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Express Overview
One of the largest specialty retail apparel companies with over $2 billion in annual sales
Sales Profile
Footprint
1 For the fiscal year ended January 30, 2016. 2 Excludes other revenue of $45 million. 3 January 28, 2017 projection.
Investment Thesis
Attractive customer demographic profile targeting both women and men between 20 and 30 years old
Net sales of $2.3 billion and EBITDA of $238 million for the 52-weeks ended October 29, 2016 1
Sound balance sheet with over $100 million in cash and no debt 2
1 EBITDA is earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA is a Non-GAAP financial measure. Refer to pages 30-35 for information about Non-GAAP
financial measures and reconciliations of GAAP to Non-GAAP financial measures.
2 As of the quarterly period ended October 29, 2016.
Karlie
Kloss
Kris
Bryant
Casual
Jeanswear
Going Out
Teens
Online:
Amazon
ASOS
20-30s
Our Strategy
Investment Thesis
Attractive customer demographic profile targeting both women and men between 20 and 30 years old
Net sales of $2.3 billion and EBITDA of $238 million for the 52-weeks ended October 29, 2016 1
Sound balance sheet with over $100 million in cash and no debt 2
1 EBITDA is earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA is a Non-GAAP financial measure. Refer to pages 30-35 for information about Non-GAAP
financial measures and reconciliations of GAAP to Non-GAAP financial measures.
2 As of the quarterly period ended October 29, 2016.
Optimize
Retail &
Expand Outlet
Real Estate
EXPRESS
Why
Invest in Express?
e-Commerce
Growth
10
+11% in 2015
E-Commerce Sales
$ in millions
% of Total Sales
11
Total Stores
Total store count and net square footage
growth up slightly in recent years
Store Count1
# of Stores
Net Sq Ft Growth 3%
3%
3%
1%
2%
0%
1%
12
Retail Stores
13
Outlet Stores
% of Total Stores
14
Omni-channel initiatives
15
Transform IT
Systems
Leverage IT
Systems
Ability to conduct planning and allocation to a more precise level across channels
16
Savings By Category
17
Collaborative
Authentic
Resilient
18
Financial Discussion
Investment Thesis
Attractive customer demographic profile targeting both women and men between 20 and 30 years old
Net sales of $2.3 billion and EBITDA of $238 million for the 52-weeks ended October 29, 2016 1
Sound balance sheet with over $100 million in cash and no debt 2
1 EBITDA is earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA is a Non-GAAP financial measure. Refer to pages 30-35 for information about Non-GAAP
financial measures and reconciliations of GAAP to Non-GAAP financial measures.
2 As of the quarterly period ended October 29, 2016.
20
Financial Performance
After a solid year in 2015, sales have been under pressure in 2016
Fiscal 2016 net sales estimated to be approximately $2.2 billion
Net Sales
$ in millions
21
Financial Performance
2016 operating margin and diluted EPS negatively impacted by net sales decrease
Operating Margin
Diluted EPS
~ -410 bps
1 Operating Margin is calculated based on adjusted operating income which excludes the impact of non-core items. Adjusted Operating Income is a Non-GAAP financial
measure. Refer to pages 30-35 for information about Non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations of GAAP to Non-GAAP financial measures.
2 Based on the mid-point of our 2016 guidance as of January 10, 2017.
3 Diluted EPS is adjusted to exclude the impact of non-core items. Adjusted Diluted EPS is a Non-GAAP financial measure. Refer to pages 30-35 for information about NonGAAP financial measures and reconciliations of GAAP to Non-GAAP financial measures.
4 Based on our 2016 guidance as of January 10, 2017. Diluted EPS is adjusted to exclude the impact of non-core items. Adjusted Diluted EPS is a Non-GAAP financial
measure. Refer to pages 30-35 for information about Non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations of GAAP to Non-GAAP financial measures.
22
Financial Guidance
Based on our holiday results, we reaffirmed our EPS guidance for Q4 and 2016
Q4 comparable sales are expected to be negative 13%
Q4 net income expected to range from $20 to $23 million
Diluted EPS expected to range from $0.26 to $0.30
Comparable Sales:
Net Income
Adjusted Net Income:
Diluted EPS
Adjusted Diluted EPS:
Weighted Average
Diluted Shares:
Q4 2016
-13%
$20 to $23 million
N/A
$0.26 to $0.30
N/A
FY 2016
-9%
$55 to $58 million
$62 to $65 million (1,2)
$0.70 to $0.74
$0.78 to $0.82 (2)
78.8 million
79.1 million
(1) Adjusted net income excludes approximately $11.4 million, or $6.9 million net of tax benefit, of non-core operating items related to an
amendment to the Times Square Flagship store lease.
(2) Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted Diluted EPS are non-GAAP financial measures. Refer to pages 30-35 for information about Non-GAAP
financial measures and reconciliations of GAAP to Non-GAAP financial measures.
This guidance does not take into account any additional non-core items that may occur.
23
We expect over $150 million in cash and no debt at the end of 2016 2
Fiscal 2016 operating cash flow estimated to be approximately $150 million
Cash and Debt
$ in millions
$ in millions
~$150
$150
24
Capital Expenditures
$ in millions
$ in millions
Elevated due to
significant IT
investments
~$45-50
25
Summary
Investment Thesis
Attractive customer demographic profile targeting both women and men between 20 and 30 years old
Net sales of $2.3 billion and EBITDA of $238 million for the 52-weeks ended October 29, 2016 1
Sound balance sheet with over $100 million in cash and no debt 2
1 EBITDA is earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA is a Non-GAAP financial measure. Refer to pages 30-35 for information about Non-GAAP
financial measures and reconciliations of GAAP to Non-GAAP financial measures.
2 As of the quarterly period ended October 29, 2016.
27
Non-GAAP Reconciliations
30
Non-GAAP Reconciliations
EBITDA
($ in millions)
Net Income
Depreciation and amortization
Interest expense
Provision for income taxes
EBITDA
52-weeks
Ended
October 29,
2016
$91
$80
$15
$53
$238
31
Non-GAAP Reconciliations
2015 and 2016 Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EPS
Fifty-Two Weeks Ended January 28, 2017
Projected Net
Income
56,500
11,354
63,426
Projected Diluted
Earnings per Share
Projected Weighted
Average Diluted
Shares Outstanding
0.71
0.14
(4,428)
79,068
(0.06)
$
0.80
(a)
Represents non-core items related to the amendment of the Times Square Flagship store lease.
(b)
Represents the tax impact of the interest expense adjustment at our statutory rate of approximately
39% for the fifty-two weeks ended January 28, 2017.
Net Income
116,513
9,657
122,429
(3,741)
1.38
0.11
Weighted Average
Diluted Shares
Outstanding
84,591
(0.04)
$
1.45
(a)
Includes the redemption premium paid, the write-off of unamortized debt issuance costs, and the
write-off of the unamortized debt discount related to the redemption of all $200.9 million of our
Senior Notes.
(b)
Represents the tax impact of the interest expense adjustment at our statutory rate of approximately
39% for the fifty-two weeks ended January 30, 2016.
32
Non-GAAP Reconciliations
2011 Adjusted Operating Income, Adjusted Net Income and
Adjusted EPS
Fifty-Two Weeks Ended January 28, 2012
GAAP measure
Transaction costs (a)
Interest expense (b)
Income tax benefit (c)
Adjusted non-GAAP measure
$---
Earnings per
Diluted Share
Net Income
270,946 $
1,011
140,697
1,011
271,957 $
9,583
(4,165)
147,126 $
1.58
0.01
Weighted Average
Diluted Shares
Outstanding
88,896
0.11
(0.05)
1.66
(a)
Includes transaction costs related to the secondary offerings completed in April 2011 and December
2011.
(b)
Includes premium paid and accelerated amortization of debt issuance costs and debt discount related
debt reductions and amendments.
(c)
Represents the tax impact at our statutory rate of approximately 39% for the fifty -two weeks ended
January 28, 2012.
33
Non-GAAP Reconciliations
2010 Adjusted Operating Income, Adjusted Net Income and
Adjusted EPS
Fifty-Two Weeks Ended January 29, 2011
199,251
3,333
Earnings per
Diluted Share
Net Income
127,388
3,333
1.48
0.04
13,333
13,333
0.15
20,781
0.24
(11,238)
(0.13)
(31,807)
(0.37)
215,917
121,790
Weighted Average
Diluted Shares
Outstanding
86,050
1.42
(a)
Includes transaction costs related to the Senior Notes offering, the initial public offering, and the
secondary offering completed in December 2010.
(b)
(c)
Includes prepayment penalty and acceleration of amortization of debt issuance costs and debt
discount related to early repayment of debt.
(d)
Represents the aggregate tax impact of approximately 30 % for th e fifty-two weeks ended January
29, 2011.
(e)
Represents one -time, non -cash tax benefit in connection with the Company's conversion to a
corporation.
34
Non-GAAP Reconciliations
FY 2010 FY 2016 Free Cash Flow
Projected
($ in millions)
52-weeks
Ended
January 29,
2011
$220
52-weeks
Ended
January 28,
2012
$213
53-weeks
Ended
February 2,
2013
$269
52-weeks
Ended
February 1,
2014
$195
52-weeks
Ended
January 31,
2015
$157
52-weeks
Ended
January 30,
2016
$230
52-weeks
Ended
January 28,
20171
~$150
$55
$165
$77
$135
$100
$170
$105
$90
$115
$41
$115
$114
$100-105
~$45-50
35