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REVIEW ARTICLE
Contents
Abstract. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
1. The Decision Problem. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
2. The Independent Evidence Review Group (ERG) Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
2.1 Clinical Evidence Provided by the Manufacturer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
2.1.1 Critique of Clinical Evidence and Interpretation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
2.2 Cost-Effectiveness Evidence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
2.2.1 Critique of Cost-Effectiveness Evidence and Interpretation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
2.3 Conclusions of the ERG Report . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
3. Key Methodological Issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
4. National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence Guidance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
4.1 Consideration of Clinical and Cost-Effectiveness Issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
4.1.1 Titration of Allopurinol and Sequential Therapies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
4.1.2 Sequential Therapies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
4.1.3 The Relationship between Serum Uric Acid Levels and Clinical Outcomes. . . . . . . . . . . . .
4.1.4 The Exploratory Modelling Presented Following the Appraisal Consultation Document . .
4.2 Outcome of Appraisal Committee Meetings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
5. Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Abstract
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The clinical evidence was derived from two head-to-head, phase III, multiarm, randomized, double blind, controlled trials comparing the efficacy and
safety of febuxostat with fixed-dose allopurinol (300/100 mg/day) in patients
with hyperuricaemia and gout. The ERG considered that the trials were of
reasonable methodological quality and measured a clinically relevant range
of outcomes. Although a simple pooled analysis of the individual patientlevel data from the two trials was undertaken, the statistical approach for
combining the data was considered inappropriate by the ERG as it failed to
preserve randomization and introduced bias and confounding. There was
substantial uncertainty in the relationships reported by the manufacturer
regarding serum uric acid levels and the incidence of gout flares and underlying patient utility. The mathematical model developed was flawed and was
not corrected despite ERG comments. It focused only on patients receiving
febuxostat (80 mg/day titrated to 120 mg/day if necessary) with fixed-dose
allopurinol (300/100 mg/day). Sequential treatment was not modeled, nor was
titrating allopurinol to 900 mg/day, which is regarded as best practice. Numerous other errors were identified, which included the uncertain price of
febuxostat being sampled within the probabilistic sensitivity analyses. Supplementary exploratory modelling addressing the position of febuxostat
where patients were intolerant or contraindicated to allopurinol was provided
to the NICE Appraisal Committee following the release of the appraisal
consultation document.
The NICE Appraisal Committee concluded that febuxostat be recommended as an option for the management of chronic hyperuricaemia in gout
only for people who are intolerant to allopurinol or for whom allopurinol is
contraindicated.
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ed within a database held by a third-party consultancy. sUA levels were categorized into four
groups: sUA 360 mmol/L; sUA >360 mmol/L and
480 mmol/L; sUA >480 mmol/L and 600 mmol/L;
and sUA >600 mmol/L.
2.1.1 Critique of Clinical Evidence and
Interpretation
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Clinical experts indicated to the AC that allopurinol was widely used as a first-line treatment
option and that best practice would allow dose
titration to 900 mg/day, where necessary. The AC
concluded that omitting the possibility that allopurinol could be titrated would be significantly
favourable to febuxostat. During the appeal it
was iterated that the decision not to recommend
febuxostat as a second-line treatment was deliberate as there was no evidence to suggest that
Pharmacoeconomics 2011; 29 (2)
The AC discussed the uncertainty in the relationship between sUA levels and the incidence
of gout flares. It was concluded that the relationship was not fully understood, but it was accepted
that as sUA concentration levels increased above
6 mg/100 mL it was likely that symptoms would
be more frequent.
At the request of the AC, the ERG calculated
the proportion of overall QALY gain reported for
febuxostat in the manufacturers submission that
was associated with a reduction in the incidence of
gout flares and the proportion of overall QALY
gain associated with a long-term utility gain due to
being in a lower sUA category.[19] This analysis
indicated that, in the manufacturers submission,
the QALY gain associated with a long-term utility
gain due to reduced sUA levels was over five times
greater than the QALY gain associated with a reduced number of gout flares.
The uncertainty in the relationship between
sUA levels and long-term utility was discussed, in
conjunction with the fact that the modelled
QALY gain was largely driven by this value. The
AC was concerned that although a relationship
may be plausible this was not clearly established.
The AC was persuaded that, if all of the longterm utility gain associated with lower sUA levels
was removed, then the cost-effectiveness ratio
would underestimate the long-term benefit of
treatment; however, the AC noted that the basecase cost-effectiveness ratio against fixed-dose
allopurinol would be likely to be within the range
of d15 00081 000 per QALY gained.
2011 Adis Data Information BV. All rights reserved.
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allopurinol in accordance with national guidelines) rather than current clinical practice, and
healthcare professionals should be encouraged to
dose titrate where necessary.
Acknowledgements
This project was funded by the National Institute for
Health Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment
Programme (project number 07/69/01) and will be published
as part of a compendium of ERG articles in Health Technology Assessment. See the HTA programme website for further
project information (http://www.hta.ac.uk). This summary of
the ERG report was compiled after the ACs review.
The authors acknowledge the clinical advice provided by
Dr Kelsey Jordan and Dr Michael Snaith, who are consultant
rheumatologists. The views and opinions expressed therein
are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of
NICE or the Department of Health.
The authors have no conflicts of interest that are directly
relevant to the content of this review.
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