NOVA SCOTIA - MAY 1-2, 2017
Methodology
Mainstreet surveyed a stratied random sample of
1,000 Nova Scotians from May 1-2, 2017 through
Chimera IVR. Respondents were screened to
conrm voting eligibility. Landline and Cell lines
were included. Responses were weighed using
demographic information to targets based on the
2011 Census.
The margin of error for survey results is 3.1
percentage points, 19 times out of 20. For Halax
CMA specic results, the margin of error is 4.76
percentage points, 19 times out of 20. For Rest of
Nova Scotia specic results, the margin of error is
4.08 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The
response rate for this survey was 4%.
About Mainstreet
With 20 years of political experience at all three
levels of government, President and CEO Quito
Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian
public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet
Research has provided accurate snapshots of
public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP
government in Alberta, a majority Liberal
government in British Columbia and a majority
Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has
been the most accurate polling rm in several by
elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral
election. Most recently, Mainstreet Research was
the only polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal
majority government in the 2015 federal election.
Contact Information
In Ottawa: Quito Maggi, President
quito@mainstreetresearch.ca
In Montral: David Valentin, Executive Vice
President. david@mainstreetresearch.ca
In Toronto: Dr. Joseph Angolano, Vice President
joseph@mainstreetresearch.ca
Find us online at:
www.mainstreetresearch.ca
twitter.com/MainStResearch
facebook.com/mainstreetresearch
LIBERALS LEAD AS CAMPAIGN BEGINS

May 4, 2017 (Ottawa, ON) A new Mainstreet/iPolitics poll nds the Liberals out front as the campaign
begins. The Mainstreet/iPolitics poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

The Liberals led by Stephen McNeil appear poised to win re-election in Nova Scotia as the campaign
begins, said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. The lead outside the Halifax area is
signicantly higher than in greater Halifax, but the undecided rate is also higher. The opposition NDP and
Progressive Conservatives are very close, just 3 points separate them among all voters, the NDP with a
slight advantage at (22%) vs PCs at 19%.

The race to watch is in the Greater Halifax region where the NDP trails the Liberals by just 3 points,
(28%-25%) among all voters with over 2 in 10 voters still undecided (22%) and the PCs registering a solid
22% as well. The vote splitting here does not favour the NDP and if they are to make gains they will need to
look to undecided voters.

In the rest of Nova Scotia, the incumbent Liberals enjoy a comfortable 13 point lead among all voters (35%)
over the PCs (22%) and the NDP registers in the mid teens (14%). Here we see a higher undecided rate with
over 1 in 4 voters indicating they have not decided how they will vote.

There are some signicant dierences in the demographics of the support as well. The Stephen McNeil led
Liberals enjoy the support of 47% of decided and leaning men, that is in contrast to just 38% decided and
leaning among women. The support for the Stephen McNeil led Liberals is also markedly higher among
older Nova Scotians with 53% support among those over 65, 49% among those between 50 to 64, and just
30% among those 35 to 49 years of age. It increases to 37% among those under 35.

Jamie Baillie's support is consistent except among those 35 to 49 years of age where his support is highest
by far at 42%. He is also much more popular with women voters, registering 32% support compared to just
26% among decided and leaning men voters.

The Gary Burrill led NDP has consistent support except among those over 65 years of age where they have
just 16% support among decided and leaning. That number should be cause for concern for the NDP as
older voters tend to vote in greater numbers and they must make gains in that group to have any chance
of making gains, nished Maggi.
-30-

For additional information or to arrange an interview, contact:

David Valentin, Executive Vice-President, (514) 913-5524 - david@mainstreetresearch.ca

Among All Voters
 HALIFAX CMA NON-HALIFAX CMA

Bedford Annapolis
Clayton Park West Antigonish
Cole Harbour-Eastern Passage Argyle-Barrington
Cole Harbour-Portland Valley Cape Breton Centre
Dartmouth East Cape Breton-Richmond
Dartmouth North Chester-St. Margaret's
Dartmouth South Clare-Digby
Eastern Shore Colchester North
Fairview-Clayton Park Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley
Halifax Armdale Cumberland North
Halifax Atlantic Cumberland South
Halifax Chebucto Glace Bay
Halifax Citadel-Sable Island GuysboroughEastern ShoreTracadie
Halifax Needham Hammonds Plains-Lucasville
Preston-Dartmouth Hants East
Sackville-Beaver Bank Hants West
Sackville-Cobequid Inverness
Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank Kings North
Kings South
Kings West
Lunenburg
Lunenburg West
Northside-Westmount
Pictou Centre
Pictou East
Pictou West
Queens-Shelburne
Sydney River-Mira-Louisbourg
Sydney-Whitney Pier
Timberlea-Prospect
TruroBible HillMillbrookSalmon River
Victoria-The Lakes
Yarmouth