English Activity No.

1
Forecasting
Resultado de aprendizaje: Realizar intercambios sociales y prcticos muy breves, con un
vocabulario suficiente para hacer una exposicin o mantener una conversacin sencilla
sobre temas tcnicos de Forecasting

1. Elabore una simulacin pronostica de la demanda del producto o servicio segn su

proyecto de forma-cin. Tenga en cuenta los siguientes elementos:

a.

Name of the company : ECOLOGICOS CARIBE S.A.S

b.

Main business area: COMPANY CREATED FOR THE RECYCLING AND BUSINESS
OPPORTUNITY

c.

Seven steps to make a forecasting system:

1.

Uses----------environmental awareness

2.

Items--------- plastic, glass, paper and cardboard

3.

Time horizon---- medium-range forecast

4.

Model------- cyclus a Colombian company that designs products from recycling

5.

Data gathering------Historical data, projection of sales.

6.

Making------doesnt manufacture is harvesting and sale

7.

Validation and Implementation------Forecast for weekly review and make the

correction, this correction will be useful to know if it is necessary to hire staff,
carry out continuous improvement plans and have a plan b.

2.
Grafique el pronstico y escriba las tendencias que tendr su producto o
servicio a corto, mediano y largo plazo.

Month
January
February
March
April
May
June
July

Code
1
2
3
4
5
6
7

Total sales
510
490
586
602
596
583
631

August
September
October
November
December

8
9
10
11
12

650
648
662
683
702

Short-range sales will diminish in the month of February compared January, but in
March and April will increase a little.
Medium-range sales will drop a point in May and June, but in the following month
increases constantly.
Long reach sales increase after 8 months and it continues to rise in the coming
months.
3. Luego de recibir la evaluacin de su tutor, publique la evidencia respectiva en una
ventana del blog de-nominada Forecasting.

Servicio Nacional de Aprendizaje - SENA. Reservados todos los

derechos 2012.