Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
Y t =1 + 2 X t +u t
Ventas
1950
46486
Inventa
rios
84646
1951
50229
90560
1952
53501
98145
1953
52805
101599
1954
55906
102567
1955
63027
108121
1956
72931
124499
1957
84790
157625
1958
86589
159708
1959
98797
174636
1960
113201
188378
1961
126905
211691
1962
143936
242157
1963
154391
265215
1964
168129
283413
1965
163351
311852
1966
172547
312379
1967
190682
339516
1968
194538
334749
1969
194657
322654
1970
206326
338109
1971
224619
369374
1972
236698
391212
Razn
1.82089
231
1.80294
252
1.83445
169
1.92404
128
1.83463
313
1.71547
115
1.70707
929
1.85900
46
1.84443
752
1.76762
452
1.66410
191
1.66810
606
1.68239
356
1.71781
386
1.68568
778
1.90909
147
1.81039
949
1.78053
513
1.72073
836
1.65755
149
1.63871
252
1.64444
682
1.65278
1973
242686
405073
1974
239847
390950
1975
250394
382510
1976
242002
378762
1977
251708
379706
1978
269843
399970
1979
289973
424843
1980
299766
430518
1981
319558
443622
1982
324984
449083
1983
335991
463563
1984
350715
481633
1985
330875
428108
1986
326227
423082
1987
334616
408226
1988
359081
439821
1989
394615
479106
1990
411663
509902
963
1.66912
389
1.62999
746
1.52763
245
1.56511
93
1.50851
781
1.48223
226
1.46511
227
1.43618
022
1.38823
625
1.38186
188
1.37968
874
1.37328
885
1.29386
626
1.29689
449
1.21998
35
1.22485
177
1.21410
996
1.23863
937
Coeficientesa
Modelo
Coeficientes no estandarizados
Coeficientes
Sig.
estandarizado
s
B
Error
Beta
estndar
1
(Constante)
X
66668,966
10895,725
1,184
,047
,971
6,119
,000
25,396
,000
a. Variable dependiente: Y
et
21795.
834
16512.
6431
22959.
7146
43883.
8473
22591.
3664
2189.4
1914
4713.1
5492
32045.
8286
20005.
8994
5781.4
137
14911.
802
12287.
5444
11208.
5949
5288.4
7702
8848.0
2222
28474.
et-1
21795.8
34
16512.6
431
22959.7
146
43883.8
473
22591.3
664
2189.41
914
4713.15
492
32045.8
286
20005.8
994
5781.41
37
14911.8
02
12287.5
444
11208.5
949
5288.47
702
8848.02
222
et^2
4750583
78.8
2791210
5.5
2726673
83.2
4156473
1.09
5271484
96.6
4378193
28.1
1925792
055
4533697
45.1
5103698
34.3
6140873
30.3
4793556.
174
6369242.
274
7470750
49.9
2709382
386
2221382
9.28
1026935
130
4002360
10.6
2023359
93.3
3342474
4.36
4282091
74.4
2223618
37.7
6886727.
598
1164132.
107
3504779
5.63
1267036
2.07
1392957
691
1509837
48.1
1256325
99.4
2796798
9.16
7828749
7.26
8107872
51.6
3262
4816.1
9105
15581.
6035
4315.2
7668
6214.8
3858
27552.
8692
33662.
8886
18107.
4473
16197.
5579
6859.7
2103
11871.
949
13751.
667
18209.
2989
24940.
7389
15884.
4211
7892.2
4854
4670.7
9833
1852.8
0683
2591.8
6638
4155.5
8391
32757.
1467
4397.6
4817
19198.
28474.3
262
4816.19
105
15581.6
035
4315.27
668
6214.83
858
27552.8
692
33662.8
886
18107.4
473
16197.5
579
6859.72
103
11871.9
49
13751.6
67
18209.2
989
24940.7
389
15884.4
211
7892.24
854
4670.79
833
1108258
538
2319569
6.21
1158941
05.5
1269301
20.3
3608335.
422
4553115
52.6
3733233
6
2419717
53.1
3647677.
312
8719519
8.13
2512242
9.56
3533339.
59
1987048
2.09
4531228
4.26
8201689
0.8
6387482
2.94
1037774
1.41
4255742
4.35
2427863
68
1862161
2.81
3862421
8.58
7591606
03.6
1133190
066
3278796
47.3
2623608
83.3
4705577
2.67
1409431
74
1891083
45.1
3315785
65.9
6220404
55.4
2523148
35
6228758
6.98
2181635
7.08
3432893.
153
1852.80
683
2591.86
638
1975511
9.94
6717771.
324
4552808
5.35
1726887
7.6
4155.58
391
32757.1
467
4397.64
8180493
91.9
1073030
657
8042611
54.7
1933930
9.4
2190579
49.3
3685729
77.8
2546
11805.
0933
29573.
9807
38868.
6664
817
19198.2
546
11805.0
933
29573.9
807
5465883
3.05
1393602
28.2
3157333
57.4
8746203
31.9
8639118
3.58
1510773
230
1195310
1900
1510074
0807
0.791557
318
d=
Ho
ho*
Modelo
R cuadrado
,989a
,978
R cuadrado
Error estndar
ajustado
de la estimacin
,977
19934,591
Durbin-Watson
,792
ii.
n ^p N (0,1)
=0.05
41
n=
( est )=
0.79155
732
5.06843
985
z 0=
5.69682
807
z 0=