)

2)

h =

()
()

1 (2 )
1 2 (1 )

. () =
0

()
0

()

2 =

2
0

Funcin Densidad de falla

(tiempo para la falla)

f(t) pdf

Funcin Confiabilidad

() =

= [

Tasa de Fallas

(Tasa de Riesgo)

()
()

Tiempo promedio para la falla (MTTF)

(No reparables)

Tiempo mediano (tmed)

= .

Tiempo promedio entre fallas (MTBF)

(tasa de fallas constante (), con
reparacin)

()
=

Varianza del tiempo hasta la falla (2)

()

1 2
1
(2
)

. 2

()
=

()
=

= ( >

1
2

1 ln 2
)

2(

ln()

()

() = (
= ( >

ln()

ln()
)

= (
)
exp[

= ( )1 exp[

= exp

]
1
( )

Solucin
MTBF =
= 1/MTBF =

10000 hrs
0.0001

distribucin: f(t) =0.0001*exp(-0.0001t)

R(t) =
R(20000) =
R(25000) =

exp(-0.0001t)
0.14
0.08

14%
8%

R(25000/20000)= R(25000)/R(20000) =

61%

)
(

=
=
P(z>0.0026) =

0.002
0.0004
P(Z>(0.0026-0.002)/0.0004))
P(Z>1.5) =

P(0.0014<z<0.0026) =

1.5

6.68%
P(z<0.0026) -P(z>0.0014) =

P(z>0.0014) = P(z>(0.0014-0.002)/0.0004)) = P(z>-1.5) =

P(z<0.0026) =

P(Z<(0.0026-0.002)/0.0004)) = P(z<1.5) =

P(z<0.0026) -P(z>0.0014) =

87%

1-2P(z<-1.5) =

0.8663856

P(z<-1.5) =

0.0668072

0.9331928

87%

a) La tasa de fallas es creciente, y significa que este componente desde el

inicio de su vida sufre deterioro.

=20000.0668=134
c) Se tiene:
1 =

13001000
200

1 =

9001000
200

=1.5

= 1300 = = 1.5 = 0.9332

=-0.5

= 900 = = 0.5 = 0.3085

900 1300 = 1300 F 900 = 0.9332 0.3085 = 0.6247

= 2000 0.6247 = 1249.4 = 1250

=
=

100
10

hr
hr

R(104) =
R(104) =

P(z>(t-)/) = P(z>(104-100)/10) = 0.4

P(z>0.4)

R(10) =

65.64%

(1+3) = 16000

= 16000*

^2*[(1+2/)-^2(1+1/)] =16000^2*[(6)-^2(3)] =

1. R(t) = exp(-(t/)^) =

( )

exp(-(t/500)^2.5)

F(t) =1- R(t) =

1-exp(-(t/500)^2.5)

f(t) =dF(t)/dt =

/(t/)^*exp(-(t/500)^2.5)

h(t) = exp(-(t/500)^2.5)//(t/)^exp(-(t/500)^2.5)
h(t)= /*(t/)^

2. R(1500) = exp(-3)^2.5 = 0%

3. MTTF = 500*EXP(GAMMA.LN(1+1/2.5))=443.6