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METODO REGRESION EXPONENCIAL

FECHA
12/7/2013
12/13/2013
12/21/2013
12/28/2013
1/7/2014
1/13/2014
1/20/2014
1/27/2014
2/5/2014
2/12/2014
2/19/2014
2/27/2013
3/5/2014
3/11/2014
3/17/2014
3/24/2014
4/5/2014

CAUDAL (m3/s)
35.7
47.9
49.8
67.9
85.7
123.6
145.4
147.9
179.8
207.6
240.9
307.1
347.3
455.2
290.9
137.8
117.5

ALTURA ( cm )
77
85
86
105
115
123
135
136
155
176
186
201
223
257
197
132
120

FORMULAS.

= (( ^)(
( ) )/((^2
( ) ^2 )

SOLUCION.
^
CUADRO ESTADISTICO.
CAUDAL (Yi)
35.7
47.9
49.8
67.9
85.7
123.6
145.4
147.9
179.8
207.6
240.9
307.1
347.3
455.2
290.9

ALTURA ( Xi)
77
85
86
105
115
123
135
136
155
176
186
201
223
257
197

Yi ' = ln(Yi)
3.58
3.87
3.91
4.22
4.45
4.82
4.98
5.00
5.19
5.34
5.48
5.73
5.85
6.12
5.67

Xi * Yi'
275.29
328.87
336.09
442.89
511.85
592.50
672.23
679.53
804.74
939.07
1020.10
1151.16
1304.59
1573.03
1117.58

(Xi) ^2()
5929.00
7225.00
7396.00
11025.00
13225.00
15129.00
18225.00
18496.00
24025.00
30976.00
34596.00
40401.00
49729.00
66049.00
38809.00

TOTAL

137.8
117.5
2988.00

132
120
2509.00

17

4.93
4.77
83.89

650.21
571.97
12971.69

17424.00
14400.00
413059.00

GRAFICA.
ALTURA ( Xi)
77
85
86
105
115
123
135
136
155
176
186
201
223
257
197
132
120

()

Curva de Calibracio
53.21
59.51
60.35
78.74
90.58
101.31
119.84
121.53
158.57
212.76
244.74
301.93
410.83
661.29
285.48
114.91
97.14

700.00
650.00
600.00
550.00
500.00
450.00
400.00
350.00
300.00
250.00
200.00
150.00
100.00
50.00
0.00
50

100

150

^)( )
)/((^2 )
) ^2 )

53.21
59.51
60.35
78.74
90.58
101.31
119.84
121.53
158.57
212.76
244.74
301.93
410.83
661.29
285.48

^=(
)/()/

CALCULO DE B
B=

0.014

CALCULO DE A
A' =

2.896

A=

18.105

La ecuacion sera :

114.91
97.14

()=18.105 (^(0.014 () ))

a de Calibracion : Exponencial

150

200

250

300

METODO REGRESION LINEAL

FECHA
12/7/2013
12/13/2013
12/21/2013
12/28/2013
1/7/2014
1/13/2014
1/20/2014
1/27/2014
2/5/2014
2/12/2014
2/19/2014
2/27/2013
3/5/2014
3/11/2014
3/17/2014
3/24/2014
4/5/2014

CAUDAL(m3/s)
35.7
47.9
49.8
67.9
85.7
123.6
145.4
147.9
179.8
207.6
240.9
307.1
347.3
455.2
290.9
137.8
117.5

ALTURA (cm)
77
FORMULA.
85
86
=+
105
115
123
24_(=1)^ =()+ 24_(=1)^
135
136
155
176
24_(=1)^ = 24_(=1)^ + 24_(=1)^
186
201
223
257
197
132
120

CUADRO ESTADISTICO.
N
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17

CAUDAL (Yi)
35.7
47.9
49.8
67.9
85.7
123.6
145.4
147.9
179.8
207.6
240.9
307.1
347.3
455.2
290.9
137.8
117.5

ALTURA ( Xi)
77
85
86
105
115
123
135
136
155
176
186
201
223
257
197
132
120

Xi ^2
5929.00
7225.00
7396.00
11025.00
13225.00
15129.00
18225.00
18496.00
24025.00
30976.00
34596.00
40401.00
49729.00
66049.00
38809.00
17424.00
14400.00

Xi *Yi
2748.90
4071.50
4282.80
7129.50
9855.50
15202.80
19629.00
20114.40
27869.00
36537.60
44807.40
61727.10
77447.90
116986.40
57307.30
18189.60
14100.00

()
15.63
33.79
36.05
79.17
101.86
120.01
147.24
149.50
192.62
240.26
262.95
296.99
346.91
424.05
287.91
140.43
113.20

2988

2509

17

413059

538006.7

CALCULO DE "a" y "b"


APLICANDO CRAMER
17
2509

2509
413059

a
b

a
b

2988
538006.7

17
2509

a
b

2988
538006.7

0.56823015
-0.00345154

a
b

-159.080
2.269

()=159.08+2.269
GRAFICA.
ALTURA ( Xi)
77
85
86
105
115
123
135
136
155
176
186
201
223
257
197
132
120

()
15.633
33.785
36.054
79.165
101.855
120.007
147.235
149.504
192.615
240.264
262.954
296.989
346.907
424.053
287.913
140.428
113.2

Curva
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
50

100

=+

=()+ 24_(=1)^

4_(=1)^ + 24_(=1)^ () ^2

2988
538006.7
-1
2509
413059
-0.003452
2.34E-005

Curva de Calibracion : Lineal

450

400

350

300

250

200

150

100
50
0
50

100

150

200

250

300

METODO REGRESION CUADRATICA.

FECHA
12/7/2013
12/13/2013
12/21/2013
12/28/2013
1/7/2014
1/13/2014
1/20/2014
1/27/2014
2/5/2014
2/12/2014
2/19/2014
2/27/2013
3/5/2014
3/11/2014
3/17/2014
3/24/2014
4/5/2014

CAUDAL ( m3/s)
35.7
47.9
49.8
67.9
85.7
123.6
145.4
147.9
179.8
207.6
240.9
307.1
347.3
455.2
290.9
137.8
117.5

ALTURA ( cm)
77
FORMULAS.
85
()=++ ^2
86
105
115
_(=1 )^ = ()+_(=1 )^ +_(=
123
135
136
155
_(=1)^ = _(=1 )^ + _(=1 )^
176
186
201
223
_257
(=1)^ ^2 = _(=1)^ ^2 +_(=1 )^
197
132
120

CUADRO ESTADISTICO

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17

CAUDAL ( Yi)
35.7
47.9
49.8
67.9
85.7
123.6
145.4
147.9
179.8
207.6
240.9
307.1
347.3
455.2
290.9
137.8
117.5

ALTURA (Xi)
77
85
86
105
115
123
135
136
155
176
186
201
223
257
197
132
120

Xi^2
5929
7225
7396
11025
13225
15129
18225
18496
24025
30976
34596
40401
49729
66049
38809
17424
14400

Xi^3
456533
614125
636056
1157625
1520875
1860867
2460375
2515456
3723875
5451776
6434856
8120601
11089567
16974593
7645373
2299968
1728000

Xi ^4
35153041
52200625
54700816
121550625
174900625
228886641
332150625
342102016
577200625
959512576
1196883216
1632240801
2472973441
4362470401
1506138481
303595776
207360000

2988

2509

17

413059

74690521

14560020331

17
2509
413059

2988
538006.7
104274049.3

2988
538006.7
104274049.3

Aplicando Cramer. Calculo de a , b y c


2988
538006.7
104274049.3

a
b
c
-1

17
2509
413059

2509
413059
74690521

413059
74690521
14560020331

5.145097587 -0.0671029957 0.0001982641


-0.067102996 0.0009086004 -2.75730E-006
0.000198264 -2.7573000E-006 8.58855E-009
-54.513
0.815
0.005

a
b
c

Grafica.
ALTURA (Xi)
77
85
86
105
115
123
135
136
155
176
186
201
223
257
197
132
120

()
37.887
50.887
52.557
86.187
105.337
121.377
146.637
148.807
191.937
243.807
270.057
311.307
375.877
485.187
300.087
140.187
115.287

CURVA DE CALI
550
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
50

100

15

++ ^2

+_(=1 )^ +_(=1)^ ^2

+ _(=1 )^ ^2+ _(=1)^ ^3

^ ^2 +_(=1 )^ ^3+ _(=1)^ ^4

Xi Yi
2748.9
4071.5
4282.8
7129.5
9855.5
15202.8
19629
20114.4
27869
36537.6
44807.4
61727.1
77447.9
116986.4
57307.3
18189.6
14100

(Xi^2) Yi
211665.3
346077.5
368320.8
748597.5
1133382.5
1869944.4
2649915
2735558.4
4319695
6430617.6
8334176.4
12407147.1
17270881.7
30065504.8
11289538.1
2401027.2
1692000

()
37.887
50.887
52.557
86.187
105.337
121.377
146.637
148.807
191.937
243.807
270.057
311.307
375.877
485.187
300.087
140.187
115.287

538006.7

104274049.3

2509
413059
74690521

413059
74690521
14560020331

a
b
c

a
b
c

CURVA DE CALIBRACION : CUADRATICO

100

150

200

250

300

METODO REGRESION LOGARITMICA.

FECHA
12/7/2013
12/13/2013
12/21/2013
12/28/2013
1/7/2014
1/13/2014
1/20/2014
1/27/2014
2/5/2014
2/12/2014
2/19/2014
2/27/2013
3/5/2014
3/11/2014
3/17/2014
3/24/2014
4/5/2014

CAUDAL(m3/s) ALTURA(cm)
35.7
77
FORMULAS.
47.9
85
()=+ ln ()
49.8
86
67.9
105
= ()/B
85.7
115
123.6
123
()/
145.4
135
147.9
136
=
(
( ^ ) ( )( ) )/((
179.8
155
207.6
176
240.9
186
307.1
201
347.3
223
455.2
257
290.9
197
137.8
132
117.5
120

CUADRO ESTADISTICO.

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17

CAUDAL ( Yi)
35.7
47.9
49.8
67.9
85.7
123.6
145.4
147.9
179.8
207.6
240.9
307.1
347.3
455.2
290.9
137.8
117.5
2988

ALTURA (Xi)
77
85
86
105
115
123
135
136
155
176
186
201
223
257
197
132
120
2509

Xi' = Ln(Xi)
Xi'Yi
Xi'^2
4.34
155.07
18.87
4.44
212.80
19.74
4.45
221.83
19.84
4.65
316.00
21.66
4.74
406.64
22.51
4.81
594.79
23.16
4.91
713.23
24.06
4.91
726.58
24.13
5.04
906.81
25.44
5.17
1073.39
26.73
5.23
1258.88
27.31
5.30
1628.64
28.13
5.41
1877.91
29.24
5.55
2525.94
30.79
5.28
1536.88
27.91
4.88
672.85
23.84
4.79
562.53
22.92
83.9225164 15390.7847 416.281089

17

Calculo de A Y B
B
A

322.08
-1414.20

La ecuacion sera:

()=1414.20+322.08 ln ()
GRAFICA.
ALTURA (Xi)
77
85
86
105
115
123
135
136
155
176
186
201
223
257
197
132
120

()
-15.17
16.69
20.46
84.75
114.05
135.71
165.69
168.07
210.19
251.11
268.91
293.89
327.34
373.05
287.414256952
158.452843227
127.755340515

Curva de
400.00
350.00
300.00
250.00
200.00
150.00
100.00
50.00
0.00
50
-50.00

100

=+ ln ()

= ()/B
)/

)( ) )/(( ^2) ( ) ^2 )

()
-15.17
16.69
20.46
84.75
114.05
135.71
165.69
168.07
210.19
251.11
268.91
293.89
327.34
373.05
287.41
158.45
127.76

Curva de Calibracion : Logaritmica.


400.00
350.00
300.00
250.00
200.00
150.00
100.00
50.00
0.00
50
-50.00

100

150

200

250

300