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Introduction
The following section focuses on how the markets themselves function. Understanding how the
markets function is key in determining how securities themselves function.
It is unlikely that your CFA Level 1 exam will test you directly on the topics presented, as the
material itself is quite simplistic. However, you will be asked several comprehensive questions on
this material.
CHARACTERISTICS
the characteristics of a well-functioning securities market are:
Efficient - Internal - Markets must be efficient internally.
Efficient - External - Markets react quickly to new news; existing prices reflect all
available information.
Liquidity - Markets are liquid and as such, assets can be bought or sold easily. There are
numerous buyers and sellers giving depth to the market.
Continuity - In the context of liquidity, prices do not change substantially from one
transaction to another unless significant new news arises.
Marketability - In the context of liquidity, marketability is the ability to sell an asset
quickly.
Timely and accurate information - New information is brought to the market in a
timely and accurate way.
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Issuing bonds
How Do Investment Banks Issue Bonds?
In the new issuance of bonds, an investment bank has options with respect to how to place the
bonds in the market. These options are as follows:
1. Competitive Bids
Competitive bids are the process in which the bond issuer solicits bids from the underwriting of
various investment banks. This is typically used in dealing with municipal bonds.
2. Negotiated Sales
a negotiated sale is the process whereby a bond issuer negotiates with the investment bank with
respect to the pricing of underwriting services.
3. Private Placements
A private placement is the process whereby an investment bank "places" the new bond issue
with a small number of buyers, typically large institutions. Private placements are not registered
with the SEC for public sale.
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Types of markets
The Primary Market
The primary market refers to the market where new issues (stocks and bonds not sold before)
are sold. Investment bankers, acting as underwriters, bring new issues to the market through the
primary market. This can be done as either an Initial Public Offering (IPO), when the stock has not
previously traded, or as a seasoned offering once the stock has traded but new shares are being
added to the market.
The Secondary Market
a secondary market is the market in which assets are traded after they have been sold through
the primary market. In this market, investors trade directly with each other through an exchange.
If the secondary market for a stock follows the characteristics we discussed previously, such as
liquidity and marketability, and the issuer would like to issue more shares through a seasoned
offering, the issuer would have a much easier time selling the new shares in the primary market.
2. Types of Orders
an order on an exchange can be classified as follows:
Market Order: A market order is a basic order to buy or sell a security at the best
available price. For example, a client places an order to buy 100 shares of Newco; the
client expects/wants the best available price for buying those shares.
Limit Order: A limit order places a specific price at which a transaction is executed.
These orders typically have a set time horizon in which the limit order can be executed.
For example, Newco's stock is trading at $50. A client places a buy limit order to purchase
shares at $45. The transaction will thus be executed when the shares reach $45, if they
do. Otherwise, the order will expire in the allotted time.
Short Sale Order: A short sale order is an order to sell shares that a client does not own.
As a result, the trader must borrow the stock, sell it, and then buy the stock again to
replace the shares he borrowed. For example, a client wants to sell 100 shares of Newco
short at $45. The trader must borrow 100 shares, sell the 100 shares and then purchases
the shares to replace the ones he borrowed. A client may do this if he believes shares of
the respective company will decline below the price at which the shares were sold short.
Stop Loss Orders: Stop loss orders are placed in order to prevent losses on shares below
a specified share price. For example, an investor bought shares of Newco at $50. The
shares appreciated to $100. The investor is interested in protecting some profit on the
shares of Newco in case the price starts declining. This investor may place a stop loss
order on the shares of Newco at $80. If Newco's shares decline to $80, the stop loss order
would be executed, protecting some of the investor's profit. Whether you use this strategy
for your own or for a client's portfolio, stop loss orders is essentially a simple but powerful
tool to help implement a stock-investment strategy. Find out more in the article called The
Stop-Loss Order, Make Sure You Use It
3. Market Makers
Market makers facilitate the trading in a stock, buying and selling stock from their own accounts
in order to maintain orderly trading and provide liquidity in a stock if it is needed. Additionally,
the market maker manages the limit order book where both limit and stop orders are recorded. In
the U.S. exchanges, the market maker is known as a specialist.
Short selling
The Process of Shorting Stock
a short sale order, or a stock sold short, is an order to sell shares that a client does not own. As a
result, the trader must borrow the stock from an existing client, sell the shares of the security
and then buy the stock again to replace the shares he borrowed. In doing this, there are three
rules that must be followed:
1. A short sale order can only be done in what is known as an "up market" where the market
is appreciating, not declining. This is known as the uptick rule.
2. If a dividend is paid on the shares, the investor selling the shares short pays the dividend
to the investor he borrowed the shares from.
3. An investor cannot borrow shares to sell short without providing some sort of collateral.
An investor may want to sell a stock short if the investor believes that stock is going to decline.
For example, a client wants to sell 100 shares of Newco short at $45. The trader sells 100 shares
he borrowed from another investor at $45. The amount from the sale goes to the investor selling
the shares short. The investor is hoping the shares go below the $45. If, for example, the shares
decline to $35, the investor already sold the shares at $45. The investor can thus repurchase the
shares at $35 and replace the shares he borrowed. Excluding transaction costs, the investor had
made $10 per share on the transaction.
3. Unweighted Series
An unweighted series is based on the average price movement of the stock prices in the index. In
this series, all stocks, no matter what the price, have the same effect on the series. To calculate
the unweighted series, take an arithmetic average or a geometric mean of the relative returns.
Formula 12.3
... + Xn)1/n
The Value Line Composite Average and the Financial Times Ordinary Share Index are examples of
unweighted series.
Predominant Weighting Schemes Bias: Source and Direction
Price Weighted Series Bias: Recall that the denominator of the price weighted series is
the number of stocks with the stock price as the numerator. The problem occurs when a
stock dividend or stock repurchase takes place. The numerator is adjusted to reflect the
new stock price and the denominator needs to be adjusted to reflect the stock change.
These changes tend to put a downward bias on the series as larger firms split their stock.
Market Weighted Series Bias: As mentioned previously, large market cap stocks have a
greater effect on the market weighted series relative to small market cap stocks. As such,
swings in the value of the larger cap stocks will have a greater effect on the overall series.
Unweighted series Bias: The calculation of an unweighted series can be done through
an arithmetic or geometric average. But if a geometric average is used, there will be a
downward bias relative to pricing as compared to the series calculation using the
arithmetic average.
Computing indexes
The methods of calculating the various weighting schemes are best explained by example:
Example: Price Weighted Series
given the following series data, calculate the price weighted return over a one-year period.
Stock Price Info for Series 1
Answer:
To calculate the return over a one-year period, first calculate the price weighted series value at
each date.
Price weighted index12/31/2003 = (15 + 25 + 40 + 80) = 40
4
Price weighted index12/31/2004 = (10 + 30 + 40 + 100) = 45
4
The one-year return for the price weighted series would thus be (45/40)-1 = 12.5%
Example: Market Weighted Series
Given the following series data, calculate the market weighted return over the one-year period.
Stock Price Info for Series 2
Answer:
Market weighted return = 390,000 x 100 = 109.59
355,000
The 1-year return for the market weighted series would thus be (109.59/100)-1 = 9.59%.
Example: Unweighted Series
Given the following series data, calculate the unweighted return over a one-year period.
Stock Price Info for Series 3
Answer:
Geometric Average = (1.05 * 1.25 * 1.00 * 1.30) 1/4 = 1.143
2. Exchange Specialists - An exchange specialist recalls runs on the orders for a specific
equity. It has been found however, that exchange specialists can achieve above average
returns with this specific order information.
3. Analysts - The equity analyst has been an interesting test. It analyzes whether an
analyst's opinion can help an investor achieve above average returns. Analysts do
typically cause movements in the equities they focus on.
4. Institutional money managers - Institutional money managers, working for mutual
funds, pensions and other types of institutional accounts, have been found to have
typically not perform above the overall market benchmark on a consistent basis.
Market Anomalies
1. Earnings Reports
It has been shown that an investor can profit from investing immediately when a company
reports because it takes time for the market to absorb the new information. This goes against the
EMH.
2. January Anomaly
The January effect goes against the EMH. Essentially the January effect indicates that as a result
of tax-related moves, investors have been shown to profit by buying stocks in December as they
are being sold for losses and then selling them again in January.
3. Price-Earnings Ratio
Investing using the P/E ratio valuation metric has been an anomaly against the EMH. It has been
shown that investors can profit by investing in companies with a low P/E ratio.
4. Price-Earnings/Growth (PEG) Ratio
Investing using the PEG valuation metric has been anomaly against the EMH. It has been shown
similar to the P/E ratio that investors profit by investing in companies with low PEG ratios.
5. Size Effect
Going against EMH, it has been shown that smaller companies, on a risk-adjusted basis, have
greater returns their larger peers.
6. Neglected Firms
Neglected firms are firms that Wall Street analysts deem too small to cover. As a result, these
firms tend to generate larger levels of return, negating the EMH.
Overall Conclusions About Each Form of the EMH
Weak-Form EMH
the weak-form EMH is supported by the tests and analysis done. Essentially, the weakform holds that abnormal returns are not achievable with the use of past-historical data as
a means to generate returns.
Semi-strong Form EMH
the semi-strong form EMH, at times, is both supported and not supported by the tests and
analysis done. There has been some evidence that securities are not reflective of the
semi-strong form EMH.
Strong Form EMH
it appears from the tests and analysis performed, that the strong-form EMH does hold.
While insiders and specialists do have access to private information, SEC regulations forbid
this information to be used.
The portfolio management process should focus purely on risks given that above average returns
are not achievable.
A portfolio manager's goal is to outperform a specific benchmark with specific investment ideas.
The EMH implies that this goal is unachievable. A portfolio manager should not be able to
achieve above average returns.
Why Invest in Index Funds?
Given the discussion on the EMH, the overall assumption is that no investor is able to generate
an abnormal return in the market. If that is the case, an investor can expect to make a return
equal to the market return. An investor should thus focus on the minimizing his costs to invest.
To achieve a market rate of return, diversification in a numerous amounts of stocks is required,
which may not be an option for a smaller investor. As such, an index fund would be the most
appropriate investment vehicle, allowing the investor to achieve the market rate of return in a
cost effective manner.
Conclusion
Within this section we have discussed the organization and function of securities markets, the
composition and characteristics of the various weighting schemes, and the various implications
of the efficient market hypothesis.