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MORGAN STANLEY

March 29, 1993

Biotechnology Eric M. Hecht, M.D (212) 703-6241

Gilead Sciences (GILD): Covered With Gold


Price Dividend Rate Earnings P/S P/ E Est 5Yr Growth
On 4/1 /93 $12 Current 1992A ($ 0.40) NM Revenues NM
52-Wk.Rng $1 0-20 12/93E 1993E (1.46) NM Earnings NM
S&P5 0 0 451 CurYld 1994E (1.82) NM Dividend NM
CommonStock Data Valuation Benchmarks BookCapitalization 12/31 9/ 2
AvgShs 18 .6MM Bk Val/Sh93E $7.5 Csh Em/Sh93E NM LT Debt 0%
M ktVal $220 MM BkVal/Sh94E $5.9 Csh Em/Sh94E NM Other 0%
Beta ROE93E NM P/CE93E NM Shareholder Eq 100%
Options ROE94E NM P/CE94E NM TotalCapital $144MM
* Fiscal year ending in March

Novel Antiviral Agents


Summary and Investment Conclusion
Gilead is an emerging pharmaceutical company focused on
We are reiterating our buy recommendation on Gilead,
the development of nucleic acids as therapeutic compounds.
ased upon the outlook for two novel antiviral drugs in
Nucleic acids are the building blocks of DNA, and
clinical development for the treatment of AIDS and AIDS
numerous antiviral and anti-cancer drugs are currently
related infections, and on estimated calendar 1997 earnings
based upon their structure and function. By focusing on
per share of $2.82.
nucleic acids, Gilead hopes to become a leader in the
We expect to see Phase 2 data from both compounds in development of this class of molecules as therapeutic
1993. If these results are positive, Gilead's stock should compounds. To date, Gilead has demonstrated that each of
appreciate considerably. Our 12-month target price is its programs is innovative and promising. We will discuss
$23/share. each program, but our investment thesis is based upon the
antiviral program, which is the-most mature.
Our valuation model is anchored by GS504, the company's
lead anti-cytomegalovirus compound, which we estimate to Gilead has developed several novel antiviral agents, which
have a present value of $12 per share. The company's function in a manner similar to other drugs of the same
follow-on compound GS393, its strong balance sheet, and class (AZT, acyclovir, etc.). In comparison to these drugs,
other research programs in antisense and drug discovery however, Gilead's antiviral agents appear to be more potent
provide valuation support estimated at $II/share. and less toxic, and they stay active for longer periods of
time. Their lead compound, GS504, is currently in Phase 2

This memorandum is based on information available to the public. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. This memorandum is not an offer
to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell the securities mentioned. Morgan Stanley & Co. Inc. and others associated with it may have positions in
and effect transactions in securities of companies mentioned and may also perform or seek to perform investment banking services for those companies.

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