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CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL The 2016 Election: A Lead for Clinton with One Day to Go November 2-6, 2016

Q1. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much, or no attention so far?

** REGISTERED VOTERS **

 

Total

Rep

Dem

Ind

Oct16e

%

%

%

%

%

A lot

67

71

71

62

74

Some

22

23

18

26

19

Not much

7

5

8

8

4

No attention so far

2

1

3

3

3

Don't know/No answer

1

*

*

1

*

Q2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 election for President this November -- would you say you will definitely vote, probably vote, probably not vote, or definitely not vote in the election for President?

Definitely vote

66

67

68

64

75

Probably vote

9

8

7

11

6

Probably not vote

3

1

2

4

2

Definitely not vote

1

1

1

2

2

Already Voted (vol.)

21

23

22

18

14

Don't know/No answer

1

1

1

*

1

Q3/Q4. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for President and Tim Kaine for Vice President, the Democrats, and Donald Trump for President and Mike Pence for Vice President, the Republicans, would you vote for Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine or Donald Trump and Mike Pence? ASK IF DEPENDS/DON’T KNOW: Well as of today, do you lean more toward Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine or more toward Donald Trump and Mike Pence?

**** LIKELY VOTERS ****

Clinton and Kaine

47

6

88

41

47

Trump and Pence

43

86

7

42

44

Other

5

5

1

8

5

Won't vote

1

1

1

2

1

Don't know/No answer

4

2

3

7

4

Q6/Q7. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Donald Trump, the Republican, Gary Johnson, the Libertarian, and Jill Stein, the Green Party candidate, would you vote for Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Gary Johnson or Jill Stein? IF DEPENDS OR DON’T KNOW: Well as of today, do you lean more toward Hillary Clinton, or more toward Donald Trump, or more towards Gary Johnson, or more towards Jill Stein?

* LIKELY VOTERS INCLUDING LEANERS *

 

Total

Rep

Dem

Ind

Oct16e

%

%

%

%

%

Clinton

45

6

85

38

45

Trump

41

84

6

40

42

Johnson

5

4

2

9

5

Stein

2

1

2

4

4

Other (vol.)

2

2

1

3

1

Won't vote (vol.)

1

1

1

1

1

Don't know/No answer

4

1

3

7

3

Q8. Is your mind made up or do you think you might change your mind before the election?

 

*

LIKELY VOTERS WITH CANDIDATE CHOICE *

 

Total

Clinton Vtrs

Trump Vtrs

%

%

%

Mind made up

95

96

96

92

Might change mind

5

4

4

8

Don't know/No answer

*

*

*

*

Q9. Would you describe your support for (Hillary Clinton/Donald Trump/Gary Johnson/Jill Stein) as strongly favoring (Hillary Clinton/Donald Trump/Gary Johnson/Jill Stein), or do you like (Hillary Clinton/Donald Trump/Gary Johnson/Jill Stein) but with reservations, or do you support (Hillary Clinton/Donald Trump/Gary Johnson/Jill Stein) because you dislike the other candidates?

Strongly favor

50

56

48

50

Like, but with reservations

25

23

27

25

Dislike other candidates

25

20

24

24

Don't know/No answer

1

2

1

1

Q10. Thinking about the 2016 presidential election, overall, would you say you are very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all about voting?

******** LIKELY VOTERS ********

Very enthusiastic

48

53

51

49

Somewhat enthusiastic

25

24

26

24

Not too enthusiastic

11

9

11

11

Not enthusiastic at all

15

12

10

15

Don't know/No answer

1

1

2

1

Q10a. When did you finally decide for whom to vote in the 2016 presidential election?

* LIKELY VOTERS WITH CANDIDATE CHOICE *

 

Total

Rep

Dem

Ind

%

%

%

%

In the last week

5

6

3

7

In the last two weeks

7

7

5

10

Earlier in October

10

11

7

11

In September

11

11

8

13

Before that

66

65

75

57

Don't know/No answer

1

1

2

1

Q11. Regardless of how you intend to vote for President in 2016, who do you expect to finally win the 2016 presidential election Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?

***** LIKELY VOTERS *****

 

Total

Rep

Dem

Ind

Oct16e

%

%

%

%

%

Hillary Clinton

55

23

84

54

56

Donald Trump

31

62

7

30

33

Depends (vol.)

2

1

2

2

2

Don't know/No answer

12

14

7

14

9

Q12. As you may know, a number of women have claimed that Donald Trump made unwanted sexual advances against them at various times over the last thirty years. (Do/Did) Donald Trump’s alleged activities involving unwanted sexual advances against women make you more likely to vote for Donald Trump, less likely to vote for Donald Trump, or (do/did) they make no real difference in your vote?

More likely

2

5

1

1

Less likely

36

15

55

35

No difference

59

78

43

60

Don't know/No answer

2

3

1

3

Q13. As you may know, the FBI says it has learned of additional emails that appear to be relevant to the investigation into Hillary Clinton’s private email and server while Secretary of State. The FBI is reviewing these emails to determine whether or not they contain classified information. (Do/did) these actions by the FBI make you more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton, less likely to vote for Hillary Clinton, or (do/did) they make no real difference in your vote?

More likely

5

1

9

3

Less likely

29

53

8

32

No difference

64

43

81

64

Don't know/No answer

2

3

2

2

Q14. Which best describes you? Your vote for president in the 2016 general election will be the first time you have ever voted, you voted for the first time earlier in 2016, or you have voted in elections before 2016.

***** LIKELY VOTERS *****

 

Total

Rep

Dem

Ind

%

%

%

%

First time voter

8

7

6

11

Voted earlier in 2016

4

3

3

5

Voted before 2016

88

89

90

85

Don't know/No answer

*

*

*

*

 

Unweighted

Weighted

Total Respondents

1,753

Total Registered Voters

1,456

1,368

Republican likely voters

424

315

Democratic likely voters

495

375

Independent likely voters

557

337