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Gary Palmer

Critical Point Consulting

www.criticalpoint.co.uk

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Critical Point Consulting

www.criticalpoint.co.uk

What do we mean by Project Failure?


Any one of:
Late
Over Budget

Below Specification
Below Quality

Critical Point Consulting

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Why do we need to change? - 1


Because huge numbers of projects are:
Late
+ Over Budget

+ Below Specification
+ Below Quality

Critical Point Consulting

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Why do we need to change? - 2

Productivity & Throughput:

Often Low
Excessive Wastage
Slow Progress
Costly

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Why do we need to change? - 3

Business Impact:
Product Expensive
Late to Market
Customer Dissatisfaction
Reputation
Project Failure & Slow Costly Projects Cripples Business

Critical Point Consulting

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What is the main driver for these failures?


Late projects fuel other failures:
Late
Over Budget

Below Specification
Below Quality

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What are the reasons for this?

1. The traditional methods in use,


VIRTUALLY GUARANTEE these results.
2. We have not had a viable alternative.

Until now

Critical Point Consulting

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Critical Chain Project Management


CCPM Statistics:
Project Delivery:

90%+ on time

Project Completion: 20% - 50% Faster


Productivity:

20% - 60% Increase

Without increasing resources


9

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How Does CCPM Deliver These Improvements?

By resolving problems in our working methods that:


1. Slow everything down
2. Cause our contingency to be ineffective
3. Cause inefficiencies and wastage

10

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What is CCPM?
A transportable set of interlinked techniques and

tools that work individually and collaboratively to


significantly improve the processes and operation of
scheduling and execution in any* project, programme
and portfolio environment

11

Critical Point Consulting

www.criticalpoint.co.uk

What is CCPM?
A transportable set of interlinked techniques and

tools that work individually and collaboratively to


significantly improve the processes and operation of
scheduling and execution in any* project, programme
and portfolio environment
Transportable: Not industry / sector specific
Applicable in any* project environment
Works with existing project structures
12

Critical Point Consulting

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What is CCPM?
A transportable set of interlinked techniques and

tools that work individually and collaboratively to


significantly improve the processes and operation of
scheduling and execution in any* project, programme
and portfolio environment
Techniques: Working practices, Behaviours
Tools: Processes, Software
13

Critical Point Consulting

www.criticalpoint.co.uk

What is CCPM?
A transportable set of interlinked techniques and

tools that work individually and collaboratively to


significantly improve the processes and operation of
scheduling and execution in any* project, programme
and portfolio environment
Individually: Resolve a specific problem

Collaboratively: In unison to support the whole


14

Critical Point Consulting

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What is CCPM?
A transportable set of interlinked techniques and

tools that work individually and collaboratively to


significantly improve the processes and operation of
scheduling and execution in any* project, programme
and portfolio environment
Improvements: Efficient processes
Faster operation
Better work environment
15

Critical Point Consulting

www.criticalpoint.co.uk

What is CCPM?
A transportable set of interlinked techniques and

tools that work individually and collaboratively to


significantly improve the processes and operation of
scheduling and execution in any* project, programme
and portfolio environment
Scheduling: Optimum, realistic schedule
Effective contingency protection
Execution: Efficient working practices
Excellent progress visibility, focus, control
16

Critical Point Consulting

www.criticalpoint.co.uk

What is CCPM?
A transportable set of interlinked techniques and

tools that work individually and collaboratively to


significantly improve the processes and operation of
scheduling and execution in any * project,
programme and portfolio environment
Projects: Single projects
Programme: Multi-project
Portfolio: Enterprise-wide

Any Sector
17

Traditional Project Management


The Five Elements of Failure
So, what are the problems in Traditional Proj. Mgmt.?
Deadline
Schedule

Task-Level
Contingency

Poor Measures
& Control

Critical Path

Multi-tasking

18

Critical Point Consulting

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Traditional Project Management


The Five Elements of Failure

Deadline
Schedule

Task-Level
Contingency

Poor Measures
& Control

Critical Path

Multi-tasking

19

Critical Point Consulting

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Traditional Project Management


Task Deadline Scheduling Planning to Fail

09/09

22/09 23/09

1/10

13/10

Planned Completion
13/09

1/09

09/09 10/09

10/09

22/09

14/09 15/09

14/09 15/09

23/09

22/09 23/09

20/09 21/09

03/10

04/10

30/09 1/10

09/10

13/10

15/10

06/10 07/10 13/10

Attempt to impose a Rigid construct on a Variable situation


Actual dates will always change
and will need constant and continued updating
20

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Traditional Project Management


Task Deadline Scheduling Planning to Fail

Shouldnt early and late finishes balance out?


Usually not.
21

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Traditional Project Management


Task Deadline Scheduling Planning to Fail
Potential
Early Finish

Deadline
Date

Task
Missed
Time-Saving

Parkinsons Law Work expands to fill the time available

22

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Traditional Project Management


Task Deadline Scheduling Planning to Fail
Late Finish
Adds Time

Planned
5 days

Early Finish
Gain Lost

7 days

3d

3d

5 days

5 days

5 days

5 days
2 days added
to schedule

5 days
No benefit
to schedule

Parallel Converging Tasks tied to schedule dates


Losses Accumulate - Gains Dont
And the schedule moves out
23

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Traditional Project Management


Task Deadline Scheduling Planning to Fail

Q- What is the probability of all a projects tasks finishing on time?


Calculation: (Task Probability%^no. of tasks)

With a 90% task probability:


10 tasks = 35% probability
20 tasks = 12%
50 tasks = 0.05%

100 tasks = 0.000026%

Q? - How many tasks in your current project?


24

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Traditional Project Management


Task Deadline Scheduling Planning to Fail

Summary
Dates attempt a rigid structure on a variable situation

A Train Timetable - when the trains never run on time


Parkinsons Law often prevents early finishes
Losses increase time and costs, not offset by gains

Schedule is guaranteed to require frequent changes


Project end-date slip is almost inevitable

25

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Critical Chain Project Management


The Five Elements of Success

CCPM
Schedule

Task-Level
Contingency

Poor Measures
& Control

Critical Path

Multi-tasking

26

Critical Point Consulting

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09/09

22/09 23/09

13/09

1/09

09/09 10/09

10/09

22/09

14/09 15/09

14/09 15/09

23/09

22/09 23/09

20/09 21/09

1/10

03/10

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13/10

04/10

30/09 1/10

09/10

13/10

15/10

06/10 07/10 13/10

Why have fixed dates if we know that they will change?


27

CCPM Schedule

09/09

13/09

1/09

19/10

30/12

10/09

Very few Internal Due Dates / Deadlines


Schedule is used only as a Dependency Chart
Each task completes asap and next task is started
No schedule updating necessary
28

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CCPM Schedule

Potential
Early Finish

Deadline
Date

Task

So now, without deadlines to fuel Parkinson behaviours,

29

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CCPM Schedule

Potential
Early Finish

Deadline
Date

Task

So now, without deadlines to fuel Parkinson behaviours,

Our potential Early Finish


30

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CCPM Schedule

Potential
Early Finish

Task

So now, without deadlines to fuel Parkinson behaviours,

Our potential Early Finish


31

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CCPM Schedule

Actual
Early Finish

Task

can become a reality.

32

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CCPM Schedule

across the whole project


33

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CCPM Schedule

Shorter Task Execution = Reduced Time & Costs


Faster and Cheaper Projects
34

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CCPM Schedule

Summary
Very few internal due dates
Work carried out on an as soon as possible basis
A Relay Race (not a Train Schedule)
Early finishes reduce timescales & cost
Flexible structure for a variable environment
Few due dates means few / no schedule updates
CCPM values speed over working to fixed dates
35

Critical Point Consulting

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Traditional Project Management


The Five Elements of Failure

CCPM
Schedule

Task-Level
Contingency

Poor Measures
& Control

Critical Path

Multi-tasking

36

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Task-Level Contingency
Confidence in own ability

Familiarity with technology

Familiarity with task


Interruptions
Multi-tasking

Complexity of the task

How Much
Contingency?

Known Unknowns
Specification Stability

Easy Life
Fear of Failure
Estimate chopping

Confidence in Spec.
Unknown Unknowns
37

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Task-Level Contingency
Confidence in own ability

Familiarity with technology

Familiarity with task

Complexity of the task

Interruptions

Easy Life

A Guess

Fear of Failure

Multi-tasking
Known Unknowns
Specification Stability

Estimate chopping
Confidence in Spec.
Unknown Unknowns
38

Task-Level Contingency
Effect 1- An Extended Schedule

Self-protection (in blue) encourages fat estimates


A project may contain > 50% embedded contingency
39

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Task-Level Contingency
Effect 2 Student Syndrome
Scheduled
Start

Deadline
Date

Work

Contingency

Actual
Start

Initially plenty of contingency


No incentive to start immediately
Start deferred
40

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Task-Level Contingency
Effect 2 Student Syndrome
Scheduled
Start

Deadline
Date

Work

Actual
Start

Contingency decreased
41

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Task-Level Contingency
Effect 2 Student Syndrome
Scheduled
Start

Deadline
Date

Work

Other
work

Big
Problem

Maybe another task is required / preferred


Now no contingency left and work is rushed
Then a big problem surfaces
42

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Task-Level Contingency
Effect 2 Student Syndrome
Scheduled
Start

Deadline
Date

Work

Other
work

Big
Problem

And now we have a task over-run


43

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Task-Level Contingency
Effect 3 Unprotected Project End-Date
Planned Completion
Delayed Completion

If on a Critical Path task = project over-run


44

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Task-Level Contingency
Effect 4- Unmanaged Time

Traditional contingency (shown in Blue)

45

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Task-Level Contingency
Effect 4 Unmanaged Time

Project Managers View


Where is the contingency?
How do you measure and manage it?
Maybe 50% of project time is not under control
46

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Traditional Project Management


Task-level Contingency
Task-Level Contingency - Problem Cascade
Self-Protection leads to
Inflated Localised Estimates which generate
Long, Over-padded Schedules which encourages
Parkinsons Behaviours and
Student Syndrome which results in
Slow and Costly Projects which are still
Unprotected From Delays and which have
Hidden, Unmanaged Contingency
47

Critical Point Consulting

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Traditional Project Management


The Five Elements of Failure

CCPM
Schedule

Task-Level
Contingency

Poor Measures
& Control

Critical Path

Multi-tasking

48

Critical Point Consulting

www.criticalpoint.co.uk

Critical Chain Project Management


The Five Elements of Success

CCPM
Schedule

Project-Level
Contingency

Poor Measures
& Control

Critical Path

Multi-tasking

49

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CCPM Project-Level Contingency


Traditional Task-Level Contingency (Review)

High Levels of Embedded Contingency

50

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CCPM Project-Level Contingency


Remove task-level contingency

Remove task-level contingency


51

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CCPM Project-Level Contingency


Remove task-level contingency

Task Estimates have no in-built contingency


Estimates are based on Aggressive-but-possible task times
52

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CCPM Project-Level Contingency


Remove task-level contingency

Shorter Task Durations & much reduced timeline


No space for Parkinson or Student Syndrome
But where is our contingency now?
53

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CCPM Project-Level Contingency


Aggregate Contingency
Project
Commit
Date

Project Buffer

Buffer protects the Project not individual tasks


Provides the project Commit Date
54

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CCPM Project-Level Contingency


Project Protection
Project
Commit
Date

Project Buffer

Critical Task over-runs are absorbed by the Buffer


The Project Schedule remains unchanged
The Project Commit Date is not affected
55

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CCPM Project-Level Contingency


Project Protection
Project
Commit
Date

Buffer
Status

Project Buffer

Buffer Status shows the impact on contingency


Now able to measure and manage our contingency
56

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CCPM Project-Level Contingency


Project Protection
Project
Commit
Date

Buffer
Status

Project Buffer

If a Critical Task finishes early


The time saved is added back into our contingency
Buffer Status always shows the latest position
57

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CCPM Project-Level Contingency

Project-Level Contingency Cascade


Aggregated Uncertainties are built into a
Project Contingency which results in
Streamlined Schedules with
Visible, Manageable Contingency which prevents
Parkinsons Behaviours and
Student Syndrome which results in
Fast and Efficient Projects which are
Protected From Delays
58

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Traditional Project Management


The Five Elements of Failure

CCPM
Schedule

Project-Level
Contingency

Poor Measures
& Control

Critical Path
Multi-tasking

59

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Traditional Project Management


Critical Path A dangerous path to follow?
Task E

Task A

Task B

Task F

Task G

Task H

Task I

Task C

Task D

Task J

Critical Path ignores resources


Critical Path based ONLY on task dependency & duration
Valid only in an environment without resource constraints

But what happens if we have resource contentions?


60

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Critical Path Problems


Resource Contentions
Task E

Task A

Task B

Task F

Task G

Task H

Task I

Task C

Task D

Task J

Tasks F & C need the same resources, as do tasks G & I

61

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Critical Path Problems


PostCP Resource Levelling
Task F

Task E

Task A

Task B

Task H

Task I

Task C

Task D

Task G

Task J

Levelling resolves the issue but increases timescales


And the vision of the Critical Path dominates

and so tactical manoeuvres soon start...


62

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Critical Path Problems


1- Multi-Tasking
Task E
Task H
Task A

Task B

Task D

Task J

Quality may be reduced


Predictability becomes less certain
Work becomes fragmented and control less easy
But because Multi-tasking takes longer
63

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Critical Path Problems


2 - Overtime
Task E
Task H
Task A

Task B

Task D

Task J

Extra hours need to be worked


Scheduling & Control becomes difficult
64

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Critical Path Problems


Slippage
Task E
Task H
Task A

Task B

Task D

Task J

Multi-tasking is high risk


High potential for slippage
Diminishing returns due to staff morale / burnout
65

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Scope Cut

Scope Cut

Critical Path Problems


Scope Cut
Task E

Task A

Task B

Scope Cut

Task H
Task D

Task J

Last resort to hit target date is a Scope Cut


May cause work in other areas
Further degrades quality
Project Meltdown
66

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Critical Path Cascade

Traditional Project Management


Critical Path Problems

Ignoring Resources Contentions leads to an


Incorrect Dependency Path often with
Unrealistic Completion Dates and
Misleading Priorities which encourages a spiral of
Fire-fighting tactics which leads to an
Out of Control Project with an
Unstable Schedule

67

Critical Point Consulting

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Traditional Project Management


The Five Elements of Failure

CCPM
Schedule

Project-Level
Contingency

Poor Measures
& Control

Critical Path
Multi-tasking

68

Critical Point Consulting

www.criticalpoint.co.uk

Critical Chain Project Management


The Five Elements of Success

CCPM
Schedule

Project-Level
Contingency

Poor Measures
& Control

Critical Chain
Multi-tasking

69

Critical Point Consulting

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CCPM Critical Chain


1. Build Dependency Network As Normal
Task E

Task A

Task B

Task F

Task G

Task H

Task I

Task C

Task D

Task J

Include Resource Requirements


- right at the start
70

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CCPM Critical Chain


2. CCPM Software - Resource Levelling
Task E

Task H
Task A

Task G

Task F

Task B

Task I
Task C

Task D

Task J

Resource-levelling the schedule


Prevents over-allocation of resources
71

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CCPM Critical Chain


3. CCPM Software - Identify the Critical Chain
Task E

Task H
Task A

Task G

Task F

Task B

Task I
Task C

Task D

Task J

CCPM treats Resource Constraints as dependencies


Priority sequence also goes to resource dependent tasks

A realistic critical sequence The Critical Chain


72

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Critical Chain / Critical Path Comparison


Task E

Task H
Task A

Task G

Task F

Task B

Task E

Task I
Task C

Task F

Critical Chain
Task D

Task J

Task G
Critical Path

Task H
Task A

Task B

Task C

Task I
Task D

Task J

Irrespective of what you draw in the CP schedule, the real


situation will be driven by the realities of resource constraints
73

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Critical Chain / Critical Path Comparison


Task E

Task A

Task B

Task E

Task F

Task G

Task H

Task I

Task C

Task F

Task D

Critical Chain
Task J

Task G
Critical Path

Task H
Task A

Task B

Task C

Task I
Task D

Task J

If there are no resource clashes, the Critical Chain will be


the same as the Critical Path
74

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CCPM Critical Chain


Critical Chain Cascade
Including Resources Contentions leads to a
Correct Dependency Path with
Realistic Project Duration and
Realistic Priorities which provides a
Project Under Control with a
Stable Schedule

75

Critical Point Consulting

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Traditional Project Management


The Five Elements of Failure

CCPM
Schedule

Project-Level
Contingency

Poor Measures
& Control

Critical Chain

Multi-tasking

76

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Traditional Project Management Multi-tasking:


The Illusion of being productive
Time
Without Multi-tasking:
Task 1: 9 days

With Multi-tasking:
3d

3d

Task 2: 9 days

Task 3: 9 days

Day 9
3d

27 Days

Day 24
3d

3d

3d

3d

3d

3d

31 Days

Nothing gets completed until day 24.


Task 1: + 15 days late(+165%)
Task 2: + 8 days late (+47%)
Task 3: + 2 days late (+22%)

Speed Everything is delayed


Quality Likely to be less
Productivity - Reduced
77

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Summary

Traditional Project Management Multi-tasking:


The Illusion of being productive

It slows everything down


It reduces quality
It wastes time and costs more
It is bad for morale
It complicates scheduling & control
It removes planning predictability
It causes delivery delays
Multi-tasking; The SINGLE best way
to screw up TWO JOBS.
78

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Critical Chain Project Management


The Five Elements of Success

CCPM
Schedule

Project-Level
Contingency

Poor Measures
& Control

Critical Chain

Single-tasking

79

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CCPM - Task Management


Single Tasking

One task only worked on at a time


No interruptions
Dedicated work until task complete

80

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CCPM Single Tasking


The reality of being productive
Time
Without Multi-tasking:
Task 1: 9 days

Task 2: 9 days

Task 3: 9 days

27 Days

Return to effective and efficient working

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CCPM Single Tasking


Can Multi-tasking be removed?

Good Multi-Tasking
Non-Project / background, no dependencies or deadlines.
Training/education. QA tasks. Flexi-time.

Bad Multi-Tasking
Double-booked on overlapping tasks.
Covering Additional / Support roles.

Ugly Multi-Tasking
Personnel allocated simultaneous project tasks.
Endemic, cultural.

82

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CCPM Single Tasking

Summary
It improves quality

It reduces time & money spent


It simplifies scheduling & control
It enables planning predictability

It is good for morale


It speeds everything up

83

Critical Point Consulting

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Traditional Project Management


The Five Elements of Failure

CCPM
Schedule

Project-Level
Contingency

Poor Measures
& Control

Critical Chain

Single-tasking
Multi-tasking

84

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Traditional Project Management


Progress Measurement
Use of Percentage Complete:
Report to expectation no bad news to give

Cant be challenged only task owner knows


Often simply aligned with time used
Optimism that time can be pulled back
Infrequent reporting gives psychological cushion
Reality is often ignored - An easy place to hide

85

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Traditional Project Management


Progress Measurement
Measurements -

Percentage Complete, Time / money used / left


Position against base line, Milestones achieved

What do they tell us?

How much time/money used - Retrospective

What do they tell us about the future?


Very little

What is the Only Question PMs get asked?


86

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Traditional Project Management


Progress Measurement

Are you on target?


What do we really need to know?
How exposed are we?
Have we got enough safety in hand?
Is there a trend?
Is it upward or downward?

Should we be taking any action?


Where should we be taking action?
87

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Summary

Traditional Project Management


Progress Measurement

Often not a true / realistic picture


Real Status / safety contingency is hidden

False sense of schedule security


Leads to persisting 90% complete / late-emerging issues
Can cause major / incorrect re-scheduling
Doesnt answer the Big Question

88

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Critical Chain Project Management


The Five Elements of Success

CCPM
Schedule

Project-Level
Contingency

Good Measures
Visible Control

Critical Chain

Single-tasking
Multi-tasking

89

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CCPM Progress Measurement


CCPM Progress Reporting:
Frequency:
Often
When any significant change occurs
Questions:
Is task complete?

If not, how much task-time left remaining?

90

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CCPM Progress Measurement


Critical Chain Completed

E
B

Critical Chain completed reported into CCPM software

91

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CCPM Progress Measurement


Contingency Buffer Usage

+3
B

C
+3

92

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CCPM Progress Measurement


Contingency Buffer Usage
Buffer
Used

Buffer
Remaining

+3 +3
A

+3
B

C
+3

Task C has no effect on buffer


93

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CCPM Progress Measurement


Seeing into the Future
Buffer
Used

Buffer
Remaining

+3 +3 +5
A

+3
B

D
+5

+3
Early Report

Immediate report from task D that an extra 5 days will be required


This report immediately shows in Buffer Usage
Provides view ahead notification of future position
94

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CCPM Progress Measurement


Now we have two key measurements:
Amount of critical work completed: Critical Chain
How much contingency remaining: Project Buffer

Put these two together

95

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CCPM Progress Measurement


The Fever Chart
Singular
Objective
Predictive
Easily interpreted
Auto constructed
Up-to-date
Immediate

96

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CCPM Progress Measurement


Summary - 1
Frequent Reporting:
Progress is always up-to-date
Project position is always up-to-date

97

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CCPM Progress Measurement


Summary - 2
Remaining Duration Reporting:
More accurate / realistic picture
Focusses the task worker
Real Status / safety contingency is visible
Persisting 90% complete syndrome banished
Prevents late-emerging issues

98

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CCPM Progress Measurement


Summary - 3
Fever Chart:
Combined view of progress and contingency
Trends provide early warning
Objective, singular, visual, always available

Prevents unnecessary schedule changes

Answers the Big Question!


99

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Critical Chain Project Management


The Five Elements of Success
So, have we fixed all of the problems?
CCPM
Schedule

Project-Level
Contingency

Good Measures
Visible Control

Critical Chain

Single-tasking
Multi-tasking

Yes but not just these; CCPM fixes a bigger problem and the
reason that past improvements have not succeeded
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Vicious
Circles

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Traditional Project Management


The Five Problems

Task-Level
Contingency

Poor Measures
& Control

Deadline
Schedule
Critical Path

Multi-tasking

What problem is also caused by these five issues? 102

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Traditional Project Management


Schedule Instability
Schedule
Changes
Task-Level
Contingency

Schedule
Changes

Poor Measures
& Control

Deadline
Schedule
Critical Path

Schedule
Changes

Schedule
Changes

Multi-tasking

Schedule
Changes

Each individual issue causes schedule changes

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Traditional Project Management


Problem Self-Perpetuation
Schedule
Changes
Task-Level
Contingency

Schedule
Changes

Poor Measures
& Control

Deadline
Schedule
Critical Path

Schedule
Changes

Schedule
Changes

Multi-tasking

Schedule
Changes

And Schedule changes cause other problems and104

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Traditional Project Management


Problem Self-Perpetuation
Schedule
Changes
Task-Level
Contingency

Schedule
Changes

Poor Measures
& Control

Deadline
Schedule
Critical Path

Schedule
Changes

Schedule
Changes

Multi-tasking

Schedule
Changes

Each individual problem area perpetuates others 105

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Traditional Project Management


Problem Self-Perpetuation
Schedule
Changes
Task-Level
Contingency

Schedule
Changes

Poor Measures
& Control

Deadline
Schedule

Schedule
Changes

Critical Path

Schedule
Changes

Multi-tasking

Schedule
Changes

Locked-in, self-perpetuating, systemic failure

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CCPM Solutions
Schedule
Changes
Project-Level
Contingency

Schedule
Changes

Rem. Duration
Visible Control

CCPM
Schedule
Critical Chain

Schedule
Changes

Schedule
Changes

Single-tasking

Schedule
Changes

Fixing the internal problems removes vicious circles:


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CCPM Schedule Stability


Schedule
Changes
Project-Level
Contingency

Schedule
Changes

Rem. Duration
Visible Control

CCPM
Schedule
Critical Chain

Schedule
Changes

Schedule
Changes

Single-tasking

Schedule
Changes

And the causes of schedule changes and their impact


108

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CCPM Schedule Stability

Project-Level
Contingency

Rem. Duration
Visible Control

CCPM
Schedule
Critical Chain

Single-tasking

CCPM removes the causes of problem perpetuation


schedule changes and systemic failure
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Seven Problems of Traditional PM


and the Seven Solutions of CCPM

Traditional Problems:
Deadline Scheduling
Task-Level Contingency
Critical Path
Multi-tasking
Poor Measures & Control
Schedule Volatility
Problem Perpetuation
Poor Work Environment
= Terminal Mediocrity

CCPM Solutions:
Flexible Scheduling
Project-Level Contingency
Critical Chain
Single-tasking
Good Measures & Control
Schedule Stability
Solution Constancy
Good Work Environment
= Progressive Excellence
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Programme
& Portfolio
Myth

Achieving Terminal
Mediocrity on a
Large Scale
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CCPM in Programme and Portfolio


The Programme & Portfolio Myth
1. That the more projects you start, the more you will get done

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Overloaded Programme
1. Project Time-Slicing

Project 1: 9mths

Project 2: 9mths

Project3: 9mths

27 mths

mth 9
mth 23
Project Fragmentation:
3mths

3mths

3mths

3mths

3mths

3mths

3mths

3mths

3mths

30 mths

If projects have to time-slice,


Fragmentation will delay all projects
Driven by edict for all projects to be shown as started
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Overloaded Programme
1. Project Time-Slicing

Project 1: 9 mths

Project 2: 9mths

Project3: 9mths

27 mths

9 mths
21 mths

3mths

3mths

3mths

3mths

3mths

3mths

3mths

3mths

3mths

30 mths

Longer elapsed time gives more exposure time for changes


Changes generate more work and extend projects further
Meanwhile unfinished work gets rusty
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Project 1
Project 2

Project 3
Project 4
Project 5
Project 6

Frequently great pressure to start more projects Often ignoring the realities of resource capacity
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Overloaded Programme
2. Simultaneous Projects

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Exterior View

Overloaded Programme
2. Simultaneous Projects
Reality at Working Level

Project 1
Project 2

Project 3
Project 4
Project 5
Project 6

Insufficient resource causes Cross-Project Reallocations


Who shouts loudest gets the resources
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All projects suffer and get delayed

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Exterior View

Overloaded Programme
Reality at Working Level

Project 1
Project 2

Project 3
Project 4
Project 5
Project 6

Gaps left in projects fuel Multi-tasking


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Exterior View

Overloaded Programme
Reality at Working Level

Project 1
Project 2

Project 3
Project 4
Project 5
Project 6

Gaps + multi-tasking delay all projects


Constant changes make schedules volatile / unworkable
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Overloaded Programme

Exterior View

Reality at Working Level

Project 1
Project 2

Project 3

. . . .?
. . . .?
. .?

Project 4

. .?

Project 5
Project 6

. .?

Major impact is that completion becomes unpredictable


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Traditional Project Management


Overloaded Programme

Summary

An Overloaded system causes:


Fighting over Insufficient Resources

Volatile / Unworkable Schedules


Fuels Multi-tasking

Delays
Loss of Completion Predictability
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The Programme & Portfolio Myth


1. That the more projects you start, the more you will get done
You wont

So what can we do to improve this?


121

Overloaded Programme

Exterior View

Reality at Working Level

Project 1
Project 2

Project 3

. . . .?
. . . .?
. .?

Project 4
Project 5
Project 6

. .?
. . .?

How did we got here?


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Overloaded Programme

Exterior View

Reality at Working Level

Project 1
Project 2

Project 3

. . . .?
. . . .?
. .?

Project 4
Project 5
Project 6

. .?
. . .?

Belief that More Work In = More Work Out


Lack of Real Priorities (Its all Top Priority!)
123
Lack of regime to prevent overloading

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CCPM in Multi-Project Environment:


Maximising Throughput

Problem 1: More Work In = More Work Out


Forcing work in over capacity slows throughput
Working within capacity speeds up throughput
Solution:
Convince management of the above realities
Stop feeding in more than system can manage

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CCPM in Multi-Project Environment:


Maximising Throughput

Problem 2: Lack of Priorities


Not having clear prioritisation slows throughput
Having priorities speeds up throughput
Solution:
Priorities are mandatory

Its all Top Priority! is banned


All decisions start with Priorities
Priorities need to be business-based
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CCPM in Multi-Project Environment:


Maximising Throughput

Problem 3: Lack of regime to prevent overloading


No loading rules = No control = Overloading

Solution:
Start new projects only when capacity allows

Stagger new projects starts to avoid major issues

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CCPM in Multi-Project Environment:


Maximising Throughput

Solution Summary:
Prioritise !
Stagger project starts to avoid major contention

Start new projects only when capacity allows

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Project A

CCPM in Multi-Project Environment:


Prioritise!
Priority 4

Project B

Priority 5

Project C

Priority 3

Project D

Priority 2

Priority 1

Project E
Project F

Priority 6

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CCPM in the Multi-Project Environment:

Priority 1

Project 1
Project 2

Priority 2

Project 3

Priority 3

Project 4

Priority 4

Project 5
Project 6

Priority 5
Priority 6

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CCPM in the Multi-Project Environment:

Project 1
Project 2

Project 3
Project 4

?=

Project 5
Project 6

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CCPM in the Multi-Project Environment:

Project 1
Project 2

Project 3
Project 4

?=

Project 5
Project 6

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CCPM in Multi-Project Environment:

Project 1
Project 2

Project 3
Project 4

Project 5
Project 6

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CCPM in Multi-Project Environment:

KR
KR
KR

KR
KR
KR

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KR
KR
KR
KR

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CCPM in Multi-Project Environment:

www.criticalpoint.co.uk

KR
KR
KR
KR

KR

KR
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CCPM in Multi-Project Environment:

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KR
KR
KR
KR

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CCPM in Multi-Project Environment:


Whats the new picture look like?

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Its what you finish


not what you start.

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CCPM Programme Management


The Programme Fever Chart
Multi-project Fever Chart
100%
90%

Percentage of Buffer Used

80%

Proj C

70%

Proj A

60%

50%
40%
30%

Proj E

Proj B

20%

Proj F

10%
0%
0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Percentage of Critical Chain Completed

80%

90%

100%

Programme Fever Chart focusses on projects that need attention


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The Evidence
for CCPM

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Companies Using CCPM - 1


High Tech
3M
Advasense Technologies
Agilent Technologie
AMCC
AMD
Avaya
Avitronics
Barco
Bell Canada
BT Radianz
Computer Sciences Corp
Cray, Inc.
ECI Telecom Ltd.
Eclozion Informatique
Ericsson
Estonian Telephone
Fairchild Semiconductor
Graftech
Hewlett Packard
Hitachi Computer Products
Honeywell
IBM
Ismeca Europe Semiconductor
ITT Canon
L-3 Communication Systems
LSI Logic
Lucent Technologies
Marvell

High Tech /
Medtronic, Inc.
Microsoft
Motorola
Numonyx
Philips Semiconductors
Pioneer
Qualcomm
RSA Security
SanDisk
Sapient
Seagate Technology LLC
Sony Ericsson
Spirent Communications
Sprint
Sun Microsystems
Symbian
Tadiran Spectralink
Tektronix
TT Technologies
Tundra Semiconductor
Workscape
Xerox Corporation
Business Education
Ashridge Management College
Project Management Institute
London Business School
+ Over 160 Universities

Life Sciences
Abbott Labs
Adirondack Surgery
AHIS-St. Vincent Health
AMGEN
Andover Healthcare Inc.
Arterain Medical
Baxter
Boston Scientific
Central Dupage Health
Bovis Pharmaceuticals
Converge Medical Inc.
Cytori Therapeutics, Inc.
Edwards Lifescience
Ethicon
Gambro Healthcare
GlaxoSmithKline
Johnson & Johnson
Medtronic
Merck Medco Managed Care
Pfizer
Pharmacia
Roche Diagnostics
Spectranetics
Tenet Health Care
Tyco Healthcare
United Behavioral Health
Vascore Medical
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Companies Using CCPM - 2


Aerospace and Defense
Aerojet Corporation
Air Force Institute of Tech.
BAE Systems
The Boeing Company
General Dynamics
Halliburton
ITT Space Systems
Lockheed
NASA
Northrop Grumman
Portsmouth Naval Shipyard
Puget Sound Naval Shipyard
Raytheon
SAAB Avionics
US Air Force
Consumer Products
Coca-Cola
Colgate Palmolive
Del Monte Foods
Fonterra
Gillette
Heineken
IKEA
Kraft Foods
McKee Foods
Nike
Philip Morris

Industrial
ABB
Accoat
Advanced Energy Technology
Alcan
Alfa Lava
American Rubber Products
Applied Plasmonics
AREVA
Atomic Energy of Canada .
Balfour Beatty
Bimba Manufacturing
Bosal
Bosch Rexroth Ltda.
Brice Manufacturing
BVR Technologies Company
C.F. Roark Welding.
Callaway Golf
Celite Corporation s
Conoco
Corning Cable Systems
Cueros Industrializados
DaimlerChrysler UK
Danfoss
Delta Faucet Company
Detroit Diesel Reman-West
DuPont
Eastman Kodak Company

Industrial/
ExxonMobil Chemical
Fisher Controls
Fluid Brasil Sistemas
Fluke Corporation
Fuel Cell Energy
GE Industrial Systems
Hach
Honda
ITT Corporation
Kawasaki Heavy Industries,
M&M Precision Systems
Marshall Industries
Merichem Chemicals
Milwaukee Forge
Rail care
Raychem
Rolls Royce
Siemens
Sylvania
Unilever
Tata
UPC Technology
Volvo

Source:TOC International, Gatlinburg,


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Results:

Japanese Government
After having used it in 2,523 public works projects in 2007
and over 4,000 projects in 2008, the Japanese government
now requires that CCPM be used on all public works
projects (approximately 20,000 projects per year).

CCPM Software - ProChain Inc.


ProChain is an industry-leading US-based CCPM software developer and implementer.
Here are some client quotes from various case studies using ProChain products:

Reduced first project more than 10 months (approx. 50%)


Between 25 - 50 % reduction on first 10 projects
On-time completion of projects increased from 22% to well above 90%
On-time completion of projects now at 100%
Average project length reduced by more than 50%
On-time delivery of projects went from 40% to nearly 100%
More than doubled project throughput
Return on investment conservatively 500:1
Source: ProChain Inc. http://www.prochain.com/clients/results.html
Copyright 2013 by ProChain Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved.

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Professional Recognition

Association for Project Management

APM Body of Knowledge.


"An alternative to creating networks based on activity dependencies is to use a
technique called critical chain. This method considers the availability of resources
and the interdependencies between resources. - APM Body of Knowledge 6th edition (2012) p 155

Project Management Institute


PMI Body of Knowledge
Critical chain is a schedule network analysis technique that modifies the project
schedule to account for limited resources. Initially, the project schedule network
diagram is built using duration estimates with required dependencies and defined
constraints as inputs. The critical path is then calculated. After the critical path is
identified, resource availability is entered and the resource-limited schedule result is
determined. The resulting schedule often has an altered critical path.
PMI BoK 4th edition. Ch 6 Time Management p.155
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Professional Recognition

Conference Presentation
Critical Chain Project Management using Microsoft Project and Prochain:
Implementing Project Portfolio Management.

The Theory of Constraints International Certification Organization (TOCICO) is a global


not-for-profit certification organization for TOC practitioners, consultants and
academics to develop and administer certification standards, and facilitate the
exchange of latest developments. TOCICO has run an international conference for the
past 11 years.
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The Theory of Constraints & CCPM - 30yrs in the making:


The work and books of Eli Goldratt
Retail
Isnt It Obvious?

TOC & Business Strategy


Viable Vision
TOC & Technology
Necessary But Not Sufficient
Project Management
Critical Chain
Distribution, Marketing, Management
Its Not Luck
The Thinking Process
The Jonah Program, The Choice
Manufacturing, Accounting, Production
The Goal, The Race, The Haystack Syndrome

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

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CCPM Potted History


Development:
Result of many years of continuous development
Based on Theory of Constraints (TOC) 1980s 1990s
Needed software to be truly viable
Software too slow to develop
Software now mature & robust (see ProChain.com)
Key Publications by Eliyahu Goldratt:
1984 'The Goal' TOC in manufacturing
1997 Critical Chain - Applying TOC to project management
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Last Word
Critical Chain Project Management presents us with an opportunity to plan
projects well for maybe the very first time. We should make sure that we
break with our old traditions of how we have done things in the past, and replan our projects from scratch.
But planning is only half the story. The real power of CCPM comes from the
control afforded during the execution or deployment of the job. Buffer status
and buffer management allows us unprecedented feedback on the progress
of the project and where to focus attention and where not.
And maybe this is the most important factor in the whole approach.
We have a totally new and systemic way to manage projects. We should
make the very most of this opportunity.

Dr. Kelvin Youngman

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Critical Point Consulting


Over 15 years experience of implementing CCPM
in
Multiple companies / Multiple industries
info@criticalpoint.co.uk
www.criticalpoint.co.uk
UK: 01892 506881

Intl: +44 1892 506881

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