976364

081818

ERROR ESTANDAR

S*2= 40.6768908

S= 6.37784374
LA PLATA (2006-2027)

Y*-S Y*+S
9.8526108 22.6082983
10.503429 23.2591165 INDICE DE PRECI
11.1542472 23.9099347
11.8050653 24.5607528 40
12.4558835 25.211571
13.1067017 25.8623892 35
13.7575199 26.5132074
14.4083381 27.1640256
15.0591563 27.8148437 30

15.7099744 28.4656619
16.3607926 29.1164801 25
17.0116108 29.7672983
17.662429 30.4181165
20
18.3132472 31.0689347

18.9640653 31.7197528 15
19.6148835 32.370571
20.2657017 33.0213892 10
20.9165199 33.6722074
21.5673381 34.3230256 5

22.2181563 34.9738437
22.8689744 35.6246619 0
23.5197926 36.2754801 2004 2006 2008 20

PROYECCION DE PREC
40

35

30

25

20

15

10

5
15

10

0
2000 2005 2010

INT
40

35

30

25

20

15

10

0
2000 2005 201
 INDICE DE PRECIOS DE LA PLATA (2006-2016)

6 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

447.445799
PROYECCION DE PRECIOS DE LA PLATA (2006-2027)
 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

INTERSECCION DE GRAFICOS

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

2018
 2030

025 2030