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Earth's climate is always changing. In the past, Earth's climate has gone
through warmer and cooler periods, each lasting thousands of years.
Observations show that Earth's climate has been warming. Its average
temperature has risen a little more than one degree Fahrenheit during the past
100 years or so. This amount may not seem like much. But small changes in
Earth's average temperature can lead to big impacts.
Some causes of climate change are natural. These include changes in Earth's
orbit and in the amount of energy coming from the sun. Ocean changes and
volcanic eruptions are also natural causes of climate change.
Most scientists think that recent warming can't be explained by nature alone.
Most scientists say it's very likely that most of the warming since the mid-
1900s is due to the burning of coal, oil and gas. Burning these fuels is how we
produce most of the energy that we use every day. This burning adds heat-
trapping gases, such as carbon dioxide, into the air. These gases are called
greenhouse gases.
What Is the Forecast for Earth's Climate
Scientists use climate models to predict how Earth's climate will change.
Climate models are computer programs with mathematical equations. They
are programmed to simulate past climate as accurately as possible. This gives
scientists some confidence in a climate model's ability to predict the future.
Climate models predict that Earth's average temperature will keep rising over
the next 100 years or so. There may be a year or years where Earth's average
temperature is steady or even falls. But the overall trend is expected to be up.
Some impacts already are occurring. For example, sea levels are rising, and
snow and ice cover is decreasing. Rainfall patterns and growing seasons are
changing.
Further sea-level rise and melting of snow and ice are likely as Earth warms.
The warming climate likely will cause more floods, droughts and heat waves.
The heat waves may get hotter, and hurricanes may get stronger.
Some NASA satellites and instruments observe Earth's land, air, water and
ice. Others monitor the sun and the amount of energy coming from it.
Together, these observations are important for knowing the past and present
state of Earth's climate. They are important for understanding how Earth's
climate works. And they are important for predicting future climate change.
The United States and other countries are taking steps to limit or reduce
greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. These steps include using energy more
efficiently and using more clean energy. Clean energy is energy that puts less
or no greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. The sun, wind and water are
sources of clean energy.
Many nations, states and communities are planning for climate change
impacts that may be unavoidable. For example, some coastal areas are
planning for flooding and land loss that may result from rising sea levels.
You can help by using less energy and water. For example, turn off lights and
TVs when you leave a room. And turn off the water when brushing your teeth.
You can help by planting trees, which absorb carbon dioxide from the
atmosphere.
Another way to help is by learning about Earth and its climate. The more you
know about how Earth's climate works, the more you'll be able to help solve
problems related to climate change.
Tropical, Rainy
This segment represents large areas which lie to the North and South
of the Equatorial belt around the middle of the earth. They are
characterized by frequent rain and hottest temperatures over 64.4F.
Places like Thailand and Brazil would be considered tropical.
Dry
These areas are characterized more by precipitation than by raw
temperature. An area that loses more moisture to evaporation than it
receives in rain would be considered dry. These areas tend to have
very high temperatures and are generally located along the Equator.
Much of Africa and the Middle East falls into this category.
Mild, Humid
These are the largest sections. They are characterized by temperatures
that generally stay below 64F but do not go below 26.6F. Much of the
United States and Europe fall in these areas.
Snowy, Forest
The colder parts of Europe, Asia, The Americas and Australia fall into
the category where their cold temperatures venture below 26.6F and
their highs rarely go above 50F.
Polar
These are the coldest areas and would include much of Canada,
Alaska, the Arctic and Antarctica. The Polar regions never see a day
above 50.
Asia
Stormy weather
Whats happening?
o The strongest U.S. tornadoes have not become more frequent in
the last 50 years. Reports of weaker tornadoes are increasing as
more people watch for them.
o Based on data since the 1970s, the most intense hurricanes
(those ranked Category 4 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson scale)
make up an increasing fraction of tropical cyclones worldwide.
o Sea-surface temperatures have increased in the parts of the
Atlantic and Pacific where warm water fuels hurricanes over the
last century. The warming is more likely due to human-produced
climate change than natural cycles, according to research
reported in June and September 2006.
Changes in ecosystems
Plant life
Whats happening?Huge swaths of forest in Canada, Alaska, and Russia have
been ravaged over the last decade by forest fires, fed by record summer heat
and drought. These fires add large amounts of carbon dioxide, which is also
the major human-produced greenhouse gas, to the atmosphere. However, a
2006 study found that high-latitude fires may have an overall cooling effect in
the long term, as snowfall on the newly exposed ground reflects winter
sunlight for many years afterward.
As the climate warms, forests are also moving north into land that was once
Arctic tundra. These trees will act to warm the climate by darkening the
surface.
Wildlife
Whats happening?
Some animal species are already shifting toward higher elevations or
higher latitudes, as warming intersects with other natural and human-
produced environmental change. A landmark 2003 survey found that
more than a third of 677 species examined had been affected by
climate change, moving an average of 3.7 miles poleward per decade
and/or 20 feet up in elevation. Pika, diminutive rodents found in
mountainous parts of North America and Asia, have disappeared from
more than half of their range in the U.S. Great Basin in the last century.
A 2006 report based on 800 scientific studies concludes that many
species cannot keep pace with climate change and face extinction.
Warmer ocean temperatures, most evident during El Nio events, have
weakened or killed off coral species during "bleaching" incidents. More
than 15% of the worlds reefs were damaged by ocean warming
associated with the 199798 El Nio. Warming waters and related
changes are also helping push some algae, plankton, and fish species
poleward.