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A negative tracking signal value means the forecast is consistently higher than actual.
Safety Factors
The Table of Safety Factors
o Provides some level of service and converts the standard deviation into a specific amount
of safety stock
o Always round up to safety stock quantity
o
Lead Time Deviation
Forecast frequency upon with standard deviation is based the items lead time
*Remember to convert the SS time period into a monthly period (e.g. 2 weeks = .5 months)
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Closing the Loop
Who furnishes information?
Who uses information?
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o Capacity constraints designed into physical facility itself
o Minimal interruptions in actual process between similar product runs
o CRP is least applicable
Data Requirements for Capacity Planning
Routing
o Operations to be performed
o Sequence of operations
o Workcenters
o Setup/Run Standards
Unique Routing Information
o Tooling
o Operator Skill Level
o Inspection
o Testing Requirements
Routing Data
o Operation ID Code
o Operation Description
o Work Center
o Set/Tear-out Time
o Run time per unit
o Tooling Requirements
Lead Time: span of time required to perform a process or series of processes
Queue Time: time waiting before operations begins
Setup Time: time to get ready for operation
Run Time: time to perform operation
Wait Time: time waiting after operation ends
Move Time: time physically moving between operations
Distribution of Lead Time
Interoperation Time: Do NOT impose Load on work center (Queue, Wait, Move)
Operation Time: Impose Load on work center (Setup, Run)
Capacity Determination
Theoretical Capacity
o Based on clock hours
3 machines x 10-hour shifts x 7 Days per week = 210 hours
.4 standard hours per unit: 210 .4 = 525 units
Demonstrated Capacity
o Average Historical Output
Last 5 periods in units = 320, 462, 356, 485, 278
Average output in units: 380.2
Demonstrated capacity in hours: 380.2 x .4 = 152.08 hours
Rated Capacity
o Hours available adjusted by utilization and efficiency
210 hours available x .95 utilization x .85 efficiency = 169.6
.4 standard hours per unit: 169.6 .4 = 424 units
Utilization =
Efficiency =
Rated Capacity Formula
o Standard hours worked = (multiplication of )
Shifts per day
Machines or workstations or operators
Hours per shift
Days per period
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Utilization
Efficiency
Sources of Load
Open Order (Scheduled Receipts)
Planned Orders (Planned by Material Planning)
Other Sources
o Rework
o Scrap
o Process yield
o Engineering-related downtime
o Prototypes, sales samples, etc
o Destructive tests
Queuing effects
High Capacity Utilization = Long Average Queue Time
Scheduling Strategies
Backward Scheduling: begins with latest due date for order, calculates latest start date for it. (most often
used)
Forward Scheduling: begins with earliest start date for order, calculates earliest completion date for it.
Central Point Scheduling: for critical operations, forward scheduling is used. For operations previous to
critical operations, backward scheduling is used.
Probable Scheduling: takes slack time into account to increase or decrease lead time, provides element of
flexibility in planning, often used for project scheduling
Load Profile: future capacity requirements
Infinite Loading
Calculating loads by time period while ignoring capacity
Goal is to meet due dates as scheduled
Most useful when priority give with respect to due dates (job shop environment)
Finite Loading
Considers capacity, not permitting overloads
Start and due dates are changed to prevent overloads
Goal is good use of capacity through course of time
Most useful if limited capacity is major problem (continuous flow production environment)
Techniques
o Process-oriented: minimize potential delays to individual operationsthus average potential delay
of entire production order; rules of priority (sequencing rules)
o Order-oriented: as many orders as possible on time, w/ low levels of WIP; orders scheduled in
entirety, one after another; most commonly used technique
o Constraint-oriented: orders planned around bottleneck capacities; Optimized Production
Technology (OPT) intended to link scheduling and capacity; practical application of Theory of
Constraints (TOC);
1. Only orders with minimum batch size are generated
2. Batch size lots come together at bottleneck capacities
3. Operations at bottleneck scheduled
4. Operations before bottleneck then scheduled backward, later ones scheduled forward
using normal lead times.
Scheduling Manufacturing and Logistics Operations
Load Leveling
Order-Oriented Finite Loading
o Orders scheduled in entirety, one right after another, in time periods
o Goal: find priority rules enabling as many orders as possible to be completed
o Planning horizon divided into time periods
o Capacity limit exceed? Three possible responses:
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1. Load the operation
2. Defer operation
3. Refuse order
o Capacity and loads reliable
o Due dates flexible
o Limitations
Short planning horizons
Regular re-planning needed
In short term planning; doesnt allow local, reactive re-planning
Long queues
With inflexible capacities lower utilization of capacity as soon as due dates are deferred.
o Areas of Application
Serial production, long period, monopoly situation, sellers market
Suitable for discrete manufacturing industries (if capacity is flexible)
Shop-floor control
Actual work program for next few days
Acceptable work program that allows situation planning
Long-term planning, few orders, high value added, regular planning/re-planning
Mixed Manufacturing
Produce goods with various market strategies/logistics goals
Example: organization may make mass-produced goods and maintain stocks at various stages (goal: to
maximize capacity utilization). Also produce to customer order, one-of-a-kind production (goal: shortest
possible lead time)
Load-Oriented Order Release (LOOR)
o Rough-Cut technique for order-oriented finite loading
o Adapts load to actual available capacity
Capacity-Oriented Material Management (Corma)
Enable mixed manufacturers to play WIP off against limited capacity and short deliveries for customer
production orders
Stock replenishment orders of MTS considered filler loadings
Consists of 3 parts
1. Criterion for order release: stock replenishment orders released before re order point
2. Probable Scheduling for shop floor control: priority to early release order only when needed
3. Mechanism that couples shop floor scheduling with materials planning:continually rescheduling
stock replenishment orders according to actual usage
Review
1. Resource Planning
2. Rough-Cut Capacity Planning
3. Detailed Capacity Planning
4. Planning and Control (shop floor/work place level)
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Capacity Mechanics
Objectives:
Detailed required to produce effective load and priority plans; includes level of safety capacity.
Capacity planning outputs to formulate:
Capacity plans
Tooling requirements
Overload conditions
Underload conditions
Methods that balance capacity and load
Rescheduling order
Splitting orders
Changing capacity workforce changes/subcontracting
Modifying order quantities/priorities
Close loop with master planning of resources and distribution planning
Product quantities
Timing
Priorities
Close loop within detailed scheduling and planning process
Purchased
Self-manufactured materials
Part quantities
Timing
Priorities
Close loop with execution and control of operationsverify that all these made correctly, on time:
Manufactured parts
Subassemblies
Assemblies
Priority/Capacity Hierarchy
CRP cannot compensate for overloaded conditions caused by higher-level load/priority plans
Accomplishing Production Schedules
Capacity
Priority
Concerned with correct mix of
Valid due date maintenance
equipment, personnel,
tooling, and other resources
Receives and is dependent on
Validated by capacity planning
input from priority planning
at each level
functions
CRP less common in repetitive and continuous line production
CRP more common in job shop and batch production environments
Resource planning typically loads departments/areas in terms of general amounts of work days, numbers
of personnel, numbers of types of finished products.
RCCP translates these conditions into capacity of key work centers (bottlenecks)
Complications of Capacity
Lot sizing
o Order timing variability because of aggregation
o Order mix variability
Bottlenecks
Complexity
o Uncertainty
o Variability of demand
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CRP Inputs
Routing Data
Production Order Status
Schedule of planned manufacturing order releases
Workcenter data
CRP Output
Workcenter load report
Revised schedule of planned manufacturing order releases
Load Unit of Measures
MPS Level
o Product Category
o Product Type
CRP Level
o Standard Hours
o Standard Units
Primary sources of load to be measure by CRP
Open-order status info from Production Control
Planned order releases produced by MRP
Increasing Capacity
Overtime/weekends
Add personnel
Extra shifts
Add equipment/facilities
Reassignment of personnel
Reduce Load
Decrease Lot Sizes
Subcontracting
Hold orders in production control
Reduce MPS last resort
Reducing Capacity
Reassign personnel
Eliminate shifts/reduce length of shifts
Increasing Load
Release orders early
In-source normally purchased or subcontracted items
Increase Lot sizes
Increase MPS
Redistributing Load
Use alternate workcenter
Use alternate routings
Adjust operation start dates forward and backward in time
Revise MPS or lot sizes
Split orders
Capacity Planning in Repetitive Production
Fixed Routings
Variable run times by product mix
Insignificant queue and wait times
Setup time only during line changeover
Production rate constrained by slowest workstation
Feedback at key points rather than at every operation
*CRP is not often used in this environment*
Measuring performance of Detailed Capacity Planning Process
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Eliminated past due load
Balanced load according to capacity
Shorter queues
Reduced WIP
Higher productivity
Reduced idle time
Reduced overtime
Increased throughput
Rated Capacity = Hours/shift x Days/Week x Shifts/Day x Number of Machines x Utilization x Efficiency
Master Planning interaction
Monitors info from key workcenters for overload and underload
Distribution Requirements Planning
Personnel Planning:
o By wave or shift on daily basis per shipping plan
Wave: store orders or routing stops being picked up at a time
o Demonstrated capacity over time
Detailed Scheduling and Planning Internal Interactions
CRP closes loop with MRP in terms of availability of resources to support MRP priorities
o More real time integration the better
Identify orders for which capacity exists
Capacity shortage for orders
Execution and Control of Operations Interactions
Identify orders for which capacity exists
Identify orders for which there is capacity shortage
Balance loads and capacity
Advantages of CRP
Confirms adequate cumulative capacity
Considers lot sizes and routings
Provides time-phases visibility of capacity and load imbalances
Estimates lead time precisely
Helps eliminate erratic lead times
Disadvantages of CRP
High amount of computation required
Computational preciseness is approximation
Applies mainly to non-repetitive production
Extensive accurate input data required
No precise level of detail (function of execution and control)
Effect of MPS revision not clear
Effects of not doing CRP
Low Productivity
Higher WIP
Bottlenecks
Late deliveries and shortages
Long Lead Times
High Labor costs
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Commodity procurement strategy team
Sourcing team
Supplier performance evaluation team
Supplier certification team
New product development team
Strategic Alliances
Formed at any business level
Involves modifying business practices
Technical and commercial partnering
Operation partnering
NOT a legal entity
Factors that drive Strategic Sourcing
Agreements that do not minimize costs
Purchasing organization goal that conflict with corporate goals
Purchases accounting for over 50 % of the cost of goods and services
Increased competitiveness
Market volatility
Initiate Strategic Sourcing
Supply strategy for key markets
Supplier database
Financial impact of investments
Source of strategic materials
Potential suppliers for partnering
Capture supplier ideas
Performance measures
Sole Sourcing: ONLY one supplier because of unique technology, distribution arrangement, or government
regulation.
Single Sourcing: more than one source but its the companys choice to buy from only one.
Advantages
o Better quality
o Better pricing
o Delivery
o Reliance
o Buyer clout
Disadvantages
o Slow response to changes
o Lose focus on market competitive price
o Excess Demand
Managed Inventory
Consignment: also called Vendor-Owned Inventory (VOI)
Vendor-Managed Inventory (VMI)
Differences between VMI and VOI:
o Suppliers role
o Technology used
Benefits to Managed Inventory
o Fewer stock-outs
o Better Inventory Turns
o Lower Inventory
Supplier Involvement in Product Development
Early as possible
Especially current supplier base
Leverage supplier knowledge
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Advantages of Material Buying
Shares supplier base and strategy
Avoids additional transaction from engineering to manufacturing
Increase speed of transfer to manufacturing
Disadvantages of Material Buying
Communication of changes may be better if buying is done in engineering
Response from material may be slower because of production and other commitments
Tracking costs of development easier if done by engineering buyer
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Customer pays allowable costs
Customer pays agreed fee
Supplier profit is low
Contractual obligations
o Verbal commitment
o Purchas credit card
o Purchas orders
o Blanket orders/releases
Advantages
Fewer Pos
Buyers can focus on other areas
Volume pricing
Information flow
Lower inventory/lead times
Long-term supplier relationship
o Contracts
Order placement
Pricing Principles
Economic Considerations
o Variable margin pricing: companies sell line of products and establish prices to generate profit
margin for entire line.
o Product differentiation: product really different from other suppliers or just hype?
o Cost plus profit
o Sellers market
Price Analysis
o Benchmark total price
o Historical
o Proposal
o Catalog/market
Discounts
o Quantity
o Seasonal
o Trade
Given to buyer or distributor for performing some marketing functions of seller
o Cash
Contracts Elements
Mutual Obligation
Agreement or meeting of minds
Competent parties
Lawful purpse
Contract Types
Long-Term
Definite Delivery: production schedule of entire period known, high degree of certainty
Indefinite Delivery
o Definite quantity: quantity specified; delivery is to be specified
o Requirements: all requirements for period of time; minimum requirements established;
termination protection
o Indefinite quantity: minimum/maximum range specified; delivery to be specified; high and low
limits
Order Placement Process:
1. Purchas Req
2. Request for Proposal/Request for Quote (RFP/RFQ)
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3. Quote Evaluation
4. Purchas Order (PO)
5. Acknowledgement
6. Approval of invoice
7. Reconciliation
Invoicing
Accounting pays invoice
Reconciliations
Supplier Rating Systems
Metrics to be measured depend on needs of the company
Balanced Scorecard:
o Financial
o Customer
o Business Process
o Learning and Growth
Performance measure should address:
o Customer satisfaction/quality
o Time
o Cost
o Quality
o Assets
Performance Measurement Standards
o Product Quality
o Certification
o Delivery/performance
o Cost performance
o Quantity
o Cooperation
o Oter
Buyer Performance Standards
o Buyers Service Level
o Purchasing workload
o Planned number of buyers
o Number of documents per year per buyer
o Input ratio number of res received/number of orders placed
o Product flow
o Year-to-date expense variance
Ethical Standards
Ethical perceptions
Responsibilities to Employer
Conflict of Interest
Gratuities
Treatment of suppliers
Confidential information
Reciprocity
Federal and state laws
Small, disadvantaged, and minority-owned businesses
Personal purchases for employees
Responsibilities to the profession
International purchasing
International Procurement
Currency fluctuations
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Transportation
Cultural
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