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Citation: Woinarski, J. & Burbidge, A.A. 2016. Phascolarctos cinereus. The IUCN Red List of
Threatened Species 2016: e.T16892A21960344. http://dx.doi.org/10.2305/IUCN.UK.20161.RLTS.T16892A21960344.en
Copyright: 2016 International Union for Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources
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Taxonomy
Kingdom
Phylum
Class
Order
Family
Animalia
Chordata
Mammalia
Diprotodontia
Phascolarctidae
Common Name(s):
English:
Koala
Assessment Information
Red List Category & Criteria:
Year Published:
2016
Date Assessed:
Justification:
The conservation status of the Koala has been contested (Melzer et al. 2000; The Senate Environment
and Communications References Committee 2011), in part because of uncertainty about relevant
population parameters and marked variation in population trends across its large range. The overall rate
of decline in population size over the last 18-24 years (=three generations) was estimated at about 28%
by the Threatened Species Scientific Committee (2012), with this rate substantially influenced by a
severe decline in inland regions most exposed to recent drought. A separate expert elicitation process
involving independent estimates (from 15 Koala experts) of population size in every bioregion inhabited
by Koalas concluded that the Koala population size reduction or projected reduction over three
generations is a mean of 29%, albeit with substantial variation amongst experts in estimation of this rate
(McAlpine et al. 2012). Climate change is expected to lead to an increased rate of population reduction
over the next 20-30 years, and the impacts of other threats will magnify over this period. Here we
consider that the conservation status of the Koala is border-line between Near Threatened and
Vulnerable, but we adopt a precautionary assessment given the proximity of the estimated current and
projected rate of decline to the threshold, and published assessments of the likelihood of additional and
compound impacts due to climate change (Woinarski et al. 2014)
Geographic Range
Range Description:
The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species: Phascolarctos cinereus published in 2016.
http://dx.doi.org/10.2305/IUCN.UK.2016-1.RLTS.T16892A21960344.en
The Koala was formerly common throughout the broad band of forests and woodlands dominated by
Eucalyptus spp. extending from north Queensland to the south-eastern corner of mainland South
Australia, Australia (Maxwell et al. 1996). Currently it occurs in northeastern, central, and southeastern
Queensland with patchy populations in western areas; eastern New South Wales including the coastal
strip and highlands of the Great Dividing Range, as well as the western plains and related riparian
environments where suitable habitat occurs; Victoria; and southeastern South Australia. Its total
geographic range has contracted significantly due to loss of large areas of habitat since European
settlement. In Queensland, extent of occurrence and area of occupancy have contracted by about 30%
(Gordon et al. 2006).
The Koala has been introduced to at least 12 islands including: Kangaroo (South Australia, 450,000 ha),
French (Victoria, 17,470 ha), Phillip (Victoria, 10,116 ha), and Magnetic (Queensland, 5,200 ha) (Abbott
and Burbidge 1995). It has also been introduced within the mainland in the Adelaide Region and along
the Murray River (Maxwell et al. 1996).
Country Occurrence:
Native: Australia (New South Wales, Queensland, South Australia, Victoria)
The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species: Phascolarctos cinereus published in 2016.
http://dx.doi.org/10.2305/IUCN.UK.2016-1.RLTS.T16892A21960344.en
Distribution Map
Phascolarctos cinereus
The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species: Phascolarctos cinereus published in 2016.
http://dx.doi.org/10.2305/IUCN.UK.2016-1.RLTS.T16892A21960344.en
Population
There are robust population estimates for some regions, notably the Mulga Lands of southwest
Queensland (for which a 2009 estimate is about 12,000 individuals: Seabrook et al. 2011). More broadly,
Queensland EPA (2006) estimated the Koala population size in Queensland in 2006 at between 100,000
and 300,000 individuals. In its 2012 listing advice, the Threatened Species Scientific Committee (2012)
provided State-based best estimates of population size in 2010, tallying to between 347,000 and
518,000 individuals across all States. Some other sources have concluded that the population size is
<100,000 individuals (see The Senate Environment and Communications References Committee 2011). A
recent expert-based elicitation process provided an aggregated mean estimate of 330,000 individuals
across the Koalas current range (McAlpine et al. 2012), suggesting the number of mature individuals is
c. 300,000.
Population densities are very variable between regions and across time: examples include 1-3
individuals/ha in coastal forests in south-eastern Queensland (Queensland EPA 2006), 0.01/ha in central
Queensland (Melzer et al. 2000), 0.006/ha in coastal forests of south-eastern New South Wales (Jurskis
and Potter 1997), and >5/ha in forests on Kangaroo Island prior to population control (Masters et al.
2004).
Koala subpopulations may show marked fluctuation, with severe crashes associated with over-browsing
(Menkhorst 2004, 2008) and with long periods of low rainfall or episodes of very high temperatures
(Gordon et al. 1988, Seabrook et al. 2011).
Gordon et al. (2008) considered the overall direction for population trend for Koalas to be unknown.
However, the evidence for overall reduction in population size over the past three generations is
compelling, given sustained management to reduce or stabilize population density of the largest South
Australian subpopulation, demonstration of major decline in parts of inland Queensland (notably in the
Mulga Lands, where population size decreased over recent decades by 80%: Seabrook et al. 2011), and
in much of the coastal range of south-eastern Queensland (e.g. 68% decline in the Koala Coast region
from 1999 to 2010) and New South Wales. However, trends in these regions are not necessarily typical
of the broader range, and population trends may also vary between different subpopulations within
regions: for example, while most monitored Queensland subpopulations have experienced decline over
the last two decades, a low density population at Oakey on the eastern Darling Downs has shown
relative stability in population size (McAlpine et al. 2012; G. Gordon pers. comm. 2014). Likewise, in
New South Wales, subpopulations in coastal regions have declined (some, including around Eden and
Iluka, to extirpation or nearly so), but there are several subpopulations (including Lismore,
Campbelltown and Southern Highlands) that are relatively stable.
Regional-level population size and trend estimates were collated by the Threatened Species Scientific
Committee (2012), based on information from sites with known population density information (or
estimates of number of individuals in subpopulations) and monitoring results, extrapolated to regional
scale, and summed over regions, with some sensitivity analysis. These estimates indicate a 20-year
(1990-2010) decline in population size nationally of about 28%, with that decline greatest in low rainfall
areas of western Queensland exposed to drought conditions. A summary of their interpretation of
population status and trends is given in Table 1 in the Supplementary Material. The major uncertainties
in these estimates of population trends arise from the wide range of estimates for the size of the
The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species: Phascolarctos cinereus published in 2016.
http://dx.doi.org/10.2305/IUCN.UK.2016-1.RLTS.T16892A21960344.en
The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species: Phascolarctos cinereus published in 2016.
http://dx.doi.org/10.2305/IUCN.UK.2016-1.RLTS.T16892A21960344.en
Breeding is seasonal, with births (typically of single young) in October-May. Females can produce young
at annual intervals, but births per adult female per year average 0.3-0.8 (McLean 2003). Sexual maturity
is reached at 18 months (Jackson 2007). In the wild, longevity of 12 (for males) to 15 years (for females)
has been reported (Martin and Handasyde 1999). Generation length is 6-8 years (Phillips 2000).
Systems:Terrestrial
The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species: Phascolarctos cinereus published in 2016.
http://dx.doi.org/10.2305/IUCN.UK.2016-1.RLTS.T16892A21960344.en
marooning and re-introduction (mostly in Victoria, Menkhorst 2008) and introduction (mostly in South
Australia: Masters et al. 2004), some land management and forestry prescriptions, monitoring,
substantial research, and localized management of some threats. There are numerous captive breeding
facilities in Australia, and internationally.
Credits
Assessor(s):
Reviewer(s):
Johnson, C.N.
Contributor(s):
Martin, R., Menkhorst, P., Lunney, D., Gordon, G., Adams-Hosking, C., Dickman, C.
& McAlpine, C.
The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species: Phascolarctos cinereus published in 2016.
http://dx.doi.org/10.2305/IUCN.UK.2016-1.RLTS.T16892A21960344.en
Bibliography
Abbott, I. and Burbidge, A.A. 1995. The occurrence of mammal species on the islands of Australia: a
summary of existing knowledge. CALMScience 1(3): 259-324.
Adams-Hosking, C., Grantham, H.S., Rhodes, J.R., McAlpine, C. and Moss, P.T. 2011. Modelling climatechange-induced shifts in the distribution of the koala. Wildlife Research 38: 122-130.
Adams-Hosking, C., McAlpine, C., Rhodes, J.R., Grantham, H.S. and Moss, P.T. 2012. Modelling changes in
the distribution of the critical food resources of a specialist folivore in response to climate change.
Diversity and Distributions 18: 847-860.
Adams-Hosking, C., Moss, P.T., Rhodes, J.R., Grantham, H.S. and McAlpine, C. 2011. Modelling the
potential range of the koala at the last glacial maximum: Future conservation implications. Australian
Zoologist 35: 983-990.
Ellis, W.A.H., Melzer, A., Carrick, F.N. and Hasegawa, M. 2002. Tree use, diet and home range of the koala
(Phascolarctos cinereus) at Blair Athol, central Queensland. Wildlife Research 29: 303-311.
Ellis, W., Melzer, A., Clifton, I.D. and Carrick, F. 2010. Climate change and the koala Phascolarctos
cinereus: water and energy. Australian Zoologist 35: 369377.
Gordon, G. and Hrdina, F. 2005. Koala and Possum Populations in Queensland during the Harvest Period,
1906-1936. Australian Zoologist 33: 69-99.
Gordon, G., Brown, A.S. and Pulsford, T. 1988. A koala (Phascolarctos cinereus Goldfuss) population
crash during drought and heatwave conditions in south-western Queensland. Austral Ecology 13: 451461.
Gordon, G., Hrdina, F. and Patterson, R. 2006. Decline in the distribution of the koala Phascolarctos
cinereus in Queensland. Australian Zoologist 33: 345-358.
Gordon, G., Menkhorst, P., Robinson, T., Lunney, D., Martin, R. and Ellis, W. 2008. Phascolarctos cinereus.
In 'The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species'. Version 2012.1. Available at: www.iucnredlist.org.
(Accessed: www.iucnredlist.org).
Hrdina, F. and Gordon, G. 2004. The Koala and Possum Trade in Queensland, 1906-1936. Australian
Zoologist 32: 543-585.
IUCN. 2016. The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species. Version 2016-1. Available at: www.iucnredlist.org.
(Accessed: 30 June 2016).
Jackson, S. 2007. Koala: origins of an icon. Allen & Unwin, Sydney.
Jurskis, V. and Potter, M. 1997. Koala surveys, ecology and conservation at Eden. Forest Research and
Development Division, State Forests of New South Wales, Sydney.
Lassau, S. A., Ryan, B., Close, R., Moon, C., Geraghty, P., Coyle, A. and Pile, J. 2008. Home ranges and
mortality of a roadside Koala Phascolarctos cinereus population at Bonville, New South Wales. In: D.
Lunney, A. Munn and W. Meikle (eds), Too close for comfort: contentious issues in human-wildlife
encounters, pp. 127-136. Royal Zoological Society of New South Wales, Mosman.
Martin, R. and Handasyde, K. 1999. The koala: natural history, conservation and management. UNSW
Press, Sydney.
Martin, R.W. and Handasyde, K.A. 1999. The Koala: Natural History, Biology and Conservation. UNSW
The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species: Phascolarctos cinereus published in 2016.
http://dx.doi.org/10.2305/IUCN.UK.2016-1.RLTS.T16892A21960344.en
The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species: Phascolarctos cinereus published in 2016.
http://dx.doi.org/10.2305/IUCN.UK.2016-1.RLTS.T16892A21960344.en
Citation
Woinarski, J. & Burbidge, A.A. 2016. Phascolarctos cinereus. The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species
2016: e.T16892A21960344. http://dx.doi.org/10.2305/IUCN.UK.2016-1.RLTS.T16892A21960344.en
Disclaimer
To make use of this information, please check the Terms of Use.
External Resources
For Supplementary Material, and for Images and External Links to Additional Information, please see the
Red List website.
The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species: Phascolarctos cinereus published in 2016.
http://dx.doi.org/10.2305/IUCN.UK.2016-1.RLTS.T16892A21960344.en
10
Appendix
Habitats
(http://www.iucnredlist.org/technical-documents/classification-schemes)
Habitat
Season
Suitability
Major
Importance?
Resident
Suitable
Yes
Resident
Suitable
Yes
Resident
Suitable
No
Threats
(http://www.iucnredlist.org/technical-documents/classification-schemes)
Threat
Timing
Scope
Severity
Impact Score
Ongoing
Minority (50%)
Slow, significant
declines
Low impact: 5
Stresses:
Ongoing
Minority (50%)
Stresses:
Ongoing
Minority (50%)
Stresses:
Ongoing
Minority (50%)
Stresses:
Ongoing
Minority (50%)
Stresses:
Ongoing
Minority (50%)
Stresses:
Ongoing
Majority (5090%)
Stresses:
The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species: Phascolarctos cinereus published in 2016.
http://dx.doi.org/10.2305/IUCN.UK.2016-1.RLTS.T16892A21960344.en
Slow, significant
declines
Rapid declines
Slow, significant
declines
Slow, significant
declines
Rapid declines
Slow, significant
declines
Low impact: 5
Medium
impact: 6
Low impact: 5
Low impact: 5
Medium
impact: 6
Medium
impact: 6
11
Ongoing
Majority (5090%)
Slow, significant
declines
Medium
impact: 6
Stresses:
Research Needed
(http://www.iucnredlist.org/technical-documents/classification-schemes)
Research Needed
1. Research -> 1.2. Population size, distribution & trends
1. Research -> 1.3. Life history & ecology
The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species: Phascolarctos cinereus published in 2016.
http://dx.doi.org/10.2305/IUCN.UK.2016-1.RLTS.T16892A21960344.en
12
Research Needed
1. Research -> 1.6. Actions
2. Conservation Planning -> 2.1. Species Action/Recovery Plan
3. Monitoring -> 3.4. Habitat trends
Population
Number of mature individuals: 100000-500000, 300000
Continuing decline of mature individuals: Yes
Extreme fluctuations: No
Population severely fragmented: No
Continuing decline in subpopulations: Yes
Extreme fluctuations in subpopulations: No
All individuals in one subpopulation: No
The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species: Phascolarctos cinereus published in 2016.
http://dx.doi.org/10.2305/IUCN.UK.2016-1.RLTS.T16892A21960344.en
13
The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species is produced and managed by the IUCN Global Species
Programme, the IUCN Species Survival Commission (SSC) and The IUCN Red List Partnership.
The IUCN Red List Partners are: BirdLife International; Botanic Gardens Conservation International;
Conservation International; Microsoft; NatureServe; Royal Botanic Gardens, Kew; Sapienza University of
Rome; Texas A&M University; Wildscreen; and Zoological Society of London.