m 0 1t 2 pib 3 r 4 p

M
0.113
0.128
0.139
0.145
0.114
0.284
0.102
0.185
0.171
0.227
0.249
0.238
0.209
0.219
0.235

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

t
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

m
0.1839

m'
1'
t'
pib'
r'
p'

r
5.3
5.32
5.34
4.78
4.55
6.77
7.33
6.23
6.12
5.3
7.43
10.25
8.3
13.4
10.79

P
4.9
5.18
5.2
4.99
4.17
5.54
8.9
9.65
8.85
7.56
7.48
7.64
9.21
9.94
5.99

pib
int
inf
1.32106667 7.1473333333 7.01333333

m
0.55
2.76
24.55
3.73
20.80
19.82

(X'X)-1=

b=

pib
1.158
1.145
1.156
1.159
1.167
1.271
1.283
1.287
1.299
1.31
1.449
1.467
1.49
1.545
1.63

-0.0152 bo
0.0070 b1
0.1635 b2
-0.0045 b3
-0.0058 b4

pib

15.0
120.0
19.8
107.2
105.2

120.0
1,240.0
168.1
985.8
922.4

19.8
168.1
26.5
146.6
141.4

107.2
985.8
146.6
857.5
789.4

91.61
2.52

2.52
0.08

-87.99
-2.40

1.62
0.03

-87.99
1.62
-1.00

-2.40
0.03
-0.03

85.80
-1.68
0.83

-1.68
0.06
-0.02

Empib=
Emr=
Emp=

1.17
-0.18
-0.22

SCE= b'X'Y-TY2
SCT=
SCR
s2=
R2=
0.51351
R2 aj= 0.318914

0.02411326
0.04695773
0.02284448
0.00228445

0.2093
0.0058
-0.2010
0.0037
-0.0023

Var(b)=

se(bo)
se(b1)
se(b2)
se(b3)
se(b4)

0.0058
0.0002
-0.0055
0.0001
-0.0001

-0.2010
-0.0055
0.1960
-0.0038
0.0019

0.0037
0.0001
-0.0038
0.0001
0.0000

1
0

0
1

0.45746
0.013472
0.442713
0.012041
0.009546

Ho:
beta_0=0
Ha:
beta_0 no= 0
t-stat
-0.03315
alpha
0.05
gl
10
VC(5%)
2.23

t-stat
0.52
0.37
-0.37
-0.61

Significancia global
Ho: b1=b2=b3=b4=0
Ha: algun bi no= 0
F-stat= 2.63885
gl num
4
gl den
10
alpha
0.01
CV=

R=

0
0

0
0

0
0

0
0

r=

-0.00451
-0.00585

rb-r=

R(X'X) =
-1

R(X'X) R'=
-1

s R(X'X) R'=
2

-1

inv()=

1.62

0.03

-1.68

0.06

-1.00

-0.03

0.83

-0.02

0.06

-0.02

-0.02

0.04

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

7,758.89
3,260.85

3,260.85
12,343.80

(Rb-r)'s2R(X'X)-1R'=

0.75198317
W=

0.37599158

VC=

4.10282102

-54.05

-86.90

e
-0.02
0.00
0.00
-0.01
-0.05
0.11
-0.06
0.02
-0.01
0.03
0.03
0.02
-0.02
0.00
-0.04

3.791134E-013
1.954048E-012
1.918660E-012

0.000000000000298

p
105.2
922.4
141.4
789.4
792.5
Resumen

-1.00
-0.03

Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de co 0.71659598
Coeficiente de d
0.5135

0.83
-0.02
0.04

R^2 ajustado
Error tpico
Observaciones

0.3189
0.0477959
15

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresin
4 0.02411326
Residuos
10 0.02284448
Total
14 0.04695773

Intercepcin
t
pib
r
P

-0.0023
-0.0001
0.0019
0.0000
0.0001

Coeficientes Error tpico

-0.0152 0.4574597
0.0070 0.0134716
0.1635 0.44271271
-0.0045 0.01204079
-0.0058 0.00954619

-0.02
0.04

Promedio de los cuadradosF

Valor crtico de F
0.00602831 2.63884958 0.09721661
0.00228445

Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%

Superior 95.0%
-0.03 0.97420515 -1.03444979 1.00411768 -1.03444979 1.00411768
0.52 0.61262202 -0.02297611 0.03705709 -0.02297611
0.37 0.71964423 -0.82295631 1.14989444 -0.82295631
-0.37 0.7158996 -0.03133701 0.02232007 -0.03133701
-0.61 0.55374716 -0.02711927 0.01542122 -0.02711927

0.03705709
1.14989444
0.02232007
0.01542122

rior 95.0%