HIDROLOGIA GENERAL

METODO DE GUMBEL:
N AO Q(m3/ Q2
s)
1 1980 33.7 1135.69
2 1981 46.8 2190.24
3 1982 56.9 3237.61
4 1983 26.6 707.56
5 1984 39.6 1568.16
6 1985 87.1 7586.41
7 1986 64.2 4121.64
8 1987 21.3 453.69
9 1988 40.4 1632.16
10 1989 39.6 1568.16
11 1990 46.8 2190.24
12 1991 28.9 835.21
13 1992 96.9 9389.61
14 1993 41.7 1738.89
15 1994 56.4 3180.96
16 1995 44.4 1971.36
17 1996 26.8 718.24
18 1997 33.3 1108.89
19 1998 164.6 27093.1
6
20 1999 79.1 6256.81
21 2000 45.7 2088.49
22 2001 39.2 1536.64
23 2002 58.5 3422.25
24 2003 66.4 4408.96
25 2004 51 2601
26 2005 43.9 1927.21
27 2006 37.6 1413.76

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 HIDROLOGIA GENERAL
28 2007 29.8 888.04
TOTAL= 1447. 96971.0
2 4

Q
Qm= N

1447 . 2 m3 /s
Q m= 28 = 51.69 m 3/s

2
Q 2N ( Qm )
Q = N1

2
96971.0428 ( 51.69 )
Q = 28.1 = 28.12

Q
Q MAX= Q m - N (N-ln T)
28. 12
Q MIN= 51.69 - 1 .1047 (0.5343-ln T)

Q MIN =38.08+25.46 ln T
CALCULO DEL CAUDAL MAXIMO PARA DIFERENTES T:

T= 25 AOS =120.03 m 3/s

T= 50 AOS=137.67 m 3/s

T=75 AOS=147.99 m 3/s

T=100AOS= 155.32m 3/s

CALCULO DE :

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 HIDROLOGIA GENERAL
1
1
T=25 aos: = 25 =0.96
1
1
T=50 aos: = 50 =0.98
1
1
T=75 aos: = 75 =0.99
1
1
T=100 aos: = 100 =0.99

CALCULO DE INTERVALO DE CONFIANZA:

1 . 14 x Q
Q= N

1 . 14 x 28 . 12
Q= 1 . 1047 = 29.02 m 3/s

CALCULO DEL CAUDAL DE DISEO:

Q d=120.03 m 3/s + 29.02 m 3/s = 149.05 m 3/s

Q d=137.67 m 3/s + 29.02 m 3/s = 166.69 m 3/s

Q d=147.99 m 3/s + 29.02 m 3/s = 177.01 m 3/s

Q d=155.32m 3/s + 29.02 m 3/s = 184.34 m 3/s

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 HIDROLOGIA GENERAL

METODO DE GUMBEL:
m Q T T/(T- X Q x X Q2 X2
1)
1 164.6 29.00 1.04 -1.82 -299.08 27093.1 3.30
6
2 96.9 14.50 1.07 -1.51 -146.14 9389.61 2.27
3 87.1 9.67 1.12 -1.32 -115.32 7586.41 1.75
4 79.1 7.25 1.16 -1.19 -94.19 6256.81 1.42
5 66.4 5.80 1.21 -1.09 -72.06 4408.96 1.18
6 64.2 4.83 1.26 -1.00 -64.01 4121.64 0.99
7 58.5 4.14 1.32 -0.92 -53.87 3422.25 0.85
8 56.9 3.63 1.38 -0.85 -48.55 3237.61 0.73
9 56.4 3.22 1.45 -0.79 -44.68 3180.96 0.63
10 51 2.90 1.53 -0.74 -37.54 2601 0.54
11 46.8 2.64 1.61 -0.68 -32.00 2190.24 0.47
12 46.8 2.42 1.71 -0.63 -29.70 2190.24 0.40
13 45.7 2.23 1.81 -0.59 -26.87 2088.49 0.35
14 44.4 2.07 1.93 -0.54 -24.12 1971.36 0.30
15 43.9 1.93 2.07 -0.50 -21.95 1927.21 0.25
16 41.7 1.81 2.23 -0.46 -19.09 1738.89 0.21
17 40.4 1.71 2.42 -0.42 -16.83 1632.16 0.17
18 39.6 1.61 2.64 -0.38 -14.88 1568.16 0.14
19 39.6 1.53 2.90 -0.33 -13.27 1568.16 0.11
20 39.2 1.45 3.22 -0.29 -11.52 1536.64 0.09

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 HIDROLOGIA GENERAL
21 37.6 1.38 3.63 -0.25 -9.49 1413.76 0.06
22 33.7 1.32 4.14 -0.21 -7.06 1135.69 0.04
23 33.3 1.26 4.83 -0.16 -5.49 1108.89 0.03
24 29.8 1.21 5.80 -0.12 -3.49 888.04 0.01
25 28.9 1.16 7.25 -0.07 -1.89 835.21 0.004
26 26.8 1.12 9.67 -0.01 -0.17 718.24 0.0000
4
27 26.6 1.07 14.50 0.06 1.73 707.56 0.004
28 21.3 1.04 29.00 0.17 3.52 453.69 0.03
TOTAL 1447. -16.64 - 96971.0 16.33
= 2 1208.01 4

CALCULO DE Q m Y X m:
Q 1447 . 2 m3 /s
Qm= N = 28 =51.69 m3/s
X 16.64
Xm = N = 28 = -0.5942

CALCULO DE LOS PARAMETROS a Y b:

N

X i Qi N X m Qm
i=1
b= N

X 2i N X 2m
i=1

1208 . 0128 (0 .5942 ) x 51 .69

b= 16 . 3328 (0 . 5942 )2 = 13.12

a= Qm-bXm
a=51.69-13.12(-0.5942)=59.48

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 HIDROLOGIA GENERAL
CALCULO DEL CAUDAL MAXIMO:

QMAX=59.48-13.12 loglog ( T T1 )

T=25 AOS=82.46 m3/s

T=50 AOS=86.46 m3/s
T=75 AOS=88.79 m3/s
T=100 AOS=90.44 m3/s

CALCULO DE LAS DESVIACIONES ESTANDAR Y

CORARIANZA:
2

SXX= N X i - ( X i )
2

( 16.33 )( 16.64 )2
SXX= 28 = 180.46

2
Sqq= N Q - ( Q )
2
i i

( 1447 .2 )2
Sqq= 28 (96971.04)- = 620 801.28

Sxq= N Q x - ( Q ) ( x
i i i i

Sxq= 28 (-1208.01)- (1447.2)

( 16 . 64
=-9
744.68
CALCULO DEL INTERVALO DE CONFIANZA:

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 HIDROLOGIA GENERAL

T=25 aos=loglog ( TT1 ) = loglog ( 2524 ) =-1.75

T=50 aos= loglog ( TT1 ) = loglog ( 5049 ) =-

2.06

T=75 aos= loglog ( T T1 ) = loglog ( 7574 ) =-

2.23

T=100 aos= loglog ( T T1 ) = loglog ( 100

99 ) =-
2.36

Q=2 2
S qq
N ( N1 )
+ ( X X m )
1 1
2

N 2 S xx
S
(
Sqq xq
S xx )

T=25 aos:

Q=2 620 801 .28 (

282 (281 )
+ 1 .75+ 0 .5942 ) 2 1 1
282 180. 45
620 (
801. 28
9744 . 682
180 . 46 )

Q=24 203.61
T=50 aos:

Q=2
620 801 .28 (
2
28 (281 )
+ 2 . 06+0 . 5942 )
2 1 1
282 180 . 45 (
620 801 .28
9744 .68
180 . 46 )

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 HIDROLOGIA GENERAL

Q=25 925.91

T=75 aos:

Q=2 620 801 .28 (

282 (281 )
+ 2 . 23+0 .5942 ) 2 1 1
(
282 180 . 45
620 801. 28
9744 . 682
180. 46 )

Q=26 823.49
T=100 aos:

Q=2
620 801 .28 (
2
28 (281 )
+ 2 . 36+0 . 5942)
2 1
282 180
1
. 45(620 801. 28
9744 .68
180 . 46 )

Q=27 490.11

CALCULO DE DISEO:

Q d= PARA T=25 AOS=82.46 + 24 203.61 =24 286.07

m 3/s

Q d= PARA T=50 AOS=86.46 + 25 925.91 =26 012.38

m 3/s

Q d= PARA T=75 AOS=88.79 + 26 823.49=26

912.29m 3/s

Q d= PARA T=100 AOS=90.44 + 27 490.11=27

580.56m 3/s

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 HIDROLOGIA GENERAL

METODO DE LEBEDIEV:
AO Q(m3/s (Q/Qm)-1 [(Q/Qm)-1]^2 [(Q/Qm)-
) 1]^3
1980 33.7 -0.35 0.12 -0.04
1981 46.8 -0.09 0.01 0.00
1982 56.9 0.10 0.01 0.00
1983 26.6 -0.49 0.24 -0.11
1984 39.6 -0.23 0.05 -0.01
1985 87.1 0.69 0.47 0.32
1986 64.2 0.24 0.06 0.01
1987 21.3 -0.59 0.35 -0.20
1988 40.4 -0.22 0.05 -0.01

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 HIDROLOGIA GENERAL
1989 39.6 -0.23 0.05 -0.01
1990 46.8 -0.09 0.01 0.00
1991 28.9 -0.44 0.19 -0.09
1992 96.9 0.87 0.76 0.67
1993 41.7 -0.19 0.04 -0.01
1994 56.4 0.09 0.01 0.00
1995 44.4 -0.14 0.02 0.00
1996 26.8 -0.48 0.23 -0.11
1997 33.3 -0.36 0.13 -0.05
1998 164.6 2.18 4.77 10.42
1999 79.1 0.53 0.28 0.15
2000 45.7 -0.12 0.01 0.00
2001 39.2 -0.24 0.06 -0.01
2002 58.5 0.13 0.02 0.00
2003 66.4 0.28 0.08 0.02
2004 51 -0.01 0.00 0.00
2005 43.9 -0.15 0.02 0.00
2006 37.6 -0.27 0.07 -0.02
2007 29.8 -0.42 0.18 -0.08
TOTAL= 1447.2 8.30 10.84
PROMEDIO 51.69
=

CALCULO DE Q m :
Q 1447 . 2 m3 /s
Qm= N = 28 =51.69 m3/s

CALCULO DE COEFICIENTE DE VARIACION C V:

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 HIDROLOGIA GENERAL

2
Q
CV= ( Qm
1 ) = 8.30
28 =0.54
N

DETERMINACION DEL COEFICIENTE DE ASIMETRIA

C S:
3
Q
CS =
( Qm
1
) =
10 . 84
28 x 0 .54 3 =2.46
3
N CS

CONSIDERANDO QUE AVENIDA ES PRODUCIDA POR

UNA TORMENTA, SE TIENE:

CS=3 x CV= 3 x 0.54 =1.62

SE ESCOGE EL MAYOR, POR LO TANTO SE OBTIENE:
CS=2.46

OBTENCION DEL COEFICIENTE K:

1
P= 25 =0.4 =4%

Con P=4% y CS=2.46, de la tabla se obtiene

K=2.31

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 HIDROLOGIA GENERAL

1
P= 50 =0.02 =2%
Con P=2% y CS=2.46, de la tabla se obtiene
K=3.05

1
P= 75 =0.01 =1%
Con P=1% y CS=2.46, de la tabla se obtiene
K=3.82

1
P= 100 =0.01 =1%
Con P=1% y CS=2.46, de la tabla se obtiene
K=3.82
CALCULO DE Er:

Para p=4% y CV=0.54; Se obtiene Er=0.88

Para p=2% y CV=0.54; Se obtiene Er=0.89
Para p=1% y CV=0.54; Se obtiene Er=0.90
Para p=1% y CV=0.54; Se obtiene Er=0.90
CALCULO DEL CAUDAL MAXIMO:

QMAX=Qm(Er x Cv+1)
Para T=25 aos: 51.69 (0.88 x
0.54+1)=76.25 m3/S

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 HIDROLOGIA GENERAL
Para T=50 aos: 51.69 (0.89 x
0.54+1)=76.53 m3/S
Para T=25 aos: 51.69 (0.90 x
0.54+1)=76.81 m3/S
Para T=25 aos: 51.69 (0.90 x
0.54+1)=76.81 m3/S
CALCULO DEL INTERVALO DE CONFIANZA:
Ax E r x Qmax
Q= N

T=25 aos:

1 . 00 x 0 . 88 x 76 . 25
Q= 28 =12.68 m3/s

T=50 aos:

1 . 00 x 0 . 89 x 76 . 53
Q= 28 =12.87 m3/s

T=75 aos:

1 . 00 x 0 . 90 x 76 . 81
Q= 28 =13.06 m3/s

T=100 aos:

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 HIDROLOGIA GENERAL

1 . 00 x 0 . 90 x 76 . 81
Q= 28 =13.06 m3/s

CALCULO DE DISEO:

-T=25 AOS:

Qd=76.25 + 12.68 = 88.93 m3/s

-T=50 AOS:

Qd=76.53 + 12.87 = 89.40 m3/s

- T=75 AOS:

Qd=76.81 + 13.06 = 89.57 m3/s

-T=100 AOS:

Qd=76.81 + 13.06 = 89.57 m3/s

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